Saturday, 31 May 2014

3pts win SHWAIMAN 12/1 ( 3 firms,including Hills, and both exchanges) Stowe Family Law Cup

This colt looked one to follow when putting up a visually taking performance at Doncaster last August. Almost ten months on he's perhaps not got to the level that many were expecting but there is still time for him to develop into a smart performer and he has a big opportunity of taking his first listed event today. His run in the Chester Cup last time from a horror draw was very encouraging and although strictly on the weights and measures he needs to improve to win, he is arguably open to more improvement than any of today's rivals.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win LAHAAG 13/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) John Sunley Memorial H'cap

This will be Lahaag's fourth attempt at winning a 30k plus to the winner handicap and on the back of a nice comeback run at York he is very much one to consider. His other attempts at in the big handicaps have resulted in a 17th in last year's Lincoln in what with hindsight was over an unsuitably short trip, a cracking fifth in the Duke of Edinburgh, and a disappointing 21st in the November handicap when he was probably gone for the season. He's only 2 lb higher in the ratings than when wining at York in October and appeals as the value call here.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 24 May 2014

2pts win FIRST FLIGHT 11/1 ( 5 firms and exchanges) Betfred Silver Bowl
1pt win RED STARGAZER 14/1 ( 4 firms and exchanges) Betfred Silver Bowl

Though holding no fancy entries at the moment First Flight is one of the two or three who could make up into a Group horse and is selected on the basis that he'll come on from his Sandown reappearance. He previously finished last,though not beaten too far when tried in the Acomb which came on the back of a successful debut at Newbury. We've almost certainly yet to see the best of him and he's an interesting proposition today
Hopefully there'll be enough juice in the ground for Red Stargazer to produce his optimum. From a yard that was 2 from 3 with it's runners yesterday, he can confirm C&D form with Chatez and must enter calculations.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 17 May 2014

3pts win CHOPIN 10.5/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  JLT Lockinge Stakes

This is an ordinary renewal - Olympic Glory, being a lazy type, might be lacking sharpness on his first appearance of the year and as he makes the market there are value choices on offer. Chopin came into last year's Derby looking to have stamina doubts and though on the objective figs he ran up to form he's likely to be best over shorter trips. After Royal Ascot he did not reappear until Dusseldorf in April - admittedly there is still plenty to find out about him and it's mostly subjective at the moment, but he gives the strong impression that we have yet to see the best of him but he looked a real good horse the day he won at Krefeld on his pre-Derby race. Definitely worth a go at the price.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 10 May 2014

3pts win ELIDOR 10/1 ( 5 firms) Carey Group Buckhounds Stakes

A winner over C&D at the Royal meeting, Elidor looked better than ever when winning up at Thirsk on his reappearance. That was his first run as a gelding and there looks to be plenty more to come. Most of his opponents have some niggly doubts hanging over them with Pether's Moon and Area Fifty One ideally wanting better ground, Harris Tweed ideally two furlongs longer, while Gatewood is hard to win with nowadays and Cap O Rushes is decidedly onepaced. All in all, Elidor looks cracking value at present odds.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MONTBAZON 11.5/1 (Betfair)  Pertemps Network Swinton
1pt win  LOYAUTE 14/1 (Generally available) Pertemps Network Swinton

Montabazon ran an absolute cracker in a vintage renewal of the County Hurdle and although now deservedly 7lb higher in the ratings, and arriving here on the back of a poor run at Ayr, the yard has had a couple of winners in the last few days and he would not be lining up without unless connections considered there was a strong chance of him returning to his best. Although the Cheltenham run was on good ground, the race he ran in his novice season on very soft at Newbury was on the weights and measures on par with his best.

Loyaute stayed on over a longer trip last time but is fully effective over 2 mile, and the combination of trip and ground today will be ideal. That piece of form when beating subsequent Imperial Cup winner Baltimore Rock at Kempton in February on testing ground catches the eye and she's a real player here.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 6 May 2014

2pts win COMMUNICATOR 10.5/1 (Betfair) Stan James Chester Cup
1pt win WATERCLOCK  31/1 (Betfair) Stan James Chester Cup

Communicator handles this track well and with his yard flying at the moment is sure to arrive here ready to run to his optimum.Though only winning twice in his career you generally win in turn in this sphere and while his running style means he'll need luck to take advantage of his low draw, if the Gods are kind to him he'll go very close to winning this.

Cesarewitch runner up Waterclock was bought in the Horses In Training Sales and moved to his new yard with this race no doubt high on the agenda. He hasen't seen action since that race but the yard has had a couple of winners recently and he's likely to be spot on. Admittedly, he hasen't the best of draws but thats factored into his odds and he's worth risking here.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 4 May 2014

3pts win AMRALAH 8/1 (Generally available)  Quipco Supporting British Racing Stakes

This colt beat Urban Dance and Van Percy here last Autumn, and at the time looked to have the most improvement in him of the three. The performance was more meritious than it looks on paper as he did himself no favours that day by taking a tug and the likely truer pace on today will assist. On his only outing since, also at this venue, he failed to land a blow when inconvenienced by the step down in trip.On his reappearance today his condition has to be taken on trust but connections evidently consider him as potentially a top draw performer and if that is the case then he'll take this in his stride before moving out of the handicapping ranks.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win VORDA 16/1 (Generally available) Quipco 1,000 Guineas
1pt win BETIMES  28/1 (Betfair) Quipco I,000 Guineas

In wide open renewal Cheveley Park winner Vorda catches the eye at double figs odds. She won that event fair and square and recently shaped well on her seasonal debut at Maisons - Lafitte. The only negative, and the reason for her price, is whether she'll truly get one mile. Her only attempt at the trip came in the Breeders Cup at the end of the season but that was inconclusive and she'd almost certainly gone off peak for the season. She clearly has the raw ability to take this and must make any short list.

Betimes is a complete unknown winning on an AW maiden on her only start back in December. She was visually impressive that day but the bare form does not justify her a place in the line up. However, though it's all subjective  Gosden is very unlikely to pit her in here if did not think she was capable of running a credible race and if there is to be a big surprise on the cards she is a likely candidate to cause it.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 3 May 2014

3pts win ROCK CHOIR 7/1 (Generally available) Qatar Racing Suffolk Stakes

This is always an interesting little handicap that often contains a few being warmed for future targets. However, you have to feel that Rock Choir will arrive here spot on. The modis operandi of the Cheverley Park operation is that the fillies that stay in training are considered able to progress to be able to win at Group level and Rock Choir could be a different proposition this term and well able to win off today's rating. Confidence is increased by the fact the yard is in red hot form at the moment - including 2 from 2 yesterday.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win TOORMORE 8/1 (Generally available - 9's with 3 firms)  QUIPCO 2,000 GUINEAS

This looks a glamorous renewal, almost too good to be true, but it would be no surprise to find in a couple of months time, when bubbles have been burst and with the benefit of hindsight, that it's not quite the race that it looks.
Toormore has not produced performances with visual impressions of Kingman or Australia,but the level of his form is on par with them and he appeals as the value call of the race. There is no knowing whether he is near the ceiling of his ability or not as he is does what is required in a professional manner and no more and he is the one who can most be relied on to run his race today. Furthermore,he does look a real miler  - Kingman is so quick that there has to be a niggling doubt about the extra furlong while Australia's optimum will surely be a couple of furlongs further.

Lost - 3pts