Saturday, 31 August 2013

3pts win TRADE COMMISSIONER 9/1 (Generally available)  Betfred TV & Levy Board H'cap

A few in this field ran in the Haydock handicap won by Robin Hood's Bay, with Danchai and Labarinto running too bad to be true. It's a guess who'll come out best of the five this time and none may be good enough to beat Trade Commissioner anyway, who is capable of defying topweight here. Gosden's gelding ran a cracker to be seventh on his seasonal reappearance in the Hunt Cup. He failed to build on that next time at Pontefract, then followed up with a good second to a very useful performer in a small field conditions event at Newmarket. He's now back to a venue where he has won on both appearances, is in an ideal scenario where he'll be able to settle in mid-div and quicken up to run down the leaders, and is from a yard that continues in great form.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 23 August 2013

2pts win TIGER CLIFF  7/1 (Generally available) Betfred Ebor
1pt  win TROPICAL BEAT 14.5/1 (Betfair) Betfred Ebor

With only six races under his belt, Tiger Cliff remains open to any amount of improvement and the 4lb hike in the ratings from Ascot should not be a worry. He was stepped up to 2m 4f there and acquitted himself really well producing a performance at least on par with anything previous. However, as he's progressing all the time that may just be incidental and it's not hard to feel that this sort of trip may be his optimum. The ground will not hinder and all in all his chance is stonewall solid.

Tropical Beat ran a cracker on his first run for his new yard last time. The winner of that event was just caught on the line here earlier in the week and Tropical Beat, whose yard is absolutely flying at the moment, will be capable of producing his optimum on this easy ground and is a big danger to all.

T Beat NR,  Tiger Cliff won ( 5.9/1 inc deductions for NR's)  + 11.8pts

Thursday, 22 August 2013

3pts win ROBIN HOODS BAY 13/2 ( 5 firms) Sky Bet  Strensall Stakes

Though five years old. Robin Hoods Bay is still unexposed on turf and  his performance when surprising in a valuable Haydock handicap last time was a real eye opener. There appeared no fluke whatsoever about that performance and he looks capable of fending off challengers from some of the more fashionable yards as that form alone is as good as anything on offer here.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win LADIES ARE FOREVER 47/1 (Betfair) Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes
1.5pts win YORK GLORY 33/1 (Betfair) Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes

There have been some surprises in this event down the years and this renewal looks absolutely wide open and there are few that you could confidently put a line through.

Locally trained Ladies Are Forever has never been in better heart. She won a G3 here in July and followed up with a cracking run at Goodwood after twice being denied a clear run. She had previously given the impression that a fast five was too sharp for her but with luck in running she would have been right in the mix that day. She could be one of these older mares that suddenly start to climb the ladder when you think they've reached their ceiling and a big run is on the cards.

York Glory looked worth a tilt at this event when winning the Wokingham in the style of a high class animal. Horses with his sort of profile do sometimes win this sort of event and as his Stewards Cup run can be discarded, there are realistic possibilities that he'll run really well at big odds. Certainly not to be underestimated.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 21 August 2013

2pts win QUEENSBERRY RULES 8/1 (Generally available) Clipper Logistics H'cap
1pt win SANDAGIYR 14/1 (at least 3 firms and exchanges) Clipper Logistics H'cap

Queensberry Rules catches the eye here and if the last run can be forgiven - he has a cracking chance. Previous to that he had run a blinder in the Britannia, finishing ahead of Wentworth. He looked up to plenty of improvement, is in the right sort of yard for this type of event, and one that does particularly well at this venue.

Sandagiyr went very close in the big mile handicap at Goodwood. He has done most of his racing abroad and was still relatively unexposed coming into that race. A repeat of that sort of form would see him going close here.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 20 August 2013

2pts win CAP O'RUSHES 11/2 (Generally available) Neptune Investment Great Voltigeur
1pt win NICHOLS CANYON 13.5/1 (Betfair) Neptune Investment Great Voltigeur

The Telescope hype was lowered somewhat last time and now that we know he is no world beater, albeit very useful, he is worth taking on.

Unlike the other Godolphin runner Secret Number, Cap O'Rushes may have appeared to have had the run of the race in the Gordon but in all honesty you would only be confident that the runner up would turn the tables - if he had run here. Cap O'Rushes is overall progressive, looks very much the type to be involved in the St Leger, and is sure to go close here.

John Gosden has won three of the last six renewals of this and Nichols Canyon's chance must be respected. Things went wrong for him in the Queens Vase and the fact that he ran in that event should not be an indication that he lacks the pace for this. It's very likely he'll outrun his odds.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 17 August 2013

2pts win AIKEN 4/1 (Generally available) Betfred Geoffrey Freer Stakes
1pt win RED CADEAUX 11/1 ( 4 firms and both exchanges)  Betfred Geoffrey Freer Stakes

Aiken is 1,1,4,2 at this venue and has few miles on the clock for one of his age. He hasen't seen a racecourse since running a blinder when runner up to Rites Of Passage, just failing to last the trip, here last October but that is not an issue for concern. His stable is flying at the moment and he'll be fully ready to produce his optimum here.

This is the first time in nine runs that Red Cadeaux has run in anything less the G1 company. A successful globetrotter , there is no reason whatsoever why he shouldn't appreciate this ease in grade and run a big race.
 Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 10 August 2013

3pts win LABARINTO 7.4/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  Better Prices on Goals H'cap

Labarinto does not have many miles on the clock for one of his age and he returned to his best when third in a similarly competitive handicap to this at Goodwood last time. Versatile regarding ground conditions, there is no reason why he should not repeat that level of performance and go close to winning this. Being picky, you could point out that his best performances have been on right hand tracks but that is most probably just coincidental and if it was the case then there would have been no shortage of suitable targets at right hand venues.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 2 August 2013

3pts win ENROL 8/1 (Generally available) Robin's Farm Racing Stewards Sprint

If Enrol is to start climbing the ladder up to Group company like many of the the older Cheverley Park Stud owned and bred fillies and mare have done in the past, then it'll be over sprint distances and her run in the Buckingham Palace is worth forgetting. She had previously run a lifetime best when just failing to overhaul Nocturn at Newmarket; the latter a much better horse than his run in the Wokingham suggests. The form of the Newmarket race was given a much needed boost when Whozthecat won a valuable Curragh event the other week and Enrol has the class to defy top weight here.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win YORK GLORY 11/1 (Betfair) Robin's Farm Racing Stewards Cup
1pt win PABUSAR 45/1 (Betfair) Robin's Farm Racing Stewards Cup

York Glory took the Wokingham in cracking style and can add his name to the exclusive list of horses that have done the Wokingham-Steward's Cup double. He's been raised 9lb to 109 but is clearly now a Group class animal and this quicker track shouldn't inconvenience him having in his previous run ran what was then a lifetime best over a furlong less at York. Spencer is excellent on this type of horse in this type of race and granted the gaps come at the right time, the Ascot-Goodwood double is very much on.

Now a five year old. Pabusar has only won one race - a maiden here on his second start and is on a losing run of 25. However, he has, and still does give the impression that a valuable handicap could be in him somewhere at sometime. now with Jamie Osborne, he has shown this season that all the ability is still there and is worth a small speculative wager.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 1 August 2013

2pts win STIRRING BALLAD 8.2/1 (Betfair) Betfred Mile
1pt win SANDAGIYR 33/1 ( 3 firms and both exchanges) Betfred Mile

A winner on this course last season, Stirring Ballad began the season appealing as one who could bag one of these marquee handicaps. He looked to have been targeted at the Hunt Cup but nothing fell right for him at all that day and it's a run that can be forgotten. He now has his second opportunity to take one of these events and it's probably significant that they've waited for this rather than seek immediate compensation after Ascot.

Sandagiyir also last ran in the Hunt Cup, running reasonable well when too not getting the rub of the green. Although five years old, it's still difficult to put a gauge on him. He spent his early career with Royer-Dupre then done most of his racing at Meydan for his new connections, and has had only three runs in this country. If there is to be a surprise he is one of the candidates that could cause it.

S Ballad NR,  Sandagiyr Lost   - 1pt