Saturday, 5 May 2012

1.5pts win DANADANA 10/1 (Betfair) Mafki Suffolk Stakes
1.5pts win SPANISH DUKE 11.5/1(Betfair) Mafki Suffolk Stakes

Luca Cumani has had a couple of winners in recent days which gives hope that Danadana will line up in forward shape here. He hasen't run since Royal Ascot when finishing fifth to Brown Panther but is open to considerable improvement and has the potential to end the season as good as anything above him in the handicap and cannot be crossed out here.

Spanish Duke runs well fresh as illustrated when he won first time out last term. He failed to make an impact after looking likely to build on that success but off a 5lb higher rating than that last victory must have a first rate chance if in anything like that sort of form.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win BORN TO SEA 11/1 (Betfair) Quipco 2,000 GNS

Even if you put aside the fact that he has some illustrious relatives, this colt would still be entitled to massive respect here on the basis that John Oxx is not known for overfacing his animals and there is no doubt that Born To Sea will be considered to be up to running a major race here. He showed a good turn of speed to win a Listed event on his debut before being beaten in a G3 at Leopardstown when the yielding ground was blamed - though it was also on the easy side for his debut. He had been easy to back on the exchanges this morning on account of concerns about the ground but conditions now appear to be drying quickly and he is shortening again but is still at double fig odds and is worth supporting as it will be surprising if he does not turn out to be a genuine G1 horse,

Lost - 3pts