Saturday, 26 January 2013

1.5pts win OUR MICK 9/1 (Generally available)  Murphy Group Chase
1.5pts win NADIYA DE LA VEGA 9/1 (Generally available) Murphy Group Chase

Our Mick's price is holding up well at the moment which indicates he will line up here fully tuned up. He ran a cracker around here at the Festival but is ideally suited by this sort of trip.And with this testing ground not being a hindrance to him everything points to a big run.

Nadiya De La Vega is also proven around here. His race was over early on last time but had previously acquitted himself well off today's rating in the Paddy Power. This is an easier task here and he is sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win CAPE TRIBULATION 8/1 (Generally available) Argento Chase
1pt win HEY BIG SPENDER 33/1 (Generally available) Argento Chase

With lots of niggley  question marks over many of these there is plenty of options available.

Cape Tribulation is an extremely likeable individual who looked back to his best in an albeit ordinary renewal of the Rowland Meryick. There are no stamina issues for him, even in this testing ground, and he should not be far away.

Hey Big Spender is worth a speculative point on the basis that the heavy ground will bring his deep stamina reserves into play. In normal circumstances he would be sure to be found wanting but these conditions can be a great leveler and if there is to be a shock he is a likely one to cause it.

Cape Tribulation won + 15 pts

Saturday, 12 January 2013

3pts win RESTLESS HARRY 7.2/1 (Betfair) Betfred Classic Chase

This likeable sort looks like the he is getting his act together over the larger obstacles and there is still time for him to get to the same level of rating than he did over hurdles.If he is anywhere near doing that now then he is attractively handicapped at over a stone below his best hurdle form. Conditions are ideal for him today and he could easily impose his quality on this event. Reasonably priced and hard to resist here.
 Lost  - 3pts

Saturday, 5 January 2013

1.5pts win MICHEL LE BON 9/1(Generally available) Coral Welsh National
1.5pts win SOLL 14/1(Betfair) Coral Welsh National

Teaforthree's credentials are absolutely solid but there are enough dangers present to make the 3/1 seem a bit too skinny.
Michel Le Bon is very lightly raced for one of his age after missing two years through injury after his chasing debut. He put up a career best at Wincanton last time, is open to further improvement and could just be the type for this race.
Soll is very hard to weigh up but must enter calculations as he wasen't that far behind Teaforthree in the Hennessey. He is open to any amount of improvement, is proven in heavy ground, and if prepared to take his staminia on trust he is worth taking aboard.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 1 January 2013


Total Layout =  335.5
Total Return = 420.15

Profit of + 84.65