Saturday, 30 April 2011

3pts win GREEN DESTINY 6.2/1(Betfair) Quipco British Championship Series Suffolk H'cap

This is only an average renewal of this event and Green Destiny is hard to stray from. A typical sort that his yard excels with, there is no way he will peak around his present rating of 87. The four horses that finished closest to him in the Haydock maiden he won were all winning themselves soon after, and Green Destiny then went and took a handicap at Leicester off a 5lb lower mark than todays. Todays opponents do no more than win in turn and he is a pretty confident call here.

Won +18 pts

3pts win TREASURY DEVIL 5.4/1 (Betfair) Makfi Newmarket Stakes

This is an interesting little race and Treasury Devil catches the eye above the rest. He was thought highly enough of last season to take his chance in a G1 at Longchamp, and though he is not up to that level, he made a promising reappearance in the Esher Cup last week, running on like one who will be suited by the extra two furlongs here.Although he is by a sprinter and a half sibling similarly by a fast sire did not stay this sort of trip, he is from a Jim Joel female line with plenty of staminia in it and the sensible option here could be to take for granted the visual impression from the Sandown race.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 9 April 2011

2pts win CUE CARD 100/30 (4 firms and exchanges) John Smiths Mersey Novices Hdle
1pt win BOLD SIR BRIAN 16.5/1 ( Betfair and Betdaq) John Smiths Mersey Novices Hdle

Cue Card,who won around here in October, will appreciate the step back up in trip here and with the Henderson horses running a little flat in the main, he can turn around Supreme Novices form with Spirit Son. Bold Sir Brian is hard to get a guage on but is clearly very useful. His yard are flying at the moment and he catches the eye at double figure odds.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win DAN BREEN 12/1 (Betfair) John Smiths Maghull Novices Chase

Fininans Rainbow doesen't always convince on the jumping front and is worth taking on at prohibitive odds. Dan Breen finished well behind him in the Arkle when tried in blinkers. The headgear was left off last time and he put in a very useful performance when a facile winner at Uttoxeter. He could take some catching around here and appeals at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win CELESTIAL HALO 11/1 (Generally available) John Smiths Aintree Hdle
1pt win SALDEN LICHT 39/1 ( Betfair and Betdaq) John Smiths Aintree Hdle

Peddler's Cross has looked near on bombproof and came here and won last year after running at Cheltenham.However, he had by far the hardest race of his life in the Champion Hdle and he is not an attractive propisition around the 6/4 mark. With niggling doubts over Binocular, it may be worth searching for an upset and Celestial Halo,who took a crashing fall when travelling like a winner in this last year, has a seriuos chance today. His chasing career never took off but his run at Wincanton showed that he is still capable of producing his old optimum level of form over hurdles. Salden Licht is very interesting at massive odds. He dosen't have as much to find with these as the prices suggest and open to plenty more improvement, on ground that will be ideal, the step up in trip could be the key to him.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win TARABLAZE 8/1 (Generally available) John Smith's H'cap Chase
1pt win TAKE THE BREEZE 17.5/1(Betfair) John Smith's H'cap Chase

Providing he irons out his jumping problems,Tarablaze is some way off reaching his ceiling in the handicap chase sphere and his recent succes at Bangor can only have boosted his confidence. He looks the ideal type for this sharp circuit and should put in a bold showing. At one stage, Take the Breeze looked like he was going to take the novice chase here last year won by Burton Port and though ultimately beaten, a reproduction of that sort of form would see him go very close. It's a while now since he has won and he is developing a disappointing overall profile. However, back at a venue that suits him he could surprise.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win BALLABRIGS 18/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) John Smith's Grand National
1pt win WEST END ROCKER 49/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) John Smith's Gran National

Long time Ante-Post favourite Ballabrigs has done nothing to harm his prospects and there is every chance that the long term plan will come to fruition today. Kept to hurdles to protect his handicap mark, he ran a fine race in defeat to Skippers Brig when returned to fences. With the winner of that race being campaigned with an opportunist approach, it was likely that he was much straighter that day. Todays surface will be ideal for Ballabrigs and he is more appealing than The Midnight Club and Oscar Time, who are shorter than him but who have been racing almost exclusively in testing conditions throughout their career. West End Rocker has returned from an enforced lay off to prove himself as good as ever. He appeals as the type who will stay all day, will not mind the ground, and could go very well at big odds.

Ballabrigs won +33.5pts

3pts win NEARBY 10/1 (Betfair) John Smith's Conditional Jockeys H'cap Hdle

Todays rider has won three times on this animal and was aboard him when he ran a cracker in the County Hurdle last time. The 4lb rise in the ratings on account of that run is probably fair and he has good prospects of defying top weight today.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win PERSAIN SNOW 8/1 (Generally available) John Smiths Champion Bumper

Philip Hobbs went very close in this with Dare Me last year.Unlike that animal, todays representative did not appear in the Cheltenham bumper but looked a top notch prosepect when winning at Ascot in October. He was then turned over at the same venue on softer ground, but back on a sounder surface, with the likelehood that this has been his target for a while, he makes as much appeal as any here.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 8 April 2011

3pts win BRAMPOUR 8.5/1( VC andExchanges) John Smiths Top Novices Hdle

This was supposedly the yards top juvenile hope at the beginning of the season and while not living up to the hype he has already shown himself to be a very useful juvenile and ran well enough in the Triumph to suggest that on this different circuit, in a non-vintage renewal of this race, he may be able to shake todays rivals up.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win WAYWARD PRINCE 11/4 (Corals) John Smiths Midmay Novices Chase

There have been far better renewals of this event in the past and this gelding should be good enough to follow up his victory in the novice hurdle here last year. The ground has come right for him and provided the visor does not have a negative event and irons out the flat spot that he hit in the Sun Alliance, he will be much too good for todays rivals which include the Coln Murphy animal who has done all his racing on softer ground and Master of the Hall who has thirteen lengths to make up on Cheltenham form.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win ALBERTAS RUN 4/1 (Ladbrokes) John Smiths Melling Chase

It's hard to envisage an upset here and with Master Minded inspiring no confidence after his Cheltenham run and Somersby consistently finding this stage just beyond him, the winner seems very likely to come from the two market leaders and there is no reason why last years winner should not confirm recent Cheltenham form with Kalahari King.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win MOSSLEY 5/1 (Hills) John Smiths Sefton Hdle
1.5pts win BACK IN FOCUS 13/2 (Corals, Ladbrokes and Exchanges) John Smiths Sefton Hdle

A fascinating race with a few who will make lots of novice chase sections of Horses to Follow lists for next season lining up. Mossley ran a blinder in the Albert Bartlett and on this surface can confirm that form with Court In Motion who he'd finished behind previously in testing condidtions. Back In Focus beat Court In Motion in the mud at Haydock and while this is a different scenario here he looks an exciting long term prospect and if he is able to handle these faster conditions will go close today.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 6 April 2011

3pts win GRANDOUET 4/1 (Ladbrokes) Matalan Anniversary Juvenile Hdle

Connections made it clear before the Triumph that this was a speedier type than their previous year's winner of the race and that there was a concern about him getting home. He ran just like a horse who would be in his optimum on a sharper, flatter track after failing to capatilise on the way he was travelling. This race is readymade for him and he can reverse the form with the winner of the Cheltenham race.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win CAROLE'S LEGACY 6/1 (Generally available)Totesport Bowl Chase

The mighty Denman had a brutal race at Cheltenham and on a course not ideal for him is very vulnerable to inferior opponents. Nacaret disappointed in this last year while Punchestowns has not turned out the horse he promised to be when first embarking on his chasing career. Carole's Legacy is not up to the normal required standard to win this race but is a very tough mare who will run her race and has never been in better heart. With serious question marks hanging over her rivals it will be a surprise if she fails to run a big race here.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MAMLOOK 13/2 ( 3 big firms and exchanges) Matalan Co Red Rum H'cap Chase
1pt win SAFARI JOURNEY 13.5/1 (Betfair) Matalan Co Red Rum H'cap Chase

Chester Cup winner Mamlook is lightly races over fences but a versatile all round performer who is well handicapped on his best hurdle form and, on this drying ground,should be capable of transfering the best of his hurdle form to the bigger obstacles.

Safari Journey is a far from straightforward type who disappointed in this event last year but that was on the back of a recent run at Cheltenham and he has been kept fresh and appeals as the type to run a big race here in these circumstances. His career best performance when winning at Ascot at the end of October came on the back of a run in an amateur race on the level. The drying ground will be ideal for him.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ROYAL CHARM 4/1 (Exchanges and Corals) Totepool Manifesto Novices Chase

It's not hard to envisage this animal travelling and jumping well near the front of the field and he could find himself in a position were Medermit is chasing with far too much leeway to make up. Wishful Thinking is of course a big danger but is short enough and Royal Charm makes tremendous appeal at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts