Wednesday, 26 December 2012

2pts win GRAND CRUS  9/1 ( Hills and both exchanges) William Hill King George V1
1pt win CHAMPION COURT 29/1 (Both exchanges) William Hill King George V1

This is wide open and if the breathing operation has done the trick with Grand Crus then he could be up to taking this. He looked ready made for this event when winning the Feltham here last year, the form of that event now booking absolutely superb with the two that followed him home now up there at the top of the chasing tree.
Champion Court court should not be underestimated. In a normal year he would clearly not be good enough to win this but with question marks hanging over those at the front end of the market he is worth chancing to small stakes. His run in a very good renewal of the Jewson stands up to scrutiny and he shaped well giving weight away on his seasonal debut.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 15 December 2012

3pts win UNIONISTE 5.8/1 (Betfair) Paul Stewart IronSpine Charity Challenge Gold Cup

It's very difficult to put a mark on this fellow. He is for sure very talented and that looked a cracking novice chase that he ran in here last time. His jumping seems assured for on so inexperienced, he'll go in the ground, is open to any amount of improvement and it could be that you'll look back in a few months musing over how well handicapped he was on this day. Alot of unknown about him but worth taking a chance with. 
Won  + 16.5pts 

Saturday, 1 December 2012

1.5pts win FIRST LIEUTENANT 11/1 (Betfair) Hennessy Gold Cup
1.5pts win TIDAL BAY 11/1 (Betfair) Hennessy Gold Cup

Fascinating event as always and one of the true highlights of the season. This renewal is up to standard if not vintage. There are only two animals in the field that you could see as potential Cheltenham Gold Cup winners; Bob's Worth and First Lieutenant.

The latter is the value call. He is a gritty sort but doesen't want it bottomless and the improvement in ground conditions will have aided his chance. His run last time behind Kauto Stone was as good as anything he'd produced over fences so far and he now looks on his way to being the class of chaser that was envisaged after his novice hurdle year. Newbury should be the ideal sort of course for him and  it's not hard to visualise him gunning away there in the latter stages.

Tiday Bay lacks the ideal profile for this. He's getting on in years and he hits flat spots in his races and he will not want to be getting too far away from the leading group here. However, in his favour he has all of the ability still there, looking as good as ever over hurdles at Wetherby last time, and his demolition of the field in the old Whitbread was a joy to watch. He has riden 12lb in the ratings for that but it's fully justified and if the cards fall right he is capable of taking this.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 17 November 2012

3pts win HUNT BALL 10.5/1 (Betfair) Paddy Power Gold Cup

Hunt Ball has been on the drift all morning but it appears that is solely down to the overnight rain and as there is now no more rain forecast, he is very much worth chancing as it's far from certain that he will be unable to produce his optimum in today's conditions. The last time he raced on ground described as soft was at Wincanton in February - he won that day and at that time it was a career best performance. Though he made tremendous improvement from then on, on better ground, there is a reasonable chance that the level of form he showed at the end of the season may be reproduced here. He also won first time out last season and it's hard to believe he won't be fully wound up here for such a prestigious event. Apart from Grand Crus, most of his other rivals claims have holes in them, and his current exchange price is worth taking as he's unlikely to get any bigger now.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 10 November 2012

2pts win NICHOLASCOPERNICUS 9.5/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  Betfred November H'cap
1pt win COMMUNICATOR 16/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Betfred November H'cap

Nicholascopernicus is 9lb higher in the ratings after last month's Goodwood victory. However, that was visually impressive allied to the fact that it surpassed all previous efforts. He is still improving, has his ideal conditions, and his overall claims are as strong as anything in todays field.

Communicator has been absent since two career best performances at Chester in the late summer. Hailing from a yard that does well with it's handicappers there is every reason to believe that he will line up fully wound up and give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win DIAMOND HARRY 8/1 ( 3 firms including Corals and Ladbrokes) Badger Ales Trophy Chase

Lightly raced but highly talented, there is still every reason to believe that Nick Williams can get Diamond Harry back to his very best. Though he hasen't won since his Hennessy victory two years ago, he has only been seen four times since, is best fresh, and the handicapper has now dropped him to a mark 6lb below that of  the Newbury race. Absolutely impossible to to overlook this animal today !

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 3 November 2012

 2pts win CAPE EXPRESS 15/2 ( 2 firms and Betfair) William Hill Hdle
1pt win PAINTBALL 41/1 (Betfair) William Hill Hdle

If Ile De Re carries over the level of his improved flat form to timber then he is absolutely thrown in off a mark of 123. However, he was disappointing when faced with a similar tack in the Imperial Cup and is priced up short enough.

The handicapper has taken no chances with Cape Express after last weeks visually impressive victory but he looked an animal rising sharply through the handicapping ranks and the rise in the ratings may not be enough to stop him.

Imperial Cup winner Paintball definitely has another one or two valuable handicaps in him. He was beaten out of sight on his reappearance and may still need the run here - however at the odds available he is worth a speculative point, though confidence would be increase if he shortened a bit during the next few hours.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win ROBERTO GOLDBACK 9/1 (Generally available) United House Gold Cup Chase
1pt win MATUHI 31/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) United House Gold Cup Chase

If a move to the Henderson yard has put a spark into him then Roberto Goldback will be the one to beat here. He finished off last season with three below par runs but the fact is he ran to his very best as recently as last February when chasing home Quel Esprit at Leopardstown, which indicates it's very likely that all the ability is still there.

The Pipe's have a good record in this event and Matuhi catches the eye at big odds.Admittedly, there are some doubts about whether a trip this far will be ideal but on his best form he has a realistic chance and is worth chancing with small stakes.

Roberto Goldback Won  + 17pts

Saturday, 20 October 2012

3pts win AIKEN 11/2 (Generally available) Quipco  British Champion Long Distance Cup

The Irish St Leger turned into a bit of a messy tactical affair and in the circumstances Aiken ran a terrific race after hitting a flat spot. He has the raw abiltity to win this race today, acts on the ground, and while his staminia needs to be taken on trust, prices at around the 11/2 range are at the very least fair.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win MAAREK 8/1 (Generally available) Quipco British Champion Sprint Series

This is an admirably consistent,quality sprinter who acts well in testing conditions and is the ideal sort of mount for Jamie Spencer who not surprisingly has won on him the only time the pair have been united. Maarek is certain to give a very good account of himself here.

Won  + 24pts

2pts win WAS 9.5/1 (Betfair) Quipco British Champion Fillies and Mares
1pt win VOW 24/1 (Betfair) Quipco British Champion Fillies and Mares

There are some niggling question marks over a few of these, not least Great Heavens, who though having the best form in the field had a hard recent race in the Arc.

Oaks winner Was never really had the run of the race when behind the Gosden filly at the Curragh. She arrives here fresh after a decent run in the Yorkshire Oaks and could have further improvement left in her.

The Oaks probably came a bit quick for Vow who still ran very well to finish fourth. She then disappointed at the Royal meeting before appearing for the first time since in a listed race at Newmarket two weeks ago. She was below best there but if the run has brought her on she is too big a price to ignore and should outrun her odds.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 13 October 2012

2pts win FENCING 7/1 ( 2 firms and both exchanges) Dubai Challenge Stakes
1pt win PEARL MIX 8.4/1( both exchanges) Dubai Challenge Stakes

The Gosden yard continues in tremendous form and this colt,last seen when well behind in the St James Palace, is very interesting stepping down in trip. The overall level of his form does not give him much to find and he should go close in an event that has favoured three year olds in recent times.

Pearl Mix returns to turf after career best performance on the AW last time. He is very progressive, looks some way off reaching his ceiling, and could have improved enough to take a hand here.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win CRISTOFORO COLUMBO 5/1 ( 7 firms and both exchanges) Vision AE Middle Park Stakes

Reckless Abandon has a stonewall solid chance on the book but is worryingly weak on the exchanges this morning. In the circumstances it might be worth getting stuck into the Ballydoyle colt who ran a blinder when runner up in what is proving to be a very good Coventry. He never ran to his best in the Railway and was the victim of unfortunate corcumstances last time. A return to his Ascot form will see him give an excellent account of himself today.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MOTIVADO 18/1 (Betfair) Betfred Cesarewitch
1pt win CRY FOR THE MOON 47/1 (Betfair)  Betfred Cesarewitch

Motivado was impressive at Goodwood and ran a blinder when favourite for the Ebor. He races off the same rating as York and there are no real negatives you can raise over him.He has as solid claims as anything else in this and is very fairly priced.

Jim Cullotty's Cry for the Moon catches the eye at long odds. A hardy, reliable enough performer, he ran wekl when runner up in a valuable Galway handicap before missing the break and never getting into the race at Leopardstown last time.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 7 October 2012

2pts win GALIKOVA 5/1 ( all 3 major firms) Prix De L'Opera
1pt win QUIZA QUIZA QUIZA  25/1 ( Ladbrokes and Betfair)Prix De L'Opera

Back to what is probably her optimum trip, Galikova looks reasonably priced here. She won the Vermaile last year in testing conditions, ran to her very best two outings ago behind Snow Fairy, and never had the breaks last time. She is sure to be involved today.

Quiza Quiza Quiza has never raced outside her native Italy. However, she is very useful and reliable and acts in testing conditions and is worth a point at big odds as these fround conditions can be a great leveller.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SHARETA 16/1 (Betfair and Betdaq)  Qatar Prix de l´Arc de Triomphe
1pt win KESAMPOUR 35/1 (Betfair) Qatar Prix de l´Arc de Triomphe

On the face of it Shareta should really be facing an uphill task. She was beaten convincingly when runner up in just an ordinary renewal of this last  year, and though having proved herself every bit as good this season, you would expect her to be hoping for place prospects at best. However, that only tells half the story. It is certain that a few of the principles are not going to reproduce their best in this ground and taking a positive from last seasons race, she did have St Nicholas Abbey and Meandre behind her. She is in top form,arriving here on the back of a Prix Vermaile success and it would be no surprise to see her go one better today.

Kesampour is the longest priced of the three Aga Khan runners but is not without a chance. He has finished close behind Saonois twice since beating him earlier in the season, is fully effective on heavy going, and is open to further improvement.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SOMMERABEND 12/1 (Ladbrokes)  Qatar Prix de la Foret
1pt win PINTURA  40/1 (3 firms and exchanges) Qatar Prix de la Foret

A late developer, Sommerabend is developing into a really smart performer, and one who goes best in testing conditions. He shaped really well on his late seasonal debut last month and can reverse the form with Blue Soave.

Pintura is worth a speculative point. Overall, he has a bit too find but goes in the ground, is consistent and is the type capable of causing an upset.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 6 October 2012

2pts win JAMESIE 8/1 ( 3 firms) Betfred Challenge Cup
1pt win CAPTAIN BERTIE 12/1 (Generally available) Betfred Challenge Cup

Jamesie is 3lb higher in the ratings than when leading the group home on his side when runner up in the Buckingham Palace. He ran a blinder in the Stewards Cup two outings ago and followed up with another good run in a valuable Leopardstown handicap last time. He acts well in the soft and looks all set to play a big part here.

Spring Cup winner Captain Bertie likewise goes well in the ground. He is 10lb higher in the ratings now, having gone up again for another good run at Newmarket two outings ago. However, with a few of these having their chances compromised by the ground, he is still in with a big chance despite being handicapped to his full ability.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 29 September 2012

2pts win MIJHAR 14/1 ( 2 firms including Hills) Betfred Cambridgeshire
1pt win MAN OF ACTION 22/1 ( 4 firms and exchanges) Betfred Cambridgeshire

It's 15 months since Mijhar line up in the King Edward on the back of a Haydock maiden sucess. At the time he promised to be a classy middle distance performer. He finished fourth behind Nathanial and what has happened since has made things are not much clearer. He's been tried between 8 and 12 furlongs in his five races since, acquitting himself well in all apart from when stumbling badly in the John Smiths, and now is the time for him to deliver as a fast run 9 furlongs on turf looks ideal for him.

Everything that could have gone wrong went wrong for Man of Action in this race last year. Admittedly, he is a frustrating animal to follow as he never seems to build on his promising efforts, but at the odds available he is worth small support as there is no doubt that he has the raw ability to win this.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 15 September 2012

1.5pts win PRODIGALITY 11/2 (Generally available) Ladbrokes Portland
1.5pts win REX IMPERATOR 7/1 (Generally available) Ladbroke Portland

The front two in the market have very strong credentials here and it's hard to be drawn away from them.
Prodigality has just scraped into the race.He is firing  at the moment, was the moral winner of the Great St Wilfred and todays ground will be more ideal for him than then narrowly beaten last time.

It's debatable how many chances you give to Rex Imperator to confirm the impression he gave when winning at Windsor in June and it is possible that he could prove to be one of those costly horses to follow, where things never fall right. However, he is worth at least one more chance and it would be no surprise to see him win this in good style.

Lost -3pts

1.5pts win MAIN SEQUENCE 13/1 (Betfair) Ladbroke St Leger
1.5pts win THOUGHT WORTHY 16.5/1(Betfair) Ladbroke St Leger

Main Sequence's run in the Grand Prix de Paris indicated that he had progressed again from Epsom and though clearly outpointed in the Derby, the extra two furlongs could prove to be a great leveller. Thought Worthy finished behind him at Epsom then held on to beat him at York when having the run of the race. He is certain to appreciate the extra two furlongs but if the Lannigan runner stays he is the pacier of the two.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win AIKEN 6/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Gain Horse Feeds Irish St Leger

Freshened up by the break since Royal Ascot, Aiken still looks capable of further improvement and is a mighty interesting proposition stepped up in trip and a cracking price to boot. There is nothing really too much to be scared of here - especially with Fame and Glory now more liable to throw in a stinker.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 8 September 2012

3 pts win MARTIN CHUZLEWIT 14/1 (Generally available) Ladbrokes Mobile Handicap

This is a ferociously competitive handicap and very easy to make a case out for many of the contenders. Those at the front end have form lines tied in together and you can go round in circles trying to guess who out of Gospel Choir, Stencive, Sun Central and Ahzeemah will come out best. Out of the three Stoute runners, Opinion is weak on the exchanges and with Gospel Choir priced up as short as he should be, it may be worth chancing Martin Chuzzlewit. Robert Ogden has invested heavily in horses with top middle distance pedigrees with mixed results - Thomas Chippendale probably being the best. Martin Chuzzlewit is a level or two below that but he ran a very encouraging race in an all aged handicap at the Ebor meeting last time, narrowly failing against the back to form Kirthill. If the visor works again for the second time he should be involved here.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 1 September 2012

1.5pts win LABARINTO  19/1 (Betfair)Piper Heidsieck Champagne & Levy Board Handicap
1.5pts win MAN OF ACTION 15/1 (Betfair) Piper Heidsieck Champagne & Levy Board Handicap

Stoute is second to none at managing horses kept in training after three and there is reason for believing that Labarrinto can return to form here. He is only 2 lb higher in the ratings than when winning at Goodwood last July - at the time of which he looked sure to develop in to a Group class horse. He only appeared once more after that until returning in the Spring, throwing in two below par performances. The yard however was enduring one of it's worse runs ever at that time and it would not surprise in the slighest if he went close today.

Man of Action is another who really catches the eye at double fig odds. He looked to be requiring a step up in trip when staying on well  in midfield in the Hunt Cup and that impression was confirmed when he was switched up to this trip last time, running arguably a career best under top weight. He should give another very good account of himself again.

Labarinto won 15/1( inc deduction for NR)  + 21pts 

Saturday, 25 August 2012

2 pts win HAMMERFEST 11/1 ( 4 firms) Betfred Ebor
1pt win HARRISON'S CAVE  18/1 (Betfair)Betfred Ebor

The Duke of Edinburgh looks a significant key race here. In that event Cambourne stormed through to beat Hammerfest with Harrison's Cave back in third. Unproven beyond 12 furlongs, there has to be a question mark whether that form can be confirmed over todays extra two furlongs and in ground where whoever wins will have to see the trip fully out. Hammerfest travelled really well in the Ascot race and came to win until being outspeeded. He has proven staminia for this trip and should be a big player. Harrison's Cave is more of a slogger but won't be stopping and will not be too  away.

Lost  - 3pts

Tuesday, 21 August 2012

 3pts win REX IMPERATOR 7/1 (Generally available) Symphony Group Stakes

This gelding looked Group class when winning impressively at Windsor two outings ago. His defeat last time was slightly disappointing at the time but the form of the race has already received a massive boost and with no knowing how high his ceiling will eventually be it would be no surprise if he stepped up again and proved too good for an exposed looking field.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win FARRH 39/1(Betfair) Juddmonte International Stakes

This colt is a standout value wise in the win only market on Betfair. Due to the place market being separate from the win market on the Exchange there is a massive discrepency between his price on there to that with the regular bookmakers. Furthermore, even comparing exchange only prices in the win market there is no logical resason why he should be in the region of around 4X the price of St Nicholas Abbey as on form there is clearly not alot between them - indeed, the extended ten furlongs should be ideal for Farrh while arguably on the short side nowadays for the Ballydoyle runner. Frankel has looked vulnerable once in his career, when all out to win the St James Palace last year. With the Ballydoyle pacemakers ensuring a strongly run race his staminia will be tested and if in the unlikely circumstances that the reserves are not there, then Farrh may be the one to benefit.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 18 August 2012

1.5pts win PASTORAL PLAYER 13/2 (2 firms and Exchanges) Betfred Hungerford Stakes
1.5pts win ALANZA 9/1 ( 5 firms and Exchanges)Betfred Hungerford Stakes

The first two in the forecast are worth taking on here and Pastoral Player, who continually acquits himself well switching between Group company and stiff tasks in the valuable handicaps, looks certain to give an excellent account of himself.

Alanza is a likeable sort who won at the St Leger meeting last season. Her other two starts in this country were in Group 1's and the ground had turned against her at Newmarket last time. Although she's had ten career starts she looks open to further improvement and is a very interesting contender.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 4 August 2012

3pts win PETARA BAY 17/1 (Betfair) Toyo Tires Performance Stakes

This lightly raced gelding races off a 2lb higher mark than when successful in this last year. This event has no doubt been targeted again from an early stage in the year and like last season arrives here after running in the Pitmans Derby. Admittedly, his run in that event this season was below his fine effort in the 2011 running but ground conditions were desperate at Newcastle last time and it would be no surprise if he bounced back to his very best today.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SHROPSHIRE 27/1 (Betfair) Blue Square Stewards Cup
1pt win SWISS CROSS 74/1 (Betfair) Blue Square Stewards Cup

Shropshire is in great heart at the moment - after running a cracker to follow home what will probably be a Group class horse in Rex Impersonator at Windsor, he won an Ascot handicap last time which was a far more competitive event than the prize money indicated. He carries a 6lb penalty for that successs but gives the impression that there is further improvement left in him and is worth as go at the odds available.

Swiss Cross left Gerard Butler for his new yard in May. He ran well in an Epsom handicap in an Epsom handicap last month before finishing in mid-div in the valuable handicap at York last weekend. Although he has yet to do anything in one of these valuable events, he is a speedy type who will be able to keep tags on the leaders and give himself every chance. There are plenty with stonger credentials but he is worth small stakes at his current exchange price.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 2 August 2012

1.5pts win PRINCE OF JOHANNE 12/1 (Generally available) Betfred Mile
1.5pts win FIELD OF DREAM 12/1 (Generally available) Betfred Mile

As is becoming the norm in these big handicaps, due to the amount of horses in training there is a compacted field with a weight range of only 14lb which reduces the chance of the lightly raced Group horse in disguise getting in low down the handicap.

Provided any ground changing rain keeps away, Royal Hunt Cup and Camebridgeshire winner Prince of Johanne has a strong chance of putting another big handicap against his name. A real professional who has won a third of his career starts and excels in these big fields, he looks good enough to prove a force off a 6lb higher rating that his Hunt Cup success with a promising claimer offsetting 5lb of that. He shaped well in his warm up race at Pontefract the other day.

Field of Dream ran on strongly to finish fourth in the Ascot event.He won a very valuable handicap at that venue last time and has never been in better form. He does not look to be the most straightforward character but has the raw ability to win this and Spencer is ideal for this type of animal who will need the gaps to appear at the right time more than most.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 1 August 2012

1.5pts win  HALLING'S COMET 12/1 ( Betfair and Betdaq) Betfred Bonus King Stakes
1.5pts win BLUE SURF 14/1( 4 firms and Exchanges) Betfred Bonus King Stakes

A cracking race to get stuck into. Halling's Comet was betaen at Newmarket by a horse that should have won here the other day. He is the type that his yard excel with and stepped up in trip is open to considerable improvement.

Blue Surf is an interesting runner for his local trainer who has won this in the past. He looked an improving type when winning at Windsor on his seasonal debut and should give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SIMENON 4/1 (Generally available) Artemis Goodwood Cup

This likeable gelding was in terrific heart when winning twice at the Royal meeting and with no stars in this division at the moment and those that ran in the Ascot Gold Cup looking beatable, he has an excellent chance of taking this event. Any easing in the ground would be ideal but he has run well on fastish ground at this venue when Andrew Balding had him.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 31 July 2012

3pts win WILLIE WAG TAIL 8/1 ( Generally available)  UBS Stakes

This one is hard to weigh up but he improved in the region of 10lb when winning on the AW last time when stepped up to this trip and if that and a bit more can be carried over on his return to turf - a distinct possibility given how lightly raced he is - then he could be a little ahead of his mark. Confidence is also increased by the healthy present form of his yard.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 30 July 2012

2pts win RETRIEVE 10/1 (Generally available)  Bet 365.Com Stakes H'cap
1pt win RIGHT STEP 45/1 (Betfair) Bet 365.Com Stakes H'cap

Retrieve went close a few times in G1 company in Australia . It's still hard to confidently say what is level is in Europe despite having six runs here and while he is not going to be effective at the highest level he is probably much better than what he has so far shown and with a big field  likely to do him no harm is capable of going close with a handicap mark of a listed/G3 horse.

Right Step went close in the big three year olds handicap at this meeting two years ago. He showed he retains all his ability when winning at Epsom in the spring and though being below form in his three recent outings he could bounce back to form and cause a surprise.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ENCKE 10/1 (Betfair and Corals) Bet 365 Gordon Stakes

An up to standard renewal. Girolama ran well in what looked an above standard German Derby recently. Michelangelo is a promising sort who could still be anythinbg while Noble Mission ran a blinder in the King Edward. However, it could be worth taking a chance with Encke who is much better than the bare form of his victory in a Sandown handicap, will appreciate this step up in trip and is open to any amount of improvement.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 28 July 2012

1.5pts win JET AWAY 7/1 (Betfair) Sky Bet York Stakes
1.5pts win SIDE GLANCE 8/1 (Betfair) Sky Bet York Stakes

This is all about Planteur as a repeat of some of his best form, such as his run when third to Golden Lilac in the Prix De Isphahan two months ago, would be clearly good enough for him to win this. The problem is that he hasen't got his head infront for over a year now, disappointed at Ascot last time, and for all his ability is becoming an underachiever.

Jet Away and Side Glance look attractive alternatives. The former was bogged down in the ground at Pontefract last time but has previously looked an animal about to rise up through the ranks when beating Fiorente at Goodwood. Side Glance may have been flattered to get so close to Excelebration in the Queen Anne but it was still a good performance . He is not afraid of getting his head infront and is an interesting proposition trying this trip for the first time.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 21 July 2012

3pts win DANEDREAM 10/1 (Generally available)  King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes

This top class filly has had to start all over again this year after being on a roll last Autumn. She looked terrific on Arc day, winning fair and square and well up to Arc winning standard . After a workmanlike success on her seasonal debut at Baden Baden where she was no doubt undercooked, she disappointed in a messy small field renewal of the Grand Prix De Saint Cloud,  the horses beating her being the ones she had comprehensively put in their place in October. There is if course a doubt whether she has trained on the three to four but that is reflected in her odds and with the likelehood of a true run affair today, she has the perfect opportunity to return to her very best.

Won + 30pts 

Saturday, 14 July 2012

1.5pts win AREA FIFTY ONE 13/2 (Generally available) John Smith's Cup
1.5pts win KIRTHILL 10/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges) John Smith's Cup

Thriving since moving to Fahey, Area Fifty One cannot be ignored under a 5lb penalty for his facile Newmarket success where he looked a new animal. Although that was on quick ground that looked perfect for him, his previous lifetime best, which was on his run before here at York, was in the soft and todays easyish but drying surface should not hinder.

Kirthill won a valuable Newbury handicap last backend and appealed then as the type who could progress into a Group class horse this season. That has not happened yet but he has run well in both outings behind Gatewood, running on from the rear first time here, then finishing alot closer at Royal Aascot when things did not really pan out for him. He looks very much one to consider today.

Kirthill NR, AFO lost  - 1.5pts

Saturday, 7 July 2012

3pts win EASY TERMS 12/1 (Betfair) Bet365 Old Newton Cup

This mare moved to Edwin Tuer last spring and improved in the region of two stone during the season, winning four handicaps on the bounce. She has carried on improving this season.,winning her two starts at Pontefract ( in desperate ground) and York and gives no sign that she has levelled out. She was value for more than the winning margin last time after having difficulty obtaining a run and off a 4lb higher rating looks a very likely player here.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 30 June 2012

2pts win LEXINGTON BAY 12/1 ( Generally available)  John Smiths Northumberland Plate
1pt win PETARA BAY  69/1 ( Betfair) John Smiths Northumberland Plate

It's a guess how even the proven soft ground performers will handle what are likely to be desperate conditions. Lexington Bay does at least go in the soft and was in good form last Autumn, winning at Ayr and Haydock, the latter a competitive handicap. He is 7lb higher in the ratings than that last win but a repeat of that sort of performance would give him a realistic chance here. It's also encouraging that his price is holding up well as one of his stable companions High Office, who looked to have a similar chance, has been very weak indeed on the exchanges this morning.

Petara Bay finished fourth in this last year and went on to win at the big Goodwood meeting. He has been very lightly raced over the last few years but has  touch of class and retains all of his ability. Sure to strip fitter for his Ascot run, he is  massive on the exchanges at the moment but as he runs in a limited number of races connections would be unlikely to waste him if they thought it was a totally lost cause.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 23 June 2012

3pts win MEMPHIS TENNESSEE 11/2 ( 5 firms and exchanges)  Hardwicke Stakes

This is a cracking renewal and has a field worthy of a G1. Sea Moon was so impressive in last years Voltigeur that you took for granted he'd be a big player in the likes of the King George and Arc this season. However, he has not confirmed that impression since - he is high class and will come on for his seasonal debut run but may not be the star in the making that he looked to be at York that day and Memphis Tennessee gets preference. This colt was fourth in the Derby and third in the Curragh equivalent and looked an interesting prospect for the second half of the season but never appeared again after his Curragh run. He turned up for the first time since in the Ormonde at Chester, completing what was not a difficult task with his chief rival running well below form. His trainer has been quoted as saying that he has come on physically during the winter and if that is the case he should  be able to improve on his high class form of last season and is sure to be involved here.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win PABUSAR 40/1( Generally available)  Wokingham

This likeable gelding is sure to win one of the valubale sprint handicaps sometime soon. He travelled beautifully throughout his race at Newbury last time and quickened up to win his race but was just pipped on the  line. He looked a much improved animal that day. The one main concern is the ground - he has disappointed in his two outings on ground on the easy side. However one was behind Margot Did at Sandown when he went too fast early and in the other he just never quite got into it. The jury is still out on that issue but at the odds available these concerns can be overloked and he is worth taking a chance with.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ANATOLIAN 12/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Duke of Edinburgh

Anatolian has been raised 7lb in the ratings for finished second at Newmarket last time. Nevertheless, that was a competitive event, with the winner looking sure to go on and take another valuable race and he had the third horse five lengths in areas. He is stil lightly raced enough to be able to find further improvement , is not scared of getting his head infront and has the class to be able to defy top weight here.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 21 June 2012

3pts win THOMAS CHIPPENDALE 9/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges) King Edward VI Stakes

Astrology is worth taking on at around Evens. He won a dreadful Dee Stakes and was placed in a Derby where there was one genuine top class colt against a lower than normal quality field. Thought Worthy, was beaten entering the straight at Epsom ( Buick has deserted him here) and on previous form there is little to separate him and Noble Mission. Queally has chosen the latter over stable companion Thomas Chippendale but probably feels obliged to do so with him being closely related to Frankel and the Cecil second string looks mighty interesting here. He still had a Derby entry when disappointing in a Newbury handicap on his seasonal appearance when backed as though he was a Group horse. He put that behind him when impressively wining a Newmarket handicap in the soft last time; he'll need to be a good deal better than the bare form to win this but he still could be anything and is worth taking a chance with at the odds available.

Won 7.6/1 ( deduction for NR's)  + 22.8 pts

3pts win CARDIGAN 12/1 (Generally available) Coronation Stakes

This one could cause a surprise and buck the trends for this race. Almost all the winners of this come from G1's but apart from Beauty Parlour in France, this crop of 1m filles look well below the norm. Cardigan is pitted in at the deep end on her seasonal debut but her in form trainer does not have a habit of overfacing his charges and of course won the Derby with Shaamit on his seasonal debut. Cardigan won her only outing, a Haydock maiden last September in good style, acts with give in the ground and quite literally could be anything.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win KIRTHILL 16/1 ( 5 firms and exchanges) Wolferton Handicap

The owners of this colt like if possible to have something lined up for one of the handicaps here and Kirtling shaped really well on his seasonal debut at York last month after being slowly away and in the process ran what could be called a satisfactory trail for this. He'll be spot on here, acts on easy ground, and should give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 20 June 2012

3 pts win KAILANI 10/1 ( 4 firms and exchanges) Ribblesdale Stakes

This is a cracking renewal of this event with a field as strong as the Oaks itself with genuine in depth quality. The Epsom race was a messy affair with a few not getting the rub of the green. One of these was Kailani who had previously looked a top class middle distance prospect when winning the Pretty Polly. Godolphin have a solid record in this event and Kailani looks outstanding value at double fig odds.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win FROG HOLLOW 11/1 ( 5 firms and exchanges) Britannia H;cap
1pt win SWITZERLAND  28/1 (Betfair) Britannia H'cap

The form of the Betfred Silver Bowl looks sure to work out really well over the next few weeks. The winner Gabrial looks Group class in all but name, and the winer of that event last year, Sagramour, went on to take this event.

Frog Hollow finished fourth in the Haydock race, after not quite getting the run of the race . He appeals very much as one who will improve and take one of these big handicaps and it is interesting that the blinkers are fitted on him for the first time here. He looks a very likely contender indeed.

Switzerland finished just ahead of Frog Hollow in the Haydock race after racing prominently for most of the way. Though he is starting to look exposed, horses from his yard can suddenly start to show unexpected improvement when they have looked to have levelled out and drawn near Frog Hollow, he could easily outrun his odds.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win URIAH HEEP 14/1 (Ladbrokes and Betfair) King George V H'cap

Uriah Heep looks the proverbial Group horse in disguise. He got bogged down when well beaten behind Astrology in the Dee Stakes but the fact that connections had put him in a Derby trial instead of climbing through the handicap ranks is a real hint and he now gets his chance in a handicap off a mark that he is very likely going to clearly surpass sometime soon. It will be both disappointing and surprising if he does not take a hand in the finish here.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 19 June 2012

3pts win EMULOUS 3/1( 3 firms and exchanges) Windsor Forest Stakes

Group 1 winners have a poor record carrying their penalty in this but Emulous can buck that trend here. Last seasons Matron Stakes winner is an extremely likeable win machine who will come on for her seasonal debut victory at the Curragh and looks sure to be able to produce a similar level of form to her best last season and is certain to take all the beating here and even though the standout 100/30 with Hills will probably not be generally available for long, she is still cracking value around the 3/1 mark.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win BELGIAN BILL 14/1 ( 4 firms and exchanges) Royal Hunt Cup
1.5pts win CAI SHEN  14/1 (Generally available) Royal Hunt Cup

These two both ran blinders over this course and distance in last seasons Brittania and must be short listed here.

Belgian Bill finished fourth in that race and hasen't won since his run prior to that. After being in Meydan over the winter he reappeared back in this country in March when just touched off in Lingfield listed race. He has been rested since then with this clearly as his summer target and it all points to a big run here.

Cai Shen finished runner up in the Brittania and this straight mile looks far more to his liking than the Goodwood track where he ran unplaced in the Totesport Mile, his only other run in a large field handicap since. He has looked as good as ever on his two Lingfield runs this season and should give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win GRAPHIC GUEST 8/1 (Generally available) Queen Mary Stakes
1.5pts win JADANNA 12/1 ( 3 firms) Queen Mary Stakes

Graphic Guest has a strong chance of adding to Mick Channon's successes in this event. She beat previous impressive winner Hairy Rocket in good style at Windsor last time and should have no trouble confirming that form here. Her level of form there is as good as anything on offer here and with the promise of better to come she must be taken aboard.

Hilary Needler winner Jadanna looks a real early speedster who could be good enough to take a hand in this. She was reported to have arrived at Beverley short of peak fitness after a small setback so should be capable of showing tangible improvement on the level of that form.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 18 June 2012

3pts win DAWN APPROACH 4/1 (Generally available) Coventry Stakes

This colt needed to come under pressure to get past Mister Marc but won authoritavely in the end. It wasen't visually a wow performance and no doubt Hannon rates at least one of his in the line up better than his runner up that day . However,  there is no doubt that Dawn Approach is more than just a classy first half season juvenile;  has a long term future and is already considered by connections to be Guineaus material for next season. Gritty as well as classy he is sure to take all the beating here.

Won 4/1  + 12pts

1.5pts win COSIMO DE MEDICI 9/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Ascot Stakes
1.5pts win VEILED 12/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Ascot Stakes

Sure to be better for his reappearance, Cosimo De Medici developed into a progressive late maturing staying handicapper towards the end of last season who was probably over the top in the Cesarewitch. He had previously won a competitive trial for that race in the style of an animal who had further improvement left and off a 5lb higher mark in the ratings should be a big player here.

Last years winner Veiled has been lightly raced since and was last seen out at the Aintree Grand National meeting. She had previously shown herself as good as ever when running third in the Coral Cup at Cheltenham. Last season she arrived here on the back of a Newmaket victory a fortnight previous and though the approach is different here, and she is 7lb higher in the ratings than last year, there are not many that appeal more in this field.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 3 June 2012

1.5pts win GREGORIAN 28/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Prix Du Jockey Club
1.5pts win AMARON 33/1 ( generally available) Prix Du Jockey Club

The form of the French 2,000 GNS seems to to have been overlooked by the market here and these two, who finished fourth and fifth at Longchamp, have live chances and represent cracking value at the odds available.

As is typical of alot of races over here they finished bunched in that event, but that does not necessarily dictate that the form will not work out. The German trained Amaron finished fourth on his first outing outside his native country, only half a length off the winner. He is consistent, enjoys ease in the ground and will not be far away in a race that his sire won.

Gregorian is also ideally suited by ease. After gamely winning a Newbury handicap he was pitted in at the deep end at Longchamp and finished one place behind Amaron, running as if this longer trip will bring about further improvement.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 28 May 2012

3pts win THOUGHT WORTHY 25/1 ( 4 firms including Ladbrokes and Hills) Investec Derby

Worth playing in this now as this colt could well start around the 14/1 mark come racetime

Camelot makes the market and is priced up too short. Despite the first and third in today's German 2,000 coming from the field, this years 2,000 Guineas form has a far from solid look about it - Power ran no sort of race at all and you can forget he ever lined up and it is far more significant that the third and fourth at Newmarket did the form no credit at the Curragh. True, he is a high class colt who has done nothing wrong and could  be a real star but he is priced up accordingly and is worth taking on.

One of his stable companions Imperial Monarch is tempting at double fig odds but the liklehood of ground on the fast side is slightly off putting  and Thought Worthy, the horse he beat at Sandown, is mighty interesting. As they raced on opposite sides there is no knowing what would have happened if the Gosden colt had also gone to the stands side as he was clear of the two that stayed with him.

Thought Worthy then had a final prep in the Fairway Stakes at Newmarket on a fast surface. He battled splendidly to regain the lead after being headed, giving the impression that the Derby trip will bring about notable improvement which will be required for him to win. The trainer gives the impression that he thinks the absolute world of this colt and he is just the sort that he excels with. If he wasen't considered up to figuring in a big way he'd have been put away for something like the King Edward, and it is worth noting the he has a very good line on the merits of the first two in the betting through his Fencing who has run to a similar level of form against Camelot in the Racing Post Trophy and Guineas, and Bonfire in the Dante.

Bits of 29's are currently cropping up on Betfair to moderate amounts but he is available at 25/1 with four firms including Hills and Ladbrokes and is worth supporting right now as he is certain to start notably shorter on the day.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 26 May 2012

2pts win GABRIEL 4/1 (Generally available) Betfred Silver Bowl H'cap
1pt win SWITZERLAND 16/1 ( 4 firms and exchanges) Betfred Silver Bowl H'cap

Prices have been clipped due to a few notable absentees but this long standing event remains as fascinating as always and the Boodle Diamond H'cap at the Chester May meeting looks significant with regards to this race.

Mick Channons Arnold Lane narrowly beat Gabriel and Switzerland in that event. It could be a hint that though the winner was originally entered in this Channon is represented by Tidentime. However, it is hard to ignore the claims of Gabriel who looked the best long term prospect from the Chester race. He is drawn near the inside rail and given that the gaps appear for him, he is the one to beat.

Switzerland was a close up third in that event and on todays ground should be able to run to his optimum at this trip. He too gives the impression that there is more to come and is worth moderate support at the odds currently available.

Gabriel won + 7pts

Saturday, 19 May 2012

2pts win REWARDED 8/1 (Generally available) Blue Square London Gold Cup
1pt win CLAYTON 25/1 (Betfair) Blue Square London Gold Cup

All eyes will be on Thomas Chippendale who still holds a Derby entry but with all the value gone there are alternatives to consider and Rewarded, who has a St James Palace entry himself, is an interesting proposition . Admittedly, he will need to settle better than he has done in his recent races but if he can relax then this step up in trip looks certain to bring about further improvement and with the easyish ground posing no problem, he should play a big role in this.

Clayton is another who goes on todays surface. He ran well in an OK'ish handicap at Musselburgh on only his second career start  and  looks the type who will go on improving and win a nice handicap or two this season. Although this looks a hot event with perhaps one or two hidden gems lining up, it will only take a couple to disappoint to put him bang in there.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 12 May 2012

3 pts win PASTORAL PLAYER 14/1 (Betfair) Betfred Victoria Cup

This gelding races off a lifetime high rating here but has a touch of genuine class and was still progressing last season and has plenty going for him. He is 1st, 2nd, 1st on his seasonal debut runs so fitness should not be an issue.The ground too will not be a problem as he finished 3rd in the Wokingham on a similar surface to todays; while his course form reads 3rd,4th,1st - all in ultra competitive handicaps. It's in the lap of the Gods how is draw position will pan out but he has as stronger claims as any and is sure to give a good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win PAINTBALL 20/1 (Betfair)  Pertempts Network H'cap Hdle

With the Longsdon yard holding it's form at the beginning of the summer campaign there is every reason to believe that this years Imperial Cup winner will run his race here. On ground on the easy side,Paintball travelled well in what what was a similarly large competitive field to todays and showed a good to turn of pace to take his race. His mosr recent run at Aintree can be ignored as things went wrong for him right from the onset and though 11lb higher in the ratings than Sandown, that hike seems justified and he appeals very much as the type for this event.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 10 May 2012

3pts win GLEN'S DIAMOND 11/1 (Betfair) Betfair Huxley Stakes

This one has a live chance here. He has won on easy ground and though not raced on ground as testing as todays there is hope that he'll handle it. In fact, though having the pace to win over course and distance here 12 months ago, his three solid races in Meydan were over 1m 4f, 1m 6f, 1m6f so the testing nature of todays event might just play into his hands.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 8 May 2012

1.5pts win NEVER CAN TELL 15/2 ( Hills) Stan James Chester Cup
1.5pts win TOMINATOR 9/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Stan James Chester Cup

The hardened season campaigners win this event as much as your lightly raced progressive types and these two have first rate chances from comfortable draw positions.

Never Can Tell has been raised 7lb for his Cesarewitch win and reappears for the first time since. However, he  is sure to be ready to run for his life given that this is his his owners  favourite meeting, has won twice around here , and though he has disappointed when the ground was easy that was probably coincidental as his pedigree strongly indicates that he should go on it.

Tominator won the Pitmans Deby on easy ground. He is 6lb higher in the ratings but has run very well off revised marks since the Newcastle victory and has also run a couple of nice races at this venue. He has lots of positives attached to him.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 6 May 2012

2pts win FRANCISCAN  9.5/1( Betfair and Betdaq)  Quipco Supporting Bristish Racing H'cap
1pt win ITHOUGHTITWASOVER 15/1 (Betfair)  QuipcoSupporting British Racing Stakes
Progressive towards the end of last season,Franciscan looks one to follow in handicaps this season and can start of the new term on a wining note. It's  interesting to note that there wouild have been a suitable race for him at Chester this week; -  his owner's favourite track -  and while it could be taken as a negative that he runs here and indeed a sign that he'll need this, his price his holding up at the moment and he'll most likely be fit to do himself justice here.

Ithoughtitwasover ran a poor race in testing conditions at Epsom last but does handle ground on the easy side . He has pieces of form in the book that give him a serious chance of winning this and with his yard in fairish form, could bounce right back to his best here.
Ithoughtitwasover won + 12.5pts

1.5pts win DISCOURSE 12/1 (Betfair) Quipco 1,000 GNS
1.5pts win DIALA 15.5/1 (Betfair) Quipco 1,000 GNS
Discourse created a positive visual impression when winning the Sweet Solero last August, easily disposing of a very hardy and useful yardstick in the process, and can give his trainer his second consecutive winner of this event. Admittedly the form of the yard is a concern; Mariner's Cross ran very well yesterday but a couple of others ran stinkers. However, it's not uncommon for many of the big yards to be a bit patchy at this early stage of the season and she is one of the more likely winners of this.

Her stable companion Lyric of Light is another of considerable interest but if they both aren't quite firing then one to take advantage could be Diali who chased home Lyric of Light on their debuts.While the winner then went and proved herself at the highest level, Diali appeared once more to lose her maiden tag. She arrives here unproven in Group company but it's very likely that she would have acquitted herself well in one of the filly juvenile G1's if asked to do so and she must be considered here.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 5 May 2012

1.5pts win DANADANA 10/1 (Betfair) Mafki Suffolk Stakes
1.5pts win SPANISH DUKE 11.5/1(Betfair) Mafki Suffolk Stakes

Luca Cumani has had a couple of winners in recent days which gives hope that Danadana will line up in forward shape here. He hasen't run since Royal Ascot when finishing fifth to Brown Panther but is open to considerable improvement and has the potential to end the season as good as anything above him in the handicap and cannot be crossed out here.

Spanish Duke runs well fresh as illustrated when he won first time out last term. He failed to make an impact after looking likely to build on that success but off a 5lb higher rating than that last victory must have a first rate chance if in anything like that sort of form.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win BORN TO SEA 11/1 (Betfair) Quipco 2,000 GNS

Even if you put aside the fact that he has some illustrious relatives, this colt would still be entitled to massive respect here on the basis that John Oxx is not known for overfacing his animals and there is no doubt that Born To Sea will be considered to be up to running a major race here. He showed a good turn of speed to win a Listed event on his debut before being beaten in a G3 at Leopardstown when the yielding ground was blamed - though it was also on the easy side for his debut. He had been easy to back on the exchanges this morning on account of concerns about the ground but conditions now appear to be drying quickly and he is shortening again but is still at double fig odds and is worth supporting as it will be surprising if he does not turn out to be a genuine G1 horse,

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 28 April 2012

3pts win TIDAL BAY 12/1 (Ladbrokes and Coral)  Bet 365 Gold Cup

Tidal Bay's only previous visit to this venue was when runner up to Master Minded in the Tingle Creek in 2008. Now in the twilight of his career, the Tiday Bay of now  requires a good test of staminia and does nothing but stay on after hitting a flat spot and giving himself plenty of ground to make up. He does however retain a good deal of his ability and is still classy enough to defy top weight here and with conditions in his favour a big run looks very much on the cards.

won + 36 pts

1.5pts win APT APPROACH 16/1 (Generally available) Tote Punchestown Gold Cup
1.5pts win ROBERTO GOLDBACK 21/1 (Betfair) Tote Punchestown Gold Cup

It looks as though the ground will be as testing as on previous days and it could be worth taking as couple of double fig priced animals aboard that will go in the ground.

Four of Apt Approaches six victories have come in heavy ground. He has shown himself to be in good recent hearty when a staying on 8th in the Topham a couple of weeks ago and should run well here.

Roberto Goldback has perhaps not developed into the animal that he promised to be in his novice days. He is however still a very useful individual as his Lexus run in December followed by his Hennessey run in February showed. Both don't give him much to find here and if you can forgive his most recent runs, then a case can be made for him.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 21 April 2012

2pts win RED MERLIN  5/1 (Generally available) Isle of Skye Whiskey Scottish Champion Hdle
1pt win RAYA STAR 10/1 (Betfair) Isle of Skye Whiskey Scottish Champion Hdle

Former Old Newton Cup winner Red Merlin appears to have transferred all of his ability over to his new career and despite racing in handicap company for the first time in this sphere has a first rate chance in a race where most of the contenders carry niggly doubts.

Alan King has a poor record at this track and Raya Star is very easy to back on the exchanges at the moment. However, what is clear is that a repeat of the level of form he showed in his three races prior to finishing down the field at Cheltenham would probably be good enough for him to win this.

Raya Star won +7.4pts

1.5pts win BE THERE IN FIVE 35/1 (Betfair) Scottish Grand National
1.5pts win MAC AEDA 39/1 (Betfair) Scottish Grand National

Enough long shots have taken this down the years and it could be worth taking a couple of big priced runners aboard.

Nicky Henderson's runners continue to run out of their skin and Be There In Five has bits of form to suggest he is in with a shout here. He dissapointed badly in this race last year after a good run at Cheltenham but showed signs that something could be around the corner when staying on to finish on 12 lengths behind Sunnyhillboy in the Kim Muir last time, and will surely run much better than last year.

Mac Aeda had a profile of a typical progressive Malcolm Jefferson staying chaser when winning at Wetherby in February. He then ran too bad to be true in the Grimthorpe last time and remains very much of interest and it would be no surprise if he ran a big race here.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 13 April 2012

2pts win OSCAR WHISKEY 9/4 (Generally available) John Smith´s Aintree Hurdle
1pt win THOUSAND STARS 7/1(Corals) John Smith´s Aintree Hurdle

These two finished first and second in this last year and were well clear of the rest. They both failed to get home in the World Hurdle at Cheltenham, both having travelled well for a long way. All points to the pair of them running up to their optimums in this and they are preferred over Champion Hurdle winner Rock On Ruby and Zarkander, the latter unlikely to help himself by hitting a flat spot again, despite the longer trip.

Oscar Whiskey won  + 3.5pts

3pts win BECAUSEICOULDNTSEE 22/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) John Smith´s Grand National

The first two home in the Kim Muir have strong credentials in this and meet here on the same terms. However, the runner up is much preferred here, with Sunnyhillboy being the subject of negative vibes earlier in the week plus the fact that the O'Neil horse can get himself too far off the pace - as in last years Irish Grand National, a trait that is not ideal for this event. Becauseicouldntsee races near to the pace, should have no difficulty getting the trip and has an ideal opportunity to make up for last years early exit, provided he settles into that crucial rhythm from the outset.He is also effective on anything from good to heavy ground so there is no need to worry how the weather materialises.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win MY TENT OR YOURS 7/1 (Corals) John Smith´s Champion Bumper
1.5pts win THE NEW ONE 6/1 (Generally available) John Smith´s Champion Bumper

The third horse was well beaten off when My Tent Or Yours was narrowly beaten in a Newbury bumper and though the form has yet to be tested it looked a very hot race with the first two home probably very classy individuals. Geraghty has chosen this one over the equally promising looking stable companion who is very weak on the exchanges this evening.

The New One did best of these that ran in the Cheltenham Bumper and there is no reason why the form should be turned around. He has solid credentials and is sure to give a very good account of himself.

The New One won + 7.5pts
3pts win PROSPECT WELLS 3.9/1 ( both exchanges) Tangle Teaser Top Novices´ Hurdle

With the ground now on the good side and hopefully not too many showers forecast, Prospect Wells looks certain to go close in this. Despite staying on in the Supreme Novices, he does not need a more testing track and should be travel well enough around here. There is not much between him and Darlan on the Cheltenham form and they are hard to split but at the odds available Prospect Wells is the bet.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ALBERTAS RUN 3/1( 2 firms inc Hills)John Smith´s Melling Chase Grade

This likeable gelding is at his most effective around here, at this trip and on ground on the good side and is sure to go close to repeating his success in this event two years ago. He showed himself to be as good as ever last time out and it is more than possible that Finians Rainbow will not be at his optimum at this trip.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win GOLDEN CALL 23/1 (Betfair) John Smith´s Sefton Novices´ Hurdle
1.5pts win LOVCEN 15.5/1 (Betfair) John Smith´s Sefton Novices´ Hurdle

There are dangers aplenty to the first two in the forecast here and it could be worth taking aboard a couple at double fig odds.

Golden Call has improved markedly recently and this track should suit his front running style. On the book his level of form is around a stone behind Fingal Bay, but there is probably further improvement to come and he is already on par with most of these.

Lovcen ran a fairish race at Cheltenhem but is certain to race closer to the pace here. The stable showed they were in good form here yesterday and a prominent display is on the cards from this one.

Lovcen won + 20.75 pts

Wednesday, 11 April 2012

2pts win GRUMETI 7/2 (Generally available) Matalan Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle
1pt win SADLERS RISK 8.6/1(Betfair) Matalan Anniversary 4-Y-O Juvenile Hurdle

Alan King excels in these events and has won this race twice in recent years. Grumeti appeals as the type who will appreciate this less taxing circuit and has first class prospects of reversing the Triumph form here.

Sadler's Risk is almost certainly better than what he showed in that race and it would not come as a great shock if he went on to have a better second season than the rest of the Cheltenham field. Provided the rain keeps away and the ground continues to dry he will run a big race.

Grumeti won 3.1/1 ( deduct for R4) + 5.2 pts

2pts win BURTON PORT 9/2 (Generally available) Betfred Bowl Chase
1pt win DIAMOND HARRY 20/1(4 firms and exchanges) Betfred Bowl Chase

The first two home in last seasons Hennessey are of some interest here. Burton Port, who won at this meeting in his novice days, was away from the track for over a year after the Newbury race but has returned better than ever. Provided his two most recent races have not taken their toll, he will give a very good account of himself.

Diamond Harry has lost a bit of his aura recently but probably has another couple of valuable prizes in him and has the raw ability to cause a minor surprise here.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win CLOUDY LANE 17/2 (Exchanges) John Smith´s Fox Hunters´ Chase
1.5pts win BOXER GEORG 17/2 (Exchanges) John Smith´s Fox Hunters´ Chase

Cloudy Lane is experienced over these fences and has adapted well to the hunter chase sphere. He ran a fair race in the Cheltenham Foxhunters and looks set to go well here.

Boxer Georg went close to winning this last year and should be alot closer to Cloudy Lane than he was at Cheltenham and has a serious chance of winning this himself.

Cloudy Lane won + 11 pts

2pts win KUMBESHWAR 7.6/1 (Betfair) Red Rum Handicap Chase
1pt win ASTRACAD 12/1 (3 firms including Ladbrokes) Red Rum Handicap Chase

A few of these ran in the Grand Annual with Tanks for That coming out best. However, it is worth noting that he disappointed on his only outing here and seems to reserve his best for Cheltenham. Thus with a pull in the weights, and provided the blinkers work for a second time, Kumbashwar can reverse the Cheltenham form with this sharper track being more to his liking.

Astracad was seventh in the same race but looks open to further improvement. He is a danger to all though the present form of the yard is a litle worrying.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts each way REINDEER DIPPIN 20/1 (Generally available) Silver Cross Handicap Hurdle

This gelding ran a blinder in this race last year, finishing runner up after travelling supremely well for a long way. He is not getting any younger and has a 6lb higher rating than 12 months ago but has proved that he retains all of his ability and another big run is on the cards.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 31 March 2012

2pts win FURY 7/1 (2 firms and Betfair) William Hill Lincoln
1pt win MIA'S BOY 20/1 (Generally available) William Hill Lincoln

William Haggas has won this twice in the last 5 years.The most recent being Penintent who like Fury was owned by Cheverley Park and there is little doubt that they would have dispersed with Fury if they had serious doubts about him returning to his best form this season.He started as short as 12/1 for the 2,000 GNS prior to finishing a distant but not disgraced 5th, and was then touched off in a listed event at Sandown. He lost his way after but has been gelded and has been fully targeted at this and cannot be ignored.

Mia's Boy got his head back infront for the first time in two years here last October - in the same conditions event as his last past victory. He then followed up two outings after at Wolverhampton and has run well in his three subsequent races. Admittedly, he lacks the profile for a winner of this race and is vulnerable to the better handicapped types but he retains his form remarkably well and it will only take one or two of the better fancied ones to run below form to give him a serious chance.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 24 March 2012

3pts win MON PARRAIN 5/2 (Generally available) Ultima Business Solutions Handicap Chase

Lots of negatives surrounding many of these and in a race that is not going to take too much winning for the prize money on offer, Mon Parrain will take some beating and is fairly priced around the 5/2 mark. He looked exciting on his first run in this country last spring and folowed up with a cracking run in the Topham. He has been off the track since a good run at Cheltenham in December when visually not quite getting home. He has reportedly had a breathing operation since, is proven fresh, and can have no excuses today.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 16 March 2012

1.5pts win BABY MIX 6.8/1 (Both exchanges) JCB Triumph Hdle
1.5pts win SADLER'S RISK JCB 7.2/1(Both exchanges) Triumph Hdle

These two occupied the first two spots in the Adonis last time with the rest of the field, including subsequent Fred Winter winner Une Artiste, well beaten off. The form looks absolute stonewall solid and the preferred option is to take both on board here rather than one, and something from the other trials. Baby Mix was convincing at Kempton and has also won around here though it is quite possible that this more testing circuit will bring about enough improvement from Sadler's Risk to enable him to turn the tables.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MOUNT BENBULBEN 6.8/1 (Both exchanges) Albert Bartlett Novices Hdle
1pt win SEA OF THUNDER 9/1 (Both exchanges) Albert Bartlett Novices Hdle

Mount Benbulben had quite a bit of hype surrounding him early in the season and his defeat to Boston Bob at Navan in December came as a disappointment to those around him. Three months on, in a different scenario, he makes plenty of appeal at over 4 x the price of the Mullins horse. It will al depend on which one handles todays ground the best and it could be that Boston Bob is the one requiring a slog in testing conditions to produce his optimum.

Lost - 3pts

Sea of Thunder was well beaten behind Boston Bob in January; again in the mud. He was previously trouncing his field in a G2 here in December when coming down at the last. That was on similar ground to todays and he looks certain to give a very good account of himself here.

1.5pts win SYNCHRONISED 11/1(Generally available) Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup
1.5pts win WEIRD AL 12.5/1(Betfair) Betfred Cheltenham Gold Cup

There are lots of doubts surrounding many of these - Long Run has not been convincing at any one stage this season, Kauto Star is vulnerable with doubts surrounding him, his yard, and his age, and Burton Port was no doubt flattered to get so close to a below par Long Run last time and has never really appealed as a Gold Cup winner.

This leaves some unthinkables but the fact is that Synchronised now has to be viewed as the new look horse that he is and not some marathon type going around Chepstow or Uttoxeter. There was no fluke about his Lexus Chase victory of which the form looks reasonably solid and there is some precedent for a horse with his sort of profile winning this as The Thinker had at one time in his career settled into the mode of your typical staying handicaper that graces the Uttoxeters of this world.

This is still a bit of the unknown about Weird Al. However, he is clearly a high class chaser who looked the part when winning the Charlie Hall earlier in the season. He has won around here, is best fresh and is fully effective on good ground. All in all the scenario here is perfect for him to run the race of his life and his claim has to be taken seriously.

Synchronised won + 15 pts

1.5pts win SALSIFY 6/1 (Generally available) Christies Foxhunters Chase
1.5pts win CHAPOTURGEON 13/2(Betfair) Christies Foxhunters Chase

Salsify has very strong claims to this. He won at both the Punchestown and Fairyhouse festivals last Spring and returned to his best when winning at Leopardtown last month. He has the beatng of quite a few of these on those three races and with the ground in his favour will go very close.

Not too long ago there would have been massive doubts about Chapoturgeon getting home over this trip. However, he seems to be a more relaxed type in new hands and judging by his impressive Newbury success has every chance of lasting home. If so, he'll take some beating as he has always had a touch of class about him and is till only 8 years old.

Salsify won + 7.5pts

Thursday, 15 March 2012

3pts win PEDDLERS CROSS 7/2 (Generally available) Jewson Novices Chase

Not alot to say except that if he's anywhere near his best he'll win this and with opportunities for him at Aintree, it's hard to believe that he'd run here if there was any serious doubts about his well being.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win GREAT ENDEAVOUR 11/1( Both Exchanges) Ryanair Chase
1.5pts win CAPTAIN CHRIS 14/1( Hills) Ryanair Chase

Great Endeavour is in his element around here and arrives nice and fresh and there is every reason to believe he will be at the top of his game. At the odds available he is a far more attractive proposition than the ones who he would be receiving weight off in a handicap even though on the face of it he would need to produce a career best performance to win.

The ground has come right for Captain Chris who connections were trying to turn into a Gold Cup horse. This looks much more his race and it would no surprise to see him return to his very best and put in a bold showing.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SUNNYHILLBOY 15/2 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Chase
1pt win FAASEL 16/1 (Both exchanges) Fulke Walwyn Kim Muir Chase

Sunnyhillboy ran two crackers in the two big pre- Christmas handicaps here last season and went on to finish third in the Irish National.He has clearly been targeted at this and looks certain to give an excellent account of himself.

Former high class 2m hurdler Faasel got his head infront for the first time in over three years last time. He has finished runner up in this event in the past two years, is very hard to put a line through, and is worth a point at the odds available.

Sunnyhillboy won +14 pts

Wednesday, 14 March 2012

1.5pts win ALLEE GARDE 17/2( Betfair) Diamond Jubilee National Hunt Chase
1.5pts win TEAFORTHREE 7/1 ( 4 firms) Diamond Jubilee National Hunt Chase

Judging by his run in the Fort Leney, Allee Garde would not have disgraced himself in the Sun Alliance. He seems a safe enough conveyance, is expected to get this marathon trip, and is hard to get away from.

Provided he proves fully effective on good ground, Teaforthree should give a prominent display from the front. He has acquitted himself well against some quality novices and shapes like a horse who will get this trip.

Teaforthree won + 9pts

1.5pts win SOUS LES CIEUX 6.8/1 (Betfair) Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle
1.5pts win MAKE YOUR MARK 9/1(Betfair) Neptune Investment Management Novices´ Hurdle

Sous Les Cieux has run in three consecutive G1's and was confidently ridden when failing to pick up and catch the 50/1 Benefficient last time. He seems more ideally suited by this sort of trip, can turn that form around, and has strong claims.

Strictly on form, Make Your Mark's third in the mud to Boston Bob last time was his best piece of form. However, he is very likely a bit better on todays sort of ground and looks sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win BOB'S WORTH 4/1 ( 2 firms amd exchanges) RSA Chase

On the strength of his novice hurdle season, Bob's Worth's chasing campaign has been slightly disappointing as one could have envisaged him arriving here unbeaten. However, he underwent a breathing operation after finishing behind Grand Crus at Kempton and shaped well last time on his first run since. He has a sporting chance of reversing that Kempton form and is worth supporting at around the 4/1 mark.

won + 12pts

2pts win DARE ME 14/1 (Generally available) Coral Cup
1pt win THIRD INTENTION 31/1 (Betfair) Coral Cup

Dare Me has been unfortunate to have two serious interuptions in his career. Firstly, after looking highly promising when winning a Haydock bumper in November 2008 he was missing for 15 months. After he re-started his career with a useful Spring campaign in 2010, including when narowly beaten in the Aintree bumper; he embarked on a novice hurdle campaign in the Autumn winning his first two starts but then incurred a setback which kept him off for another 15 months. Now an 8 year old, he reappeared agin recently and has run promisingly in his two starts and looks to have been laid out for this. This could at last be his big day.

Third Intention has a very stiff task when you consider he finished in the mid-div off an 11lb lower mark in the Betfair Hurdle. However, the hike in the ratings comes from an improved performance when stepped up to this sort of trip at Fontwell last time. That performance, along with his course form here gives him a real chance and he is one to take aboard.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win ROYAL GUARDSMAN 8.8/1 (Betfair) Weatherbys Champion Bumper
1pt win JETKI 17/1 (Betfair) Weatherbys Champion Bumper

Royal Guardsman looked the part when winning a hot Ascot bumper. From a yard that has taken this event in the past he appears to have as good as chance as any here.

Jetki's yard have also taken this before with Cork All Star. Jetki is unbeaten in his two starts and beaten a stable companion comfortably last time in a race were the right horses occupied the top spots.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 12 March 2012

1.5pts win GALILEO'S CHOICE 8/1( 3 firms and exchanges) William Hill Supreme Novices´ Hurdle
1.5pts win MONTBLAZON 8/1( Betfair and Betdaq) William Hill Supreme Novices´ Hurdle

With the class to win a 10f G3 at Leopardswown in September, Galileo's Choice has carried his ability through to hurdling already showing a level of form to make him a major player in this and with the drying ground likely to bring around further improvement, he looks assured of a high position in this.

Montblazon has really come to himself since the Alan King yard hit form and looks as though he will continue to progress and is the prefered option of those that ran in last season's big Aintree bumper.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win AL FEROF 3.4/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Racing Post Arkle Challenge Trophy Chase

Sprinter Sacre ia almost certainly not as invincible as the visual impressions he's given around flat tracks, and though having very strong claims, Al Ferof is much prefered at the odds available. Ahead of the Henderson horse when taking last years Supreme Novices, he's adapted well to fences and ran a blinder against seasoned high class animals in the Victor Chandler last time.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win QUANTITATIVEASING 13/2 ( 2 firms and exchanges) JLT Specialty Handicap Chase
1pt win OUR MICK JLT 10/1(Generally available) Specialty Handicap Chase

Quantitativeasing can prove a real trendsbuster here as no horse as won this with as high a rating as his for three decades. However, in a far from vintage looking renewal of this he has bags of quality, runs well around here, and should be able to produce his optimum over this longer trip. He clearly has the feel of one who has been put away for this.

Our Mick is another stepping up in trip and should get home OK on this better ground. He acquitted himself well against some classy novices last time and is hard to keep off the short list.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SCOTSIRISH 7/2( 4 firms and exchanges) Glenfarclas Handicap Chase

A standing dish at the festivals down the years, Scotsirish looks to have found a niche in the Cross Country events in the twlight of his career.Looking sure to play a big role when carried out here in December, he wasen't beaten that far behing Big Zeb in a regular G1 before winning his second CC race at Punchestown last month. He will take all the beating here.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 10 March 2012

1.5pts win OFF THE GROUND 10/1 (Generally available) Paddypower Novices´ H'cap Hdle Final
1.5pts win MERRY KING 14/1 (Betfair) Paddypower Novices´ H'cap Hdle Final

A typically interesting renewal of this event and Off the Ground has as strong as claims as any, having the usual progressive profile with the promise of a lot more to come after winning for the first time in a big field over course and distance last time.

Merry King has won his last two races in testing conditions and may be capable of much better on todays surface. He cost quite a considerable sum at the sales after winning a pt to pt and connections will no doubt have lofty long term ambitions for him.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win DEVIL TO PLAY 10/1 (Betfair) Paddy Power Imperial Cup
1.5pts win SIRE DE GRUGY 10/1 (Generally available) Paddy Power Imperial Cup

These two occupied the first two spots at Taunton last month and should both go very well again.

Alan King excels with his handicap hurdlers and Devil To Play who ideally wants further than this shopuld nevertheless be fine if this is strongly run on this track and he will not be far away.

Sire De Grugy has a small pull with the King horse and has the samne sort of chance of taking this. The Taunton run came on the back of a cracking effort in the Betfair Hurdle and Gary Moore is another handler who has a fine in the valuable handicap hurles down the years.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 3 March 2012

2pts win MAD MAX 8/1 (Generally available) Barbury International Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup
1pt win RILEYEV 19/1 (Betfair) Barbury International Supporting Greatwood Gold Cup

Mad Max shaped really OK'ish on unsuitable ground on his first appearance for the Mulholland yard. Like the others in this line up there are niggly doubts as to whether he will produce something near his best but with conditions in his favour on a track that suits, he is hard to resist at tempting odds.

Rileyev's form has been almost all over trips around two mile. Thus there is a solid doubt as to whether he can be fully effective at todays trip but the fact is that if he can reproduce the level of form showed in three consecutive runs in November and December, then that would be good ennough to make him a big factor here granted he stays.

Mad Max NR, Rileyev Lost - 1pt

3pts win BENNY BE GOOD 6/1 (Betfair) (Generally available) Download William Hill From The App-Store Grimthorpe Chase

This likeable,reliable stayer was put up 7lb in the ratings after narrowly failing to give weight away here in December. He's had a couple of hurdle runs since and it will be very surprising if he does not run to his optimum today - he might not have too much in hand of the handicapper but, the Jefferson horse apart, he is the most likely to run his race and is fairishly priced up.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 25 February 2012

3pts win PLANET OF SOUND (SP) Racing Post Chase

This race takes far less winning than it use to and there is no doubt that Planet of Sound possesses the quality to give weight away here. Quite simply, a reproduction of his Hennessey form would be surely enable him to win this and there is every reason to suggest that he will be turned out here in peak condition and produce his optimum.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 18 February 2012

3pts win CAPPA BLEU 15/2(Generally available) Weatherbys Bloodstock Insurance Chase

Although this gelding has not developed into the horse he looked he could be when winning the 09 Cheltenham Foxhunters in impressive style, he is still a very talented individual with plenty of miles still left on the clock. There is nothing to be too scared of here and he looks sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win GILES CROSS 11/2 (Generally available) Betfred Grand National Trial

For one plying his trade in these sort of events, Giles Cross is as reliable as you could get and there is no sign of him becoming jaded just yet. He ran another fine race for the second year running in the Welsh National and on revised terms, and in the sort of race where every pound will count, he can reverse the form with the winner.

won + 16.5pts

1.5pts win ORZARE 10/1 (Generally available) Betfair Don´t Settle For Less Handicap Hurdle
1.5pts win CRACK AWAY JACK 10/1 (Exchanges) Betfair Don´t Settle For Less Handicap Hurdle

Hailing from a yard that excels in this sort of event,Orzare looks very much one who would pay to follow blindly this season and can turn the recent course form with Smad Place around.

Crack Away Jack's last run over hurdles was when 4th in the 09 Champion Hdle. It's more than likely that he retains most of that ability and if so he should be able to go close to defying his weight.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 16 February 2012

1.5pts win EMPIRE LEVANT 23/1 (Betfair) Betfair Hdle
1.5pts win THIRD INTENTION 14/1 (Generally available) Betfair Hdle

Empire Levant has run well on all his starts here and came up against a highly progressive animal last time who then went on to run Binocular close at Kempton. He is overall on a definite upward curve himself and at the odds available is a far more attractive proposition than stable companion Zarkander.

Third Intention travels like a classy sort in his races - and this level track will suit him far better than Cheltenham where he flattened out in the Greatwood after looking sure to figure in a big way. He has one of these valuable handicaps in him.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 28 January 2012

2pts win WAYWARD PRINCE 9/1 ( 3 firms including Hills) Skybet Chase
1pt win OSRIC 39/1 (Betfair) Skybet Chase

Going back 12 months Wayward Prince was developing into a live Sun Alliance hope and one would have predicted that he would be higher than a 146 horse come now. After running a respectable race at Cheltenham following by a slightly disappointing one at Aintree, he disappointed on his return in the Hennessey. Last time he performed OK'ish in ground perhaps too soft for him and he arrives here now without any excuses to offer for performing poorly.

Osric has not done much on his two runs this season and is clearly the stables second string. However, the fact the Henderson retains him in his yard indicates that there could be something to come from him this season and it would be no surprise if he returned to form and put in a prominent display here - though he would need to put in a lifetime best to win.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win TIME FOR RUPERT 4/1 (Generally available) Argento Chase

Captain Chris has staminia doubts over this trip around here while Diamond Harry seems in his pomp on flat tracks. With Tidal Bay likely to get too far behind during the race the more you look at this the more you keep coming back to Time For Rupert. He runs consistently well at this venue, jumps safely, has proven himself in good heart at present and will surely go very close.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 21 January 2012

2pts win A BRIDGE TOO FAR 11/2 (Betfair) Bet Victor Holloways Hdle
1pt win CICERON 6/1 (Betfair) Bet Victor Holloways Hdle

In an event not overly competitive for the prize money on offer, A Bridge Too Far looks sure to run his race again. Although the horse that beat him at Doncaster last time has been beaten since, the form has not properly been tested and off a 2 lb higher rating, he has strong claims to taking this.

Ciceron has been raised 7 lb for his Sandown victory but should be competitive off his new mark. He has followed up more than once in the past when striking winning form and does not necessarily dependable on the being as soft as ot was last time.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 14 January 2012

2pts win HEY BIG SPENDER 12.5/1 (Betfair) Betfred Classic Chase
1pt win FAASEL 8/1 (Generally available) Betfred Classic Chase

Hey Big Spender is a thoroughly likeable, quality staying chaser who posseses the ability to defy top weight here. This trip will be well within his compass on this sort of track and on this ground - though he has probably already proved his staminia when a staying on fourth to Galaxy Rock at Cheltenham in November. He won around here in his novice days and looks all set for a big run.

Former high class hurdler Faasel is proving adept in his new existence as a long distance chaser. Admittedly, he hasen't won a race for over three years but he runs off a similar mark as when runner up in two Kim Muirs, is effective when fresh and is sure to be in peak condition here after a long lay off.

Hey Big Spender won + 23pts

Saturday, 7 January 2012


Total Layout = 374.5pts
Total Return = 370.7pts
A loss of 3.8 pts