Tuesday, 31 December 2013


TOTAL LAYOUT = 326 pts
TOTAL RETURN = 400 pts

PROFIT OF + 74pts

Saturday, 28 December 2013

2pts win HAWKES POINT 14/1 ( 5 firms and both exchanges) Coral Welsh National
1pt win TOUR DES CHAMPS 20/1 ( 4 firms and both exchanges) Coral Welsh National

With only five races over fences under his built it's pretty safe to assume that Hawke's Point will be racing off a higher mark than 137 at some point in the near future and after shaping as though needing the run on his reappearance looks set to run the race of his life here. He'll stay forever and the resting ground will be ideal - as shown when he ran the heart out of Gullinbursti at Exeter 12 months ago. He's clearly been targeted at this, is in the right hands, and appeals more than most at the odds available.

Tour Des Champs is a hardy experienced character for a six year old but is the type that his trainer excels with and will be plugging on all the way up the home straight. His trainer mentioned this race as a likely target 12 months ago and in a race where he may get out of rhythm and hit a flat spot, the testing ground will given him every opportunity of staying in contention. He's 5lb out of the handicap but there are far more relevant factors in a race of this nature and he's only a couple of pound higher than when running a fine race in the Scottish National- where he would likely have finished even closer on a more testing surface.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 26 December 2013

3 pts win NUTS N BOLTS 9/2 (Generally available) William Hill Rowland Meryck

Nuts N Bolts looked to have improved even further when delivering a commanding performance at Haydock on his reappearance and the 9lb rise in the ratings may not be enough to stop him here and he's lining up here in preference to the Welsh National, a race which he had a live chance in. He drops back in trip today but the testing ground should make it a sufficient enough test of stamina for him and confidence is increased by the present form of the yard.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 21 December 2013

2pts win ROLLING STAR 9/1 (Generally available) Ladbroke Hurdle
1pt win PINE CREEK 20/1 (Generally available) Ladbroke Hurdle

At first instance Rolling Star may appear to have a very stiff task under his weight but he was visually impressive at Haydock last time and this was supported by his trainer's comments that he's a different proposition this season and a live Champion Hurdle contender. He clearly acts well in the soft and looks certain to give an excellent account of himself today.

Pine Creek needs to be travelling well  and stay unruffled. A return to this venue, where he beat Chris Pea Green in a handicap two outings ago, will be more his cup of tea than Cheltenham last time and he has prospects of turning the tables on those that finished ahead of him in the latter event.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 7 December 2013

2pts win WALKON 17/1 (Betfair)  Betfred Becher Chase
1pt win SIZING AUSTRALIA 43/1 (Betfair) Betfred Becher Chase

It may be worth taking a chance with Walkon's staminia. He ran a cracker in what looks to have been an above standard renewal of the Topham back here in the spring, running on strongly up the run in. It's interesting that Alan King ran him in the Scottish National as a novice,when probably past his best for the season, strongly indicating that there is a belief that this trip will be within his compass. In a wide open affair he makes plenty of appeal at the odds available.

Sizing Australia catches the eye at a big price. A cross country stalwart, he's been around for a long time now but showed he's in top form and that he still retains plenty of his ability when finishing second over the Banks at Punchestown a couple of weeks ago. It's not hard to see him outrunning his odds today.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 30 November 2013

3pts win OUR FATHER 12/1 ( 5 firms and both exchanges) Hennessy Gold Cup

It's been best to go into this race down the years asking the question ' which of these could you imagine turning into genuine Cheltenham Gold Cup horses' . This year three, possibly four cannot be safely ruled out as real championship contenders, one of those being Our Father.

He has evidently always been held in the highest regard and looked certain to take high rank in last season'e novice chase pecking order when winning impressively on his chasing debut at Cheltenham. However, he failed to reproduce that form in his two subsequent runs and wasn't seen out after February. Whatever was ailing him, ( he's had breathing problems in the past) he now reappears in a race he's clearly been targeted at and off a rating that is potentially very attractive. It's probably just incidental that his runs have all been on soft ground and with the stable have a great pre-Christmas spell he appeals as the winner of this.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 23 November 2013

2 pts win TIDAL BAY 8.6/1 (Betfair) Betfair Chase
1 pt win ROI DU MEE 19/1 (Betfair) Betfair Chase

Outside of the Gold Cup and KingGeorge, this is the classiest line of chasers you could wish to see. However, unlike those events , one or two may line up here slightly undercooked and in what looks likely to turn out to be a bit of a slog, it could be worth siding with a couple of in form animals who revel in these conditions.

The Wetherby win over hurdles indicates Tidal Bay retains all his ability following his setback last mid-season and he'll be getting into this late on and today is his best chance of beating his stable companion and Bob's Worth.

On his 26th race over fences, Roi Du Mee seemed exposed enough coming into Down Royal but there seemed no fluke about the manner in which he galloped his rivals into the ground to produce a career best. It's not been unknown for 3rd or 4th season chasers to suddenly start moving to a new level ( though admittedly it happens most with a change of yards) and he cannot be ignored at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 16 November 2013

1.5pts win CASH AND GO 7.2/1 (Betfair) Stan James Greatwood Hdle
1.5pts win KASHMIR PEAK 11/1 (Betfair) Stan James Greatwood Hdle

Plenty to consider here but these two are plenty interesting enough to take on board.

Cash and Go may at first instance look worth putting a line though at the price but in truth, he surely is going to run a very big race again. He was runner up in this last season on his first run for the Henderson yard off the same rating that he goes into the race this year - problem is he underperformed in all three subsequent starts. However, connections would have got rid if his ability had gone and he cannot be opposed lightly.

John Quinn's runners are always worth looking close at in all the big handicaps under both codes and Kashmir Peak showed his well being when last appearing a few weeks back, narrowly failing to land a competitive  Doncaster handicap. He was last seen over hurdles when out of his depth in the Triumph but had looked very useful on his first two starts - he's actually now better off with Sametegal who he beat last December and while the latter improved after it's very likely that Kashmir Peak will return an improved performer.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 15 November 2013

2pts win JOHN'S SPIRIT 8.6/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase
1pt win TAP NIGHT 18/1 (Betfair)  Paddy Power Gold Cup Chase

Always curbed by mistakes in his races last term, John's Spirit jumped better here on his reappearance and absolutely hacked up in the style of a much improved animal after travelling supremely well throughout the race. He's off a 10lb higher rating here but that may not be enough to halt his progress and of the front four in the market he is the one hardest to leave out.

Tap Night would be thrown out by the trends boys on account of him having no decent course home - he was well beaten in the Arkle on his only appearance here. However, he is worth including at decent odds as overall he is an excellent prospect for some of the valuable handicaps this season and his run behind Captain Conan at Aintree is a fine piece of form. He was below his best at Ayr next time( the animal that was behind him at Aintree was unlucky not to win the Ayr event), he'll strip fully fit from his Carlise reappearance and should run very well.

John's Spirit Won + 15.5pts

Saturday, 9 November 2013

2pts win STANDING OVATION 5.2/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Badger Ales Trophy
1pt win MASTERS HILL 12.5/1 (Betfair) Badger Ales Trophy

Standing Ovation is on a roll at the moment, is at home at this trickiesh venue and can give Pond House another victory in this event. He probably won't want the ground getting any softer but has plenty enough positives to make him hard to put a line through and is fairly priced around the 5/1 mark.

Masters Hill is hard to weigh up, having just returned from an absence. However, he looked as good as ever when winning on that reappearance over hurdles last month and there is still plenty of time for him to carve out a successful career over fences. He is just the type that his yard excel with and appeals as one who should pay to follow blindly this season.

Standing Ovation Won  + 8.9pts

2pts win NICHOLASCOPERNICUS 14/1 ( at least 6 firms) Betfred November H'cap
1pt win NEARLY CAUGHT 22/1 (Betfair) Betfred November H'cap

Nicholascopernicus disappointed when fancied for this last year, though the ground did go against him. He returned to his best when chasing home Lahaag at York two outings ago before failing to land a blow in a muddly sort of race last time. Today he has his ground, he'll also be able to run down the leaders from a true pace, and only being 2lb higher in the ratings from York , he's not handicapped out of it. All in all there can be no excuses for a poor run today.

Nearly Caught was tried in a G2 at Longchamp last time after winning a Haydock handicap. He is an overall, unexposed type who could still make up into a Group class horse, acts in the soft and is a very interesting candidate here and worth support.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 2 November 2013

3pts win HARRY TOPPER 8/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Bet 365 Charlie Hall Chase

A fascinating renewal with Long Run worth taking on on his seasonal debut with him having bigger targets to follow. Cases can be made for the four that follow him in the market and the unexposed Harry Topper is worth taking aboard. He could be be a genuine top class stayer in the making and hopefully the ground will be soft enough for this to be a sufficient test of stamina for him - though the course is now sharper than it use to be. He looked to be taking high rank in the novice ranks last season but encountered misfortune on his final two starts.His yard is in good form and he'll no doubt be fully straightened up for this.

Won + 24pts

Saturday, 26 October 2013

3pts win NICHOLASCOPERNICUS 5/1 (Generally available)  Racing Post Mobile App H'cap

This gelding appealed as one who would improve further this year and continue to win races and plenty has come right for him here. Lightly raced this term, he returned to form at York last time in a race of similar quality to this and with today's soft ground being ideal, he has a cracking chance off a 2lb higher rating. There are no negatives at all and he is sure to run a big race.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win KAYLIF ARAMIS 9/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Totequickpick Silver Trophy
1.5pts win LAMB OR COD 10/1 ( 3 firms including Ladbrokes & Betfred)  Totequickpick Silver Trophy

Probably only an average renewal of this event but hard to resist getting involved in.

The Twiston-Davies yard is having it's customary good Autumn spell and Kaylif Aramis should be fit enough to run to his optimum here. He is proven on this heavy ground, is open to plenty more improvement and could be in for as lucrative career as his full brother.

Philip Hobbs has won this event three times in the last ten years including with Lamb Or Cod last year. Like today, the gelding had been off the track since the previous Winter when lining up last year and with the yard being in fair form there are reasons to believe that he will put his two subsequent disappointing runs behind him and return to form.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 19 October 2013

3pts win TARTAK 14/1 ( Ladbrokes and Corals) Equus Fine Dining H'cap Chase

This likeable character has not won for nearly three years and is not the horse he was at his peak. However, he does retain plenty of ability, certainly enough to prove competitive enough of the rating he races off today and is an interesting proposition on his first run for Victor Dartnall. Though in his prime he ran his career bests at Aintree's Midmay course his best run last term was at this venue and his last victory was here. There is nothing to be over scared of here and he is very likely to give a good account of himself today.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win TOP NOTCH TONTO 16/1 (Generally available)  Queen Elizabeth 11 Stakes

This rapidly improving gelding has a big chance of sealing the biggest rags to riches success in recent years by taking this G1 event. Some of today's rivals will have gone over the top for the season -there is a doubt whether  Dawn Approach can reproduce his best form , Olympic Glory is tried in blinds after an unsatisfactory performance last time, while Soft Falling Rain, though high class, has not really lived up to the hype since coming here. Maxios has stonewall solid claims but is priced up accordingly and a few of his rivals ran below par at Longchamp the other week. This brings the attention back to Top Notch Tonto who beat a good,consistent yardstick last time. He goes well in the soft, looks as though he'll keep on improving and connections have spent alot to supplement him for this. He looks set to run a big race.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 12 October 2013

2pts win DOMINATION 12/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Betfred Cesarewitch
1pt win SIGN MANUAL 150/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  Betfred Cesarewitch

Domination is an admirably versatile gelding who is not afraid of getting his head infront. He won the trial for this event here last year in authoritative style but but had not been put in this. His rating is now over a stone higher but he ran a cracker in a valuable Galway handicap in July and should be able to be competitive off his mark today. He arrives here on the back of two wins over hurdles - both at the time career bests in that sphere - and with a friendly draw it is hard to find any real negatives about his chance.

Royal runner Sign Manual is worth small stakes at massive exchange odds - which themselves hardly inspire confidence. However, when he beat Lieutenant Miller at Newbury on similar ground to todays back in the Spring, it would not have been hard to envisage him bagging a big staying handicap. He has disappointed in his four races since but there is still time to get back on track and Bells's yard is in cracking form at the moment.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 5 October 2013

1.5 pts win BERTIEWHITTLE 12/1 ( 4 firms and Exchanges)  Betfred Goals Galore Challenge Cup
1.5pts win HEAVEN'S GUEST 16/1 ( 5 firms and Exchanges) Betfred Goals Galore Challenge Cup

Horses with all sorts of profiles have won this in the past so there's no need to be shackled by something on a roll. The exposed Bertiewhittle just wins in turn, hasen't won for over two years, and has a better fancied stable companion in the race. However there are enough reasons to suggest that he'll go well today. He's now as good as he's ever been, he acts on soft ground, he goes well over this course and distance and has run arguably his best ever race here, and Spencer is a positive in this sort of race and has an excellent record for the yard.

Heaven's Guest likewise runs well on a soft surface and ran a cracker in the Ayr Gold Cup the other week and runs off the same rating today with the promising claimer keeping the ride.The only niggly doubt is that though he's won over this trip on an easy surface, proper soft on this track may just question his staminia. Nevertheless, there's more still to learn about him and he's open to plenty of further improvement and is worth support at the odds available.

H'vns Guest Won  + 22.5pts

3pts win INTELLO 10/1 (Generally available) Qatar Prix De L'Arc De Triomphe

This looks to be a better renewal than last year's race though overall no better than average - particularly with the withdrawal of Novellist.

Orfevre will surely be involved but is priced up accordingly and whoever wins this year will have to have produced a better performance than that by last year's winner. Treve has done nothing wrong, looks very exciting, but has not been helped by the draw and is plenty short enough. The feeling on the day was that the Prix Niel did not contain the winner of this event while St Leger Leading Light will certainly lack the toe to win this. This brings the attention to Intello who remains an exciting individual and who is held in the highest regard by Fabre. He's the only one in this field quick enough to be a force in top company over a mile and visually gives the impression he'll get this trip - the furthest he's proven over is a furlong and a half less when winning the Prix Du Jockey Club. At the prices, he makes the most appeal and is hard to leave out.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 28 September 2013

1.5pts win SEEK AGAIN 23/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Betfred Cambridgeshire
1.5ps win THAIR 27/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Betfred Cambridgeshire

Seek Again returns to turf after two decent runs on the AW and is just the type that John Gosden - who has a good record in this event and whose yard continues on good form - excels with in these sort of races. When last seen on Turf he looked a real progressive sort when taking a minor handicap on the July course here. He races off an 8lb higher mark but is open to more improvement than anything else in this field.

Last year's Chesham winner Thair is a bit more exposed but is in cracking form at the moment and finished runner up to Clon Brulee at Doncaster the other week. The winner has since run well in a valuable listed event and Thair should run well again today off the same mark.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 21 September 2013

1.5pts win MASS RALLY 22/1 ( 4 firms and both exchanges) William Hill Ayr Gold Cup
1.5pts win LIGHTNING CLOUD 29/1 (Both exchanges) William Hill Ayr Gold Cup

Conditions have come right for last year's Silver Cup winner Mass Rally and he seem sure to run well from a berth that should at least not count against him. He's 10lb higher in the ratings than 12 months ago but has improved enough to be competitive off this new mark and is cracking value at over 20's.

Lightning Cloud as done almost all his racing at 7f and they weren't coming back to him quick enough when reverting to this trip at York last time. However, a combination of this trip and ground brings him right into this and he has a serious chance of giving his yard another winner in this event.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 13 September 2013

1.5pts win DOC HAY 10/1 (Generally available) Ladbrokes Portland H'cap
1.5pts win STEPS 11/1 (Betfair) Ladbrokes Portland H'cap

Doc Hay races off only a 3lb higher OR than when winning this last year. He shaped well last time, all indications suggest he's every bit as good as he was, and the ease in the ground will be ideal. Hailing from the fastest growing operation in the country, he has a big chance of completing the double.

The Roger Varian horses are flying and Steps looks sure to give a good account of himself here. His chance in this last year was compromised by racing in the wrong group but given that he doesn't encounter a similar scenario , everything seems ideal for him to get involved.

Lost - 3pts

 2pts win FOUNDRY 11/2 ( 5 firms and exchanges) Ladbrokes St Leger
1pt win TALENT 11/1 ( 4 firms and exchanges) Ladbrokes St Leger

Foundry ran a solid trial for this in what is traditionally the best St Leger trial. That form alone entitles him to run a big race, and that's not even taking into account the further improvement that he clearly has left in him and he can present Ryan Moore with another Classic for Ballydoyle on what on the face of it appears to be the second string.

Talent looked an up to standard Oaks winner on the day. back on an easier surface here, she could bounce right back to her best and appeals as the type who will relish this test. The Lark gave the form of the Epsom race a much needed boost  the other day and Talent makes plenty of appeal at her present odds.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 7 September 2013

1.5pts win HEERAAT 16/1 (Generally available) Betfred Sprint Cup
1.5pts win REX IMPERATOR 14/1 (Generally available) Betfred Sprint Cup

As seems typical of the G1 sprints nowadays, this is a wide open affair and cases can be made for most of these.

Heeraat finally seemed to have developed into the real deal when a convincing winner of the Hackwood. The runner up, Hamza, who re-opposes here is a useful yardstick and having been narrowly beaten by the future Nunthorpe winner on his previous outing, Heeraat has strong claims to taking this. His yard continues in good form and he goes on the ground.

After many disappointments, Heerat's new stable companion  Rex Imperator finally bagged a big one at Goodwood. He never quite got home over 7f at York last time but lines up here with a serious chance. The change of yard appears to have benefited him and the likelihood is that he is still improving.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 31 August 2013

3pts win TRADE COMMISSIONER 9/1 (Generally available)  Betfred TV & Levy Board H'cap

A few in this field ran in the Haydock handicap won by Robin Hood's Bay, with Danchai and Labarinto running too bad to be true. It's a guess who'll come out best of the five this time and none may be good enough to beat Trade Commissioner anyway, who is capable of defying topweight here. Gosden's gelding ran a cracker to be seventh on his seasonal reappearance in the Hunt Cup. He failed to build on that next time at Pontefract, then followed up with a good second to a very useful performer in a small field conditions event at Newmarket. He's now back to a venue where he has won on both appearances, is in an ideal scenario where he'll be able to settle in mid-div and quicken up to run down the leaders, and is from a yard that continues in great form.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 23 August 2013

2pts win TIGER CLIFF  7/1 (Generally available) Betfred Ebor
1pt  win TROPICAL BEAT 14.5/1 (Betfair) Betfred Ebor

With only six races under his belt, Tiger Cliff remains open to any amount of improvement and the 4lb hike in the ratings from Ascot should not be a worry. He was stepped up to 2m 4f there and acquitted himself really well producing a performance at least on par with anything previous. However, as he's progressing all the time that may just be incidental and it's not hard to feel that this sort of trip may be his optimum. The ground will not hinder and all in all his chance is stonewall solid.

Tropical Beat ran a cracker on his first run for his new yard last time. The winner of that event was just caught on the line here earlier in the week and Tropical Beat, whose yard is absolutely flying at the moment, will be capable of producing his optimum on this easy ground and is a big danger to all.

T Beat NR,  Tiger Cliff won ( 5.9/1 inc deductions for NR's)  + 11.8pts

Thursday, 22 August 2013

3pts win ROBIN HOODS BAY 13/2 ( 5 firms) Sky Bet  Strensall Stakes

Though five years old. Robin Hoods Bay is still unexposed on turf and  his performance when surprising in a valuable Haydock handicap last time was a real eye opener. There appeared no fluke whatsoever about that performance and he looks capable of fending off challengers from some of the more fashionable yards as that form alone is as good as anything on offer here.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win LADIES ARE FOREVER 47/1 (Betfair) Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes
1.5pts win YORK GLORY 33/1 (Betfair) Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes

There have been some surprises in this event down the years and this renewal looks absolutely wide open and there are few that you could confidently put a line through.

Locally trained Ladies Are Forever has never been in better heart. She won a G3 here in July and followed up with a cracking run at Goodwood after twice being denied a clear run. She had previously given the impression that a fast five was too sharp for her but with luck in running she would have been right in the mix that day. She could be one of these older mares that suddenly start to climb the ladder when you think they've reached their ceiling and a big run is on the cards.

York Glory looked worth a tilt at this event when winning the Wokingham in the style of a high class animal. Horses with his sort of profile do sometimes win this sort of event and as his Stewards Cup run can be discarded, there are realistic possibilities that he'll run really well at big odds. Certainly not to be underestimated.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 21 August 2013

2pts win QUEENSBERRY RULES 8/1 (Generally available) Clipper Logistics H'cap
1pt win SANDAGIYR 14/1 (at least 3 firms and exchanges) Clipper Logistics H'cap

Queensberry Rules catches the eye here and if the last run can be forgiven - he has a cracking chance. Previous to that he had run a blinder in the Britannia, finishing ahead of Wentworth. He looked up to plenty of improvement, is in the right sort of yard for this type of event, and one that does particularly well at this venue.

Sandagiyr went very close in the big mile handicap at Goodwood. He has done most of his racing abroad and was still relatively unexposed coming into that race. A repeat of that sort of form would see him going close here.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 20 August 2013

2pts win CAP O'RUSHES 11/2 (Generally available) Neptune Investment Great Voltigeur
1pt win NICHOLS CANYON 13.5/1 (Betfair) Neptune Investment Great Voltigeur

The Telescope hype was lowered somewhat last time and now that we know he is no world beater, albeit very useful, he is worth taking on.

Unlike the other Godolphin runner Secret Number, Cap O'Rushes may have appeared to have had the run of the race in the Gordon but in all honesty you would only be confident that the runner up would turn the tables - if he had run here. Cap O'Rushes is overall progressive, looks very much the type to be involved in the St Leger, and is sure to go close here.

John Gosden has won three of the last six renewals of this and Nichols Canyon's chance must be respected. Things went wrong for him in the Queens Vase and the fact that he ran in that event should not be an indication that he lacks the pace for this. It's very likely he'll outrun his odds.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 17 August 2013

2pts win AIKEN 4/1 (Generally available) Betfred Geoffrey Freer Stakes
1pt win RED CADEAUX 11/1 ( 4 firms and both exchanges)  Betfred Geoffrey Freer Stakes

Aiken is 1,1,4,2 at this venue and has few miles on the clock for one of his age. He hasen't seen a racecourse since running a blinder when runner up to Rites Of Passage, just failing to last the trip, here last October but that is not an issue for concern. His stable is flying at the moment and he'll be fully ready to produce his optimum here.

This is the first time in nine runs that Red Cadeaux has run in anything less the G1 company. A successful globetrotter , there is no reason whatsoever why he shouldn't appreciate this ease in grade and run a big race.
 Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 10 August 2013

3pts win LABARINTO 7.4/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  Better Prices on Goals H'cap

Labarinto does not have many miles on the clock for one of his age and he returned to his best when third in a similarly competitive handicap to this at Goodwood last time. Versatile regarding ground conditions, there is no reason why he should not repeat that level of performance and go close to winning this. Being picky, you could point out that his best performances have been on right hand tracks but that is most probably just coincidental and if it was the case then there would have been no shortage of suitable targets at right hand venues.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 2 August 2013

3pts win ENROL 8/1 (Generally available) Robin's Farm Racing Stewards Sprint

If Enrol is to start climbing the ladder up to Group company like many of the the older Cheverley Park Stud owned and bred fillies and mare have done in the past, then it'll be over sprint distances and her run in the Buckingham Palace is worth forgetting. She had previously run a lifetime best when just failing to overhaul Nocturn at Newmarket; the latter a much better horse than his run in the Wokingham suggests. The form of the Newmarket race was given a much needed boost when Whozthecat won a valuable Curragh event the other week and Enrol has the class to defy top weight here.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win YORK GLORY 11/1 (Betfair) Robin's Farm Racing Stewards Cup
1pt win PABUSAR 45/1 (Betfair) Robin's Farm Racing Stewards Cup

York Glory took the Wokingham in cracking style and can add his name to the exclusive list of horses that have done the Wokingham-Steward's Cup double. He's been raised 9lb to 109 but is clearly now a Group class animal and this quicker track shouldn't inconvenience him having in his previous run ran what was then a lifetime best over a furlong less at York. Spencer is excellent on this type of horse in this type of race and granted the gaps come at the right time, the Ascot-Goodwood double is very much on.

Now a five year old. Pabusar has only won one race - a maiden here on his second start and is on a losing run of 25. However, he has, and still does give the impression that a valuable handicap could be in him somewhere at sometime. now with Jamie Osborne, he has shown this season that all the ability is still there and is worth a small speculative wager.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 1 August 2013

2pts win STIRRING BALLAD 8.2/1 (Betfair) Betfred Mile
1pt win SANDAGIYR 33/1 ( 3 firms and both exchanges) Betfred Mile

A winner on this course last season, Stirring Ballad began the season appealing as one who could bag one of these marquee handicaps. He looked to have been targeted at the Hunt Cup but nothing fell right for him at all that day and it's a run that can be forgotten. He now has his second opportunity to take one of these events and it's probably significant that they've waited for this rather than seek immediate compensation after Ascot.

Sandagiyir also last ran in the Hunt Cup, running reasonable well when too not getting the rub of the green. Although five years old, it's still difficult to put a gauge on him. He spent his early career with Royer-Dupre then done most of his racing at Meydan for his new connections, and has had only three runs in this country. If there is to be a surprise he is one of the candidates that could cause it.

S Ballad NR,  Sandagiyr Lost   - 1pt

Wednesday, 31 July 2013

3pts win ALTANO 15/2 ( Hills, betfair and Betdaq)  Artemis Goodwood Cup

Altano has strong claims of adding to his yard's King George success last weekend. He's now seven and been around for a while but is arguably the best he's ever been at the moment and ran a cracker in the Ascot Gold Cup when given a lot to do. That was not the best renewals of that event but there is nothing overbearing in this field and his chance is hard to ignore.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 30 July 2013

1.5pts win BROCKWELL 14/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) UBS Goodwood Stakes
1.5pts win ITALIAN RIVIERA 14/1 ( P Power and Ladbrokes) UBS Goodwood Stakes

Brockwell deserves the 2lb hike in the ratings for his excellent run in the Pitman's Derby last time. He gives the impression that he'll stay forever and is a very interesting proposition stepped up to this extreme trip. The give underfoot is ideal for him and it'll be disappointing if he fails to figure here.

The Prescott yard hasen't been in such hot form for many a year as the past week or so. It's well documented that Italian Riveriera is a cumbersome sort who will ideally be suited by a flat galloping track but it may be best to just chance that here.He looked rapidly on the upgrade two outings ago and everything went wrong last time - though admittedly he contributed to some of it. He is a long way off his ceiling and must be included in calculations.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 29 July 2013

2pts win SILVER LIME 7/1 (P Power and Exchanges) Bet 365 Summer Stakes
1pt win MONTASER 14/1 (Ladbrokes) Bet 365 Summer Stakes

Roger Charlton's horses are running out of their skin at the moment and Silver Lime, a course winner on this tricky circuit last season, has a first rate chance here. He arguably produced a lifetime best when beating Carvan Rolls On at Ascot last time, loves fast ground, is progressing enough to defy his rise in the ratings, and has the services of Ryan Moore.

Jamie Spencer is 2 from 3 on Montaser and  the pair team up with claims to this prize. He likewise excels on fast ground, has won half of his last six races, is definitely still open to further improvement, and should give a very good account of himself.

Montaser NR , S Lime Lost - 2pts

Saturday, 27 July 2013

3pts win NOVELLIST 11/2 ( Betfair and Betdaq) King George V1 Queen Elizabeth Diamond Stakes

Not the most mouthwatering renewal. While Cirrus De Aigles will have come on from his debut run he is seven now and is likely to have already peaked. If the forecast thunderstorms from 1pm onwards materialise, then that would suit him ideally but  he doesn't appeal at the odds on offer.

Of the others, Trading Leather's Irish Derby form looks suspect , Hanagan's gone to York rather than ride Ektihaam, and while the likeable Hillstar's chance must be taken seriously, he is from such a poor crop of middle distance three year olds.

This brings the attention to Novellist, who looked a genuine G1 horse when winning the Grand Prix De Saint Cloud  last time and one who is still improving and it's far from sure that Cirrus De Aigles will reverse the form. Novellist acts on good but would also ideally welcome the rain and appeals as the likely winner of today's event.

Won + 16pts

Saturday, 13 July 2013

1.5pts win CLUN BRULEE 9/1 ( Hills and both exchanges) John Smith's Cup
1.5pts win NICEOFYOUTOTELLME 8.8/1 (Betfair) John Smith's Cup

One of the most enjoyable handicaps in the calender and plenty of options as always. Clun Brulee and Niceofyoutotelme arrive here on a roll and both appear to have further improvement left in them .

This is indeed more competitive than the Zetland Gold Cup that Clon Brulee won last time but he is probably still some way off his career ceiling and can step up again here.  He's an uncomplicated type , has conditions that should prove ideal for him to produce his optimum, and is in the hands of one of the best exponents of older handicappers and who has won this recently.

Raph Becket is also competent with progressive handicappers and Niceofyoutotellme looked a likely type for this event when winning a Newmarket handicap last month. The Gosden horse that finished second that day, along with the Charlie Hills horse that was fourth, have both won since, and needless to say it's impossible to discard Niceofyoutotellme's chance today.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 6 July 2013

 2pts win HIGHLAND CASTLE 11/1 ( Generally available) Bet 365 Old Newton Cup  1pt win COMMUNICATOR 33/1 (Betfair) Bet 365 Old Newton Cup

  As always a cracking event to get stuck into and the Duke of Edinburgh looks a key race here with many of that field re-opposing, including the winner Opinion. He's the one to beat but is priced up accordingly and at the odds available Highland Castle is an attractive alternative. Nothing much went right for him at Ascot but he had previously won a competitive Newmarket Handicap and though five years old has only eleven outings under his belt and is open to further improvement.

Communicator was hot towards the end of last season and finished runner up in the November handicap. He reappeared  at Chester in the Ormonde then finished unsighted in the Duke of Edinburgh. His rating is now down to the same that he ran in the November Handicap off and if he returns to form, which he will at some point soon, then he'll run very well at a big price.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win PASTORIUS 11/1 (Ladbrokes and both exchanges) Coral Eclipse

Not the best of renewals - even with Declaration of War now in the field and Pastorius has serious claims to take this for Germany. This colt won their Derby at Hamburg last July beating recent Grand Prix De Saint Cloud winner Novelist. He wasen't beaten far by the King George and former Arc winner Danedream at Baden Baden, was not disgraced behind Frankel at Ascot, and returned to action in April to win the Prx Ganay. His run in Singapore can be overlooked and he lines up here with nothing to be too scared of.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 29 June 2013

 2pts win ARCH VILLAIN 15.5/1 (Betfair) John Smith's Northumberland Plate  1pt win NOBLE ALAN  27/1 (Betfair)John Smith's Northumberland

Absolutely wide open but hard to resist getting involved and the progressive Arch Villain has as good as claim as most. Two miles with some give seems ideal for him, he's on a roll at the moment, knows how to get his head infront, and is from a yard that has won this event in the past. Admittedly he'll have to improve again to keep ahead of the handicapper but his type are preferred over something on the downgrade that has been dropped considerably by the assessor.

Nicky Richard's Noble Alan , despite being a ten year old, is still unexposed on the level and is not without a chance. A hurdler/chaser with a touch of quality about him he ran a cracker at Ascot last time and the yard is not known for overfacing it's animals.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 21 June 2013

2pts win DUKE OF FIRENZE 8/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Wokingham
1pt win YORK GLORY 16/1 (Ladbrokes and Betdaq) Wokingham

Duke of Firenze stormed through in impressive fashion to win the Dash at Epsom, giving the impression that his career may be about to climb up onto another tier. He moves from a very sharp five furlongs up to six here but that should not be a hindrance as his best run last season was over six at Newmarket. It is not hard to visualise  him lining up in a Group 1 later in the season and he must be supported to defy a 5lb penalty here.

Duke of Firenze had previously not got the rub of the green in the handicap at York won by Kingsgates Choice. That form has also received a boost by the winner following up in another valuable sprint which means York Glory, runner up in the York race, merits serious consideration here. This is the type of animal that Kevin Ryan does best with and the stable has already had a winner at the meeting.

York Glory won + 14pts

2pts win CARAVAN ROLLS ON 8/1 (Generally available) Duke of Edinburgh
1pt win LAHAAG 10/1 (Generally available) Duke of Edinburgh

Although he is stepping down in trip, Caravan Rolls On does not lack pace as demonstrated when he showed a good turn of foot to win over this course and distance last September. He shaped really well on his seasonal debut at Newmarket and it seems pretty clear that this event has been targeted for him before the season began.

John Gosden's Lahaag has solid credentials for this. Very much the type the trainer gets the best out of, he ran a cracker on his seasonal debut when just held off by First Mohican in a competitive York handicap. He tries twelve furlongs for the first time, and connections must be pretty sure that it will be be to his advantage as there are no shortage of valuable ten furlong handicaps around.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win NO HERETIC 8/1 (Betfair) Queen Alexandra
1.5pts win COURTESY CALL 9.5/1 (Betfair) Queen Alexandra

A fascinating if not a little bit of a gimmicky event and No Heretic is a mighty interesting contender here. As shown at Doncaster last September, he stays two miles - though his two runs this season have been over shorter where has has run two career bests, both times when runner up in valuable Newmarket handicaps. This is all a bit of an unknown but he has a touch of quality about him, is open to further improvement, and has as strong a claim as anything else here,

Courtesy Call left Mark Johnston's yard to go jumping and was last seen when winning a hurdle event at the beginning of last month. Nicky Henderson does well in these staying races on the level and this gelding whose best piece of form on the level was when second in a valuable Cesarewitch trial, could return to an improved performer here and it's hard to dismiss him from calculations.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win  MUTASHADED 9/1 (Hills) King Edward V11 Stakes
1.5pts win HILLSTAR  9/1 (Ladbrokes and both exchanges)King Edward V11 Stakes

Though it looked a decent renewal of the Derby going into it, the aftermatch left a feeling that it was pretty ordinary and Battle of Marengo is worth taking on here.

It's all guesswork with Mutashaded. He looked better than a handicapper when winning a Sandown handicap last time but there is no solid substance to back that up - his OR is still only 88. However, the option was open to connections to run up his handicap mark and it is significant that he is pitted straight into a Group 2.

The Stoute horses are running well at the moment and Hillstar, runner up in two Newmarket Spring handicaps, is interesting stepped up to this trip for the first time. His half sister Crystal Capella improved over two stone throughout her three year old year and there is still plenty of time for Hillstar to develop into a smart performer.

Hillstar won + 12pts

3pts win SKY LANTERN 5/1 (Generally available) Coronation Stakes

This likeable filly won the 1,000 Guineans fair and square on the day and there is no reason for her to be longer than the runner up Just The Judge, who did not need to improve to win at the Curragh.  There is no reason for Sky Lantern to have gone backwards in the meantime and she is the one to beat in a race normally won by already proven Group 1 winners.

Won + 15pts

3pts win ROYAL SKIES 11/1 (Generally available) Queens Vase

It is impossible to ignore the Mark Johnston runners given his record in this event and at this moment in time the exchanges seem to indicate that this colt is more fancied than Mister Impatience. Royal Skies has had quite a lot of racing for a runner in this event and although he beat only one other runner last time, he had previously looked as though he was rapidly on the upgrade when storming away with a Pontefract handicap. Stepped up in trip today, further improvement is forthcoming and he's sure to run well.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ENROL  7/1 (Corals, Betfred and both exchanges) Buckingham Palace Stakes

It's been profitable down the years to follow fillies kept in training after three who are in the hands of the Cheverley Park Stud operation. Most progress notably from handicappers to genuine Group performers and Enrol's present mark of 93 is certain to be some way off her eventual ceiling. Stepped back up in trip, racing against the rails, she is sure to give a very good account of herself in a very tricky affair.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 19 June 2013

3pts win COULSTY 7/1 ( Betfair and Betdaq) Norfolk Stakes

This is a really interesting renewal of this event and cases can be made for many of the runners. All in all though, Coulsty catches the eye at the odds available and he can get Richard Hannon off the mark for the meeting. He was very impressive when winning his only outing at Leicester and the visual impression that he was very smart has since been backed up with the form of the event starting to work out well. It is difficult to overlook him here.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win TOP TRIP 20/1 ( 3 firms) Ascot Gold Cup
1.5pts win EARL OF TINSDALL 16/1 ( Generally available)) Ascot Gold Cup

Top Trip was a very useful three year old, running well in both the French Derby and Grand Prix De Paris, after winning a hotly contested Group 2 event. He has gone down the stayers path this year and ran a blinder when just touched off in the Yorkshire Cup. He steps further up in trip here and if that proves to be to his advantage he'll go close at a big price.

Earl of Tinsdall was third behind his stable companion Altano at Hoppegarten last time after making a sudden dash for home three furlongs out. They re-oppose here and  Earl of Tinsdall, who started a warm favorite that day, has the overall better form and can turn the form around here.He races prominently and should outrun his odds and give a very good account of himself. Not to be underestimated.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win EXCELLENT RESULT 15.5/1 (Betfair) King George V Stakes
1.5pts win SPACE SHIP  16/1 (Generally available) King George V Stakes

Excellent Result destroyed his field when winning a Sandown maiden last time. The runner up  had some half decent form in the bag and has since gone on and finished second in a Newmarket handicap. Godolphin do better than most with there mid season three year old maiden winners and this colt could still be anything and is one to have on your side here.

After losing his maiden tag at the Chester May meeting, Space Ship never got the rub of the green in an Epsom handicap last time and he is worth another chance as he gave the impression at Chester was that there was plenty of further progression left in him.

 Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 18 June 2013

2pts win STIRRING BALLAD 10/1 (Betfair) Royal Hunt Cup
1pt win TRADE COMMISSIONER 15.5/1 (Betfair) Royal Hunt Cup

Stirring Ballad looks a very feasible winner of this. She progressed throughout last Summer reeling off four wins in a row and has returned to the course looking as good as ever and promising to win one of these valuable handicaps. She had a nice prep for this last time behind Burke's Rock at Goodwood and is the one to beat here.

Trade Commissioner looked potentially pretty smart during the middle of last season and though he found the step up to Group company beyond him last Autumn, he is lightly raced for one of his age and promises to make  an even better five year old. Lack of a run will not hinder - he'll be spot on for this marquee fixture and it's worth noting that Gosden won the Eclipse first time out with the same owners Nathaniel in 2011.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win RIZEENA 13/2 ( 3 firms and Exchanges) Queen Mary Stakes

Rizeena looks the best two year old filly seen out so fat this season and can confirm it by winning this. The three animals that followed her home in the National Stakes last time all look very useful sorts themselves and this, backed up by visual impression, give her stonewall solid credentials here.

Won  +19.5pts

Monday, 17 June 2013

3pts win MAGICIAN 2.6/1 (Betfair) St James Palace Stakes

There's no knowing what effect the dramatic Derby experience will have on Dawn Approach, appearing again very quickly in a completely different scenario and the Irish 2,000 Gns victor Magician is much preferred here.  He looked real champion miler material that day and is fairly priced considering this looks a match.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win CHAMPIONSHIP 6/1 ( Hills and Betfair)) Coventry Stakes

This colt looked the real deal to the eye when winning a Newbury maiden on his only start and is clearly much better than he is able to be rated in pounds and lengths. That feeling is endorsed by Richard Hughes being aboard here rather than side with the impressive Woodcote winner Thunder Strike. Despite the strong Ballydoyle challenge Championship is the one to beat here and is sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MUBARAZA 11/1 ( 3 firms and Betfair)) Ascot Stakes
1pt win SURAJ  20/1 (Betfair) Ascot Stakes

Mubaraza looks a real gritty sort as demonstrated by the second of his two Newmarket wins last season, when strongly supported. He appealed as one who would improve further over trips in excess of two miles and that impression was repeated when he finished third behind Tiger Cliff last time. He is a mighty interesting contender here.

Suraj never got into the Chester Cup on his seasonal debut. He is relatively lightly raced and looks very much the type to make notable improvement as a four year old and his present odds catch the eye.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 15 June 2013

2pts win RIVELLINO 10/1 (Generally available) Macmillan Charity Sprint Trophy
1pt win CHILWORTH ICON 18/1 (Betfair) Macmillan Charity Sprint Trophy

The competitive Newmarket handicap won by Hasopopp has a significant role to play in this. Rivellino went in to that race looking a progressive sort who would play a big role in that event but as can be typical of this sort of event, he never got the gaps and the run can be safely ignored. His yard remains in very good form and he is worth another chance today.

Chilworth Icon ran a fine race to be third in that event. Although more exposed than most, he showed that the mark the handicapper allotted to him allowed him to be competitive and upped just 1lb in the ratings for that run, he is a serious players here and catches the eye from the value angle.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 1 June 2013

1.5pts win RULER OF THE WORLD 9/1 (Generally available) Investec Derby
1.5pts win CHOPIN  12/1 (Generally available) Investec Derby

This is all about Dawn Approach, who looked a cracking good 2,000 GNS winner, and clearly the winner here if just as effective over this trip. It is however going in to the unknown and with a host of interesting rivals in what looks a decent renewal, he could be worth taking on at his price.

On the bare form Ruler Of The World beat a horse in the Chester Vase who was beaten just as far in a handicap on his next outing. That hardly inspires confidence but the runner up is a typical in and out Mark Johnston performer and measuring Ruler Of The World by the third Havana Beat, and the other runner, a promising Gosden colt, make the form look alot better. Added to this is the overall impression he created that day was very favourable and he looks sure to give a good account of himself.

Danedream reminded us in the past few years not to underestimate the quality of the German horses and the chance of Chopin should be taken very seriously. He looks a very exciting prospect and destroyed a good field at Krefeld last time, the runner up having previously finished second in the German 2,000 Gns. He is not 100% certain to stay on pedigree but his stamina is worth chancing at the price.

Ruler of the World won + 12pts

Saturday, 25 May 2013

1.5pts win BOSUN BREEZE 16/1 (P  Power & Chandler) 32 Red.Com Sprint
1.5pts win BOGART  25/1 (Ladbrokes) 32 Red.Com Sprint

With increased temperatures forecast in the afternoon it is hard to guage how much the ground will dry out which makes this card pretty difficult at the moment.

In this race Jamaican Bolt will need the ground to remain on the easy side. Duke of Firenze is obviously mighty interesting but there are others that catch the eye at double figs such as Bosun Breeze who was much improved last season, rattling off a sequence of four from five around this time. He returned to form at Thirsk last time and looks set to run well.

Bogart does not fit the ideal profile for this having never races in a handicap before and being tried for most of his career in Group races. However, he has acquitted himself well in many of them and it would be no surprise if he was up to winning off a 99 rating.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 18 May 2013

2pts win RIVELLINO 6.4/1 (Betfair) Coral Sprint Trophy
1pt win VICTRIX LUDORUM 16/1 (Generally available) Coral Sprint Trophy

On the back of the stable's Dante victory, Rivellino can pick up another nice prize for the Burke yard. After shaping well when not getting the rub of the green at Doncaster behind yesterday's York winner Moviesta, Rivellino won decisively on the AW last time and appeals very much as the type who will bag a valuable sprint handicap. He looks the best option here rather than trying to work out who will come out best from the re-match the first six home in Secretinthepark's Newmarket race - which may have been overated.

Of those in double figures, Victrix Ludorum catches the eye having shaped well when probably needing the run on his seasonal debut in a race won by yesterday's impressive winner Zanetto. He won a valuable sales race last October on an easy surface but acts just as well on faster ground. He should not be too far away.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win FARHH  5/1 (Generally available)JLT Lockinge Stakes
1pt win FENCING JLT 11/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Lockinge Stakes

The Bin Suroor yard may just be about to hit form and if Farhh, who was won first time out in all his three seasons of racing , is in top shape then he'll go very close here. Admitedly, he is reported to have had a setback but has recovered similarly once before to make a winning return.

Fencing disappointed last season but reappeared at Ascot having been gelded and created a really good visual impression to win in style. On the bare form he still has something to find but he is clearly now an improved individual who looks certain to be winning more races.

Farhh Won ( 9/2 deduction for NR) + 8pts

Thursday, 16 May 2013

2pts win TOP TRIP  11/2 ( 4 firms and Betfair) Quipco Yorkshire Cup
1pt win SIR GRAHAM WADE 15/2 ( 2 firms and Betfair) Quipco Yorkshire Cup

Top Trip finished close behind today's Middleton winner when staying on over an inadequate trip in the Prix D' Harcourt and Francouis Doumen's colt looks an interesting challenger here. He has a touch of class and ran good races in both the Prix du Jockey Club and Grand Prix De Paris last season, shaping as though this sort of trip would bring out the best in him. Although he ran poorly when stepped up to 1m 7f, ground conditions were very testing that day and he may have also been over the top on what was his final race of the season.

Sir Graham Wade progressed through the handicap ranks last year and is a big player here after running well in the Sagaro last time. He is a genuine sort who knows how to get his head infront, and this sort of trip on an easyish surface looks ideal for him.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 11 May 2013

3pts win DEEPSAND 13.5/1 (Betfair) Pertempts Handicap Hdle

Typical modern day renewal of this event, lacking in the quality of former days but still very wide open. The area has been hit by any rainfall so anything needing genuinely quick ground might have their chances scuppered.

Deepsand will not mind a bit of ease in the surface. The only four year old in this field, he looked one who would win plenty more races when successful in good style at Perth last time. That was only his fifth outing over timber and the ease of that success allied to the possibility that he could be improving fast, makes him worth a bet to defy the 12lb rise in the ratings.

Lost - 3pts

1.5ptswin ARNOLD LANE 45/1 (Betfair) Betfred Victoria Cup
1.5pts win REBELLIOUS GUEST 45/1(Betfair) Betfred Victoria Cup

Could be worth a couple of speculative small punts on a couple of horses that don't fit the profile of your typical Victoria Cup winner but can have cases made out for them.

Arnold Lane races off a career high rating of 107 but that does not flatter him. During the second part of last season he ran consistently well off marks in the late 90's in valuable handicaps at the big southern venues, including here. After three races at Meydan, he shaped well in a G3 at the Curragh, then won a conditions race at Thirsk, then a G3 at Munich ten days ago. Mick Channon has done well in the past with hardy, older horses and Arnold Lane looks to have improved enough to give a good account of himself off todays mark.

There is not enough off a gap between them on the exchanges at the moment to indicate that Rebellious Guest is a definite second string to his stable companion Excellent Guest. Judging by the owners record in these sort of races at this venue in the past, then there is every reason to believe that both will be in reasonable shape and doing their best. Rebellious Guest has been tried very highly during his lightly raced career so far and it's hard to gauge the true level of his ability. It's mainly subjective thinking but he's an interesting runner here.

