Saturday, 29 December 2018

3 pts win JOHN CONSTABLE  50/1 ( at least seven firms)
Heed Your Hunch H'cap

It's a while now since this one has shown anything near his true form but the fact that connections have kept hold of him indicates they believe ( or at least hope) that the ability is still there. He is still only seven years old, races off a rating 6 lb below his last winning one, and the eye-catching odds more than balance out a run of below-par performances. Worth a speculative bet.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win FRANKLY SPEAKING  22/1 ( at least six firms)
Mandarin Chase

Not the race it was since the rating ceiling was put on it but this unexposed Flemensfirth gelding is worth a second look from the bottom of the handicap. He shaped well enough in a novices handicap at Wetherby on his only chase start to date and could find the improvement required to figure here.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 26 December 2018

3 pts win LOOKSNOWTLIKEBRIAN 16/1(at least two firms inc PPower-18/1 on exchanges)
Coral Welsh Grand National

It's noted that he is not the most fluent at his obstacles but he has won four of his six starts over fences and is an interesting proposition faced with the biggest stamina test he's had. He beat a nice type comfortably at Carlise last time and his rise in the ratings should not rule him put given that he looks set to continue on the upgrade.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win TAKINGRISKS  6/1 (almost all firms)
Racing TV Rowland Meyrick Chase

Has hovered around the rating he races off here for two years now, something which may indicate there is no further improvement to come from him. Nevertherless, he is holding his form well, lines up here as good as ever, and the combination of distance and ground should but sufficient emphasis on stamina for him. His yard is in cracking form too.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 22 December 2018

3 pts win SOUL EMOTION 8/1 (at least four firms)
JLT Hurdle

While hard to accurately weigh up with plenty of the unknown remaining about him, this one very much marked himself as a horse to keep on the right side of when winning two spring handicaps at Sandown in taking style. The second of those, the more meritable performance, puts him with about a stone to find to win this but he is almost certainly better than weights and measures figures indicate, should take the step up in distance in his stride, and can be expected to be in top condition despite it being his first run of the season.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 15 December 2018

3 pts win CASABLANCA MIX  14/1 ( almost all firms)
Caspian Caviar Gold Cup

Both of Nicky Henderson's runners are for the shortlist here but while Rather Be's excellent claims are well advertised and he is priced up accordingly, Casablanca Mix seems to have escaped attention. She is a promising young chaser in her own right with plenty more to come. She ran an excellent race last time to split two useful sorts despite not finding the trip ideal and back over shorter today, should give a good account of herself.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win OI THE CLUB OI'S  20/1 (Corals and Exchanges)
Summit Hurdle

This one has a better chance that at first appears as the level of the form he showed at Newcastle last time could be much better than what it looks on weights and measures. The winner that day, Nicky Henderson's Style De Vole could be absolutely anything, and this one was beaten inches having looked the winner for much of the latter stages of the race. Worth respecting here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 8 December 2018

3 pts win HIGHLAND LODGE 16/1 (at least six firms)
Becher Chase

Is not getting any younger but has a commendable record here. A typical Fleminsfirth who is in his element in testing conditions, he is sure to be turned out in optimum condition today.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 1 December 2018

3 pts win WHATMORE  9/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
Ladbroke Intermediate Hurdle

This Schiaparelli gelding has got his act together and is on an upward curve at the moment, having started the season in excellent fettle. Game in defeat in the Silver Trophy at Chepstow, he then made all in a decent Bangor handicap. He's buzzy but with a great attitude to the game and looks sure to put in a bold show from near the front.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win BAYWING  20/1 (2 firms inc PPower and all Exchanges)
Rehearsal Chase

On the face of it, last seasons Eider winner looks to be racing over a trip on the short side for him now. His fitness also has to be taken on trust. However, these doubts are sufficiently covered in the odds available. Furthermore, on the trip front, it is worth noting that the best performance in his novice season when winning the Towton was over this trip. The more rain falling the better and he is worth chancing.

Lost - 3pts