Saturday, 28 April 2012

3pts win TIDAL BAY 12/1 (Ladbrokes and Coral)  Bet 365 Gold Cup

Tidal Bay's only previous visit to this venue was when runner up to Master Minded in the Tingle Creek in 2008. Now in the twilight of his career, the Tiday Bay of now  requires a good test of staminia and does nothing but stay on after hitting a flat spot and giving himself plenty of ground to make up. He does however retain a good deal of his ability and is still classy enough to defy top weight here and with conditions in his favour a big run looks very much on the cards.

won + 36 pts

1.5pts win APT APPROACH 16/1 (Generally available) Tote Punchestown Gold Cup
1.5pts win ROBERTO GOLDBACK 21/1 (Betfair) Tote Punchestown Gold Cup

It looks as though the ground will be as testing as on previous days and it could be worth taking as couple of double fig priced animals aboard that will go in the ground.

Four of Apt Approaches six victories have come in heavy ground. He has shown himself to be in good recent hearty when a staying on 8th in the Topham a couple of weeks ago and should run well here.

Roberto Goldback has perhaps not developed into the animal that he promised to be in his novice days. He is however still a very useful individual as his Lexus run in December followed by his Hennessey run in February showed. Both don't give him much to find here and if you can forgive his most recent runs, then a case can be made for him.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 21 April 2012

2pts win RED MERLIN  5/1 (Generally available) Isle of Skye Whiskey Scottish Champion Hdle
1pt win RAYA STAR 10/1 (Betfair) Isle of Skye Whiskey Scottish Champion Hdle

Former Old Newton Cup winner Red Merlin appears to have transferred all of his ability over to his new career and despite racing in handicap company for the first time in this sphere has a first rate chance in a race where most of the contenders carry niggly doubts.

Alan King has a poor record at this track and Raya Star is very easy to back on the exchanges at the moment. However, what is clear is that a repeat of the level of form he showed in his three races prior to finishing down the field at Cheltenham would probably be good enough for him to win this.

Raya Star won +7.4pts

1.5pts win BE THERE IN FIVE 35/1 (Betfair) Scottish Grand National
1.5pts win MAC AEDA 39/1 (Betfair) Scottish Grand National

Enough long shots have taken this down the years and it could be worth taking a couple of big priced runners aboard.

Nicky Henderson's runners continue to run out of their skin and Be There In Five has bits of form to suggest he is in with a shout here. He dissapointed badly in this race last year after a good run at Cheltenham but showed signs that something could be around the corner when staying on to finish on 12 lengths behind Sunnyhillboy in the Kim Muir last time, and will surely run much better than last year.

Mac Aeda had a profile of a typical progressive Malcolm Jefferson staying chaser when winning at Wetherby in February. He then ran too bad to be true in the Grimthorpe last time and remains very much of interest and it would be no surprise if he ran a big race here.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 13 April 2012

2pts win OSCAR WHISKEY 9/4 (Generally available) John Smith´s Aintree Hurdle
1pt win THOUSAND STARS 7/1(Corals) John Smith´s Aintree Hurdle

These two finished first and second in this last year and were well clear of the rest. They both failed to get home in the World Hurdle at Cheltenham, both having travelled well for a long way. All points to the pair of them running up to their optimums in this and they are preferred over Champion Hurdle winner Rock On Ruby and Zarkander, the latter unlikely to help himself by hitting a flat spot again, despite the longer trip.

Oscar Whiskey won  + 3.5pts

3pts win BECAUSEICOULDNTSEE 22/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) John Smith´s Grand National

The first two home in the Kim Muir have strong credentials in this and meet here on the same terms. However, the runner up is much preferred here, with Sunnyhillboy being the subject of negative vibes earlier in the week plus the fact that the O'Neil horse can get himself too far off the pace - as in last years Irish Grand National, a trait that is not ideal for this event. Becauseicouldntsee races near to the pace, should have no difficulty getting the trip and has an ideal opportunity to make up for last years early exit, provided he settles into that crucial rhythm from the outset.He is also effective on anything from good to heavy ground so there is no need to worry how the weather materialises.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win MY TENT OR YOURS 7/1 (Corals) John Smith´s Champion Bumper
1.5pts win THE NEW ONE 6/1 (Generally available) John Smith´s Champion Bumper

The third horse was well beaten off when My Tent Or Yours was narrowly beaten in a Newbury bumper and though the form has yet to be tested it looked a very hot race with the first two home probably very classy individuals. Geraghty has chosen this one over the equally promising looking stable companion who is very weak on the exchanges this evening.

The New One did best of these that ran in the Cheltenham Bumper and there is no reason why the form should be turned around. He has solid credentials and is sure to give a very good account of himself.

The New One won + 7.5pts
3pts win PROSPECT WELLS 3.9/1 ( both exchanges) Tangle Teaser Top Novices´ Hurdle

With the ground now on the good side and hopefully not too many showers forecast, Prospect Wells looks certain to go close in this. Despite staying on in the Supreme Novices, he does not need a more testing track and should be travel well enough around here. There is not much between him and Darlan on the Cheltenham form and they are hard to split but at the odds available Prospect Wells is the bet.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ALBERTAS RUN 3/1( 2 firms inc Hills)John Smith´s Melling Chase Grade

This likeable gelding is at his most effective around here, at this trip and on ground on the good side and is sure to go close to repeating his success in this event two years ago. He showed himself to be as good as ever last time out and it is more than possible that Finians Rainbow will not be at his optimum at this trip.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win GOLDEN CALL 23/1 (Betfair) John Smith´s Sefton Novices´ Hurdle
1.5pts win LOVCEN 15.5/1 (Betfair) John Smith´s Sefton Novices´ Hurdle

There are dangers aplenty to the first two in the forecast here and it could be worth taking aboard a couple at double fig odds.

Golden Call has improved markedly recently and this track should suit his front running style. On the book his level of form is around a stone behind Fingal Bay, but there is probably further improvement to come and he is already on par with most of these.

Lovcen ran a fairish race at Cheltenhem but is certain to race closer to the pace here. The stable showed they were in good form here yesterday and a prominent display is on the cards from this one.

Lovcen won + 20.75 pts

Wednesday, 11 April 2012

2pts win GRUMETI 7/2 (Generally available) Matalan Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle
1pt win SADLERS RISK 8.6/1(Betfair) Matalan Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle

Alan King excels in these events and has won this race twice in recent years. Grumeti appeals as the type who will appreciate this less taxing circuit and has first class prospects of reversing the Triumph form here.

Sadler's Risk is almost certainly better than what he showed in that race and it would not come as a great shock if he went on to have a better second season than the rest of the Cheltenham field. Provided the rain keeps away and the ground continues to dry he will run a big race.

Grumeti won 3.1/1 ( deduct for R4) + 5.2 pts

2pts win BURTON PORT 9/2 (Generally available) Betfred Bowl Chase
1pt win DIAMOND HARRY 20/1(4 firms and exchanges) Betfred Bowl Chase

The first two home in last seasons Hennessey are of some interest here. Burton Port, who won at this meeting in his novice days, was away from the track for over a year after the Newbury race but has returned better than ever. Provided his two most recent races have not taken their toll, he will give a very good account of himself.

Diamond Harry has lost a bit of his aura recently but probably has another couple of valuable prizes in him and has the raw ability to cause a minor surprise here.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win CLOUDY LANE 17/2 (Exchanges) John Smith´s Fox Hunters´ Chase
1.5pts win BOXER GEORG 17/2 (Exchanges) John Smith´s Fox Hunters´ Chase

Cloudy Lane is experienced over these fences and has adapted well to the hunter chase sphere. He ran a fair race in the Cheltenham Foxhunters and looks set to go well here.

Boxer Georg went close to winning this last year and should be alot closer to Cloudy Lane than he was at Cheltenham and has a serious chance of winning this himself.

Cloudy Lane won + 11 pts

2pts win KUMBESHWAR 7.6/1 (Betfair) Red Rum Handicap Chase
1pt win ASTRACAD 12/1 (3 firms including Ladbrokes) Red Rum Handicap Chase

A few of these ran in the Grand Annual with Tanks for That coming out best. However, it is worth noting that he disappointed on his only outing here and seems to reserve his best for Cheltenham. Thus with a pull in the weights, and provided the blinkers work for a second time, Kumbashwar can reverse the Cheltenham form with this sharper track being more to his liking.

Astracad was seventh in the same race but looks open to further improvement. He is a danger to all though the present form of the yard is a litle worrying.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts each way REINDEER DIPPIN 20/1 (Generally available) Silver Cross Handicap Hurdle

This gelding ran a blinder in this race last year, finishing runner up after travelling supremely well for a long way. He is not getting any younger and has a 6lb higher rating than 12 months ago but has proved that he retains all of his ability and another big run is on the cards.

Lost - 3pts