Saturday, 18 June 2016

3pts win SIR ISAAC NEWTON   10/1 ( at least 11 firms)

This one was touted as a Derby possibility last Spring but those hopes were put aside after he could not bag a maiden at the Chester May meeting. He was then dropped back to 7 furlongs where he lost his maiden tag before running a fine race to finish sixth in the Jersey. He then disappointed in a G2 in September and was not seen until being turned over at Dundalk this Spring. He was then upped to today's trip where he was third to subsequent Hunt Cup winner Portage in a Curragh Listed event. Overall, he has the profile of a disappointing and highly frustrating individual and one who connections would normally have got rid of long ago.There must be something there for them to keep hold( it's probably not worth getting carried away by his King George Queen Elizabeth entry as it's likely he is just in as a potential  spoiler/pacemaker or whatever) and it might just be that he needs covering up in a big field assisted by a strong gallop.Worth one chance.

Won + 30pts

2 pts win NINJAGO  20/1 ( at least 12 firms)
1 pt win SALATEEN  39/1 (Betfair Ex)

Paul Midgley has a terrific record with acquisitions from other yards and although Ninjago already looks the finished article, having run well in Stewards Cups and Ayr Gold Cups for the Hannons, he might just be able to squeeze something extra out of him. Ninjago certainly ran extremely well on his only run for his new yard so far at York last month and on weights and measures is bang in with a big chance having been placed in last year's Ayr Gold Cup off a 1 lb lower rating than todays. The ground will pose no worries and he should give a very good account of himself from what appears to be a favourable draw.

David O 'Meara has also excelled by improving acquisitions from other yards but has had a relatively ordinary season so far this year. He's had Salateen since last October and it is curious that he is reverting down to 6f for the first time since his racecourse debut. One of the interesting outsiders.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 17 June 2016

3 pts win CHOREOGRAPHER  6/1 ( at least 17 firms)
King Edward V11 Stakes

After winning a Windsor maiden on his debut on ground on the easy side this one was pitted into the Dante where he never got the run of the place and ran much better than his finishing position indicates. Connections clearly rate him very highly having given him a King George Queen Elizabeth entry and if he  he's going to be worthy of lining up in that sort of race he should be able to win this.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win LA RIOJA  12/1 ( at least 14 firms)
Commonwealth Cup

Has six lengths to make up on Quiet Reflection on Haydock running but ran as though she clearly needed the outing and should be a different animal today. She still remains an exciting prospect having visually looked a top notch performer when winner a G3 at Salisbury last September. That was on soft ground and though she has looked good on a faster surface, today's surface may be what she needs to produce her optimum and she is very tempting at double figure odds.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win LANDOFHOPEANDGLORY  15/2 ( at least 7 firms)
1 pt win SOLDIER IN ACTION  20/1 ( Stan James, Victor. Betfair Sportsbook)
Queens Vase

Landofhopeandglory has been shaping as though he needs this sort of distance to realise his potential and hailing from a yard that has won this event four times in the last ten years, he looks certain to give an excellent account of himself here. He has been mixing it in with some solid Group class animals but has been found wanting for pace at crucial stages of his races. Impossible to logically put a line through here.

Soldier In Action runs here instead of the King George h'cap yesterday in which he looked an interesting contender. He's also worth close examination  here too and his Chester May form when runner up to Red Verdon puts him in here with a big chance, even though he was flattered to get so close to the winner that day. Furthermore, he's the sort who keeps galloping and appeals as one who'll get this trip visually as well as on pedigree.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 15 June 2016

2 pts win LOVELL 6/1 (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win SOLDIER IN ACTION 33/1 (PPower, Betfred, Betfair Ex)
King George V H'cap

Lovell has excellent prospects of giving his trainer back to back  wins in this event. Ideally suited by getting his toe in, he shaped extremely well when narrowly beaten by Stargazer in the race formerly known as the Esher Handicap. Of the two he split, the useful looking winner has not been out since while the third was highly tried in the Dante.

Soldier In Action finished fourth in that event. He has been relatively busy since - his most eye-catching piece of form on his next outing when runner up to Red Verdon, giving that rival 7 lb. Of course, the winner was eased and Soldier In Action was was flattered to be beaten just over a length, but the rest of the field were miles behind and the winner ran well in the Derby without getting the best of passages, thus the form is stonewall solid. He's disappointed in his two outings since but as with many from his yard could bounce back and run a cracker.

Lovell lost, SI Action NR   - 2pts

Tuesday, 14 June 2016

3pts win RIBCHESTER 10/1 ( at least 3 firms inc PPower and Hills)
Jersey Stakes

This one has trained on extremely well and looks to have plenty more to come. A solid two year old, he shaped well in France on his seasonal debt in heavy ground before running a career best to finish third in the English 2,000 Guineas. Needless to say that form has received a massive boost on the first day of this meeting, and it could be that the drop back to 7f may be absolutely idea and it will be disappointing if he doesn't go very close.

Won  + 30 pts

3pts win PORTAGE  11/1 ( Hills, Skybet. Bet 365)
Royal Hunt Cup

Has a hell of a lot going for him. Drawn in the part of the field that looked to have an advantage today, he's also proven on soft ground, having won on that surface over course and distance last July. He's proven in the hustle and bustle of big fields having finished fifth in the Cambridgeshire, and looked in good heart when winning a Listed event at the Curragh on his seasonal debut ten days ago. Appeals as the most likely winner of this.

Won + 33 pts

Monday, 13 June 2016

2pts win ESOTERIQUE  7/1 ( at least 4 firns inc SkyBet,PPower,Bet365, 7.4/1Betfair Ex)
1pt win COUGAR MOUNTAIN 28/1 ( at least PPower, Sky Bet. Bet365 and Betfair Ex)
Queen Anne Stakes

Esoterique  will be spot on from her seasonal debut and has a big chance to go one better than last year, where she finished runner up to the excellent Solow. That was every bit as strongly contested as this year's event will be and the ease in the ground will not harm the mare's prospects. She can be trusted to run her race and is sure to give a fine account of herself

Cougar Mountain finished one place behind in third in this event last year. He is frustratingly hard to place but you get the feeling that he is going to pop up and surprise in one of these events during the season. Though disappointing on his last three races on easy ground, that is just coincidental as he ran a blinder when fifth in the July Cup on good to soft on his second career start.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win BATTAASH 12/1 ( at leat 5 firms inc Ladbrokes and Betfred)
Windsor Castle Stakes

This one visually looked a real classy sort when winning at Bath on his only start. He was easy in the betting that day but there was lots to like about the way he came through to stamp his authority on the field after being slowly away. He never just beat trees;  the runner up has since gone on and acquitted himself well in a decent Salisbury race and the third home has come out and won his next two starts. Looks a mighty interesting runner in this.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 11 June 2016

2pts win MR LUPTON  12/1 (Generally available)
1pt win LATHOM 20/1 (Generally available)
Charity Sprint

Always a fascinating race to get stuck into and from the top of the handicap Mr Lupton is of interest after running a fine race to be third in a Newmarket handicap off today's rating. The animals that finishing around him that have run since have acquitted themselves well without winning. The ease in the ground should not be a concern as he ran with credit despite finishing ninth in a valuable sales race here last here - he then won a similar event at Doncaster beating Humphrey Bogart, and was runner up to the talented Log Out Island in another valuable sales event at Redcar. In fact with this being a venue where it can be hard to reel in those near the front, the ground should assist.

Lathom ran in two sales events last season and on the first occasion came home ahead, beating Mr Lupton at Newbury, giving away 8lb. While Mr Lupton has progressed since Lathom has been generally disappointing and was switched to David O'Meara's yard, for whom he's ran once, shaping promisingly in the Dash at Epsom last week. Not hard to envisage him causing a surprise today.

Mr Lupton won + 23pts

Saturday, 4 June 2016

1.5 pts win DARK DEVIL 12/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
1.5 pts win BATHOS 14/1 ( almost all firms - 15/1 Betfair Ex)
Investec Private Banking H'cap

Dark Devil caught the eye when third on his seasonal  debut at Chester when compromised by the draw and it was surprising that he was absent from the Silver Bowl at Haydock, where the horse ahead of him at Chester ran a cracker ( the horse just behind at Chester won here yesterday). You'd think the Britannia would be ideal if he got in and in the circumstances it is surprising that he turns out here, stepping up two and a half furlongs in trip. It may be the owners want a runner on the Derby card but at double figure odds he is still too tempting to resist.

Bathos won four Nurseries in a row last year and returned to winning form at Goodwood a couple of weeks back. Though on the face it he looks exposed and up against it with some potential Group types in the field, he is  a hardy sort who looks the sort to find further improvement and win a few more races over the next couple of months and is worth including here.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win CLOTH OF STARS 9/1 ( at least 6 firms inc Ladbrokes, Victor, Bet 365)
1pt win RED VERDON 28/1 ( at least five firms - inc Hills,Victor, Bet 365 - and Betfair Ex)
Investec Derby

A wide open renewal and much harder to put a gage on than is the norm.

In the circumstances Cloth of Stars is one of the more exposed runners but he has plenty going for him. Firstly, his bare level of form is better than all but just a handful of runners here, having beat a fair yardstick in a recognised trial for this event  at Saint Cloud last time, reversing previous form with the runner up. Secondly, Andre Fabre does not overface his animals and would have earmarked another event if he did not consider him up to the task. Finally,he appeals as one who will be a sole middle distance horse and the step up to what should be his optimum trip will be ideal and bring about the improvement to make him a real force here.

Red Verdon has been supplemented on the strength of a facile success off a rating of 88 in a Haydock handicap. In a normal year you'd rule him out with little worry but there is so much imagination needed here with quite a few of these and he could be literally anything and is at least worth modest stakes at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts