Tuesday, 31 July 2012

3pts win WILLIE WAG TAIL 8/1 ( Generally available)  UBS Stakes

This one is hard to weigh up but he improved in the region of 10lb when winning on the AW last time when stepped up to this trip and if that and a bit more can be carried over on his return to turf - a distinct possibility given how lightly raced he is - then he could be a little ahead of his mark. Confidence is also increased by the healthy present form of his yard.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 30 July 2012

2pts win RETRIEVE 10/1 (Generally available)  Bet 365.Com Stakes H'cap
1pt win RIGHT STEP 45/1 (Betfair) Bet 365.Com Stakes H'cap

Retrieve went close a few times in G1 company in Australia . It's still hard to confidently say what is level is in Europe despite having six runs here and while he is not going to be effective at the highest level he is probably much better than what he has so far shown and with a big field  likely to do him no harm is capable of going close with a handicap mark of a listed/G3 horse.

Right Step went close in the big three year olds handicap at this meeting two years ago. He showed he retains all his ability when winning at Epsom in the spring and though being below form in his three recent outings he could bounce back to form and cause a surprise.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ENCKE 10/1 (Betfair and Corals) Bet 365 Gordon Stakes

An up to standard renewal. Girolama ran well in what looked an above standard German Derby recently. Michelangelo is a promising sort who could still be anythinbg while Noble Mission ran a blinder in the King Edward. However, it could be worth taking a chance with Encke who is much better than the bare form of his victory in a Sandown handicap, will appreciate this step up in trip and is open to any amount of improvement.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 28 July 2012

1.5pts win JET AWAY 7/1 (Betfair) Sky Bet York Stakes
1.5pts win SIDE GLANCE 8/1 (Betfair) Sky Bet York Stakes

This is all about Planteur as a repeat of some of his best form, such as his run when third to Golden Lilac in the Prix De Isphahan two months ago, would be clearly good enough for him to win this. The problem is that he hasen't got his head infront for over a year now, disappointed at Ascot last time, and for all his ability is becoming an underachiever.

Jet Away and Side Glance look attractive alternatives. The former was bogged down in the ground at Pontefract last time but has previously looked an animal about to rise up through the ranks when beating Fiorente at Goodwood. Side Glance may have been flattered to get so close to Excelebration in the Queen Anne but it was still a good performance . He is not afraid of getting his head infront and is an interesting proposition trying this trip for the first time.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 21 July 2012

3pts win DANEDREAM 10/1 (Generally available)  King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes

This top class filly has had to start all over again this year after being on a roll last Autumn. She looked terrific on Arc day, winning fair and square and well up to Arc winning standard . After a workmanlike success on her seasonal debut at Baden Baden where she was no doubt undercooked, she disappointed in a messy small field renewal of the Grand Prix De Saint Cloud,  the horses beating her being the ones she had comprehensively put in their place in October. There is if course a doubt whether she has trained on the three to four but that is reflected in her odds and with the likelehood of a true run affair today, she has the perfect opportunity to return to her very best.

Won + 30pts 

Saturday, 14 July 2012

1.5pts win AREA FIFTY ONE 13/2 (Generally available) John Smith's Cup
1.5pts win KIRTHILL 10/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges) John Smith's Cup

Thriving since moving to Fahey, Area Fifty One cannot be ignored under a 5lb penalty for his facile Newmarket success where he looked a new animal. Although that was on quick ground that looked perfect for him, his previous lifetime best, which was on his run before here at York, was in the soft and todays easyish but drying surface should not hinder.

Kirthill won a valuable Newbury handicap last backend and appealed then as the type who could progress into a Group class horse this season. That has not happened yet but he has run well in both outings behind Gatewood, running on from the rear first time here, then finishing alot closer at Royal Aascot when things did not really pan out for him. He looks very much one to consider today.

Kirthill NR, AFO lost  - 1.5pts

Saturday, 7 July 2012

3pts win EASY TERMS 12/1 (Betfair) Bet365 Old Newton Cup

This mare moved to Edwin Tuer last spring and improved in the region of two stone during the season, winning four handicaps on the bounce. She has carried on improving this season.,winning her two starts at Pontefract ( in desperate ground) and York and gives no sign that she has levelled out. She was value for more than the winning margin last time after having difficulty obtaining a run and off a 4lb higher rating looks a very likely player here.

Lost - 3pts