Saturday, 26 August 2017

1.5 pts win TOP TUG 12/1 ( two thirds of all firms)
1.5 pts win SCARLET DRAGON 12/1 ( almost all firms)

Top Tug has run well in all three races this season and although he's not been seen since running a fine race to finish a fine fourth in the Duke of Edinburgh, it seems clear that he was kept fresh with this race in mind as last year he had a run in between the two meetings before disappointing in this. Plenty to be optimistic about today.

Scarlet Dragon is an interesting proposition over this trip. He's another exposed runner but is a likeable, reliable sort and ran a good race in a Group 3 at Goodwood last time. Although the handicapper looks to have him covered, if the trip squeezes out just a couple of pound worth of improvement than that could be good enough.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 24 August 2017

3 pts win HIGHER POWER 12/1 ( 3 firms inc Coral and Victor)

This one still has plenty of mileage left on the clock and has very realistic claims at a backable price in a wide open renewal where all the runners have niggly question marks hanging over them.  After finishing a respectable though well beaten runner up to Big Orange in the Henry 11, he took the valuable Northumberland Plate before being pitted in to the Goodwood Cup. He was well beat and though that was a G1 it was still a below par effort. He'll only be having his ninth turf race and you feel there is more to come from him.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 23 August 2017

2 pts win FLAMING SPEAR 10/1 ( at least 7 firms)
1 pt win BRAVERY 20/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Clipper Logistics H'cap

Flaming Spear ran a real eyecatcher at Ascot on his first outing since early in the calendar year. He traveled comfortably for a long way but could not pick up though was far from disgraced in finishing ninth in a large competitive field. His requirements are hard to weigh up; two of his three wins came on the AW, the other on fast ground here. However ,it was on the soft side last time and it was most likely lack of condition rather than the ground as to why he never picked up. Very much one to consider here.

Lincoln winner Bravery is back down under the rating that he won off that day. He also likes to get his toe in and a combination of some ease over one mile obviously suits him well. Although Tudhope is on last year's winner this one is still worth small stakes and could surprise.

F Spear Won + 19 pts
3 pts win LANSKY  8/1 ( with at least 10 firms, 9/1 with two.)
Tattersalls Acomb Stakes

Always an interesting race this and has thrown up plenty of good ones down the years. Most of these are entered up in some of the big Autumn juvenile events including Dewhurst entrant Lansky who is worth chancing at the price. He was well touted before making his debut at Windsor last week and won in the style of one who is already much better than the bare form indicates, which of course he'll need to be as it was admittedly an ordinary contest. Massively hard to weigh up and could be anything, and that includes a high class performer.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win VENICE BEACH 7/1 ( at least 10 firms, bigger with three)
Great Voltigeur

Never handled Epsom and overall this one is a reliable, likeable sort who should run his race here and not be far away. He ran a solid race to finish a staying on third in the Grand Prix de Paris last time and while he looks as though he may be even better over the St Leger trip, the level of his form is already good enough to win an average renewal of this, there is probably further improvement left, and if Cracksman is only marginally below his best he is the most likely to take advantage.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 19 August 2017

2 pts win GROWL 5/1 (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win FLYING PURSUIT 14/1 ( roughly three quarters of all firms)
Great St Wilfred H'cap

Growl ran a cracker in the Stewards Cup and is impossible to leave out here running off the same rating. He had previously acquitted himself extremely well when finishing sixth in the July Cup and with the services and 3 lb claim of the highly promising Adam McNamara, he looks sure to figure in the shake up.

Flying Pursuit is in the form of his life, hails from a yard that has been in fine heart this summer and is clearly suite to today's rider who is two from three on him. 6 lb up in the ratings for a lifetime best success at  York, he is still very much in it.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 5 August 2017

3 pts win GET BACK IN PARIS 8/1 ( at least eleven firms)
Qatar Summer H'cap

This one probably faced an impossible task at Ascot last time trying to give weight to a progressive sort who runs in the Gordon and who has an Irish St Leger entry. He is however a progressive sort in his own right who is effective on an easy surface, won over this C&D two outings back and who looks likely to put up an excellent account of himself today.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win AL QAHWA  12/1 ( at least eight firms)
Stewards Cup

David O'Meara  has perhaps not had the last season and a half that had been expected of him after he appeared to be turning everything he acquired into gold dust. Since he changed yards things have steadied a little but his runners are still invariably worth a second look and after taking the Wokingham with Out Do he has a big chance of taking the other big Summer sprint, most likely with Al Qahwa though his other two runners are not completely out of it. Al Qahwa has only had four runs since joining from Micky Halford but has run two crackers on easy ground, both at York. He won there back in May and was runner up last time to Flying Pursuit. There's more to come and plenty to like about his chance today.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 3 August 2017

3 pts win WITHERNSEA 16/1 (at least 5 firms inc PPower, Victor ,Bet 365)
Goodwood Mile H'cap

Ran an excellent race when third to stable companion Stamp's Hill at Ascot last Saturday. Won at Newbury earlier in the season on soft ground over tomorrow's distance and his career finishing positions on soft or heavy ground read a noteworthy,  323100011. Was actually tried in the Stewards Cup here last season and was not disgraced in mid div but this trip is better for him and he is very much one to be interested in.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 2 August 2017

3 pts win FRONTISPIECE 11/1 ( at least 4 firms)
Matchbook Exchange H'cap

Formerly known as the Extel, this race is always provides an interesting field and is hard to resist taking an interest in.

Frontispiece is almost certainly better than the bare form of his last race when never getting close to Archetype who had it all to himself up front. It would be no surprise at all if he turned that form around and though he has never encountered a soft surface, his sire was fully effective on it as is plenty of his progeny. Moore never had a chance of doing the weight and the apprentice on board is worth his claim and it all points to a big run tomorrow.

Lost - 3 pts
2 pts win HOCHFELD 9/1 ( at least 6 firms)
1 pt win BRIMHAM ROCKS 14/1 ( Betfair Ex)
Better Odds With Matchbook Exchange H'cap

Hochfeld could be the Johnston runner to be on here. He won't mind the ease, progressed by a stone in his three races last month and despite a reverse last time looks to have plenty more improvement left and appeals as a likely winner. The step down in trip will not inconvenience.

Brimham Rocks faces a much stiffer task than in the three races he's won this year but there is plenty to like about him. His handler is adept at handling his progressive handicappers and this one won with loads in hand last time and is ideally suited by an easy surface.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win ZELZAL 9/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Sussex Stakes

This 4 year old  never ran as a juvenile and only has seven races under his belt thus should be open to more improvement than most of his age. He is already a proven high class performer winning a G1 last year and shaped eyecatchingly on his reappearance when given too much to do by his regular rider Gregory Benoist. His overall level of form is only a couple of pounds behind Churchill and Ribchester, and given the room for further progression he is cracking value at the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts