Friday, 18 March 2011

1.5pts win UNACCOMPANIED 7/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges)JCB Triumph Hdle
1.5pts win SAM WINNER 6/1 (Generally available)JCB Triumph Hdle

As with plenty on this card, Unaccompanied will need the rain to come and that will give him a massive chance of carrying his famous colours to victory.He represents the best of the Irish juvenile form and of course hails from one of the shrewdest yards in the business and would not be lining up here if he wasen't considered up to it. Sam Winner blotted his copybook last time but created a massive impression when twice galloping strongly up the hill here in both November and December. He had Grandouet behind him on the first occasion and though that animal has improved since you can't watch the race and be confident of the form being turned around.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ALARAZI 9/1 (Ladbrokes and exchanges) Vincen O'Brien County Hdle

This gelding won the Imperial Cup in visually tremnedous style, tracking Via Galilei on ther bridle and quickening in fine style when asked. He has a first rate chance of defying a penalty here - he's still improving,has run well around here before, and there is the factor that if the forecast heavy rain does turn the ground, he goes in the soft too.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win JOIN TOGETHER 8/1 (Generally available) Albert Bartlett Novices Hdle
1pt win COURT IN MOTION 9/1 (5 firms and exchanges)Albert Bartlett Novices Hdle

Bob's Worth has absolute solid credentials but is short enough and taking two a on board against him may be the best ploy.Like the Henderson yard, Nicholls as usual has strength in depth in the novice hurdle ranks and Join Together will no doubt be up to a bold showing here granted that conditions are not against him. With the ground looking sure to ease he should be OK on that front and looks the type who will keep galloping forever. Court In Motion has always looked a classy sort. He acquitted himself well in desperate Haydock heavy last time and even if the ground softens, it wo'nt be anywhere near those conditions and he should get home alright. Looks certain to run a big race.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win PANDORAMA 12/1 ( Ladbrokes and Exchanges) Totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup
1pt win TIDAL BAY 23/1 (Betfair) Totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup

This renewal has the wierdest feel to it. You have three previous winners, two of which are almost certainly past their best. You have an exciting King George winner who has serious staminia doubts,then you have a gang of others, most of which you normally wouldn't give serious consideration to such as Midnight Chase, Kempes and the pair of characters What A Friend and Tiday Bay. However, there is an exception here in Pandorama if his Hennessey run can be forgiven. He needs the rain to fall - he's not going to figure if it doesen't - but given that the heavens open he is probably talented enough to make a mark here.Clearly difficult to train, he has a turn of pace while also looking as though this trip will be well within his compass.He was never going in the Hennessey after an early mistake and is worth another chance over here. Tidal Bay is suited by this tack and finish. If they go a good lick and start to wane he will be cutting through them and is worth a small speculation.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 17 March 2011

2pts win LOOSEN MY LOAD 7/1 (Generally available) Jewson Novices Chase
1pt win MR GARDNER 7/1 (Betfair) Jewson Novices Chase

The giant Loosen My Load has had a break since December but goes well when fresh. The ground is also ideal for him.Back in November he ran well here in a race that had the subsequent Arkle winner in and will surely put in a bold show here.Mr Gardner suffered a setback that put him off track for nearly two years.He has come back showing plenty enough to suggest that he is up to challenging for these sort of prizes.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win LUSH LIFE 13/1 (Betfair) Pertemps Final
1pt win BARAFUNDLE 9/1(Generally available) Pertemps Final

Lush Life looked a likely type for this when winning here in December and off a 5lb higher rating, on ground that suits,he is in with a serious chance. His last run can be ignored for obvious reasons and he remains highly progressive and one who could improve enough to be a regular in the Graded staying hurdle races if he remained over hurdles. Barafundle disappointed here last April but has returned a much improved performer. He is now proven in the hustle and bustle of the big field handicap scenario and is hard to keep off the final list for this.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win POQUELIN 11/4 (3 firms and exchanges) Ryanair Chase

The gelding has absolute stonewall solid credentials here and looked better than ever when winning the big handicap chase here in December for the second year running. He has been specifically primed for this race since and can go one better than last year. His conqueror thnn, Albertas Run, arrives here with a bit of a shadow hanging over him. Voy Por Ustedes is the fascinating one on his first run for his new yard but his decline had been gradual under Alan King and it may be asking too much for him to suddenly become the horse he was a couple of seasons back.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win HOLLO LADIES 9.5/1(Betfair) Byrne Group Plate
1pt win CRESCENT ISLAND 20/1 (3 firms and exchanges) Byrne Group Plate

A formerly useful novice hurdler, Hollo Ladies has been getting his act together over fences and his Southwell victory looks far bettr now than it did on the day.He has a typical profile for one from his yard being primed for a spring target and is the preferred option here. Apart from the one that ran in the bumper the Twiston Davies runners have been quiet here - though not many of them had obvious chances. However, the yard had been in fairish form coming into the meeting and Crescent Island catches the eye at the odds available.He was third in the Jewson two years ago and his Wetherby victory this season showed that he retains all of his ability.

C. Island NR - 2pts

Wednesday, 16 March 2011

2pts win OSCARS WELL 4/1(Betfair) Neptune Investment Hdle
1pt win MINELLA CLASS 12/1(Betfair) Neptune Investment Hdle

The two that head the betting are almost certainly the best two animals in the contest but both are yet to be tested on faster ground. On the basis that the form of the heavy ground Punchestown race won by So Young has not been advertised one iota by those behind him since, Oscar Wells is the more attractive proposition. He looks an ultra reliable type and apart from the slight concern over the quicker conditions, its hard to find any genuine negatives about his chance here. If you are prepared to overlook the Huntingdon run, then Minella Class is in with a big shout at double figure odds. He is also proven on this sort of surface and should outrun his odds.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win WAYWARD PRINCE 8.8/1(Betfair) RSA Chase
1pt win MIKAEL D'HAGUENET 9.5/1(Betfair) RSA Chase

Wayward Prine has his ground today and expect him to leave behind his previous chase form here. Admittedly, he is unbeaten in this sphere but his performance here in November was not convincing and he may have been beaten by Chicago Grey if that rival had kept on his feet.He is clearly held through that horse by Time For Rupert but he will be a different proposition today and appeals massively at the odds available. Mikael D' Haguenet was arguably the most exciting young horse in training when winning here in his novice hurdle days. A setback and season missed means that he is a year behind schedule - it was envisaged that he'd be challenging for the Gold Cup this season. Though beaten in all three outings over fences he appears to retain most of his ability and is in with a serious shout today.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MASTER MINDED 3.4/1(Betfair) Sporting Bet Queen Mother Champion Chase
1pt win WOOLCOMBE FOLLY 9.5/1(Betfair) Sporting Bet Queen Mother Champion Chase

Lots of niggly doubts around some of these. Big Zeb has his ground but is ten now and last year could have been his time. Master Minded is the more experienced but is two years younger. He'll probably never again put up a visual performance like when winning this three years back but still looks to be the leader in this sphere. Ok the drying ground is a worry but he cannot be ignored at the odds available. Stable companion Woolcombe Folly looked to have his limitations exposed in the Arkle last year but appears much improved this season. He is the hardest to assess in the field but could well be up to it and is worth a point.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win ERICHT 8/1 (Generally available) Weatherbys Champion Bumper
1.5pts win RAISE THE BEAT 10.5/1 (Betfair) Weatherbys Champion Bumper

Ericht is one of the best long term prospects in this field and as his trainer is worried about spoiling such animals in this sort of event it points strongly to Ericht's chance that he takes his place in the field. He won a strongly contested Newbury event last time and appeals as much as anything else in this fascinating but guessing event. Raise The Beat was followed homw by two previous winners when winning impressively at Naas on fast ground last October. He was then put away for this and is worth getting involved with.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 14 March 2011

3pts win SPIRIT SON 5.8/1(Betfair) Stan James Supreme Novices Hdle

Cue Card looks sure to run his race but it can be dangerous to link up novice form against the Champion Hurdle contenders in their trials. Some show the form to be genuine ( such as Vagador) and some show themselves to be a little flattered(such as Mole Board). This along with the fantastic impression Cue Card created when winning the bumper here last year is perhaps ensuring that he is shorter than he is entitled to be. Yes, he'll run well but there are dangers and the exciting Spirit Son is the bet at over double the price of the Tizzard horse. The Henderson yard has a wealth of talent in this sphere this season and this one looks to be top of the pecking order. It is hard to quantify the form of his two races but he could have done nothing more than he achieved, leaving a big visual impression along with the belief from the yard that he will be better on this sort of surface.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win GHIZAO 4/1 (Generally available) Irish Independent Arkle Challenge Trophy
1pt win REALT DUBH 9/1 (Genereally available)Irish Independent Arkle Challenge Trophy

Things looked to come together for Medermit last time but he hasen't been entirely convincing in his chasing career so far while Finians Rainbow's jumping is a serious concern going in to this where he won't be able to afford any mistakes or sloppiness. Converseley, there are no genuine crosses to be put against Ghizao who after a sluggish first start over fences, has gone on to show himself to be a genuine high class novice on his next two outings and looks certain to figure in the shake up. Realt Dubh represents the best of the Irish form and while most of that has come on genuinely soft ground, he would likely have won at Galway on good ground in October if he'd kept on his feet. He is worth a saver.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SUNNYHILLBOY 6/1 (Generally available) Stewart Family Spinal Research H'cap
1pt win BLAZING BAILEY 16/1 (Betfair) Stewart Family Spinal Research H'cap

A winer of a valuable handicap hurdle at Aintree two seasons ago, Sunnyhillboy has for some while appealed strongly as one who would take one or two valuable hancicap chases. He ran as though this trip would suit in the big 2m5f handicap here in December and he has clearly been put away for this from that day. The yard took this with Witchita Lineman two seasons back and is arguably just about the best target yard in the country. He is the one to beat here. Blazing Bailey has suddenly had a new lease of life and though being on the small side for a chaser he has proven he can carry this sort of weight on his back. The drying ground will not hinder and despite Thornton being on Bensalem, this gelding's chance should not be overlooked and is worth some support at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win OSCAR WHISKEY 9/1 (Betfair) Stan James Champion Hdle
1pt win KHYBER KIM 12/1 (Generally available) Stan James Champion Hdle

The form of the Hobbs yard is a real worry for Menorah's chance here and even if he does turn up in optimum form he is not sure to confirm last seasons Supreme Novices form with Oscar Whiskey who has looked the complete deal in his two outing this season and may have improved to a level at least on par with the Hobbs horse. At the odds on offer he is the value call here. Last seasons runner up Khyber Kim will likely return to his best here and that means that he is sure to be thereabouts and at the prices available he is too big to ignore.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 12 March 2011

2pts win SKINT 12/1 (Betfair) EBF Novice Hdle Final
1pt win OWEN GLENDOWER 16/1 (Generally available) EBF Novice Hdle Final

This is always one of the most interesting races of its kind all season, producing many that go on the novice chase sections of horses to follow lists for the following season. In that respect, there are probably a few better long term chasing prospects in this field than Skint but with a view to today, he makes the most appeal. The drying ground is the key here and it is not surprising that from the three Henderson runners in the race Geraghty is aboard this one. He was runner up in a handicap at Kempton two outings ago in a race where most around him came into the race in good form and/or have done OK since. He also beat The Reformer on this sort of surface back in November and though he has not looked to be crying out for a trip, connections evidently believe that this wil be his sort of trip on this ground. Stable companion Owen Glendower is a more interesting long term prospect.He has been absent since facing Cue Card in November but the form of his previous victory at Stratford looks pretty solid and he should run outrun his odds.

Skint won +22pts

2pts win VIA GALILEI 7.6/1(Betfair) Paddy Power Imperial Cup
1pt win ALPINE EAGLE 27/1(Betfair) Paddy Power Imperial Cup

Via Galilei hails from a yard with a successful record in these sort of races and still open to plenty more improvement he looks very much the type to bag a couple of these valuable handicap hurdles sometime soon. An 8lb rise in the ratings for his victory last time does not look unfair and he possesses a good turn of pace that is a big asset in this sort of race on todays ground. The drying ground will not hinder and he is hard to overlook here. Alpine Eagle likewise comes from a yard with a long roll of honour in valuable handicap hurdles and with him being lighly raced in recent months this will no doubt of been a carefully considered target. His overall level of form puts him bang in with a chance here and he is worth a point at the odds available, though confidence would be increased if he shortened up a few points between now and the race.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 5 March 2011

1.5pts win MATUHI 9.5/1(Betfair) Wiltshire County Show Greatwood Chase
1.5pts win TAKE THE BREEZE 14/1 (Generally available) Wiltshire County Show Greatwood Chase

Wide open but worth having a go at. Matuhi has run well before when fresh and is much improved for the move to his new yard. After beating a couple of useful opponents convincingly at Ascot he ran well at this venue when following home a quality sort. Had too much on his plate last time but should give a very good account of himself back in this grade. Take the Breeze does not perhaps win as much as he should for one with his ability. In general though, he has been running consistently well and though most of his winning has been achieved in very soft ground, todays surface should be fine, even over this trip.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win OGEE 6/1(Generally available) Coral Grimthorpe Chase
1pt win MEANUS DANDY 8.4/1(Betfair) Coral Grimthorpe Chase

Once a a pretty useful handicapper for Michael Stoute on the level, Ogee is now an established NH performer. After winning the staying novice hurdle at the big Aintree meeting in 2009, he went and developed into just as useful performer over fences last season, coming from novice company to run a blinder in the William Hill Trophy at the Cheltenham festival. Off just a 2lb higher rating today,a repeat of that sort of form would probably see him win this and as he seems a spring type, should be in good shape for this. Meanus Dandy has done most of his racing and winning on right hand tracks and is not the most straightforward individual. Nevertheless,he posseses enough ability to warrant as a big danger here and is worth a saver.

Lost - 3pts