Saturday, 17 November 2012

3pts win HUNT BALL 10.5/1 (Betfair) Paddy Power Gold Cup

Hunt Ball has been on the drift all morning but it appears that is solely down to the overnight rain and as there is now no more rain forecast, he is very much worth chancing as it's far from certain that he will be unable to produce his optimum in today's conditions. The last time he raced on ground described as soft was at Wincanton in February - he won that day and at that time it was a career best performance. Though he made tremendous improvement from then on, on better ground, there is a reasonable chance that the level of form he showed at the end of the season may be reproduced here. He also won first time out last season and it's hard to believe he won't be fully wound up here for such a prestigious event. Apart from Grand Crus, most of his other rivals claims have holes in them, and his current exchange price is worth taking as he's unlikely to get any bigger now.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 10 November 2012

2pts win NICHOLASCOPERNICUS 9.5/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  Betfred November H'cap
1pt win COMMUNICATOR 16/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Betfred November H'cap

Nicholascopernicus is 9lb higher in the ratings after last month's Goodwood victory. However, that was visually impressive allied to the fact that it surpassed all previous efforts. He is still improving, has his ideal conditions, and his overall claims are as strong as anything in todays field.

Communicator has been absent since two career best performances at Chester in the late summer. Hailing from a yard that does well with it's handicappers there is every reason to believe that he will line up fully wound up and give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win DIAMOND HARRY 8/1 ( 3 firms including Corals and Ladbrokes) Badger Ales Trophy Chase

Lightly raced but highly talented, there is still every reason to believe that Nick Williams can get Diamond Harry back to his very best. Though he hasen't won since his Hennessy victory two years ago, he has only been seen four times since, is best fresh, and the handicapper has now dropped him to a mark 6lb below that of  the Newbury race. Absolutely impossible to to overlook this animal today !

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 3 November 2012

 2pts win CAPE EXPRESS 15/2 ( 2 firms and Betfair) William Hill Hdle
1pt win PAINTBALL 41/1 (Betfair) William Hill Hdle

If Ile De Re carries over the level of his improved flat form to timber then he is absolutely thrown in off a mark of 123. However, he was disappointing when faced with a similar tack in the Imperial Cup and is priced up short enough.

The handicapper has taken no chances with Cape Express after last weeks visually impressive victory but he looked an animal rising sharply through the handicapping ranks and the rise in the ratings may not be enough to stop him.

Imperial Cup winner Paintball definitely has another one or two valuable handicaps in him. He was beaten out of sight on his reappearance and may still need the run here - however at the odds available he is worth a speculative point, though confidence would be increase if he shortened a bit during the next few hours.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win ROBERTO GOLDBACK 9/1 (Generally available) United House Gold Cup Chase
1pt win MATUHI 31/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) United House Gold Cup Chase

If a move to the Henderson yard has put a spark into him then Roberto Goldback will be the one to beat here. He finished off last season with three below par runs but the fact is he ran to his very best as recently as last February when chasing home Quel Esprit at Leopardstown, which indicates it's very likely that all the ability is still there.

The Pipe's have a good record in this event and Matuhi catches the eye at big odds.Admittedly, there are some doubts about whether a trip this far will be ideal but on his best form he has a realistic chance and is worth chancing with small stakes.

Roberto Goldback Won  + 17pts