Sunday, 31 December 2017

Annual Results 2017

January   + 3 pts
February + 34 pts
March - 42 pts
April  - 33 pts
May - 12 pts
June  - 51 pts
July  +15 pts
August  - 14 pts
September  + 9 pts
October - 4 pts
November +65 pts
December + 12 pts

Loss of  - 30 pts

Saturday, 30 December 2017

3 pts win GRAND VISION 11/1 ( at least ten firms, 12's with four)
Mandarin H'cap Chase

This one is proven in very testing going, as it will be today. He arrives here on the back of a victory over 2m4f  at Lingfield but this trip will not inconvenience. In 2015 he was a staying on fourth in the Kim Muir, and his best run over hurdles was in this ground at this trip. Despite being eleven year old, a setback after the Kim Muir means he's only had ten runs over fences and is certainly not on the downgrade just yet.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 26 December 2017

3 pts win BAYWING 6/1 ( at least nine firms)
Rowland Meryck H'cap Chase

Had looked a real genuine Welsh National prospect and despite not having the best of starts to the season, rusty and disappointing first time out then falling at the first last time, it is still surprising that he wasn't left in the Chepstow event. Still, fact is this is the scene of his victory in the Towton last season where he looked pretty smart. The ground can not be testing enough for him and further rain would increase confidence further. Very much of interest.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win FOX NORTON  7/1 ( at least three firms inc PPower and Victor)
King George V1 Chase

Is untried beyond 2m 4f, but has all the other credentials that one would expect in a winner of this. Has turned into an honest, high class performer who you can set your watch by and arrives here on the back of two excellent performances. Not difficult to envisage him winning this.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 23 December 2017

3 pts win SAM SPINNER  8/1 (at least 4 firms,9's with one) JLT Reve De Sivola Long Walk Hdle

Created a fine impression when winning at Haydock last time. He looks a completely new proposition now and a completely different horse to the one outpointed by Mount Mews at Kelo last December, when his limitations looked exposed. There is room at the top at the moment in the staying hurdle category and today could show him to be right in the mix.

Won + 24 pts

3 pts win REGAL ENCORE  14/1 ( at least nine firms)  Lavazza Silver Cup H'cap Chase

Ran a cracker when third in the old Hennessy last time, a respectable nine lengths off the first two home who could both end up being Cheltenham Gold Cup contenders. He won this last year and appeals as the value call off a 6 lb higher mark, but clearly as good as ever. Confidence is also increased by the general well being of the stable's runners.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 16 December 2017

1.5 pts win STARCHITECT 6/1 ( at least (13/2 in places) with three quarters of all firms)
1.5 pts win GUITAR PETE 11/1 ( at least nine firms)
Caspian Caviar Gold Cup

There is still a bit more to find out about Starchitect and it would be surprising if his form had leveled out. His run here last time was a career best over fences and he appeals as the one most likely to come out best of those that ran in that event.

Guitar Pete was also in the field but his chance went after being badly hampered at the first. Anyone making out a case for him having a chance going into that race, must likewise have him on the short list here.

Guitar Pete Won - +15 pts

3 pts win OLD GUARD 12/1 ( almost all firms)
Unibet International Hurdle

Seems to have been around for ages but is still only six. Won this event two years ago and while he was beaten fair and square last year by The New One and My Tent Or Yours, he arrived here that day on the back of two races over fences followed by a disappointing run back over timber. He lines up here after a pleasing start to the season and could be on an unexpected upward curve.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 9 December 2017

3 pts win THE LAST SAMURI 10/1 ( at least 6 firms)
Randox Health Becher Chase

Has a big pull in the weights with Vieux Lion Rouge on last season's running of this, and while the Pipe horse improved further in the months after, The Last Samuri shaped well over hurdles on his prep for this while it was strange to see the Pipe horse running in the Charlie Hall, as he doesn't take much racing and is best fresh, as when winning this first time out last year. The Last Samuri has never won in heavy but it was soft when he was runner up in the 2016 National and most of the good progeny of his sire go well in the mud.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win JENKINS  13/2  ( at least two thirds of all firms)
December H'cap Hurdle

One of the most hyped up horses in training. On the face of it he was disappointing in the Greatwood but did run as if a bit rustyish and should be spot on here. There can  be no excuses for him if he fails to deliver an optimum performance today and he has prospects of reversing the form with William H Bonney who doesn't always find off the bit.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 2 December 2017

3 pts win FLYING TIGER 16/1 ( at least 10 firms)
Fighting Fifth Hurdle

Buveur D'Air was the worthy winner of a substandard renewal of the Champion Hurdle and consolidated the form at Aintree. Although he won first time out last season he may just be vulnerable in what could be a messily run  event. Irving's won this twice but has not turned out the horse he promised to be as a novice. Flying Tiger would be two stone better in if this was a handicap - however , he'll be fine in the ground, is a potential big improver, and has a far bigger chance than the weights and measures suggest.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win AMERICAN 13/2 ( at least seven firms, 7's with two)
Ladbrokes Trophy Chase

One of the biggest buzz races in the calendar. If there is a future Gold Cup winner lurking somewhere in this field then it can only be American. In short, we just don't know what is ceiling will be as there is still so much to find out about him. He's won all three races over fences, looking a genuine top class prospect, and as he reportedly does not take a lot of racing, he will be absolutely spot on for this.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 25 November 2017

1.5 pts win LE ROCHER 9/1 ( available everywhere)
1.5 pts win NO HASSLE HOF 9/1 (at least eight firms,10's with two)
Betfair Stayers H'cap Hdle

Wheoever wins this will have to cope properly with authentic, heavy ground. Le Rocher's ran three times on heavy ground in this country and won all three. He will be spot on from his seasonal debut and the stable had a successful interest in this event when it was run over the fixed brush obstacles. Appeals as one who will give an excellent account today.

Dan Skelton has also won this event in its old disguise and No Hassle Hof is another who should cope with conditions. He has some interesting pieces of form under his belt from last season, won on his seasonal debut, and looks one who should go on progressing.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 19 November 2017

3 pts win LONDON PRIZE 11/1 ( 4 firms inc Hills and PPower)
Greatwood Hurdle

Much improved on the flat this year so it was no surprise when he won at Wincanton in the style of one who is progressing in this sphere too. There are less concerns over the ground with him than most of the others as it was typical testing Sandown soft when he won the Imperial Cup and he has excellent prospects of  defying a 5 lb penalty today.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win BETTER GETALONG 14/1 (at least five firms inc Hills,PPower,Victor)
Supreme Trial Novices Hurdle

For a yard that does not overface its inmates, you would expect Nicky Richards to do better with his runners sent south than results show. However, no reason to be downbeat about this ones chances. He won two bumpers in heavy ground, took his place in the big bumper here ( the owner is not known as a big day out owner), and created a good impression when winning on his hurdling debut at Ayr. Has prospects of causing an upset here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 18 November 2017

2 pts win TULLY EAST  8/1 ( at least 13 firms)
1 pt win GUITAR PETE 16/1 ( at least three quarters of all firms)
Victor Gold Cup H'cap Chase

Tully East appeals as the most likely winner of this. He put up a real tidy performance when winning here at the festival and although he has only had five outings over fences he never put a foot wrong that day .The 10 lb higher rating he races off today does not flatter him. Needless to say he is open to plenty of further improvement, will be spot on after a warm up over hurdles, and looks sure to go very close.

Guitar Pete does not have the profile of horses that win this event, lacking the customary good run in a big field handicap over fences at this venue,  but may be capable of pulling of a surprise. He  was a high class juvenile hurdler, winning the big Aintree race in that sphere after finishing third in the Triumph. Over fences, he has been running well since moving from Ireland to Nicky Richard's  yard in the Spring and his win at Wetherby last time promised plenty more success.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 11 November 2017

3 pts win LONDON PRIZE 9/2 ( at least five firms)
Elite Hurdle

It was genuinely soft underfoot  when  this  one  won the Imperial Cup and he looks sure to be a force in this off a 6 lb higher mark. He ran a cracker to be runner up in the Cesarewitch on his latest racecourse appearance and further improvement over hurdles looks very likely.

Won + 13.5 pts

3 pts win SAUNTER 10/1 (at least six firms)
November H'cap

Ian Williams can have a quick cross card double as Saunter is mighty interesting in this. The yard also had Reshoun in this at the four day stage. He too looked a live contender but has not taken his chance. Saunter shaped well on his only start for the yard when coming up against a potential Group class horse. He finished second with the rest well beaten off and should give a very good account of himself today.

Won + 30 pts

Saturday, 4 November 2017

2 pts win BRISTOL DE MAI 9/1 ( at least eight firms)
1 pt win VIEUX LION ROUGE 22/1 ( at least twelve firms)
Charlie Hall Chase

Bristol De Mai is a bit hit and miss but a repeat of his Peter Marsh form, where he showed he can produce optimum form when not being able to dominate, could be good enough to take this. Conditions are absolutely ideal for him.

Vieux Lion Rouge does not take much racing and goes best when fresh. They would not waste a run with him despite the Becher Chase being targeted again, and he could figure here.

Bristol De Mai Won  + 17 pts

3 pts win ELGIN  13/2 ( at least seven firms)
William Hill H'cap Hdle

Acquitted himself well against some useful novices last season and was not disgraced when seventh in the Supreme Novices. He will be better for his outing at Chepstow three weeks back,goes in the soft, and looks sure to give an excellent account of himself.

Won (deduction for NR) + 16.5pts

Saturday, 28 October 2017

1.5 pts win VICONTE DU NOYER  12/1 ( at least 7 firms)
1.5 pts win BELLS 'N' BANJOS 12/1 ( at least 6 firms) H'cap Chase

Viconte Du Noyer has a shorter priced stable companion in the field but has strong claims himself. He won here at the November meeting last year, also on his seasonal debut and while that was over a couple of furlongs further he is quite versatile regarding distance, as proven in his fine run when runner up over 2m4f at the Punchestown festival.

Fergal O'Brien's horses are in good nick at the moment and Bells 'N' Banjos is worth a second look. He was immediately switched to fences when arriving at his current yard and won his first two races. He then faced stiffer tasks on his next two outings. He's only had four races over the larger obstacles so there is plenty still to find out about him, but appeals as one who could go close today.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win DANEHILL KODIAC 9/1 ( almost all firms,10/1 with 4)
1.5 pts win WHAT ABOUT CARLO 8/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Worthington's St Simon Stakes

Danehill Kodiac has been a good,honest performer through the last couple of years but stepped up a tier when winning the Cumberland Lodge last time, beating a very good  Andre Fabre colt in the process. The runner up was not massively below his best thus nothing can be taken away from  the merit of the performance. No reason why he should not go close again.

What About Carlo is another likeable, reliable sort. Of his seven victories,five have come with ease in the ground and he lines up here after an excellent effort at Goodwood a month ago. Most of his racing has come over 1m 2f, but he has run a cracker marginally short of this trip, and he's worth chancing.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 21 October 2017

3 pts win HYDRANGEA 13/2 ( at least 10 firms)
British Champions Fillies and Mares Stakes

She has been progressing nicely throughout the season and her last two runs have been the best two of her career, a surprising but fair and square winner of the Matron,followed by a narrow defeat by a stable companion in the Prix de l' Opera. That last run proved soft ground is fine for her to produce an optimum performance and there is no reason why she should not stay further and be involved in the finish here.

Won + 19.5 pts

3 pts win POET'S VOICE 7/1 ( two thirds of all firms)
Champion Stakes

This one has been ticking along nicely, mostly without getting the credit he deserves.Truth is he is now a genuine top class performer who will be fine in today's conditions. He can be trusted to run his race, and arrives here on the back of very nearly capturing the Irish Champion Stakes.He had some big names behind him that day and there is nothing insurmountable among this field.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 14 October 2017

1.5 pts win LONDON PRIZE  25/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
1.5 pts win BYRONY FLYER 22/1 ( at least nine firms)

London Prize has had an excellent year, winning the Imperial Cup over hurdles and was in most progressive mode when last seen out, on the flat in July, winning the consolation Northumberland Plate, where he was following up a Goodwood success. He is only lightly raced in the sphere and could show the necessary improvement to overcome his hike in the ratings.

Byrony Flyer is also trained by Ian Williams, and likewise is a must for the shortlist. He is inclined to let others get the better of him when it comes to a battle, but is overall very consistent, does go and take his race when things fall right, and should give a fair account of himself today.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win SAM SPINNER 12/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
Silver Trophy Hurdle

This one catches the eye here.A bit of imagination is required, as in his four starts over hurdles he's comfortably disposed of inferior opponents on three occasions, and been beaten by the highly promising Mount Mews, with the rest of the field a mile behind. Mount Mews himself ended up finishing second in the two mile novice hurdle at the big Aintree meeting. The more you think highly of him, then the more you fancy Sam Spinner today, who looks a smart prospect in his own right.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 7 October 2017

3 pts win MAGIC MEMORY 9/1( at least six firms)
John Guest Bengough Stakes

This one's performance was too bad to be true when plum last behind Harry Angel the other week, in heavy ground at Haydock. He is however capable of producing optimum form with ease in the ground and a return to form here, which should be expected, will see him figure in the shake up. With perhaps the exception of Blue Point, his level of proven form is at least the equal of these, and the Charles Hills runners have been performing well over the past week.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 1 October 2017

3 pts win DSHINGUS SECRET  16/1 ( at least 6 firms) Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe

Very good chance that Enable will have gone off - it's very hard to keep producing optimums and she came to herself early in the season and is without a mid-season breather. Dschingus Secret makes plenty more appeal. A typical, German middle distance colt who is comfortable in the soft,  he is in fine heart at the moment and clearly on the upgrade , beating last year's Eclipse winner at Hopegarten two outings ago, then winning quite comfortably in a trial for this event. All in all, it's hard to see this one not being far away.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win ALPHABET  16/1 ( at lest 8 firms)  Prix De L' Abbaye

Has had plenty of races and has never seemed anything out of the ordinary - but he has shown markedly improved form recently. Starting 50/1,  he ran stable companion Caravaggio to a length at the Curragh two outings ago, then last time finished runner up to another G1 winner, Quiet Reflection at Naas. Moore rode him for the first time that day and tried to stretch the field out - he'd been ridden prominently the time before to. He is clearly suited by soft ground, is producing a level of form that could not have been predicted, and there could be plenty more to come. Interesting contender and could surprise.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 30 September 2017

2 pts win HEY JONESY 8/1 (almost all firms)
1 pt win FROZEN ANGEL 40/1 (almost all firms)
Juddmonte Middle Park Stakes

Hey Jonesy beat  the stand side group comfortably when a close third in a valuable sales race at the York August meeting. The level of the form is a few lengths above what some of these have achieved here but needless to say there is plenty still to find out about him and he could be quite smart.Looks the value call here.

Connections of Frozen Angel reportedly knocked back a big offer for him early in the season. Overall, he has been a shade disappointing but on his only start with give in the ground he ran Unfortunately to half a length in France and is too tempting to resist at big odds.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win THUNDERING BLUE 7/1 ( at least this price with nine firms - 8/1 with 3 firms -)

This rapidly improving gelding is impossible for get away from. The amount he had in hand of his rivals last time is in excess of the 6 lb higher rating he runs off today. Admittedly, it is easy to get carried away with visually impressive performances and over rate them, but this one looked mighty interesting coming into the Sandown race and there is nothing to be negative about as he acts with ease in the ground.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 23 September 2017

1.5 pts win SILVER GHOST 10/1 (at least nine firms)
1.5 pts win EUGINIO 14/1 ( almost all firms)
Duibai Duty Free H'cap

Silver Ghost ran a cracker when going for a four timer last time, finishing fourth to Thundering Blue in a race that will surely throw up plenty of winners in the next few weeks. He ran off today's mark there so the handicapper is still giving him a chance and with the possibility of even more improvement left he should give a good account of himself.

Euginio finished one place behind in the same race, catching the eye with late work. He has come out and won since and appeals very much as one who is just getting his act together and has plenty more to offer. One for the short list here.

