Saturday, 25 June 2011

1.5pts each way MOYENNE CORNICHE 16/1(Generally available) John Smiths Northumberland Plate

The Ellison yard is in healthy form at the moment and although it hasen't the best of records in this event, it excels with horses purchased from other yards and Moyenne Corniche appeals as the sort who will figure here. Bought at the Horses in Training sale out of Michael Bell's yard last October the £30,000 is already looking money well spent. He has shown himself to be as good as ever,arrives here in top form, stays the trip,is proven with give in the ground and has a favourable draw.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 18 June 2011

1.5pts each way HARRIS TWEED 16/1 (Generally available) Hardwicke Stakes

The presence of Await the Dawn creates plenty of value elsewhere and none appeals more than Harris Tweed who is bound to have come on a ton from his seasonal debut at Chester. Last season, he progressed through the handicap ranks and ended the season winning soft ground listed events at Chester and Newmarket,both in taking style. There should be more to come from him and with the ground being to his liking there can be no excuses for a poor run here.

P +4.5pts

3pts win 11/1 (2 firms and exchanges) HOORAY Golden Jubilee Stakes

This filly won the Cheverley Park like one who would be a force in sprints if a mile campaign was beyond her staminia limits. After fading to finish last in the 1,000 Gns, when not being ready might have contributed as much as lack of staminia, she returned to something near her best at Epsom. This trip on easy ground gives her the conditions to confirm the impression she left in the Cheverley Park and being a filly, she can smash the trends for this race.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win DEACON BLUE 9/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Wokingham H'cap
1pt win FATHSTA 20/1 (Generally available) Wokingham H'cap

Deacon Blue has one of these big handicaps in him and ran a blinder here on his seasonal debut. He can handle the hustle and bustle of the big field scenario, acts on soft ground, hails from a yard that you always give a second look at in these big handicaps, and has the right sort of rider aboard.

Fathsta improved towards the end of last season ending with a visually commanding success in soft ground at York. He now probably requires some ease in the ground to be effective at this trip and looks set to be thereabouts today.

Deacon Blue won +17pts

Friday, 17 June 2011

3pts win MIJHAAR 11/2 (Ladbrokes, Chandler) King Edward V11 Stakes

Nathanial's Chester Vase form was given an enormous boost by the winners run in the Derby, while the third, Slumber, acquitted himself well here yesterday. However, Mijhaar is the preferred option at the odds available. He looked a class act when winning his Haydock maiden and the form has since been advertised by the second and third who finished in another Parish to him.He ran well on soft ground on his first outing,looks likely to develop into a serious St Leger horse,and should go very close to winning this.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win TOGETHER 11/2 (Ladbrokes) Coronation Stakes
1pt win MORE THAN REAL 13.5/1(Betfair) Coronation Stakes

Alot comes down to how effective More Than Real is in these conditions. She is likely to be spot on, is undoubtedly high class, and must at least be worth a back up wager at present odds. When she won her BC race Together was six lengths adrift but the Galileo filly has proven she has trained on well, has a piece of soft ground form and will almost certainly be fully effective on it, and holds the rest of these on her English and Irish Gns form, and has every chance of confirming it. She is certain to figure in the shake up.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win GREEN DESTINY 2/1(Generally available) Wolferton H'cap
1pt win LOST IN THE MOMENT 8.8/1(Betfair) Wolferton H'cap

Green Destiny is up 12lb in the ratings from Newmarket but he beat some solid yardsticks that day in visually taking style and at around the 2/1 mark, is priced up about right. The ground will prove no problem, hhe got through the heavy ground when wining at Leicester last season and with the added knowledge that he has been re-routed here from the Hunt Cup, there are no negatives against him.

Lost In The Moment showed that his Meydan campaign had left no marks when returning to run a cracker in a valuable Chester handicap. He races off the same mark here, is proven with give, and will be the one to take advantage if Green Destiny fails to perform to expectations.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win ETERNAL HEART 7/1(Generally available) Queens Vase
1pt win HALIFAX 8.4/1 (Betfair)Queens Vase

Always a bit of a unique event and with Regent Street being shortish enough, it might pay to concentrate on the Mark Johnston runners, with the yard taking this in five of the last ten years along with having many placed horses.Eternal Heart is one of the more exposed runners but is game, stays, has not give any indication that he's reached his ceiling yet, and there is enough encouragement in his pedigree to indicate that he'll act with give.

Halifax won a moderate Newcastle handicap last time and while clearly needing to improve alot on the literal form of that event to figure here, he is no doubt much better than able to be rated and, as what tends to happen in this event,he could improve significantly upped in trip.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 16 June 2011

1pt win CROWN DEPENDENCY 15/2 (Generally available) Norfolk Stakes
1pt win 35/1 (Betfair) 1pt place only 8/1 (Betfair place market) CASPAR NETSCHER Norfolk Stakes

Probably best not to try and pr-empt how the field will react to how the draw worked out on the first two days as you tend to get stung by this issue.

The form of Crown Dependancy's Goodwood race received a boost when his stable companion won at Salisbury. The fact the he is the yard's main hope for this is enough to make him feared and he did after all win his race in the style of a very useful juvenile.

There seems to be all sorts of form lines boosted by Frederick Engels recent success. Bapak Chinta beat him on his debut but as the runner up as come on a ton since and Kevin Ryan's juvenile runners here so far have perhaps performed below expectations, he is short enough. A more attractive proposition at the odds is Caspar Netscher who ran a blinder to finish third to Frederick Engels in the Windsor Castle on Tuesday and could run very well again at a big price.

Caspar Netscher NR - 1pt

2pts win BANIMPIRE 3/1 (Hills, Ladbrokes, Exchanges) Ribblesdale Stakes
1pt win LOOK AT ME 18.5/1 (Betfair) Ribblesdale Stakes

This does not look the strongest renewal of this event and Banimpire goes from strength to strength, and seems to thrive on her racing and is still progressing. She has the best form to offer here, is proven over the trip and there are no obvious negatives over her prospects for this event.

Look At Me, is clearly useful based on her runner up position to Havant in last years Oh So Sharp Stakes. There were genuine excuses for her disappointing run on her appearance but then finished plum last in the Irish 1,000. She must have given some sort of signs that things are better for her to take her place in this and could run very well at double fig odds.

Banimpire won + 5pts

1.5pts each way 14/1 (Generally available) MANIGHAR Ascot Gold Cup

With niggly doubts whether this is the race for Fame and Glory there are better options from a value point of view and of those outside the first two in the betting none appeals more than Manighar. Bought from the Aga Khan by his present owners and moved to Luca Cumani to be trained for the Melbourne Gold Cup he made a fair fist of of things in Australia finishing fifth in the Caufield Cup, seventh in the Melborne Cup after being along way behind turning in. After running well in another event over there he was put away until reappearing at York, running a satisfactory first race of the season. He has every chance of getting this trip and reversing the York form and should give a very good accout of himself today.

Lost - 3pts

1pt win BELGIAN BILL 10/1 (Betfair) Brittania Stakes
1pt win DIMENSION 25/1(Betfair) Brittania Stakes
1pt win CAPTAIN BERTIE 24/1 (Betfair) Brittania Stakes

Room to take three aboard here and the form of Belgian Bill's Doncaster race looks OK a couple of months on. He hasen't run since but connections will no doubt have had this in mind for some time and provided the far side are competitive he should run a big race.

Cheverley Park stud don't often leave this meeting empty handed and Dimension, drawn near to the stands side, is one of the more interesting runners. Fanshawe hasen't had a runner on the first two days but has had a couple of winners recently and has a good record in this event.

Drawn not to far away in nine, Captain Bertie definitely has one of these big handicaps in him. He ran well in the Esher Cup and then again at Chester. Ideally, he would like some give and rain would increase his prospects but genuinely good ground would be Ok for him.

Dimension NR - 2pts

2pts win ALKIMOS 6/1 (Betfair) Centenary Stakes
1pt win SLUMBER 14/1 (Generally available) Centenary Stakes

Alkimos looks a very likely type to win this race for this race for Cumani/Fallon again. You can't put a ceiling as to how far this horse will progress but if there is going to be a future G1 winner in this field then he is probably the most likely candidate to go that far.

The Chester Vase form was a given a massive boost by the run of the winner in the Derby and the third horse home, Slumber, is at least worth a point at his present odds.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win SUD PACIFIQUE 11/1 (2 firms and exchanges) King George Stakes
1.5pts win DANADANA 13/1 (Betfair) King George Stakes

The Noseda horses are running really well at the moment and Sud Pacifique catches the eye here. The horse he beat at York has done OK since and as with many by his sire, Sud Pacifique was probably saving a bit for himself that day and could well be far better than the bare form he has shown so far.

Dandana is another Cumani horse with a serious chance on this card. On the face of it, the sole pull in the weights may not be sufficient for him to turn around Newmarket form with Malthouse but is fancied on the basis that the extra two furlongs will bring about notable improvement as there is plenty of staminia in many of the horses who have come from the female line in his pedigree, many in the same ownership including Lost Soldier Three.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

1.5 pts win FURY 4/1(3 firms and exchanges) Jersey Stakes
1.5 pts win HAVANE SMOKER 5/1(Betfair) Jersey Stakes

The big run of Neebras in the St James Palace has given a boost to the Heron Stakes form and Fury, who finished ahead of Neebras in that event when just touched off, looks a likely type here. Seven furlongs will probably prove to be his ideal trip and there is no concern about any sudden ground changes as he goes on ground both on the fast and soft side of good.

Havane Smoker finished runner up in the French 2,000 Gns. Apart from the winner of the race running OK in the French Derby at the weekend,the form has yet to be advertised but Havant Smoker looks as though he may turn out to be a 7f specialist and possesses the raw ability to win this.

Fury NR - 1.5pts

3pts win I'M A DREAMER 9/2 (Generally available) Windsor Forest Stakes

This filly looked to have come on a ton over the winter when destroying her field in the Dahlia Stakes and connections are harbouring serious G1 aspirations. The form of the Newmarket race is already beginning to stand up well and she is sure to go very close to winning this and cannot be opposed.

Lost - 3pts

1pt win MONT AGEL 14.5/1 (Betfair) Royal Hunt Cup
1pt win ETON FOREVER 15.5/1(Betfair) Royal Hunt Cup
1pt win BRONZE PRINCE 17/1 (Betfair) Royal Hunt Cup

Room to take three against the field and though Tuesdays evidence points to a stands side advantage, these things can change from day to day so taking three sprread across the course might be the best ploy.

Mont Agel has only won once in his career and that was in his juvenile days. However he is relatively lightly raced, ran the race off his life at York last time, and has a rider on that inspires confidence in these sort of races.

Eton Forever looked typically one of his connections progressive sorts when winning at Doncaster in the Spring. Though his last run may suggest that the handicapper has hold of him, he looked open to further improvement at Doncaster and the return to the big field scenario could be key to him.

John Gosden is excellent in these sort of events and Bronze Prince has the hallmarks one one of his that has one of these big handicaps in him.The fact that he has held on to the horse indicates that there is plenty to come from him and he cannot be left out of calculations here.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win WINTERS NIGHT 5.8/1 (Betfair) Sandringham H'cap
1pt win RYTHM OF LIGHT 9/1(Betfair) Sandringham H'cap

The likeable Winter's Night has already won twice at this venue and proved that she is fully effective over this trip when, despite not geting the run of the race, running a blinder at Haydock in what was at the time the most competitive 3 y-r-o handicap of the season so far. It will be very surprising if she is not in the shake up.

A good run by Western Aristoctat in the Jersey will increase confidence in the chance of Rhythm of Light here. She hails from a set up that has really found its feet this season and this filly looks a likely sort to go close here.

Rhythm of Light Won + 6.7pts

Tuesday, 14 June 2011

2pts win POWER 5/1 (Generally available) Coventry Stakes
1pt win GATEPOST 8/1 (Betfair) Coventrey Stakes

Power's victory in a Listed event at the Curragh has more substance to it than the other form on offer. The second horse that day had previously won impressively and looks a smartish sort in his own right. The third home had also previously won a maiden in the style of a highly promising sort. Added to this,Power is likely to prove better over further than the 5f of that race - he won over this trip on his debut and should eventually get a mile. The main worry, whether he could handle give underfoot, now seems to have disappeared with a drying Monday.

The form of Gatepost's York race could be working out better but he looked a smart sort, as he had done on his debut,and it's probably best to side with the visual impression as the signs are that Channon appears to have a better crop of juveniles this year than in the last couple of years.

Power won + 9pts

1.5 pts win RATTAN 20/1 (Betfair) Ascot Stakes
1.5 pts win PLYMOUTH ROCK 15/1 (Betfair) Ascot Stakes

The three heading the market here all have solid enough claims but with threats lurking all the way through this field it's worth taking a couple of longer priced horses aside.

In similar vein to Henderson and Pipe, Willie Mullins has a useful record with his dual purpose animals and Rattan looked to be developing into a useful handicapper on the level before being taken in under his wing for a hurdling career. He hasen't run on the flat for two seasons but has good recent form over hurdles and is a very interesting proposition here.

Plymouth Rock is proving a frustrating sort, often running on through beaten horses but as his Cesarewitch run showed, he posseses the ability to win one of these competeitive staying handicaps and with the stable in good form and the prospect that Dettori, on him for the first time, might just be able to conjure something out of him,he is worth a go.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 11 June 2011

2pts win SEAL ROCK 8/1 (Generally available) Bond Tyres Trophy
1pt win MAJESTIC MYLES 14.5/1 (Betfair) Bond Tyres Trophy

Most of the fancied ones are drawn low here and Seal Rock can maintain his unbeaten record. He diden't beat much in a small field last time but is proven in a double figure field handicap and travels well enough to keep out of difficulty. The yard, in a time long gone known for its stayers, now excels with sprinters, particularly the late developing ones, and having had a couple of winners in the last two days the omens ook good for a big run from this gelding.Majestic Myles will have to be Group class to win this off his present rating and is there to be shot at but he remains open to further improvement, has the right sort of attitude, and can confirm the Newmarket form with Desert Law though confidence would be increased if he shortened a bit as he's weakish on the exchanges at the moment.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 4 June 2011

3pts win AWZAAN 8/1 (Generally available) Investec Diomed Stakes

This former Middle Park winner entered 2010 with high hopes and looked a serious 2,00Gns prospect. After disappointing in that race he was off the course until the Autumn when he showed enough to suggest that all is not lost just yet. He made a satisfactory reappearance at York and, similar to his sire Alhaarth, he could be one who retrurns to the level of his juvenile form as a four year old. He is holding up well enough in the market to suggest he is quietly fancied and is the value call of the race.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SEVILLE 6/1 ( 4 firms and exchanges) Investec Derby

Though Ballydoyle generally don't run their number one Epsom hope in the Dante there seems little doubt that this colt has been their main hope for the race for some time. He shaped really well there and was not knocked about by Soumillon.He settles early and looks the type who can be ridden any way that is choosen.Even without the setback to Carlton House, there was a fairish chance that the York form could be reversed in a truer run race.What has happened this week makes that liklehood even greater and Seville is certain to figure in the shake up today.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 2 June 2011

2pts win MISTY FOR ME 8/1 (Ladbrokes and Exchanges) Investec Oaks
1pt win HAVANT 13/2 (Generally available) Investec Oaks

Misty For Me is a very likeable filly who proved she has trained on when returning to form at the Curragh. Though she has plenty of speed on the female side of her pedigree if you go through the foals of the first two dams there is a very likely chance that the sire here will impart enough staminia for her to get the trip. Added to this she has always appealed as more of an Oaks type and shapes as though she will appreciate further than what she has so far raced over. She is unlikely to have any problems handling the track and all in all is a cracking price..Stable companion Wonder of Wonders won in visually taking style at Chester but this is a lot harder. Blue Bunting holds strong claims but is priced accordingly and Havant, who shaped well behind her at Newmarket, appeals as the saver at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts