Saturday, 27 June 2015

1.5pts win NEARLY CAUGHT 20/1 (Betfair) John Smith's Northumberland Plate
1.5pts win BLUE SURF 25/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) John Smith's Northumberland Plate

Nearly Caught is one of seven here that ran in that Haydock race over today's trip last month .Cases can be made out for all of them coming out best today but this one has for a while looked that he has on of these big handicaps in him. He remains relatively lightly raced for one of his age and open to a tad more improvement, is reliable and sure to be racing prominently close to the pace, looks very likely to take a hand in the finish.

Although a 6 year old, this will be only the third time Blue Surf has ran at this trip but there is every reason to believe he can run to his optimum over it. On the first occasion, he failed by inches to concede a lot of weight way to the winner in a Goodwood handicap, on the last in last Autumn's Irish Cesarewitch, he came from a long way back to finish a respectable eight. He's won a competitive  12f Epsom handicap on his only start this term and has claims here.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 20 June 2015

2pts win HUNTSMAN'S CLOSE  12/1 (Generally available)Wokingham Stakes
1pt win DIVINE 33/1 (Betfair) Wokingham Stakes

Roger Charlton's horses are in cracking form at the moment and the yard has an eyecatching record in this event. Ayr Silver Gold Cup winner Huntsman's Close ran a blinder on his reappearance, just being touched off by Eastern Impact. He's up 4lb in the ratings for that but could still develop into a very smart performer in his own right. Provided fortune dictates that he doesn't race in a disadvantaged group, he'll go really close here.

The lightly raced Divine looked much improved when winning a Windsor handicap on her seasonal debut. She's up 10lb in the ratings for that but judging by her subsequent run when fourth in a Listed event at the same venue, her present mark does not exaggerate her ability. In fact, there is almost certainly further improvement left and she is interesting at a big price.

H'smans Close NR, Divine lost  - 1pt

Thursday, 18 June 2015

3pts win HOME OF THE BRAVE 16/1 ( at least 7 firms) Commonwealth Cup

This one is worth considering reverting back in trip. A quick headstrong two year old, he found 7f within his compass when making all to win the European Free H'cap on his reappearance. The runner up franked the form by winning the King Charles next time, before running fourth to Dutch Connection here yesterday, Home of the Brave failed to last home in the Guineas but still finished a credible sixth. 6f will likely prove be his optimum and he appeals as the value call here.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ASTRONEREUS 10/1 ( at least 3 firms including Hills)  Duke of Edinburgh

Has lots going for him . A progressive son of Sea The Stars, he arrives here on the back of a Newmarket victory and will not mind this fast ground. He's run two crackers on both his visits to this venue, both over this trip, and is game .genuine and trustworthy, and seems sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 17 June 2015

3pts win SPACE AGE 12/1 ( At least 3 firms including Hills and P Power)  King George V Stakes

This tremendously likeable individual is impossible to ignore here. Always looking the sort who would develop into a smart sort over middle distances, he reappeared in a hot handicap at Newbury but failed to get the run of the race, being checked then finishing strongly with two rivals in this finishing ahead of him. Then, at Newmarket last time, he wasn't ideally suited by having to make his own running but enthusiastically fought off his challenges to prevail. He's up 3 lb in the ratings for that but is better than the bare form suggests and is still open to considerably more improvement and it will be disappointing if he doesn't play a big hand in this.

won + 36pts

Tuesday, 16 June 2015

3pts win DUTCH CONNECTION 18/1 (Betfair) Jersey Stakes

A decent two year old, this colt was the subject of a part purchase by the shrewd Cheveley Park Stud at the beginning of the season and was quietly fancied to run well in the 2,000 Guineas at the time, He finished a respectable seventh,weakening inside the final furlong and looking as though a return to this trip would suit him. He has chances of reversing the form with the couple that finished ahead of him at Newmarket and could surprise some better fancied rivals.

won + 52pts

3pts win YOU'RE FIRED 18.5/1 (Betfair) Royal Hunt Cup

This one looks a much improved performer this season and after an authoritative success on firm ground at Beverley ran a cracker off a 7lb higher rating in a much more competitive York handicap, narrowly failing to catch Alfred Hutchinson. He's up a further 3 lb in the ratings but that run puts him bang in with a chance, particularly considering that further improvement is on the cards. Unlike some other, the ground is not an issue and he catches the eye at present odds.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 15 June 2015