Euginio NR  S Ghost Lost - 1.5 pts

Saturday, 16 September 2017

2 pts win VIBRANT CHORDS 7/1 ( at least nine firms)
1 pt win JUSTANOTHERBOTTLE 31/1 (Betfair Ex)
Portland H'cap

The  overall progressive Vibrant Chords is just the type of animal that today's Henry Candy excels with. The animal who beat him here last time was bang on his game at the time and followed up in a valuable event at the York August meeting. He's been raised 2 lb in the ratings for that but he appeals as a horse with plenty more left to come and one who will reward blind following over the next 12 months.

Justanotherbottle catches the eye at big odds as he has some smart pieces of form in the book, notable an excellent third in the valuable 3 year old handicap on the Saturday charity day at York, a race traditionally strongly contested. He ran well at the same venue last time, has winning course form here and should run really well.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 9 September 2017

3 pts win FLAMING SPEAR 8/1 (at least 5 firms)
Red Mile

Has had an interrupted career and did not come up to the ambitious classic aspirations that were held out for him by connections after he won on his racecourse debut at York 3 years ago. However, there is not too many miles on the clock and he looked distinctly useful when winning a competitive handicap at the York Ebor meeting with plenty in hand. He has never raced on ground as testing as todays, but is proven with give and plenty of his sire's progeny go well in proper soft ground.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 2 September 2017

3 pts win THUNDERING BLUE 15/2 ( at least 6 firms)
Recall H'cap

This one has been on a rapid upward curve of late.After an eyecatching third at Epsom when given an impossible amount of ground to make up, he went and won both of his latest two starts with something in hand, and if he is in the same sort of heart here, the 4 lb rise in the ratings from his Newmarket victory last time will not be enough to curb him.

Won + 22.5pts

Saturday, 26 August 2017

1.5 pts win TOP TUG 12/1 ( two thirds of all firms)
1.5 pts win SCARLET DRAGON 12/1 ( almost all firms)

Top Tug has run well in all three races this season and although he's not been seen since running a fine race to finish a fine fourth in the Duke of Edinburgh, it seems clear that he was kept fresh with this race in mind as last year he had a run in between the two meetings before disappointing in this. Plenty to be optimistic about today.

Scarlet Dragon is an interesting proposition over this trip. He's another exposed runner but is a likeable, reliable sort and ran a good race in a Group 3 at Goodwood last time. Although the handicapper looks to have him covered, if the trip squeezes out just a couple of pound worth of improvement than that could be good enough.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 24 August 2017

3 pts win HIGHER POWER 12/1 ( 3 firms inc Coral and Victor)

This one still has plenty of mileage left on the clock and has very realistic claims at a backable price in a wide open renewal where all the runners have niggly question marks hanging over them.  After finishing a respectable though well beaten runner up to Big Orange in the Henry 11, he took the valuable Northumberland Plate before being pitted in to the Goodwood Cup. He was well beat and though that was a G1 it was still a below par effort. He'll only be having his ninth turf race and you feel there is more to come from him.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 23 August 2017

2 pts win FLAMING SPEAR 10/1 ( at least 7 firms)
1 pt win BRAVERY 20/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Clipper Logistics H'cap

Flaming Spear ran a real eyecatcher at Ascot on his first outing since early in the calendar year. He traveled comfortably for a long way but could not pick up though was far from disgraced in finishing ninth in a large competitive field. His requirements are hard to weigh up; two of his three wins came on the AW, the other on fast ground here. However ,it was on the soft side last time and it was most likely lack of condition rather than the ground as to why he never picked up. Very much one to consider here.

Lincoln winner Bravery is back down under the rating that he won off that day. He also likes to get his toe in and a combination of some ease over one mile obviously suits him well. Although Tudhope is on last year's winner this one is still worth small stakes and could surprise.

F Spear Won + 19 pts
3 pts win LANSKY  8/1 ( with at least 10 firms, 9/1 with two.)
Tattersalls Acomb Stakes

Always an interesting race this and has thrown up plenty of good ones down the years. Most of these are entered up in some of the big Autumn juvenile events including Dewhurst entrant Lansky who is worth chancing at the price. He was well touted before making his debut at Windsor last week and won in the style of one who is already much better than the bare form indicates, which of course he'll need to be as it was admittedly an ordinary contest. Massively hard to weigh up and could be anything, and that includes a high class performer.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win VENICE BEACH 7/1 ( at least 10 firms, bigger with three)
Great Voltigeur

Never handled Epsom and overall this one is a reliable, likeable sort who should run his race here and not be far away. He ran a solid race to finish a staying on third in the Grand Prix de Paris last time and while he looks as though he may be even better over the St Leger trip, the level of his form is already good enough to win an average renewal of this, there is probably further improvement left, and if Cracksman is only marginally below his best he is the most likely to take advantage.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 19 August 2017

2 pts win GROWL 5/1 (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win FLYING PURSUIT 14/1 ( roughly three quarters of all firms)
Great St Wilfred H'cap

Growl ran a cracker in the Stewards Cup and is impossible to leave out here running off the same rating. He had previously acquitted himself extremely well when finishing sixth in the July Cup and with the services and 3 lb claim of the highly promising Adam McNamara, he looks sure to figure in the shake up.

Flying Pursuit is in the form of his life, hails from a yard that has been in fine heart this summer and is clearly suite to today's rider who is two from three on him. 6 lb up in the ratings for a lifetime best success at  York, he is still very much in it.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 5 August 2017

3 pts win GET BACK IN PARIS 8/1 ( at least eleven firms)
Qatar Summer H'cap

This one probably faced an impossible task at Ascot last time trying to give weight to a progressive sort who runs in the Gordon and who has an Irish St Leger entry. He is however a progressive sort in his own right who is effective on an easy surface, won over this C&D two outings back and who looks likely to put up an excellent account of himself today.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win AL QAHWA  12/1 ( at least eight firms)
Stewards Cup

David O'Meara  has perhaps not had the last season and a half that had been expected of him after he appeared to be turning everything he acquired into gold dust. Since he changed yards things have steadied a little but his runners are still invariably worth a second look and after taking the Wokingham with Out Do he has a big chance of taking the other big Summer sprint, most likely with Al Qahwa though his other two runners are not completely out of it. Al Qahwa has only had four runs since joining from Micky Halford but has run two crackers on easy ground, both at York. He won there back in May and was runner up last time to Flying Pursuit. There's more to come and plenty to like about his chance today.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 3 August 2017

3 pts win WITHERNSEA 16/1 (at least 5 firms inc PPower, Victor ,Bet 365)
Goodwood Mile H'cap

Ran an excellent race when third to stable companion Stamp's Hill at Ascot last Saturday. Won at Newbury earlier in the season on soft ground over tomorrow's distance and his career finishing positions on soft or heavy ground read a noteworthy,  323100011. Was actually tried in the Stewards Cup here last season and was not disgraced in mid div but this trip is better for him and he is very much one to be interested in.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 2 August 2017

3 pts win FRONTISPIECE 11/1 ( at least 4 firms)
Matchbook Exchange H'cap

Formerly known as the Extel, this race is always provides an interesting field and is hard to resist taking an interest in.

Frontispiece is almost certainly better than the bare form of his last race when never getting close to Archetype who had it all to himself up front. It would be no surprise at all if he turned that form around and though he has never encountered a soft surface, his sire was fully effective on it as is plenty of his progeny. Moore never had a chance of doing the weight and the apprentice on board is worth his claim and it all points to a big run tomorrow.

Lost - 3 pts
2 pts win HOCHFELD 9/1 ( at least 6 firms)
1 pt win BRIMHAM ROCKS 14/1 ( Betfair Ex)
Better Odds With Matchbook Exchange H'cap

Hochfeld could be the Johnston runner to be on here. He won't mind the ease, progressed by a stone in his three races last month and despite a reverse last time looks to have plenty more improvement left and appeals as a likely winner. The step down in trip will not inconvenience.

Brimham Rocks faces a much stiffer task than in the three races he's won this year but there is plenty to like about him. His handler is adept at handling his progressive handicappers and this one won with loads in hand last time and is ideally suited by an easy surface.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win ZELZAL 9/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Sussex Stakes

This 4 year old  never ran as a juvenile and only has seven races under his belt thus should be open to more improvement than most of his age. He is already a proven high class performer winning a G1 last year and shaped eyecatchingly on his reappearance when given too much to do by his regular rider Gregory Benoist. His overall level of form is only a couple of pounds behind Churchill and Ribchester, and given the room for further progression he is cracking value at the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 31 July 2017

3 pts win EDDYSTONE ROCK 14/1 ( across the board, 16's with three firms)
Matchbook Betting Exchange H'cap

On a track that obtaining a trouble free passage can be harder than most other venues this one will need the rub of the green but has strong enough claims to take the eye at double figure odds. His last three runs have been a good second in a valuable handicap at Epsom when hanging down the camber,followed by a never nearer mid div finish in the Duke of Edinburgh then a cracking close up sixth in the John Smith's Cup. His yard is enjoying a burst of excellent form right now and this could be his day.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win DUTCH CONNECTION 12/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
Lennox Stakes

Won the Jersey in 2015 and and took this event last year with a bit in hand. Admittedly he arrived here in better form that day than he does twelve months on but that is a fact accounted for in the odds and it would not be a big surprise if he returned to his best and went very close.


Saturday, 29 July 2017

1.5 pts win ULYSESS 10/1 ( at least eight firms)
1.5 pts win BENBATI 16/1 ( at leat seven firms)
King George V1 Queen Elizabeth Diamond Stakes

Enable is plenty short enough and there are more attractive alternatives. Ulysess put up a solid top class performance to with the Eclipse. He'd always looked as though he would eventually take one at the highest level and could now follow up with another. He hasn't raced on an easy surface since finishing unplaced in last year's Derby when still very immature. He had previously won his maiden in the soft though so there is hope that he may be able to produce his  optimum on today's surface.

Benbati did not get the run of the race in the Derby but all told ran a cracker and reappeared to win at Royal Ascot. He had finished runner up in the Dante on an easy surface, looks to have a good degree of improvement left in him and has possibilities of giving his trainer what would now for him be a rare G1 success in the UK.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 15 July 2017

3 pts win SCARLET DRAGON 16/1 ( at least eight firms)
John Smith's Cup

Always a cracking race and as is typical of these big handicaps now the quality of entry allied to field limit has meant those that got in have limited the weight spread to a stone.

This helps the likes of Scarlet Dragon who is a likeable, reliable horse with a genuine touch of class and a highly progressive profile. He's won over C&D last August and should confirm that form with the runner up Dark Red today. He improved further after that and shaped promisingly on his reappearance when sixth at Royal Ascot indicating that the handicapper may still not fully have curbed him. He has good prospects of reversing the form with the first two from that event and there is nothing not to like about him.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 8 July 2017

3 pts win KAPSTADT 12/1 ( most firms)
Old Newton Cup

This is a very exposed field and with the possible exception of Shraaoh there is nothing hidden away that might subsequently looks pounds better than his present mark. Kapstadt may be nothing more than a useful and versatile dual purpose servant but this may not take as much winning as it usually does and he is a must for the short list. He arrives in excellent heart on the back of a Newmarket victory last month and tries this trip for the first time on the level, one which may prove to be ideal.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win ULYSESS  9/1 ( Bet 365, SkyBet and Exchanges)

This one is very much the type that Stoute absolutely excels with and the impression left from Ascot was that apart from being delivered a shade too early against a gritty rallyer, that  he was also the one from the race who was open to the most measurable improvement. With this years three year old crop looking far from vintage this is an ideal opportunity for Ulysess to break into the big time.

Won + 27 pts

Friday, 30 June 2017

1.5 pts win SIR CHAUVELIN 16/1 ( at least 7 firms)
1.5 pts win HOT BEAT 20/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Stobart Rail Northumberland Plate

Sir Chauvelin was fourth in the consolation race for this last year and arrives here in real good heart after getting up close home to win a really competitive Hamilton handicap last month. He had previously run really well in the Chester Cup, finishing seventh after failing to obtain a clear run. There is nothing much not to like about his chance here and he should be involved.

Formerly with Peter Schiergen, Hot Beat has had four outings for his new handler, three on AW surfaces including a good run here in a decent sort of event back in February. His last run at Newmarket was too bad to be true and is best ignored. Not without a chance.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 23 June 2017

3 pts win ELBERETH 12/1 ( at least 5 firms - 14/1 on Betfair Ex)

This mare is 9 lb higher in the ratings than her last appearance in a handicap - which was when she ran a cracker to finish runner up in the John Smith's Cup last July. She has performed with great credit since in the face of stiff tasks. Her last two runs have seen her finish runner up in the Dahlia and fourth in the Coronation Cup. Admittedly, Group race form can sometimes be overrated and placed horses flattered but she is a likeable reliable sort who should give a really good account of herself.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win EDWARD LEWIS 14/1 ( at least 12 firms)

Been in cracking form since joining his new yard from John Gosden.  Ran a terrific race in the Dash at Epsom last time despite not getting the rub of the green and has built up a good rapport with the 3 lb claimer on board. One very much for the short list here.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 22 June 2017

1.5 pts win CALL TO MIND 20/1 ( Bet 365,Stan James and Betfair Ex)
1.5 pts win KHALIDI 20/1 (Betfair Ex)
King Edward Stakes

Call To Mind is evidently held in some regard and after a promising winning debut at Newbury disappointed when third in a Listed event at Newmarket. Back on a faster surface tomorrow and stepping up to 1m 4f he is not one to discount.

Khalidi won the Goodwood Derby Trial in the manner of a horse who had really come to himself. He was then well beaten in the Derby beating only four home. It will be interesting to see how his career progresses and he is worth a go here.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win TOP TUG 12/1 ( at least 13 firms)
Duke of Edinburgh

A compacted event with only 8 lb covering those that have got in. Alan King does really well with his flat horses and this one should be closer than his seventh in this last year when the ground was on the soft side. He is ideally better on a quicker surface and has looked an improved performer on his last two starts, winning in good style at Goodwood last time. The drop back in trip will not hinder in a race that is sure to be true run and he makes some appeal.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 21 June 2017

3 pts win HAVANA GREY 8/1 ( at least 7 firms)
Norfolk Stakes

Had the benefit of the far rail when making all in the National Stakes last month but it is hard to compromise the performance as he had the race in the bag quite a bit out and was probably just dossing close home. It looked a strong renewal of that event  with the runner up ( who re-opposes here)looking a useful sort in his own right. All three races have been on fast ground and she should give another good account of himself tomorrow.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win RUSUMAAT 25/1 + ( (Betfair and Betdaq Exs
1 pt win SENATOR  36/1 + (Betfair and Betdaq Exs

Rusumaat is 8 lb higher in the ratings for a a clear cut success in a traditionally highly competitive handicap at Haydock last month. He actually lined up in the Coventry here last year and though was out of his depth there he looks to be quickly on the upgrade now and could prove worth taking aboard.

Senator was gelded over the winter and ran a fair race on his reappearance at York on soft ground. The combination of an extra furlong on faster ground could be right up his street and he is worth a second look.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win HOMESMAN 14/1 (Hills, Bet 365, and Betfair Ex)
King George H'cap

Anyone watching him win last time out in blinkers ( after previously trying a visor) can see that he is clearly not starightforward but almost certainly a good deal better than the form suggests. He won with a bit in the tank and the two following him home are not mugs. He looks ideal material for a big field,fast pace scenario and should figure in a big way.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 20 June 2017

1.5 pts win YUFTEN 23/1 (Betfair Ex)
1.5 pts win ANOTHER TOUCH 35/1 (Betfair Ex)
Royal Hunt Cup

Yuften has not been seen since disappointing in the Lincoln but he is one very much to be interested in. He has only a 4 lb higher rating than when wining a valuable handicap here last October and despite now being six, he does not give the impression of one who will start to go backwards. He hails from one of the shrewdest set ups in the business and the Beckhampton horses are running out of their skin at the moment.

Another Touch's Nottingham victory received an unexpected boost today when the runner up ran a massive race to finish an excellent fifth to Ribchester. Another Touch appeal as one who would be winning again soon. There is a 7 lb claimer aboard but all of the apprentices from that yard down the years seem competent and at least worthy of their allowance.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 19 June 2017

3 pts win NEBO 12/1 ( at least 15 firms - 14/1 with 2)
Coventry Stakes

This one looked a smart sort when beating a Gosden horse in fine style in a soft ground Newbury maiden. The runner up has gone in since and the fourth home went on to run the top class prospect Glorious Journey very close at Newmarket. The ground is completely different tomorrow but he is impossible to get away from at the odds available and is very much one for the shortlist.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win OCEANE 12 /1 ( at least 13 firms)
Ascot Stakes

Alan King has three representatives here all with claims. This one is at home on genuinely fast ground and 'firm' was included in the going description when he won here last July and also when he landed a valuable event at the York August meeting. He again ran well here when runner up in an Apprentice event last month, has proved he stays this sort of trip when a strong finishing third at the big Goodwood meeting last season, and all in all looks a very likely candidate.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 17 June 2017

1.5 pts win PERFECT ANGEL 14/1 (at least 8 firms)
1.5 pts win THE WAGON WHEEL 18/1 ( at least 7 firms, 20's with 2)
Macmillan Charity Handicap

Perfect Angel has some really solid pieces of form in the book such as when runner up to the exciting Harry Angel in the Mill Reef and a good third in the Rockingham here. He shaped really well on his seasonal debut at Newbury and should figure here.

The Wagon Wheel won the valuable Nursery here last August and was also a good third in the big sales race at Redcar. She's dropped away in the closing stages of both outings so far this season but is tried in the blinds today and could surprise.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 10 June 2017

3 pts win JALLOTA 11/2 ( at least 6 firms)
John of Gaunt Stakes

The healthy of of Charles Hills yard augurs well for the chances of this one today who will be ideally suited by the testing conditions. He ran a highly credible race on his reappearance at Sandown at the end of April and drops down to seven furlongs today, over which all of his career wins have come. He looked better than ever towards the end of last season and looks certain to be in the shake up today.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 3 June 2017

3 pts win MASHAM STAR 12/1 (at least 8 firms)
Investec Private Banking H'cap

Been kept busy lately but ran a cracker to finish third in an ultra competitive handicap at Haydock last Saturday. Is stepped up in trip today and his pedigree does not scream that he wants further -however, many from his yard outstay their pedigrees and he doesn't need to improve much to play a big role in this.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win EL ASTRONAUTE 11/1 ( at  least 11/1 with 7 or more forms 12/1 with 3 firms)
Investec Dash

This one is in terrific hear at the moment winning three from his last four, and won here last August. he is 4 lb higher in the ratings on the back of a narrow but precise victory at Chester and is clearly still progressing. Jason Hart retains the ride after being aboard on his latest two starts and though this is a stiffer task it's worth noting that in the most competitive race he's ran in so far, at the York Ebor meeting, he finished a close up fourth. Hard to find any real negatives about his chance today.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win CLIFFS OF MOHER 5/1 ( at least 14 firms)
Epsom Derby

With six runners in the race you could conclude that Ballydoyle don't really believe that they a real star amongt their representatives; but this is a very muddling renewal and the more you look through the field the more you return to Cliffs of Moher who looks sure to improve notable on his Dee stakes performance which was more workmanlike than impressive. The fact that Gosden ran Cracksman in the Blue Riband Trial, a race which has been obsolete as a classic trail for many years , indicates that he never considered him a live Derby hope at the time. His level of form is similar to Cliffs of Moher but there may not be much improvement to come. Parmian's Dante looked a very poor renewal,while Eminent has stamina doubts and the main dangers my come from the other Ballydoyle runners with Chester Vase winner Venice Beach likely to run very well.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 1 June 2017

3 pts win CORONET 14/1 (Betfair Ex)
Investec Oaks

Cases can be made out for the five that follow Rhododenron in the betting and it's worth taking to one aboard at the prices available.

Coronet has nearly five lengths to make up on Sobetsu on  Prix St Alary form and though that event was a G1 in itself, Coronet's run had Epsom Oaks horse written all over it. She is reported to have come on well for that run and to label her a second string would not be giving due credit though this bumps up her price to a few points bigger than she should be and the 14/1 freely available on the exchanges now is worth taking.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 27 May 2017

3 pts win FIRE BRIGADE 8/1 ( at least 12 firms)
Amix Silver Bowl H'cap

In its various different names down the years this race is arguable the most interesting 1m 3 year old handicap run before Royal Ascot. Fire Brigade is certainly no Group horse in disguise but is a good, progressive solid handicapper who has an excellent chance of defying a 7 lb rise in the ratings today. The hike is for winning a Newmarket handicap in game style after travelling well for most of the race. That was in soft ground but even if the predicted rain does not arrive today his good penultimate run was on fast ground and the stable is in healthy form.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 20 May 2017

3 pts win GLORIOUS FOREVER  8/1 ( at least 7 firms)
London Gold Cup

Has gone up a little in the ratings after a more than satisfactory reappearance at Doncaster when caught in the later stages by a John Gosden horse but looks one who would have been better for the run, with plenty more to offer and an interesting season in handicaps ahead of him. Most of his sires's best progeny train on well, act well in soft and stay well, and this one has already won with ease in the ground. A lot to like about his chance today.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 7 May 2017

1.5 pts win QUEEN KINDLY 45/1 (Betfair Ex)
1.5 pts win UNFORGETTABLE FILLY  39/1 (Betfair Ex)
1,000 GNS

It is possible to make out some sort of credible case for eleven of these and it could be worth taking a couple of fancy priced ones aboard.

Queen Kindly won the Lowther fair and square last year with Fair Eva back in third. The latter still has a bit of a hype tag on her which is one of the reasons the is 5 x shorter in the betting. Queen Kindly had probably gone for the year when beaten in the Cheverley Park and shaped well on on her reappearance when fifth in the Fred Darling, never being able to get in a blow. The Gosden filly that won the race was most certainly a lot straighter that day and it would not be a shock if Queen Kindly reversed the form with those ahead of her. Admittedly, there is a doubt as to whether she will get the trip( same applies to Fair Eva) but at the price it won't cost a lot to find out.

Unforgettable Filly finished runner up in the Nell Gwyn to another Gosden filly who again would have been straighter in condition. She had Poet's Voice one place behind her who she'd been third to in the Rockfel. It looks like she's trained on really well and she could take a part in this.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 6 May 2017

3pts win BERKSHIRE 16/1 ( almost all firms)
Spring Lodge Stakes

Still a bit of an enigma - though four years ago now he is still probably best remembered for the impression he created when winning the Chesham. After looking as though he failed to train on at 3 when well beaten in the Greenham he returned after an absence to win over this C&D at the end of that season. He's continued to be lightly raced in the couple of years since and is a bit hit and miss . However he does have a touch of class ,can go well when fresh, the stable is in form and he could surprise.


2 pts win DANCING STAR 12/1 ( at least 10 firms)
1pt win KACHY 22/1 ( 3 firms, 25/1 with St James)

Stewards Cup winner Dancing Star  should maintain his overall progressive profile this season and may even be capable of playing a hand in some of the G1 sprints - he was probably over the top for the season when well beaten in one on his last appearance of the season. No knowing his level of fitness for today's race but he is worth chancing at the price.

Kachy also makes his reappearance but encouragement to his well being can maybe be gleaned by the healthy form of his yard at the moment. His form when runner up in the Commonwealth Cup at Royal Ascot would see him go close here. Admittedly that was with give but he does have winning form on fast ground and could run a big race today.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 29 April 2017

1.5 pts win PRESENT MAN 12/1( almost everywhere)
1.5 pts win WHATS HAPPENING 14/1 ( almost everywhere)
Bet 365 Gold Cup

Though he's yet to race at this venue Present Man's prominent racing style will not compromise his chance and he has an excellent record going right handed. He has his ground and arrives here in great heart and with the profile of one who has more to offer. Jack Sherwood has built up an excellent rapport with him, winning 4 from 6, and there ain't too much to dislike about his chance.

What's Happening was developing into a smart handicap chaser until a setback kept him off the track for 16 months. He reappeared in February running a cracker at Exeter then ran a little better than his finishing position suggests when 11th in the Kim Muir, being on the tail of the leaders until turning into the straight. He's better than that and could run a very big race.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 22 April 2017

2 pts win VINTAGE CLOUDS 16/1 ( at least 5 firms)
1 pt win DANCING SHADOW 40/1( at least 8 firms)
Scottish Grand National

Vintage Clouds has faced stiff tasks on all of his last three starts, his good third at Haydock splitting two runs when he hit the deck when in the process of running respectable races. Still in his novice season he's already shown that he's going to be a competitor in these big marathon events as he looks the type who'll improve over today's trip and give a very good account of  himself.

Dancing Shadow has improved in the region of 20 lb this season and relished this sort of trip when winning at Musselburgh on today's ground on his penultimate start, showing that he's in his element on good ground. He was beaten too far out at Cheltenham last time to conclude anything other that he was not himself. Could bounce back with a good run here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 8 April 2017

2 pts win MESSIRE DES OBEAUX 13/2 ( at least half a dozen firms)
1 pt win REIVERS LAD 54/1 (Betfair Ex)
Mersey Novices Hurdle

Messire Des Obeaux's third in the Neptune is the standout piece of form in this race and a repeat of that run should be good enough to win this provided there is nothing special lurking amongst those taking a step up in class. The only negative is the drying ground but all in all he's reasonably priced.

Nicky Richards has this meeting as his number one and the fact that he tends not to overface his charges makes Reivers Lad interesting at a massive price. He takes a big step up in grade after running up a hatrick by beating moderate opponents with a bit in hand and could really be anything.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win EMERGING FORCE 13/2 (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win TAKING RISKS  45/1 (Betfair Ex)
Betway H'cap Chase

Emerging Force is mighty interesting here. A highly regarded novice hurdler last season ( he started only 6/1 for a G1 at the Punchestown Festival), he's had three races over fences winning the first two and is put into handicap company here. He's not run since December but goes well fresh, is best on good ground, and he could be much better than today's handicap mark.

Taking Risks put up his best performance over hurdles on good ground and after three races in succession on heavy ground. this Spring ground may just bring about a big step up in performance and he is worth considering.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win RAZ DE MAREE   49/1 (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win DOCTOR HARPER 99/1 (Betfair Ex)

Raz De Maree ran in this three years ago and ran much better than his respectable eighth place finish indicates, not really getting the run of the race but staying on well.He's thrived since moving to his new yard,winning the Cork National and finishing runner up in the Welsh National. He had a pleasing sharpener over hurdles last time, is not compromised by decent ground and could run a really big race.

Doctor Harper has not  turned out to be the horse over fences that he promised to be - he's looked the type who would go the Sun Alliance, Gold Cup route but injury meant his switch to fences was later than planned. While he's been disappointing there are bits of form that make him worth a second look and the blinds are applied for the first time today, indicating that connections still believe there may be a key to unlock something from his somewhere.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 7 April 2017

3 pts win THOMAS CAMPBELL 9/1 ( al least 7 firms)
Alder Hey Charity H'cap Hdle

Ran a cracker when fifth over this trip at the Cheltenham festival and off a slightly higher rating and with the yard remaining in healthy form there is no reason why she should not be far away today. Admittedly, he does tend to hit a flat spot in his races and this flat quickish circuit may not be ideal for getting to the leaders in such a scenario but today's rider had him tracking the leaders when he last rode him and it would be wasteful to be put off his chance by anticipating something that may not unfold.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win GOLD PRESENT 11/1 (at least 6 firms)
1 pt win KATACHENKO 28/1( at least 5 firms inc Hills and Bet 365)

Gold Present found only one to good for him at Cheltenham after travelling like the likely winner as the race progressed. He proved that he thrives in the big field scenario and appeals very much as one who will be cruising along here. If he takes to the fences then he is the most likely winner.

Katachenko missed the race he won on the Thursday last year to run in this and he is not without a chance. The yard had him spot on at the meeting last year and expect him to be ready to run to his optimum.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 6 April 2017

2pts win DIVIN BERE  13/2  (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win FLYING TIGER 17/1 (Betfair Ex)
Doom Bar Juvenile Hurdle

No holes to find in Defu Du Seuil but the first two home in the Fred Winter are worth chancing at the prices in the hope that he does throw in a below par effort.

Divin Bere lined up at Cheltenham on the back of one race in this country when he beat Master Blueyes with the rest of the field well beaten off. The runner up's subsequent performance in the Triumph can be ignored as he finished lame - he did win the Adonis in the interim however. Divi Bere then ran a cracker when narrowly beaten at Cheltenham,giving weight to the winner and he could turn out to be very smart.

Flying Tiger was receiving 5 lb that day. He came from a long way back to win and will need the pace to be on for him to do the same again.That was a big step up on his previous form but was not any sort of fluke and he looks to have suddenly come to himself and cannot be ruled out.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win SILVINIACO CONTI  10/1 ( 4 firms inc PPower and Stan James)
Bowl Chase

Will not take as much winning as in previous years and Silviniaco Conti who won this in 2014 and 2015, showed enough in the King George to indicate that todays's odds underestimate his chance even allowing for the fact that he's not quite the horse he was. There were inches between him and Cue Card that day and even though the latter has aged better, he too has passed his very best and the disparity in price is a bit too big. Empire From Dirt was far from pleasing at Cheltenham and you feel Bristol De Mai ideally wants the mud flying.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win ROMAIN DU SENAM  11/1 ( almost all firms)
1 pt win GINO TRAIL 19/1 (Betfair Ex)
Red Rum Chase

Romain Du Senam was runner up in the  Fred Winter last season and began his chasing career with a respectable effort to chase home Top Notch. In his four starts since he's won an uncompetitive affair at Leicester and his form has been iffy to downright disappointing. He is however clearly much better than that, has a handicap rating that undervalue his true ability and the fact that he lines up here makes his very much one to consider in an event that novices have an excellent record in.

Gino Trail has some very useful pieces of form in the book,finishing runner up to the likes of Buveur D'Air, Flying Angel and Zamdy Man, and winning his other two starts. Despite being a ten year old there is very little mileage on the clock and he hails from arguably the most improved operation in the country. Not hard to to imagine him putting in a bold show from the front.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 1 April 2017

3 pts win DOLPHIN VISTA 14/1 (at least 6 firms)

This one won't mind the ease in the ground and was in good form on the turf around this time last year (though admittedly he'd an an AW race prior to the turf starting) and returned to form when winning a valuable handicap over 1m 2f at Beverley in August. He's been gelded during the winter and whether or not he'd had the outright choice of the Fahey runners it's a plus that a replenished Hanagan is on board. Off only a 4 lb higher rating than at Beverley and reverting to what will be a true run race over a mile with ease in the ground, he looks set to give a really good account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 25 March 2017

3 pts win THEATRE TERRITORY 12/1 ( 75% of all firms)
EBF&TBA Mares Novice Hdle Finale

Lots to like about this one.She did everything right when winning on her hurdling debut in December but could not follow up next time when faced with a stiffer task,looking like she wanted this sort of trip, She then got that over today's C&D when, starting odds on, she hit the deck two out when travelling overwhelmingly like the winner.She disappointed last time when put into a Grade 2 event which though she was not entitled to win, it was still probably a below par effort. Both runners from her yard won here yesterday and Seven Barrows have an outstanding record in this event - needless to say this one is well worth a go today at double figure odds on her first start in handicap company.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 18 March 2017

2 pts win MYSTEREE  9/1 ( at least three quarters of all firms)
1 pt win WARRANTOR 22/1 ( at least 4 firms inc Hills and Victor)
Midlands Grand National

Mysteree has won half of his eight starts over fences, quite rare for one plying his trade in these marathon handicaps. He looked in great heart when winning the Eider last time and has prospects of following up off a 6 lb higher rating.

Warrantor catches the eye at the odds available. A repeat of the form he showed at Cheltenham in November would put him bang in this.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 16 March 2017

3 pts win  MASTER BLUEYES 8/1 (Betfair Ex)
Triumph Hurdle

This one has plenty going for him here. He showed decent ground is ideal for him when putting up a fine performance to win the Adonis in the style of a potential winner of this event. The form of that event has received a boost at this meeting through Flying Tiger , and it's worth noting that in the Kempton raced he bossed the runner up Evening Hush with equal authority to what Defi De Seuil had done at Chepstow. From a yard that has won this race twice in the past dozen years, he looks certain to go very close.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win THE WORLDS END 11/1 (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win AMI DESBOIS  28/1 ( 3 firms inc Stan James and Victor)
Albert Bartlett Novices Hurdle

The World's End is a genuine,progressive stayer who won't be stopping. He put himself in the picture for this when winning a Grade 2 race at Haydock last time. the two that followed him home that day at both previously ran well in graded races and the form is entitled to plenty of respect. This will be the fastest surface he's encountered which is a slight concern, but others here are also in the same boat in that respect.

Amir Desbois appeals as one who'll run a big race at nice odds. He stays all day, has a victory to his name on good ground, and also made Wholestone pull out all the stops here earlier in the season. Certainly not one to rule out lightly.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win COO STAR SIVOLA  16/1 ( 4 firms inc PPower and Stand James)
1.5 pts win THOMAS CAMPBELL 18/1 ( 3 firms inc PPower and Victor)
Martin Pipe Handicap Hurdle

Nick Williams has already taken the Fred Winter here and Coo Star Sivola is very much one for the shortlist here.Unlike plenty hailing from the yard, Coo Star Sivola  is not compromised by Spring conditions, as shown when he ran a cracker to be a close third in the Fred Winter last year.He arrives here in great heart and will not be far away.

Thomas Campbell has looked one to follow right from that Bumper victory at Kelso last May when Henderson went to saddle him instead of going to Chester to saddle up the horse that won the Chester Cup. He won his first two starts over timber this season, albeit without looking anything special, and was a little disappointing when beaten in the Kennel Gate. However, there should be more to come and he is interesting on his first venture in handicap company.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 15 March 2017

2 pts win FOR GOOD MEASURE 9/1 ( at least 6 firms, 10/1 with Bet365)
1 pt win GAYEBURY 25/1 ( Betfair Ex)
Pertemps Network Final

For Good Measure ran well in the qualifier here in October when beaten inches by a stable companion. He has not been seen since early December, when again running well here off a 3 lb lower rating than tomorrow. He has no doubt been put away with this race in mind and looks set to give a very good account of himself.

Gayebury  has only had four starts over hurdles but is looking a quality sort and has prospects of defying top weight.The form of his second to Willoughby Court at Warwick to January has been given a massive boost at this meeting and he comfortably disposed of his rivals at Chepstow time, fully deserving his hike in the ratings. There's just a little unknown regarding the drying ground but there is enough to like about him to take him aboard.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win BARON ALCO 14/1 (at least 10 firms)
1 pt win VOIX DEAU 45/1 (Betfair Ex)
Stable Plate H'cap Chase

Baron Alco's only had five starts over fences but has some eyecatching form. He was not flattered when beaten just over two lengths when trying to give Whisper 5 lb in a hottish  little novice chase at this venue in December, He also put up a credible performance when runner up to the classy Top Notch in the Scilly Isle at Sandown last time. There is surely much more to come and he appeals very much as one who will be in the shake up.

Voix Deau beat a useful field here in April, a repeat of which would put him bang in with a chance. However, he has disappointed in both starts this season, albeit over 3 mile. He's been absent since November but goes well fresh - his win here in April coming off a break since December. He is also 2113 for the amateur aboard ( was on him here in April) and is far too big a price to resist.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 14 March 2017

1.5pts win MESSIRE DES OBEAUX 12.5/1 (Betfair Ex)
1.5pts win CONSUL DE THAIX  16/1 ( at least 3 firms inc Poer & Victor, 16.5/1 both exes)
Neptune Novices Hurdle

Far more than a two horse affair this and Messire Des Obeaux is a smart performer in his own right. He gave 7 lb and a narrow beating to Ballyandy ( not disgraced when 4th in the Supreme Novices when not getting the run of the race) at Sandown , then followed up by winning the Challow, and ran a cracker when just failing to give weight to Keepers Hill in the Sidney Banks. Hard to find reasons for him not running a big race here.

Consul De Theax began the season with an eyecatching second to stable companion at Sandown. he was fancied to turn the form around at Ascot next time but could not match the impressive winner. Still, it was a fine effort if a little disappointing that he hadn't come on from the previous encounter as much as the winner. He hasn't been out since and there is still plenty to find out about him. It could be that this trip will bring out an optimum performance and is worth chancing st the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win AUTOMATED 14/1 ( at least 5 firms inc Victor,Power,St James)
1 pt win MISTER MIYAGI 19/1 (Betfair Ex)
Coral Cup

Runner up in a valuable handicap over 2 mile at Aintree when last over here 11 months ago, Automated showed that he is a better animal over further when winning a competitive Navan event last time in the style of one who had one of the big handicaps in him. The yard's horses are running out of their skin right now and there is plenty to like about his chance.

Mister Magayi has not been seen since disappointing in a Champion Hurdle trial here in early December. He's been highly tried in plenty of races and has normally acquitted himself credibly.It's his first venture into handicap company which clouds matters a little - however he has proven form when fresh and he is one to consider.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 13 March 2017

2 pts  win RIVER WYLDE 8/1 ( at least 5 firms inc PPower and St James)
1 pt win HIGH BRIDGE  16/1 ( with 75% of all firms)
Supreme Novices Hurdle

RiverWylde is unbeaten in his three starts over timber and put up an excellent performance last time at Kempton. He looked a class act that day and the form is stonewall solid - beating a good field, a few of whom that had quantifiable form against all the right sort of horses. Hard to leave out here.

High Bridge is likewise 3 from 3 over hurdles and the form of his latest race has been advertised  by those that finished immediately behind him. He was highly thought of enough to take his place in the the bumper here last year when he finished a credible sixth,just over four lengths behind Ballyandy),  and does not look out of his depth here.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win SINGLEFARMPAYMENT 15/2 ( at lest 4 firms inc Lads,Coral,St James)
1 pt win PILGRIMS BAY  31/1 (Betfair Ex)
Ultima H'cap Chase

Singlefarmpayment looked one to keep on the right side of when winning here in December , with three decent yardsticks ( even allowing for the fact that the third home has improved since) following him home. He was unfortunate to be brought down on his return here when still going well and he appeals as a very likely winner of this.

Pilgrim's Bay has a couple of better fancied stable companions lining up against him but he is not one to overlook lightly. He won like one with much more to come at Kempton last time and must be entertained at the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win BRAIN POWER 7/1 (at least 9 firms)
1.5 pts win PETIT MOUCHOIR 8/1 (at least 11 firms)
Champion Hurdle

This is a very ordinary renewal going into it and there ain't any single animal that scares you here.

Brain Power could be anything. He visually looked superb last time when taking command of a valuable Ascot handicap  and there is just no knowing how far off his ceiling he is. It could very well be that he is already good enough as weights and measures are just guessing how much he had in hand. Impossible to leave out of calculations.

Petit Mouchoir is a much improved performer on the one that finished unplaced in the Supreme Novices on this day last year. The upturn started at Aintree, when starting at 40/1 he ran Buveur D'Air close . That higher level of form has continued since the move to his new yard and he should give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 11 March 2017

2 pts win WIILLIAM H BONNEY 7/1 ( at least10 firms - bigger with three others)
1 pt win KAYF BLANCO  10/1 ( at laest 12 firms - bigger with two others)
Imperial Cup

Willim H Bonney went into the Betfair Hurdle with a profile of one who looked markedly on the upgrade and one who would grab a couple of these valuable handicaps. He ran too bad to be true in conditions that should have been ideal for him.May be best to forgive that run and give him another chance in an event that won't take as much winning.

Kayf Blanco is another who likes to get his toe in. He ran a cracker in the Betfair last time, staying on to finish fifth, and ran well here earlier in the season when third to the highly progressive Brain Power. He doesn't do things too quickly but will be staying on up the hill and has a serious chance.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 4 March 2017

3pts win LOOKING WELL 11/2 ( at least 6 firms inc PPower,Victor,Betfred)
Grimthorpe H'cap Chase

This one is really getting his act together over fences now and showed that there are valuable handicap chases in him when staying on well to finish runner up in what use to be the Great Yorkshire at Doncaster last time. He fully deserves the 5 lb hike in the ratings for that and as his ceiling will eventually be a good deal higher than today's rating, he appeals as a likely winner of this. The one worry is the ground - his best form has been on better ground but that may just be incidental and there is still plenty to find out about him.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 25 February 2017

1.5 pts win MYSTEREE 10/1 ( all of the major firms)
1.5 pts win OUT SAM 12/1 ( almost all firms)
Eider Chase

Mysteree finish fourth in this last year and there are reasons to suggest he may be a lot closer  this time round. Today's ground is more testing than that prevailing 12 months ago - this will be ideal for him, he wasn't stopping towards the end last year. It was also only his fourth outing over fences. The move between linked yards doesn't have appeared to done any harm - he won a fairly competitive affair at Haydock on his first run since the change and the run last time out is probably best ignored - this sphere in general is not filled with the most consistent sorts.

