Saturday, 29 December 2018

3 pts win JOHN CONSTABLE  50/1 ( at least seven firms)
Heed Your Hunch H'cap

It's a while now since this one has shown anything near his true form but the fact that connections have kept hold of him indicates they believe ( or at least hope) that the ability is still there. He is still only seven years old, races off a rating 6 lb below his last winning one, and the eye-catching odds more than balance out a run of below-par performances. Worth a speculative bet.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win FRANKLY SPEAKING  22/1 ( at least six firms)
Mandarin Chase

Not the race it was since the rating ceiling was put on it but this unexposed Flemensfirth gelding is worth a second look from the bottom of the handicap. He shaped well enough in a novices handicap at Wetherby on his only chase start to date and could find the improvement required to figure here.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 26 December 2018

3 pts win LOOKSNOWTLIKEBRIAN 16/1(at least two firms inc PPower-18/1 on exchanges)
Coral Welsh Grand National

It's noted that he is not the most fluent at his obstacles but he has won four of his six starts over fences and is an interesting proposition faced with the biggest stamina test he's had. He beat a nice type comfortably at Carlise last time and his rise in the ratings should not rule him put given that he looks set to continue on the upgrade.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win TAKINGRISKS  6/1 (almost all firms)
Racing TV Rowland Meyrick Chase

Has hovered around the rating he races off here for two years now, something which may indicate there is no further improvement to come from him. Nevertherless, he is holding his form well, lines up here as good as ever, and the combination of distance and ground should but sufficient emphasis on stamina for him. His yard is in cracking form too.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 22 December 2018

3 pts win SOUL EMOTION 8/1 (at least four firms)
JLT Hurdle

While hard to accurately weigh up with plenty of the unknown remaining about him, this one very much marked himself as a horse to keep on the right side of when winning two spring handicaps at Sandown in taking style. The second of those, the more meritable performance, puts him with about a stone to find to win this but he is almost certainly better than weights and measures figures indicate, should take the step up in distance in his stride, and can be expected to be in top condition despite it being his first run of the season.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 15 December 2018

3 pts win CASABLANCA MIX  14/1 ( almost all firms)
Caspian Caviar Gold Cup

Both of Nicky Henderson's runners are for the shortlist here but while Rather Be's excellent claims are well advertised and he is priced up accordingly, Casablanca Mix seems to have escaped attention. She is a promising young chaser in her own right with plenty more to come. She ran an excellent race last time to split two useful sorts despite not finding the trip ideal and back over shorter today, should give a good account of herself.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win OI THE CLUB OI'S  20/1 (Corals and Exchanges)
Summit Hurdle

This one has a better chance that at first appears as the level of the form he showed at Newcastle last time could be much better than what it looks on weights and measures. The winner that day, Nicky Henderson's Style De Vole could be absolutely anything, and this one was beaten inches having looked the winner for much of the latter stages of the race. Worth respecting here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 8 December 2018

3 pts win HIGHLAND LODGE 16/1 (at least six firms)
Becher Chase

Is not getting any younger but has a commendable record here. A typical Fleminsfirth who is in his element in testing conditions, he is sure to be turned out in optimum condition today.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 1 December 2018

3 pts win WHATMORE  9/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
Ladbroke Intermediate Hurdle

This Schiaparelli gelding has got his act together and is on an upward curve at the moment, having started the season in excellent fettle. Game in defeat in the Silver Trophy at Chepstow, he then made all in a decent Bangor handicap. He's buzzy but with a great attitude to the game and looks sure to put in a bold show from near the front.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win BAYWING  20/1 (2 firms inc PPower and all Exchanges)
Rehearsal Chase

On the face of it, last seasons Eider winner looks to be racing over a trip on the short side for him now. His fitness also has to be taken on trust. However, these doubts are sufficiently covered in the odds available. Furthermore, on the trip front, it is worth noting that the best performance in his novice season when winning the Towton was over this trip. The more rain falling the better and he is worth chancing.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 24 November 2018

3 pts GOLD PRESENT  10/1 ( at least three firms inc PPower, - 11/1 with Unibet)
Christy 1965 Chase

In his element from when fresh, this is one who you feel they've still not got to the bottom of and has more to come. There will, of course, have to be as he meets four of these on worse terms than he would in a handicap. He also ended last season disappointingly. However, in hope that the wind op has worked, he is taken to come out best here at a venue where he put up his best performance so far in winning the Silver Cup last December.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 18 November 2018

1.5 pts win VADO FORTE 28/1 ( at least four firms inc Coral and Victor)
1.5 pts win CAIUS MARCIUS 50/1 (at least nine firms)
Greatwood Hurdle

Vado Forte progressed markedly in the spring,ending the season when taking a valuable Plumpton handicap. He will have come on for his seasonal debut, is off only a three pound higher rating than Plumpton, hails from an up and coming yard, and is worth a second look here.

On the face of it Caius Marcius looks in the grip of the handicapper on the weights and measures form of his respectable Ascot run. That may be the case but he was not given the best of rides and is too big to ignore here to small stakes.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win RIBBLE VALLEY 5/1 (almost all firms)
High Sheriff of Gloucestershire and Racing Remembers Bumper

This one created a big impression when winning at Ayr two weekends back, is very useful at the least and possibly could be something a little special. Hard to resist at the price.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 17 November 2018

3 pts win LOOKING WELL  14/1 (almost all firms)
Betvictor Handicap Chase

Losing concentration and running out at the last when looking to have last season's Edinburgh National at his mercy, this gelding can finally bag one of these valuable events. He runs well fresh and will be turned out in peak condition for this. He's versatile to ground conditions and there is plenty to like about his chance today.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win RATHER BE  5/1 ( at least eighteen firms)
Betvictor Gold Cup

This has the feel of a marginally substandard renewal of this event and all things considered, it is impossible not to logically have this one in the portfolio. With only four races under his belt over fences, he is some way off his ceiling and his confidently expected to reverse the Festival form with Mister Whitaker.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 10 November 2018

3 pts win SOME INVITATION 11/1 ( at least nine firms)
Rewards For Racing Handicap Chase

Lightly raced with just four runs over fences, the last coming in May, the fact that this one remains in the Skelton yard gives encouragement that there is more to come. Though overall disappointing up to now, his run at Cheltenham in April makes him one to consider here and there is plenty to find out about him.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win RESHOUN 10/1 ( at least seven firms)
1 pt win NOW CHILDREN 11/1 (almost all firms)
November Handicap

Reshoun headed the ante-post market at one stage for this race last year but never made the line up in a race won by his connections. He has been disappointing this season until returning to form with a convincing success at Haydock in easy ground which he clearly needs to produce his optimum. Reverting back in trip won't be an issue and he looks capable of defying the 4 lb rise in the ratings.

Now Children is lightly raced with an overall progressive profile and is in good hands. His victory last time in a fairly competitive Goodwood handicap showed him ideally suited by soft ground and as he does things gradually and gallops on dourly he seems ideal for this track.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 3 November 2018

3 pts win  CAIUS MARCIUS 9/1 ( at least four firms inc PPower and Victor)
Bet With Ascot Handicap Hurdle

The Nicky Richards horses are in good fettle at the moment. It is a yard that does not overface it's runners so it is quite significant that this one makes the journey down south today. He's up almost a stone in the ratings for his Market Rasen success but the hike is justified, as it was a lifetime best from one that's been transformed by the cheekpieces and he merits serious consideration today.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win GUSTAV KLIMT 7/1 (Ladbrokes, Coral, Boylesports)
Breeders Cup Mile

This one's day may have come at last. He's a frustrating sort who has run some crackers in the top company and steps back up in trip here after two excellent runs in the Haydock Sprint Cup and Prix de la Foret. He's versatile regarding the ground and given the race pans out without compromising his chance, he should give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 27 October 2018

2 pts win FANAAR 7/1 ( at least six firms)
1 pt win HOUSE OF KINGS  20/1 ( across the board)
Morris Coors Horris Hill Stakes

Two 'could be anythings' head the market leaving plenty of value elsewhere. The nursery Fanaar finished runner-up in now, with hindsight, looks like turning into a Group class level event. The winner following up in a Newmarket nursery but looking very smart, the third horse home also winning since and thought good enough to run in the Radley Stakes today. All in all, Fanaar should give a good account of himself here.

House of Kings is an interesting runner for Clive Cox. The form of his victory last time is working out well and though on overall form he has a bit to find, he looks to have plenty more to come and the yard is always to be respected.

H.O. Kings NR,  Fanaar Lost - 2 pts  

3 pts win DUKE OF NAVAN 14/1 (at least seven firms)
Randox Health H'cap Chase

Duke of Navan has been easy to back this morning but that should not deter as he is very useful and reliable, and though in the grips of the handicapper there is no reason why he should not run his race. He is closely matched with Bigmarte on from when they last met and will be have been sent down hear forward enough in condition to run his race.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 20 October 2018

3 pts win HAPPILY  10/1 ( at least this price with four firms - 12/1 with Ladrokes & exchanges)
Queen Elizabeth 11 Stakes

One mile on soft ground are the ideal conditions for this filly who looks to be coming to her very best and has a terrific chance of reversing the Newmarket form with Laurens. Roaring Lion has some niggly question marks hanging over him in the context of this event but creates plenty of value elsewhere, and despite it being a little off-putting that the blinds are back on, this one catches the eye at the odds available.

Non Runner

3 pts win CRYSTAL OCEAN   11/4 ( over three-quarters of all firms)
Quipco Champion Stakes

A thoroughly likeable character who won the Gordon Stakes in soft ground last year and is much prefered to the over-hyped Cracksman whose attitude has rightly been called into question. At 11/4 there is not much room for accepting negatives and there is indeed every reason to confidently expect Crystal Ocean to come out on top here.

Lost  - 3 pts

2 pts win RAISING SAND  6/1 (at least five firms)
1 pt win SHARJA BRIDGE 11/1 ( this price at least with four firms)
Balmoral Handicap

A three-time winner at this venue, Rising Sand looked in terrific heart when winning with plenty enough in hand last time out. This was on the back of an excellent run in the Cambridgeshire and there is every reason to expect another forward showing here.

Sharja Bridge also acquitted himself with credit in the Cambridgeshire. He is lightly raced but this distance appeals as the ideal trip for him and he is one to add to the portfolio.

S.Bridge Won  + 9 pts

Saturday, 13 October 2018

3 pts win MASSAM 12/1 (almost all firms)
Godolphin Autumn Stakes

On the face of it this colt appears more exposed than some of his rivals, taking until his fourth start to lose his maiden tag in a Newcastle nursery. He followed up in facile style in a Yarmouth nursery last time when having little to beat. Nevertheless, he was impressive and he looks to have got his act together. Many from his yard climb high from humble beginnings he is worth a go at double figure odds.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win STARS OVER THE SEA  28/1 ( at least seven firms)
1 pt win STANLEY 100/1 ( Betfred, Hills, Bet 365)
Dubai Cesarewitch Stakes

Stars Over The Sea slipped his field in the trial race for this here three weeks ago. To view it as a fluke may not be the right approach to take though as his yard are able to conjure up notable improvement from many of their acquisitions ( that was his fourth run for them) who look to have hit their ceiling, and on the facts, the performance on weights and measures was a career best and his 4 lb penalty still puts him 'well in' when set against his future hike.

Stanley, also by Sea The Stars, doesn't have too much mileage on the clock for a five-year-old. This will be the furthest he has raced but has been stepped up in trip for his last three starts with the form shown level with his best. Not ideally drawn but catches the eye at massive odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 12 October 2018

3 pts win UAE PRINCE  9/2 ( at least 14 firms)
Racebets Moneyback H'cap

Anyone on this rather frustrating animal in the Cambridgeshire must surely be interested in him again off the same mark in a race with much less depth. He ran a cracker to be fifth at Newmarket in a renewal that looked above standard and where the form should be advertised in the next few weeks. The drop back in trip will be fine for this one who travels well and will be racing close to the pace here.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win ANGEL'S HIDEAWAY  7/1 ( at least 9 firms)
1 pt win EMERALD APPROACH 66/1 ( at least 3 firms inc PPower and Bet 365)
Godolphin Oh So Sharp Stakes

Two one raced winners who could be anything head the market here and at the odds the value call is taking aboard Angel's Hideway who has a relatively exposed profile but is a proven Group winner who is indicating that the step up in trip will be to her benefit.

Emerald Approach has it all to do on form but hails from a shrewd set up who don't tilt at rainbows. She is priced up on the level of her form but needless to say is open to any amount of improvement and is clearly much better than what she has shown on weight and measures.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 7 October 2018

2 pts win KEW GARDENS 10/1 ( at least half a dozen firms)
1 pt win CLOTH OF STARS  28/1 ( at least eight firms)
Prix de l' Arc de Triomphe

If Crystal Ocean ran to his best at Kempton then Enable will have shown herself to be as good as ever. However, there are niggly doubts, particularly as she was the sidelines for so long and she could be worth taking on as she creates value elsewhere.

Kew Gardens won the Grand Prix de Paris here in the summer is fully effective in a true run race at this distance. He looks to be still progressing, is wholly reliable, and should be thereabouts.

Cloth of Stars was runner-up last year and this will be the first time since that he is back in the large field, full on pace, scenario which clearly suits him ideally. He will not be far away.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 6 October 2018

3 pts win LAUGH ALOUD  9/2 ( at least 14 firms)
Neptune Investment October Stakes

Has the beating of these on her best form and although she has run a few lengths of her best in all three starts this season, she ran her most encouraging race last time, going deeper into the race before succumbing. Her yard remains in cracking form, pointing to her giving an excellent account of herself here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 29 September 2018

3 pts win UAE PRINCE  17.5/1 (available on all exchanges)

This is an animal who has been hyped to a certain extent from the early stages of his career, always being included in lists of horses to follow, always about to do something big. It's never really happened but you just feel there is a big race in him and this could be his day. He often travels like a good horse in his races and a fast run race in a large field at this trip may just be the platform he needs to produce an absolute optimum performance. He's tried in pieces and will be spot on despite his absence since the Spring.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 22 September 2018

1.5 pts win ACES 14/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
1.5 pts win GOLDEN APOLLO 16/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
Ayr Gold Cup

Twice a winner in the mud when trained in France, Aces has won two of his four starts for Ian Williams. There is a lot more to work with and further overall improvement can be expected. He has the stamina to see this trip out better than most in these conditions and he is a must for any short list.

Golden Apollo is versatile regarding ground conditions, was not disgraced in the Portland last time and his yard has had a winner at this meeting with plenty of the others running well too.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 15 September 2018

3 pts win D'BAI  9/2 (over a dozen firms)
Alan Wood Park Stakes

Useful and generally consistent at this sort of level, with three of his five victories coming over this specialist trip, this gelding arrives here with as strong as claims of any of today's rivals. His stable continues to hold its forms well and there is every reason to believe he'll give an excellent account of himself here.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win KEW GARDENS  7/2 ( at least 4 firms inc Hills, Ladbrokes and Coral)
St Leger

Now stands at a fair and backable price. Genuinely good ground will not bother him and he has actually won in the soft, and not disgraced himself on his other two runs with give. His Voltigeur run was a traditional 'looking to Doncaster' performance and although he'd previously won the Grand Prix de Paris over twelve furlongs, this trip ideally suits him better as his stamina is assured.  Has more solid, proven credentials than Lah Ti Dah's visual in the listed Galtres.

Won +10.5 pts

Saturday, 8 September 2018

3 pts win RESHOUN  13/2 ( at least seven firms)
32 Red Casino H'cap

This one has ease in the ground for the first time since running out a convincing winner of a Doncaster handicap last October. He has cheek pieces on for the second time after being fitted with them when never getting into the race last time. He's been strong in the market this morning and is of interest off a 4 lb higher rating than the Donny win.

Won + 19.5 pts

Saturday, 1 September 2018

1.5 pts win MOUNTAIN ANGEL 9/1 ( at least seven firms)
1.5 pts win RESTORER 16/1  ( almost all firms)
Best Odds Guaranteed 188 H'cap

Mountain Angel is 2251 with the word 'soft' in the going description and there is evidence that the step up in trip may suit. The furthest he ran over was a furling short of today's trip at Newmarket last backend, where he ran a fine race to finish fifth in a contest that now looks very hot.

Restorer has soft ground winning form and is racing off a mark only 3 lb than his last victory at Chester in the spring. Very much comes into the equation here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 25 August 2018

3 pts win SENIORITY 6/1 ( at least fifteen firms)
Sky Bet and Symphony Group Strensall Stakes

Lord Glitters is becoming a tad frustrating for his followers but creates value elsewhere and Seniority may be capable of making the transition to Group company. He took his form to a new high when winning that fiercely competitive Goodwood handicap last time. The form received a boost yesterday and he should be a big player provided he adapts to what may be a moderately run event.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win SEA THE LION 16/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
1.5 pts win SAUNTER  18/1 ( almost all firms)
Sky Bet Ebor Handicap

This race has gone to older Irish runners four times in the past nine years and there is plenty to like about the chances of Sea The Lion. He is a hardy sort whose six career victories have all been by no more than half a length. On a roll at the moment and can cap an excellent week for his sire.

November Handicap winner Saunter got back on the winning trail last time and is one to be very much interested in. Although he races off a 10 lb higher mark than the Donny race his able trainer should be able to conjure up further progression out of him.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win BANDITRY 7/1 ( at least seven firms)
Sky Bet Handicap

This ones' C&D form from May is up in lights now after the exploits of Thundering Blue and Titus this week. He throws in some indifferent runs but all of his four wins on the level for his present yard have come at distances around todays and he appeals as a very likely winner of this.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 24 August 2018

2 pts win APPEARED  16/1 ( at least six firms)
1 pt win MUKHAYYAM 25/1 ( at least six firms)
Sky Bet H'cap

Appeared has been disappointing since finishing runner up in last season's Duke Of Edinburgh off the same mark he runs off today. He flattered to deceive when finishing fourth in the same race on his seasonal debut this year and keeps doing enough to make you think all is not lost. May not now be the most genuine of performers but on his best form he has strong claims and the odds are big enough to cover the negatives.

Mukhayyam has an excellent record at this venue. Will always be vulnerable to an improver but arrives here in good heart and it would be no surprise to see him run a big race.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win CRACK ON CRACK ON  5/1 ( at least four firms inc Victor and Bet365)
1 pt win MYSTIC FLIGHT 10/1 ( almost all firms)
Nationwide Accident Repair Services H'cap

Crack On Crack won't want to be getting too far off the pace on this track as they won't be coming back to him as quickly as at many other venues. However, if you are of the opinion that he is going to be a successful Group class horse then he has to be supported again off a 5 lb higher mark than last time.

This is Mystic Flight's first venture into handicap company but there are reasons to believe he has a chance off a mark of 95. The race conditions of the novice stake he finished second in last time meant his previous victories deemed that he was giving a stone away to the eventual winner who is now rated 89 himself after winning on his next outing.

Lost- 3 pts

Thursday, 23 August 2018

2 pts win SILVER LINE 20/1 ( at least this price with almost all firms)
1 pt win MYTHICAL MADNESS  50/1 ( at least fifteen firms)
Clipper Logistics Handicap

Silver Line ran a very encouraging race at Sandown on his first run back from a Meydan campaign. He then was buzzy when upped in trip at Goodwood, finishing well beaten in the end. Reverting back in trip he is worth another chance at the odds available to confirm the Sandown promise.

Mythical Madness catches the eye at massive odds. Admittedly he's been around for a while, is not getting any better and does no more than win in turn, but he's run some decent races lately and appeals as one who will outrun his odds.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win PREENING  13/2 ( with at least eight firms)
British Stallion Studs EBF Fillis H'cap

This one has performed credibly in two listed events since winning a Sandown handicap convincingly off a 14 lb lower rating that she runs off today. A keen sort, the step down in trip may bring about further improvement and there is every reason to believe she will give a really good account of herself here.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 22 August 2018

3 pts win TIS MARVELOUS 10/1 (at least five firms)
Sky Bet and Symphony Group Handicap

Was disappointing in the Stewards Cup after running a cracker in the Wokingham but returned to his best last time when winning a handicap back at Ascot. He races off a 5 lb higher rating here but you feel he has plenty more to offer and is worth taking on board here.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win SAXON WARRIOR 6/1 ( at least five firms)
Juddmonte International Stakes

Not going to be the supreme animal that is was hoped he would be but he is still a stonewall solid top class performer who may or may not have been compromised by the overall indifferent wellbeing of the horses in his yard. He faces Roaring Lion for the fifth time, there is very little between them, but he has to be the value call today and is sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 18 August 2018

3 pts win YAFTA 9/1 (almost all firms - 10's with two)
Ladyswood Stud Hungerford Stakes

A stonewall reliable colt who has progressed throughout the season to be worthy of his place in this sort of field, having won a G3 last time out. He stayed this trip well enough when narrowly failing to give weight plenty of weight away to the winner in a Newmarket handicap three outings back, while as regards the ground, his dam acted well on an easy surface. There is a worry about the combination of the two in relation to his stamina, but at the odds available there has to be at least one question mark. Hard to resist here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 4 August 2018

3 pts win BOY IN THE BAR 8/1 (at least nine firms)
Stewards Cup Consolation

The booking of  Ryan Moore takes a few points off the price but there are solid foundations for believing he is the one to beat. He is now racing off a rating lower than his last winning mark, has winning handicap form at this venue, and although never getting involved at York last time his overall recent form indicates he retains all of his ability.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win TIS MARVELOUS 10/1 ( at least half a dozen firms)
1.5 pts win GEORGE BOWEN 14/1 ( at least four firms inc Hills and PPower)
Stewards Cup

These two both ran cracking races in the Wokingham and have strong claims in this.

Tis Marvelous hasn't been seen since the Ascot race. He finished fourth, a length off the winner and though 2 lb higher in the ratings today he is relatively lightly raced for a four year old racing in spring handicaps and is almost certainly not at his ceiling yet.

George Bowen was a head behind Tis Marvelous. He is an improved performer this year and there may be more left from him as a regular handful of these sprinters seem able to take their level of form to a new height when most have passed their peak. After Ascot he went on and won convincingly at Hamilton. Not one rule out lightly.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 2 August 2018

3 pts win SHADY McCOY 22/1 ( at least nine firms, 25/1 with three)
Golden Mile H'cap

This one ran a meritable race at Ascot on Saturday, finishing second in the group racing on the far side, after being settled out at the back. He clearly remains in excellent heart and given the rub of the green you require to win this, he could figure and catches the eye at the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win HEARTACHE 14/1 ( almost all firms, 16/1 with two)
King George Qatar Stakes

Last year's Queen Mary and Flying Childer winner, she showed enough when seventh in the Commonwealth Cup last time to indicate that she has trained on. The drop back to the minimum trip should be ideal and she could surprise some of the better fancied contenders.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 1 August 2018

2 pts win AL JELLABY 5/1 (at least nine firms)
1 pt win COMPLETION 11/1 ( at least eight firms)
Matchbook Best Value Exchange H'cap

Al Jellaby's ran two crackers on both starts this season and appeals as one who will be suited by the step up in trip. His yard is in healthy shape right now and he is very much the one to beat here.

The value of Completions runner-up finish to Crack On Crack On at Haydock was given a boost at the weekend and he can bounce back to form after finishing well beaten in the Britannia.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win KONCHEK  5/1 ( at least eight firms)
Qatar Richmond Stakes

Clive Cox has a massive chance of taking this event as well. This ones's effort in the July Stakes was a  further improvement on his good Royal Ascot run. Dunkerron went and highlighted the quality of the Newmarket race yesterday and Konchek will take all the beating here.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 31 July 2018

3 pts win COOL SKY 14/1 (at least ten firms)
Matchbook Betting Goodwood H'cap

Down the years this has been a frustrating race to try to get to grips with but one where you cannot help get involved. Cool Sky is 5 lb higher in the ratings when successful in the race last year. He's won twice over hurdles since and his run at Newcastle in the Plate consolation race was his first back on the level. He was beaten a long way but he's from one of the shrewdest operations around and a return to his best would surprise nobody.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win GUSTAV KLIMT 15/2 ( at least eight firms)
Qatar Sussex Stakes

Has developed into a consistent high-class miler who has a big one in him if the cards fall right. Just lacks that bit of extra toe at crucial stages in his races but appears to be taking his racing well and only has half a length to make up on Without Parole from Ascot. No stable companion pacemakers for him but no doubt there is a plan and he is the value call here.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 30 July 2018

1.5 pts win DARK RED 8/1 ( at least ten firms)
1.5 pts win SILVER LINE 9/1 ( at least half a dozen firms)
Matchbook Betting Exchange H'cap

Dark Red races off a 10 lb higher rating than when passing the post first in this last year. However, he is capable of winning off this sort of mark as demonstrated by his cracking efforts in the Balmoral last backend, and his most recent runner-up finish at Newcastle.

Silver Line caught the eye when finishing in pleasing style at Sandown last time. That was his first run since being campaigned at the Meydan meeting and there is still plenty to find out about this one time useful juvenile who looks set for a good second half to the season in valuable handicaps.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win IDAHO  10/1 ( at least five firms inc Hills and Bet 365)
Qatar Goodwood Cup

Although plenty from the yard have been running some way below expectations recently, this one is far too big to ignore here and his best pieces of form make him a match for any of his opponents in this. True, it is worrying that he's been below his best on three of his four starts this year and there is the concern that he may be falling out of love with the game, but maybe it will all click back into place trying this sort of trip and he is a fascinating contender.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 28 July 2018

3 pts win CRACK ON CRACK ON 15/2 ( at least three firms inc PPower & Betfair Sportsbook)
Porsche H'cap

This one remains very much a potential Group class animal. He took a valuable Haydock Park handicap with a bit to spare then never got the rub of the green when starting favourite for the Brittania, missing the break, being hampered and fighting a losing battle from then on. That run can be overlooked and he should give an excellent account of himself today.

Won + 22.5 pts

2 pts win SHADY McCOY  12/1 (almost all firms)
1 pt win ARBALET  35/1 ( Betfair Exchange)

Shady McCoy arrives here in much better heart than he was before finishing a creditable eighth in the race last year when a 50/1 shot. He was narrowly beaten in the Bunbury Cup a couple of weeks back, and racing off the same rating today he must be on any short list.

Arbalet has his first venture in handicap company. He ran way above what was expected when fifth in the Jersey last time and today will tell whether or not he's harshly treated here off a 104 rating. Worth a speculative bet at the odds available and could surprise providing there are no hiccups in the stalls

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 21 July 2018

2 pts win MORE BUCKS 15/2 ( almost all firms)
1 pt win DAYS OF HEAVEN 16/1 ( or bigger - at least eight firms)
Summer Plate H'cap Chase

The move to Peter Bowen's yard might have just done the trick for this one. Admittedly this is more competitive than the Perth race he won last time, a victory not entirely conclusive evidence that he's been revitalised, but his new yard have a well documented record of getting horses going on a roll and he is worth a go here. He races off a 6 lb higher rating but it's still 8 lb lower than the peak one he raced off for Paul Nicholls.

Days of Heaven has not gone on to be the horse that he promised to be in his novice hurdle days but the fact he remains at Seven Barrows indicates that there is something for them to get to the bottom of. A frustrating individual but is ideally suited by good ground and could surprise.

More Bucks Won + 14 pts

Saturday, 14 July 2018

1.5 pts win US NAVY FLAG 13/2 ( at least half a dozen firms)
1.5 pts win LIMATO 9/1 ( at least half a dozen firms)
Darley July Cup

US Navy Flag has trained on well from two to three and fits into that profile of many winners of this event, a class act who is best at this sort of trip but has been running over trips that have been stretching his stamina and not allowing him to run to his absolute optimum.

2016 winner Limato returns to this trip for the first time since finishing runner-up in this last year. As in the past, the experiment in stepping him up to a mile has not worked and he can be expected to return to something close to his very best here today.

US Navy Flag Won  + 8 pts

3 pts win FIRST CONTACT  13/2  ( over a dozen firms)
Bet365 Mile Handicap

Ran a meritable race when finishing eleventh in the Britannia, not getting the rub of the green and value for a better than the finishing position indicates. He arrived at Ascot on the back of a facile maiden success at Doncaster, clearly has plenty more to offer, and off the same rating he ran off at Ascot in a less competitive race, is sure to give a very good account of himself.

Won  + 19.5 pts

Friday, 6 July 2018

3 pts win PREENING 6/1 ( at least 3 firms inc Hills)
Coral Distaff

Hailing from a yard whose animals are in good heart at the moment, Preening won a handicap over this course and distance in the style of a filly rapidly on the upgrade, showing she is in her element on fast ground. The bare form gives her a few lengths to find but it will be surprising if she is not a good deal better than the pounds and lengths the performance amounts to and can take this listed event before moving on to even better things, and the 6/1 available now is worth taking.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win ACROSS THE STARS 13/1 (Betfair Ex)
Old Newton Cup

Has not won since taking the 2016 Kind Edward when with Michael Stoute and while in light of that effort and his subsequent excellent run when third in the Great Voltigeur ( on fast ground), he retains enough ability to be competitive in this sort of event. His third at Epsom is better than it looked on the day - with hindsight the easy winner was unbeatable off his handicap mark - and it followed on from a good run at York. Unless Atty Perse has progressed into a genuine Group 2/3 horse, he has a live chance and should run really well at double figure odds.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 30 June 2018

3 pts win YAFTA 13/2 ( at least three firms inc Ladbrokes and Coral)
Chipchase Stakes

Has run in three Newmarket handicaps. After a promising seasonal reappearance, he won on his second outing giving the impression there would be plenty more to come. Then, off a 7 lb higher rating, he was narrowly beaten when conceding plenty of weight to the winner. That was when stepping up to seven furlongs and he does have an entry in the Lennox at Goodwood, but there is every reason to believe this likable progressive type will eventually prove just as effective over this trip. Having won on an AW surface last Autumn, he has excellent prospects of making the transition to Group races a successful one.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 23 June 2018

3 pts win VAN BEETHOVEN  8/1 ( at least eight firms)
Windsor Castle Stakes

Split two stable companions in the Marble Arch who have gone on and given the form a big boost this week. Ridden with restraint that day, she drops back in trip which did not visually appear the requirement after that race. However, this contests contains numerous last time out winners who made all or race on the pace thus it could produce a scenario that ideally fits this colt.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts win TIS MARVELOUS 20/1 ( at least seven firms)
1.5 pts win GEORGE BOWEN 33/1 ( at least eight firms)
Wokingham Stakes

2016 Prix Robert Papin winner was found wanting at the top level last year. He's since been gelded and after two races in Meydan made his reappearance in this country when finishing a close up fifth in a competitive Newmarket handicap. That indicates he can be competitive off today's rating and he is one to take aboard.

George Bowen destroyed his field at York but was narrowly beaten when attempting to follow up under a penalty at Goodwood when the ground was on the soft side. He is now off a further 5 lb higher rating and weights and measures thinking suggests he is held by the handicapper. However, he is back on fast ground today, as it was at York, and animals with his sort of previously considered exposed profile, win their fair share of these events.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 22 June 2018

3 pts win RAA ATOLL  5/1 (at least seven firms)
King Edward V11 Stakes

A typical fascinating renewal of this with promising unexposed sorts meeting those stepping down from the top grade. Raa Atoll, from the first category, has in the region of a stone to find on official ratings but this highly promising Sea The Stars colt could be anything and it goes without saying that he is not from a yard that over faces its animals and it will be surprising if he doesn't give a very good account of himself today.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win PERFECTION 16/1 (at least seven firms)
1 pt win ORTIZ 80/1 ( at least ten firms)
Sandringham Stakes

Perfection had the blinds on when winning an ordinary Newmarket maiden and now has pieces on. She's no superstar but has been rated accordingly by the handicapper and considering that the Cheverley Park Stud operation have a well-documented history of breeding fillies that progress by huge amounts during their careers, she may have come on enough to be on a winning mark here.

Ortiz is difficult to weigh up. Has had three AW starts since her racecourse debut but shaped well enough in a race not run to suit when last seen at the end of April. She hails from a shrewd set up and appeals as one who will outrun her price.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 21 June 2018

3 pts win PERFECT CLARITY 10/1 (almost all firms)
Ribblesdale Stakes

This one was markedly inconvenienced by the ground in the Oaks and the run is best forgotten. She went into that race unexposed looking one that could not be ruled out. The form of her Lingfield Oaks Trial win will probably look respectable at the end of the year, the runner-up is well thought of but hasn't been seen since, while the third home Flattering, also a runner in the Oaks, has since won a G3. Well worth another chance here and is the value call.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win CRACK ON CRACK ON 15/2 ( at least eight firms at this price or bigger)
1 pt win BOND STREET 16/1 (at least 4 firms inc Coral and Bet 365-16.5/1ex's)
Britannia Stakes

The highly progressive Crack On Crack On is 7 lb higher in the ratings than when winning a valuable Haydock handicap in the style of an animal who has plenty more to offer. It would be no surprise if he was soon plying his trade in Group races and he must be in any portfolio for this.

Even though this will be his eleventh start, Bond Street has stepped up in level of performance on his recent starts. He is clearly at home on fast ground, his yard won this three years back, and is very much one to consider here.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 20 June 2018

3 pts win SHADES OF BLUE 9/2 (at least a dozen firms)
Queen Mary Stakes

Won a maiden here in the style of a classy filly in her only race so far. The strength of the form has been given a massive boost by the second, who looks a very smart filly in her own right, and the third (who reopposes today), who likewise won in the style of a quality sort next time. Shades of Blue gave the impression that she would come on notably for the run and she looks certain to go close here.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win BLESS HIM 16/1 (almost all firms)
Royal Hunt Cup

Won the Britannia here last year and will be racing on the same side of the course today. He was well beaten in soft ground on his seasonal debut but that race means nothing in the context of this which has clearly been his long term target. Plenty to like about his chance.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win COULD IT BE LOVE   9/2 ( at least 14 firms)
1 pt win ARBALET  50/1 ( almost all firms)
Jersey Stakes

Could It Be Love ran a cracker when seemingly not fancied in the Irish 1,000 Guineas. She appeals likely to be in her element stepping back a furlong and like many from this yard who take their racing well, she could be on a sudden upward curve.

