Saturday, 25 August 2012

2 pts win HAMMERFEST 11/1 ( 4 firms) Betfred Ebor
1pt win HARRISON'S CAVE  18/1 (Betfair)Betfred Ebor

The Duke of Edinburgh looks a significant key race here. In that event Cambourne stormed through to beat Hammerfest with Harrison's Cave back in third. Unproven beyond 12 furlongs, there has to be a question mark whether that form can be confirmed over todays extra two furlongs and in ground where whoever wins will have to see the trip fully out. Hammerfest travelled really well in the Ascot race and came to win until being outspeeded. He has proven staminia for this trip and should be a big player. Harrison's Cave is more of a slogger but won't be stopping and will not be too  away.

Lost  - 3pts

Tuesday, 21 August 2012

 3pts win REX IMPERATOR 7/1 (Generally available) Symphony Group Stakes

This gelding looked Group class when winning impressively at Windsor two outings ago. His defeat last time was slightly disappointing at the time but the form of the race has already received a massive boost and with no knowing how high his ceiling will eventually be it would be no surprise if he stepped up again and proved too good for an exposed looking field.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win FARRH 39/1(Betfair) Juddmonte International Stakes

This colt is a standout value wise in the win only market on Betfair. Due to the place market being separate from the win market on the Exchange there is a massive discrepency between his price on there to that with the regular bookmakers. Furthermore, even comparing exchange only prices in the win market there is no logical resason why he should be in the region of around 4X the price of St Nicholas Abbey as on form there is clearly not alot between them - indeed, the extended ten furlongs should be ideal for Farrh while arguably on the short side nowadays for the Ballydoyle runner. Frankel has looked vulnerable once in his career, when all out to win the St James Palace last year. With the Ballydoyle pacemakers ensuring a strongly run race his staminia will be tested and if in the unlikely circumstances that the reserves are not there, then Farrh may be the one to benefit.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 18 August 2012

1.5pts win PASTORAL PLAYER 13/2 (2 firms and Exchanges) Betfred Hungerford Stakes
1.5pts win ALANZA 9/1 ( 5 firms and Exchanges)Betfred Hungerford Stakes

The first two in the forecast are worth taking on here and Pastoral Player, who continually acquits himself well switching between Group company and stiff tasks in the valuable handicaps, looks certain to give an excellent account of himself.

Alanza is a likeable sort who won at the St Leger meeting last season. Her other two starts in this country were in Group 1's and the ground had turned against her at Newmarket last time. Although she's had ten career starts she looks open to further improvement and is a very interesting contender.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 4 August 2012

3pts win PETARA BAY 17/1 (Betfair) Toyo Tires Performance Stakes

This lightly raced gelding races off a 2lb higher mark than when successful in this last year. This event has no doubt been targeted again from an early stage in the year and like last season arrives here after running in the Pitmans Derby. Admittedly, his run in that event this season was below his fine effort in the 2011 running but ground conditions were desperate at Newcastle last time and it would be no surprise if he bounced back to his very best today.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SHROPSHIRE 27/1 (Betfair) Blue Square Stewards Cup
1pt win SWISS CROSS 74/1 (Betfair) Blue Square Stewards Cup

Shropshire is in great heart at the moment - after running a cracker to follow home what will probably be a Group class horse in Rex Impersonator at Windsor, he won an Ascot handicap last time which was a far more competitive event than the prize money indicated. He carries a 6lb penalty for that successs but gives the impression that there is further improvement left in him and is worth as go at the odds available.

Swiss Cross left Gerard Butler for his new yard in May. He ran well in an Epsom handicap in an Epsom handicap last month before finishing in mid-div in the valuable handicap at York last weekend. Although he has yet to do anything in one of these valuable events, he is a speedy type who will be able to keep tags on the leaders and give himself every chance. There are plenty with stonger credentials but he is worth small stakes at his current exchange price.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 2 August 2012

1.5pts win PRINCE OF JOHANNE 12/1 (Generally available) Betfred Mile
1.5pts win FIELD OF DREAM 12/1 (Generally available) Betfred Mile

As is becoming the norm in these big handicaps, due to the amount of horses in training there is a compacted field with a weight range of only 14lb which reduces the chance of the lightly raced Group horse in disguise getting in low down the handicap.

Provided any ground changing rain keeps away, Royal Hunt Cup and Camebridgeshire winner Prince of Johanne has a strong chance of putting another big handicap against his name. A real professional who has won a third of his career starts and excels in these big fields, he looks good enough to prove a force off a 6lb higher rating that his Hunt Cup success with a promising claimer offsetting 5lb of that. He shaped well in his warm up race at Pontefract the other day.

Field of Dream ran on strongly to finish fourth in the Ascot event.He won a very valuable handicap at that venue last time and has never been in better form. He does not look to be the most straightforward character but has the raw ability to win this and Spencer is ideal for this type of animal who will need the gaps to appear at the right time more than most.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 1 August 2012

1.5pts win  HALLING'S COMET 12/1 ( Betfair and Betdaq) Betfred Bonus King Stakes
1.5pts win BLUE SURF 14/1( 4 firms and Exchanges) Betfred Bonus King Stakes

A cracking race to get stuck into. Halling's Comet was betaen at Newmarket by a horse that should have won here the other day. He is the type that his yard excel with and stepped up in trip is open to considerable improvement.

Blue Surf is an interesting runner for his local trainer who has won this in the past. He looked an improving type when winning at Windsor on his seasonal debut and should give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SIMENON 4/1 (Generally available) Artemis Goodwood Cup

This likeable gelding was in terrific heart when winning twice at the Royal meeting and with no stars in this division at the moment and those that ran in the Ascot Gold Cup looking beatable, he has an excellent chance of taking this event. Any easing in the ground would be ideal but he has run well on fastish ground at this venue when Andrew Balding had him.

Lost - 3pts