Saturday, 24 September 2016

3 pts win ROLY POLY 6/1 ( at least 9 firms)
Red Mills Cheveley Park

Lady Aurelia's type generally fizzle out at some point - she was physically miles more mature than her opponents in the Queen Mary but three months later the rest should be catching up and her performance in France ( although a high class one) did not make her one you'd want to run away from.

Roly Poly was behind her in the Queen Mary but has been progressing well since and like many from her yard she takes her racing very well and has been steadily improving all the time. After winning the Cherry Hinton she ran a cracker in the Lowther and with a 3 lb pull there should not be much between her and the winner Queen Kindly.You get the feeling that out of the three principals Roly Poly is the one most likely to produce her very best she is the value call here.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win MASTER OF THE WORLD 25/1 ( at least 7 firms)
1 pt win FIRST SITTING  43/1 ( Betfair Ex)

This is an event where horses come back and run well again and last years runner up Master of The World has again been fortunate to get the far rail berth and though he races off a 9 lb higher rating has enough going for him to make worth backing at the odds available. He has a poor win strike rate but the big field scenario suits him well and he narrowly failed to win the big Goodwood handicap three outings back and is as good as he's ever been.

First Sitting's will depend amongst other things how the race pans out as he is drawn towards the stands side  but he is progressing nicely and ran a fine race in the Duke of Edinburgh at Royal Ascot. He is however quick enough to be competitive in a true run race at this trip, has Doyle aboard who is 2 from 3 on him, and arrives here in fine heart.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 17 September 2016

3 pts win IMPERIAL AVIATOR  15/2 ( Coral,Victor, Bet 365)
Dubai Duty Free H'cap

Is 12 lb higher in the ratings than when creating a massive impression and going into everyone's notebooks when winning here back in May. That was his last run in handicap company until today and as he was being touted as G1 material at the time, it wasn't expected that he'd be back in this company. However, not too much is broken - he's only had two outings since, when unplaced in the French Derby and Great Voltigeur, looking like he never got the 12 f last time. His yard is in cracking form and though this will be the softest ground he's encountered, he beat Ulysses in his maiden on good to soft, and is irresistible here.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win BRANDO 18/1 ( 3 firms and Betfair Ex)
1 pt win JOHNNY BARNES 29/1 (Betfair Ex)
Ayr Gold Cup

Awkward to weigh up Group form in a race like this but at least Brando did have his first three runs of the season in handicaps, the last when narrowly beaten in the Wokingham off a 9 lb lower rating than todays. In his three runs since he has won a G 3 at Sandown, been runner up to subsequent Nunthorpe winner Mecca's Angel in a G2 at the Curragh, then finished mid-div in the Nunthorpe itself. He acts with ease in the ground, hails from a yard with an excellent record in this event, has a favourable draw and all in all should give a very good account of himself.

Johnny Barnes is an eyecatching runner in this from the Gosden yard. Runner up in a G1 in France as a juvenile he began his 3 year old career in classic trials.He's not turned into the horse that perhaps connections expected him to be but he did win a G3 in the soft in Deauville last August and the first of his three runs this season showed all of the ability is still there. The fact that he is switched down to this trip, the shortest he's ever races over indicates they are still trying to find the key to him and it would be no surprise to see him involved here.

Brando Won ( 16.5/1 for nr's after price taken)  + 32 pts

Saturday, 10 September 2016

2 pts win SON OF AFRICA 22/1 - before Final Venture W/D (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win OUT DO 29/1 - before Final Venture W/D (Betfair Ex)

For a 4 year old  operating in this sphere Son of Africa hasn't too many miles on the clock and couldn't be in better hands for one of his profile.He looked an improver when winning decisively two starts back at Sandown off a 3 lb lower mark than todays. His most recent run in a listed event can be overlooked and he is an interesting proposition back in handicap company.

Out Do ran better than his finishing position suggests last time and could be about to produce an optimum performance. In fact, he's beginning to look very well handicapped racing off a 6 lb lower mark than his last winning performance 14 months ago and having only had eight runs since, it's too premature to mark him as one on the downgrade,

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 3 September 2016

3pts win SQUATS 9/1 ( at least 11 firms)
Albert Bartlett H'cap

William Haggas's horses are in fine heart at the moment and needless to say the booking of Moore catches the eye for this one who ran a cracker here in a marginally more competitive race to this two outings back. Time will show he was up against it that day ( the winner is a class act who is better than his good run in a well contested G3 last time and is G1 entered). Squats run since in a five runner affair at Newmarket can be overlooked as he's best with cover and back in a favourable scenario at 3 lb higher in the ratings than the last run here and he should give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win DANCE THE DREAM 14/1 ( at least 4 firms inc Hills and Coral)
1 pt win WILD HACKED 20/1 ( at least 6 firms inc Hills, Victor, Betfred)
Appletiser H'cap

Marcus Tregoning now operates at a lower level than he once did but has had a few running OK lately and Dance The Dream is worth chancing on her first run in handicap company. On her second run at Newbury in June she was third in was was a good maiden for the time of year, the first three pulling well clear of the rest and the second winning easily next time. She then won an inferior maiden at Chepstow very easily and arrives here still an unknown sort but one who you can't confidently put a line through.

Wild Hacked steps up to this trip for the first time on the back of  a victory in a moderate handicap at Chelmsford. That was his first win since losing his maiden tag at Windsor in May. In between the two runs he ran four times - twice in very competitive handicaps. At the Newmarket July meeting he was fourth in the traditionally well contested 1m 2f 3 year old handicap and if the this distance brings about further improvement he could run very well.

Lost - 3 pts