Saturday, 25 January 2014

1.5pts win CEDRE BLEU 7.4/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Freebets Trophy Chase
1.5pts win TAP NIGHT 8/1  (Generally available) Freebets Trophy Chase

Cedre Bleu saves plenty for himself but his type win in turn when all falls right and is fair value today at 7/1 + as he looks sure to come there travelling as the race hots up. The pull in the weights with Double Ross may not be a deciding factor but it does no harm nor does the ground changing to heavy.

Tap Night will not be hindered by testing conditions and having dropped in the ratings after two moderate efforts, looks to have a real opportunity if returning to the the level of form that saw him chase home Captain Conan at Aintree in the Spring.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 18 January 2014

3pts win SYDNEY PAGET 7.6/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  Peter Marsh Chase

This horse still retains a positively progressive profile despite fading tamely at Wetherby last time. It may pay to forgive that performance as he had previously created a fine impression when visually impressive over today's course and distance, looking the sort with any amount of improvement left in him. The testing conditions will be ideal for him and a 10lb higher rating than that last victory will not be enough to stop him if he is in the same sort of form here.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 11 January 2014

2pts win VESPER BELL 8/1 (Generally available) Betfred Classic Chase
1pt win SAME DIFFERENCE 16/1 (Generally available) Betfred Classic Chase

It's hard to overlook the stonewall solid claims of Vesper Bell here. He's only 4lb higher in the ratings than when running a career best over fences in the Spring, revels in extreme testing conditions, has bags of staminia, and still has further improvement left in him. His yard is in cracking form and he looks sure to figure in a big way.

Samedifference had Vesper Bell back in seventh winning winning the Kim Muir last season. He then ran a blinder to finish runner up in the old Whitbread ( off the same rating as he runs off today), and wasen't entirely disgraced in the Hennessy last time. The worry is that he is unproven on this sort of ground but if he adapts he will be a threat to all here.

Lost - 3pts