Saturday, 31 December 2011

2pts win DEN OF INIQUITY 12/1 (Betfair) Betfred Mandarin Chase
1pt win LEADING CONTENDER 12/1 (Betfair) Betfred Mandarin Chase

Since the ceiling rating was lowered for this event it bears no resemblance to the renewals of old. However, despite a lack of real quality these two are hard to resist at double fig odds.

Den Of Iniquity will soo turn 11 years old but remains lightly raced and still looks capable of a career best performance. His owner likes having a winner at this venue and he did not run at all badly at Kelso last time.

The handicapper is now convinced that Leading Contender is a light of old and has dropped him further in the ratings. He is now off an 8lb lower mark than when in the process of runnning a good race when unseating his rider at this venue just over a year ago. The fact that he reamains with Hobbs is encouraging and he is worth chancing.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 27 December 2011

2pts win GALAXY ROCK 10/1 (Generally available) Coral Welsh National
1pt win CANNINGTON BROOK 16/1 (Generally available)Coral Welsh National

Galaxy Rock looked a much improved performer when winning at Cheltenham last month. He has been raised 11lb but looks a very likely sort here.

Cannington Brook reappears under a penalty after winning at Haydock. He idled up the run in and is better than the bare result suggests. He is far off from reaching his ceiling and should run well if this does not come too soon.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 26 December 2011

1.5pts win KNOCKARA BEAU 6/1 (Generally available) Betfair Don´t Settle For Less Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase
1.5pts win NEPTUNE EQUESTER 8/1 (Betfair) Betfair Don´t Settle For Less Rowland Meyrick Handicap Chase

Knockara Beau races off the same rating as when runner up at Cheltenham earlier this month on his return to the larger obstacles. A repeat of that run would see him go very close here.

Neptune Equester loves it around here. Though 9lb higher in the ratings than last time he looks one who can be relied upon to run his race and should put in a bold effort to follow up.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 17 December 2011

3pts win NEPTUNE COLLONGES 20/1( 5 firms and exchanges) GL Events Owen Brown Silver Cup Handicap Chase

With the testing conditions in his favour, this one is worth chancing at double fig odds in an event that is not overly competitive. He bounced back from a poor effort when winning at Cheltenham last January so the poor Hennessey run can be overlooked and if he produces his optimimum here he possesses the quality to defy top weight.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 4 December 2011

3pts win SKIPPERS BRIG 15/2 (Generally available) Monteith Memorial Champion Chase

As borne out by his run when third in the big December handicap at Cheltenham last season,this lightly raced gelding has a touch of quality about him and it is very likely that he'll be turned out here in top condition at a venue where his trainer does well. Off only a 2 lb higher mark than when winning here in March, he goes well in testing conditions and looks sure to figure in the shake up today.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 3 December 2011

1.5pts win NICTO DE BEAUCHENE 10/1 (Generally available) Betfred Becher Chase
1.5pts win SWING BILL 11/1 (Generally available) Betfred Becher Chase

Off a 1 lb higher mark than when running into what will prove to be a well handicapped improving horse at Bangor, Nicto De Beachene has strong claims to taking what is an ordinary renewal of this event provided the blinkers work a second time.

Swing Bill arrives here in good form and has jumped around here before. He has never won off a mark as high as he races off today but his run at Ascot raises hope that he can be copmpetitive off this mark, especially as he has proved he can cope with the course.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 26 November 2011

3pts win AITEEN THIRTYFREE 15/2 (Generally available) Hennessy Gold Cup

This gelding has been easy to back this morning but thats almost certainly only due to people finding the obvious negatives about him not beating much and failing his only test in a large, competitive field. In reality though, he is the most likely winner of this event as he is clearly the stables chief hope, has the ideal profile for this race, has won his two races over fences at this venue commandingly, has had the form of his reapperance race boosted by Somersby's Ascot run,and has a racing style befitting a winner of this race; travelling well on the pace - all in all fairish value at the 15/2 generally available at the moment.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 19 November 2011

1.5pts win 79/1(Betfair) 1.5pts place only 11.5/1 (Betfair place only market) REINDEER DIPPIN Betfair/Paul Nicholls Fixed Brush H'cap Hdle

On the face of it this horse has alot of negatives against him - his age does not fit with the profile of past winners of this event, he clearly appears to be the stables second string, and he is alarmingly weak on the exchanges this morning. However, after an aborted attempt at a chasing career last year he returned to hurdles to show a couple of pieces of good form. A repeat of his second at the big Aintree meeting would be good enough to give him a serious chance here off only a 3lb higher rating. He was travelling very well for most of the race but unfortunately found just one too good. It is worth noting that he was likewise alarmingly weak on the exchanges that day and if you put a line through his seasonal debut at that venue last month, then he is massively overpriced here.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win DIAMOND HARRY 5/1 (Generally available) Betfair Chase

Long Run could be at his most vulnerable here with bigger targets to come and all three that follow him in the forecast have realistic claims. Diamond Harry is in his element on flat left hand tracks.He is certain to be 100% full tuned up, even after a one year absence and with him having his problems this race will in part be seen as his Gold Cup by connections.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 13 November 2011

2pts win MOON DICE 15/2 (Betfair) Greatwood Hdle
1pt win THIRD INTENTION 20/1 ( 2 firms inc Hills, and Exchanges) Greatwood Hdle

Moon Dice has won both of his starts in handicaps, both in large fields with the latest being a quality performance in the Galway Hurdle. He has clearly been put away for this and if there is a horse in this field that could progress enough to line up in the Champion Hurdle, then its most likely to be him.

Third Intention shaped well behind Brampour on his seasonal debut. He has a touch of quality about him, travels well in his races and is suited by this venue.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 12 November 2011

2pts win CHICAGO GREY 11/2 (Ladbrokes and Coral) Rewards4Racing Handicap Chase
1pt win BALTHAZAR KING 11/1(Generally available) Rewards4Racing Handicap Chase

Chicago Grey shaped realy well in the Charlie Hall last time and will be absolutely spot on for this. He has plenty of useful course form, stays forever, and his run when unseating his rider late on here last month shows that he remains on a competitive mark.

Balthazaar King won the October race. He was then below his best at Ascot last time but has shown his best form here and should give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win WISHFUL THINKING 6/1 (Generally available) Paddy Power Gold Cup
1pt win GREAT ENDEAVOUR 12/1 (Generally available) Paddy Power Gold Cup

Wishful Thinking went from strength to strength in the spring and may not have stopped progressing. He is sure to be fully tuned up for this, and has the class to defy a career high rating.

Great Endeavour showed his runing to be all wrong in this race last year when going close in the big December handicap. He runs off the same rating today, his yard is flying at the moment, and he just cannot be left out here.

G Endeavour won + 10pts

Saturday, 5 November 2011

1.5pts win STATUS SYMBOL 19/1 (Betfair) Betfred November H'cap
1.5pts win HARLESTONE TIMES 22/1 (Betfair)Betfred November H'cap

Status Symbol is very lightly raced for one of his age, beginning in Bumpers, but not going down the regular NH route. After showing useful AW form, he has on his last two starts produced a level of form on turf pretty near to that.The form of his Newmarket race is working out OK, and he ran a splendid race in defeat at Haydock last time. Open to further improvement and unlikely to be hindered by the underfoot conditions, he should give a good account of himself today.

John Dunlop had a winner a few days back and hopefully Harlestone Times has not gone for the year. He has been absent since the St Leger meeting but gives the impression that he has not yet reached his ceiling, acts on soft ground and is very much one to consider.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 29 October 2011

1.5pts win KUMBESHWAR 7/1 (Generally available) William Hill H'cap Hdle
1.5pts win A MEDIA LUZ 8/1 ( 3 firms inc Ladbrokes) William Hill H'cap Hdle

Alan King had two winners yesterday which increases the liklehood that Kumbeshwar will line up fairly straight on his first run since the Punchestown festival.After losing out when giving a stone away to the winner in the Fred Winter he then found only one to good in the big juvenile events at Aintree and Punchestown.He has a good opportunity to start this campaign off on a winning note.

A Media Luz was disappointing at both Cheltenham and Aintree after things looked to have come together with a visually impressive win at Huntingdon. There are signs that the Henderson horses are about to hit form and, towards the bottom of the handicap. she is worth another chance here.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win POQUELIN 3/1 (Betfair) Bet365 Charlie Hall Chase
1pt win WEIRD AL 8/1 (Generally available)Bet 365 Charlie Hall Chase

The withdrawal of Diamond Harry has taken much of the buzz away from this renewal but its still worth getting involved and at around the 3/1 mark Poquelin's staminia is worth chancing. After finishing off his novice chase campaign in 08/09 with his form flattening out a bit he never really appealed as one who would make much more progress but he has gone on and proved himself a real hardy,reliable performer and it would be no surprise if he is able to reproduce his form over this sort of distance.

Weird Al remains unexposed. Lightly raced and difficult to train there is no doubting that he has bags of ability and he is a threat to all on his first start for his new yard.

Weird Al won + 6pts

Saturday, 15 October 2011

3pts win TIMES UP 3.3/1 ( Hills and Exchanges) Qipco British Champions Lomg Distance Cup

Times Up, out of a prolific winner producing dam whose progeny and herself all raced under Dunlop, is in the form of his life right now and is difficult to oppose. He created a taking visual impression when winning at Newmarket at his first attempt at this trip and is sure to go close, irrespective of whether Fame to Glory returns to form or not.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win CRYSTAL CAPELLA 8/1 (Generally available) Quipco British Champion Fillies and Mares Stakes
1pt win BIBLE BELT 20/1 ( 3 firms including Ladbrokes) Quipco British Champion Fillies and Mares Stakes

Crystal Capella clearly ran a level below her best in the Yorkshire Oaks and if she returns to the form she was in when winning at Newmarket in July she should turn York form around with Vita Nova and will just about win this.

Bible Belt ran too bad to be true last time after she had been progressing into a very useful performer. She is bred to be suited by this step up in trip and could surprise.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win MIDDAY 7/1 (Generally available) Quipco Champion Stakes

You have to think that if she'd delayed her challenge longer this likeable mare would have added the Coronation Cup and Juddmonte to her roll of honour. She renews rivalry with her York conqueror Twice Over today and has every opportunity to settle the score.With So You Think being beatable and the form of Nathaniel's King George being highly suspect, she makes fair appeal at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 8 October 2011

1.5pts win CASPAR NETSCHER 5/1 (Generally available) Emaar Middle Park Stakes
1.5pts win BAPAK CHINTA 5/1 (Generally available) Emaar Middle Park Stakes

This dosen't have the make up of your typical Middle Park and the race is unlikely to have any impact on next years 2,000 Guineas. Caspaar Netscher is progressing all the time, takes his racing well and has a level of form as good as anything on offer here.He is sure to figure.

Kevin Ryan won this six years ago and is having his best season for a while. Bapak Chinta has been absent since winning at Royal Ascot but is clearly a quality performer and one of only a couple here who could be a few lengths better than what he has already shown.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win POWER 3/1 (Generally available) Dubai Dewhurst Stakes

This colt has stonewall solid claims and is fairly priced around the 3/1 mark. When winning the Coventry he looked as though a step up in trip will suit and that was confimred by his National Stakes victory - a race in which the form has already been advertised by the third home winning the Beresford. He must surely take all the beating here.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win VEILED 14/1 (Generally available) Betfred Cesarewitch
1.5pts win KEYS 14/1 (Generally available) Betfred Cesarewitch

Veiled has been put away for this after winning the Ascot Stakes. The comedown in trip will not hinder, he is nicely drawn, still open to further improvement and looks capable of winning this off a 7lb higher rating before going on and having a rewarding campaign when returned to hurdles this winter.

Keys is another with an interesting winter ahead of him if thats the way they go - interestingly, they were considering the Jockey Club Cup for him and he does travel like a classy performer. Richard Hughes hasen't ridden him before but looks the ideal partner and this lightly raced gelding cannot be left out of calculations.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win ALSINDI 11/2 (Generally available) Vision Rockfel Stakes
1pt win SUNDAY TIMES 4/1 (Generally available) Vision Rockfel Stakes

Clive Brittain has a couple of highly promising juveniles in his yard this time round and Alsindi is already looking like a filly who will hold her own in better company than she has encountered. The form of the Oh So Sharp has yet to be tested but all the right stables had runners in the race and if, as the visual impression suggests, she is suited by this extra furlong, she will probably win this.

Sunday Times is another stepping up in trip. Her Cheverley Park second is the best piece of form on offer here and she must be included.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 2 October 2011

1.5 pts win NAKAYAMA FESTA 45/1(Betfair) Qatar Prix De L' Arc De Triomphe
1.5 pts win DANEDREAM 29/1(Betfair) Qatar Prix De L' Arc De Triomphe

This is no more than an average renewal of this event and there are some tempting prices available about some of the longshots.

We know that the Japanese horses are capable of holding their own anywhere in the world and similar to last year, Nakayama Festa lines up as the longest priced of their two runners. He suffered an injury late last year but shaped like an animal who retains all of his ability in his trial race. Last season, he improved in the region of a stone from the trail event when narrowly beaten here and it is possible that he will again have made substantial improvement from the Foy and if so, will again be thereabouts.

Danedream is running out of her skin at the moment and is without doubt a much improved performer who looks capable of holding her own outside of Germany. She destroyed her field in the Grosser Preis Von Baden but is not reliant on a soft surface and is worth support.

Danedream Won + 40pts

2pts win EPIC LOVE 8/1 (Generally available) Prix De L'Opera
1pt win DJUMAMA 20/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Prix De L' Opera

After not featuring in the Diane, Epic Love returned to her very best at Deauville last time and looks certain to figure today. She ran a cracker in the St Alary over course and distance on similar ground in May and arguably has as strong a claim as any of the other runners here.

Djumama was slighly disappointing when beaten at Baden Baden last time - however, the winner was unexposed and could go on to prove herself a genuine Group 1 filly. Djumama had previously put up an excellent performance when runner up to Epsom Oaks winner Dancing Rain in the German Oaks at Dusseldorf, and she has a far better chance here than her odds suggest.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 1 October 2011

1.5pts win CALEDONIA LADY 11/2 (3 firms including Totesport) Jaguar Cornwallis Stakes
1.5pts win HESTIAN 7/1 (Generally available) Jaguar Cornwallis Stakes

Not that many with realistic chances here and the hardy Caledonia Lady is the one they all have to beat, having the best form on offer and will not be inconvenienced by returning to a sound surface after winning in easy ground last time.

Hestian won a good Nursey at Dundalk last time after disappointing went sent over to York. That run may be worth forgetting about as while clearly very useful, he could be a few pounds better than his bare form so far and is a threat to all.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win HAWKEYETHENOO 8.6/1 (Betfair) Totescoop Challenge Cup
1pt win GOLDEN DESERT 15/1 (Betfair) Totescoop Challenge Cup

Hawkeyethenoo races off an 8lb higher rating than when winning the Victoria Cup here in May but given the style he won in, you would have backed him to win that off his revised rating. 7f on a sound surface are his optimum conditions nowadays and he shaped well enough in the Ayr Gold Cup the other week.

Golden Desert showed he is presently in the best of heart when winning at Newmarket last week and in this sort of form is in with realistic chance of defying his penalty.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win BYWORD 9/2 (Generally available) Qatar Prix Dollar

This likeable sort will not mind the unseasonal quick ground in Paris and is sure to give an excellent account of himself. Last season he won the Prince of Wales on similar ground and also ran a fine race behind Rip Van Winkle at York. He looked to be returning to his best with a comfortable success in a Group 3 last time and is worth a go at the odds available.

Won + 13.5pts

Saturday, 24 September 2011

2pts win MAN OF ACTION 10/1 ( 3 firms inc Lads and Hills) Betfred Camebridgeshire
1pt win MARKAZZI 27/1 (Betfair) Betfred Camebridgeshire

Man of Action had this race all over him when winning last time in the style of an animal who has suddenly found his feet.Of course, his style of racing means he needs things to fall his way but these types often follow up after everything has come together and if he reproduces the Doncaster run over this extra distance, a 4lb penalty will not stop him.

Markazzi followed a career best performance in winning at Haydock with a run of similar merit at York. He's fine in big fields, is steadily progressive and catches the eye at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MASHAAREF 7/2 (Generally available) Best Football Prices at VC H'cap
1pt win WEAPONS OF CHOICE 11/2 (Betfair) Best Football Prices at VC H'cap

Mashaaref was beaten by a very decent looking animal last time but had the rest of the field well beaten off and looks a very likely winner of this. He had previously run another good race in an Ascot handicap,certainly has further improvement left in him, and provided there is no further rain and the ground continues to dry, the one main concern about him is greatly reduced.

Weapons of Choice is in excellent form and the market at the moment is starting to suggest that he is the main Koukash hope. Definitely worth back up support.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 17 September 2011

1.5pts win CROISULTAN 16/1 ( 3 firms including Hills and Ladbrokes) William Hill Ayr Gold Cup
1.5pts win OUR JONATHAN 20/1 ( 3 firms including Hills) William Hill Ayr Gold Cup

Croisultan hasen't won a handicap since his Nursery days and it is a concern that he is on the face of it running well in G3's but disappointing in competitive handicaps. However, that worry is overidden by the fact that he is one of only a few is fully proven in heavy ground, and the ability to go throught this ground allied to racing in the right group ( he appears fairishly drawn) will be the deciding factor here.

Our Jonathan is a thoroughly likeable sort who is probably going to be able to run to his best in these conditions.Still off a winnable mark, he has one of these events in him and today could be his day.

Our Jonathan won +28.5pts

3 pts win BEAUMONT'S PARTY 11/1 ( Ladbrokes and Exchanges) Dubai Duty Free Handicap

This is a consistent performer who in line with his pedigree is getting progressively better. It would be folly to downgrade his chance on accout of Fallen Idol's poor run at Doncaster; and off a 3lb higher rating than that lifetime best run he has a major chance of taking this. He acts with give underfoot and given a strong gallop up front, he should be able to settle a bit better and Fortune teaming up with him again is a plus.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 10 September 2011

1.5pts each way BAJAN TRYST 16/1 (Generally available) Ladbrokes Portland

Only 3 lb higher in the ratings than when runner up in this last year, this gelding lines up fresher than most with just three runs under his belt this season. He can step up on his run on the AW at Dundalk and holds a major chance here. He hails from yard that is having its best season for many years and one which tagets this event above most other handicaps.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win CENSUS 13/2 (3 firms and exchanges) Ladbroke St Leger

There is no reason why this highly progressive colt should not continue to get better and it will be a surprise if he does not turn around Newmarket form with Masked Marvel and confirm Newbury form with Brown Panther. Sea Moon was visually magnificent York but Seville and Namibial ran levels below their best and the extra two furlongs can and has brought down genuine 12f G1 performers in this race in the past.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 3 September 2011

1.5pts win TOMINATOR 8.2/1(Betfair) Betfred Old Borough Cup
1.5pts win SHERNANDO 10/1(Betfair) Betfrad Old Borough Cup

Tominator is 10lb higher in the ratings than when successful in the Pitmans Derby but only 3lb higher than his Chester run last time when he ran a cracker in a race just about as competitive as this. There are no worries if the ground eases and he should put in a bold show.

Shernando's pedigree suggests this distance will suit and it is quite probable that it wasen't the trip that beat him when he tried it at Salisbury a couple of outings back. He is on a roll at the moment, his chance will not be compromised if the ground eases slightly and is a big danger to all.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SOCIETY ROCK 8.4/1 (Betfair) Betfred Sprint Cup
1pt win BEWITCHED 12/1(Generally available) Betfred Sprint Cup

Society Rock is now an established G1 performer, can be relied upon to run his race and may even have some improvement left in him. He's versatile to ground conditions and will give a very good account of himself.

Ignoring the Ascot run, Bewitched had progressed up the ranks and looked ready to take her chance in this company. Best to draw a line under that run and give her another chance.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 28 August 2011

2pts win LIBRANO 4/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Supreme Stakes
1pt win HOORAY 7/2 (Generally available) Supreme Stakes

These two have major chances here and are hard to get away from. Librano mostly runs to a level that would see him go very close here - he was up against it in Deauville last time and should bounce back to his best here. As Cheverley Park winners go, Hooray is one of the more forgettable ones. However, she is still extremely useful and the stable is going well right now.

Librano won + 7pts

Saturday, 27 August 2011

3pts win OPERA GAL 9/2 (Generally available) Totexacta August Stakes

Elusive Pimpernal looks to be returning to something near his best but although lightly raced, still has failed to win a race since his Craven victory and is short enough here. Opera Gal tends to be vulnerable to something with a turn of foot but she is reliable and ran up to her very best last time. The give underfoot will not hinder her and she is sure to put in a bold showing.

won + 13.5pts

2pts win PRINCIPAL ROLE 7/2 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Totepool Winter Hill Stakes
1pt win PRINCE BISHOP 11/2 (Generally available) Totepool Winter Hill Stakes

Principal Role may not have been flattered by her cracking run in the Nassau last time as she had looked much improved on her previous starts this term and it may be best not to complicate things and take the last run for granted. Needless to say she is the one to beat here and is fairishly priced up.

Prince Bishop has been absent since the Meydan festival but developed into a genuine G2 performer with Andre Fabre last backend. He goes on an easy surface and will prove troublesome if fully wound up.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 19 August 2011

1.5pts each way THUBIAAN 14/1 (Generally available) Betfred Melrose Stakes

The Haggas horses are running very well at the moment and this late maturing Dynaformer colt is of particular interest here. He wasen't far behind the more experienced Parlour Games at Ascot last time and looks sure to appreciate the extra two furlongs, will not be inconvenienced if the ground stays on the easy side,and should figure in the shake up.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win BLISSFUL MOMENT 11/1(Generally available) Betfred Ebor
1pt win SIRVINO 64/1 (Betfair) Betfred Ebor

Another Dynaformer with a progressive profile and being stepped up to 1m 6f, Blissful Moment has as good as chance as any provided the extra distance suits him, as the visuals suggest it probably will. He is only 2lb higher in the ratings than his fine run at the Royal meeting and is likely to run a big race from a prominemt position.

Former John Smiths Cup winner Sirvino returned to the winners enclosure for the first time when storming home at Windsor in June. He ran well at Goodwood last time when tried at this trip for the first time, has half a chance and is worth a point at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 17 August 2011

2pts win PINTURA 8/1 (Generally available) Addelshaw Goddard Stakes
1pt win LEVIATHAN 22/1 (Betfair) Addelshaw Goddard Stakes

Pintura is better than ever this year and in a field appearing to hold no obvious potential Group types, his credentials are as good as anything else. He ran a blinder in the Totesport Mile last time, has run two excellent races here in the past, and off a 2lb higher rating than Goodwood should give a very good account of himself.

Leviathan catches the eye at double figure odds and if the ease remains in the ground he is capable of surprising.

Lost - 2pts (Leviathan NR)

Saturday, 30 July 2011

1.5pts each way PETARA BAY 14/1 (Generally available) Toyo Tires Summer Stakes

This gelding hasen't won for over four years but is evidently extremely difficult to keep sound and has been lightly raced in recent times. However,what is clear is that he retains all of his ability. He ran a cracker here at the end of April on his first run for nearly a year and followed up with a big run in the Pitmans Derby.The yards only runner so far at the meeting ran really well earlier in the week and this one looks set to figure today.

Won + 26.25 pts

1.5pts win TIDDLIWINKS 21/1 (Betfair) Blue Square Stewards Cup
1.5pts win KANAF 29/1 (Betfair) Blue Square Stewards Cup

Kevin Ryan is enjoying a good season and Tiddliwinks is one of the more interesting ones in the line up. He ran well in the other race here last year and has been running some fine races in Group company since - most notable in the Duke of York when he did not appear to be flattered by his finishing position.This is the highest rating he's ran off in handicap company but he is now an improved performer and is not handicapped out of it.

Kanaf put in a career best last time and he appeals as the type who will improve further. Doubts have been raised about the suitable of the gradients of this track ( he's ran here once before)but that is complicating things without solid evidence and arriving here in the form of his life he has to be considered.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 28 July 2011

1.5pts each way CAMPONOLIGIST 14/1 ( 2 firms) Coutts Glorious Stakes

It might be worth taking a chance that this horse will return to his best here. He's been on his travels during his career but hasen't won since winning a G1 in Cologne a year ago, which followed on from him taking a G1 in Hamburg, with Jukebox Jury finishing behind him. Though no match for So You Think at the Curragh in the spring he had a useful yardstick in Famous Name behind him that day who has gone on and won two G3's in convincing style since. Though running poorly since the Suroor horses are in decent form at the moment and there cannot be much excuse for another poor run here.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts each way CAE SHEN 14/1(Generally available) Totesport Mile

There is no need to delve too much into his last run when he tried to make all in a tactically run small field affair - fact is he showed himself to be at home in the big field scenario when winning the race on his side in the Brittania, but narrowly failing to catch Sagramor. He is fairishly drawn, can be ridden any way, is reliable and still has an overall progressive profile. From a stable in the best of heart at the moment he holds a first rate chance and is arguably the value call at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 27 July 2011

3pts win LABARINTO 11/2 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Betfred Bonus King Stakes

The Stoute horses are running really well now and the yard has a big chance of striking here with this colt. He ran well when not getting the run of the race in a Newmarket handicap that should work out really well and with a pull in the weights has a chance of turning the form around with the Cumani horse.Though there are lots of possibilities here there are no issues over ground or trip, and in a reasonable berth he looks sure to run well and is fairishly enough priced.

won + 15pts (Sagramor Nr)

1.5pts each way OVERTURN 16/1 (Generally available) Artemis Goodwood Cup

The ground wasen't ideal for this admirable sort when trying to win the Pitmans Derby for the second year running but he ran well enough in the circumstances and is just the type to bounce right back to his best here. Though on bare form he has a few pound to find on Opinion Poll and Manighar, the former ideally wants soft ground while Manighar's programme is being geared towrds another Australian campaign. There is nothing else to be really scared of and a good run is exepected here.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 25 July 2011

1.5pts each way DORDOGNE 25/1 (Generally available) Bet 365 Gordon Stakes

Fiorente is going to go off far too short on account of the Nathaniel form and has plenty of dangers and half dangers to contend with. From a value perspective none appeals more than the Lingfield Derby trial victor Dordogne. Although evidently not the stables first string, De Sousa was always likely to be teamed up again with Namibian after their Queens Vase success, but it will not be a surprise to see Dordogne bounce back from his Newmarket run and return to top form here, and on what these have done, his top form is up with the best on offer here.

Non runner

3pts win DELEGATOR 3/1(Generally available) Bet365 Lennox Stakes

A quality sort and admirably consistent to boot, Delegator stands out here, is far more likely to run his race than Strong Suit, and at around the 3/1 mark is a cracking price as he is sure to take all the beating.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 23 July 2011

1.5pts each way OUR JONATHAN 14/1 ( four firms inc Ladbrokes) Betfair Summer Double International H'cap

This reliable gelding ran a cracker here at the Royal meeting finishing second in his group down the centre. His Chester run, when not geting the rub of the green, has confirmed him to be in great heart and granted he does not find himself racing on a disadvantaged part of the track he will be involved here.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win CLASS IS CLASS 9/2 (Generally available) Skybet York Stakes
1pt win RANSOM NOTE 12/1 (Generally available)Skybet York stakes

Twice Over hasen't been the same since returning from Meydan and if he has lost interest in the game then Class Is Class is a very likely candidates to take advantage of the situation. Most of the older inmates that are kept in training with Stoute go on and justify the decision to some degree and with the stable having recovered from a slump, Class Is Class who ran a lifetime best when beating Tazeez by a commanding margin at Sandown last time, can follow up with his first Group race success.

Stable companion Eleanora Duse is alarmingly weak on the exchanges this morning and a better alternative is Ransom Note who has been sailing too high on his last two outings but had previously won the Earl of Sefton and cannot easily be ruled out.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 9 July 2011

3pts win BEACHFIRE 8/1 (Generally available) John Smiths Cup

Beachfire won the Wolferton in quite taking style, quickening up to catch Lost In The Moment after being given his customary patient ride. Green Destiny's disappointing run in the race should not be used to chip away at the form and there is every chance that the form will be confirmed today.With the overnight rain making the ground ideal for him, the Gosden colt is definitely up to defying his 5lb penalty if he turns up in the same mood again and is imposssible to leave him out of any short list for today.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts each way FATHSTA 14/1 (Generally available)32Red Bunbury Cup

This one looks a very likely type here and granted that he does not end up racing in a disadvantaged group, he should be thereabouts.He has been around for a while and races of this value looked to be alluding him until he won the Coral Trophy last October.He has another one or two of these sort of races in him, is fully effective at this trip, will not mind any ease in the ground,proved his well being two outings ago with a good run in the Wokingham, and De Sousa partners him for only the third time - the two other times were when he won the Coral Trophy, and when beaten a SH at Haydock.

P + 3.75pts

Saturday, 2 July 2011

2pts win ELEANORA DUSE 6/1(Betfair) Bet 365 Lancashire Oaks
1pt win BILIDN 99/1(Betfair) Bet 365 Lancashire Oaks

Despite having an ordinary run of things, there are signs that the Stoute yard may be turning the corner. The horses have been running well in the past couple of days, including a winner yesterday, and Eleanora Duse, who is still relatively unexposed, can take an ordinary looking renewal of this event. She ran a fine race in a vintage Yorkshire Oaks least season, chasing home Midday and Snow Fairy with some useful performers behind her, then followed with a battling win in a G2 at ther Curragh. She never did much on her seasonal debut but two months on its likely that she'll be a different proposition and is sure to give a good account of herself.

Clive Brittain has never been afraid to pit his horses in at the deep end and every so often his boldness is rewarded and Bilidn is worth a second look. She showed signs of ability in the Cheshire Oaks and at the 100/1 available is worth a speculative punt.

Lost - 3pts

1pt win SHARAYEEN 8.6/1 (Betfair) Bet 365 Old Newton Cup
1pt each way KIDNAPPED 28/1 (5 firms including Hills and Corals) Bet 365 Old Newton Cup

Sharayeen was curbed by the handicapper after his impressive success at Newbury last season and he has been raised twice since through running well without winning. Fact is,without no obvious thrown in candidate in the race he is on a winning mark, will be ideally suited by this quick surface, and with the yard in OK'ish form, should run his race and put in a bold showing.

Kidnapped has been absent since the Dubai festival. He was a very useful performer in Australia and while there is no guaranteeing his condition today,he may not be badly treated off a mark off 108 as its likely that he's G3 class, and with the yard at least having had a few winners in the past week, he will hopefully run very well at a big price.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 25 June 2011

1.5pts each way MOYENNE CORNICHE 16/1(Generally available) John Smiths Northumberland Plate

The Ellison yard is in healthy form at the moment and although it hasen't the best of records in this event, it excels with horses purchased from other yards and Moyenne Corniche appeals as the sort who will figure here. Bought at the Horses in Training sale out of Michael Bell's yard last October the £30,000 is already looking money well spent. He has shown himself to be as good as ever,arrives here in top form, stays the trip,is proven with give in the ground and has a favourable draw.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 18 June 2011

1.5pts each way HARRIS TWEED 16/1 (Generally available) Hardwicke Stakes

The presence of Await the Dawn creates plenty of value elsewhere and none appeals more than Harris Tweed who is bound to have come on a ton from his seasonal debut at Chester. Last season, he progressed through the handicap ranks and ended the season winning soft ground listed events at Chester and Newmarket,both in taking style. There should be more to come from him and with the ground being to his liking there can be no excuses for a poor run here.

P +4.5pts

3pts win 11/1 (2 firms and exchanges) HOORAY Golden Jubilee Stakes

This filly won the Cheverley Park like one who would be a force in sprints if a mile campaign was beyond her staminia limits. After fading to finish last in the 1,000 Gns, when not being ready might have contributed as much as lack of staminia, she returned to something near her best at Epsom. This trip on easy ground gives her the conditions to confirm the impression she left in the Cheverley Park and being a filly, she can smash the trends for this race.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win DEACON BLUE 9/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Wokingham H'cap
1pt win FATHSTA 20/1 (Generally available) Wokingham H'cap

Deacon Blue has one of these big handicaps in him and ran a blinder here on his seasonal debut. He can handle the hustle and bustle of the big field scenario, acts on soft ground, hails from a yard that you always give a second look at in these big handicaps, and has the right sort of rider aboard.

Fathsta improved towards the end of last season ending with a visually commanding success in soft ground at York. He now probably requires some ease in the ground to be effective at this trip and looks set to be thereabouts today.

Deacon Blue won +17pts

Friday, 17 June 2011

3pts win MIJHAAR 11/2 (Ladbrokes, Chandler) King Edward V11 Stakes

Nathanial's Chester Vase form was given an enormous boost by the winners run in the Derby, while the third, Slumber, acquitted himself well here yesterday. However, Mijhaar is the preferred option at the odds available. He looked a class act when winning his Haydock maiden and the form has since been advertised by the second and third who finished in another Parish to him.He ran well on soft ground on his first outing,looks likely to develop into a serious St Leger horse,and should go very close to winning this.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win TOGETHER 11/2 (Ladbrokes) Coronation Stakes
1pt win MORE THAN REAL 13.5/1(Betfair) Coronation Stakes

Alot comes down to how effective More Than Real is in these conditions. She is likely to be spot on, is undoubtedly high class, and must at least be worth a back up wager at present odds. When she won her BC race Together was six lengths adrift but the Galileo filly has proven she has trained on well, has a piece of soft ground form and will almost certainly be fully effective on it, and holds the rest of these on her English and Irish Gns form, and has every chance of confirming it. She is certain to figure in the shake up.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win GREEN DESTINY 2/1(Generally available) Wolferton H'cap
1pt win LOST IN THE MOMENT 8.8/1(Betfair) Wolferton H'cap

Green Destiny is up 12lb in the ratings from Newmarket but he beat some solid yardsticks that day in visually taking style and at around the 2/1 mark, is priced up about right. The ground will prove no problem, hhe got through the heavy ground when wining at Leicester last season and with the added knowledge that he has been re-routed here from the Hunt Cup, there are no negatives against him.

Lost In The Moment showed that his Meydan campaign had left no marks when returning to run a cracker in a valuable Chester handicap. He races off the same mark here, is proven with give, and will be the one to take advantage if Green Destiny fails to perform to expectations.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win ETERNAL HEART 7/1(Generally available) Queens Vase
1pt win HALIFAX 8.4/1 (Betfair)Queens Vase

Always a bit of a unique event and with Regent Street being shortish enough, it might pay to concentrate on the Mark Johnston runners, with the yard taking this in five of the last ten years along with having many placed horses.Eternal Heart is one of the more exposed runners but is game, stays, has not give any indication that he's reached his ceiling yet, and there is enough encouragement in his pedigree to indicate that he'll act with give.

Halifax won a moderate Newcastle handicap last time and while clearly needing to improve alot on the literal form of that event to figure here, he is no doubt much better than able to be rated and, as what tends to happen in this event,he could improve significantly upped in trip.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 16 June 2011

1pt win CROWN DEPENDENCY 15/2 (Generally available) Norfolk Stakes
1pt win 35/1 (Betfair) 1pt place only 8/1 (Betfair place market) CASPAR NETSCHER Norfolk Stakes

Probably best not to try and pr-empt how the field will react to how the draw worked out on the first two days as you tend to get stung by this issue.

The form of Crown Dependancy's Goodwood race received a boost when his stable companion won at Salisbury. The fact the he is the yard's main hope for this is enough to make him feared and he did after all win his race in the style of a very useful juvenile.

There seems to be all sorts of form lines boosted by Frederick Engels recent success. Bapak Chinta beat him on his debut but as the runner up as come on a ton since and Kevin Ryan's juvenile runners here so far have perhaps performed below expectations, he is short enough. A more attractive proposition at the odds is Caspar Netscher who ran a blinder to finish third to Frederick Engels in the Windsor Castle on Tuesday and could run very well again at a big price.

Caspar Netscher NR - 1pt

2pts win BANIMPIRE 3/1 (Hills, Ladbrokes, Exchanges) Ribblesdale Stakes
1pt win LOOK AT ME 18.5/1 (Betfair) Ribblesdale Stakes

This does not look the strongest renewal of this event and Banimpire goes from strength to strength, and seems to thrive on her racing and is still progressing. She has the best form to offer here, is proven over the trip and there are no obvious negatives over her prospects for this event.

Look At Me, is clearly useful based on her runner up position to Havant in last years Oh So Sharp Stakes. There were genuine excuses for her disappointing run on her appearance but then finished plum last in the Irish 1,000. She must have given some sort of signs that things are better for her to take her place in this and could run very well at double fig odds.

Banimpire won + 5pts

1.5pts each way 14/1 (Generally available) MANIGHAR Ascot Gold Cup

With niggly doubts whether this is the race for Fame and Glory there are better options from a value point of view and of those outside the first two in the betting none appeals more than Manighar. Bought from the Aga Khan by his present owners and moved to Luca Cumani to be trained for the Melbourne Gold Cup he made a fair fist of of things in Australia finishing fifth in the Caufield Cup, seventh in the Melborne Cup after being along way behind turning in. After running well in another event over there he was put away until reappearing at York, running a satisfactory first race of the season. He has every chance of getting this trip and reversing the York form and should give a very good accout of himself today.

Lost - 3pts

1pt win BELGIAN BILL 10/1 (Betfair) Brittania Stakes
1pt win DIMENSION 25/1(Betfair) Brittania Stakes
1pt win CAPTAIN BERTIE 24/1 (Betfair) Brittania Stakes

Room to take three aboard here and the form of Belgian Bill's Doncaster race looks OK a couple of months on. He hasen't run since but connections will no doubt have had this in mind for some time and provided the far side are competitive he should run a big race.

Cheverley Park stud don't often leave this meeting empty handed and Dimension, drawn near to the stands side, is one of the more interesting runners. Fanshawe hasen't had a runner on the first two days but has had a couple of winners recently and has a good record in this event.

Drawn not to far away in nine, Captain Bertie definitely has one of these big handicaps in him. He ran well in the Esher Cup and then again at Chester. Ideally, he would like some give and rain would increase his prospects but genuinely good ground would be Ok for him.

Dimension NR - 2pts

2pts win ALKIMOS 6/1 (Betfair) Centenary Stakes
1pt win SLUMBER 14/1 (Generally available) Centenary Stakes

Alkimos looks a very likely type to win this race for this race for Cumani/Fallon again. You can't put a ceiling as to how far this horse will progress but if there is going to be a future G1 winner in this field then he is probably the most likely candidate to go that far.

The Chester Vase form was a given a massive boost by the run of the winner in the Derby and the third horse home, Slumber, is at least worth a point at his present odds.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win SUD PACIFIQUE 11/1 (2 firms and exchanges) King George Stakes
1.5pts win DANADANA 13/1 (Betfair) King George Stakes

The Noseda horses are running really well at the moment and Sud Pacifique catches the eye here. The horse he beat at York has done OK since and as with many by his sire, Sud Pacifique was probably saving a bit for himself that day and could well be far better than the bare form he has shown so far.

Dandana is another Cumani horse with a serious chance on this card. On the face of it, the sole pull in the weights may not be sufficient for him to turn around Newmarket form with Malthouse but is fancied on the basis that the extra two furlongs will bring about notable improvement as there is plenty of staminia in many of the horses who have come from the female line in his pedigree, many in the same ownership including Lost Soldier Three.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 15 June 2011

1.5 pts win FURY 4/1(3 firms and exchanges) Jersey Stakes
1.5 pts win HAVANE SMOKER 5/1(Betfair) Jersey Stakes

The big run of Neebras in the St James Palace has given a boost to the Heron Stakes form and Fury, who finished ahead of Neebras in that event when just touched off, looks a likely type here. Seven furlongs will probably prove to be his ideal trip and there is no concern about any sudden ground changes as he goes on ground both on the fast and soft side of good.

Havane Smoker finished runner up in the French 2,000 Gns. Apart from the winner of the race running OK in the French Derby at the weekend,the form has yet to be advertised but Havant Smoker looks as though he may turn out to be a 7f specialist and possesses the raw ability to win this.

Fury NR - 1.5pts

3pts win I'M A DREAMER 9/2 (Generally available) Windsor Forest Stakes

This filly looked to have come on a ton over the winter when destroying her field in the Dahlia Stakes and connections are harbouring serious G1 aspirations. The form of the Newmarket race is already beginning to stand up well and she is sure to go very close to winning this and cannot be opposed.

Lost - 3pts

1pt win MONT AGEL 14.5/1 (Betfair) Royal Hunt Cup
1pt win ETON FOREVER 15.5/1(Betfair) Royal Hunt Cup
1pt win BRONZE PRINCE 17/1 (Betfair) Royal Hunt Cup

Room to take three against the field and though Tuesdays evidence points to a stands side advantage, these things can change from day to day so taking three sprread across the course might be the best ploy.

Mont Agel has only won once in his career and that was in his juvenile days. However he is relatively lightly raced, ran the race off his life at York last time, and has a rider on that inspires confidence in these sort of races.

Eton Forever looked typically one of his connections progressive sorts when winning at Doncaster in the Spring. Though his last run may suggest that the handicapper has hold of him, he looked open to further improvement at Doncaster and the return to the big field scenario could be key to him.

John Gosden is excellent in these sort of events and Bronze Prince has the hallmarks one one of his that has one of these big handicaps in him.The fact that he has held on to the horse indicates that there is plenty to come from him and he cannot be left out of calculations here.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win WINTERS NIGHT 5.8/1 (Betfair) Sandringham H'cap
1pt win RYTHM OF LIGHT 9/1(Betfair) Sandringham H'cap

The likeable Winter's Night has already won twice at this venue and proved that she is fully effective over this trip when, despite not geting the run of the race, running a blinder at Haydock in what was at the time the most competitive 3 y-r-o handicap of the season so far. It will be very surprising if she is not in the shake up.

A good run by Western Aristoctat in the Jersey will increase confidence in the chance of Rhythm of Light here. She hails from a set up that has really found its feet this season and this filly looks a likely sort to go close here.

Rhythm of Light Won + 6.7pts

Tuesday, 14 June 2011

2pts win POWER 5/1 (Generally available) Coventry Stakes
1pt win GATEPOST 8/1 (Betfair) Coventrey Stakes

Power's victory in a Listed event at the Curragh has more substance to it than the other form on offer. The second horse that day had previously won impressively and looks a smartish sort in his own right. The third home had also previously won a maiden in the style of a highly promising sort. Added to this,Power is likely to prove better over further than the 5f of that race - he won over this trip on his debut and should eventually get a mile. The main worry, whether he could handle give underfoot, now seems to have disappeared with a drying Monday.

The form of Gatepost's York race could be working out better but he looked a smart sort, as he had done on his debut,and it's probably best to side with the visual impression as the signs are that Channon appears to have a better crop of juveniles this year than in the last couple of years.

Power won + 9pts

1.5 pts win RATTAN 20/1 (Betfair) Ascot Stakes
1.5 pts win PLYMOUTH ROCK 15/1 (Betfair) Ascot Stakes

The three heading the market here all have solid enough claims but with threats lurking all the way through this field it's worth taking a couple of longer priced horses aside.

In similar vein to Henderson and Pipe, Willie Mullins has a useful record with his dual purpose animals and Rattan looked to be developing into a useful handicapper on the level before being taken in under his wing for a hurdling career. He hasen't run on the flat for two seasons but has good recent form over hurdles and is a very interesting proposition here.

Plymouth Rock is proving a frustrating sort, often running on through beaten horses but as his Cesarewitch run showed, he posseses the ability to win one of these competeitive staying handicaps and with the stable in good form and the prospect that Dettori, on him for the first time, might just be able to conjure something out of him,he is worth a go.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 11 June 2011

2pts win SEAL ROCK 8/1 (Generally available) Bond Tyres Trophy
1pt win MAJESTIC MYLES 14.5/1 (Betfair) Bond Tyres Trophy

Most of the fancied ones are drawn low here and Seal Rock can maintain his unbeaten record. He diden't beat much in a small field last time but is proven in a double figure field handicap and travels well enough to keep out of difficulty. The yard, in a time long gone known for its stayers, now excels with sprinters, particularly the late developing ones, and having had a couple of winners in the last two days the omens ook good for a big run from this gelding.Majestic Myles will have to be Group class to win this off his present rating and is there to be shot at but he remains open to further improvement, has the right sort of attitude, and can confirm the Newmarket form with Desert Law though confidence would be increased if he shortened a bit as he's weakish on the exchanges at the moment.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 4 June 2011

3pts win AWZAAN 8/1 (Generally available) Investec Diomed Stakes

This former Middle Park winner entered 2010 with high hopes and looked a serious 2,00Gns prospect. After disappointing in that race he was off the course until the Autumn when he showed enough to suggest that all is not lost just yet. He made a satisfactory reappearance at York and, similar to his sire Alhaarth, he could be one who retrurns to the level of his juvenile form as a four year old. He is holding up well enough in the market to suggest he is quietly fancied and is the value call of the race.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SEVILLE 6/1 ( 4 firms and exchanges) Investec Derby

Though Ballydoyle generally don't run their number one Epsom hope in the Dante there seems little doubt that this colt has been their main hope for the race for some time. He shaped really well there and was not knocked about by Soumillon.He settles early and looks the type who can be ridden any way that is choosen.Even without the setback to Carlton House, there was a fairish chance that the York form could be reversed in a truer run race.What has happened this week makes that liklehood even greater and Seville is certain to figure in the shake up today.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 2 June 2011

2pts win MISTY FOR ME 8/1 (Ladbrokes and Exchanges) Investec Oaks
1pt win HAVANT 13/2 (Generally available) Investec Oaks

Misty For Me is a very likeable filly who proved she has trained on when returning to form at the Curragh. Though she has plenty of speed on the female side of her pedigree if you go through the foals of the first two dams there is a very likely chance that the sire here will impart enough staminia for her to get the trip. Added to this she has always appealed as more of an Oaks type and shapes as though she will appreciate further than what she has so far raced over. She is unlikely to have any problems handling the track and all in all is a cracking price..Stable companion Wonder of Wonders won in visually taking style at Chester but this is a lot harder. Blue Bunting holds strong claims but is priced accordingly and Havant, who shaped well behind her at Newmarket, appeals as the saver at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 22 May 2011

1.5 pts each way MISTY FOR ME 9/1 ( Ladbrokes, Hills, Chandler) Etihaad Airways Irish 1,000 Gns

The run of this filly in the Newmarket race raises concerns that she has not trained on but it is worth noting that she was easy to back that day and, as Roderick O'Connor showed yesterday,the yards horses can recover their reputations quickly from a poor first run. Her Boussac victory last autumn is as good as piece of form as anythng on offer here and she finished ahead of her shorter priced stable companion Together when winning a G2 here last August. Of course, Together has proven that she has trained on well by running a blinder at Newmarket but the gap in the odds available is too big and if Misty For Me dosen't figure here,then it's almost certain that we have seen the best of her.

Won + 17.25

Saturday, 21 May 2011

1.5pts win WINTER'S NIGHT 10/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Betfred Silverbowl H'cap
1.5pts win SIKEEB 10/1 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Betfred Silverbowl H'cap

Because of her far from ideal draw, Winter's Night is a couple of points longer than you would expect her to be but she is appears a highly progressive sort who knows how to win and is only 3lb higher than when beating an animal on a roll at Ascot last time. Provided she settles Ok, the extra furlong should not hinder and granted the run of the race she'll go very close. Sikeeb has been put up in the ratings after being narrowly beaten in a good looking race at Newmarket last time. He had a couple of these behind him that day, looks the type to go on improving and is the one in this field that you would rely on most to run his race.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 4 May 2011

2pts win DIRAR 17/1 (Betfair) Totesport Chester Cup
1pt win SENTRY DUTY 33/1(Betfair) Totesport Chester Cup

Off a 7lb higher rating than when winning last years Ebor, Dirar looks a very likely type for this and being a very versatile sort with plenty of experince in the hustle and bustle scenario, can win this from box 12. It is of no concern that the rider aboard at York is on Mount Athos, as Spencer rides alot of the Koukash horses and there is that link between him and Wachman. Of genuine concern is how easy he is on the Exchanges at present and hopefully he'll shorten up between now an racetime. Sentry Duty catches the eye out of those at the big prices. Your either a fan or not but he still has a valuable race or two left in him and when he was well beaten in this three years ago, had run at Punchestown only a week before.

Lost - 3pts

Sunday, 1 May 2011

2pts win SHARAAYEN 4.8/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) British Series H'cap
1pt win CHIBERTA KING 10/1 (Betfair) British Series H'cap

This gelding is bred to improve into his 4 y-r-o year and should have rewarding season in the valuable middle distance handicaps.He has looked a different horse since drop out tactics have been used with him; winning in visually taking style at Newbury in September then putting up a good performance under his revised rating. He has been raised again since that last run but the potential for further improvement more than cancels that out along with the likelehood that with the stable in its customary good early season form, he'll be straight enough to run his race. Chiberta King has a good record at this venue, and off the same rating when winning here last May, must come under serious consideration and is worth back up support.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MISTY FOR ME 10.5/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Quipco 1,000 Gns
1pt win MAKE A DANCE 12.5/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) Quipco 1,000 Gns

Misty For Me is thoroughly likeable filly who seems sure to train on, has proven G1 winning form, and though she will stay further there is no reason why she should still not be fully effective over this trip. It may be misleading to look too much into Roderick O'Connor's performance in the 2,000 Gns, because all in all the price here more than compensates for the niggly doubts and of those priced up shorter Havant has serious worries over the ground, Hooray and Memory have concerns over their staminia, and using a reasonable solid formline, Misty For Me is on the same level as Moonlight Cloud. Of those further down the list, Make a Dance catches the eye. Though she never beat much when winning a maiden here last October she looked the part and could be anything.The fact that she takes her chance here indicates that connection believe she is up to acquitting herself well in this grade.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 30 April 2011

3pts win GREEN DESTINY 6.2/1(Betfair) Quipco British Championship Series Suffolk H'cap

This is only an average renewal of this event and Green Destiny is hard to stray from. A typical sort that his yard excels with, there is no way he will peak around his present rating of 87. The four horses that finished closest to him in the Haydock maiden he won were all winning themselves soon after, and Green Destiny then went and took a handicap at Leicester off a 5lb lower mark than todays. Todays opponents do no more than win in turn and he is a pretty confident call here.

Won +18 pts

3pts win TREASURY DEVIL 5.4/1 (Betfair) Makfi Newmarket Stakes

This is an interesting little race and Treasury Devil catches the eye above the rest. He was thought highly enough of last season to take his chance in a G1 at Longchamp, and though he is not up to that level, he made a promising reappearance in the Esher Cup last week, running on like one who will be suited by the extra two furlongs here.Although he is by a sprinter and a half sibling similarly by a fast sire did not stay this sort of trip, he is from a Jim Joel female line with plenty of staminia in it and the sensible option here could be to take for granted the visual impression from the Sandown race.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 9 April 2011

2pts win CUE CARD 100/30 (4 firms and exchanges) John Smiths Mersey Novices Hdle
1pt win BOLD SIR BRIAN 16.5/1 ( Betfair and Betdaq) John Smiths Mersey Novices Hdle

Cue Card,who won around here in October, will appreciate the step back up in trip here and with the Henderson horses running a little flat in the main, he can turn around Supreme Novices form with Spirit Son. Bold Sir Brian is hard to get a guage on but is clearly very useful. His yard are flying at the moment and he catches the eye at double figure odds.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win DAN BREEN 12/1 (Betfair) John Smiths Maghull Novices Chase

Fininans Rainbow doesen't always convince on the jumping front and is worth taking on at prohibitive odds. Dan Breen finished well behind him in the Arkle when tried in blinkers. The headgear was left off last time and he put in a very useful performance when a facile winner at Uttoxeter. He could take some catching around here and appeals at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win CELESTIAL HALO 11/1 (Generally available) John Smiths Aintree Hdle
1pt win SALDEN LICHT 39/1 ( Betfair and Betdaq) John Smiths Aintree Hdle

Peddler's Cross has looked near on bombproof and came here and won last year after running at Cheltenham.However, he had by far the hardest race of his life in the Champion Hdle and he is not an attractive propisition around the 6/4 mark. With niggling doubts over Binocular, it may be worth searching for an upset and Celestial Halo,who took a crashing fall when travelling like a winner in this last year, has a seriuos chance today. His chasing career never took off but his run at Wincanton showed that he is still capable of producing his old optimum level of form over hurdles. Salden Licht is very interesting at massive odds. He dosen't have as much to find with these as the prices suggest and open to plenty more improvement, on ground that will be ideal, the step up in trip could be the key to him.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win TARABLAZE 8/1 (Generally available) John Smith's H'cap Chase
1pt win TAKE THE BREEZE 17.5/1(Betfair) John Smith's H'cap Chase

Providing he irons out his jumping problems,Tarablaze is some way off reaching his ceiling in the handicap chase sphere and his recent succes at Bangor can only have boosted his confidence. He looks the ideal type for this sharp circuit and should put in a bold showing. At one stage, Take the Breeze looked like he was going to take the novice chase here last year won by Burton Port and though ultimately beaten, a reproduction of that sort of form would see him go very close. It's a while now since he has won and he is developing a disappointing overall profile. However, back at a venue that suits him he could surprise.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win BALLABRIGS 18/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) John Smith's Grand National
1pt win WEST END ROCKER 49/1 (Betfair and Betdaq) John Smith's Gran National

Long time Ante-Post favourite Ballabrigs has done nothing to harm his prospects and there is every chance that the long term plan will come to fruition today. Kept to hurdles to protect his handicap mark, he ran a fine race in defeat to Skippers Brig when returned to fences. With the winner of that race being campaigned with an opportunist approach, it was likely that he was much straighter that day. Todays surface will be ideal for Ballabrigs and he is more appealing than The Midnight Club and Oscar Time, who are shorter than him but who have been racing almost exclusively in testing conditions throughout their career. West End Rocker has returned from an enforced lay off to prove himself as good as ever. He appeals as the type who will stay all day, will not mind the ground, and could go very well at big odds.

Ballabrigs won +33.5pts

3pts win NEARBY 10/1 (Betfair) John Smith's Conditional Jockeys H'cap Hdle

Todays rider has won three times on this animal and was aboard him when he ran a cracker in the County Hurdle last time. The 4lb rise in the ratings on account of that run is probably fair and he has good prospects of defying top weight today.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win PERSAIN SNOW 8/1 (Generally available) John Smiths Champion Bumper

Philip Hobbs went very close in this with Dare Me last year.Unlike that animal, todays representative did not appear in the Cheltenham bumper but looked a top notch prosepect when winning at Ascot in October. He was then turned over at the same venue on softer ground, but back on a sounder surface, with the likelehood that this has been his target for a while, he makes as much appeal as any here.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 8 April 2011

3pts win BRAMPOUR 8.5/1( VC andExchanges) John Smiths Top Novices Hdle

This was supposedly the yards top juvenile hope at the beginning of the season and while not living up to the hype he has already shown himself to be a very useful juvenile and ran well enough in the Triumph to suggest that on this different circuit, in a non-vintage renewal of this race, he may be able to shake todays rivals up.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win WAYWARD PRINCE 11/4 (Corals) John Smiths Midmay Novices Chase

There have been far better renewals of this event in the past and this gelding should be good enough to follow up his victory in the novice hurdle here last year. The ground has come right for him and provided the visor does not have a negative event and irons out the flat spot that he hit in the Sun Alliance, he will be much too good for todays rivals which include the Coln Murphy animal who has done all his racing on softer ground and Master of the Hall who has thirteen lengths to make up on Cheltenham form.

Lost - 3pts

3 pts win ALBERTAS RUN 4/1 (Ladbrokes) John Smiths Melling Chase

It's hard to envisage an upset here and with Master Minded inspiring no confidence after his Cheltenham run and Somersby consistently finding this stage just beyond him, the winner seems very likely to come from the two market leaders and there is no reason why last years winner should not confirm recent Cheltenham form with Kalahari King.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win MOSSLEY 5/1 (Hills) John Smiths Sefton Hdle
1.5pts win BACK IN FOCUS 13/2 (Corals, Ladbrokes and Exchanges) John Smiths Sefton Hdle

A fascinating race with a few who will make lots of novice chase sections of Horses to Follow lists for next season lining up. Mossley ran a blinder in the Albert Bartlett and on this surface can confirm that form with Court In Motion who he'd finished behind previously in testing condidtions. Back In Focus beat Court In Motion in the mud at Haydock and while this is a different scenario here he looks an exciting long term prospect and if he is able to handle these faster conditions will go close today.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 6 April 2011

3pts win GRANDOUET 4/1 (Ladbrokes) Matalan Anniversary Juvenile Hdle

Connections made it clear before the Triumph that this was a speedier type than their previous year's winner of the race and that there was a concern about him getting home. He ran just like a horse who would be in his optimum on a sharper, flatter track after failing to capatilise on the way he was travelling. This race is readymade for him and he can reverse the form with the winner of the Cheltenham race.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win CAROLE'S LEGACY 6/1 (Generally available)Totesport Bowl Chase

The mighty Denman had a brutal race at Cheltenham and on a course not ideal for him is very vulnerable to inferior opponents. Nacaret disappointed in this last year while Punchestowns has not turned out the horse he promised to be when first embarking on his chasing career. Carole's Legacy is not up to the normal required standard to win this race but is a very tough mare who will run her race and has never been in better heart. With serious question marks hanging over her rivals it will be a surprise if she fails to run a big race here.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MAMLOOK 13/2 ( 3 big firms and exchanges) Matalan Co Red Rum H'cap Chase
1pt win SAFARI JOURNEY 13.5/1 (Betfair) Matalan Co Red Rum H'cap Chase

Chester Cup winner Mamlook is lightly races over fences but a versatile all round performer who is well handicapped on his best hurdle form and, on this drying ground,should be capable of transfering the best of his hurdle form to the bigger obstacles.

Safari Journey is a far from straightforward type who disappointed in this event last year but that was on the back of a recent run at Cheltenham and he has been kept fresh and appeals as the type to run a big race here in these circumstances. His career best performance when winning at Ascot at the end of October came on the back of a run in an amateur race on the level. The drying ground will be ideal for him.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ROYAL CHARM 4/1 (Exchanges and Corals) Totepool Manifesto Novices Chase

It's not hard to envisage this animal travelling and jumping well near the front of the field and he could find himself in a position were Medermit is chasing with far too much leeway to make up. Wishful Thinking is of course a big danger but is short enough and Royal Charm makes tremendous appeal at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 18 March 2011

1.5pts win UNACCOMPANIED 7/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges)JCB Triumph Hdle
1.5pts win SAM WINNER 6/1 (Generally available)JCB Triumph Hdle

As with plenty on this card, Unaccompanied will need the rain to come and that will give him a massive chance of carrying his famous colours to victory.He represents the best of the Irish juvenile form and of course hails from one of the shrewdest yards in the business and would not be lining up here if he wasen't considered up to it. Sam Winner blotted his copybook last time but created a massive impression when twice galloping strongly up the hill here in both November and December. He had Grandouet behind him on the first occasion and though that animal has improved since you can't watch the race and be confident of the form being turned around.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win ALARAZI 9/1 (Ladbrokes and exchanges) Vincen O'Brien County Hdle

This gelding won the Imperial Cup in visually tremnedous style, tracking Via Galilei on ther bridle and quickening in fine style when asked. He has a first rate chance of defying a penalty here - he's still improving,has run well around here before, and there is the factor that if the forecast heavy rain does turn the ground, he goes in the soft too.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win JOIN TOGETHER 8/1 (Generally available) Albert Bartlett Novices Hdle
1pt win COURT IN MOTION 9/1 (5 firms and exchanges)Albert Bartlett Novices Hdle

Bob's Worth has absolute solid credentials but is short enough and taking two a on board against him may be the best ploy.Like the Henderson yard, Nicholls as usual has strength in depth in the novice hurdle ranks and Join Together will no doubt be up to a bold showing here granted that conditions are not against him. With the ground looking sure to ease he should be OK on that front and looks the type who will keep galloping forever. Court In Motion has always looked a classy sort. He acquitted himself well in desperate Haydock heavy last time and even if the ground softens, it wo'nt be anywhere near those conditions and he should get home alright. Looks certain to run a big race.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win PANDORAMA 12/1 ( Ladbrokes and Exchanges) Totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup
1pt win TIDAL BAY 23/1 (Betfair) Totesport Cheltenham Gold Cup

This renewal has the wierdest feel to it. You have three previous winners, two of which are almost certainly past their best. You have an exciting King George winner who has serious staminia doubts,then you have a gang of others, most of which you normally wouldn't give serious consideration to such as Midnight Chase, Kempes and the pair of characters What A Friend and Tiday Bay. However, there is an exception here in Pandorama if his Hennessey run can be forgiven. He needs the rain to fall - he's not going to figure if it doesen't - but given that the heavens open he is probably talented enough to make a mark here.Clearly difficult to train, he has a turn of pace while also looking as though this trip will be well within his compass.He was never going in the Hennessey after an early mistake and is worth another chance over here. Tidal Bay is suited by this tack and finish. If they go a good lick and start to wane he will be cutting through them and is worth a small speculation.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 17 March 2011

2pts win LOOSEN MY LOAD 7/1 (Generally available) Jewson Novices Chase
1pt win MR GARDNER 7/1 (Betfair) Jewson Novices Chase

The giant Loosen My Load has had a break since December but goes well when fresh. The ground is also ideal for him.Back in November he ran well here in a race that had the subsequent Arkle winner in and will surely put in a bold show here.Mr Gardner suffered a setback that put him off track for nearly two years.He has come back showing plenty enough to suggest that he is up to challenging for these sort of prizes.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win LUSH LIFE 13/1 (Betfair) Pertemps Final
1pt win BARAFUNDLE 9/1(Generally available) Pertemps Final

Lush Life looked a likely type for this when winning here in December and off a 5lb higher rating, on ground that suits,he is in with a serious chance. His last run can be ignored for obvious reasons and he remains highly progressive and one who could improve enough to be a regular in the Graded staying hurdle races if he remained over hurdles. Barafundle disappointed here last April but has returned a much improved performer. He is now proven in the hustle and bustle of the big field handicap scenario and is hard to keep off the final list for this.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win POQUELIN 11/4 (3 firms and exchanges) Ryanair Chase

The gelding has absolute stonewall solid credentials here and looked better than ever when winning the big handicap chase here in December for the second year running. He has been specifically primed for this race since and can go one better than last year. His conqueror thnn, Albertas Run, arrives here with a bit of a shadow hanging over him. Voy Por Ustedes is the fascinating one on his first run for his new yard but his decline had been gradual under Alan King and it may be asking too much for him to suddenly become the horse he was a couple of seasons back.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win HOLLO LADIES 9.5/1(Betfair) Byrne Group Plate
1pt win CRESCENT ISLAND 20/1 (3 firms and exchanges) Byrne Group Plate

A formerly useful novice hurdler, Hollo Ladies has been getting his act together over fences and his Southwell victory looks far bettr now than it did on the day.He has a typical profile for one from his yard being primed for a spring target and is the preferred option here. Apart from the one that ran in the bumper the Twiston Davies runners have been quiet here - though not many of them had obvious chances. However, the yard had been in fairish form coming into the meeting and Crescent Island catches the eye at the odds available.He was third in the Jewson two years ago and his Wetherby victory this season showed that he retains all of his ability.

C. Island NR - 2pts

Wednesday, 16 March 2011

2pts win OSCARS WELL 4/1(Betfair) Neptune Investment Hdle
1pt win MINELLA CLASS 12/1(Betfair) Neptune Investment Hdle

The two that head the betting are almost certainly the best two animals in the contest but both are yet to be tested on faster ground. On the basis that the form of the heavy ground Punchestown race won by So Young has not been advertised one iota by those behind him since, Oscar Wells is the more attractive proposition. He looks an ultra reliable type and apart from the slight concern over the quicker conditions, its hard to find any genuine negatives about his chance here. If you are prepared to overlook the Huntingdon run, then Minella Class is in with a big shout at double figure odds. He is also proven on this sort of surface and should outrun his odds.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win WAYWARD PRINCE 8.8/1(Betfair) RSA Chase
1pt win MIKAEL D'HAGUENET 9.5/1(Betfair) RSA Chase

Wayward Prine has his ground today and expect him to leave behind his previous chase form here. Admittedly, he is unbeaten in this sphere but his performance here in November was not convincing and he may have been beaten by Chicago Grey if that rival had kept on his feet.He is clearly held through that horse by Time For Rupert but he will be a different proposition today and appeals massively at the odds available. Mikael D' Haguenet was arguably the most exciting young horse in training when winning here in his novice hurdle days. A setback and season missed means that he is a year behind schedule - it was envisaged that he'd be challenging for the Gold Cup this season. Though beaten in all three outings over fences he appears to retain most of his ability and is in with a serious shout today.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win MASTER MINDED 3.4/1(Betfair) Sporting Bet Queen Mother Champion Chase
1pt win WOOLCOMBE FOLLY 9.5/1(Betfair) Sporting Bet Queen Mother Champion Chase

Lots of niggly doubts around some of these. Big Zeb has his ground but is ten now and last year could have been his time. Master Minded is the more experienced but is two years younger. He'll probably never again put up a visual performance like when winning this three years back but still looks to be the leader in this sphere. Ok the drying ground is a worry but he cannot be ignored at the odds available. Stable companion Woolcombe Folly looked to have his limitations exposed in the Arkle last year but appears much improved this season. He is the hardest to assess in the field but could well be up to it and is worth a point.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts win ERICHT 8/1 (Generally available) Weatherbys Champion Bumper
1.5pts win RAISE THE BEAT 10.5/1 (Betfair) Weatherbys Champion Bumper

Ericht is one of the best long term prospects in this field and as his trainer is worried about spoiling such animals in this sort of event it points strongly to Ericht's chance that he takes his place in the field. He won a strongly contested Newbury event last time and appeals as much as anything else in this fascinating but guessing event. Raise The Beat was followed homw by two previous winners when winning impressively at Naas on fast ground last October. He was then put away for this and is worth getting involved with.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 14 March 2011

3pts win SPIRIT SON 5.8/1(Betfair) Stan James Supreme Novices Hdle

Cue Card looks sure to run his race but it can be dangerous to link up novice form against the Champion Hurdle contenders in their trials. Some show the form to be genuine ( such as Vagador) and some show themselves to be a little flattered(such as Mole Board). This along with the fantastic impression Cue Card created when winning the bumper here last year is perhaps ensuring that he is shorter than he is entitled to be. Yes, he'll run well but there are dangers and the exciting Spirit Son is the bet at over double the price of the Tizzard horse. The Henderson yard has a wealth of talent in this sphere this season and this one looks to be top of the pecking order. It is hard to quantify the form of his two races but he could have done nothing more than he achieved, leaving a big visual impression along with the belief from the yard that he will be better on this sort of surface.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win GHIZAO 4/1 (Generally available) Irish Independent Arkle Challenge Trophy
1pt win REALT DUBH 9/1 (Genereally available)Irish Independent Arkle Challenge Trophy

Things looked to come together for Medermit last time but he hasen't been entirely convincing in his chasing career so far while Finians Rainbow's jumping is a serious concern going in to this where he won't be able to afford any mistakes or sloppiness. Converseley, there are no genuine crosses to be put against Ghizao who after a sluggish first start over fences, has gone on to show himself to be a genuine high class novice on his next two outings and looks certain to figure in the shake up. Realt Dubh represents the best of the Irish form and while most of that has come on genuinely soft ground, he would likely have won at Galway on good ground in October if he'd kept on his feet. He is worth a saver.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win SUNNYHILLBOY 6/1 (Generally available) Stewart Family Spinal Research H'cap
1pt win BLAZING BAILEY 16/1 (Betfair) Stewart Family Spinal Research H'cap

A winer of a valuable handicap hurdle at Aintree two seasons ago, Sunnyhillboy has for some while appealed strongly as one who would take one or two valuable hancicap chases. He ran as though this trip would suit in the big 2m5f handicap here in December and he has clearly been put away for this from that day. The yard took this with Witchita Lineman two seasons back and is arguably just about the best target yard in the country. He is the one to beat here. Blazing Bailey has suddenly had a new lease of life and though being on the small side for a chaser he has proven he can carry this sort of weight on his back. The drying ground will not hinder and despite Thornton being on Bensalem, this gelding's chance should not be overlooked and is worth some support at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win OSCAR WHISKEY 9/1 (Betfair) Stan James Champion Hdle
1pt win KHYBER KIM 12/1 (Generally available) Stan James Champion Hdle

The form of the Hobbs yard is a real worry for Menorah's chance here and even if he does turn up in optimum form he is not sure to confirm last seasons Supreme Novices form with Oscar Whiskey who has looked the complete deal in his two outing this season and may have improved to a level at least on par with the Hobbs horse. At the odds on offer he is the value call here. Last seasons runner up Khyber Kim will likely return to his best here and that means that he is sure to be thereabouts and at the prices available he is too big to ignore.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 12 March 2011

2pts win SKINT 12/1 (Betfair) EBF Novice Hdle Final
1pt win OWEN GLENDOWER 16/1 (Generally available) EBF Novice Hdle Final

This is always one of the most interesting races of its kind all season, producing many that go on the novice chase sections of horses to follow lists for the following season. In that respect, there are probably a few better long term chasing prospects in this field than Skint but with a view to today, he makes the most appeal. The drying ground is the key here and it is not surprising that from the three Henderson runners in the race Geraghty is aboard this one. He was runner up in a handicap at Kempton two outings ago in a race where most around him came into the race in good form and/or have done OK since. He also beat The Reformer on this sort of surface back in November and though he has not looked to be crying out for a trip, connections evidently believe that this wil be his sort of trip on this ground. Stable companion Owen Glendower is a more interesting long term prospect.He has been absent since facing Cue Card in November but the form of his previous victory at Stratford looks pretty solid and he should run outrun his odds.

Skint won +22pts

2pts win VIA GALILEI 7.6/1(Betfair) Paddy Power Imperial Cup
1pt win ALPINE EAGLE 27/1(Betfair) Paddy Power Imperial Cup

Via Galilei hails from a yard with a successful record in these sort of races and still open to plenty more improvement he looks very much the type to bag a couple of these valuable handicap hurdles sometime soon. An 8lb rise in the ratings for his victory last time does not look unfair and he possesses a good turn of pace that is a big asset in this sort of race on todays ground. The drying ground will not hinder and he is hard to overlook here. Alpine Eagle likewise comes from a yard with a long roll of honour in valuable handicap hurdles and with him being lighly raced in recent months this will no doubt of been a carefully considered target. His overall level of form puts him bang in with a chance here and he is worth a point at the odds available, though confidence would be increased if he shortened up a few points between now and the race.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 5 March 2011

1.5pts win MATUHI 9.5/1(Betfair) Wiltshire County Show Greatwood Chase
1.5pts win TAKE THE BREEZE 14/1 (Generally available) Wiltshire County Show Greatwood Chase

Wide open but worth having a go at. Matuhi has run well before when fresh and is much improved for the move to his new yard. After beating a couple of useful opponents convincingly at Ascot he ran well at this venue when following home a quality sort. Had too much on his plate last time but should give a very good account of himself back in this grade. Take the Breeze does not perhaps win as much as he should for one with his ability. In general though, he has been running consistently well and though most of his winning has been achieved in very soft ground, todays surface should be fine, even over this trip.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win OGEE 6/1(Generally available) Coral Grimthorpe Chase
1pt win MEANUS DANDY 8.4/1(Betfair) Coral Grimthorpe Chase

Once a a pretty useful handicapper for Michael Stoute on the level, Ogee is now an established NH performer. After winning the staying novice hurdle at the big Aintree meeting in 2009, he went and developed into just as useful performer over fences last season, coming from novice company to run a blinder in the William Hill Trophy at the Cheltenham festival. Off just a 2lb higher rating today,a repeat of that sort of form would probably see him win this and as he seems a spring type, should be in good shape for this. Meanus Dandy has done most of his racing and winning on right hand tracks and is not the most straightforward individual. Nevertheless,he posseses enough ability to warrant as a big danger here and is worth a saver.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 19 February 2011

1.5pts each way (14/1 Generally available)COPPER BLEU Betfair Mobile H'cap Hdle

This one really catches the eye here,first time back after a breathing operation and very likely to be in good trim for this despite Johnson being aboard Karesinir. When last over hurdles he ran well at all three Spring festivals,finishing fourth in the Supreme Novices, then beaten by inches at Aintree before winning at Punchestown.He hasen't been in handicap company over hurdles but has been given a chance off his mark when you look at the horses that finished around him in the Supreme Novices; Go Native and Medermit developing into a genuine Champion Hurdle contender. He was three lengths off Medermit who at the beginning of last season ran a blinder in a full quality Greatwood off 146. Off a 1lb higher rating Copper Bleu is clearly not handicapped out of this less competitive event. Copper Bleu had a successful novice chase campaign last year, wining the Jewson and this is not the sort of yard that would run him in this sort of race to solely to get him ready for a return to fences.He should be up for this and run very well.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 12 February 2011

3pts win WALKON 5/1 ( Generally available) Totesport Trophy

With Final Approach and Iolith missing from the originally planned race last Saturday, there are two less dangers for Walkon and Soldatino who both have solid credentials and are much preferred to last years winner Get Me Out Of Here who would have to be trusted to return to form and has yet to prove himself off this sort of mark. Salden Licht is hard to get a handle and could still be anything over timber but is only a couple of points longer the the two heading the market. Walkon and Soldatino put up performances of similar merit in the Triumph Hurdles that they ran in. Walkon went on to win impressively at Aintree before being sidelined long term.However, at the end of their respective juvenenile seasons Walkon ( despite a novice chase campaign being considered) appealed more as a Champion Hurdle prospect. Both returned to the track in the same race at Ascot a few weeks back. Walkon ran right up to his very best while Soldatino ran a visually eyecatching race that promises much. In these circumstances I would not be deterred by any bounce effect and would rather take Walkon aboard, and 2 mile in what is likely to be quite testing ground should not hinder him to run to his optimum.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 5 February 2011

2 pts win KILCREA KIM 8/1(Generally available) Totesport Heroes H'cap Hdle
1 pt win LUSH LIFE 12/1 (3 firms and exchanges) Totesport Heroes H'cap Hdle

The highly progressive Kilcrea Kim's winning run came to an end last time out when facing his stiffest task in a race far more competitive than the prize money suggested. He ran a highly pleasing race and just flattened out over the extra two furlongs.Running off the same mark today,and back down in trip, there is every reason to believe that he is yet to reach his ceiling over hurdles and he makes the most appeal here.

The three that followed Lush Life home at Cheltenham last time out have not done anything to advertise the form in their next outings. However,this gelding is a hardy sort who took the scalp of Menorah 12 months ago and appeals very much as a likely sort for the 2m4f - 3m handicaps hurdles at the spring festivals as his type win them events just as often as the plot types.He should be competitive in this off a 5lb higher rating than last time.

Kilcrea Kim Won + 15 pts

Saturday, 29 January 2011

2pts win CHAPOTURGEON 10/1 (Betfair) Murphy Group H'cap Chase
1pt win LITTLE JOSH 8/1 (Betfair) Murphy Group H'cap Chase

Despite having a fragile type of profile,Chapoturgeon is able to produce very smart form on his day and this is the race that will indicate how much benefit he has received from his breathing operation. The Exeter race was inconclusive in that respect but with the conditions in his favour on the course where he has produced his two best pieces of form, there cannot be many excuses offered if he dosen't perform. Stable companion Nolands career had been severley hampered by two long spells off the track and though his run on the level raises hopes it remains to be sen if he retains his old level of ability and as an alternative the hardy Little Josh is preferred. Although penalised for his Paddy Power victory, he ran well enough off his new mark last time to give him serious prospects in this less competitive event. The horses from his yard are running well enough and better than the stats suggest and he should be thereabouts.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 15 January 2011

1.5pts win RICHARDS SUNDANCE 8.2/1(Betfair) Totesport Classic Chase
1.5pts win MINELLA BOYS Totesport 9.5/1(Betfair)Classic Chase

Not many are going to get home in this ground but Richards Sundance, proven in extreme conditions, is one of the likely ones who will still be involved late on. He has returned to a mark just 2lb higher than when last winning 12 months ago, and came back to something near best best last time when no match for what in hindsight was an extremely well handicapped Blazing Bailey.He appeals as the type who will stay forever and his yard could not be in better form at the moment.

Minella Boys is held by C'monthehammers on last month's Exeter form but stepped up markedly on that form last time when winning at Plumpton. He has still only had six outings over fences and is selected on the basis that could be one of those that has found a niche in these specialist sort of events. He is another who will stay all day and not mind the ground.

Lost - 3pts