Arbalet catches the eye at big odds. He acquitted himself well when highly tried as a juvenile, notable when third behind Masar and Romanised in the Solario. He's had the wind op and won on his second start since last time, winning easily when having little to beat. Potential surprise material.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 19 June 2018

3 pts win TIP TWO WIN 11/2 ( at least a dozen firms, 6's with Ladbrokes)
St James Palace Stakes

As has been observed by many, it's only that this one hails from an unfashionable set up that prevents him from heading the betting here. There was nothing flukey whatsoever about his stonewall solid 2,000 Guineas performance, nor, despite him not having a scopey physique, is there a feeling that run would be the summit point of his career. If anything, he appeals as one who can be trusted to repeat this level of form and looks certain to give an excellent account of himself here.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win YUCATAN 8/1 (over a dozen firms)
1 pt win CHAIN OF DAISIES  22/1 ( PPower, Victor, and all Exchanges)
Wolferton Stakes

Yucatan has long promised to step up a level and turn into a G1 performer, but it hasn't happened yet and probably won't in Europe at least. After an excellent run in the Derrinstown last season, he encountered a setback and off the track for the rest of the year. Following a decent run on his second start he blew out over a trip too far on soft ground in the Coronation Cup. Nonetheless, his best form is good enough for him to figure in the shake up today, and the combination of quick ground, 1m 2f, and cheekpieces may just conjure up an optimum performance from him.

There are signs that Henry Candy's yard may just be about to hit a fruitful run and Chain of Daisies is likely to have come on a good deal from her seasonal debut in the Middleton. She is a reliable character with some cracking pieces of form under her belt and if things go her way at the head of the field she could take some pegging back.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 16 June 2018

3 pts win SILVER LINE 8/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
Randox Health H'cap

A speedy two year old placed in the Norfolk in 2016, this one was on the sidelines for the whole of 2017 and reappeared at Meydan, running in four races over there, the best performance coming when a running on fifth to Oh This Is Us over a furlong less than today's trip. Off the track for over three months he has a very useful claimer on board and could be good enough to defy top weight in a race were nothing appears thrown in.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 9 June 2018

2 pts win CAVATINA 7/1 (at least a dozen firms)
1 pt win GRAND KOONTA 14/1 ( at least six firms)
Animal Health Trust H'cap

Cavatina built on her good York run by winning at Leicester in the style of a filly who will win again soon. She races off a 9 lb higher rating today but was value for more than the official margin and is bang in this, even though it is on the face of it more competitive.

After losing his maiden tag in the style of a useful sort, Grand Koonta was found wanting when highly tried on his final two starts as a juvenile. He ran far better than his final position indicates on his reappearance at Goodwood, appeals as one who will be winning more races this season, and is one to consider here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 2 June 2018

3 pts win DANCE DIVA 11/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
Princess Elizabeth Stakes

This filly is ideally suited by some ease in the ground which she gets today. Readily outpointed by the Lowther winner on fast ground last time, she has shown that she has trained on well and hails from a yard in full flow at the moment. There is no single opponent to be over scared of here, and she should give a good account of herself.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win RESHOUN  13/2 ( at least 4 firms including Hills)
1 pt win ACROSS THE STARS 9/1 ( at least 5 firms inc Victor and Bet365)
Investec Out of the Ordinary Handicap

Reshoun shaped well on his seasonal debut and has similar ground today on which he created a most favourable impression when winning a Doncaster handicap last backend off an 8 lb lower rating. Impossible to leave out of any portfolio for this race.

Across The Stars races off a 3 lb higher mark on the back of an excellent run at York last time. Has taken on a new profile compared with the days when he was with the Stoute yard but has a couple of these quite valuable handicaps in him judged by that run last time.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win ACES  15/2 ( this price or bigger with at least five firms)
Investec Asset Management Handicap

Has his second run for Ian Williams since being acquired from John Hammond's yard and is a very interesting contender here. He ran well enough on his debut run for his new yard at Ascot when not fancied and while his French form his hard to weigh up in the context of this event, William's placing of his animals gives encouragement that he will be a big player in this.

Won  + 22.5pts

Thursday, 31 May 2018

2 pts win MAGIC WAND  9/2 ( at least this price with all firms)
1 pt win PERFECT CLARITY 7/1 ( with a least over half a dozen firms)
Investec Oaks

Magic Wand looked a conceivable winner of this when never looking in much danger in the Cheshire Oaks. Her stable companion runner up went into everyone's notebook that day but you'd expect the form to be confirmed. Magic Wand's improved performance came on better ground but that may just be incidental as most of her dam's progeny have gone in the soft.

Perfect Clarity beat a hyped up, albeit useful Ralph Becket filly in the Lingfield Oaks Trial.  Again, that came on fast ground but her pedigree indicates she will act on the ground and she has prospects of giving her progressive yard a classic success.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 26 May 2018

3 pts win COMPLETION  7/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
Amix Silver Bowl H'cap

A double figure draw has been no bar to winning this in the past and provided he gets the rub of the green, this one looks a likely type to take this. He put up an improved performance on his first turf start when winning a handicap at Redcar earlier this month. The form now looks much better than it did at the time with the runner up winning on his next start then going on to finish second in a valuable Newbury handicap last weekend. Confidence is increased by the excellent current well being of the yard's horses.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 19 May 2018

2 pts win YAFTA 9/2 ( at least three quarters of all firms)
1 pt win CHAGATAI  14/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
Betway Handicap

These two both ran in the same Newmarket handicap won by Tribal Quest, a race in which the form should work out well over the next few weeks.Yafta finished runner-up, and races off a 4 lb higher rating today but appeals as one who will end the season better than a handicapper, even though he holds no fancy entries at the moment. Chagatai did not help his chance by taking a tug and has a hood fitted today. Clearly much better than what he showed and remains interesting in this sort of event.

Yafta Won + 8 pts

Saturday, 12 May 2018

3 pts win SILVER STREAK 7/1 ( over a dozen firms)
Pertemps Swinton Hurdle

Looked like an animal on a rapid upward curve when winning a handicap at Chepstow in October, then followed up by finishing runner up in a fiercely competitive handicap at Ascot in December off a rating just 2 lb lower than he runs off today. The two runs since can be ignored and he lines up here relatively fresh, appealing as the likely winner of this.

Won + 21 pts

Sunday, 6 May 2018

3 pts win RESHOUN 12/1 ( over a dozen firms)
Qatar Racing H'cap

This one appealed as one who would pay to follow blindly this season when taking a Doncaster handicap in visually commanding style last backend. That was on ground on the easy side but he did win on fast ground in the French provinces so the improvement may have been just incidental. The performance put him in the picture for the November Handicap but he never took his place in the line up, the race eventually falling to a stable companion in the same colours. His fitness is albeit taken on trust here but he's too tempting to resist.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win LIQUID AMBER 12.5/1 (Betfair Ex and Betdaq Ex)
Quipco 1,000 GNS

Won a G3 at the Curragh last August in the style of a top class performer, easily disposing of A P O'Brien and Bolger animals. The filly that followed her home, while not anywhere near the top of the Ballydoyle pecking order, was however lining up on the back of a Listed race success. Of the runners in today's field, Liquid Amber is one of just a few those potential ceiling cannot be measured. She already has smart form but could be out of the top tier and is worth taking aboard at the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 5 May 2018

3 pts win GULF OF POETS  15/2 ( at least a dozen firms)
Totesport Hunt Cup

This one has never been in better form and his victory at Haydock last time strongly suggested there was more to come. A few useful sorts followed him immediately home, with the runner-up sure to go on and win a decent handicap or two himself. Gulf of Poets races off a 7lb higher rating today but he had plenty in hand at Haydock and is sure to give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win EXPERT EYE 12/1 ( at least six firms)
Qipco 2,000 GNS

Created a massive impression when winning the Vintage at Goodwood last season, stamping himself as a conceivable winner of this. He blew out in the Dewhurst, a run too bad to be true and he had clearly gone for the season by then, but shaped pleasingly in the Greenham when clearly in need of the outing. Michael Stoute will have him absolutely spot on today and it will be disappointing if he doesn't figure in a big way, though it is a little worrying that there is not much market confidence behind him so far this morning.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 28 April 2018

2 pts win ROCK THE CASBAH 12/1 ( at least five firms inc Ladbrokes and Victor)
1pt win BAND OF BLOOD 49/1 (Betfair Ex)
Bet 365 Gold Cup

Phillip Hobbs's horses have been running fairly well in the past few weeks after an overall quiet season and this one can get in the mix here. He finished a never nearer sixth in this race last year after not having the best journey through the race. He is effective ridden more prominently as when winning at Chepstow earlier this season. That victory means he races off a higher rating than last year but has plenty of miles left on the clock and should give an excellent account of himself.

Band Of Blood looked in terrific heart when winning at Exeter and Doncaster earlier this year after a very long lay off. he has disappointed in his two outings since but has had a Wind Op in the interim period and could be surprise material.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 21 April 2018

3 pts win HENRI PARRY MORGAN  25/1 ( Generally available)
Scottish Grand National

Two years have passed since this one arrived at Aintree for the big staying novice chase on the back of two facile successes in handicaps, and there was no fluke in him splitting Native River and Blaklion on that. Unfortunately he hasn't gone on from there. An overall disappointing 16/17 with a poor run in this event, and some poor runs this season at a time when he needed a return to something near his best for his rating to get high enough to get in the Grand National. Then, three weeks ago  they stuck blinkers on him at Ffos Los ( had tried a visor once before) and the response was a pleasing success in what was a good handicap. On weights and measures he has claims here and is worth chancing at the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 14 April 2018

3 pts win GOLAN FORTUNE 14/1 ( almost all firms)
Gaskell's Handicap Hurdle

Put up a very solid effort when narrowly beaten by Topofthegame at Sandown in February, quickening up to challenge before being denied. That was on the back of two victories and after Sandown he appealed as one who would continue to progress. He was then slightly below form when reappearing two weeks later in a Graded event at Haydock. He missed Cheltenham, will be fresher than most and off a 4 lb higher rating than his Sandown run, and with the ground in his favour, has plenty going for him.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win GAS LINE BOY 29/1 (Betfair Exchange)
1.5 pts win PLEASANT COMPANY 41/1 (Betfair Exchange)
Randox Health Grand National

Gas Line Boy is not always foot perfect but got around here in this last year to finish an excellent fifth. He won the Grand Sefton in similar testing ground to today's back in December and looks the type that will be ideal for the combination of a marathon trip on heavy ground - in fact, he appeals as one who will keep going forever. Lacks that touch of quality of some of his rivals but this will be a real slog today that could play into his hands.

Pleasant Company is another who ran a cracker in this last year. finishing ninth after nearly coming down at second Valentines when bang in contention. He had previously won at Fairyhouse in heavy ground with a few of today's rivals behind him, and looking further back won a sixteen runner competive handicap at Punchestown in April 2016. He's been below form in his two outings this season but has plenty of pluses in the context of today's race and could be worth taking aboard.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 13 April 2018

2 pts win LANDIN 12/1 (at least eight firms)
1 pt win JESTERS JET 25/1( 3 firms inc PPower and Victor)
Alder Hey Children's Charity Hurdle

Landin is in great heart at the moment and decisively beat a very useful and reliable yardstick last time out. The testing conditions are ideal for him and he appeals as a likely winner of this event.

Jester's Jet hails from a yard that is on a notable upward curve. The horses are also in excellent form at the moment so everything is worth a second look. The combination of ground, trip and fast pace should be ideal for this one who should give a good account of himself.

Jester's Jet Won  + 23 pts

3 pts win MS PARFOIS 6/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
Mildmay Novices Chase

This is one of the most likeable mares in training and ran a gallant race when narrowly touched off in the National Hunt Chase at Cheltenham. She is no slow coach however, is still progressing and can turn around the Kempton form with Black Corton who was a shade disappointing in the Sun Alliance.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win TOP GAMBLE 12/1 ( at least eleven firms)
1.5 pts win BALLYALTON  14/1 ( at least six firms)
Randox Health Topham

Top Gamble has some smart pieces of form in the book and arrives here on the back of a cracking run in the Grand Annual. The yard's other runner in that event came out and ran well here yesterday and this one looks a very likely type for this, being a safe conveyance nowadays and one who should handle the fences without a problem.

Ballyalton has not been the horse he promised to be when finishing runner up to Faugheen in the Neptune. His career has been shackled by setbacks and long absences but in the context of this event, he is is a mightly interesting contender and ran a pleasing race at Cheltenham last time.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 12 April 2018

3 pts win RENE'S GIRL 6/1 ( at least four firms inc PPower and Victor)
Big Buck's Celebration Manifesto Novices Chase

Niggly doubts exist over a few of these and in receipt of the sex allowance, Rene's Girl could take some passing. She is in great heart at the moment, has a terrific attitude to the job, and the level of the form displayed at Huntingdon last time is better than it looks at first instance - the runner up being a very useful mare in her own right.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win DEFINITLY RED  9/1 (Betfair Ex)
Bowl Chase

Clearly did not show his true form at Cheltenham and was never going particularly well from a very early stage. It's a guessing game whether he'll be back on song here but it's more likely than not he will, and there is no knowing if the Cheltenham race has taken the edge off Might Bite. Makes plenty of overall appeal here.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win BALNASLOW  5/1 ( almost all firms)
Randox Health Foxhunters

Most of this one's notable runs have been on Spring ground but his run in the Thystes a few seasons back is on weights and measures arguably his best piece of form and was in soft ground. He ran a cracker to finish runner up in this last year and followed up by winning at Punchestown over a longer trip. Like last season he arrives on the back of a fairish run in the Cheltenham Foxhunters, has an experienced and highly competent rider aboard, and must surely go close today with the ground bringing his stamina into play

Won + 15 pts

1.5 pts win TOMMY SILVER 9/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
1.5 pts win GINO TRAIL 14/1  (Betfair Ex)
Red Rum H'cap Chase

Tommy Silver looks to have been laid out for this.With only four runs over fences he is hard to weight up but his form in the Wayward Lad was decent despite finishing last of the three finishers. Needless to say there is a hell of a lot more to come from him and novices have an excellent record in this.

Gino Trail has the opposite profile but is better than ever despite in the veteran stages of his career and has relatively few miles on the clock, his career being interrupted by several long spells on the sidelines. Would not want the ground to dry out any further but it'll be easier underfoot than last year when he finished sixth and a bold showing is expected.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 7 April 2018

3 pts win REVEREND CRUST 10/1 ( at least eight firms)
Totescoop H'cap Hdle

Hails from a permit holder set up that have caught the attention for their exploits with Irish Roe. Reverend Crust is in good heart at the moment and is ideally suited by the testing conditions that he will face today. Unless Taxmeifyoucan proves to be a good deal much better than his present mark, then there is nothing to be too much scared of and he is the value call in this.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win DONNAS DIAMOND 4/1 ( almost all firms)
Edinburgh Gin H'cap Hdle

Even giving weight away all round, this one will take an awful lot of beating here. He hugely impressed with his attitude when winning the Rendlesham in similar testing conditions at Haydock. This came on the back of winning a handicap in similar conditions at the same venue by a wide margin. He races off a considerably higher rating today but would certainly have won that event off today's mark and there is nothing not to like about him.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 2 April 2018

2 pts win BELLSHILL 12/1( at least eight firms)
1 pt win ISLEOFHOPENDREAMS 23/1 (Betfair Ex)
Irish Grand National

Bellshill has a real touch of quality about him. Third behind Might Bite in last season's Sun Alliance, he was off the track until making a winning reappearance in a graded event here in February where he looked as good as ever. He acts in testing conditions and will be a big threat to all if his stamina lasts out.

Isleofhopeandreams does not fit the profile for a winner of this age wise but does not have many miles on the clock for an 11-year-old. Clearly hard to keep sound, he was only having his third race over fences in a valuable Punchestown handicap when coming through travelling well from the rear to hit the front only to be denied by Folsom Blue's renewed challenge. A typical Fleminsfirth who goes well in the mud, there might be just a little more to come from him.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 31 March 2018

3 pts win SHUHOOD 14/1 ( almost all firms)
Totesport Royal Mile H'cap

As with many from his yard, this former Richard Hannon inmate is worth keeping an eye on. He shaped really well on the AW on his second start for Ian Williams a couple of weeks back and has prospects of reversing the form with the winner Book of Dreams. His sole win came with ease in the ground though admittedly he won't have encountered the ground as soft as will be today. Nevertheless, he is appealing at the odds available as it would be no surprise if he won this.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 24 March 2018

2 pts win LORD GLITTERS 11/2 ( at least six firms)
1 pt win DOLPHIN VISTA  25/1 (Betfair Ex)

There is only a 10 lb spread across the field and Lord Glitters is priced up about right as he is a classy sort with a striking turn of foot and one that his yard has yet to get to the bottom of, having had only three runs since arriving from France. The ground is no problem and he is sure to give an excellent account of himself.

Cambridgeshire winner Dolphin Vista was last seen when making his debut over hurdles at Fakenham in January. He finished fifth in this last year when with the Richard Fahey yard, is now a few pounds higher in the ratings owing to his Newmarket victory and perhaps vulnerable to an improver, but still must be considered and catches the eye at the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 17 March 2018

2 pts win HAINAN 14/1 (almost all firms)
1 pt win BILLY BRONCHO 24/1 (Betfair Ex)
Midlands Grand National

Hailing from one of the most effective yards in these marathon events and one in fairish form at the moment, Hainan in hindsight forced the issue a little early in the Eider and compromised his chance. He goes in the mud, gives the impression he will plod on forever, and the fact that he has disappointed on both chase runs at this venue is probably just incidental.

Billy Broncho has had only three outings over fences but already has the profile of one who will be in his element over these sort of trips in testing conditions. His owners have a handful of nice progressive types in the yard and while this one is some way down the pecking order, there will be plenty to come from him and he could surprise today.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 15 March 2018

3 pts win REDICEAN 6/1 (P Power, Betfair Sportsbook, and all Exchanges)
JCB Triumph Hurdle

Although he's trained the winners of this event twice and is consistently strongly represented in the juvenile division, it's surprising that eleven years have now elapsed since Alan King last took this event. Redicean has done nothing wrong so far in his hurdling career, winning all three starts in the style of a prospective winner of this event. On all starts he travelled well and showed a smart change of gear. He is proven in the soft and it will be surprising if he doesn't go close to winning this.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win POETIC RHYTHM  14/1 ( at least six firms)
1.5 pts win BALLYWARD 22/1 ( P Power, Betfair Sportsbook and all Exchanges)
Albert Bartlett

Poetic Rhythm has took his time to get to this level but showed great resolution to win the Challow last time and is very much in the reckoning for this. A typical likeable Flemensfirth, he has not been tried at this trip over hurdles but won a point to point over it two years back and if anything the extra distance should suit.

Ballyward is by the same sire but has less racing under his belt. His win at Naas last time was not advertised by the runner-up  As You Were the other day, but he has to be of interest, as the Wylie owned runners here are rarely pitted out of their depth.He's another who has not tried this trip under rules but was runner-up over it on his only point to point start.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win DEFINITLY RED 12/1 ( at least seven firms)
Timico Cheltenham Gold Cup

Definitly Red looked the real deal last time out, arrives here at the highest point of his career, and has great prospects of taking the Blue Riband for the North for the first time since Jodami twenty five years ago. He races prominently, travels well, acts in testing conditions and the level of his form in the Cotswold last time is good enough to take some past runnings of this.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win NORTH HILL HARVEY 9/1 ( at least seven firms)
Johnny Henderson Grand Annual

A mighty interesting runner in this. He had looked for most of the season to be set to run in the Arkle - he won twice here on his first two starts over fences in the style of a highly promising novice but was then beaten by Sceau Royal in the Henry V111,  and disappointed behind Saint Calvados at Warwick. In light of Footpad's victory the best he could have hoped for was place money on Tuesday but he has a serious chance of taking this. Though making mistakes last time he has jumped safely in the past and clearly likes this venue where he also won the Greatwood over hurdles.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win SHATTERED LOVE 11/2 ( 3 firms and all exchanges)
JLT Novices Chase

This front-running mare has taken well to fences and should fare a lot better than when fancied for the Neptune here last year. The combination of this testing ground and mid-range trip should be absolutely ideal - she is versatile enough to have won over the minimum and was not stopping when successful over 3m last time. Her level of form is already good enough for her to play a big role in this, and taking into account that her ceiling will be higher still, she looks sure to give an excellent account of herself.

Won + 16.5 pts

1.5 pts win THOMAS CAMPBELL 25/1 ( at least ten firms)
1.5 pts win SYKES  39/1 (Betfair Exchange)
Pertemps Final

At first instance, Thomas Campbell appears to have it all to do off top weight in this ground but there are reasons to make him one to consider.  In the Martin Pipe here last year, then again in the 2m 4f H'cap at the big Aintree meeting, he never quite got the rub of the green and left the impression that this sort of trip would suit him better in these sort of events. He began the season winning twice over 3m at this venue, on the second occasion in soft ground. Since then he has been twice unplaced in the Long Walk and Cleeve. He returns to handicap company 7lb higher in the ratings than his last victory here and has the blinds thrown on too. Far better chance than his price indicates.

Sykes has shown improved form since returning from Philip Hobbs yard to the set up that had him in his pt to pt days. He was 33/1 when caught in the closing stages here back in December and had a few behind who reoppose today. He ran another excellent race in a similar event at Warwick last time and off a 3lb higher mark appeals as the type to outrun his odds. Not out of it.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win SAM SPINNER  100/30 ( at least seven firms)
Stayers Hurdle

A tremendously likeable individual who races with great enthusiasm and whose performance in the Long Walk stamps him as the best around in this division. Has not run at this venue before but handles all sorts of tracks, the undulations at Chepstow, sharp aspects such as the hurdle track at Haydock, and there is nothing in this configuration for him to fear. The Haydock win confirms that extreme testing underfoot conditions are no problem for him and there can be no excuses if he fails to deliver again today.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win SQUOUATOUR 6/1 ( at least eight firms)
1 pt win THE YOUNG MASTER  20/1 (Betfair Ex)
Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir

Squoatour has clearly been laid out for this and can be more fortunate this time than last year when he unseated his rider three out when getting involved in the race. He ran a blinder in a very valuable handicap at Leopardstown over Christmas to finish third, a run which split two unplaced efforts over trips on the short side of ideal for him. Has won twice in the mud, has one of the best amateurs aboard, and has claims that are impossible to ignore.

The Young Master on the face of it has dropped to a level some way off that he was at a couple of seasons back.  That however is taken into account in that he is in the region of a stone lower in the ratings than when at his peak and considering this is his first run after a wind op, he warrants a second look. Today's rider was aboard when he won the old Whitbread and while his best chase form is on better ground he did win twice in heavy over hurdles

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 14 March 2018

3 pts win PRESENTING PERCY 5/2 ( almost everywhere)
RSA Novices Chase

Despite connections sounding cautious over the ground, this likeable sort was not flattered when running Our Duke to a length in similar testing conditions at Gowran Park last time where he had three good class sorts well beaten off behind. Winner of the Pertempts Final here last year, Presenting Percy has taken well to fences and can take this on the way to putting himself in the 2019 Gold Cup picture. Of all those at backable prices at the meeting, he is arguably the best bet out the lot.

Won + 7.5 pts

1.5 pts win MOUNT MEWS 13.5/1 (Betfair Exchange)
1.5 pts win TOPOFTHEGAME  13/1 (Betfair Exchange)
Coral Cup

Mount Mews returns to hurdles after a just about acceptable start to his chasing career which he will surely do well in next season. His hurdle form does however make him interesting here, such as his defeat of Sam Spinner at Kelso in December 2016, and his runner up finish in a Grade 1 novice hurdle at Aintree last Spring. He's also got a good piece of form in the book on heavy ground. Very much one to consider.

Topofthegame toughed it out to win a competitive handicap at Sandown last time and races here off an 8 lb higher rating. That does not flatter him and he is a scopey sort with plenty more improvement left in him and one whose today's conditions are ideal for.

Lost -  3pts

2 pts win OXFORD BLU  17.5/1 (Betfair Exchange)
1 pt win EMBOLE  35/1 (Betfair Exchange)
Boodles Fred Winter H'cap Hdle

Hailing from a relatively new operation with a progressive profile, Oxford Blu catches the eye here with Richard Johnson re-booked. A graduate from the Mark Prescott yard, an excellent source for horses switching codes, he was narrowly beaten in all aged handicap company last time by a fair sort from the Skelton yard. That was in very soft ground  and he showed a good attitude and looks a likely type here.

Embole is one of three Skelton runners, the yard having the well fancied Nube Negra. He beat a Nicholls horse readily in soft ground at Wincanton last time. That was his first run after a wind op and the form is hard to weigh up. He could be anything but at the price it's worth throwing a dart.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win ACEY MILAN  13/2 ( almost all firms)
1 pt win KNOW THE SCORE 20/1 ( at least six firms)
Weatherby's Champion Bumper

There tends to be more value in siding with the home contingent in this event, and UK trained animals have won two of the last three runnings.

Acey Milan won a well contested event at Newbury in visually taking style last time and the level of that form is up with the best on offer here. He is proven in the mud and there is a lot to like.

Know The Score looks a typical Flemensfirth who is ideally suited by testing conditions. His piece of form is hard to weigh up and he could be anything. The stable has had a quiet season but did win this three years back.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 13 March 2018

2 pts win SINGEFARMPAYMENT 8/1 (at least six firms)
1 pt win RAMSES DE TEILLEE 12/1 ( at least eight firms)
Ultima H'cap Chase

Wind the clock back 12 months and Singlefarmpayment came into this race appealing very much as one who could win then go on progressing to better things. He eventually was beaten a short head after travelling like the likely winner for most of the way and not finding as much as he looked to have in the tank. This seasons four runs have included falling three out in the Hennesey and making a bad mistake that put paid to any chance in the Compton. He is proving costly to follow but arriving here off only a 3 lb higher rating than last year you cannot deny that he has strong claims and is worth one more chance in ground that he won on over hurdles.

Ramses De Teillee is a proven mud lover with some interesting form that makes him one to consider here. Put it this way if you think that Elegant Escape has a genuine chance in the RSA tomorrow, then you have to be taking aboard the Pipe horse here. The yard is having a dreadful season but this one is a must for the short list and catches the eye at the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win MS PARFOIS  7/1 ( at least nine firms)
National Hunt Novices Chase

This mare is in cracking form at the moment and was far from disgraced when splitting Black Corton and Mount Mews at Ascot last time. She's won at this venue back in December and relishes genuinely soft ground. Admittedly, she's running a mile further than ever before but her pedigree indicates that she should be in her element over marathon trips and she is impossible to get away from.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 10 March 2018

2 pts win MELROSE BAY 7/1 ( at least six firms)
1 pt win FIRST ASSIGNMENT 20/1 ( at least five firms)
EBF Matchbook H'cap Hdle Final

Melrose Bay is an interesting long term prospect and has a fine chance of taking this on the way to a prosperous career over fences. His last piece of form is stonewall reliable and strong in the context of this event. The drop in trip will not hinder in these conditions and he looks certain to give an excellent account of himself.

First Assignment hails from one of the shrewdest set ups around and catches the eye at big odds. The was a gap back to the third when he held on to win at Huntingdon last time. He is a better prospect than the bare form and style of victory suggests, has any amount of improvement left in him and could be in the shake up.

Mel. Bay NR, F. Assgnmnt Lost  - 1pt

1.5 pts win MASTER OF IRONY 12/1 (Generally available)
1.5pts win SILVER STREAK  16.5/1 (Betfair Ex)
Matchbook Imperial Cup

Lightly raced and almost certainly a bit off his eventual ceiling, Master Of Irony won on his seasonal debut at Wetherby in a race far more competitive than the prize money indicated. He then ran an eyecatching race when fourth at Newbury in the first week in December. He hasn't been seen since but the booking of Johnson, who was aboard at Wetherby, suggests he is spot on for this.

Silver Streak created a good visual impression when finishing full of running to win at Chepstow in October. He then ran a cracker to be runner up in a very valuable and competitive event at Ascot before unseating his rider early on in the Betfair Hurdle. The question mark is over the ground, but that doubt is built into the odds and it may pay to take him aboard.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 24 February 2018

3 pts win BAYWING  10/1 ( at least eight firms)
Eider Chase

Has always shaped as though a true marathon distance would be his forte and now has his first opportunity to capture an event in the calendar that he looks readymade for. Admittedly, his jumping can often be a bit untidy but a little improvement in that quarter should see him play a big role in this off a fair handicap rating.

Won + 30 pts

Saturday, 17 February 2018

3 pts win FIX LE KAP 7/1 ( at least ten firms)
Ascot Spring Garden Show Hcap Hdle

This one's run when narrowly failing to give weight all round in last season's Imperial Cup puts him in with a cracking chance here off a 7 lb higher rating. He's had a couple of runs since, winning in France in May then beaten on his chasing debut in December when appearing to face an easy task. He's had a wind op in the meantime and if he's back to his best will take plenty of beating in conditions that are ideal for him.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 10 February 2018

2 pts win SILVER STREAK 18/1 ( at least 12 firms)
1 pt win CHARLIE PARCS 40/1 ( at least 4 firms including Hill, Coral, and Victor)
Betfair Hurdle

Silver Streak is up a further 3 lb in the ratings from his run at Ascot last time and an 11 lb higher rating than when winning impressively at Chepstow on his previous start. He looks a massively improved individual with plenty more to come and should play a big part in this.

Charlie Parcs looked a star in the making when winning a juvenile hurdle at Kempton fourteen months ago. His four runs since have dampened those hopes but you still get the impression that there is a valuable prize in him and he is worth small stakes at the prices available.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 3 February 2018

3 pts win GOLAN FORTUNE 11/1 ( at least ten firms)
Heroes H'cap Hurdle

Is up a stone in the ratings for completing a quick double during the Christmas period but the sequence may not be finished yet. The animal he beat at Kempton is a useful sort who is entered up in two of the big novice hurdles at the Cheltenham Festival, and the pair had the race between them from two out. Previously, Golan Fortune had previously shown a gritty side when fighting back after being headed at Ascot. The new trip should hold no worries and he makes plenty of appeal today

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win LOOKING WELL 12/1 ( at least nine firms)
Edinburgh National H'cap Chase

Not been seen since last June but he hails from a highly shrewd set up and on his reappearance last year ran an absolute cracker to finish runner-up to Ziga Boy in the old Great Yorkshire. Running off the same rating today, he must enter calculations The trip is unknown but I am prepared to trust the judgment of connections on that issue.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 27 January 2018

1.5 pts win FLYING ANGEL 12/1 ( at least eleven firms)
1.5 pts win WARRIORS TALE 12/1(at least five firms inc Hills and Victor)
Sky Bet Chase

Former Imperial Cup winner Flying Angel put up a meritable performance to beat Cloudy Dream and Top Notch at levels in the big 2m 4f novice chase at Aintree last April. That performance was on good ground but he's equally effective in the soft and is worth taking a chance with despite not being proven over this trip, and not being at his best so far this season.

Warrior's Tale is 4 lb higher in the ratings on the back of his excellent Newbury run last time. That tier of form makes him one to consider here. The combination of distance and ground will not pose any problems ( his best run over hurdles was over 3m 2f in the soft) and he should give a good account of himself today.

Lost  - 3 pts

Saturday, 20 January 2018

2 pts win TINTERN THEARTRE 13/2 ( at least 6 firms)
1 pt win CAPTAIN REDBEARD 14/1 ( at least 3 firms inc, Hills and Victor)
Peter March Chase

Tintern Theartre has the profile of one that his trainer excels with, a staying novice chaser competing in open handicap company. This ground holds no fears for him, he won in the style of an animal quite a bit off his ceiling last time, and should give an excellent account of himself here.

Captain Redbeard won here in similar testing ground to todays last time. The 9 lb hike in the ratings is not lenient given the field was a bit depleted but you are halfway there if you are able to go in the conditions and he has a better chance than the weights and measures suggest.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 13 January 2018

2 pts win INDIAN CASTLE 8/1 ( at least eight firms)
1 pt win ON THE ROAD 14/1 ( at least ten firms)
Classic H'cap Chase

Indian Castle has not developed into as good an animal as he promised to do when on that progressive streak when in the McCain yard four years go. He does however retain plenty of ability and has run two good races, both at Cheltenham , this season. He is clearly capable of winning off the sort of rating he races off, is in shrewd hands, and will not mind the testing ground.

Anyone fancying On The Road for the Welsh National must consider him here. He UR'd at the fourth that day, the first time he's ever parted with his rider. He has an overall profile of a promising staying handicap chaser with more improvement to come, and looks the right sort of type for this event.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 6 January 2018

2 pts win ASK THE WEATHERMAN 14/1 ( at least ten firms)
1 pt win ON THE ROAD  20/1 ( at least seven firms)
Welsh Grand National

Ask The Weatherman has won nine of his ten point-to-point starts and though he finished only seventh in the Cheltenham Foxhunters, he was not beaten far at all. He gave weight away all round when winning at Exeter in November on his seasonal debut. His connections have had numerous quality animals pass through their hands down the years and Ask The Weatherman, who acts in the mud, will not be here to make up the numbers.

On The Road has only had five outing over fences but was progressing pretty quickly at the end of last season. He acts in testing ground and appeals as one who will stay this trip. Had a nice sharpener over hurdles on his seasonal debut and catches the eye off a low weight.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 1 January 2018

3 pts win TOP GAMBLE 9/2 ( over three quarters of all firms)
Festival Betting H'cap Chase

This one is five pounds lower in the ratings than when running well in this last year. He is in his element in testing conditions and could not have been expected to match the class act he came up against at Cork last time. The stable had a couple of winners yesterday and he looks sure to give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts