Saturday, 5 October 2013

1.5 pts win BERTIEWHITTLE 12/1 ( 4 firms and Exchanges)  Betfred Goals Galore Challenge Cup
1.5pts win HEAVEN'S GUEST 16/1 ( 5 firms and Exchanges) Betfred Goals Galore Challenge Cup

Horses with all sorts of profiles have won this in the past so there's no need to be shackled by something on a roll. The exposed Bertiewhittle just wins in turn, hasen't won for over two years, and has a better fancied stable companion in the race. However there are enough reasons to suggest that he'll go well today. He's now as good as he's ever been, he acts on soft ground, he goes well over this course and distance and has run arguably his best ever race here, and Spencer is a positive in this sort of race and has an excellent record for the yard.

Heaven's Guest likewise runs well on a soft surface and ran a cracker in the Ayr Gold Cup the other week and runs off the same rating today with the promising claimer keeping the ride.The only niggly doubt is that though he's won over this trip on an easy surface, proper soft on this track may just question his staminia. Nevertheless, there's more still to learn about him and he's open to plenty of further improvement and is worth support at the odds available.

H'vns Guest Won  + 22.5pts

3pts win INTELLO 10/1 (Generally available) Qatar Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe

This looks to be a better renewal than last year's race though overall no better than average - particularly with the withdrawal of Novellist.

Orfevre will surely be involved but is priced up accordingly and whoever wins this year will have to have produced a better performance than that by last year's winner. Treve has done nothing wrong, looks very exciting, but has not been helped by the draw and is plenty short enough. The feeling on the day was that the Prix Niel did not contain the winner of this event while St Leger Leading Light will certainly lack the toe to win this. This brings the attention to Intello who remains an exciting individual and who is held in the highest regard by Fabre. He's the only one in this field quick enough to be a force in top company over a mile and visually gives the impression he'll get this trip - the furthest he's proven over is a furlong and a half less when winning the Prix Du Jockey Club. At the prices, he makes the most appeal and is hard to leave out.

Lost - 3pts