Saturday, 29 April 2017

1.5 pts win PRESENT MAN 12/1( almost everywhere)
1.5 pts win WHATS HAPPENING 14/1 ( almost everywhere)
Bet 365 Gold Cup

Though he's yet to race at this venue Present Man's prominent racing style will not compromise his chance and he has an excellent record going right handed. He has his ground and arrives here in great heart and with the profile of one who has more to offer. Jack Sherwood has built up an excellent rapport with him, winning 4 from 6, and there ain't too much to dislike about his chance.

What's Happening was developing into a smart handicap chaser until a setback kept him off the track for 16 months. He reappeared in February running a cracker at Exeter then ran a little better than his finishing position suggests when 11th in the Kim Muir, being on the tail of the leaders until turning into the straight. He's better than that and could run a very big race.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 22 April 2017

2 pts win VINTAGE CLOUDS 16/1 ( at least 5 firms)
1 pt win DANCING SHADOW 40/1( at least 8 firms)
Scottish Grand National

Vintage Clouds has faced stiff tasks on all of his last three starts, his good third at Haydock splitting two runs when he hit the deck when in the process of running respectable races. Still in his novice season he's already shown that he's going to be a competitor in these big marathon events as he looks the type who'll improve over today's trip and give a very good account of  himself.

Dancing Shadow has improved in the region of 20 lb this season and relished this sort of trip when winning at Musselburgh on today's ground on his penultimate start, showing that he's in his element on good ground. He was beaten too far out at Cheltenham last time to conclude anything other that he was not himself. Could bounce back with a good run here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 8 April 2017

2 pts win MESSIRE DES OBEAUX 13/2 ( at least half a dozen firms)
1 pt win REIVERS LAD 54/1 (Betfair Ex)
Mersey Novices Hurdle

Messire Des Obeaux's third in the Neptune is the standout piece of form in this race and a repeat of that run should be good enough to win this provided there is nothing special lurking amongst those taking a step up in class. The only negative is the drying ground but all in all he's reasonably priced.

Nicky Richards has this meeting as his number one and the fact that he tends not to overface his charges makes Reivers Lad interesting at a massive price. He takes a big step up in grade after running up a hatrick by beating moderate opponents with a bit in hand and could really be anything.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win EMERGING FORCE 13/2 (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win TAKING RISKS  45/1 (Betfair Ex)
Betway H'cap Chase

Emerging Force is mighty interesting here. A highly regarded novice hurdler last season ( he started only 6/1 for a G1 at the Punchestown Festival), he's had three races over fences winning the first two and is put into handicap company here. He's not run since December but goes well fresh, is best on good ground, and he could be much better than today's handicap mark.

Taking Risks put up his best performance over hurdles on good ground and after three races in succession on heavy ground. this Spring ground may just bring about a big step up in performance and he is worth considering.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win RAZ DE MAREE   49/1 (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win DOCTOR HARPER 99/1 (Betfair Ex)

Raz De Maree ran in this three years ago and ran much better than his respectable eighth place finish indicates, not really getting the run of the race but staying on well.He's thrived since moving to his new yard,winning the Cork National and finishing runner up in the Welsh National. He had a pleasing sharpener over hurdles last time, is not compromised by decent ground and could run a really big race.

Doctor Harper has not  turned out to be the horse over fences that he promised to be - he's looked the type who would go the Sun Alliance, Gold Cup route but injury meant his switch to fences was later than planned. While he's been disappointing there are bits of form that make him worth a second look and the blinds are applied for the first time today, indicating that connections still believe there may be a key to unlock something from his somewhere.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 7 April 2017

3 pts win THOMAS CAMPBELL 9/1 ( al least 7 firms)
Alder Hey Charity H'cap Hdle

Ran a cracker when fifth over this trip at the Cheltenham festival and off a slightly higher rating and with the yard remaining in healthy form there is no reason why she should not be far away today. Admittedly, he does tend to hit a flat spot in his races and this flat quickish circuit may not be ideal for getting to the leaders in such a scenario but today's rider had him tracking the leaders when he last rode him and it would be wasteful to be put off his chance by anticipating something that may not unfold.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win GOLD PRESENT 11/1 (at least 6 firms)
1 pt win KATACHENKO 28/1( at least 5 firms inc Hills and Bet 365)

Gold Present found only one to good for him at Cheltenham after travelling like the likely winner as the race progressed. He proved that he thrives in the big field scenario and appeals very much as one who will be cruising along here. If he takes to the fences then he is the most likely winner.

Katachenko missed the race he won on the Thursday last year to run in this and he is not without a chance. The yard had him spot on at the meeting last year and expect him to be ready to run to his optimum.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 6 April 2017

2pts win DIVIN BERE  13/2  (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win FLYING TIGER 17/1 (Betfair Ex)
Doom Bar Juvenile Hurdle

No holes to find in Defu Du Seuil but the first two home in the Fred Winter are worth chancing at the prices in the hope that he does throw in a below par effort.

Divin Bere lined up at Cheltenham on the back of one race in this country when he beat Master Blueyes with the rest of the field well beaten off. The runner up's subsequent performance in the Triumph can be ignored as he finished lame - he did win the Adonis in the interim however. Divi Bere then ran a cracker when narrowly beaten at Cheltenham,giving weight to the winner and he could turn out to be very smart.

Flying Tiger was receiving 5 lb that day. He came from a long way back to win and will need the pace to be on for him to do the same again.That was a big step up on his previous form but was not any sort of fluke and he looks to have suddenly come to himself and cannot be ruled out.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win SILVINIACO CONTI  10/1 ( 4 firms inc PPower and Stan James)
Bowl Chase

Will not take as much winning as in previous years and Silviniaco Conti who won this in 2014 and 2015, showed enough in the King George to indicate that todays's odds underestimate his chance even allowing for the fact that he's not quite the horse he was. There were inches between him and Cue Card that day and even though the latter has aged better, he too has passed his very best and the disparity in price is a bit too big. Empire From Dirt was far from pleasing at Cheltenham and you feel Bristol De Mai ideally wants the mud flying.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win ROMAIN DU SENAM  11/1 ( almost all firms)
1 pt win GINO TRAIL 19/1 (Betfair Ex)
Red Rum Chase

Romain Du Senam was runner up in the  Fred Winter last season and began his chasing career with a respectable effort to chase home Top Notch. In his four starts since he's won an uncompetitive affair at Leicester and his form has been iffy to downright disappointing. He is however clearly much better than that, has a handicap rating that undervalue his true ability and the fact that he lines up here makes his very much one to consider in an event that novices have an excellent record in.

Gino Trail has some very useful pieces of form in the book,finishing runner up to the likes of Buveur D'Air, Flying Angel and Zamdy Man, and winning his other two starts. Despite being a ten year old there is very little mileage on the clock and he hails from arguably the most improved operation in the country. Not hard to to imagine him putting in a bold show from the front.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 1 April 2017

3 pts win DOLPHIN VISTA 14/1 (at least 6 firms)

This one won't mind the ease in the ground and was in good form on the turf around this time last year (though admittedly he'd an an AW race prior to the turf starting) and returned to form when winning a valuable handicap over 1m 2f at Beverley in August. He's been gelded during the winter and whether or not he'd had the outright choice of the Fahey runners it's a plus that a replenished Hanagan is on board. Off only a 4 lb higher rating than at Beverley and reverting to what will be a true run race over a mile with ease in the ground, he looks set to give a really good account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts