Saturday, 25 April 2015

3pts win BOB'S WORTH 14/1 ( Generally available) Bet 365 Gold Cup

This lightly raced part-enigma has only had five runs since his triumph in the  2013 Cheltenham Gold Cup. He looked a well up to standard winner of the race on the day but his only since was in the Lexus, 17 months ago. However, in a perfect world there is still plenty of mileage left on his clock, he's from a yard that would not persevere with a lost cause, and it would be no surprise if they conjured up a performance not far off from his best days. If so, then he is wonderfully well in off 159.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 18 April 2015

3pts win SIGN OF A VICTORY 6/1 ( at least 9 firms)  QTS Scottish Champion Hdle

This guy needs today's good ground to produce his optimum. The last time he had his conditions was when winning a valuable Ascot handicap in taking style back in November. His two runs since needn't be examined and he lines up here 8 lb higher in the ratings than at Ascot which is far from unreasonable - that was almost as competitive as today's race and he won with plenty in hand. He is very much the preferred option here.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SEGO SUCCESS 14/1 ( at least 12 firms) Coral Scottish Grand National
1pt win SAMSTOWN 31/1 (Betfair)  Coral Scottish Grand National

Sego Success was given plenty to do by Waley-Cohen last time and will hopefully return to racing near the pace today which will present him with a fine chance of reversing the Cheltenham form with Broadway Buffalo, who isn't the safest conveyance. Sego Success has an overall progressive profile and is just the type that Alan King excels with, and looks the ideal sort for this event. The spring ground will not be a problem.

Samstown won the Peter Marsh on heavy ground but is just as effective on a better surface. He won the novice handicap in splendid style on this day here last year and shaped very well in a Kelso handicap hurdle last time out. He should run very well at a big price.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 10 April 2015

3pts win SEEDLING 9.5/1 (both exchanges) World Famous Just Eat Mersey Novices Hdle

Developed into a very useful novice earlier in the season and arrived fresh for the Supreme ,having been rested since a success at the Cheltenham December meeting. He was quietly fancied that day but never got further than the fourth and now has a suitable opportunity to atone and establish himself at a reasonable level in the pecking order of this season's novice hurdlers.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ALVARADO 25/1 (Betfair)  Crabbies Grand National

Looked a contender for this event when winning at Cheltenham in November 2013 and in the 17 months since he's only had three outings, pulling up at the same venue on New Years Day 2014, a staying on fourth in this last year, and when a shaping OK fifth at Doncaster in February, his only appearance this season. The spring ground will be ideal for him, he's only a 1lb higher in the ratings than last year and though his hold up style is not perfect for this race, the fact that his stamina for it is now fully proven means he won't need to get as far behind as last year and will hopefully race from mid-div. It goes without saying that he's had an ideal mapped out preparation and he has a massive, massive chance.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win AINSI FIDELES 9/1 (Generally available) Betfred Mildmay Novices Chase

Although he's had 8 races over fences there is still something very much of the unknown about this horse and today will be when he can be accurately be gauged. It's certainly likely that he wasn't at his best when Splash of Ginger beat him at Cheltenham in October, but just as likely too that when he won the Reynoldstown Virak was well below par. What is not in doubt is that he remains a highly promising sort who sees out this trip well and who will be fully effective on the surface and course.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SIMPLY NED 24/1 (Betfair) Betfred Melling Chase

This is the first time that Nicky Richards has tried Simply Ned over this sort of trip since he pulled up in a handicap hurdle at this meeting two years ago. He's since developed into a cracking chaser, was runner up in the 2m novice race here last year, and has been running consistently well since, indicating that he may appreciate today's step up in trip. Given the trainer's fantastic record here, he very much appeals as one who will run a big race here and is worth taking aboard at big odds.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win EASTLAKE 12.5/1 (Betfair) Crabbie's Topham Chase
1pt win DARNA 24/1 (Betfair)  Crabbie's Topham Chase

Eastlake has plenty going for him and looks sure to give a very good account of himself. Third in this last year, he arrives here on the back of an excellent effort in finishing runner up in the Gran Annual. The drying ground will not be a concern, he's a safe conveyance who has never been on the deck in his career, and apart from the fact that he wouldn't want to be as far back during the race as he was last year, it's hard to raise any real negatives over his prospects today.

