Saturday, 29 October 2016

1.5 pts win JOHN CONSTABLE 10/1 ( at least 7 firmsinc Hills,Victor,Betfred)
1.5 pts win MODUS 12/1 ( at least 6 firms inc Lads.PPower,Victor)
W Hill H'cap Hdle

Sternrubin, John Constable and Ch'Tibello filled the first three places in a Newbury handicap hurdle nearly 12 months back and cases can be made for any of the three to come out on top this time. John Constable still has that bit of unknown about him and you get the underlining feeling that he'll take a few of these valuable events when it all falls right. Relatively lightly raced and clearly hard to keep sound, he'll be fully spot on today as they can't waste outings with his type for the purpose of getting them fully conditioned.

A hell of a lot was expected of Modus going into his novice hurdle season last year after being one of the top Bumper horses around. Overall, despite proving useful it was a disappointing season with him ultimately not proving up to threatening the top novices of the season.However, it hasn't done his mark any harm and there is every possibility that he'll prove much better than the level of the form he showed, which was admittedly very decent form.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 14 October 2016

2 pts win TWILIGHT SON 7/1 ( 3 firms inc Coral  - 8/1 with Victor)
1 pt win BRANDO  12/1 ( or bigger with at least 10 firms)
Quipco British Champion Sprint

Twilight Son found only the best sprinter around last year too good for him in this 12 months ago and with there certain to be some ease underfoot, he is sure to go very close here. His July Cup run on fast ground can be ignored,he'd previously won the Golden Jubilee meaning that both of his two best career runs have been over this C&D.

Brando's only previous attempt in G1 company saw him well beat in the Nunthorpe two outings back, but 5f on fast ground are not a combination that will allow him to perform near his best. He arrives here on the back of a cracking weight carrying performance in the Ayr Gold Cup and is not one to dismiss lightly.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win MORANDO  8/1 ( at least 5 firms inc Lads,PPower,Betfred)
Balmoral H'cap

This is a fast improving colt who completed a hatrick  a decent handicap at Ayr last time in the style of one who had not ended the sequence yet. He's 8 lb higher in the ratings for that performance but had more in hand than that and though this is a higher quality field many will have had it for the season and with the likely give underfoot he looks fairish value around the 8/1 mark.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 8 October 2016

1.5pts win NAKEETA 29/1 (Betfair Ex)
1.5pts win STAR RIDER 43/1 ( Betfair Ex)

Plenty of shockers in this down the years and worth taking a couple aboard at large odds.

Nakeeta is a genuine horse who can be relied upon to run his race and came within inches of winning this year's Chester Cup. He has plenty of recent form with many of today's rivals but does race off his highest ever rating which makes him vulnerable to the better handicapped types. However,overall he does have a progressively leaning profile himself and there is plenty enough to like about his chance at the price.

Star Rider is not the best fancied from his stables representatives but is one to consider. She won the 2m5f handicap at the big Goodwood meeting in the style of one who would be a contender for this and other similar races next season. She was then out of her grade in the Park Hill last time, a run that can be safely ignored and provided she's not gone for the season she appeals as the type who could cause a surprise.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win WHO DARES WINS  8/1 (Ladbrokes,Stan James,Victor)
Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle

This event is hard to keep away from and Who Dares Wins catches the eye. He started well fancied at 10/1 for the Triumph and looked very much one to consider but ran a disappointing race. He's since had three runs on the flat, winning one of them and showing improved form on his previous season  and in the process appealing very much as the sort who would progress much further over timber. Sure to be spot on for this.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 2 October 2016

3 pts win FOUND 7/1 (Generally available)
Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe

At this late stage in the season plenty of animals will have gone over the top and past runnings of this event are littered with examples of animals arriving here on the back of good performances only to find that they have gone past their best for the year. For this reason Postponed is too short a price to entertain, and Makahiki is priced up on good past runnings of Japanese horses in this event plus a Prix Niel performance that was visually pleasing but nothing outstanding on bare form.

Of those with strong form credentials Found is the most likely one to run her race. She lined up with a strong chance last season but was unable to find a clear run at the crucial time. She then went on to finish runner up at Ascot before beating the winner of this event in the Breeders Cup Turf. Needless to say she takes her racing admirably well and peaks at this time of the year ( won the Marcel Boussac two years ago), and granted the run of the race she appeals as a very likely winner of this.

Won  + 21 pts

Saturday, 1 October 2016

3 pts win REMARKABLE 8/1 (Generally available)
Totescoop Challenge Cup

A few of these have met each other recently and strong cases can be made why at least four individuals will come out best today - however it may pay to look elsewhere and Remarkable, who has a different profile, is one very much to consider. His last and only run in a handicap was when winning off 76 at Doncaster back in April - today he's off 105, but it'a a deserved mark. After chasing home Log Out Island in a Listed event at Newbury he then  lined up for the Jersey where he ran an excellent race to finish fifth to Ribchester. He's not been seen since and has been gelded and is a mighty interesting proposition on his return.

Lost - 3 pts