Saturday, 26 November 2011

3pts win AITEEN THIRTYFREE 15/2 (Generally available) Hennessy Gold Cup

This gelding has been easy to back this morning but thats almost certainly only due to people finding the obvious negatives about him not beating much and failing his only test in a large, competitive field. In reality though, he is the most likely winner of this event as he is clearly the stables chief hope, has the ideal profile for this race, has won his two races over fences at this venue commandingly, has had the form of his reapperance race boosted by Somersby's Ascot run,and has a racing style befitting a winner of this race; travelling well on the pace - all in all fairish value at the 15/2 generally available at the moment.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 19 November 2011

1.5pts win 79/1(Betfair) 1.5pts place only 11.5/1 (Betfair place only market) REINDEER DIPPIN Betfair/Paul Nicholls Fixed Brush H'cap Hdle

On the face of it this horse has alot of negatives against him - his age does not fit with the profile of past winners of this event, he clearly appears to be the stables second string, and he is alarmingly weak on the exchanges this morning. However, after an aborted attempt at a chasing career last year he returned to hurdles to show a couple of pieces of good form. A repeat of his second at the big Aintree meeting would be good enough to give him a serious chance here off only a 3lb higher rating. He was travelling very well for most of the race but unfortunately found just one too good. It is worth noting that he was likewise alarmingly weak on the exchanges that day and if you put a line through his seasonal debut at that venue last month, then he is massively overpriced here.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win DIAMOND HARRY 5/1 (Generally available) Betfair Chase

Long Run could be at his most vulnerable here with bigger targets to come and all three that follow him in the forecast have realistic claims. Diamond Harry is in his element on flat left hand tracks.He is certain to be 100% full tuned up, even after a one year absence and with him having his problems this race will in part be seen as his Gold Cup by connections.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 13 November 2011

2pts win MOON DICE 15/2 (Betfair) Greatwood Hdle
1pt win THIRD INTENTION 20/1 ( 2 firms inc Hills, and Exchanges) Greatwood Hdle

Moon Dice has won both of his starts in handicaps, both in large fields with the latest being a quality performance in the Galway Hurdle. He has clearly been put away for this and if there is a horse in this field that could progress enough to line up in the Champion Hurdle, then its most likely to be him.

Third Intention shaped well behind Brampour on his seasonal debut. He has a touch of quality about him, travels well in his races and is suited by this venue.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 12 November 2011

2pts win CHICAGO GREY 11/2 (Ladbrokes and Coral) Rewards4Racing Handicap Chase
1pt win BALTHAZAR KING 11/1(Generally available) Rewards4Racing Handicap Chase

Chicago Grey shaped realy well in the Charlie Hall last time and will be absolutely spot on for this. He has plenty of useful course form, stays forever, and his run when unseating his rider late on here last month shows that he remains on a competitive mark.

Balthazaar King won the October race. He was then below his best at Ascot last time but has shown his best form here and should give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win WISHFUL THINKING 6/1 (Generally available) Paddy Power Gold Cup
1pt win GREAT ENDEAVOUR 12/1 (Generally available) Paddy Power Gold Cup

Wishful Thinking went from strength to strength in the spring and may not have stopped progressing. He is sure to be fully tuned up for this, and has the class to defy a career high rating.

Great Endeavour showed his runing to be all wrong in this race last year when going close in the big December handicap. He runs off the same rating today, his yard is flying at the moment, and he just cannot be left out here.

G Endeavour won + 10pts

Saturday, 5 November 2011

1.5pts win STATUS SYMBOL 19/1 (Betfair) Betfred November H'cap
1.5pts win HARLESTONE TIMES 22/1 (Betfair)Betfred November H'cap

Status Symbol is very lightly raced for one of his age, beginning in Bumpers, but not going down the regular NH route. After showing useful AW form, he has on his last two starts produced a level of form on turf pretty near to that.The form of his Newmarket race is working out OK, and he ran a splendid race in defeat at Haydock last time. Open to further improvement and unlikely to be hindered by the underfoot conditions, he should give a good account of himself today.

John Dunlop had a winner a few days back and hopefully Harlestone Times has not gone for the year. He has been absent since the St Leger meeting but gives the impression that he has not yet reached his ceiling, acts on soft ground and is very much one to consider.

Lost - 3pts