Saturday, 28 January 2017

2 pts win WALK IN THE MILL  15/2 ( 5 firms,  8/1 with 2 firms)
1 pt win BALLYNAGOUR 33/1 ( all firms)
Hugo's Restaurant H'cap Chase

Plenty of disappointing and unreliable characters in this and it may pay to take aboard the progressive Walk In The Mill. He's looked much improved this season winning both his outings, the last earlier this month when easily beating a previously out of form Nicholl's horse at Wincanton. That was clearly a weaker race than today's but he is in great heart at present, has the soft ground that he needs, and could be up to defying a  12 lb hike in the ratings.

Ballynagour has never had the career successes for one possessing his raw ability. Of course, there have and are issues with him but you always feel he could suddenly throw in a big run. He's been pulled up on his last two starts, both at this venue. He's off a rating nearly a stone off what he raced off at his peak and at the odds available he is worth a speculative bet as despite his advancing years there is still plenty of talent there, as proven in his two Summer runs.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win ANOTHER HERO 8/1 ( 14 firms)
1.5 pts win BALLYBOKER BREEZE 11/1 ( at least 6 firms)
SkyBet H'cap Chase

Another Hero looks a real potential improver here. He's only had five outings over fences, the best performance being last time when a close up fourth in a valuable handicap chase at Ascot in December. He has the ideal profile of one that his yard excels with and he appeals as one of the most likely winner of this.

Ballybroker Breeze has plenty of mileage left for a nine year old. In fact he's only had three runs over fences under rules but looked very much one who would pay to follow when s decisive winner at Bangor last time. His yard do not over face their charges and he is one for the short list though further rain would increase confidence.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 21 January 2017

3 pts win DEFINITLY RED 4.8/1 (Betfair Ex)
Peter Marsh Chase

Going strictly on the Newcastle form this one should not be turning the form around with Otago Trail and Bristol De Mai. He went off strongly fancied for that event but hit a flat spot during the event and left the impression that he was not quite on song on the day. He followed that up with a a visually taking performance in the Rowland Meryck on Boxing Day, beating a decent field in the style of a horse fast on the upgrade.The ground will be a level softer today, and similar to that at Newcastle, but he has proven himself just as effective in these conditions and can defy an 8 lb rise in the ratings.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 14 January 2017

1.5 pts win DOCTOR HARPER 11/1 ( at least nine firms)
1.5 pts win ONE FOR ARTHUR 12/1 (at least eight firms)
Classic Chase

Doctor Harper's  delayed switch to chasing has not materialised as one would have hoped, as over hurdles he appealed as the sort who could reach the top rank over the larger obstacles. It's been false dawns so far but while hopes of him being a Gold Cup horse went long ago, his run at Cheltenham on New Year's Day shows that he could be able to carve out a niche for himself in the slogging events. He's up 7 lb in the ratings for that run but still has a great opportunity here.

One For Arthur looked one to follow when winning on his reappearance at Kelso in October. He followed up with a fine effort, staying on at the death to finish a close fifth in the Becher . He appeals as the sort to run well in an Aintree Grand National but will need to go up at least 7 lb in the ratings to get in. This could be his last opportunity to get himself that hike and it all points to a bold showing here.

One For Arthur Won + 16.5 pts

Saturday, 7 January 2017

3 pts win CHALONNIAL 9/1 ( PPower, Victor and Betfair)
Tolworth Hurdle

More wide open than the betting suggests and it could pay to take Chalonnial on board here.
This one made a very satisfying debut over hurdles at Bangor with a comfortable success in soft ground. It was only a run of the mill event but he is clearly much better than the bare form suggests and hails from a yard that is breaking through onto the highest tier. It's also a yard absolutely flying right at the moment.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 1 January 2017

1.5 pts win VANITEUX 12/1( Coral,Bet 365, Stan James)
1.5 pts win TOP GAMBLE 10/1 ( 5 firms inc Hills and Lads)
Festival Betting H'cap Chase

Vaniteux tries this distance for the first time over fences at around which he was every bit as good over hurdles than shorter trips. Though being comfortably held by the winner, he was still running a cracker in the Arkle when UR'ing two out. He's run well on both outing this season and needless to say on his seventh start over fences there should be improvement left in him.

Top Gamble is one of those that re oppose from last year's running of this. He finished a close third but showed improved from on his remaining two starts, winning in the style of one with a new lease of life.He was almost certainly in need of the run on his reappearance and arrives here with his yard in good form.

Top Gamble Lost, Vaniteux NR  - 1.5 pts
Annual Results 2016

January  + 15 pts
February + 18 pts
March - 27 pts
April + 34.5 pts
May - 2 pts
June + 90 pts
July - 16 pts
August + 6 pts
September + 14 pts
October + 3 pts
November - 6 pts
December + 3 pts

Profit of  + 132.5 pts