Saturday, 28 June 2014

3pts win GLENARD 18/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) John Smith's Northumberland Plate

Quite a few of the fancied ones ideally need a bit of give underneath and with the ground looking to be genuinely fast, some thing proven on the surface is preferable.

Glenard has enough things going for him to make him a betting proposition at the odds available. In addition to having winning form on a firm surface he has proven himself in the hustle and bustle of this sort of event by finishing fifth in the Chester Cup, doing well to weave his way through on the inside after initially starting from a wide berth. His last run can be ignored as he was tried from the front in a race run at an uneven tempo and from a nice draw today, should run a very big race.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 21 June 2014

1.5pts win ELHAAME 16/1( 5 firms inc Hills) Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
1.5pts win HAVANA COOLER 18/1 ( 4 frims inc Coral and L'brokes) Duke of Edinburgh Stakes

Both of Luca Cumani's runners at this meeting so far ran really well and he fields two in this with serious claims and it could pay to split stakes om both.

Elhaame has a an eye catching piece of form over C& D last September when he beat all bar Excellent Result in one of the hottest 3 year old middle distance handicaps of the year. He was clearly over the top on his one remaining run of the year and no doubt needed the run on his reappearance. He should be in good shape for this today.

Havana Cooler has not been seen since finishing third in the Melrose but won on his debut last season and the owners have traditionally had something running well at the meeting and he is unlikely to be found wanting for fitness. He looks certain to progress on what he achieved last season and appeals as one who will pay to follow blindly from now to the end of the season.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ASTAIRE 10/1 (Generally available) Diamond Jubilee Stakes

Not the best renewal of this event and every opportunity for Astaire to provide Kevin Ryan with another major success. Last years's Gimcrack and Middle Park winner was experimented with in the Greenham before being brought back to sprint distances when he ran a cracker in the Duke of York, beaten by an animal who revels in testing ground - as it was on the day. Astaire arguably already has the overall form to just about win this year's event and that's not taking into account likely further improvement.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 19 June 2014

1.5pts win ODEON 16/1 (Betfair) King Edward V11 Stakes
1.5pts win SEAGULL STAR 25/1 (Generally available) King Edward V11 Stakes

Some sort of case can be made for every runner in this renewal and Odeon would be half his available odds if he'd been in one of the fashionable yards. He wasn't beaten that far in the Dante after trying to make all - the form of the race now looks stonewall solid, and though Odeon never beat much when destroying his field in a fast ground Redcar maiden on his previous run - it could well be that a sound surface will see him to best effect.

Seagull Star went into the Chester Vase with a big chance but was well beaten in the end and it's very likely that the soft ground was his undoing. He had previously ran a cracker in a valuable Newmarket sales race, giving the impression that 12f would bring about further improvement in him. There is plenty to learn about him and he could still prove to be very useful and still holds an Irish Derby entry.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 18 June 2014

2pts win BROWN PANTHER 8/1 ( 3 firms inc Ladbrokes)  Ascot Gold Cup
1pt win SHWAIMAN  119/1 (Betfair) Ascot Gold Cup

The first two in the forecast have stonewall solid credentials here but they are closer matched than the betting suggests and there is every reason to believe that Brown Panther will give an excellent account of himself here. A winner here of the King George Handicap 3 years ago, he is now firmly established amongst the leading stayers and arrives here in terrific fettle. Although his two winning runs this term have been on an easy surface he is just as effective on faster ground as displayed by his good run in the Melbourne Cup and his runner up position in the St Leger, and when winning last season's Goodwood Cup. All in all, he'll never have a better chance of winning a domestic G1.

Shwaiman has a hell of alot to find on the book to win this but gives the impression that he is better than he,s shown and this distance allied to quicker ground could be the key to unlock him - the way he was staying on in the Chester Cup indicates that he'll handle the step up. He looked a horse with an interesting future when winning in eyecatching style at Doncaster last August on fast ground and often travels well in his races - as he did last time at York. Could run really well at a massive price.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ZEE ZEELY 12/1 ( at least one firm inc Paddy Power)  King George H'cap

This colt must be on any shortlist for this. He won at Newmarket last time on his first try in handicap company, on fast ground and beating an animal who franked the form next time. Although his trainer has never won this event he excels with this type of animal in this sort of event and with plenty of further progression expected from Zee Zeely over a trip that should suit, he is the bet.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 17 June 2014

1.5pts win CHIL THE KITE 18/1 (At least 2 firms including Hills)  Royal Hunt Cup
1.5pts win GABRIAL'S KAKA 22/1 (Betfair)  Royal Hunt Cup

Chil The Kite showed a good turn of foot to win a solidly contested Newbury handicap last time, looking in terrific heart and off a 5lb higher mark has a realistic chance of following up. He is equally effective over this furlong longer trip as he showed when wining over C&D in 2012. Given the rub of the green that he races in the right place from his draw in the centre, he can pay supporters.

Gabrial's Kaka looked at home in big field handicaps when taking the Newbury Spring Cup two outings back. He's 8lb higher now but also has a good turn of speed and is very much the type that Spencer excels on and has a massive chance provided his side of the course is not disadvantaged.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 16 June 2014

2pts win KOOL COMPANY 9.5/1 (Betfair) Coventry Stakes
1pt win PORTAMENTO 14/1 (Generally available) Coventry Stakes

As wide open Coventry as you could find and there is every reason to believe Kool Company will be involved in a big way. The Hannon juveniles looks as good as ever this term and Kool Company must be near the top of their mid-season pecking order form him to be the main representative in this. He's not the type to be hyped as he as done his winning in workmanlike style - showing himself to be a battler when taking a Listed event at Naas last time. He looks to the type who'll thrive with his racing and the fact that he's done nothing flash has probably been built into his odds too much and he is worth support.

Portamento stepped up from his debut to win a Goodwood maiden in decisive fashion last time. The runner up has since gone on and taken a Newbury maiden. He's pretty hard to weigh up but looks useful at least and is worth taking aboard.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win VILLA ROYALE 16/1 ( Paddy Power)  Ascot Stakes

Michael Appleby's horses are running out of their skin at the moment and Villa Royale looks to be in with a cracking chance here. She looked better than ever, in fact an improved performer, and looking to have more to come, when winning the staying handicap at the Dante meeting. The winner of that event last year went on to take this and the mare is one to like alot here.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 14 June 2014

2pts win GAMESOME 16/1 ( 3 firms and both exchanges) Betbright Charity Sprint
1pt win SEE THE SUN 28/1 (Betfair)  Betbright Charity Sprint

There is still a hell of alot to learn about Gamesome but he looked more than useful when a decisive winner of a Nottingham maiden last back end, beating an animal who went on to run a close fourth in the Middle Park two runs later. He was well beaten on his seasonal debut at Newmarket but raced too keenly, looking like one who needs to be returned to sprint distances and needless to say he is one of the more interesting candidates in this.

See The Sun represents last years winning connections and shaped really well at Chester last time from a compromising draw. The ground will be alot faster today but he's proved he can handle it and he is worth a point at the odds available.

ST Sun Won +24.5pts

Friday, 6 June 2014

3pts win STARS OVER THE SEA 16/1 ( At least 2 firms inc Ladbrokes)  Investec Out Of Ordinary Stakes

One of a trio from his yard and the one that really catches the eye at double fig odds. Since winning a Nursery last August he's been in Listed/Conditions/G3 company, making him difficult to get a decent gauge on back in handicap company. In the middle one of those three runs he acquitted himself really well in the old Blue Riband Trial here in April, finishing a close third. The winner of that event has yet to reappear but the runner up, 4th,5th and 6th have all come out and run very well, giving the form a solid look. Definitely in with a serious chance here.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win GEOFFREY CHAUCER 11/1 (Betfair) Investec Derby

Australia is worth taking on at around the 6/4 mark - he ran a splendid race in the Guineas but does have plenty of pace and may just be one that leans to the speed elements of his pedigree. If that proves to be the case then Ryan Moore has an excellent chance of taking this event on the Ballydoyle second string for the second year running. Notwithstanding representatives that run in a Guineas ,the yard traditionally run their main Derby hope in the Derrinstown and though beaten in what looked a well up to standard renewal , he never had the run of the race and appealed beforehand as the one most likely to progress from the race. All in all it's hard not to see him playing a big part here.

Lost - 3pts