Tuesday, 27 December 2016

2 pts win CAROLE'S DESTRIER 8/1 ( at least 6 firms)
1 pt win BEG TO DIFFER 45/1 ( Betfair Ex)
Welsh National

The gap in odds between the Hennessy first and second does Carole's Destrier a disservice here. Even allowing for the fact that Native River was idling a little infront, only half a length separated them and while Native River fully sees out this sort of trip it may ideally suit the runner up better. There's no knowing who's come out the race better but the Mulholland horse appeals as the value call.

With the like of Firebird Flyer and Bishops's Road needing a mud bath to produce their optimum, lesser than the usual number make any appeal.However Beg to Differ remains an interesting sort. He was going OK when unseating his rider after clipping heals in the big 3m 1f handicap at the festival, a race he was quietly fancied for. He's not done anything in his two races this term and is weak on the exchanges at the moment but appeals to small stakes.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 26 December 2016

3 pts win DEFINITLY RED 5/1 ( at least 12 firms)
Rowland Meyrick

On weights and measures this one should not be reversing the course and distance form with Blaklion from February but in different circumstances today, with the Twiston-Davies horse arriving here after hard race in the Hennessey, the Definitly Red may be the one to beat.Both have improved since that day with Blaklion going on to take the Sun Alliance while Definitly Red's career is on a marked upward curve. After a winning reappearance over hurdles,  he was shorter than he was entitled to be in the Rehearsal last time but still ran a career best race to finish third with the promise of plenty more to come. Hard to see him not being involved here.

Won + 15 pts

Saturday, 17 December 2016

1.5 pts win CONSUL DE THAIX 9/1 ( at least 5 firms inc Bet 365, Victor and Sky Bet))
1.5 pts win MODUS 9/1 ( 3 firms inc Bet 365 and Stan James)
Wessex Youth Trust H'cap Hdle

Could be worth splitting stakes on these two who hold major chances.

Consul De Thaix ran a mighty eye catching race when runner up to stable companion Brain Power last time and should turn around that form here. There is clearly significant potential in this one and his ceiling over timber is going to be a great deal higher than his present 135 rating.

Modus has run two cracking races on both starts this season. Problem is he's up a further 5 lb in the ratings from last time but a repeat of that form could still be good enough to get him home today. Must be kept on board.

Lost  - 3 pts

Saturday, 3 December 2016

1.5 pts win UCELLO CONTI 11/1 ( at least 16 firms)
1.5 pts win SIZING COAL 18/1 ( Betfair Ex)
Becher Chase

Ucello Conti's only run five times since arriving from France but has shown that he has all the ingredients to be a winner of this event. He ran an absolute cracker when finding just one to good for him in the valuable 28 runner Paddy Power Chase last Christmas and later jumped around here to finish sixth in the Grand National. He's had a sharpener over hurdles and is hard to get away from here.

It's a long time past since Jim Dreaper's heyday in the 1970's but the yard still produces the odd decent one and Sizing Coal, who was third in the Irish National two seasons ago, arrives here in good heart after winning on his seasonal debut at Sligo. It would not be a surprise to see him run a big race here.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win LE MERCUREY 11/2 ( at least 7 firms)
Lotto Chase

This one looked the part when wearing the blinds for the first time at Ayr in the Spring when running out a convincing winner from the very useful Bristo De Mae. A repeat of that level of form may just be good enough for him to win here. He was far from disgraced on his comeback race at Down Royal and it's worth noting that all his three successes in this country have all come in small fields. There is just a slight doubt as to whether he is as good at this trip as he is over shorter but all in all, he's appealing around the 11/2 mark.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 26 November 2016

3 pts win WHO DARES WINS  5/1 ( at least 9 firms)
Gerry Fielden Hdle

This one is a massively interesting runner here. He started at only 10/1 for last season'e Triumph but ran too bad to be true and finished well beaten. He ran a cracker on his hurdles comeback at Chepstow, even allowing for the fact that he would have been straight in condition after running on the level. He only got as far as the second flight last time but there is no reason why things should not fall right for him today and off only a 1 lb higher than the Chepstow run is sure to give an excellent account of himself.

Won + 15 pts

3 pts win UN TEMPS POUR TOUT 10/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Hennessy Gold Cup

One of the most appealing events in the sport for anticipation and buzz and this is certainly an up to standard renewal .There are three runners in today's field that you could envisage progressing enough to turn into serious  Cheltenham Gold Cup contenders, Un Temps Pour Tout, Blaklion and Native River.

Un Temps Pour Tout is  2-0 down in his two encounters with Native River over fences - including one at this meeting last November. However, when both on song the Pipe horse travels like the sort of animal that wins this event with Native River often having to be driven at a relatively early stage. If he is turned out in the same heart as when winning the 3m 1f handicap at the festival then he appeals as the most likely winner of this. He's 10 lb in the ratings than that day but he had plenty in hand and there could be plenty more to come.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 19 November 2016

1.5 pts win CAID DU BERLAIS 10/1 ( at least 11 firms)
1.5 pts win POINT THE WAY 12/1 ( at least 4 firms inc Bet365, Victor and PPower)
Betfair Exchange Fixed Brush Hdle

Always a fascinating  event that has thrown up some excellent animals.

Caid Du Berlais has sort of being going in reverse, a former very useful handicap hurdle who then won the Paddy Power Gold Cup when transferred to fences he was off the track for 18 months prior to returning this Autumn. On the second and most recent of those outing he won a Pertempts qualifier at Aintree in visually pleasing style and though he's off an 8 lb higher mark he goes well in testing conditions and is a must for the short list.

Point the Way has raced twice on heavy ground under rules and won both times. He shaped well last time on his reappearance at Sedgefield ( albeit in a much weaker race than this) and is hard to put a gage on as on his stiffest task to date at Sandown in March he dropped out too quickly for it to be his true running. Encouragingly,  yard is going through a mini hot streak, winning with three of it's last four runners and he is one to consider.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win SILVINIACO CONTI 8/1 ( at least 4 firms inc Bet 365,PPower and Hills)
Betfair Chase

Stands out as the value call . Twice a former winner of this he 's only had four outings since starting at 5/4 when runner up to Cue Card in this last season. On his reappearance he ran an OK race in Ireland though strictly on the form it is understandable for people to believe he is  now on the downgrade - however, it was only three outings back and nine months ago when he looked as good as ever when destroying Dynaste at Ascot. All in all, there are unknowns surrounding this event with the fitness level of Coneygree and general well being of Cue Card, but here is one who will be spot on, fully proven and reliable, and sure to acquit himself well.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 13 November 2016

3 pts win SIMPLY NED 12/1( almost all firms)
Schloer Chase

This likeable sort has never won outside of the north but is a quality sort whose overall form puts him in with a big shout here - his price does not do his chance justice. He's been beaten on all three runs at Cheltenham but one was in a Champion Chase, another was in this last year when fourth to Sprinter Sacre, but he also ran a superb race in this two years ago when runner up to Uxizandre on similar ground to todays. He looked in great heart on his seasonal debut when narrowly failing to give almost two stone away to an in form rival and should give a good account of himself today.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win MODUS 7/1 ( at least 11 firms)
1 pt win JOHN CONSTABLE 25/1 ( at least 4 firms inc Hills and Victor)
Greatwood Hurdle

These two finished behind the gritty Sternrubin at Ascot last time - it's not the first time they've all met. Modus's stance had took a bit of knock after an initially promising novice hurdle season finished up quietly. And he ran a race full of promise, perhaps being too given a little too much to do but finished best of all to finish a close third. It's easy to read too much into those eye catching runs but it was an excellent run on the book as well as form wise and at the odds he appeals more than the favourite in the same ownership whose priced up on a fair degree of hype.

John Constable is now becoming disappointing and has been given too many chances. He's allowed another one today as he's an irresistible price allied to the good form of the stable. The ability is there and proven, and indeed there looked a lot more to come from him but they don't seem to have found the key to him.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 12 November 2016

2 pts win SAUSALOTO SUNRISE 10/1 ( at least 11 firms)
1 pt win ALVARADO  20/1 ( at least 9 firms)
Betvictor H'cap Chase

This race is never been the easiest puzzle to solve and this is a well up to standard renewal and there is plenty to like about two previous winners.

Sausalito Sunrise is a stone higher in the ratings than when winning last year and strictly on weights and measures, Upswing, Cogry, and Shotgun Paddy, should all reverse the form. That however does not tell the full story - he was on the upgrade fast 12 months ago and ended the season when running a cracker to be third in the old Whitbread off a similar mark to todays. There could be further progression left and he is capable of defying top weight.

Alvarado races off a 6 lb higher rating than when winning this race three years back - he's not getting any younger either. Nevertheless, he rounded off last season when narrowly failing to win the Scottish National and his stable is in great form at the moment. He does admittedly hit a flat spot and give himself a bit to do nowadays but these marathon event are full of quirky types and if the cards fall right he is capable of going very close.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win FRODON 8/1 ( Generally available)
1 pt win BOUVREIUL 14/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Betvictor Gold Cup

Frodon is the real unknown here and some imagination is required to assess his chance as he does not have the profile of a winner of this. He's only had three runs over fences - though did run over them at Auteuil on his final run in France - and beat nothing of real note on his first two runs over fences here. However, on his most recent run at Wincanton when he finished alone, he had the very useful Shantou Village beat when that rival came down. Though he is likely to reach his ceiling at a very young age for a chaser he is already very foot-sure, arrives here is fantastic heart and appeals as the most likely winner.

Bouvreiul has himself only had five runs over fences but his run here when narrowly failing to win the 2m 4f  novice handicap at the Festival make him very much one to consider. While trends are back-fitted and are general bucked in time, most past winners of this event have run well here in the past in a competitive handicap and it is difficult to see him not running a big race today.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 29 October 2016

1.5 pts win JOHN CONSTABLE 10/1 ( at least 7 firmsinc Hills,Victor,Betfred)
1.5 pts win MODUS 12/1 ( at least 6 firms inc Lads.PPower,Victor)
W Hill H'cap Hdle

Sternrubin, John Constable and Ch'Tibello filled the first three places in a Newbury handicap hurdle nearly 12 months back and cases can be made for any of the three to come out on top this time. John Constable still has that bit of unknown about him and you get the underlining feeling that he'll take a few of these valuable events when it all falls right. Relatively lightly raced and clearly hard to keep sound, he'll be fully spot on today as they can't waste outings with his type for the purpose of getting them fully conditioned.

A hell of a lot was expected of Modus going into his novice hurdle season last year after being one of the top Bumper horses around. Overall, despite proving useful it was a disappointing season with him ultimately not proving up to threatening the top novices of the season.However, it hasn't done his mark any harm and there is every possibility that he'll prove much better than the level of the form he showed, which was admittedly very decent form.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 14 October 2016

2 pts win TWILIGHT SON 7/1 ( 3 firms inc Coral  - 8/1 with Victor)
1 pt win BRANDO  12/1 ( or bigger with at least 10 firms)
Quipco British Champion Sprint

Twilight Son found only the best sprinter around last year too good for him in this 12 months ago and with there certain to be some ease underfoot, he is sure to go very close here. His July Cup run on fast ground can be ignored,he'd previously won the Golden Jubilee meaning that both of his two best career runs have been over this C&D.

Brando's only previous attempt in G1 company saw him well beat in the Nunthorpe two outings back, but 5f on fast ground are not a combination that will allow him to perform near his best. He arrives here on the back of a cracking weight carrying performance in the Ayr Gold Cup and is not one to dismiss lightly.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win MORANDO  8/1 ( at least 5 firms inc Lads,PPower,Betfred)
Balmoral H'cap

This is a fast improving colt who completed a hatrick  a decent handicap at Ayr last time in the style of one who had not ended the sequence yet. He's 8 lb higher in the ratings for that performance but had more in hand than that and though this is a higher quality field many will have had it for the season and with the likely give underfoot he looks fairish value around the 8/1 mark.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 8 October 2016

1.5pts win NAKEETA 29/1 (Betfair Ex)
1.5pts win STAR RIDER 43/1 ( Betfair Ex)

Plenty of shockers in this down the years and worth taking a couple aboard at large odds.

Nakeeta is a genuine horse who can be relied upon to run his race and came within inches of winning this year's Chester Cup. He has plenty of recent form with many of today's rivals but does race off his highest ever rating which makes him vulnerable to the better handicapped types. However,overall he does have a progressively leaning profile himself and there is plenty enough to like about his chance at the price.

Star Rider is not the best fancied from his stables representatives but is one to consider. She won the 2m5f handicap at the big Goodwood meeting in the style of one who would be a contender for this and other similar races next season. She was then out of her grade in the Park Hill last time, a run that can be safely ignored and provided she's not gone for the season she appeals as the type who could cause a surprise.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win WHO DARES WINS  8/1 (Ladbrokes,Stan James,Victor)
Silver Trophy Handicap Hurdle

This event is hard to keep away from and Who Dares Wins catches the eye. He started well fancied at 10/1 for the Triumph and looked very much one to consider but ran a disappointing race. He's since had three runs on the flat, winning one of them and showing improved form on his previous season  and in the process appealing very much as the sort who would progress much further over timber. Sure to be spot on for this.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 2 October 2016

3 pts win FOUND 7/1 (Generally available)
Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe

At this late stage in the season plenty of animals will have gone over the top and past runnings of this event are littered with examples of animals arriving here on the back of good performances only to find that they have gone past their best for the year. For this reason Postponed is too short a price to entertain, and Makahiki is priced up on good past runnings of Japanese horses in this event plus a Prix Niel performance that was visually pleasing but nothing outstanding on bare form.

Of those with strong form credentials Found is the most likely one to run her race. She lined up with a strong chance last season but was unable to find a clear run at the crucial time. She then went on to finish runner up at Ascot before beating the winner of this event in the Breeders Cup Turf. Needless to say she takes her racing admirably well and peaks at this time of the year ( won the Marcel Boussac two years ago), and granted the run of the race she appeals as a very likely winner of this.

Won  + 21 pts

Saturday, 1 October 2016

3 pts win REMARKABLE 8/1 (Generally available)
Totescoop Challenge Cup

A few of these have met each other recently and strong cases can be made why at least four individuals will come out best today - however it may pay to look elsewhere and Remarkable, who has a different profile, is one very much to consider. His last and only run in a handicap was when winning off 76 at Doncaster back in April - today he's off 105, but it'a a deserved mark. After chasing home Log Out Island in a Listed event at Newbury he then  lined up for the Jersey where he ran an excellent race to finish fifth to Ribchester. He's not been seen since and has been gelded and is a mighty interesting proposition on his return.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 24 September 2016

3 pts win ROLY POLY 6/1 ( at least 9 firms)
Red Mills Cheveley Park

Lady Aurelia's type generally fizzle out at some point - she was physically miles more mature than her opponents in the Queen Mary but three months later the rest should be catching up and her performance in France ( although a high class one) did not make her one you'd want to run away from.

Roly Poly was behind her in the Queen Mary but has been progressing well since and like many from her yard she takes her racing very well and has been steadily improving all the time. After winning the Cherry Hinton she ran a cracker in the Lowther and with a 3 lb pull there should not be much between her and the winner Queen Kindly.You get the feeling that out of the three principals Roly Poly is the one most likely to produce her very best she is the value call here.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win MASTER OF THE WORLD 25/1 ( at least 7 firms)
1 pt win FIRST SITTING  43/1 ( Betfair Ex)

This is an event where horses come back and run well again and last years runner up Master of The World has again been fortunate to get the far rail berth and though he races off a 9 lb higher rating has enough going for him to make worth backing at the odds available. He has a poor win strike rate but the big field scenario suits him well and he narrowly failed to win the big Goodwood handicap three outings back and is as good as he's ever been.

First Sitting's will depend amongst other things how the race pans out as he is drawn towards the stands side  but he is progressing nicely and ran a fine race in the Duke of Edinburgh at Royal Ascot. He is however quick enough to be competitive in a true run race at this trip, has Doyle aboard who is 2 from 3 on him, and arrives here in fine heart.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 17 September 2016

3 pts win IMPERIAL AVIATOR  15/2 ( Coral,Victor, Bet 365)
Dubai Duty Free H'cap

Is 12 lb higher in the ratings than when creating a massive impression and going into everyone's notebooks when winning here back in May. That was his last run in handicap company until today and as he was being touted as G1 material at the time, it wasn't expected that he'd be back in this company. However, not too much is broken - he's only had two outings since, when unplaced in the French Derby and Great Voltigeur, looking like he never got the 12 f last time. His yard is in cracking form and though this will be the softest ground he's encountered, he beat Ulysses in his maiden on good to soft, and is irresistible here.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win BRANDO 18/1 ( 3 firms and Betfair Ex)
1 pt win JOHNNY BARNES 29/1 (Betfair Ex)
Ayr Gold Cup

Awkward to weigh up Group form in a race like this but at least Brando did have his first three runs of the season in handicaps, the last when narrowly beaten in the Wokingham off a 9 lb lower rating than todays. In his three runs since he has won a G 3 at Sandown, been runner up to subsequent Nunthorpe winner Mecca's Angel in a G2 at the Curragh, then finished mid-div in the Nunthorpe itself. He acts with ease in the ground, hails from a yard with an excellent record in this event, has a favourable draw and all in all should give a very good account of himself.

Johnny Barnes is an eyecatching runner in this from the Gosden yard. Runner up in a G1 in France as a juvenile he began his 3 year old career in classic trials.He's not turned into the horse that perhaps connections expected him to be but he did win a G3 in the soft in Deauville last August and the first of his three runs this season showed all of the ability is still there. The fact that he is switched down to this trip, the shortest he's ever races over indicates they are still trying to find the key to him and it would be no surprise to see him involved here.

Brando Won ( 16.5/1 for nr's after price taken)  + 32 pts

Saturday, 10 September 2016

2 pts win SON OF AFRICA 22/1 - before Final Venture W/D (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win OUT DO 29/1 - before Final Venture W/D (Betfair Ex)

For a 4 year old  operating in this sphere Son of Africa hasn't too many miles on the clock and couldn't be in better hands for one of his profile.He looked an improver when winning decisively two starts back at Sandown off a 3 lb lower mark than todays. His most recent run in a listed event can be overlooked and he is an interesting proposition back in handicap company.

Out Do ran better than his finishing position suggests last time and could be about to produce an optimum performance. In fact, he's beginning to look very well handicapped racing off a 6 lb lower mark than his last winning performance 14 months ago and having only had eight runs since, it's too premature to mark him as one on the downgrade,

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 3 September 2016

3pts win SQUATS 9/1 ( at least 11 firms)
Albert Bartlett H'cap

William Haggas's horses are in fine heart at the moment and needless to say the booking of Moore catches the eye for this one who ran a cracker here in a marginally more competitive race to this two outings back. Time will show he was up against it that day ( the winner is a class act who is better than his good run in a well contested G3 last time and is G1 entered). Squats run since in a five runner affair at Newmarket can be overlooked as he's best with cover and back in a favourable scenario at 3 lb higher in the ratings than the last run here and he should give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win DANCE THE DREAM 14/1 ( at least 4 firms inc Hills and Coral)
1 pt win WILD HACKED 20/1 ( at least 6 firms inc Hills, Victor, Betfred)
Appletiser H'cap

Marcus Tregoning now operates at a lower level than he once did but has had a few running OK lately and Dance The Dream is worth chancing on her first run in handicap company. On her second run at Newbury in June she was third in was was a good maiden for the time of year, the first three pulling well clear of the rest and the second winning easily next time. She then won an inferior maiden at Chepstow very easily and arrives here still an unknown sort but one who you can't confidently put a line through.

Wild Hacked steps up to this trip for the first time on the back of  a victory in a moderate handicap at Chelmsford. That was his first win since losing his maiden tag at Windsor in May. In between the two runs he ran four times - twice in very competitive handicaps. At the Newmarket July meeting he was fourth in the traditionally well contested 1m 2f 3 year old handicap and if the this distance brings about further improvement he could run very well.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 27 August 2016

3 pts win REX IMPERATOR 14/1 ( at least 5 firms including Ladbrokes, Victor and SkyBet)
Goodwood Revival Stakes

Still in many minds after the impression he created when winning a handicap at Windsor  when with Roger Charlton four years ago. He's had 30 runs since that day, winning only three times but amongst those was a Stewards Cup. Now 7 years old, he's performing at around a stone below the level of his peak and is racing at a trip that he's never won over. However,his seven starts at 7f  have produced 2234033 - and two outings ago he ran a cracker over C&D, narrowly failing to win. He's 4lb higher in the ratings today ( he ran another fine race over 6f at Ripon last time) and if he continues to produce hos present level of form he will go very close. It's a years since he last won - but that doesn't sound too bad when you consider it was only five outings back.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 20 August 2016

3 pts win JAAMEH 11/1 ( at least 7 firms)

Was one of a handful of today's field who contested this events equivalent at the big Goodwood meeting and has a big chance of coming out top today. Unlike a typical runner from his yard he was held up in the rear that day, running on well to finish a close fourth. Although his sire's best progeny are speedier types, Jaameh looked as though he would be interesting stepping up in trip and invariably runners from this yard tend to outstay their pedigrees. He's fully effective on all ground, his price is holding up well, and should be involved in a big way.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win KINEMA 10/1 ( at least 14 firms)
1 pt win TAWDEEA 19/1 ( Betfair Ex)

Kinema has improved in the region of a stone since joining Ralph Beckett in the Spring and appeals as the winner of this. After winning at this trip at Goodwood in May in the style of an improved animal, he reverted back to twelve furlongs to win an up to standard Duke of Edinburgh in gritty style after coming from a long way back. His Goodwood Cup run can be forgiven - the fact that it was his first attempt at that trip on his 27th career start indicates there must have been doubts about him staying. This easy 1m 6f with some ease underfoot should be fine.

Tawdeea has been below par in his two outings since winning the Old Newton Cup. He was never able to get close to the leader when stepping down in trip for the John Smith's here, and was always in the rear at Goodwood last time. Today he'll have the ease underfoot that suits him so well and the way he won at Haydock suggested he would be interesting at this trip.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 19 August 2016

3 pts win STARS OVER THE SEA 7/1 ( at least 16 firms)
Sky Bet First Race Special Stakes

Has been put up 7 lb in the ratings after running his rivals into the ground at Pontefract earlier this month but is in the form of his life at the present. That run came on the back of an excellent third in a race every bit as competitive as today's at Goodwood. He has always been very useful -  was tried in the Chester Vase as a 3 year old and also has some quality form over hurdles - notably when not beaten far when fourth in the big juvenile race at Aintree. Although his recent form has been on a quick surface he is equally effective with some give so there is no need to worry about the effect of the forecasted rain - unlike some of his rivals.His price his holding up well this morning and he looks set to run a big race.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win PROFITABLE 13/2 ( 4 firms inc Coral and Victor - and both exchanges)
1 pt win SILVER RAINBOW 45/1 (Betfair Exchange)
Coolmore Nunthorpe

Profitable has developed in a genuine top class sprinter, a much different horse than the one who finished mid-div in this last year, and looks a very likely winner of this. He ran a fine race to be fourth in the July Cup last time on fast ground but will be ideally suited by the revert back to five furlongs with give underfoot and the rain looks certain to get into the ground by the time this race is run.

Silver Rainbow has been on a roll since getting in foal, chalking up a hatrick, the first of which in an ordinary handicap off 84, the last coming in a Listed event Deauville when she beat a 109 rated horse with ease. Further improvement is needed to figure here but the gap is bridgeable and she could surprise at big odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 18 August 2016

3 pts win FIRMANENT 10/1 ( at least 12 firms)
Clipper Logistics H'cap

Has run well on all six starts since joining O'Meara last December. Admittedly five of the runs have been on the AW but he was not disgraced in the only turf run in the sequence when fourth to Franklin D at Newmarket. There is some imagination needed here as he is yet to prove himself in a fully competitive field of this size and quality.However, he did create a good visual impression when winning at Chelmsford last time and there is substance in the performance too as per the decent quality field that he beat.The stable won this two seasons back and he is worth a go.

Won + 30 pts

Wednesday, 17 August 2016

3pts win HARRY HURRICANE 12/1 ( Generally available)
Symphony Group Stakes

Is only 1 lb higher in the ratings than when winning a similarly competitive event over C&D  in May. He was disappointing on his next two starts but ran well last time when fifth to Boom The Groom at Goodwood. It's all come right for him today; the ground will be ideal and he is re-united with Winston who was on him here in May. This is more of a specialist track than first appears, and it's a big advantage to be able to hold your place and race close to the leaders. and this one will be able to do this again and is a must for any short list.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win WINGS OF FREEDOM 11/1 (Generally available)
Juddmonte International

This Dante winner was at the time a shade disappointing when finishing fourth in the Derby though when the dust settled it was overall a very good performance from one with bags of improvement remaining. His effort in the King George was a cracker, just being outstayed by Highland Reel after having every chance. The step back to this trip should be ideal and he has a good opportunity of reversing that form and should give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 12 August 2016

3 pts win KIMBERELLA  8/1 ( at least 13 firms)
Great St Wilfred

Renews rivalry with stable companion Orion's Bow but never had the rub of the green in the Stewards Cup, racing in a disadvantaged part of the track and ran much better than the bare 13th finishing position suggests.He'd looked one very likely to win again soon when winning in taking style the previous week at York. He is albeit 6 lb higher in the ratings than at York but created a fine visual impression that day and loves to hear his feet rattle, and it could pay to stick with him here.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 28 July 2016

3 pts win CELESTIAL PATH 14/1 (Betfair Ex)
Golden Mile

On weights and measures Franklin D is the proverbial handicap blot under his 3 lb penalty for his Newmarket performance but at around 3/1, too many things can go wrong. Last year's 2,000 Guineas fifth Celestial Path appeals more at respective prices. It was not until his last outing that he ventured into handicap company, running a fine race and only caught close home by a useful yardstick. On paper this is more competitive but he races off the same rating here and his yard is in cracking form at the moment.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win KIMBERELLA 12/1 ( at least 6 firms inc Coral,Tote, Betfred,Bet 365)
Stewards Cup

Maybe worth playing in this event now. This one has had a hell of a lot of racing and is not one you'd at first think there could be a run on in the market but he created a really favourable impression when winning at York last weekend, looking in terrific heart and very much one with a great chance of following up under a penalty.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 27 July 2016

3pts win HIGH SHIELDS 8/1 ( at least 4 firms inc Hills and Coral)
Matchbook Exchange H'cap

This is still always an interesting handicap, even though the aura is not there from the days it was known as the 'Extel'.
High Shields looks a very likely winner of this. He had his first run in a handicap last time. That was over 12f and on the back of winning his maiden over this course and distance. He acquitted himself really well, finishing fourth ,only three lengths off the winner, with the three ahead of him all arriving in the race with plenty of recent winning form. It was probably an even better race than it looked on the day and the form should work out well. The step back down in trip looks ideal for High Shields here and he is hard to get away from.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win SHEIKHZAYEDROAD 14/1 (at least 8 firms)
Goodwood Cup

Definitely worth a go at double figure odds. He has bags of talent but is a difficult ride and has a tendency to hang badly. Nevertheless, he has a better than one in four career strike rate and his third in the Ascot Gold Cup indicates that he is worth serious consideration for this type of event. He did run in this event last year, staying on well to finish sixth beaten only four lengths and is going to need the rub of the green as he will be held up again. However, there looks to be plenty of pace on here and that will be a real positive for this one.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 26 July 2016

3 pts win QATARI HUNTER  15/2 ( at least 6 firms)
Beringice Gordon Stakes

This one steps up from handicap company but is progressing at a fast rate and is a mighty interesting runner -indeed an eyecatching rare contender for the Bolger yard at this venue. He's on a five timer here and shapes as though the step up to a mile and a half will be ideal. He possesses a  good turn of foot, and at the odds available, he is preferable to the two dropping down from Group 1 company, one still an unknown with a question mark over him, and the other who is becoming very hard to win with.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 25 July 2016

1.5 pts win GANG WARFARE  14/1 (at least 13 firms)
1.5 pts win ARCH VILLAIN  20/1 ( at leat 7 firms)
Matchbook Exchange Summer Stakes

Absolutely wide open and as is typical on this track you'll need the rub of the green more than at most other venues.

Gang Warfare ran up a sequence on the AW before arriving well fancied for the Chester Cup. Not a lot went his way and he ran respectably enough to finish ninth. He was then put back to the AW for the new look Pitmans Derby and was never able to get in a blow. You get the feeling that there is another upturn around the corner in his career and he could surprise here.

Arch Villain is another who has been very successful late on the AW. He too ran in the Pitmans last time out where he only beat two home. He has however won around here and the yard strive to have one or two that will run well at this meeting. Should outrun his odds.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 23 July 2016

2 pts win FOLKSWOOD  6/1 ( almost all firms)
1 pt win OH THIS IS US 25/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Woodford Reserve H'cap

Folkswood acquitted himself credibly when eighth in the fiercely competitive Britannia at the Royal meeting here when well supported in the market beforehand. He runs off the same mark today but despite this also being a competitive race, he faces an easier task than last time off the same mark and he is of course open to plenty of further improvement. The stable is absolutely flying at the moment and it will be a surprise if he doesn't figure.

Oh This Is Us's  winning streak came to an end in the aforementioned Britannia where he finished well beaten. That was however the first time he had encountered soft ground so it may be premature to think the handicapper has hold of him. Back on faster ground, he has a good turn of foot and is not one to discount.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win HEAVEN'S GUEST 10/1 ( almost all firms)
1 pt win KING'S PAVILION 33/1 ( at least 7 firms)
Gigaset International Stakes

The fact that Heaven's Guest is fully exposed is no justifiable reason to pass him over here and he is a safer option than trying to find some non existent plot horse or potential Group horse. He won this event last year off just a 1 lb lower mark than today's after being fourth in the race the previous year and it's not as if we are hoping the race will conjure up a return to his best - he is absolutely bang in form after narrowly failing to win the Bunbury cup two weeks back. A very obvious contender but fairly priced and worth support.

Mark Johnston has won this event three times in the past eight years. King's Pavilion is the preferred one from his two runners - he is another who ran down the field in the Britannia.He then ran a fine race in a competitive Sandown handicap before never being able to get into his race at York the other week. Though he appears ideally suited by some ease in the ground his run four races back, also at Sandown, was on a fast surface and as good as anything he has produced.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 16 July 2016

2 pts win MOABIT 11/2 (at least 7 firms)
1 pt win CURIOUS CARLOS 14/1 ( SkyBey, Stand James and Betfair Ex)
Summer H'cap Hurdle

This is a cracking event by the standards of Summer jumping fare and it is impossible to put a line through Moabit who arrives here in terrific heart and it is impossible at this time to guess what level his eventual ceiling will be. He is 10 lb higher in the ratings than when he last ran in a handicap two outings ago but has been treating his rivals with contempt and looks sure to figure in a big way.

Curious Carlos never got the rub of things last time but retains an overall progressive profile and from a yard that commands respect in the Summer jumping sphere, particularly at this venue. The booking of Richard Johnson catches the eye and he is hard to resist at double figure odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 9 July 2016

2 pts win TAWDEEA 9/1 (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win EARTH DRUMMER  23/1 (Betfair Ex)
John Smith's Cup

First impressions are that Tawdeea has some obstacles to overcome to defy his penalty. He had to be driven to make up the leeway on soft ground, off a fast pace and over a longer trip at Haydock last week. Today, he's faced with a shorter trip, quicker ground, and a course where the leaders are harder to peg back than at most over venues. However, the overall impression he gave was that he passed the line with plenty in hand and is an animal still very much on the up. It's also worth remembering that when he lost his maiden tag only eight weeks ago, that was over one mile. On weights and measures he's good enough to win here and the negatives may not even come into play.

Earth Drummer is a rare example of a horse being improved upon after moving from O'Meara ( though he is housed at O'Meara's old yard so has remained put) His fifth place finish in the Victoria Cup was arguably a lifetime best, and this was followed by a credible tenth in the Royal Hunt Cup. He's versatile regarding trip, has for a while looked the type to bag a decent race and should acquit himself well at big odds.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win MAGICAL MEMORY  6/1 ( at least 18 firms)
1 pt win SUEDOIS 29/1 (Betfair Ex)
July Cup

Magical Memory has only finished ahead of Twilight Son once in their encounters but today he has his optimum conditions. He traveled beautifully on this July Course when winning a handicap at this meeting last year on similarly fast ground to today's and again showed that he is at home on tracks with rises and dips with a commanding performance in the Stewards Cup.He was only half a length behind Twilight Son at Ascot last time in conditions that ideally suited Candy's charge and will take all the beating today.

Suedois was inches behind Magical Memory at Ascot and had previously been runner up to that rival in the Duke of York. This will be only his fourth run for O'Meara but he is already promising to win a big prize and although he has never encountered ground as fast as today's , his odds grossly underestimate his chance.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 2 July 2016

2 pts win TAWDEEA  9/1 ( at least 13 firms)
1 pt win WATERSMEET 20/1 ( at least 6 firms)
Old Newton Cup

Making just his ninth career start today, it's very likely that there is plenty more left for the O'Meara yard to get out of Tawdeea who ran a quality sort close over this C&D last time with a useful yardstick six lengths back in third, That was his first attempt at this trip and it looks as if it will be his optimum. He's won on today's surface in the past and there is every reason to believe that he'll run a big race today.

Watersmeet is weighed to reverse last years running in this with stable companion Notarised. They finished first and second and have both been typically in and out since. However, while runners from this yard often bounce back after poor efforts,Watersmeet  ran consistently well for a period of four months last year and arrives here on the back of a good effort. The market( which has more emphasis as a guide to this yard than many would believe) also indicates that he is the main hope of the three.

Tawdeea Won  + 17 pts

Saturday, 18 June 2016

3pts win SIR ISAAC NEWTON   10/1 ( at least 11 firms)

This one was touted as a Derby possibility last Spring but those hopes were put aside after he could not bag a maiden at the Chester May meeting. He was then dropped back to 7 furlongs where he lost his maiden tag before running a fine race to finish sixth in the Jersey. He then disappointed in a G2 in September and was not seen until being turned over at Dundalk this Spring. He was then upped to today's trip where he was third to subsequent Hunt Cup winner Portage in a Curragh Listed event. Overall, he has the profile of a disappointing and highly frustrating individual and one who connections would normally have got rid of long ago.There must be something there for them to keep hold( it's probably not worth getting carried away by his King George Queen Elizabeth entry as it's likely he is just in as a potential  spoiler/pacemaker or whatever) and it might just be that he needs covering up in a big field assisted by a strong gallop.Worth one chance.

Won + 30pts

2 pts win NINJAGO  20/1 ( at least 12 firms)
1 pt win SALATEEN  39/1 (Betfair Ex)

Paul Midgley has a terrific record with acquisitions from other yards and although Ninjago already looks the finished article, having run well in Stewards Cups and Ayr Gold Cups for the Hannons, he might just be able to squeeze something extra out of him. Ninjago certainly ran extremely well on his only run for his new yard so far at York last month and on weights and measures is bang in with a big chance having been placed in last year's Ayr Gold Cup off a 1 lb lower rating than todays. The ground will pose no worries and he should give a very good account of himself from what appears to be a favourable draw.

David O 'Meara has also excelled by improving acquisitions from other yards but has had a relatively ordinary season so far this year. He's had Salateen since last October and it is curious that he is reverting down to 6f for the first time since his racecourse debut. One of the interesting outsiders.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 17 June 2016

3 pts win CHOREOGRAPHER  6/1 ( at least 17 firms)
King Edward V11 Stakes

After winning a Windsor maiden on his debut on ground on the easy side this one was pitted into the Dante where he never got the run of the place and ran much better than his finishing position indicates. Connections clearly rate him very highly having given him a King George Queen Elizabeth entry and if he  he's going to be worthy of lining up in that sort of race he should be able to win this.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win LA RIOJA  12/1 ( at least 14 firms)
Commonwealth Cup

Has six lengths to make up on Quiet Reflection on Haydock running but ran as though she clearly needed the outing and should be a different animal today. She still remains an exciting prospect having visually looked a top notch performer when winner a G3 at Salisbury last September. That was on soft ground and though she has looked good on a faster surface, today's surface may be what she needs to produce her optimum and she is very tempting at double figure odds.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win LANDOFHOPEANDGLORY  15/2 ( at least 7 firms)
1 pt win SOLDIER IN ACTION  20/1 ( Stan James, Victor. Betfair Sportsbook)
Queens Vase

Landofhopeandglory has been shaping as though he needs this sort of distance to realise his potential and hailing from a yard that has won this event four times in the last ten years, he looks certain to give an excellent account of himself here. He has been mixing it in with some solid Group class animals but has been found wanting for pace at crucial stages of his races. Impossible to logically put a line through here.

Soldier In Action runs here instead of the King George h'cap yesterday in which he looked an interesting contender. He's also worth close examination  here too and his Chester May form when runner up to Red Verdon puts him in here with a big chance, even though he was flattered to get so close to the winner that day. Furthermore, he's the sort who keeps galloping and appeals as one who'll get this trip visually as well as on pedigree.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 15 June 2016

2 pts win LOVELL 6/1 (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win SOLDIER IN ACTION 33/1 (PPower, Betfred, Betfair Ex)
King George V H'cap

Lovell has excellent prospects of giving his trainer back to back  wins in this event. Ideally suited by getting his toe in, he shaped extremely well when narrowly beaten by Stargazer in the race formerly known as the Esher Handicap. Of the two he split, the useful looking winner has not been out since while the third was highly tried in the Dante.

Soldier In Action finished fourth in that event. He has been relatively busy since - his most eye-catching piece of form on his next outing when runner up to Red Verdon, giving that rival 7 lb. Of course, the winner was eased and Soldier In Action was was flattered to be beaten just over a length, but the rest of the field were miles behind and the winner ran well in the Derby without getting the best of passages, thus the form is stonewall solid. He's disappointed in his two outings since but as with many from his yard could bounce back and run a cracker.

Lovell lost, SI Action NR   - 2pts

Tuesday, 14 June 2016

3pts win RIBCHESTER 10/1 ( at least 3 firms inc PPower and Hills)
Jersey Stakes

This one has trained on extremely well and looks to have plenty more to come. A solid two year old, he shaped well in France on his seasonal debt in heavy ground before running a career best to finish third in the English 2,000 Guineas. Needless to say that form has received a massive boost on the first day of this meeting, and it could be that the drop back to 7f may be absolutely idea and it will be disappointing if he doesn't go very close.

Won  + 30 pts

3pts win PORTAGE  11/1 ( Hills, Skybet. Bet 365)
Royal Hunt Cup

Has a hell of a lot going for him. Drawn in the part of the field that looked to have an advantage today, he's also proven on soft ground, having won on that surface over course and distance last July. He's proven in the hustle and bustle of big fields having finished fifth in the Cambridgeshire, and looked in good heart when winning a Listed event at the Curragh on his seasonal debut ten days ago. Appeals as the most likely winner of this.

Won + 33 pts

Monday, 13 June 2016

2pts win ESOTERIQUE  7/1 ( at least 4 firns inc SkyBet,PPower,Bet365, 7.4/1Betfair Ex)
1pt win COUGAR MOUNTAIN 28/1 ( at least PPower, Sky Bet. Bet365 and Betfair Ex)
Queen Anne Stakes

Esoterique  will be spot on from her seasonal debut and has a big chance to go one better than last year, where she finished runner up to the excellent Solow. That was every bit as strongly contested as this year's event will be and the ease in the ground will not harm the mare's prospects. She can be trusted to run her race and is sure to give a fine account of herself

Cougar Mountain finished one place behind in third in this event last year. He is frustratingly hard to place but you get the feeling that he is going to pop up and surprise in one of these events during the season. Though disappointing on his last three races on easy ground, that is just coincidental as he ran a blinder when fifth in the July Cup on good to soft on his second career start.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win BATTAASH 12/1 ( at leat 5 firms inc Ladbrokes and Betfred)
Windsor Castle Stakes

This one visually looked a real classy sort when winning at Bath on his only start. He was easy in the betting that day but there was lots to like about the way he came through to stamp his authority on the field after being slowly away. He never just beat trees;  the runner up has since gone on and acquitted himself well in a decent Salisbury race and the third home has come out and won his next two starts. Looks a mighty interesting runner in this.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 11 June 2016

2pts win MR LUPTON  12/1 (Generally available)
1pt win LATHOM 20/1 (Generally available)
Charity Sprint

Always a fascinating race to get stuck into and from the top of the handicap Mr Lupton is of interest after running a fine race to be third in a Newmarket handicap off today's rating. The animals that finishing around him that have run since have acquitted themselves well without winning. The ease in the ground should not be a concern as he ran with credit despite finishing ninth in a valuable sales race here last here - he then won a similar event at Doncaster beating Humphrey Bogart, and was runner up to the talented Log Out Island in another valuable sales event at Redcar. In fact with this being a venue where it can be hard to reel in those near the front, the ground should assist.

Lathom ran in two sales events last season and on the first occasion came home ahead, beating Mr Lupton at Newbury, giving away 8lb. While Mr Lupton has progressed since Lathom has been generally disappointing and was switched to David O'Meara's yard, for whom he's ran once, shaping promisingly in the Dash at Epsom last week. Not hard to envisage him causing a surprise today.

Mr Lupton won + 23pts

Saturday, 4 June 2016

1.5 pts win DARK DEVIL 12/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
1.5 pts win BATHOS 14/1 ( almost all firms - 15/1 Betfair Ex)
Investec Private Banking H'cap

Dark Devil caught the eye when third on his seasonal  debut at Chester when compromised by the draw and it was surprising that he was absent from the Silver Bowl at Haydock, where the horse ahead of him at Chester ran a cracker ( the horse just behind at Chester won here yesterday). You'd think the Britannia would be ideal if he got in and in the circumstances it is surprising that he turns out here, stepping up two and a half furlongs in trip. It may be the owners want a runner on the Derby card but at double figure odds he is still too tempting to resist.

Bathos won four Nurseries in a row last year and returned to winning form at Goodwood a couple of weeks back. Though on the face it he looks exposed and up against it with some potential Group types in the field, he is  a hardy sort who looks the sort to find further improvement and win a few more races over the next couple of months and is worth including here.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win CLOTH OF STARS 9/1 ( at least 6 firms inc Ladbrokes, Victor, Bet 365)
1pt win RED VERDON 28/1 ( at least five firms - inc Hills,Victor, Bet 365 - and Betfair Ex)
Investec Derby

A wide open renewal and much harder to put a gage on than is the norm.

In the circumstances Cloth of Stars is one of the more exposed runners but he has plenty going for him. Firstly, his bare level of form is better than all but just a handful of runners here, having beat a fair yardstick in a recognised trial for this event  at Saint Cloud last time, reversing previous form with the runner up. Secondly, Andre Fabre does not overface his animals and would have earmarked another event if he did not consider him up to the task. Finally,he appeals as one who will be a sole middle distance horse and the step up to what should be his optimum trip will be ideal and bring about the improvement to make him a real force here.

Red Verdon has been supplemented on the strength of a facile success off a rating of 88 in a Haydock handicap. In a normal year you'd rule him out with little worry but there is so much imagination needed here with quite a few of these and he could be literally anything and is at least worth modest stakes at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 28 May 2016

3pts win LUSTROUS 8/1 ( almost all firms)
Pinnacle Stakes

The O'Meara stable hasn't hit a golden patch yet this season but plenty are running OK enough at the moment to make this one of interest on her first run for her new yard.She was well beaten in this last year behind Miss Marjurie but turned the tables on that rival back here in the Lancashire Oaks, when they finished second and third. Miss Marjurie came out best of the pair when they were both unplaced in the Yorkshire Oaks - there is not much between them at their best but O'Meara might just be able to conjure up further improvement out of his charge and she makes plenty of appeal.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win LA RIOJA 6/1 ( at least eleven firms)
Sandy Lane Stakes

This filly makes her seasonal debut and is scheduled to go to the G1 Commonwealth Cup at the Royal meeting if she acquits herself well here. There is no knowing the level she will reach but visually she looked one hell of an exciting animal last year and is from a yard with an excellent record with it's sprinters, including the female ones. Will be disappointing if she does not go very close.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 21 May 2016

3pts win WILD HACKED 6/1 ( almost all firms)
Silver Bowl Stakes

Always a cracking race to try and unravel. This one looks a very likely type even though there is a good degree of guesswork involved with him appearing in a handicap for the first time. In his favour, he's encountered ease in the ground on the first of his three appearances, running a blinder to chase home a Gosden horse who, though not seen since, is entered in the St James Palace and Eclipse. On his most recent appearance, when losing his maiden tag, there was a gap to the third home who has since run well in a hottish looking Newmarket maiden. Finally, his progressive yard is in fairish form and he himself holds a St James Palace entry and time may prove he is a snip off a mark of 82.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SHORE STEP 15/2 ( at least 7 firms)
Spring Sprint

The Channon horses are running well at the moment and Shore Step is one to take aboard here. A reliable sort, he has proven that his present mark is a fair one and in fact on his last visit here last July he raced off a 1 lb lower mark and only found one too good in a similarly competitive event with today's rider up. Most of his racing has been done at 6f but that is most certainly just incidental and the drop back will not hinder today as he invariably forces the pace. He shaped well on his reappearance at Ascot and is sure to give a very good account of himself

Non Runner

Saturday, 14 May 2016

2 pts win DUTCH CONNECTION  12/1 ( at least 6 firms)
1pt win AROD 25/1 ( Coral, Bet 365, Betfair Ex)
Lockinge Stakes

Dutch Connection is 3 lb worse off for the neck beating by Toormore last time but still could turn the form around and is the value call. He came there travelling like a winner and went passed the winner before being headed again. There is of course the possibility that 7f may ideally suit him better but he may also have needed the run more - last year Toormore was spot on first time out while Dutch Connection came on for his reappearance.

Arod is a very useful animal who never really gets much credit. He has some cracking pieces of form under his belt and can be expected to turn Ascot form around with GM Hopkins, as at their best Arod is the better horse. Condition more than ground is the likelihood for his few pound below par effort as he had run a fine race last year in the Dante with ease in the ground. Should run well at a big price.

Arod NR Dutch Connection Lost  - 2pts

2pts win VIVRE POUR VIVRE 7/1 ( almost all -18- firms )
1pt win SOLDIER IN ACTION  15.5/1 (Betfair Ex)
London Gold Cup

On the face of it the handicapper has taken no chances raising Vivre Pour Vivre by 10 lb in the ratings for a victory in a three runner affair in the mud at Leicester - even though he won easily. This is a much stiffer task on paper but the colt does hold a King Edward entry and may turn out to be better than a handicapper. The stable has been in cracking form and Ryan Moore is 4 from 7 for the yard this season.

Soldier In Action was strongly supported prior to running everything bar the eventual winner ragged at Chester last week with the remainder of the runners well beaten off. He's up a little in the ratings for that and is back down in trip which should not be too much of a concern. Has to be of interest.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 7 May 2016

3pts win JOHN CONSTABLE 12/1 ( at least 9 firms)
Pertemps H'cap  Hurdle

You have to be travelling well and holding your place to figure in this and this race looks ideal for this one who still gives the impression that he could suddenly go on an upward curve. Though sixth behind Ch'Tibello at Ayr last time when weak in the market, he was only beaten just over three lengths and travelled supremely well for most of the race. You can't keep giving these types unlimited chances on the back of potential and visual impressions, but he is very much one to consider today.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 3 May 2016

3pts win SILVER CONCORDE 8/1 ( at least 9 firms)
Chester Cup

While recent runs over hurdles have not been a barrier to many winners of this event down the years it's little worrying that this one comes here on the back of finishing plum last in the Supreme Novices - if this has been a definite long term target he'd probably have given that a miss coming from a set up that is precise with its future planning. Having said that, he does have a cracking chance. A versatile sort who can handle the big field scenario and one who knows how to get his head in front, he is impossible to leave out the reckoning.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 1 May 2016

3pts win USHERETTE 7/1 ( with the majority of firms)
Dahlia Stakes

Andre Fabre won this two years back and Usherette is a mighty interesting contender here.She's only five races under her belt and this is her second attempt in Group company, the last coming at Deauville last August when pitted in to a G1 and finishing behind Amazing Maria. She arrives here on the back of two comfortable recent successes on the AW and hailing from a yard that does not over face it's charges, it would be no surprise if she left all previous form behind and proved up to the task.

Won  + 21 pts

2pts win HUNTSMANS CLOSE 10/1 ( almost all firms)
1 pt win CAPTAIN BOB 20/1 ( Skybet and Betfair Ex)
Re-Hab and Pre-Training H'cap

Huntsman's Close is 8 lb higher in the ratings then when beaten just inches in this last year. That was his reappearance and he'd  won first time out the previous season so fitness is unlikely to be an issue here. He's from a yard who maintain these types at full ability over many seasons and there is no doubt he'll be capable of showing his very best today - which he'll probably need to be to win.

Captain Bob is from a yard that excels with it's sprinters. He's only just gone there and is having his third run - the first two being in unsuitable testing conditions. On better ground for the first time from his new home, he is worth a second look.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 30 April 2016

2pts win ARTHENUS 11/2 ( 3 firms ad Betfair Ex)
1pt win EMERALD 12/1 ( at least 4 firms ad Betfair Ex)
Suffolk Stakes

Arthenus rattled off a three timer at the backend of last season and he can begin where he left off - there certainly looks to be more to come from him and with ground and trip ideal for him, he can defy a career high mark provided he is tuned up. His price his holding up well which is encouraging as to his fitness level for this reappearance.

Emerald finished behind Arthenus at York but then came out and won here in the soft last October looking one who'll win more races. He's ran well on both starts this term and is very much one to consider today.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win STAR STORM 18/1 (at least 9 firms)
Jockey Club Stakes

With a long line of targets earmarked in for him, Jack Hobbs may not be as tuned up as some of the others and may be worth taking on today. There is no reason why Star Storm's connections would not have this event as a proper target and he is mighty interesting. The Sea the Stars colt did not lose his maiden tag until his sixth start and was looking a pretty ordinary sort who'd end up going over hurdles. However, after that win he cruised home in a Yarmouth handicap then followed up when taking a leap up in class in the Cumberland Lodge. Hillstar and Romsdal, two who you would consider here, finished third and fourth in that, and there is no knowing the level of Star Storm's eventual ceiling.Admittedly the ground is a bit of a worry but the price more than compensates for the negatives.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 23 April 2016

3pts win SAPHIR DU RHEU 12/1 ( at least 9 firms)
Oaksey Chase

Turning the clock back to the beginning of the season no one could have envisaged how disappointing this ones season would be. After winning comfortably on his debut at Carlise he started favourite for the Hennessy, and going into that race he looked the type who could develop into a leading contender for the Cheltenham Gold Cup. From that day onwards everything's gone backwards. However, with the yard back in form and the blinds on for the first time, he is very tempting at the price available and may just cause an upset.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win HENRY PARRI MORGAN 10/1 (PPower, St James, Skybet, Bet365)
1pt win DYNASTE 28/1 ( at least 9 firms)
Bet 365 Gold Cup

Henry Parri Morgan only has five runs over fences under his belt but looks well up to winning this. After winning two novice handicaps on soft ground he ran a cracker on a better surface in the Grade 1 novice stayers chase at Aintree, finishing runner up with two of this years Cheltenham festival winners immediately following him home.

Dynaste has underachieved for one of his ability but has continually been faced against the very best. He still retains  plenty of ability. will not mind today's ground, and in what is amazingly  his first venture into handicap company over fences,  should outrun his odds.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 16 April 2016

3 pts win JOHN CONSTABLE 12/1 ( at least nine firms)
Scottish Champion Hurdle

Still hard to get away from the visual impression he created when beating a Henderson horse in a novice hurdle at Huntington a year ago - he looked one to follow blindly from that day onwards. Did not appear until November when chasing home Sternrubin in a similar quality contest to todays, then was next seen when disappointing in the County. On Ascot form he has a big pull in the weights with Sternrubin. It's far to early to write him off yet and he is extremely tempting at today's odds.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win VICENTE 22/1 ( Hills and Bet 365   23/1 Betfair Ex)
1.5pts win ALVARADO 33/1 ( 4 firms inc Hills and Victor -  35/1 Betfair Ex)
Scottish Grand National

Novices have a good record in this and Vicente has some eyecatching pieces of form in the book, notably when beating the subsequent RSA winner at Cheltenham in November. He wasn't helped by the attentions of a loose horse in the four miler at the festival last time and will be closer to Measureofmydreams today.

Alvarado ain't getting any younger but had been prepped for a try at the Aintree GN, which he'd ran two crackers in previously, but never made the field. Needless to say he should arrive here in optimum condition and has a fair win strike rate over fences for a slow coach.Not one to dismiss lightly.

Vincente Won  + 31.5pts

Saturday, 9 April 2016

3pts win KINGS PALACE 12/1 ( at least 4 firms inc Coral and Bet 365,  12.5/1 Betfair Ex))
Gaskells H'cap Hurdle

This has been one of the most frustrating animals in training to follow. A highly promising novice hurdler, he was strongly fancied for the Albert Bartlett two years ago, but disappointed, falling when beaten.Then on to his novice chase season he arrived at the festival last year fancied for the RSA, but again disappointed. He's had three runs this season, the best last time out when a fine third in the 2m 5f handicap chase at the festival. He had previously pulled up over hurdles and returns to that sphere here. Fact is, he is reasonably handicapped on his best hurdle form and is worth one last chance for the umpteenth time.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win LE PREZIAN  11.5/1 (Betfair Ex)
1 pt win FLYING ANGEL 16.5/1 (Betfair Ex)
EZ Trader Mersey Novices Hdle

Yorkhill is the most vulnerable of the hotpots today, after putting up an optimum at Chltenham and it would be no surprise to see his performance fall a bit here.

La Prezian ran a close second to the horse that finished third to Yorkhill at Cheltenham before winning a graded race at Kelso in the style of an animal improving with each run. An interesting individual in his own right he is the value call here.

Flying Angel's last three runs have seen him placed in the Betfair, win the Imperial Cup, then finish runner up in the Martin Pipe. He clearly has a strong disposition about him, will not be compromised by the overnight rain, and is not without a chance.

Lost - 3pts

Already selected Ante-Post: GALLANT OSCAR Grand National 33/1

Friday, 8 April 2016

2pts win IBIS DU RHEU 14/1 ( at least 12 firms)
1pt win WHITEOUT 18/1 ( at least 5 firms inc Hills and SkyBet - 19/1 Betfair Ex)
Alder Hey H'cap Hdle

Ibis Du Rheu has taken a few runs in this country for him to get it together but announced himself as a useful performer when winning  the Martin Pipe with a bit to spare. He looked an animal with plenty more to come that day and the 8 lb rise in the ratings may not be enough to prevent him from following up here.

Whiteout ran in the same race, running on into fifth. That was his second attempt at this trip ( the first having proved inconclusive), and now his stamina is assured he won't have to settle so far back. Better chance that his odds suggest.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win BISHOPS ROAD 12/1 ( almost everywhere)
1pt win FAIRY RATH 25/1 ( almost all firms)
Crabbie's Topham Chase

Bishop's Road does not really fit the trends for this race being near the top of the handicap and having no previous course experience.  However, he hails from a set up which is showing signs of moving up a tier in strength and has won both his starts for his new yard, appealing as one with a valuable handicap or two in him.(Is first reserve for the GN and would be interesting if he got in) Both those wins have been in heavy ground so he may not want it drying too much further but is hard to leave off the short list if

Fairy Rath runs off the same rating that he ran off when runner up in this race last year. Though pulling up on his latest appearance he had previously shown his well being when winning at Sandown in February and he appeals as one who will run another good race in this.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win BAOULET DELAROQUE 13/2 ( 7 firms incSky Bet, Victor, and PPower)
Doom Bar Sefton Novices Hdle

Arrived at the Coral Cup on the back of a hatrick and ran an absolute cracker to finish a close up fifth. That level of form is very likely on par with what the others here have produced in Graded company, and with the extra three furlongs looking as though they'll be within his compass, he should give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 7 April 2016

3pts win SCEAU ROYAL  22/1 (Hills and Bet 365 - 23/1 Betfair Ex)
Juvenile Hdle

Finished down the field in the Triumph and renews rivalry with a few of those who finished well ahead of him. Alan King has an outstanding record in this event and with the ground turning soft this is not one to dismiss lightly. His performance when beating a highly talented Paul Nicholls horse on soft ground at Cheltenham in December ( had dead heated previously with the same animal on faster ground) made him one to consider in the Triumph. Definitely worth another chance in today's conditions.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win DON POLI 11/2 ( 4 firms including Hills and Corals)
Bowl Chase

Never got into the race when a staying on third in the Gold Cup and on that performance you would not expect him to turn around the form with the runner up on this sharper circuit. However, the change in today's ground puts him bang in the reckoning here, and after all he has won around here back in December. The danger is he may find himself getting outpaced at a crucial point but at the odds available he is the value call and is worth support.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win MENDIP EXPRESS 14/1 ( four firms inc Hills)
Crabbies's Foxhunters

Has less than ten lengths to make up on  those that finished ahead of him in the Foxhunters but needs soft ground to produce his optimum and overall he is very much one to consider here. He's got good course form under his belt with a fine second to Oscar Time in last season's Becher Chase, his yard is in excellent form, and he will not be far away today.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win KATACHENKO 16/1 ( at least 12 firms)
Red Rum H'cap Chase

Although he fortunes of the yard have took a big downturn in the last couple of years this one merits consideration here. Both owner and trainer have this as their number one meeting of the year and this event has no doubt been in their mind for this animal for quite a while now. In a race in which first season chasers have a good record, Katachenko has some useful pieces of form that give him a chance. Admittedly, he is not proven in the hustle and bustle of this sort of event, but the ground will be ideal, the circuit will suit his prominent racing style, and he is hard to resist at big odds.

Won + 48pts

Sunday, 3 April 2016

3 pts win GALLANT OSCAR 33/1 ( at least 6 firms inc Hills and Corals)
Crabbies Grand National

Prices all round are going to collapse over the next few days to it's best to risk a wager now and be on a loser if non-runner than take the cramped no run no bet prices, or the shrunken odds on the day.

This one shaped well in what was supposed to be his prep for the race last year when a running on third to The Druids Nephew at Cheltenham., Unfortunately, not enough came out of the race for him to get in and he never took his place in the field. He went and showed how good a heart he'd been in when winning a valuable big field handicap at the Punchestown Festival a few weeks after Aintree. This time around he will take his chance and had his prep at Naas where he he finished fifth and will be in optimum shape next weekend. Admittedly, the race is not ideal for those coming from a long way back but he should be fine if settled in mid-div as opposed to being help up out at the back. This visuals allied to pedigree on both sides indicate he will stay forever and he is one that very much catches the eye and is worth getting stuck into now.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 2 April 2016

3pts win RENE'S GIRL 7/1 ( at least 4 firms inc Coral and Victor)
Mare NH Novices Hdle Final

Beaten by a Hobbs mare last time when reverting in trip in her attempt at a  three timer. The others (albeit ,it looked a match beforehand) were well beaten off and the winner is probably a useful sort in her own right. Rene's Girl is certain to appreciate the step back up to today's distance, and with the yard currently in healthy form having had half a dozen winners in the last week of March, she makes plenty of appeal.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 28 March 2016

1.5 pts win FUTURAMIC 37/1 ( Betfair Ex)
1.5 pts win TULSA JACK 43/1 (Betfair Ex)
Irish Grand National

Some big prices have gone in in this down the years and there are plenty with half chances at large odds throughout this field.

Although a nine year old, Futuramic has only had eight races over fences and retained novice status at the start of the season. He has come up against some classy novice chases and chased home No More Heroes in October. Probably more relevant to today's race though was when he acquitted himself credibly when 8th of 28 in the valuable Paddy Power Chase over the Xmas period, showing he's OK in the big field scenario. On his latest run he stayed on to finish third over 3m4f at Downpatrick, and today's extra furlong in a faster run event should be ideal and should not be dismissed lightly.

Tulsa Flyer was a clear cut winner of the Cork National back in November. He races off a 9 lb higher mark today but did not shape too badly when finishing fifth in the same race Futuramic ran in at Downpatrick 8 days ago. He clearly goes well for the claimer on board today, stays forever, is indifferent to the ground, and is in with a shout.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 26 March 2016

2 pts win ATTENTION SEEKER 18/1 ( Betfair Ex)
1pt win CARINENA 45/1 (Betfair Ex)
Mares Hdle Series Final

Attention Seeker looked a much improved mare when skating home at Sedgefield earlier in the month and on the face of it a 10 lb hike in the ratings is not unduly mean. Although the ground was soft that day her history indicates that cannot be the reason for the improvement .There is of course always the possibility that the others ran well below their best and she was flattered, but at the present odds available it's worth taking the chance and accepting that form at face value.

After turning over a Hobbs hotpot at Musselburgh, Carinena's performance when beaten comfortably by The Organisr at Huntingdon looked a tad disappointing on the day but the winner has since gone on to prove herself a very useful individual in her own right. Carinena's latest run at Southwell can be overlooked as she was not ideally suited by the testing conditions.She could well cause a surprise today.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win EMERGING FORCE  8/1 ( at least a dozen firms)
Staying Hdle Series Final

Shouldered a similar weight to today's when pulling clear with a very useful looking sort and prevailing on his first start in handicap company. He is up 12 lb in the ratings for that but that was only his third start under rules and he appeals as the type who could go on and be competitive at a much higher level, and may have enough class to give the weight away today.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 17 March 2016

3 pts win SCEAU ROYAL 7/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Triumph Hurdle

Looks an up to standard renewal and this one stated his claims when winning the trial here in December, with the runner up that day going on to win the G 1 juvenile hurdle at Chepstow on his next start. In his final prep race Sceau Royal didn't need to do much to win but his overall credentials are proven for this and, he is of course from a yard with an excellent record in this event. Hard not to see this one being involved in the finish.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win JOHN CONSTABLE 12/1 (Generally available)
1pt win HAWK HIGH 33/1 ( at least 8 firms)
County Hurdle

Former Ballydoyle inmate has shown considerable promise in his three races over timer, and really caught the eye with the style of his victory last Spring at Huntington , where he quickened up like a good one. He looked very much one to follow for this season and ran a cracker on his only start to finish runner up when trying to give away 9 lb to the very useful and bang in form Sternrubin. Has to be supported here.

Hawk High won the Fred Winter here at a big price two seasons back. He arrives here in a similar situation, finally having the ground in his favour after a disappointing last time out performance. He has the blinds on for the first time tomorrow and could surprise,

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win BARTERS HILL 4/1 (Generally available)
Albert Bartlett

Last year's Aintree Bumper winner remains unbeaten and  has not put a foot wrong over hurdles. He possesses a likeable attitude, stays every yard of this trip and the ground will not hinder his chances, unlike one or two others who may need it properly soft. His overall form is as good as anything on show here, (a twice previous winner followed him home at Donny with a Graded Punchestown winner back in fourth) and he is certain to give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win DON POLI 5/1 (Stan James and Hills)
Cheltenham Gold Cup

Created a fantastic impression when winning last year's Sun Alliance and the first thought after the Festival was how he would have fared if he'd been pitted into the Gold Cup. There is every reason to believe that he would not have been far away. he's only had two runs during the winter and  arrives here on the back of a hard fought success in the Lexus, where he showed he has brawn as well as class. The ground will be ideal for him here and he appeals as the most likely winner.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 16 March 2016

3pts win  GARDE LA VICTOIRE  4/1 ( at least 6 firms)
JLT Novices Chase

Extremely likeable individual who hasn't done a thing wrong in his three starts over fences. He's a real competitive winning machine,taking 10 of his 16 career starts and he already looks certain to be a better chaser than the very good hurdler he was. The drying ground and longer trip will not inconvenience and it will be a big surprise if he doesn't go very close here.

Lost - 3pts

1.5 pts win OSCAR SAM 22/1 ( at least 2 firms, P Power and Stan James)
1.5 pts win WESTREN WARRIOR 25/1 ( at least 3 firms inc Hills and Betfred)
Pertemps Final

Oscar Sam has improved over two stone in the four starts he's had since arriving at his new yard. Admittedly, all the form has been in testing ground but almost all of the good horses by his prolific sire have been more at home on better ground and it should not be an issue here. He is fully proven in the hustle and bustle of the big field scenario and and should give a good account of himself.

Westren Warrior is another who has improved since changing yards. He's ran two excellent races to finish runner up on his latest two starts, both to decent sorts and it will be surprising if his current handler is unable to get a good deal more improvement out of him, which he has a reputation for doing. Very interesting contender.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win COLE HARDEN  7/1 (at least 8 firms)
1 pt win KILCOOLEY 22/1 ( P Power and Stan James)
World Hurdle

Cole Harden's programme has been clearly geared to retaining this event and has just had two runs in ground not ideal for him. However, conditions have come right for him now and it will be surprising if he doesn't step up on those performances and return to his very best and confirm the form with those he beat last year and also prove too good for Thistlecrack, who, though much improved, is not quite as good as he looked here visually last time when most likely flattered in testing conditions.

Kilcooley hasn't run since winning on the Charlie Hall card at Wetherby. He did however look an animal who is on a fast upward curve and he could be worth taking on board at attractive odds.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win DOCTOR HARPER 6/1 ( P Power and Betfred)
Kim Muir

Finished the season two years ago looking likely to develop into a Sun Alliance type when embarking on a chasing career. Unfortunately, he missed the whole of last season through injury, not returning until last December when unplaced in a Sandown handicap hurdle. He's since had three runs over fences, all over an unsuitably short trip and all on unsuitable soft ground. He's fared as well as can be expected though, finishing runner up on the first two, both to talented types, then winning a three horse event easily at Leicester last time. He now has his ground and trip for the first time over fences, and if he would have been a Sun Alliance horse, then his current 141 rating is on the lenient side. Must be supported here.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 15 March 2016

1.5 pts win BLAKLION 10/1 ( at least 8 firms)
1.5pts win ROIS DES FRANCS 12/1 ( at least 3 firms inc Coral and P Power)
RSA Chase

Blaklion arrived at this meeting with a chance in the Albert Bartlett last year but ran a stinker. It's likely that he'll fare better at the meeting this time round and has claims in what is much more than a two horse race. He goes well around here and on ground that will suit him better than
Seeyouatmidnight,can turn the January course form around. He won the Towton at Wetherby last time and his yard has been in healthy form over the last couple of weeks.

Rois Des Francs has been switched to this after having the four miler as his target. He upset one of his stable companions last time but may not have been flattered, is a useful staying prospect in his own right, and it ain't hard to envisage him being involved here.

Blaklion Won + 13.5pts

2 pts win  BAOULET DELAROQUE 14/1 ( at least 8 firms)
1 pt win   BARON ALCO 20/1 ( all books)
Coral Cup

Baoulet Delaroque is 9 lb higher for his Huntingdon win last time where he beat a solid looking field. he has a likeable,hardy attitude, has any amount of further improvement left in him, and is arguably the last one you'd put a line through here.

Baron Alco hails from a yard in it's element with handicap hurdlers and has as good as chance as his narrow Ascot conqueror on slightly better terms and is another who knows how to get his head infront and possesses the right sort of attitude.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win AUGUSTA KATE 10/1 ( P Power, Stan James, Boylesport)
1 pt win COMPADRE 25/1 ( at least 5 firms)
Champion Bumper

Augusta Kate was an impressive winner of both her starts and was put away for this after her last outing in November. Her dam won the Christmas Hurdle eleven years ago and this one looks an exciting prospect for novice hurdles next season.She is clearly near the top of the pecking order of her yard's Bumper horses and must be on any short list for this.

Compadre won his only star in the mud at Bangor in November from a last time out winner and could be absolutely anything. He is in interesting ownership though and confidence would increase if there was support for him in the markets in the morning.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 14 March 2016

3pts win ALTIOR  9/2 ( Hills and P Power)
Supreme Novices Hdle

An exciting prospect who has the sky as the limit. He has the best form in the book and also looked the deal visually on his latest outing. There is no concern over the ground drying any further ( unlike a couple of others). With realistically just two live dangers and perhaps a couple more half dangers his current price of 9/2 is acceptable.

Won + 13.5 pts

1.5 pts win KRUZHLININ 10/1 ( Hills, Coral, P Power)
1.5 pst win BEG TO DIFFER 14/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Ultima H'cap Chase

Kruzhlinin won like a horse going on a sudden upward curve on his first start for the Hobbs yard. He's been raised 10 lb in the ratings for that but has less question marks hanging over him than any of his rivals and there is every reason to believe he'll give an excellent account of himself.

Beg To Differ is also 10 lb higher in the ratings for a facile Sandown success when tried in a visor for the first time. That was only his fourth start over fences and it's still difficult to gauge him. However, there is clearly enough potential for him to be competitive at a higher mark than today's and if the visor has the same effect and he travels well throughout the race he'll be a danger to all. There is a slight concern about the ground drying but that is more than compensated in the price.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SOUTHFIELD ROYALE 8/1 ( at least 4 firms)
National Hunt Chase

From a yard in cracking form, with a competent amateur aboard, and with arguably the best form in the book, this one is hard to get away from. The animal he trounced at Donny in December went close to winning the Great Yorkshire at the same venue on his next outing. On his last start Southfield Royale ran a cracker to finish runner up to Tea For Two in the Feltham. Both pieces of form entitle him to go close here and he appeals as one who will be at home at this sort of trip.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 12 March 2016

1.5 pts win FLASHJACK 12/1 ( Hills, Sky Bet, Betfred)
1.5pts win BALLYPOINT 15/1 (Betfair Ex)
EBF NH Novices Hdle Final

Always a fascinating event and this renewal is no exception. There are going to have to get home in this ground and while Flashjack  has yet to go this far he went up the hill well enough at Towcester to suggest he'll be well suited by this sort of trip and had won in today's ground earlier in the season. The two that followed him at home Towcester have been beaten since but arrived in the race in form and he is one for the shortlist here.

Ballypoint will come to himself when he tackles fences but has shown enough to be a contender here. Conditions will be ideal, the yard is in healthy form at present, and he narrowly failed to beat a bang in form animal at Warwick last time with another previous winner ten lengths back in third.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SOLSTICE STAR 9.5/1 ( Betfair Ex)
Imperial Cup

Is on a six timer here and got through his stiffest task so far when beating a competitive field at Cheltenham in January. He's up a further 7 lb in the ratings for that, and 41 lb higher than when the sequence began but is not handicapped out of this. In fact, just as much concern would be the fact he's raced  left handed only this term but that is probably just where his programme has fallen. He revels in this ground and is hard to put a line through.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 5 March 2016

1.5pts win LITTLE JON 9/1 ( at least 7 firms)
1.5pts win ULTRAGOLD  9/1 ( Hills and Bet Victor)
Greatwood Gold Cup

The Twiston-Davies yard is bang in form at this very moment and Little Jon, a winner here back in November off a 6lb lower mark, could bounce right back to form. He wouldn't want the ground drying too much but in a bitty sort of event in which there are question marks over everything,he is one for the short list.

Ultragold has gone up a fair bit in the ratings for his decisive success last time but he travels well in his races and if they have found the key to getting the optimum from him he could still be racing off a winnable mark.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 27 February 2016

2pts win ZIGA BOY  7/1 ( at least 10 firms)
1pt win RUBEN COTTER 16/1 ( at least 8 firms)
Betbright Chase

Ziga Boy did not look like he'd finished winning in a race of similar quality to this last time and he can defy a further 8 lb hike in the ratings. Though he's won in testing ground in France this sudden upward curve has come on ground no worse than good to soft thus it's encouraging that no further rain is forecast. The stable continues in good form.

Reuben Cotter is clearly difficult to keep sound but returned from a two year absence to win at this venue last year. He's not been seen since finishing fifth in the Topham but he'll clearly be spot on and is one to consider.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 19 February 2016

3pts win  DIFFERENT GRAVY 8/1( PPower, Hills)
Les Ambassadeurs Casino H'cap Hdle

The winner of last seasons Sidney Banks, Different Gravy is the one animal in this field with pretensions of reaching the higher levels. It may be over fences that he realises his full potential but he does look a quality sort over hurdles and may be good enough to give the weight away here. Fitness should not be an issue despite his absence since last April and he appeals as the value call.

Won + 24pts

Saturday, 13 February 2016

3 pts win WAR SOUND  12/1 (Betfair)
Betfair Hurdle

There is no knowing how high a tier this one could end up on. He still has a Champion Hurdle entry ( unlike the other two Hobbs runners here)  and the 5 lb claimer aboard has been on him in four of his five career starts, thus don't be put off by the yard's jockey arrangement here. He's not been out since winning the valuable May handicap at Haydock but is sure to be spot on for this. He won like one going places on that day and the 8 lb rise in the ratings is far from harsh. Hard to get away from here.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 6 February 2016

2pts win TOP BILLING 11/1( at least 5 firms)
1pt win GEVREY CHAMBERTIN 25/1 (Betfair)
Welsh Champion Hdle

Top Billing narrowly failed to make it five in a row last time but the signs are he is still very much on the upgrade and he is bang in this,even off a new career high rating today having gone up another 4 lb for that effort last time. Fully proven in the mud he is more interesting than his more exposed stable companion, who Harding is aboard but may have not had the choice ( he's only been aboard once in the last two seasons).

Things ain't worked out for Gevrey Chambertin who looked a future star at one time. Nevertheless, he still retains plenty of ability, is two from three on heavy ground, and is worth a small stake today.

Meeting Abandoned

Saturday, 30 January 2016

3pts win ZIGA BOY  8/1 (Generally available)
Skybet Chase

This looked a horse to keep on the right side of when sauntering home over today's course and distance over the Christmas period. If the impression he gave is right and he was not flattered by the event ( the runner up in that event is on the downgrade but the third and forth arrived in fair form), then the hike in the ratings may not be enough to stop him today.

Won + 24pts

Saturday, 16 January 2016

3pts win VIVALDI COLLONGES  9/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)
Classic Chase

Is 8 lb higher in the ratings for his facile Kelso success in similarly testing gound that he'll face today. That was only his fourth start over fences and it is certain that his eventual ceiling will be far higher than his current mark. He looks very much one to keep on the right side of at present and is the most interesting runner in today's field. Confidence is increased by the fact that the stable appears to be recovering after a prolonged quiet spell.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 9 January 2016

2pts win COGRY 9/1 ( at least 8 firms)
1pt win FIREBIRD FLYER 28/1 (at least 6 firms)
Welsh Grand National

Just two runs out of novice company, progressive, suited by a test of stamina, Cogry is just the type his yard have excelled with down the years. On the first of those runs he was running a blinder in the Scottish National when coming down four out. On the most recent he was a staying on close up fourth at Cheltenham in a similarly competitive race to this.

Firebird Flyer ran well enough in the trial race for this here last month to make him a live outsider here, His yard have gone close a couple of times in this in recent years.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 2 January 2016

2 pts win AACHEN 12.5/1 (Betfair)
1pt win LIE FORRIT 21/1 (Betfair)
Veterans H'cap Chase Final

Aachen is in the form of his life at this late stage in his career and this is the first time that his official chase rating has surpassed that achieved over hurdles. He acts on this circuit, loves testing ground, and has a realistic chance of defying his latest hike in the ratings.

Lie Forrit is a likable, resilient sort who is suited by a slog.Although  pulled up on his only start this term, its likely that he'll be turn up in good shape today and he is very tempting at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts
Annual Results 2015

January  - 18pts
February  + 18pts
March + 27pts
April - 18pts
May +30 pts
June + 57pts
July + 13pts
August - 27pts
September - 12pts
October - 27pts
November - 18pts
December + 15pts

Profit of + 40pts on year