Darna catches the eye at present odds. His yard is in cracking form at the moment as he bids to follow up his Cheltenham victory, the form of which puts him bang in this with a serious chance. He is relatively lightly raced for one of his age but has an impressive career strike rate and there ain't alot to dislike about the way he fits into this.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win WESTERN RULES 21/1 (Betfair)  Weatherbys Champion Bumper

Has won both starts visually stylishly and could be absolutely anything - what is for sure is that the yard do not overface their charges and he is clearly held in high regard to be taking his chance here. As has been said, the Greystoke team have a fantastic record here, including a 3 from 3 on one day a few years back and regard this as their main meeting, not Cheltenham. Definitely worth chancing.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 8 April 2015

3pts win STARS OVER THE SEA  25/1 ( 2 firms inc PPower and both exchanges) Betfred Anniversary Juvenile Hdle

This animal ran for the first time in the calendar year in the Triumph, running even better than his respectable seventh place suggests after looking likely to play a prominent role at one stage. On the face of it he's now been conclusively beaten by Hargam both times they've met but the impression is that we've far from seen the best of him over timber and on a circuit likely to suit he could run a very big race and possibly cause an upset.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win MENORAH 8/1+( at least 7 firms) Betfred Bowl
1pt win SMAD PLACE 14/1 (at least 4 firms) Betfred Bowl

Menorah was runner up in this in 2013 before disappointing last year. He arrives here fresher than in recent years, absent since the King George and everything points to a cracking run here, where he also won the Manifesto as a novice. He showed himself as good as ever on his first two starts this term and should give an excellent account of himself.

Although Smad Place has done most of his racing in the soft, his run  when finishing second in last year's Sun Alliance proves he is capable of high level form on good ground and if a couple of these don't produce their optimum, which is a possibility, he is capable of going close.

Lot - 3pts

3pts win NED BUNTLINE 7/1 (Generally available) Betfred Red Rum H'cap Chase

Despite this being his second season over fences he still only has six chase runs under his belt, and after running another cracker in the Grand Annual, comes to this venue for the first time. He has a helpful pull in the weights with Next Sensation, who got a good run on them coming down the hill, and a first rate chance of coming out best here.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win CALL THE COPS 7/1(at least4 firms and both exchanges)Injured Jockey's Fund H'cap Hdle

The Henderson yard is holding on to it's form extremely well and Call The Cops has excellent prospects of following up his Cheltenham victory off a 7 lb higher mark. As he had done previously, he traveled like a class horse and has more potential than those that re oppose here and could realistically turn into a World Hurdle material if kept to timber.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 6 April 2015

1.5pts win TAMMY'S HILL 29/1 (Betfair) Boylesports Irish Grand National
1.5pts win USUEL SMURFER 45/1 (Betfair) Boylesports Irish Grand National

As wide open an event as you could find and plenty catching the eye at nice prices.

2014 Cheltenham Foxhunters winner Tammy's Hill hasn't been since since running in a handicap hurdle in December but has a proven record of going well when fresh and must be considered today. He's run well on all three outings on this tricky course, including a win, will handle the hustle and bustle despite this being his handicap debut, and knows how to get his head infront.

Usuel Smurfer won a 22 runner handicap chase around here last April and has been mixing it over fences and hurdles since, winning a handicap hurdle at Leopardstown in December. There's still plenty of the unknown about him and this sort of trip could be his making.

U.Smurfer NR, T.Hill lost  - 1.5pts

Saturday, 4 April 2015

3pts win SOUTHFIELD VIC 15/2 ( at least 10 firms)  Red Mills Series H'cap Hdle Final

This fellow is the only one here with any serious long term aspirations to reaching the higher echelons and could be capable of giving the weight away today. He stays, goes on today's ground, is markedly progressive and from a yard  that is holding on to its form.He's a bit easy in the market, probably as a result of the trainer stating that he'd ideally want better ground but is hard to get away from and preferred to the three below him in the weights who all ran in the same Carlisle race, and all with claims of coming out best of the trio.

Won + 22.5pts