Saturday, 31 March 2012

2pts win FURY 7/1 (2 firms and Betfair) William Hill Lincoln
1pt win MIA'S BOY 20/1 (Generally available) William Hill Lincoln

William Haggas has won this twice in the last 5 years.The most recent being Penintent who like Fury was owned by Cheverley Park and there is little doubt that they would have dispersed with Fury if they had serious doubts about him returning to his best form this season.He started as short as 12/1 for the 2,000 GNS prior to finishing a distant but not disgraced 5th, and was then touched off in a listed event at Sandown. He lost his way after but has been gelded and has been fully targeted at this and cannot be ignored.

Mia's Boy got his head back infront for the first time in two years here last October - in the same conditions event as his last past victory. He then followed up two outings after at Wolverhampton and has run well in his three subsequent races. Admittedly, he lacks the profile for a winner of this race and is vulnerable to the better handicapped types but he retains his form remarkably well and it will only take one or two of the better fancied ones to run below form to give him a serious chance.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 24 March 2012

3pts win MON PARRAIN 5/2 (Generally available) Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase

Lots of negatives surrounding many of these and in a race that is not going to take too much winning for the prize money on offer, Mon Parrain will take some beating and is fairly priced around the 5/2 mark. He looked exciting on his first run in this country last spring and folowed up with a cracking run in the Topham. He has been off the track since a good run at Cheltenham in December when visually not quite getting home. He has reportedly had a breathing operation since, is proven fresh, and can have no excuses today.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 16 March 2012

1.5pts win BABY MIX 6.8/1 (Both exchanges) JCB Triumph Hdle
1.5pts win SADLER'S RISK JCB 7.2/1(Both exchanges) Triumph Hdle

These two occupied the first two spots in the Adonis last time with the rest of the field, including subsequent Fred Winter winner Une Artiste, well beaten off. The form looks absolute stonewall solid and the preferred option is to take both on board here rather than one, and something from the other trials. Baby Mix was convincing at Kempton and has also won around here though it is quite possible that this more testing circuit will bring about enough improvement from Sadler's Risk to enable him to turn the tables.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MOUNT BENBULBEN 6.8/1 (Both exchanges) Albert Bartlett Novices Hdle
1pt win SEA OF THUNDER 9/1 (Both exchanges) Albert Bartlett Novices Hdle

Mount Benbulben had quite a bit of hype surrounding him early in the season and his defeat to Boston Bob at Navan in December came as a disappointment to those around him. Three months on, in a different scenario, he makes plenty of appeal at over 4 x the price of the Mullins horse. It will al depend on which one handles todays ground the best and it could be that Boston Bob is the one requiring a slog in testing conditions to produce his optimum.

Lost - 3pts

Sea of Thunder was well beaten behind Boston Bob in January; again in the mud. He was previously trouncing his field in a G2 here in December when coming down at the last. That was on similar ground to todays and he looks certain to give a very good account of himself here.

1.5pts win SYNCHRONISED 11/1(Generally available) Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup
1.5pts win WEIRD AL 12.5/1(Betfair) Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup

There are lots of doubts surrounding many of these - Long Run has not been convincing at any one stage this season, Kauto Star is vulnerable with doubts surrounding him, his yard, and his age, and Burton Port was no doubt flattered to get so close to a below par Long Run last time and has never really appealed as a Gold Cup winner.

This leaves some unthinkables but the fact is that Synchronised now has to be viewed as the new look horse that he is and not some marathon type going around Chepstow or Uttoxeter. There was no fluke about his Lexus Chase victory of which the form looks reasonably solid and there is some precedent for a horse with his sort of profile winning this as The Thinker had at one time in his career settled into the mode of your typical staying handicaper that graces the Uttoxeters of this world.

This is still a bit of the unknown about Weird Al. However, he is clearly a high class chaser who looked the part when winning the Charlie Hall earlier in the season. He has won around here, is best fresh and is fully effective on good ground. All in all the scenario here is perfect for him to run the race of his life and his claim has to be taken seriously.

Synchronised won + 15 pts

1.5pts win SALSIFY 6/1 (Generally available) Christies Foxhunters Chase
1.5pts win CHAPOTURGEON 13/2(Betfair) Christies Foxhunters Chase

Salsify has very strong claims to this. He won at both the Punchestown and Fairyhouse festivals last Spring and returned to his best when winning at Leopardtown last month. He has the beatng of quite a few of these on those three races and with the ground in his favour will go very close.

Not too long ago there would have been massive doubts about Chapoturgeon getting home over this trip. However, he seems to be a more relaxed type in new hands and judging by his impressive Newbury success has every chance of lasting home. If so, he'll take some beating as he has always had a touch of class about him and is till only 8 years old.

Salsify won + 7.5pts

Thursday, 15 March 2012

3pts win PEDDLERS CROSS 7/2 (Generally available) Jewson Novices Chase

Not alot to say except that if he's anywhere near his best he'll win this and with opportunities for him at Aintree, it's hard to believe that he'd run here if there was any serious doubts about his well being.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win GREAT ENDEAVOUR 11/1( Both Exchanges) Ryanair Chase
1.5pts win CAPTAIN CHRIS 14/1( Hills) Ryanair Chase

Great Endeavour is in his element around here and arrives nice and fresh and there is every reason to believe he will be at the top of his game. At the odds available he is a far more attractive proposition than the ones who he would be receiving weight off in a handicap even though on the face of it he would need to produce a career best performance to win.

The ground has come right for Captain Chris who connections were trying to turn into a Gold Cup horse. This looks much more his race and it would no surprise to see him return to his very best and put in a bold showing.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SUNNYHILLBOY 15/2 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Chase
1pt win FAASEL 16/1 (Both exchanges) Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Chase

Sunnyhillboy ran two crackers in the two big pre- Christmas handicaps here last season and went on to finish third in the Irish National.He has clearly been targeted at this and looks certain to give an excellent account of himself.

Former high class 2m hurdler Faasel got his head infront for the first time in over three years last time. He has finished runner up in this event in the past two years, is very hard to put a line through, and is worth a point at the odds available.

Sunnyhillboy won +14 pts

Wednesday, 14 March 2012

1.5pts win ALLEE GARDE 17/2( Betfair) Diamond Jubilee National Hunt Chase
1.5pts win TEAFORTHREE 7/1 ( 4 firms) Diamond Jubilee National Hunt Chase

Judging by his run in the Fort Leney, Allee Garde would not have disgraced himself in the Sun Alliance. He seems a safe enough conveyance, is expected to get this marathon trip, and is hard to get away from.

Provided he proves fully effective on good ground, Teaforthree should give a prominent display from the front. He has acquitted himself well against some quality novices and shapes like a horse who will get this trip.

Teaforthree won + 9pts

1.5pts win SOUS LES CIEUX 6.8/1 (Betfair) Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle
1.5pts win MAKE YOUR MARK 9/1(Betfair) Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle

Sous Les Cieux has run in three consecutive G1's and was confidently ridden when failing to pick up and catch the 50/1 Benefficient last time. He seems more ideally suited by this sort of trip, can turn that form around, and has strong claims.

Strictly on form, Make Your Mark's third in the mud to Boston Bob last time was his best piece of form. However, he is very likely a bit better on todays sort of ground and looks sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win BOB'S WORTH 4/1 ( 2 firms amd exchanges) RSA Chase

On the strength of his novice hurdle season, Bob's Worth's chasing campaign has been slightly disappointing as one could have envisaged him arriving here unbeaten. However, he underwent a breathing operation after finishing behind Grand Crus at Kempton and shaped well last time on his first run since. He has a sporting chance of reversing that Kempton form and is worth supporting at around the 4/1 mark.

won + 12pts

2pts win DARE ME 14/1 (Generally available) Coral Cup
1pt win THIRD INTENTION 31/1 (Betfair) Coral Cup

Dare Me has been unfortunate to have two serious interuptions in his career. Firstly, after looking highly promising when winning a Haydock bumper in November 2008 he was missing for 15 months. After he re-started his career with a useful Spring campaign in 2010, including when narowly beaten in the Aintree bumper; he embarked on a novice hurdle campaign in the Autumn winning his first two starts but then incurred a setback which kept him off for another 15 months. Now an 8 year old, he reappeared agin recently and has run promisingly in his two starts and looks to have been laid out for this. This could at last be his big day.

Third Intention has a very stiff task when you consider he finished in the mid-div off an 11lb lower mark in the Betfair Hurdle. However, the hike in the ratings comes from an improved performance when stepped up to this sort of trip at Fontwell last time. That performance, along with his course form here gives him a real chance and he is one to take aboard.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win ROYAL GUARDSMAN 8.8/1 (Betfair) Weatherbys Champion Bumper
1pt win JETKI 17/1 (Betfair) Weatherbys Champion Bumper

Royal Guardsman looked the part when winning a hot Ascot bumper. From a yard that has taken this event in the past he appears to have as good as chance as any here.

Jetki's yard have also taken this before with Cork All Star. Jetki is unbeaten in his two starts and beaten a stable companion comfortably last time in a race were the right horses occupied the top spots.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 12 March 2012

1.5pts win GALILEO'S CHOICE 8/1( 3 firms and exchanges) William Hill Supreme Novices´ Hurdle
1.5pts win MONTBLAZON 8/1( Betfair and Betdaq) William Hill Supreme Novices´ Hurdle

With the class to win a 10f G3 at Leopardswown in September, Galileo's Choice has carried his ability through to hurdling already showing a level of form to make him a major player in this and with the drying ground likely to bring around further improvement, he looks assured of a high position in this.

Montblazon has really come to himself since the Alan King yard hit form and looks as though he will continue to progress and is the prefered option of those that ran in last season's big Aintree bumper.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win AL FEROF 3.4/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Racing Post Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

Sprinter Sacre ia almost certainly not as invincible as the visual impressions he's given around flat tracks, and though having very strong claims, Al Ferof is much prefered at the odds available. Ahead of the Henderson horse when taking last years Supreme Novices, he's adapted well to fences and ran a blinder against seasoned high class animals in the Victor Chandler last time.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win QUANTITATIVEASING 13/2 ( 2 firms and exchanges) JLT Specialty Handicap Chase
1pt win OUR MICK JLT 10/1(Generally available) Specialty Handicap Chase

Quantitativeasing can prove a real trendsbuster here as no horse as won this with as high a rating as his for three decades. However, in a far from vintage looking renewal of this he has bags of quality, runs well around here, and should be able to produce his optimum over this longer trip. He clearly has the feel of one who has been put away for this.

Our Mick is another stepping up in trip and should get home OK on this better ground. He acquitted himself well against some classy novices last time and is hard to keep off the short list.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SCOTSIRISH 7/2( 4 firms and exchanges) Glenfarclas Handicap Chase

A standing dish at the festivals down the years, Scotsirish looks to have found a niche in the Cross Country events in the twlight of his career.Looking sure to play a big role when carried out here in December, he wasen't beaten that far behing Big Zeb in a regular G1 before winning his second CC race at Punchestown last month. He will take all the beating here.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 10 March 2012

1.5pts win OFF THE GROUND 10/1 (Generally available) Paddypower Novices´ H'cap Hdle Final
1.5pts win MERRY KING 14/1 (Betfair) Paddypower Novices´ H'cap Hdle Final

A typically interesting renewal of this event and Off the Ground has as strong as claims as any, having the usual progressive profile with the promise of a lot more to come after winning for the first time in a big field over course and distance last time.

Merry King has won his last two races in testing conditions and may be capable of much better on todays surface. He cost quite a considerable sum at the sales after winning a pt to pt and connections will no doubt have lofty long term ambitions for him.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win DEVIL TO PLAY 10/1 (Betfair) Paddy Power Imperial Cup
1.5pts win SIRE DE GRUGY 10/1 (Generally available) Paddy Power Imperial Cup

These two occupied the first two spots at Taunton last month and should both go very well again.

Alan King excels with his handicap hurdlers and Devil To Play who ideally wants further than this shopuld nevertheless be fine if this is strongly run on this track and he will not be far away.

Sire De Grugy has a small pull with the King horse and has the samne sort of chance of taking this. The Taunton run came on the back of a cracking effort in the Betfair Hurdle and Gary Moore is another handler who has a fine in the valuable handicap hurles down the years.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 3 March 2012

2pts win MAD MAX 8/1 (Generally available) Barbury International Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup
1pt win RILEYEV 19/1 (Betfair) Barbury International Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup

Mad Max shaped really OK'ish on unsuitable ground on his first appearance for the Mulholland yard. Like the others in this line up there are niggly doubts as to whether he will produce something near his best but with conditions in his favour on a track that suits, he is hard to resist at tempting odds.

Rileyev's form has been almost all over trips around two mile. Thus there is a solid doubt as to whether he can be fully effective at todays trip but the fact is that if he can reproduce the level of form showed in three consecutive runs in November and December, then that would be good ennough to make him a big factor here granted he stays.

Mad Max NR, Rileyev Lost - 1pt

3pts win BENNY BE GOOD 6/1 (Betfair) (Generally available) Download William Hill From The App-Store Grimthorpe Chase

This likeable,reliable stayer was put up 7lb in the ratings after narrowly failing to give weight away here in December. He's had a couple of hurdle runs since and it will be very surprising if he does not run to his optimum today - he might not have too much in hand of the handicapper but, the Jefferson horse apart, he is the most likely to run his race and is fairishly priced up.

Lost - 3pts