Monday, 28 March 2016

1.5 pts win FUTURAMIC 37/1 ( Betfair Ex)
1.5 pts win TULSA JACK 43/1 (Betfair Ex)
Irish Grand National

Some big prices have gone in in this down the years and there are plenty with half chances at large odds throughout this field.

Although a nine year old, Futuramic has only had eight races over fences and retained novice status at the start of the season. He has come up against some classy novice chases and chased home No More Heroes in October. Probably more relevant to today's race though was when he acquitted himself credibly when 8th of 28 in the valuable Paddy Power Chase over the Xmas period, showing he's OK in the big field scenario. On his latest run he stayed on to finish third over 3m4f at Downpatrick, and today's extra furlong in a faster run event should be ideal and should not be dismissed lightly.

Tulsa Flyer was a clear cut winner of the Cork National back in November. He races off a 9 lb higher mark today but did not shape too badly when finishing fifth in the same race Futuramic ran in at Downpatrick 8 days ago. He clearly goes well for the claimer on board today, stays forever, is indifferent to the ground, and is in with a shout.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 26 March 2016

2 pts win ATTENTION SEEKER 18/1 ( Betfair Ex)
1pt win CARINENA 45/1 (Betfair Ex)
Mares Hdle Series Final

Attention Seeker looked a much improved mare when skating home at Sedgefield earlier in the month and on the face of it a 10 lb hike in the ratings is not unduly mean. Although the ground was soft that day her history indicates that cannot be the reason for the improvement .There is of course always the possibility that the others ran well below their best and she was flattered, but at the present odds available it's worth taking the chance and accepting that form at face value.

After turning over a Hobbs hotpot at Musselburgh, Carinena's performance when beaten comfortably by The Organisr at Huntingdon looked a tad disappointing on the day but the winner has since gone on to prove herself a very useful individual in her own right. Carinena's latest run at Southwell can be overlooked as she was not ideally suited by the testing conditions.She could well cause a surprise today.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win EMERGING FORCE  8/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
Staying Hdle Series Final

Shouldered a similar weight to today's when pulling clear with a very useful looking sort and prevailing on his first start in handicap company. He is up 12 lb in the ratings for that but that was only his third start under rules and he appeals as the type who could go on and be competitive at a much higher level, and may have enough class to give the weight away today.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 17 March 2016

3 pts win SCEAU ROYAL 7/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Triumph Hurdle

Looks an up to standard renewal and this one stated his claims when winning the trial here in December, with the runner up that day going on to win the G 1 juvenile hurdle at Chepstow on his next start. In his final prep race Sceau Royal didn't need to do much to win but his overall credentials are proven for this and, he is of course from a yard with an excellent record in this event. Hard not to see this one being involved in the finish.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win JOHN CONSTABLE 12/1 (Generally available)
1pt win HAWK HIGH 33/1 ( at least 8 firms)
County Hurdle

Former Ballydoyle inmate has shown considerable promise in his three races over timer, and really caught the eye with the style of his victory last Spring at Huntington , where he quickened up like a good one. He looked very much one to follow for this season and ran a cracker on his only start to finish runner up when trying to give away 9 lb to the very useful and bang in form Sternrubin. Has to be supported here.

Hawk High won the Fred Winter here at a big price two seasons back. He arrives here in a similar situation, finally having the ground in his favour after a disappointing last time out performance. He has the blinds on for the first time tomorrow and could surprise,

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win BARTERS HILL 4/1 (Generally available)
Albert Bartlett

Last year's Aintree Bumper winner remains unbeaten and  has not put a foot wrong over hurdles. He possesses a likeable attitude, stays every yard of this trip and the ground will not hinder his chances, unlike one or two others who may need it properly soft. His overall form is as good as anything on show here, (a twice previous winner followed him home at Donny with a Graded Punchestown winner back in fourth) and he is certain to give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win DON POLI 5/1 (Stan James and Hills)
Cheltenham Gold Cup

Created a fantastic impression when winning last year's Sun Alliance and the first thought after the Festival was how he would have fared if he'd been pitted into the Gold Cup. There is every reason to believe that he would not have been far away. he's only had two runs during the winter and  arrives here on the back of a hard fought success in the Lexus, where he showed he has brawn as well as class. The ground will be ideal for him here and he appeals as the most likely winner.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 16 March 2016

3pts win  GARDE LA VICTOIRE  4/1 ( at least 6 firms)
JLT Novices Chase

Extremely likeable individual who hasn't done a thing wrong in his three starts over fences. He's a real competitive winning machine,taking 10 of his 16 career starts and he already looks certain to be a better chaser than the very good hurdler he was. The drying ground and longer trip will not inconvenience and it will be a big surprise if he doesn't go very close here.

Lost - 3pts

1.5 pts win OSCAR SAM 22/1 ( at least 2 firms, P Power and Stan James)
1.5 pts win WESTREN WARRIOR 25/1 ( at least 3 firms inc Hills and Betfred)
Pertemps Final

Oscar Sam has improved over two stone in the four starts he's had since arriving at his new yard. Admittedly, all the form has been in testing ground but almost all of the good horses by his prolific sire have been more at home on better ground and it should not be an issue here. He is fully proven in the hustle and bustle of the big field scenario and and should give a good account of himself.

Westren Warrior is another who has improved since changing yards. He's ran two excellent races to finish runner up on his latest two starts, both to decent sorts and it will be surprising if his current handler is unable to get a good deal more improvement out of him, which he has a reputation for doing. Very interesting contender.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win COLE HARDEN  7/1 (at least 8 firms)
1 pt win KILCOOLEY 22/1 ( P Power and Stan James)
World Hurdle

Cole Harden's programme has been clearly geared to retaining this event and has just had two runs in ground not ideal for him. However, conditions have come right for him now and it will be surprising if he doesn't step up on those performances and return to his very best and confirm the form with those he beat last year and also prove too good for Thistlecrack, who, though much improved, is not quite as good as he looked here visually last time when most likely flattered in testing conditions.

Kilcooley hasn't run since winning on the Charlie Hall card at Wetherby. He did however look an animal who is on a fast upward curve and he could be worth taking on board at attractive odds.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win DOCTOR HARPER 6/1 ( P Power and Betfred)
Kim Muir

Finished the season two years ago looking likely to develop into a Sun Alliance type when embarking on a chasing career. Unfortunately, he missed the whole of last season through injury, not returning until last December when unplaced in a Sandown handicap hurdle. He's since had three runs over fences, all over an unsuitably short trip and all on unsuitable soft ground. He's fared as well as can be expected though, finishing runner up on the first two, both to talented types, then winning a three horse event easily at Leicester last time. He now has his ground and trip for the first time over fences, and if he would have been a Sun Alliance horse, then his current 141 rating is on the lenient side. Must be supported here.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 15 March 2016

1.5 pts win BLAKLION 10/1 ( at least 8 firms)
1.5pts win ROIS DES FRANCS 12/1 ( at least 3 firms inc Coral and P Power)
RSA Chase

Blaklion arrived at this meeting with a chance in the Albert Bartlett last year but ran a stinker. It's likely that he'll fare better at the meeting this time round and has claims in what is much more than a two horse race. He goes well around here and on ground that will suit him better than
Seeyouatmidnight,can turn the January course form around. He won the Towton at Wetherby last time and his yard has been in healthy form over the last couple of weeks.

Rois Des Francs has been switched to this after having the four miler as his target. He upset one of his stable companions last time but may not have been flattered, is a useful staying prospect in his own right, and it ain't hard to envisage him being involved here.

Blaklion Won + 13.5pts

2 pts win  BAOULET DELAROQUE 14/1 ( at least 8 firms)
1 pt win   BARON ALCO 20/1 ( all books)
Coral Cup

Baoulet Delaroque is 9 lb higher for his Huntingdon win last time where he beat a solid looking field. he has a likeable,hardy attitude, has any amount of further improvement left in him, and is arguably the last one you'd put a line through here.

Baron Alco hails from a yard in it's element with handicap hurdlers and has as good as chance as his narrow Ascot conqueror on slightly better terms and is another who knows how to get his head infront and possesses the right sort of attitude.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win AUGUSTA KATE 10/1 ( P Power, Stan James, Boylesport)
1 pt win COMPADRE 25/1 ( at least 5 firms)
Champion Bumper

Augusta Kate was an impressive winner of both her starts and was put away for this after her last outing in November. Her dam won the Christmas Hurdle eleven years ago and this one looks an exciting prospect for novice hurdles next season.She is clearly near the top of the pecking order of her yard's Bumper horses and must be on any short list for this.

Compadre won his only star in the mud at Bangor in November from a last time out winner and could be absolutely anything. He is in interesting ownership though and confidence would increase if there was support for him in the markets in the morning.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 14 March 2016

3pts win ALTIOR  9/2 ( Hills and P Power)
Supreme Novices Hdle

An exciting prospect who has the sky as the limit. He has the best form in the book and also looked the deal visually on his latest outing. There is no concern over the ground drying any further ( unlike a couple of others). With realistically just two live dangers and perhaps a couple more half dangers his current price of 9/2 is acceptable.

Won + 13.5 pts

1.5 pts win KRUZHLININ 10/1 ( Hills, Coral, P Power)
1.5 pst win BEG TO DIFFER 14/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Ultima H'cap Chase

Kruzhlinin won like a horse going on a sudden upward curve on his first start for the Hobbs yard. He's been raised 10 lb in the ratings for that but has less question marks hanging over him than any of his rivals and there is every reason to believe he'll give an excellent account of himself.

Beg To Differ is also 10 lb higher in the ratings for a facile Sandown success when tried in a visor for the first time. That was only his fourth start over fences and it's still difficult to gauge him. However, there is clearly enough potential for him to be competitive at a higher mark than today's and if the visor has the same effect and he travels well throughout the race he'll be a danger to all. There is a slight concern about the ground drying but that is more than compensated in the price.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SOUTHFIELD ROYALE 8/1 ( at least 4 firms)
National Hunt Chase

From a yard in cracking form, with a competent amateur aboard, and with arguably the best form in the book, this one is hard to get away from. The animal he trounced at Donny in December went close to winning the Great Yorkshire at the same venue on his next outing. On his last start Southfield Royale ran a cracker to finish runner up to Tea For Two in the Feltham. Both pieces of form entitle him to go close here and he appeals as one who will be at home at this sort of trip.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 12 March 2016

1.5 pts win FLASHJACK 12/1 ( Hills, Sky Bet, Betfred)
1.5pts win BALLYPOINT 15/1 (Betfair Ex)
EBF NH Novices Hdle Final

Always a fascinating event and this renewal is no exception. There are going to have to get home in this ground and while Flashjack  has yet to go this far he went up the hill well enough at Towcester to suggest he'll be well suited by this sort of trip and had won in today's ground earlier in the season. The two that followed him at home Towcester have been beaten since but arrived in the race in form and he is one for the shortlist here.

Ballypoint will come to himself when he tackles fences but has shown enough to be a contender here. Conditions will be ideal, the yard is in healthy form at present, and he narrowly failed to beat a bang in form animal at Warwick last time with another previous winner ten lengths back in third.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SOLSTICE STAR 9.5/1 ( Betfair Ex)
Imperial Cup

Is on a six timer here and got through his stiffest task so far when beating a competitive field at Cheltenham in January. He's up a further 7 lb in the ratings for that, and 41 lb higher than when the sequence began but is not handicapped out of this. In fact, just as much concern would be the fact he's raced  left handed only this term but that is probably just where his programme has fallen. He revels in this ground and is hard to put a line through.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 5 March 2016

1.5pts win LITTLE JON 9/1 ( at least 7 firms)
1.5pts win ULTRAGOLD  9/1 ( Hills and Bet Victor)
Greatwood Gold Cup

The Twiston-Davies yard is bang in form at this very moment and Little Jon, a winner here back in November off a 6lb lower mark, could bounce right back to form. He wouldn't want the ground drying too much but in a bitty sort of event in which there are question marks over everything,he is one for the short list.

Ultragold has gone up a fair bit in the ratings for his decisive success last time but he travels well in his races and if they have found the key to getting the optimum from him he could still be racing off a winnable mark.

Lost - 3pts