3pts win AIR FORCE BLUE 7/1 (Generally available) Coventry Stakes

Looks a well up to standard renewal and this one has plenty of appeal. In his sole outing at the Curragh, he pulled away from his field at the furlong marker like a good one, and though he held on by only a neck in the end, he's most certainly much better than the bare form and open to plenty of improvement. The form itself already looks stonewall solid with the second and third both winning since, and he is certain to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win DIGEANTA 11/1 (Generally available) Ascot Stakes
1pt win HARDSTONE 20/1 (at least 5 firms) Ascot Stakes

Digeanta's run when fifth off a 1 lb lower rating in last Autumn's Cesarewitch puts him in here with a massive chance. Although an 8 year old, he's relatively lightly raced having been a store and not starting until 5 years old, in the NH sphere. He shaped well at Leopardstown the other week over a shorter trip and looks primed to run a big race here.

Hardstone finished one place behind Digeanta in the same Leopardstown event and he too merits plenty of respect here. Five of his nine runs have come on the AW at Dundalk so he's still plenty unexposed. The 1m 7f he encountered last time was the furthest he'd been, and he steps up notably in trip again here. From a shrewd set up, this has a bit of a plot about it.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 13 June 2015

2pts win MAGIC MEMORY 13.5/1 (Betfair) 888Sport Charity Sprint
1pt win EXPLOSIVE LADY 20/1 (Betfair) 888Sport Charity Sprint

Scalzo was a visual gem at Haydock but has been put up 18 lb in the ratings and the value is certainly elsewhere.

Twilight Son looked one with an interesting future too, when winning a decentish Newmarket handicap - he's up 11 lb for that and the third in that event, Magic Memory, shouldn't really turn the form around with a 5 lb pull. However, that only tells half the story. Despite being ready to run early in his juvenile career, Magic Memory has trained on really well and appears to be getting better all the time. Since the Newmarket run, he came out and won a competitive Leicester handicap and there looks to be plenty more to come.

Explosive Lady shaped well when third on her reappearance at Haydock and has acquitted herself well in all five career starts. From a shrewd set up, she has already shown some pretty smart form and is not one to rule out lightly.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 6 June 2015

3pts win DUTCH UNCLE  8/1 ( at least six firms)  Investec Private Banking Stakes

Has been raised 3 lb to a rating of 84 for finishing third at Newbury last time - that looks far from harsh as the form of that race looks sure to work out well though most have yet to reappear -  of the  first six home only Space Age has been seen since but looked very useful when winning at Newmarket. Hard to find any negatives about this ones chances and he looks sure to give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win GIOVANNI CANALETTO  10/1 ( at least nine firms) Investec Derby

This year's race has a strange shape to it and there are genuine question marks hanging over everything. The Oppenheimer family had serious doubts regarding Golden Horn's stamina as he was not originally entered, while the two that followed him home at York need to improve to win this. Succes Days has surely been flattered by beating disappointing hyped up types, while Epicuris looks a big awkward onepaced boat. The likes of Hans Holbein, Kiliminjaro, Storm the Stars and Moheet could make the frame which brings Giovanni Canaletto into the picture. Before his setback at the end of April he was to be the main Chester Vase horse ahead of Hans Holbein and though he was disappointing when beaten into second at the Curragh when he did eventually reappear, he has clearly impressed at home for Moore to pick him ahead of his two stable companions who have genuine place prospects. It's all very subjective but he still appeals most in an ordinary looking renewal.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 4 June 2015

3pts win LADY OF DUBAI  12/1 (Generally available) Investec Oaks

You can make out a feasible case for nine of the eleven runners here and Lady of Dubai appeals as the value call. She put herself in the reckoning when winning the Goodwood trial, a race that though not traditionally the strongest pointer to this race, has at least thrown up two winners since the Millennium. It's incredible that Luca Cumani still hasn't won this event , having saddled both the second and third way back in 1977. Lady of Dubai has strong claims of breaking the hoodoo - she confirmed at Goodwood that she had trained on well through the winter and the female line is full of stamina and one that served John Dunlop well down the years.

Lost - 3pts