Saturday, 31 March 2018

3 pts win SHUHOOD 14/1 ( almost all firms)
Totesport Royal Mile H'cap

As with many from his yard, this former Richard Hannon inmate is worth keeping an eye on. He shaped really well on the AW on his second start for Ian Williams a couple of weeks back and has prospects of reversing the form with the winner Book of Dreams. His sole win came with ease in the ground though admittedly he won't have encountered the ground as soft as will be today. Nevertheless, he is appealing at the odds available as it would be no surprise if he won this.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 24 March 2018

2 pts win LORD GLITTERS 11/2 ( at least six firms)
1 pt win DOLPHIN VISTA  25/1 (Betfair Ex)

There is only a 10 lb spread across the field and Lord Glitters is priced up about right as he is a classy sort with a striking turn of foot and one that his yard has yet to get to the bottom of, having had only three runs since arriving from France. The ground is no problem and he is sure to give an excellent account of himself.

Cambridgeshire winner Dolphin Vista was last seen when making his debut over hurdles at Fakenham in January. He finished fifth in this last year when with the Richard Fahey yard, is now a few pounds higher in the ratings owing to his Newmarket victory and perhaps vulnerable to an improver, but still must be considered and catches the eye at the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 17 March 2018

2 pts win HAINAN 14/1 (almost all firms)
1 pt win BILLY BRONCHO 24/1 (Betfair Ex)
Midlands Grand National

Hailing from one of the most effective yards in these marathon events and one in fairish form at the moment, Hainan in hindsight forced the issue a little early in the Eider and compromised his chance. He goes in the mud, gives the impression he will plod on forever, and the fact that he has disappointed on both chase runs at this venue is probably just incidental.

Billy Broncho has had only three outings over fences but already has the profile of one who will be in his element over these sort of trips in testing conditions. His owners have a handful of nice progressive types in the yard and while this one is some way down the pecking order, there will be plenty to come from him and he could surprise today.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 15 March 2018

3 pts win REDICEAN 6/1 (P Power, Betfair Sportsbook, and all Exchanges)
JCB Triumph Hurdle

Although he's trained the winners of this event twice and is consistently strongly represented in the juvenile division, it's surprising that eleven years have now elapsed since Alan King last took this event. Redicean has done nothing wrong so far in his hurdling career, winning all three starts in the style of a prospective winner of this event. On all starts he travelled well and showed a smart change of gear. He is proven in the soft and it will be surprising if he doesn't go close to winning this.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win POETIC RHYTHM  14/1 ( at least six firms)
1.5 pts win BALLYWARD 22/1 ( P Power, Betfair Sportsbook and all Exchanges)
Albert Bartlett

Poetic Rhythm has took his time to get to this level but showed great resolution to win the Challow last time and is very much in the reckoning for this. A typical likeable Flemensfirth, he has not been tried at this trip over hurdles but won a point to point over it two years back and if anything the extra distance should suit.

Ballyward is by the same sire but has less racing under his belt. His win at Naas last time was not advertised by the runner-up  As You Were the other day, but he has to be of interest, as the Wylie owned runners here are rarely pitted out of their depth.He's another who has not tried this trip under rules but was runner-up over it on his only point to point start.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win DEFINITLY RED 12/1 ( at least seven firms)
Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup

Definitly Red looked the real deal last time out, arrives here at the highest point of his career, and has great prospects of taking the Blue Riband for the North for the first time since Jodami twenty five years ago. He races prominently, travels well, acts in testing conditions and the level of his form in the Cotswold last time is good enough to take some past runnings of this.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win NORTH HILL HARVEY 9/1 ( at least seven firms)
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual

A mighty interesting runner in this. He had looked for most of the season to be set to run in the Arkle - he won twice here on his first two starts over fences in the style of a highly promising novice but was then beaten by Sceau Royal in the Henry V111,  and disappointed behind Saint Calvados at Warwick. In light of Footpad's victory the best he could have hoped for was place money on Tuesday but he has a serious chance of taking this. Though making mistakes last time he has jumped safely in the past and clearly likes this venue where he also won the Greatwood over hurdles.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win SHATTERED LOVE 11/2 ( 3 firms and all exchanges)
JLT Novices Chase

This front-running mare has taken well to fences and should fare a lot better than when fancied for the Neptune here last year. The combination of this testing ground and mid-range trip should be absolutely ideal - she is versatile enough to have won over the minimum and was not stopping when successful over 3m last time. Her level of form is already good enough for her to play a big role in this, and taking into account that her ceiling will be higher still, she looks sure to give an excellent account of herself.

Won + 16.5 pts

1.5 pts win THOMAS CAMPBELL 25/1 ( at least ten firms)
1.5 pts win SYKES  39/1 (Betfair Exchange)
Pertemps Final

At first instance, Thomas Campbell appears to have it all to do off top weight in this ground but there are reasons to make him one to consider.  In the Martin Pipe here last year, then again in the 2m 4f H'cap at the big Aintree meeting, he never quite got the rub of the green and left the impression that this sort of trip would suit him better in these sort of events. He began the season winning twice over 3m at this venue, on the second occasion in soft ground. Since then he has been twice unplaced in the Long Walk and Cleeve. He returns to handicap company 7lb higher in the ratings than his last victory here and has the blinds thrown on too. Far better chance than his price indicates.

Sykes has shown improved form since returning from Philip Hobbs yard to the set up that had him in his pt to pt days. He was 33/1 when caught in the closing stages here back in December and had a few behind who reoppose today. He ran another excellent race in a similar event at Warwick last time and off a 3lb higher mark appeals as the type to outrun his odds. Not out of it.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win SAM SPINNER  100/30 ( at least seven firms)
Stayers Hurdle

A tremendously likeable individual who races with great enthusiasm and whose performance in the Long Walk stamps him as the best around in this division. Has not run at this venue before but handles all sorts of tracks, the undulations at Chepstow, sharp aspects such as the hurdle track at Haydock, and there is nothing in this configuration for him to fear. The Haydock win confirms that extreme testing underfoot conditions are no problem for him and there can be no excuses if he fails to deliver again today.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win SQUOUATOUR 6/1 ( at least eight firms)
1 pt win THE YOUNG MASTER  20/1 (Betfair Ex)
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir

Squoatour has clearly been laid out for this and can be more fortunate this time than last year when he unseated his rider three out when getting involved in the race. He ran a blinder in a very valuable handicap at Leopardstown over Christmas to finish third, a run which split two unplaced efforts over trips on the short side of ideal for him. Has won twice in the mud, has one of the best amateurs aboard, and has claims that are impossible to ignore.

The Young Master on the face of it has dropped to a level some way off that he was at a couple of seasons back.  That however is taken into account in that he is in the region of a stone lower in the ratings than when at his peak and considering this is his first run after a wind op, he warrants a second look. Today's rider was aboard when he won the old Whitbread and while his best chase form is on better ground he did win twice in heavy over hurdles

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 14 March 2018

3 pts win PRESENTING PERCY 5/2 ( almost everywhere)
RSA Novices Chase

Despite connections sounding cautious over the ground, this likeable sort was not flattered when running Our Duke to a length in similar testing conditions at Gowran Park last time where he had three good class sorts well beaten off behind. Winner of the Pertempts Final here last year, Presenting Percy has taken well to fences and can take this on the way to putting himself in the 2019 Gold Cup picture. Of all those at backable prices at the meeting, he is arguably the best bet out the lot.

Won + 7.5 pts

1.5 pts win MOUNT MEWS 13.5/1 (Betfair Exchange)
1.5 pts win TOPOFTHEGAME  13/1 (Betfair Exchange)
Coral Cup

Mount Mews returns to hurdles after a just about acceptable start to his chasing career which he will surely do well in next season. His hurdle form does however make him interesting here, such as his defeat of Sam Spinner at Kelso in December 2016, and his runner up finish in a Grade 1 novice hurdle at Aintree last Spring. He's also got a good piece of form in the book on heavy ground. Very much one to consider.

Topofthegame toughed it out to win a competitive handicap at Sandown last time and races here off an 8 lb higher rating. That does not flatter him and he is a scopey sort with plenty more improvement left in him and one whose today's conditions are ideal for.

Lost -  3pts

2 pts win OXFORD BLU  17.5/1 (Betfair Exchange)
1 pt win EMBOLE  35/1 (Betfair Exchange)
Boodles Fred Winter H'cap Hdle

Hailing from a relatively new operation with a progressive profile, Oxford Blu catches the eye here with Richard Johnson re-booked. A graduate from the Mark Prescott yard, an excellent source for horses switching codes, he was narrowly beaten in all aged handicap company last time by a fair sort from the Skelton yard. That was in very soft ground  and he showed a good attitude and looks a likely type here.

Embole is one of three Skelton runners, the yard having the well fancied Nube Negra. He beat a Nicholls horse readily in soft ground at Wincanton last time. That was his first run after a wind op and the form is hard to weigh up. He could be anything but at the price it's worth throwing a dart.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win ACEY MILAN  13/2 ( almost all firms)
1 pt win KNOW THE SCORE 20/1 ( at least six firms)
Weatherby's Champion Bumper

There tends to be more value in siding with the home contingent in this event, and UK trained animals have won two of the last three runnings.

Acey Milan won a well contested event at Newbury in visually taking style last time and the level of that form is up with the best on offer here. He is proven in the mud and there is a lot to like.

Know The Score looks a typical Flemensfirth who is ideally suited by testing conditions. His piece of form is hard to weigh up and he could be anything. The stable has had a quiet season but did win this three years back.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 13 March 2018

2 pts win SINGEFARMPAYMENT 8/1 (at least six firms)
1 pt win RAMSES DE TEILLEE 12/1 ( at least eight firms)
Ultima H'cap Chase

Wind the clock back 12 months and Singlefarmpayment came into this race appealing very much as one who could win then go on progressing to better things. He eventually was beaten a short head after travelling like the likely winner for most of the way and not finding as much as he looked to have in the tank. This seasons four runs have included falling three out in the Hennesey and making a bad mistake that put paid to any chance in the Compton. He is proving costly to follow but arriving here off only a 3 lb higher rating than last year you cannot deny that he has strong claims and is worth one more chance in ground that he won on over hurdles.

Ramses De Teillee is a proven mud lover with some interesting form that makes him one to consider here. Put it this way if you think that Elegant Escape has a genuine chance in the RSA tomorrow, then you have to be taking aboard the Pipe horse here. The yard is having a dreadful season but this one is a must for the short list and catches the eye at the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win MS PARFOIS  7/1 ( at least nine firms)
National Hunt Novices Chase

This mare is in cracking form at the moment and was far from disgraced when splitting Black Corton and Mount Mews at Ascot last time. She's won at this venue back in December and relishes genuinely soft ground. Admittedly, she's running a mile further than ever before but her pedigree indicates that she should be in her element over marathon trips and she is impossible to get away from.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 10 March 2018

2 pts win MELROSE BAY 7/1 ( at least six firms)
1 pt win FIRST ASSIGNMENT 20/1 ( at least five firms)
EBF Matchbook H'cap Hdle Final

Melrose Bay is an interesting long term prospect and has a fine chance of taking this on the way to a prosperous career over fences. His last piece of form is stonewall reliable and strong in the context of this event. The drop in trip will not hinder in these conditions and he looks certain to give an excellent account of himself.

First Assignment hails from one of the shrewdest set ups around and catches the eye at big odds. The was a gap back to the third when he held on to win at Huntingdon last time. He is a better prospect than the bare form and style of victory suggests, has any amount of improvement left in him and could be in the shake up.

Mel. Bay NR, F. Assgnmnt Lost  - 1pt

1.5 pts win MASTER OF IRONY 12/1 (Generally available)
1.5pts win SILVER STREAK  16.5/1 (Betfair Ex)
Matchbook Imperial Cup

Lightly raced and almost certainly a bit off his eventual ceiling, Master Of Irony won on his seasonal debut at Wetherby in a race far more competitive than the prize money indicated. He then ran an eyecatching race when fourth at Newbury in the first week in December. He hasn't been seen since but the booking of Johnson, who was aboard at Wetherby, suggests he is spot on for this.

Silver Streak created a good visual impression when finishing full of running to win at Chepstow in October. He then ran a cracker to be runner up in a very valuable and competitive event at Ascot before unseating his rider early on in the Betfair Hurdle. The question mark is over the ground, but that doubt is built into the odds and it may pay to take him aboard.

Lost - 3 pts