Saturday, 20 October 2012

3pts win AIKEN 11/2 (Generally available) Quipco  British Champion Long Distance Cup

The Irish St Leger turned into a bit of a messy tactical affair and in the circumstances Aiken ran a terrific race after hitting a flat spot. He has the raw abiltity to win this race today, acts on the ground, and while his staminia needs to be taken on trust, prices at around the 11/2 range are at the very least fair.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win MAAREK 8/1 (Generally available) Quipco British Champion Sprint Series

This is an admirably consistent,quality sprinter who acts well in testing conditions and is the ideal sort of mount for Jamie Spencer who not surprisingly has won on him the only time the pair have been united. Maarek is certain to give a very good account of himself here.

Won  + 24pts

2pts win WAS 9.5/1 (Betfair) Quipco British Champion Fillies and Mares
1pt win VOW 24/1 (Betfair) Quipco British Champion Fillies and Mares

There are some niggling question marks over a few of these, not least Great Heavens, who though having the best form in the field had a hard recent race in the Arc.

Oaks winner Was never really had the run of the race when behind the Gosden filly at the Curragh. She arrives here fresh after a decent run in the Yorkshire Oaks and could have further improvement left in her.

The Oaks probably came a bit quick for Vow who still ran very well to finish fourth. She then disappointed at the Royal meeting before appearing for the first time since in a listed race at Newmarket two weeks ago. She was below best there but if the run has brought her on she is too big a price to ignore and should outrun her odds.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 13 October 2012

2pts win FENCING 7/1 ( 2 firms and both exchanges) Dubai Challenge Stakes
1pt win PEARL MIX 8.4/1( both exchanges) Dubai Challenge Stakes

The Gosden yard continues in tremendous form and this colt,last seen when well behind in the St James Palace, is very interesting stepping down in trip. The overall level of his form does not give him much to find and he should go close in an event that has favoured three year olds in recent times.

Pearl Mix returns to turf after career best performance on the AW last time. He is very progressive, looks some way off reaching his ceiling, and could have improved enough to take a hand here.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win CRISTOFORO COLUMBO 5/1 ( 7 firms and both exchanges) Vision AE Middle Park Stakes

Reckless Abandon has a stonewall solid chance on the book but is worryingly weak on the exchanges this morning. In the circumstances it might be worth getting stuck into the Ballydoyle colt who ran a blinder when runner up in what is proving to be a very good Coventry. He never ran to his best in the Railway and was the victim of unfortunate corcumstances last time. A return to his Ascot form will see him give an excellent account of himself today.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MOTIVADO 18/1 (Betfair) Betfred Cesarewitch
1pt win CRY FOR THE MOON 47/1 (Betfair)  Betfred Cesarewitch

Motivado was impressive at Goodwood and ran a blinder when favourite for the Ebor. He races off the same rating as York and there are no real negatives you can raise over him.He has as solid claims as anything else in this and is very fairly priced.

Jim Cullotty's Cry for the Moon catches the eye at long odds. A hardy, reliable enough performer, he ran wekl when runner up in a valuable Galway handicap before missing the break and never getting into the race at Leopardstown last time.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 7 October 2012

2pts win GALIKOVA 5/1 ( all 3 major firms) Prix De L'Opera
1pt win QUIZA QUIZA QUIZA  25/1 ( Ladbrokes and Betfair)Prix De L'Opera

Back to what is probably her optimum trip, Galikova looks reasonably priced here. She won the Vermaile last year in testing conditions, ran to her very best two outings ago behind Snow Fairy, and never had the breaks last time. She is sure to be involved today.

Quiza Quiza Quiza has never raced outside her native Italy. However, she is very useful and reliable and acts in testing conditions and is worth a point at big odds as these fround conditions can be a great leveller.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SHARETA 16/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  Qatar Prix de l´Arc de Triomphe
1pt win KESAMPOUR 35/1 (Betfair) Qatar Prix de l´Arc de Triomphe

On the face of it Shareta should really be facing an uphill task. She was beaten convincingly when runner up in just an ordinary renewal of this last  year, and though having proved herself every bit as good this season, you would expect her to be hoping for place prospects at best. However, that only tells half the story. It is certain that a few of the principles are not going to reproduce their best in this ground and taking a positive from last seasons race, she did have St Nicholas Abbey and Meandre behind her. She is in top form,arriving here on the back of a Prix Vermaile success and it would be no surprise to see her go one better today.

Kesampour is the longest priced of the three Aga Khan runners but is not without a chance. He has finished close behind Saonois twice since beating him earlier in the season, is fully effective on heavy going, and is open to further improvement.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SOMMERABEND 12/1 (Ladbrokes)  Qatar Prix de la Foret
1pt win PINTURA  40/1 (3 firms and exchanges) Qatar Prix de la Foret

A late developer, Sommerabend is developing into a really smart performer, and one who goes best in testing conditions. He shaped really well on his late seasonal debut last month and can reverse the form with Blue Soave.

Pintura is worth a speculative point. Overall, he has a bit too find but goes in the ground, is consistent and is the type capable of causing an upset.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 6 October 2012

2pts win JAMESIE 8/1 ( 3 firms) Betfred Challenge Cup
1pt win CAPTAIN BERTIE 12/1 (Generally available) Betfred Challenge Cup

Jamesie is 3lb higher in the ratings than when leading the group home on his side when runner up in the Buckingham Palace. He ran a blinder in the Stewards Cup two outings ago and followed up with another good run in a valuable Leopardstown handicap last time. He acts well in the soft and looks all set to play a big part here.

Spring Cup winner Captain Bertie likewise goes well in the ground. He is 10lb higher in the ratings now, having gone up again for another good run at Newmarket two outings ago. However, with a few of these having their chances compromised by the ground, he is still in with a big chance despite being handicapped to his full ability.

Lost - 3pts