Tuesday, 31 July 2018

3 pts win COOL SKY 14/1 (at least ten firms)
Matchbook Betting Goodwood H'cap

Down the years this has been a frustrating race to try to get to grips with but one where you cannot help get involved. Cool Sky is 5 lb higher in the ratings when successful in the race last year. He's won twice over hurdles since and his run at Newcastle in the Plate consolation race was his first back on the level. He was beaten a long way but he's from one of the shrewdest operations around and a return to his best would surprise nobody.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win GUSTAV KLIMT 15/2 ( at least eight firms)
Qatar Sussex Stakes

Has developed into a consistent high-class miler who has a big one in him if the cards fall right. Just lacks that bit of extra toe at crucial stages in his races but appears to be taking his racing well and only has half a length to make up on Without Parole from Ascot. No stable companion pacemakers for him but no doubt there is a plan and he is the value call here.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 30 July 2018

1.5 pts win DARK RED 8/1 ( at least ten firms)
1.5 pts win SILVER LINE 9/1 ( at least half a dozen firms)
Matchbook Betting Exchange H'cap

Dark Red races off a 10 lb higher rating than when passing the post first in this last year. However, he is capable of winning off this sort of mark as demonstrated by his cracking efforts in the Balmoral last backend, and his most recent runner-up finish at Newcastle.

Silver Line caught the eye when finishing in pleasing style at Sandown last time. That was his first run since being campaigned at the Meydan meeting and there is still plenty to find out about this one time useful juvenile who looks set for a good second half to the season in valuable handicaps.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win IDAHO  10/1 ( at least five firms inc Hills and Bet 365)
Qatar Goodwood Cup

Although plenty from the yard have been running some way below expectations recently, this one is far too big to ignore here and his best pieces of form make him a match for any of his opponents in this. True, it is worrying that he's been below his best on three of his four starts this year and there is the concern that he may be falling out of love with the game, but maybe it will all click back into place trying this sort of trip and he is a fascinating contender.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 28 July 2018

3 pts win CRACK ON CRACK ON 15/2 ( at least three firms inc PPower & Betfair Sportsbook)
Porsche H'cap

This one remains very much a potential Group class animal. He took a valuable Haydock Park handicap with a bit to spare then never got the rub of the green when starting favourite for the Brittania, missing the break, being hampered and fighting a losing battle from then on. That run can be overlooked and he should give an excellent account of himself today.

Won + 22.5 pts

2 pts win SHADY McCOY  12/1 (almost all firms)
1 pt win ARBALET  35/1 ( Betfair Exchange)

Shady McCoy arrives here in much better heart than he was before finishing a creditable eighth in the race last year when a 50/1 shot. He was narrowly beaten in the Bunbury Cup a couple of weeks back, and racing off the same rating today he must be on any short list.

Arbalet has his first venture in handicap company. He ran way above what was expected when fifth in the Jersey last time and today will tell whether or not he's harshly treated here off a 104 rating. Worth a speculative bet at the odds available and could surprise providing there are no hiccups in the stalls

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 21 July 2018

2 pts win MORE BUCKS 15/2 ( almost all firms)
1 pt win DAYS OF HEAVEN 16/1 ( or bigger - at least eight firms)
Summer Plate H'cap Chase

The move to Peter Bowen's yard might have just done the trick for this one. Admittedly this is more competitive than the Perth race he won last time, a victory not entirely conclusive evidence that he's been revitalised, but his new yard have a well documented record of getting horses going on a roll and he is worth a go here. He races off a 6 lb higher rating but it's still 8 lb lower than the peak one he raced off for Paul Nicholls.

Days of Heaven has not gone on to be the horse that he promised to be in his novice hurdle days but the fact he remains at Seven Barrows indicates that there is something for them to get to the bottom of. A frustrating individual but is ideally suited by good ground and could surprise.

More Bucks Won + 14 pts

Saturday, 14 July 2018

1.5 pts win US NAVY FLAG 13/2 ( at least half a dozen firms)
1.5 pts win LIMATO 9/1 ( at least half a dozen firms)
Darley July Cup

US Navy Flag has trained on well from two to three and fits into that profile of many winners of this event, a class act who is best at this sort of trip but has been running over trips that have been stretching his stamina and not allowing him to run to his absolute optimum.

2016 winner Limato returns to this trip for the first time since finishing runner-up in this last year. As in the past, the experiment in stepping him up to a mile has not worked and he can be expected to return to something close to his very best here today.

US Navy Flag Won  + 8 pts

3 pts win FIRST CONTACT  13/2  ( over a dozen firms)
Bet365 Mile Handicap

Ran a meritable race when finishing eleventh in the Britannia, not getting the rub of the green and value for a better than the finishing position indicates. He arrived at Ascot on the back of a facile maiden success at Doncaster, clearly has plenty more to offer, and off the same rating he ran off at Ascot in a less competitive race, is sure to give a very good account of himself.

Won  + 19.5 pts

Friday, 6 July 2018

3 pts win PREENING 6/1 ( at least 3 firms inc Hills)
Coral Distaff

Hailing from a yard whose animals are in good heart at the moment, Preening won a handicap over this course and distance in the style of a filly rapidly on the upgrade, showing she is in her element on fast ground. The bare form gives her a few lengths to find but it will be surprising if she is not a good deal better than the pounds and lengths the performance amounts to and can take this listed event before moving on to even better things, and the 6/1 available now is worth taking.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win ACROSS THE STARS 13/1 (Betfair Ex)
Old Newton Cup

Has not won since taking the 2016 Kind Edward when with Michael Stoute and while in light of that effort and his subsequent excellent run when third in the Great Voltigeur ( on fast ground), he retains enough ability to be competitive in this sort of event. His third at Epsom is better than it looked on the day - with hindsight the easy winner was unbeatable off his handicap mark - and it followed on from a good run at York. Unless Atty Perse has progressed into a genuine Group 2/3 horse, he has a live chance and should run really well at double figure odds.

Lost - 3pts