Tuesday, 11 March 2014

3pts win ROYAL BOY 7/1 ( Ladbrokes, Corals, both Exchanges) Neptune Investment Novices Hdle

Red Sherlock seems to have a bit of character and could be a lot better than the already high level of form he's shown - which he'd need to be as we can be sure that the horse he beat,Rathvinden, is rated inferior to stable companion Faugheen. However, Royal Boy could be a match for all of them and is the most appealing bet here. Confidence is increased by the way the two Henderson horses ran in the Supreme Novices earlier today, including the animal Royal Boy beat at Kempton. At this stage he could still be anything but has proven himself a talented novice and provided he goes on this faster surface ( was beaten too far for the surface to be the cause on his only run on good ground) he'll be thereabouts.

Non Runner

3pts win BALLYCASEY 6/1 ( 2 firms inc Betfred and both Exchanges) RSA Chase

This is top heavy with horses who are proven on no other surface than very soft and the couple at attractive odds who like Spring ground are probably not good enough. Ballycasey is the only real contender with a first rate chance on the book who is capable of running to his optimum on this sort of surface - in fact he may prove to be better on it. He has no real question marks against him here and taking everything into account is more reasonably priced than may first appear.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win CAPTAIN CONAN 5/1 ( Hills, Corals, both Exchanges) Bet Victor Queen Mother Champion Chase

This tremendously likeable individual can have his first big day tomorrow. Always looking one made for the big time he seems to be a real spring horse. Arriving here fresh after a three month absence and certain improvement left in him, he has a seriuos chance of turning around the last race form with Sire De Grugy who he beat at this venue earlier last season.

Lost - 3pts