Wednesday, 14 March 2018

3 pts win PRESENTING PERCY 5/2 ( almost everywhere)
RSA Novices Chase

Despite connections sounding cautious over the ground, this likeable sort was not flattered when running Our Duke to a length in similar testing conditions at Gowran Park last time where he had three good class sorts well beaten off behind. Winner of the Pertempts Final here last year, Presenting Percy has taken well to fences and can take this on the way to putting himself in the 2019 Gold Cup picture. Of all those at backable prices at the meeting, he is arguably the best bet out the lot.

Won + 7.5 pts

1.5 pts win MOUNT MEWS 13.5/1 (Betfair Exchange)
1.5 pts win TOPOFTHEGAME  13/1 (Betfair Exchange)
Coral Cup

Mount Mews returns to hurdles after a just about acceptable start to his chasing career which he will surely do well in next season. His hurdle form does however make him interesting here, such as his defeat of Sam Spinner at Kelso in December 2016, and his runner up finish in a Grade 1 novice hurdle at Aintree last Spring. He's also got a good piece of form in the book on heavy ground. Very much one to consider.

Topofthegame toughed it out to win a competitive handicap at Sandown last time and races here off an 8 lb higher rating. That does not flatter him and he is a scopey sort with plenty more improvement left in him and one whose today's conditions are ideal for.

Lost -  3pts

2 pts win OXFORD BLU  17.5/1 (Betfair Exchange)
1 pt win EMBOLE  35/1 (Betfair Exchange)
Boodles Fred Winter H'cap Hdle

Hailing from a relatively new operation with a progressive profile, Oxford Blu catches the eye here with Richard Johnson re-booked. A graduate from the Mark Prescott yard, an excellent source for horses switching codes, he was narrowly beaten in all aged handicap company last time by a fair sort from the Skelton yard. That was in very soft ground  and he showed a good attitude and looks a likely type here.

Embole is one of three Skelton runners, the yard having the well fancied Nube Negra. He beat a Nicholls horse readily in soft ground at Wincanton last time. That was his first run after a wind op and the form is hard to weigh up. He could be anything but at the price it's worth throwing a dart.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win ACEY MILAN  13/2 ( almost all firms)
1 pt win KNOW THE SCORE 20/1 ( at least six firms)
Weatherby's Champion Bumper

There tends to be more value in siding with the home contingent in this event, and UK trained animals have won two of the last three runnings.

Acey Milan won a well contested event at Newbury in visually taking style last time and the level of that form is up with the best on offer here. He is proven in the mud and there is a lot to like.

Know The Score looks a typical Flemensfirth who is ideally suited by testing conditions. His piece of form is hard to weigh up and he could be anything. The stable has had a quiet season but did win this three years back.

Lost - 3 pts