Saturday, 30 April 2016

2pts win ARTHENUS 11/2 ( 3 firms ad Betfair Ex)
1pt win EMERALD 12/1 ( at least 4 firms ad Betfair Ex)
Suffolk Stakes

Arthenus rattled off a three timer at the backend of last season and he can begin where he left off - there certainly looks to be more to come from him and with ground and trip ideal for him, he can defy a career high mark provided he is tuned up. His price his holding up well which is encouraging as to his fitness level for this reappearance.

Emerald finished behind Arthenus at York but then came out and won here in the soft last October looking one who'll win more races. He's ran well on both starts this term and is very much one to consider today.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win STAR STORM 18/1 (at least 9 firms)
Jockey Club Stakes

With a long line of targets earmarked in for him, Jack Hobbs may not be as tuned up as some of the others and may be worth taking on today. There is no reason why Star Storm's connections would not have this event as a proper target and he is mighty interesting. The Sea the Stars colt did not lose his maiden tag until his sixth start and was looking a pretty ordinary sort who'd end up going over hurdles. However, after that win he cruised home in a Yarmouth handicap then followed up when taking a leap up in class in the Cumberland Lodge. Hillstar and Romsdal, two who you would consider here, finished third and fourth in that, and there is no knowing the level of Star Storm's eventual ceiling.Admittedly the ground is a bit of a worry but the price more than compensates for the negatives.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 23 April 2016

3pts win SAPHIR DU RHEU 12/1 ( at least 9 firms)
Oaksey Chase

Turning the clock back to the beginning of the season no one could have envisaged how disappointing this ones season would be. After winning comfortably on his debut at Carlise he started favourite for the Hennessy, and going into that race he looked the type who could develop into a leading contender for the Cheltenham Gold Cup. From that day onwards everything's gone backwards. However, with the yard back in form and the blinds on for the first time, he is very tempting at the price available and may just cause an upset.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win HENRY PARRI MORGAN 10/1 (PPower, St James, Skybet, Bet365)
1pt win DYNASTE 28/1 ( at least 9 firms)
Bet 365 Gold Cup

Henry Parri Morgan only has five runs over fences under his belt but looks well up to winning this. After winning two novice handicaps on soft ground he ran a cracker on a better surface in the Grade 1 novice stayers chase at Aintree, finishing runner up with two of this years Cheltenham festival winners immediately following him home.

Dynaste has underachieved for one of his ability but has continually been faced against the very best. He still retains  plenty of ability. will not mind today's ground, and in what is amazingly  his first venture into handicap company over fences,  should outrun his odds.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 16 April 2016

3 pts win JOHN CONSTABLE 12/1 ( at least nine firms)
Scottish Champion Hurdle

Still hard to get away from the visual impression he created when beating a Henderson horse in a novice hurdle at Huntington a year ago - he looked one to follow blindly from that day onwards. Did not appear until November when chasing home Sternrubin in a similar quality contest to todays, then was next seen when disappointing in the County. On Ascot form he has a big pull in the weights with Sternrubin. It's far to early to write him off yet and he is extremely tempting at today's odds.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win VICENTE 22/1 ( Hills and Bet 365   23/1 Betfair Ex)
1.5pts win ALVARADO 33/1 ( 4 firms inc Hills and Victor -  35/1 Betfair Ex)
Scottish Grand National

Novices have a good record in this and Vicente has some eyecatching pieces of form in the book, notably when beating the subsequent RSA winner at Cheltenham in November. He wasn't helped by the attentions of a loose horse in the four miler at the festival last time and will be closer to Measureofmydreams today.

Alvarado ain't getting any younger but had been prepped for a try at the Aintree GN, which he'd ran two crackers in previously, but never made the field. Needless to say he should arrive here in optimum condition and has a fair win strike rate over fences for a slow coach.Not one to dismiss lightly.

Vincente Won  + 31.5pts

Saturday, 9 April 2016

3pts win KINGS PALACE 12/1 ( at least 4 firms inc Coral and Bet 365,  12.5/1 Betfair Ex))
Gaskells H'cap Hurdle

This has been one of the most frustrating animals in training to follow. A highly promising novice hurdler, he was strongly fancied for the Albert Bartlett two years ago, but disappointed, falling when beaten.Then on to his novice chase season he arrived at the festival last year fancied for the RSA, but again disappointed. He's had three runs this season, the best last time out when a fine third in the 2m 5f handicap chase at the festival. He had previously pulled up over hurdles and returns to that sphere here. Fact is, he is reasonably handicapped on his best hurdle form and is worth one last chance for the umpteenth time.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win LE PREZIAN  11.5/1 (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win FLYING ANGEL 16.5/1 (Betfair Ex)
EZ Trader Mersey Novices Hdle

Yorkhill is the most vulnerable of the hotpots today, after putting up an optimum at Chltenham and it would be no surprise to see his performance fall a bit here.

La Prezian ran a close second to the horse that finished third to Yorkhill at Cheltenham before winning a graded race at Kelso in the style of an animal improving with each run. An interesting individual in his own right he is the value call here.

Flying Angel's last three runs have seen him placed in the Betfair, win the Imperial Cup, then finish runner up in the Martin Pipe. He clearly has a strong disposition about him, will not be compromised by the overnight rain, and is not without a chance.

Lost - 3pts

Already selected Ante-Post: GALLANT OSCAR Grand National 33/1

Friday, 8 April 2016

2pts win IBIS DU RHEU 14/1 ( at least 12 firms)
1pt win WHITEOUT 18/1 ( at least 5 firms inc Hills and SkyBet - 19/1 Betfair Ex)
Alder Hey H'cap Hdle

Ibis Du Rheu has taken a few runs in this country for him to get it together but announced himself as a useful performer when winning  the Martin Pipe with a bit to spare. He looked an animal with plenty more to come that day and the 8 lb rise in the ratings may not be enough to prevent him from following up here.

Whiteout ran in the same race, running on into fifth. That was his second attempt at this trip ( the first having proved inconclusive), and now his stamina is assured he won't have to settle so far back. Better chance that his odds suggest.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win BISHOPS ROAD 12/1 ( almost everywhere)
1pt win FAIRY RATH 25/1 ( almost all firms)
Crabbie's Topham Chase

Bishop's Road does not really fit the trends for this race being near the top of the handicap and having no previous course experience.  However, he hails from a set up which is showing signs of moving up a tier in strength and has won both his starts for his new yard, appealing as one with a valuable handicap or two in him.(Is first reserve for the GN and would be interesting if he got in) Both those wins have been in heavy ground so he may not want it drying too much further but is hard to leave off the short list if

Fairy Rath runs off the same rating that he ran off when runner up in this race last year. Though pulling up on his latest appearance he had previously shown his well being when winning at Sandown in February and he appeals as one who will run another good race in this.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win BAOULET DELAROQUE 13/2 ( 7 firms incSky Bet, Victor, and PPower)
Doom Bar Sefton Novices Hdle

Arrived at the Coral Cup on the back of a hatrick and ran an absolute cracker to finish a close up fifth. That level of form is very likely on par with what the others here have produced in Graded company, and with the extra three furlongs looking as though they'll be within his compass, he should give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 7 April 2016

3pts win SCEAU ROYAL  22/1 (Hills and Bet 365 - 23/1 Betfair Ex)
Juvenile Hdle

Finished down the field in the Triumph and renews rivalry with a few of those who finished well ahead of him. Alan King has an outstanding record in this event and with the ground turning soft this is not one to dismiss lightly. His performance when beating a highly talented Paul Nicholls horse on soft ground at Cheltenham in December ( had dead heated previously with the same animal on faster ground) made him one to consider in the Triumph. Definitely worth another chance in today's conditions.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win DON POLI 11/2 ( 4 firms including Hills and Corals)
Bowl Chase

Never got into the race when a staying on third in the Gold Cup and on that performance you would not expect him to turn around the form with the runner up on this sharper circuit. However, the change in today's ground puts him bang in the reckoning here, and after all he has won around here back in December. The danger is he may find himself getting outpaced at a crucial point but at the odds available he is the value call and is worth support.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win MENDIP EXPRESS 14/1 ( four firms inc Hills)
Crabbies's Foxhunters

Has less than ten lengths to make up on  those that finished ahead of him in the Foxhunters but needs soft ground to produce his optimum and overall he is very much one to consider here. He's got good course form under his belt with a fine second to Oscar Time in last season's Becher Chase, his yard is in excellent form, and he will not be far away today.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win KATACHENKO 16/1 ( at least 12 firms)
Red Rum H'cap Chase

Although he fortunes of the yard have took a big downturn in the last couple of years this one merits consideration here. Both owner and trainer have this as their number one meeting of the year and this event has no doubt been in their mind for this animal for quite a while now. In a race in which first season chasers have a good record, Katachenko has some useful pieces of form that give him a chance. Admittedly, he is not proven in the hustle and bustle of this sort of event, but the ground will be ideal, the circuit will suit his prominent racing style, and he is hard to resist at big odds.

Won + 48pts

Sunday, 3 April 2016

3 pts win GALLANT OSCAR 33/1 ( at least 6 firms inc Hills and Corals)
Crabbies Grand National

Prices all round are going to collapse over the next few days to it's best to risk a wager now and be on a loser if non-runner than take the cramped no run no bet prices, or the shrunken odds on the day.

This one shaped well in what was supposed to be his prep for the race last year when a running on third to The Druids Nephew at Cheltenham., Unfortunately, not enough came out of the race for him to get in and he never took his place in the field. He went and showed how good a heart he'd been in when winning a valuable big field handicap at the Punchestown Festival a few weeks after Aintree. This time around he will take his chance and had his prep at Naas where he he finished fifth and will be in optimum shape next weekend. Admittedly, the race is not ideal for those coming from a long way back but he should be fine if settled in mid-div as opposed to being help up out at the back. This visuals allied to pedigree on both sides indicate he will stay forever and he is one that very much catches the eye and is worth getting stuck into now.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 2 April 2016

3pts win RENE'S GIRL 7/1 ( at least 4 firms inc Coral and Victor)
Mare NH Novices Hdle Final

Beaten by a Hobbs mare last time when reverting in trip in her attempt at a  three timer. The others (albeit ,it looked a match beforehand) were well beaten off and the winner is probably a useful sort in her own right. Rene's Girl is certain to appreciate the step back up to today's distance, and with the yard currently in healthy form having had half a dozen winners in the last week of March, she makes plenty of appeal.

Lost - 3pts