Saturday, 20 April 2013

3pts win DRUMSHAMBO  14/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Aracadia Future Champion Novices Chase

Drumshambo would be in the region of 10lb better off with three of today's rivals if this was a handicap. However, at a time of the season when many have gone over the top, such issues only matter if they run to something near their optimum, and the odds more than compensate for the task Drumshambo faces. He has been in great heart this spring and ran a blinder in the Grand Annual last time and has been showing no signs of going off the boil. The fact that most of his recent form is in soft is just incidental - he'll not be hindered by today's surface and should give a good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win LIVELY BARON 25/1 ( 4 firms including Hills and Corals) Coral Scottish Grand National
1.5pts TOUR DES CHAMPS 39/1 (Betfair) Coral Scottish Grand National

There are quite a few lively outsiders here in an event that has had it's fair share of turn ups down the years.

The McCain horses are running really well at the moment and Lively Baron has genuine claims here. He is a little quirky but stays these sort of trips, has been running very well lately and will not be affected adversely by the drying ground.

Tour Des Champs has been below form on his last two outings but his trainer has a record second to none of winning valuable staying chases with novices and he will not be lining up here if he was not considered to have any chance of winning this. The yard had a couple of winners at Cheltenham this week and an improved performance can be expected of Tour Des Champs today.

Lost - 3pts