A.Lane NR, R Guest Lost  - 1.5pts

Wednesday, 8 May 2013

3pts win TOMINATOR 11/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Stan James Chester Cup

This gelding looks the ideal type here. A hardy sort, proven in the big field staying handicaps as displayed when winning the 2011 Pitmans Derby and when running a blinder in last Autumn's Cesarewitch off just a 2lb lower rating than today, Tominator's run in this race can be overlooked. He finished tailed off in quite desperate ground that day but is very much suited by this circuit having run some fine races here including when winning a listed handicap last September. His draw could be better but given that he is able settle in a position not too far out , it should not count against him too much. Overall, at the odds available he looks a far more attractive proposition than the front two in the market, and it will be disappointing if his new yard don't get an optimum performance from him today.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 5 May 2013

3 pts win LADYSHIP 6.6/1 (Betfair) Timeform Harbour Watch H'cap

Michael Stoute's yard has suddenly come alive in the last few days which augurs well for the chances of Ladyship today. It often pays to keep on the right side of the horses in the Cheverley Park ownership that are kept in training after three, and Ladyship can be expected to show significant improvement this year, similarly to her dam, Peeress who incidentally won first time out as a four and five year old. It's all subjective at the moment but if there is something in this field that goes on to make an impact at G2 level or higher, then it's very likely to be her.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SKY LANTERN 10/1 (Generally available) Quipco 1,000 GNS
1pt win DIAMINDA 66/1 ( 3 firms including Ladbrokes) Quipco 1,000 GNS

This is a very wide open renewal and it's possible to make out some sort of case for the majority of these.

Hot Snap looked decent in the Nell Gwynn but although on the face of it she should be open to more improvement than most, she was probably straighter in condition than some of those behind her that day and is priced up plenty short enough. The runner up Sky Lantern is more exposed but ran as though the race would bring her on that day. She put herself in the picture for this with an authoritative display in the Moyglare last September, appears to have trained on well, and should be a player today.

Winning Express finished one place behind Sky Lantern in the Nell Gwynn. She won the Dick Poole last year and could run well but at the odds, the fourth home in the Salisbury event, Diaminda, is worth a speculative small bet. She looked a shade unlucky that day, could still be anything, and if there is a shock on the cards then she is a candidate to produce it.

Sky Lantern Won  + 19pts

Saturday, 4 May 2013

2pts win BASSETERRE  6/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)Makfi Suffolk Stakes
1pt win WHISPERING WARRIOR  7.6/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)Makfi Suffolk Stakes

With the Haggas horses flying, Danchai is the first that catches the eye here but he may not want the ground so fast and Basseterre is preferred. Charles Hills  yard is in good form itself at the moment and Basseterre should strip down in good condition today. He has a steadily progressive profile and appeals as one who will pay to follow blindly in handicaps this year.

Whispering Warrior has been in excellent form on the AW over the winter and looks far from reaching his ceiling just yet. If he can transfer that form back to the turf then he'll be a very interesting proposition here. The yard had a winner with it's only runner yesterday and there is very reason to suggest that Whispering Warrior will not be needing this run.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win PEARL SECRET  11/2 (Generally available)Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes
1pt win BUNGLEINTHEJUNGLE 16/1 (Generally available) Pearl Bloodstock Palace House Stakes

Pearl Secret remains an exciting prospect who could possibly go to the top in this sphere over the coming months. He went into the Nunthorpe unbeaten but never got the run of the race on a course that it is very hard to play catch up on. This is the first time he's been on the racecourse since and he is undoubtedly the most interesting runner in this field.

Three year olds have a fair record in this event and Bungleinthejungle catches the eye at double figure odds. He ran well on his seasonal debut but failed to get home over a furlong further than today. He has some solid form in the book, including a defeat of Garswood in the Cornwalis and should give a very good account of himself today.

Pearl Secret NR , B'Jungle  Lost   - 1pt

3pts win HIGH OCTANE 5/1 ( 4 firms including Lads and Coral) Quatar Racing Newmarket Stakes

This is a decent little race and with enough live dangers, Windhoek is worth taking on at around the evens mark. Unsinkable, who ran a blinder behind Van Der Neer last time, is very weak on the exchanges, and the chances of High Octane look better the more you look at this race. He looked to be crying out for this trip when 3rd behind an Irish 2,000 Gns hope at Leopardstown last time and connections have opted for this likely easier event than the Derrinstown next weekend.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 27 April 2013

2pts win QUENTIN COLLONGES 15.5/1 (Betfair) Bet 365 Gold Cup
1pt win MICHELLE LE BON  35/1 (Betfair) Bet 365 Gold Cup

This race takes nowhere near as winning as it use to and if Quentin Collonges is in the sort of form as when he won the Grimthorpe , then he is sure to be thereabouts. He is a real Spring horse suited by good ground and the 8lb rise in his rating for the Doncaster performance is far less important than holding his form at this time of the season.

Michelle Le Bon is very easy to back on the exchanges at the moment but has a chance off topweight if the blinkers work for the second time. He is a fragile sort who only has seven races under his belt over fences, but has plenty of raw ability and similar tactics to last time could see him gradually working his way into this.

Quentin Collonges Won  + 29pts

Saturday, 20 April 2013

3pts win DRUMSHAMBO  14/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Aracadia Future Champion Novices Chase

Drumshambo would be in the region of 10lb better off with three of today's rivals if this was a handicap. However, at a time of the season when many have gone over the top, such issues only matter if they run to something near their optimum, and the odds more than compensate for the task Drumshambo faces. He has been in great heart this spring and ran a blinder in the Grand Annual last time and has been showing no signs of going off the boil. The fact that most of his recent form is in soft is just incidental - he'll not be hindered by today's surface and should give a good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win LIVELY BARON 25/1 ( 4 firms including Hills and Corals) Coral Scottish Grand National
1.5pts TOUR DES CHAMPS 39/1 (Betfair) Coral Scottish Grand National

There are quite a few lively outsiders here in an event that has had it's fair share of turn ups down the years.

The McCain horses are running really well at the moment and Lively Baron has genuine claims here. He is a little quirky but stays these sort of trips, has been running very well lately and will not be affected adversely by the drying ground.

Tour Des Champs has been below form on his last two outings but his trainer has a record second to none of winning valuable staying chases with novices and he will not be lining up here if he was not considered to have any chance of winning this. The yard had a couple of winners at Cheltenham this week and an improved performance can be expected of Tour Des Champs today.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 5 April 2013

3pts win EDUARD  5.8/1 (Betfair) John Smith's Mersey Novices Hdle

Nicky Richards yard is thin on the ground  for quality horses at the moment but when he does have one under his guidance this meeting is always the main target; not Cheltenham. Eduard is a quality animal who travels particularly well in his races and this track looks absolutely ideal for him. He was turned over at Kelso after looking to have the race sewn up but this event, though much harder to win on paper, should suit him better tactically and he is certain to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win SMAD PLACE 6.2/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) John Smith's Liverpool Hdle
1.5pts win AFRICAN GOLD 10/1 ( Hills and Betfair) John Smith's Liverpool Hdle

With the Alan King horses  running really well it would be no surprise if Smad Place reversed the form of the World Hurdle with the first and second. He hasn't much ground to make up and was travelling really well when unseating in this last year.

At Fishers Cross performance today highlighted the task African Gold was faced with at Cheltenham, where he acquitted himself really well after travelling as good as anything at one stage. Twiston-Davies has some smart novice hurdlers under his care at the moment and African Gold could be good enough to make an impact here.

Lost - 3pts

Already selected: JOIN TOGETHER John Smith's Grand National

1.5pts win TARTAK 14/1 (Generally available)  John Smith's Topham Chase
1.5pts win LAST TIME D'ALBAIN 19/1 (Betfair)  John Smith's Topham Chase

Tartak's run at Cheltenham showed there is still life in him yet despite now being in the region of two stone below what he was at his peak. For one of his ability he has been unfortunate not to have a better overall career record but does hold a first rate chance here and it's not hard to see him going really close.

Last Time D'Albain has been absent since finishing third behind Colbert Station in a valuable Leopardstown handicap in December. That was a career best performance, he is proven in the hustle and bustle of the big field scenario, and is worth taking aboard today.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ROAD TO RICHES 7/1 ( 2 firms and both exchanges) John Smith's Sefton Hdle

Enough live dangers to At Fisher's Cross here to make him worth taking on at the price and Road To Riches has clearly been put away for this. He's won both his races over hurdles in comfortable style and there is some substance to the form - the horse he beat at Punchestown has run Our Vinnie to inches. There is no knowing the true level of his ability but he is at the least very useful and his connections don't usually send over no hopers.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win MANYRIVERSTOCROSS 12/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  John Smiths Daily Mirror Punters Club Hdle
1.5pts win KHYBER KIM 18.5/1 (Betfair) John Smiths Daily Mirror Punters Club Hdle

Absent through injury for over two years, Manyriverstocross looked as good as ever on his second run back when third in the County last time. His yard has won this race recently and the horses are running well at the moment, as advertised by the winner here yesterday. He has as strong a claims as his stable companion and appeals as the likely winner of this.

Khyber Kim has also returned recently from a long absence through injury and though he hasen't won since winning the Aintree Hdle three years ago and will now be a level below that, his run at Wincanton behind Zarkander showed he still retains plenty of ability and a good run looks on the cards here.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 3 April 2013

3pts win ZARKANDER 5.8/1 (Betfair) Aintree Hurdle

Zarkander tries this trip for the first time since falling in this last year. He has long given the impression that this sort of trip will be his optimum , and likewise has given the impression that the application of blinkers will help as he sometimes hits a flat spot at crucial stages in races. He is the most appealing bet at the odds available.

Won + 16.5pts

3pts win CLOUDY LANE 14/1(Betfair) John Smith's Foxhunters Chase

Last year's winner has clearly been prepared for this event all season and is sure to be a much different proposition than when finishing down the field behind Cottage Oak at Haydock last time.He 's 13 years old now but there is every hope that he can return to the same level of form as last year and if that is the case then he'll go very close at double figure odds.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SILVER ROQUE 12/1 (Generally available) Matalan Red Rum H'cap Chase

This former Henrietta Knight trained gelding has improved over a stone since moving to his new yard at the start of the winter. He's 6lb higher in the ratings for his win last time but looks on a steady upward curve, has Timmy Murphy aboard for the first time, and  looks sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost -3pts

Monday, 1 April 2013

3pts win JOIN TOGETHER 19/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  John Smith's Grand National

With all the odds being clipped and anything with half a chance almost certain to start shorter on the day it's probable best getting stuck into the race now and also risking getting a few points more with the risk of a late withdrawal through injury rather than non runner no bet.

Join Together has a cracking chance of following up for last years winning jockey/trainer combination. Though his profile may lack the experience of most winners of this event, the nature of the race is changing and this resilient gelding has already shown his hand over these fences when narrowly beaten in the Becher Chase back in December. He ran as though he'd stay forever that day and though that was in testing ground, he'd previously gave the impression that a sounder surface suited him - thus he can be expected to run his race on almost the full range of surfaces. Another big plus is he races prominently and he appeals as one who will get into a nice comfortable rhythm around here. All in all, taking everything into consideration including his price, he looks the most attractive proposition in the field.

Lost  - 3pts

Saturday, 30 March 2013

3pts win CLOUDY TOO 12/1 (Betfair) Bet Victor Levy Board Chase

Tony Star and Pepite Rose were the first two to look at here and are both overlooked; the former being very weak on the exchanges and the latter short enough on the back of her fall. Of the others Cloudy Too catches the eye. He disposed of Ohio Gold in good style in February here, and can confirm the form on worse terms. That race was in testing conditions but Cloudy Too can produce on a better surface and has a serious chance of defying his weight despite the yard being a bit quiet recently.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 16 March 2013

3pts win CARRUTHERS 13.5/1 (Betfair)  Betfred Midlands Grand National

On the face of it this admirable character faces a daunting task. The mark he races off is his highest since after he won the Hennessey. Added to that he had a gruelling race last time and is 5lb higher in the ratings than that event. However, in such extreme conditions, as will be the case today, the ability to run to the optimum in them far outweights weights and measures. Two decent sorts followed him home last time followed by a quite promising unexposed sort. If in the same hear again he'll be a major force for this and it is futile trying to look for negatives in the fact that something may take him on from the front - at double figure odds not everything will fit cosily into the picture.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 15 March 2013

3pts win FAR WEST JCB 5/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Triumph Hdle

Although more confidence would have been gained had his Ascot victim River Maguire finished a bit closer in the Supreme Novices, that is not reason enough to take on Far West. He's  hard to fault, winning his four races in the UK, beating some decent juveniles in the process, and winning two of them around here

Lost - 3pts

2pts win IFANDBUTWHYNOT 10/1 (Generally available) Vincent O'Brien County Hdle
1pt win OLOFI  24/1(Betfair) Vincent O'Brien County Hdle

Lots of positives for Ifandbutwhynot here. Hailing from a shrewd yard, he travels well in his races, quickens, had won around here, is in top form and undoubtedly still improving.

Olofi has had a break since December. That will be to his advantage as he goes well fresh. He tend to run to his best at this venue and won the valuable handicap here in November. He can still be competitive off this higher mark.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win AFRICAN GOLD  5/1 (Generally available)Albert Bartlet Novices Hdle
1pt win OUR VINNIE 9/1 (5 firms) Albert Bartlet Novices Hdle

Close Touch's win in a valuable event at Sandown at the weekend gave a massive boost to African Gold's chance here. He disposed of that rival readily at Doncaster and the stable's horses have been in great form here so far this week.

Our Vinnie is an out and out stayer and his early season form with Rule the World looks much better after yesterday. He was no match for Pont Alexandra over a shorter trip last time and should give a good account of himself  today, back up to 3 mile.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SILVINIACO CONTI 4.9/1 (Betfair) Betfred GoldCup

Before he went chasing and early on in his chasing, this gelding never really appealed as one who would develop in a Gold Cup horse, no matter how talented. However, those early impressions must now be replaced by the Silviniaco Conti of now. He has been going from strength to strength this winter, beating every opponent he has faced, and impressing with his quick, economical jumping. He looks a match for any of these and is a confident choice to overcome concerns of distance and venue and take the steeplechasing crown.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SALSIFY 11/4 (Generally available)  CGA Foxhunters

Last year's winner is fairly priced at around the 11/4 mark, coming into the race if great fettle and with the same sort of animals to beat. He beat Chapoturgeon far and square last year and nothing has changed in order to expect the form to be reversed.

Won + 8.25pts

3pts win GEVREY CHAMBERTIN 6.2/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Martin Pipe Hdle

David Pipe has had a barren spell here so far but this promising individual looks capable of defying top weight. He is the only one in this field that could turn out to be something special and future events may show him to be extremely well in here - though that is all subjective at the moment !

Lost - 3pts

2pts win BENEFICIENT 11/1 (Betfair) Johnny Henderson Grand Annual
1pt win DRUMSHAMBO  28/1 (Betfair) Johnny Henderson Grand Annual

If turned out again under a penalty, then there is no doubting that Beneficient, if in the same sort of heart as yesterday, will win this. It's well worth asking the question at around the 11/1 mark.

Drumshambo has been in terrific form recently and off a 5lb higher mark than when chasing home the useful Molotof last time, he's worth a go, though the fact that he is easy to back at the moment is a bit of a concern.

Beneficient NR, Drumshambo Lost - 1pt

Wednesday, 13 March 2013

 2pts win CAPTAIN CONAN 6.8/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Jewson Novices Cgase
1pt win TEXAS JACK 10.5/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Jewson Novices Chase

Dynaste is worth taking on at his price. He ran his worst race of the season here last year and the drying ground brings others into it.

Captain Conan ran his best race over hurdles when chasing home Darlan at Aintree last season and this will be the best ground he's ran on over fences and he could improve on his already high level of form.

Texas Jack's recent form looks even better after today. He was just touched off by Boston Bob last time and beat Lord Windemere on his previous outing.Needless to say he's a big player here.

Lost - 3pts

 1.5pts win TOP OF THE RANGE 16.5/1 (Betfair) Pertemps Final
1.5pts win CAPTAIN SUNSHINE 21/1 (Betfair) Pertemps Final

Top of the Range improved for the step up in front last time, and more progression looks likely over an extra couple of furlongs again. Under a penalty here, he has as good as chance as most of these and catches the eye at the odds available.

Captain Sunshine has shown enough in his last two starts to make him worth consideration here. He is in good heart at present, has won around here, and could go very well at decent odds.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win CUE CARD 3.7/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Ryanair Chase

One of the most likeable individuals in training, this race is ideal for Cue Card. He's proven around here, is ultra reliable, in great heart and the trip is perfect. It goes without saying that he is certain to take all the beating.

Won  + 11pts

3pts win OSCAR WHISKEY 3.8/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Ladbrokes World Hdle

Oscar Whiskey probably compromised his chance last year from being ridden to beat Big Bucks. There is nothing to over-fear in this field here, and  on better ground her can turn recent form around with Reve De Sivola and is the one they all have to beat.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win ARABELLA BOY 4.9/1 (Betfair) Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase
1.5pts win OUTLAW PETE 6.6/1 ( Betfair) Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase

Relatively young for these events, Arabella Boy is a very likely sort to carve out a niche in these events and beat a similar field to these in the same sort of event at Punchestown last month.

Outlaw Pete won over this course and distance in December in a race where Arabella Boy unseated. He has all the right sort of credentials for this and is certain to give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 12 March 2013

2pts win RIVAL DESTRUVAL 6.2/1 (Betfair)  John Oaksey National Hunt Chase
1pt win TOFINO BAY 10.5/1 (Betfair) John Oaksey National Hunt Chase

Rival Destruval was let down in December to be prepared for this and looks the ideal sort. He gallops, jumps and looks the type to stay marathon trips.

Tofino Bay's chances were done no harm by the run of Baily Green today, having finished runner up to that animal back in November. Furthermore using Aupcharlie as a yardstick there is not much between him and Back In Focus. At around 3x the price of the Mullns horse, Tofino Bay is very tempting.

Lost -3pts

2pts win THE NEW ONE 9/2 (Generally available) Neptune Investments Novice Hdle
1pt win CHATTERBOX 11.5/1 (Betfair) Neptune Investments Novice Hdle

Nigel Twiston -Davies has been claiming The New One is potentially the best he's trained, and irrespective of that there is no doubting his credentials for this, including two useful pieces of form here. When touched off last time he had a very useful animal a good few lengths behind him in third and he is certain to run his race and go very close.

Chatterbox is unbeaten in his two hurdle races including a victory over My Tent Or Yours earlier in the season, before the latter really blossomed. He's not been in a race where he's had the chance to run to a rating that some of his rivals here have achieved and could be anything and is worth support.

The New One won  + 8pts

3pts win HADRIAN'S APPROACH 13/2 (Betfair and Betdaq) RSA Chase

A runner up to Dynaste followed by being touched off by Unioniste, Hadrian's Approach is developing into a highly promising young chaser and with there being remaining a question mark over Unioniste's stamina on a track like this, Henderson's horse is fancied to turn the Kempton form around and just about win this.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win ABBEY LANE  8/1 (Generally available) Coral Cup
1pt win CASH AND GO  15/1 (Betfair) Coral Cup

Abbey Lane has the credentials for this having won a similarly valuable, large field event at Leopardstown in January. He is versatile regarding ground and distance and all in all is hard to cross off the list.

Cash And Go was runner up in a very valuable event here earlier in the season. His run when seventh in the Betfair suggests he could be better at this longer trip and he remains relatively unexposed and open to further improvement with the switch up. 

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 11 March 2013

1.5pts win JEZKI  5.2/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)William Hill Supreme Novices Hdle
1.5pts win UN ATOUT 7/1 ( 3 firms and both exchanges) William Hill Supreme Novices Hdle

Jezki is unbeaten in his four starts over hurdles, all in soft ground and the last two being Grade One events, and looks certain to figure in the shake up. While the figs he's returning might no match My Tent Or Yours Newbury win, the latter had his platform to achieve his rating and is probably not quite as good as the visual impression he created that day. Whatever, at 2.5 X the price of the Henderson runner, Jezki is the preferred option.

Un Atout is another who looks visually exciting and there is no knowing just how good he is. The ground will definitely suit, and racing prominently it would be no surprise if he galloped the bridle sorts into the ground. Certainly worth support at the price available.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MERRY KING 6.6/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  JLT Speciality H'cap Chase
1pt win LOCH BA 13/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  JLT Speciality H'cap Chase

With only four chase runs under his belt, Merry King is already developing into a likeable young staying chaser and looks up to this task despite being raised for his game Haydock effort in defeat. He is a safe jumper who ideally suited by the prevailing soft ground, and there looks to be plenty more to come.

Loch Ba has done well since Mick Channon took over his career and has been on the upgrade, stays and acts well in the soft. Another very likely type for this event.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ZARKANDER 4.1/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Stan James Champion Hdle

Although the field contains the last three winners of this event there are plenty of question marks to answer for most of these.Rock On Ruby has not been convincing this term and is tried in blinds, Binocular will surely not be bouncing back to his very best of three years ago while Grandouet appears to have had all sorts of problems though should not be underestimated. As for Hurricane Fly - well if he'd have fallen early or missed  last season's race he would still have that invincibility about him and would be odds on. However, despite being in  the best of form recently his run last year creates a serious doubt as to how he'll perform; something magnified by the negative vibes around him. At around the 2/1 mark he makes limited appeal and Zarkander looks very much the one to be on. He is developing into a serious winning machine himself and as the soft ground will turn this into more of a stamina test than last year's renewal when he found himself getting outpaced at a crucial stage, he chances here are stonewall solid and he'll take all the beating.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win ARABELLA BOY 4.7/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase
1.5pts win OUTLAW PETE 11/2 ( 2 firms and both exchanges) Glenfarclas Cross Country Chase

Relatively young for these events, Arabella Boy is a very likely sort to carve out a niche in these events and beat a similar field to these in the same sort of event at Punchestown last month.

Outlaw Pete won over this course and distance in December in a race where Arabella Boy unseated. He has all the right sort of credentials for this and is certain to give an excellent account of himself.

Race Abandoned

Saturday, 9 March 2013

2pts win ARNAUD 20/1 (Betfair) Paddy Power Imperial Cup
1pt win FIRST AVENUE 29/1(Betfair) Paddy Power Imperial Cup

Testing conditions here and Arnaud looks interesting enough at his price. He ran really well on his only run in the UK in last year's Fred Winter and a repeat of his run two outings ago, when chasing home Blackstairsmountain at Cork, would put him right in the picture. Furthermore, he is most certainly open to further improvement, acts in the mud, and hails from a very shrewd yard so encouragement would be gained if he began to shorten during the morning.

First Avenue was unfortunate when a last flight casualty when  looking the likely winner here in November off the same rating as today. He then ran another good race in a valuable event at Ascot in November on testing ground. A bit of a typically quirky Montjieu,  First Avenue has  a moderate strike rate but worth chancing at present odds in the hope that it all comes together.

First Avenue Won  + 25.5pts

Saturday, 2 March 2013

1.5pts win MR GARDNER 14/1 (Generally available) Stan James Greatwood Gold Cup
1.5pts win PACHA DU POLDER  20/1 (Betfair) Stan James Greatwood Gold Cup

The hard to keep sound Mr Gardner's chasing career has been restricted to four races and there is no knowing what level he would have made it at if he'd kept a clean bill of health. However, it's very likely that he still retains plenty of ability judging how he shaped on his first run for his new yard. This is a wide open event but albeit with nothing to be over scared of and though there is a lot of guesser involved it is very possible that Mr Gardner's present rating underrates the level of performance that he is still capable of.

The drying conditions will suit Pacha Du Polder. He looked a highly promising young chaser last season, finishing his campaign off with an impressive success in a Grade 2 event at Ayr. He'll have to bounce back from a poor performance and there is not too much interest in him on the exchanges at the moment; however, with conditions more up his street today he is capable of surprising and is worth hopeful support.

Pacha Du Polder won + 27pts

Saturday, 16 February 2013

1.5pts win TEAFORTHREE 13/2 (Betfair)  Betfred Grand National Trial
1.5pts win GILE'S CROSS  17/2 (Betfair) Betfred Grand National Trial

Considering the type of ride he requires, it's asking alot for everything to fall into place for Monbeg Dude three times running and as was the case last year, the winner could come from the Welsh National but with the form turned around.

Teaforfree is a lot less complicated than his Chepstow conqueror. He is a safer conveyance and though like the winner he has gone up a bit again for his effort last time, he is a reliable sort who may have further improvement in him and looks sure to give an excellent account of himself.

Last year's winner Gile's Cross is 6lb higher in the ratings and not getting any younger. He was eventually pulled up at Chepstow but ran a blinder, traveling well for most of the race and looking likely to figure until what was hopefully lack of race sharpness took its toll. Provided that strenuous effort has not knocked him back he should be back to his best here and run accordingly.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 9 February 2013

1.5pts win PEARL SWAN  9/1 (Generally available)Betfair Hurdle
1.5pts win CLARET CLOAK 14/1 (Hills) Betfair Hurdle

Pearl Swan is still very much an unknown sort but is clearly talented and it is very difficult to put a line through him here. Perhaps the fact that he's not travelled well through his races on a couple of occasions is a negative but with the ground being fairly testing, he should be able to get into contention in the latter stages.

Claret Cloak has gone up 3lb in the ratings after running a cracker on his seasonal reappearance. However, the overall impression is that he is still progressing, is a real likeable sort, and is certain to figure in this.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 26 January 2013

1.5pts win OUR MICK 9/1 (Generally available)  Murphy Group Chase
1.5pts win NADIYA DE LA VEGA 9/1 (Generally available) Murphy Group Chase

Our Mick's price is holding up well at the moment which indicates he will line up here fully tuned up. He ran a cracker around here at the Festival but is ideally suited by this sort of trip.And with this testing ground not being a hindrance to him everything points to a big run.

Nadiya De La Vega is also proven around here. His race was over early on last time but had previously acquitted himself well off today's rating in the Paddy Power. This is an easier task here and he is sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win CAPE TRIBULATION 8/1 (Generally available) Argento Chase
1pt win HEY BIG SPENDER 33/1 (Generally available) Argento Chase

With lots of niggley  question marks over many of these there is plenty of options available.

Cape Tribulation is an extremely likeable individual who looked back to his best in an albeit ordinary renewal of the Rowland Meryick. There are no stamina issues for him, even in this testing ground, and he should not be far away.

Hey Big Spender is worth a speculative point on the basis that the heavy ground will bring his deep stamina reserves into play. In normal circumstances he would be sure to be found wanting but these conditions can be a great leveler and if there is to be a shock he is a likely one to cause it.

Cape Tribulation won + 15 pts

Saturday, 12 January 2013

3pts win RESTLESS HARRY 7.2/1 (Betfair) Betfred Classic Chase

This likeable sort looks like the he is getting his act together over the larger obstacles and there is still time for him to get to the same level of rating than he did over hurdles.If he is anywhere near doing that now then he is attractively handicapped at over a stone below his best hurdle form. Conditions are ideal for him today and he could easily impose his quality on this event. Reasonably priced and hard to resist here.
 Lost  - 3pts

Saturday, 5 January 2013

1.5pts win MICHEL LE BON 9/1(Generally available) Coral Welsh National
1.5pts win SOLL 14/1(Betfair) Coral Welsh National

Teaforthree's credentials are absolutely solid but there are enough dangers present to make the 3/1 seem a bit too skinny.
Michel Le Bon is very lightly raced for one of his age after missing two years through injury after his chasing debut. He put up a career best at Wincanton last time, is open to further improvement and could just be the type for this race.
Soll is very hard to weigh up but must enter calculations as he wasen't that far behind Teaforthree in the Hennessey. He is open to any amount of improvement, is proven in heavy ground, and if prepared to take his staminia on trust he is worth taking aboard.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 1 January 2013


Total Layout =  335.5
Total Return = 420.15

Profit of + 84.65