Saturday, 30 August 2014

1.5pts win BUSATTO 20/1 ( At least 9 firms) St James Theatre H'cap
1.5pts win TRES CORONAS 22/1 ( Betfair) St James Theatre H'cap

An absolutely wide open event and some sort of realistic chance can be made out for almost all of these.

Busatto disappointed when held up at York last week and if front tactics are re-applied they would hopefully produce something like his lifetime best when fourth to a stable companion in a valuable Goodwood event in July . That sort of form would put him in here with a big chance and it's encouraging that he's not a massive drifter on the exchanges.

Tres Coronas's last five wins have all come over 10f with ease in the ground and he must merit consideration here. It may seem to be asking too much for a 7 year old to win off a rating above anything he's won off before but he ran a cracker off only a 2lb lower figure when a close second to Clever Cookie at York three outings ago and he could surprise here.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 23 August 2014

1.5pts win WADI AL HATTAWI 12/1 ( 7 firms) Betfred Ebor
1.5pts win VAN PERCY 16/1 ( Betfair and Betdaq)  Betfred Ebor

Nothing really went right for Wadi Al Hattawi in the Duke of Edinburgh and today he gets another chance off the same mark and is hard to put a line though. He has the profile of one that his yard does well with in this sort of event - in fact they've won this twice in the last six years - and the step up in trip should suit more than hinder.

Van Percy has established himself as a very talented handicapper and there looks to be plenty more to come. He's won three from his last six, is 12311 with Probert on board, and looks capable of defying the 4lb penalty incurred at Goodwood where he looked better than ever.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 21 August 2014

3pts win WINDFAST 14/1 ( at least 5 firms) Skybet City of York Stakes

This is a very interesting runner who catches the eye a bit here. Windfast began the season losing his maiden tag at Nottingham and was then pitted into the Greenham, making no impression. Following an improved effort behind Coulsty in a Listed event, he then ran a cracker in the Jersey, finishing fourth and a few places ahead of Coulsty this time and with some decent performers behind him, including That Is The Spirit. He weakened late when stepped up to a mile in a G3 at Goodwood last time and needless to say the return to 7f will be ideal here and with the yard in decent form he should run well at a decent price.


Wednesday, 20 August 2014

3pts win BRONZE ANGEL 11.5/1 (Betfair) Clipper Logistics Stakes

The 2012 Cambridgeshire winner has plenty going for him here. In line with the good form of his yard lately, he's been running pleasingly and won convincingly over C & D off a 5lb lower mark last month. He ran a cracker in the Betfred Mile last time, in and around some of tomorrow's opponents, and on a course that clearly suits he can come out best this time. Very hard not to see him running a big race in this.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 19 August 2014

1.5pts win TOTALIZE 15.5/1 (Betfair) Fine Equnity Stakes
1.5pts win QUEST FOR MORE 14/1 (Betfair) Fine Equinity Stakes

Not disgraced in the Pitman's Derby, Totalize returns to York where he won under tomorrow's rider on his previous outing and appeals as one who'll put up a good show here. He's off a higher mark and on the face of it in a more competitive race, but these events that have now become regular features at this venue with the same horses turning up again, and are won by all sorts but  he's a versatile sort and from a yard that tends to keep these types ticking over in good heart.

Quest for More no doubt has his purposes at home but is still an interesting contender here. He's stepping up to this trip for the first time and any amount of improvement that may be forthcomimg, no matter how small, would see him here with a reasonable chance.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 16 August 2014

3pts win CAMBORNE 12/1 ( 5 firms and both Exchanges) Betfred TV Geoffrey Freer Stakes

Lots of possibilities here but Camborne is the value call at present odds. Admittedly, he's been out of sorts so far this season but the fact  his yard continues in cracking form allied to the underfoot conditions being ideal on a course he likes, it'll be no surprise if he returns to his very best today which would see him go very close to winning this.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win FAIRWAY TO HEAVEN 12/1 ( 7 firms and both exchanges) Great St Wilfred H'cap

Hailing from a very shrewd yard that overperforms considering the general quality of animal it receives, Fairway To Heaven appeals as a likely winner of this. Lightly raced for a five year old and open to plenty more improvement ,he indeed gave the impression that he may suddenly be on the upgrade fast when coming from a long way back to win a competitive and quite valuable handicap at Windsor. He'll still be able off his 7lb higher rating and the overnight rain will give him the required ease to produce an optimum performance.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 9 August 2014

2pts win LLANARMON LAD 9/1(Generally available) Betfred Goals Galore H'cap
1pt win GROUNDBREAKING 14/1( Generally available) Betfred Goals Galore H'cap

The most interesting betting race of the day on an otherwise mundane Saturday and Llanarmon Lad's credentials are hard to ignore. A versatile sort who's effective from 1m-1m2f on different sorts  of ground, he'd still only had nine races under his belt and is open to plenty more improvement which should negate his steady rise up the ratings. There is no reason why he won't run his race today and he is sure to give an excellent account of himself.

Groundbreaking looked Group material when slamming  his field in an albeit ordinary handicap for Newmarket back in May. Like a few others in the field he finished unplaced behind Arab Spring at Royal Ascot, perhaps not getting the full rub of the green that day. He still could be anything and must be shortlisted for today.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 2 August 2014

3pts win DOUBLE BLUFF 11/1 (Betfair - after the three withdrawals) Jaguar Stakes

King's Fete is plenty short enough here and there are more attractive options elsewhere,none more so than Double Bluff'.

After disappointing in the Lingfield Derby Trial has been campaigned in three handicaps, running really well on his last two starts; finding the useful Pallasator too good for him last time but having the rest of the field decisively beat. He's still relatively lightly raced and it would be a surprise if there wasn't plenty of improvement still  left in him. He very much appeals as one who'll run a big race today.

Won + 31.5 pts

3pts win NINJAGO  18.5/1(Betfair)  32Red Stewards Cup

Ninjago runs off the same mark as when fifth in this last year. He was perhaps entitled to finish a little closer than he did, not entirely getting the rub of the green though this of course comes with his style of running. He's only been seen twice so far this season, running a cracker behind Goldream at Newmarket and finishing mid-div in the Wokingham. If the cards fall right for him here then he'll go close to winning this.

Lost - 3pts