Saturday, 25 May 2013

1.5pts win BOSUN BREEZE 16/1 (P  Power & Chandler) 32 Red.Com Sprint
1.5pts win BOGART  25/1 (Ladbrokes) 32 Red.Com Sprint

With increased temperatures forecast in the afternoon it is hard to guage how much the ground will dry out which makes this card pretty difficult at the moment.

In this race Jamaican Bolt will need the ground to remain on the easy side. Duke of Firenze is obviously mighty interesting but there are others that catch the eye at double figs such as Bosun Breeze who was much improved last season, rattling off a sequence of four from five around this time. He returned to form at Thirsk last time and looks set to run well.

Bogart does not fit the ideal profile for this having never races in a handicap before and being tried for most of his career in Group races. However, he has acquitted himself well in many of them and it would be no surprise if he was up to winning off a 99 rating.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 18 May 2013

2pts win RIVELLINO 6.4/1 (Betfair) Coral Sprint Trophy
1pt win VICTRIX LUDORUM 16/1 (Generally available) Coral Sprint Trophy

On the back of the stable's Dante victory, Rivellino can pick up another nice prize for the Burke yard. After shaping well when not getting the rub of the green at Doncaster behind yesterday's York winner Moviesta, Rivellino won decisively on the AW last time and appeals very much as the type who will bag a valuable sprint handicap. He looks the best option here rather than trying to work out who will come out best from the re-match the first six home in Secretinthepark's Newmarket race - which may have been overated.

Of those in double figures, Victrix Ludorum catches the eye having shaped well when probably needing the run on his seasonal debut in a race won by yesterday's impressive winner Zanetto. He won a valuable sales race last October on an easy surface but acts just as well on faster ground. He should not be too far away.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win FARHH  5/1 (Generally available)JLT Lockinge Stakes
1pt win FENCING JLT 11/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Lockinge Stakes

The Bin Suroor yard may just be about to hit form and if Farhh, who was won first time out in all his three seasons of racing , is in top shape then he'll go very close here. Admitedly, he is reported to have had a setback but has recovered similarly once before to make a winning return.

Fencing disappointed last season but reappeared at Ascot having been gelded and created a really good visual impression to win in style. On the bare form he still has something to find but he is clearly now an improved individual who looks certain to be winning more races.

Farhh Won ( 9/2 deduction for NR) + 8pts

Thursday, 16 May 2013

2pts win TOP TRIP  11/2 ( 4 firms and Betfair) Quipco Yorkshire Cup
1pt win SIR GRAHAM WADE 15/2 ( 2 firms and Betfair) Quipco Yorkshire Cup

Top Trip finished close behind today's Middleton winner when staying on over an inadequate trip in the Prix D' Harcourt and Francouis Doumen's colt looks an interesting challenger here. He has a touch of class and ran good races in both the Prix du Jockey Club and Grand Prix De Paris last season, shaping as though this sort of trip would bring out the best in him. Although he ran poorly when stepped up to 1m 7f, ground conditions were very testing that day and he may have also been over the top on what was his final race of the season.

Sir Graham Wade progressed through the handicap ranks last year and is a big player here after running well in the Sagaro last time. He is a genuine sort who knows how to get his head infront, and this sort of trip on an easyish surface looks ideal for him.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 11 May 2013

3pts win DEEPSAND 13.5/1 (Betfair) Pertempts Handicap Hdle

Typical modern day renewal of this event, lacking in the quality of former days but still very wide open. The area has been hit by any rainfall so anything needing genuinely quick ground might have their chances scuppered.

Deepsand will not mind a bit of ease in the surface. The only four year old in this field, he looked one who would win plenty more races when successful in good style at Perth last time. That was only his fifth outing over timber and the ease of that success allied to the possibility that he could be improving fast, makes him worth a bet to defy the 12lb rise in the ratings.

Lost - 3pts

1.5ptswin ARNOLD LANE 45/1 (Betfair) Betfred Victoria Cup
1.5pts win REBELLIOUS GUEST 45/1(Betfair) Betfred Victoria Cup

Could be worth a couple of speculative small punts on a couple of horses that don't fit the profile of your typical Victoria Cup winner but can have cases made out for them.

Arnold Lane races off a career high rating of 107 but that does not flatter him. During the second part of last season he ran consistently well off marks in the late 90's in valuable handicaps at the big southern venues, including here. After three races at Meydan, he shaped well in a G3 at the Curragh, then won a conditions race at Thirsk, then a G3 at Munich ten days ago. Mick Channon has done well in the past with hardy, older horses and Arnold Lane looks to have improved enough to give a good account of himself off todays mark.

There is not enough off a gap between them on the exchanges at the moment to indicate that Rebellious Guest is a definite second string to his stable companion Excellent Guest. Judging by the owners record in these sort of races at this venue in the past, then there is every reason to believe that both will be in reasonable shape and doing their best. Rebellious Guest has been tried very highly during his lightly raced career so far and it's hard to gauge the true level of his ability. It's mainly subjective thinking but he's an interesting runner here.

A.Lane NR, R Guest Lost  - 1.5pts

Wednesday, 8 May 2013

3pts win TOMINATOR 11/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Stan James Chester Cup

This gelding looks the ideal type here. A hardy sort, proven in the big field staying handicaps as displayed when winning the 2011 Pitmans Derby and when running a blinder in last Autumn's Cesarewitch off just a 2lb lower rating than today, Tominator's run in this race can be overlooked. He finished tailed off in quite desperate ground that day but is very much suited by this circuit having run some fine races here including when winning a listed handicap last September. His draw could be better but given that he is able settle in a position not too far out , it should not count against him too much. Overall, at the odds available he looks a far more attractive proposition than the front two in the market, and it will be disappointing if his new yard don't get an optimum performance from him today.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 5 May 2013

3 pts win LADYSHIP 6.6/1 (Betfair) Timeform Harbour Watch H'cap

Michael Stoute's yard has suddenly come alive in the last few days which augurs well for the chances of Ladyship today. It often pays to keep on the right side of the horses in the Cheverley Park ownership that are kept in training after three, and Ladyship can be expected to show significant improvement this year, similarly to her dam, Peeress who incidentally won first time out as a four and five year old. It's all subjective at the moment but if there is something in this field that goes on to make an impact at G2 level or higher, then it's very likely to be her.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SKY LANTERN 10/1 (Generally available) Quipco 1,000 GNS
1pt win DIAMINDA 66/1 ( 3 firms including Ladbrokes) Quipco 1,000 GNS

This is a very wide open renewal and it's possible to make out some sort of case for the majority of these.

Hot Snap looked decent in the Nell Gwynn but although on the face of it she should be open to more improvement than most, she was probably straighter in condition than some of those behind her that day and is priced up plenty short enough. The runner up Sky Lantern is more exposed but ran as though the race would bring her on that day. She put herself in the picture for this with an authoritative display in the Moyglare last September, appears to have trained on well, and should be a player today.

Winning Express finished one place behind Sky Lantern in the Nell Gwynn. She won the Dick Poole last year and could run well but at the odds, the fourth home in the Salisbury event, Diaminda, is worth a speculative small bet. She looked a shade unlucky that day, could still be anything, and if there is a shock on the cards then she is a candidate to produce it.

Sky Lantern Won  + 19pts

Saturday, 4 May 2013

2pts win BASSETERRE  6/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)Makfi Suffolk Stakes
1pt win WHISPERING WARRIOR  7.6/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)Makfi Suffolk Stakes

With the Haggas horses flying, Danchai is the first that catches the eye here but he may not want the ground so fast and Basseterre is preferred. Charles Hills  yard is in good form itself at the moment and Basseterre should strip down in good condition today. He has a steadily progressive profile and appeals as one who will pay to follow blindly in handicaps this year.

Whispering Warrior has been in excellent form on the AW over the winter and looks far from reaching his ceiling just yet. If he can transfer that form back to the turf then he'll be a very interesting proposition here. The yard had a winner with it's only runner yesterday and there is very reason to suggest that Whispering Warrior will not be needing this run.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win PEARL SECRET  11/2 (Generally available)Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes
1pt win BUNGLEINTHEJUNGLE 16/1 (Generally available) Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes

Pearl Secret remains an exciting prospect who could possibly go to the top in this sphere over the coming months. He went into the Nunthorpe unbeaten but never got the run of the race on a course that it is very hard to play catch up on. This is the first time he's been on the racecourse since and he is undoubtedly the most interesting runner in this field.

Three year olds have a fair record in this event and Bungleinthejungle catches the eye at double figure odds. He ran well on his seasonal debut but failed to get home over a furlong further than today. He has some solid form in the book, including a defeat of Garswood in the Cornwalis and should give a very good account of himself today.

Pearl Secret NR , B'Jungle  Lost   - 1pt

3pts win HIGH OCTANE 5/1 ( 4 firms including Lads and Coral) Quatar Racing Newmarket Stakes

This is a decent little race and with enough live dangers, Windhoek is worth taking on at around the evens mark. Unsinkable, who ran a blinder behind Van Der Neer last time, is very weak on the exchanges, and the chances of High Octane look better the more you look at this race. He looked to be crying out for this trip when 3rd behind an Irish 2,000 Gns hope at Leopardstown last time and connections have opted for this likely easier event than the Derrinstown next weekend.

Lost - 3pts