Out Sam is becoming a disappointing sort. He started favourite for the old Ritz chase at the Cheltenham festival last March and was only 16/1 for the G 1 staying novice race at Aintree won by Native River. It's clear that he is not going to be the horse some thought he may turn out to be but has ran two decent races in competitive events on his latest two starts he may just take to this slog.

Mysteree Won  + 13.5 pts

Saturday, 18 February 2017

1.5 pts win VIEUX LION ROUGE 8/1 ( Betfair Ex and Betdaq Ex)
1.5 pts win GOODTOKNOW  12.5/1 (Betfair Ex and Betdaq Ex)
Grand National Trial H'cap Chase

Vieux Lion Rouge has won half of all of his starts under rules and arrives here on the back of a Becher chase success 11 weeks ago. He is best fresh thus the break in between will have been ideal. He's won around here before and is impossible to cross off the short list.

Goodtoknow is in the form of his life, the merit of his run when second in a similar race to this at Warwick being confirmed when he went on to win a decent event at Hereford last time. His yard has been finding additional improvement from it's charges over the past year or so and this one must be considered here.

V.L.Rouge Won  + 10 pts

Saturday, 11 February 2017

2 pts win WILLIAM H BONEY 11/1 ( 4 firms inc PPower, St James - and Exchanges)
1 pt win SONG LIGHT  16.5/1 (Betfair Ex)
Betfair Hurdle

William H Boney put up a really neat performance when winning at Cheltenham two weeks ago, travelling comfortably most of the way and appealing as a horse with a lot more to offer. His yard is in good from, the ground is ideal and there is no apparent reason why he shouldn't run a very big race under a 5 lb penalty.

Song Light ran a cracker on his seasonal debut in the Greatwood. He's not been seen since and looks to have been put away for this. Very much one to consider here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 4 February 2017

2 pts win JUST A PAR 7/1 ( 7/1 or bigger with at least 6 firms)
1 pt win VALLEYOFMILAN 20/1 (everywhere)
Edinburgh National

Just A Par races off the same rating as when just touched off for a second Whitbread back in April. He's had one outing since which he'll no doubt come on for and today's ground will be absolutely ideal for him. Overall, everything is going for him here and he warrants support.

Valleyofmilan is another who is ideally suited by the ground not being too soft and he lines up here in great heart. He unseated at his only previous attempt at this sort of trip but has the pedigree of an out and out stayer and could put up a bold show here.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win OTAGO TRAIL 11/2  ( 11/2 or bigger with at least 6 firms)
Masters H'cap Chase

This one is at home in testing conditions and has run two excellent races in his last three starts.Although he was unable to confirm his Rehearsal Chase winning form with Bristol De Mae in the Peter Marsh the other week, it was probably more of a case of the Twiston -Davies horse suddenly going places as opposed to Otago Trail being below par. He should give an excellent account of himself today.

Won + 16.5pts

Saturday, 28 January 2017

2 pts win WALK IN THE MILL  15/2 ( 5 firms,  8/1 with 2 firms)
1 pt win BALLYNAGOUR 33/1 ( all firms)
Hugo's Restaurant H'cap Chase

Plenty of disappointing and unreliable characters in this and it may pay to take aboard the progressive Walk In The Mill. He's looked much improved this season winning both his outings, the last earlier this month when easily beating a previously out of form Nicholl's horse at Wincanton. That was clearly a weaker race than today's but he is in great heart at present, has the soft ground that he needs, and could be up to defying a  12 lb hike in the ratings.

Ballynagour has never had the career successes for one possessing his raw ability. Of course, there have and are issues with him but you always feel he could suddenly throw in a big run. He's been pulled up on his last two starts, both at this venue. He's off a rating nearly a stone off what he raced off at his peak and at the odds available he is worth a speculative bet as despite his advancing years there is still plenty of talent there, as proven in his two Summer runs.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win ANOTHER HERO 8/1 ( 14 firms)
1.5 pts win BALLYBOKER BREEZE 11/1 ( at least 6 firms)
SkyBet H'cap Chase

Another Hero looks a real potential improver here. He's only had five outings over fences, the best performance being last time when a close up fourth in a valuable handicap chase at Ascot in December. He has the ideal profile of one that his yard excels with and he appeals as one of the most likely winner of this.

Ballybroker Breeze has plenty of mileage left for a nine year old. In fact he's only had three runs over fences under rules but looked very much one who would pay to follow when s decisive winner at Bangor last time. His yard do not over face their charges and he is one for the short list though further rain would increase confidence.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 21 January 2017

3 pts win DEFINITLY RED 4.8/1 (Betfair Ex)
Peter Marsh Chase

Going strictly on the Newcastle form this one should not be turning the form around with Otago Trail and Bristol De Mai. He went off strongly fancied for that event but hit a flat spot during the event and left the impression that he was not quite on song on the day. He followed that up with a a visually taking performance in the Rowland Meryck on Boxing Day, beating a decent field in the style of a horse fast on the upgrade.The ground will be a level softer today, and similar to that at Newcastle, but he has proven himself just as effective in these conditions and can defy an 8 lb rise in the ratings.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 14 January 2017

1.5 pts win DOCTOR HARPER 11/1 ( at least nine firms)
1.5 pts win ONE FOR ARTHUR 12/1 (at least eight firms)
Classic Chase

Doctor Harper's  delayed switch to chasing has not materialised as one would have hoped, as over hurdles he appealed as the sort who could reach the top rank over the larger obstacles. It's been false dawns so far but while hopes of him being a Gold Cup horse went long ago, his run at Cheltenham on New Year's Day shows that he could be able to carve out a niche for himself in the slogging events. He's up 7 lb in the ratings for that run but still has a great opportunity here.

One For Arthur looked one to follow when winning on his reappearance at Kelso in October. He followed up with a fine effort, staying on at the death to finish a close fifth in the Becher . He appeals as the sort to run well in an Aintree Grand National but will need to go up at least 7 lb in the ratings to get in. This could be his last opportunity to get himself that hike and it all points to a bold showing here.

One For Arthur Won + 16.5 pts

Saturday, 7 January 2017

3 pts win CHALONNIAL 9/1 ( PPower, Victor and Betfair)
Tolworth Hurdle

More wide open than the betting suggests and it could pay to take Chalonnial on board here.
This one made a very satisfying debut over hurdles at Bangor with a comfortable success in soft ground. It was only a run of the mill event but he is clearly much better than the bare form suggests and hails from a yard that is breaking through onto the highest tier. It's also a yard absolutely flying right at the moment.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 1 January 2017

1.5 pts win VANITEUX 12/1( Coral,Bet 365, Stan James)
1.5 pts win TOP GAMBLE 10/1 ( 5 firms inc Hills and Lads)
Festival Betting H'cap Chase

Vaniteux tries this distance for the first time over fences at around which he was every bit as good over hurdles than shorter trips. Though being comfortably held by the winner, he was still running a cracker in the Arkle when UR'ing two out. He's run well on both outing this season and needless to say on his seventh start over fences there should be improvement left in him.

Top Gamble is one of those that re oppose from last year's running of this. He finished a close third but showed improved from on his remaining two starts, winning in the style of one with a new lease of life.He was almost certainly in need of the run on his reappearance and arrives here with his yard in good form.

Top Gamble Lost, Vaniteux NR  - 1.5 pts
Annual Results 2016

January  + 15 pts
February + 18 pts
March - 27 pts
April + 34.5 pts
May - 2 pts
June + 90 pts
July - 16 pts
August + 6 pts
September + 14 pts
October + 3 pts
November - 6 pts
December + 3 pts

Profit of  + 132.5 pts