Saturday, 31 July 2010

2pts win STACELITA 7/2 (Generally available) Blue SQ Nassau Stakes
1pt win ANTARA 17.5/1(Betfair) Blue SQ Nassau Stakes

Stacelita returned to her best last time and although 5th in the Arc after being awarded the Vermaille, you get the feeling that this us her best trip. She seems an uncomplicated sort who races prominently and she will take some pegging back here when she kicks for home. Antara was mightly impressive when winning at Hoppegarten last October and was one of the most interesting Godolphin acquisitions during the close season and you get a strong feeling that with just a slight bit of ease in the ground she will be capable of surpassing her already good form in this country.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts each way PERSAIN PYRAMID 22/1 (Generally available) Blue SQ Stewards Cup

This is a very interesting runner from the stands side box. This gelding runs well here and his run at York last time shows that he is able to be competitive in the quality handicaps. On the book, that was arguably a lifetime best from him and he is mighty interesting running off the same mark here. The yard is in healthy form at the moment, and granted that the nearside are competitive,he will not be far away and is the preferred option.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 29 July 2010

1pt win OASIS DANCER 6/1 (Generally available) Totesport Mile
1pt each way ROYAL DESTINATION 20/1 (Generally available) Totesport Mile

Oasis Dancer is an extremely likeable sort who knows how to get his head infront and he has a big opportunity to take this valuable prize under a 3lb penalty. The form of his recent win has yet to be tested but irrespective of how that pans out he is very likely to be returning to G company in the near future and could progress further enough to make his mark in G2/G3's.He is the one to beat here.

With the Noseda yard in terrific form Royal Destination is worth one more chance. His seasonal reappearance was pleasing enough as he almost certainly needed the outing but he failed to progress from that in the John Smith's Cup.He ran well at this meeting last year over two furlongs further after racing prominently and the combination of the drop back in trip in a crowded true run affair could just bring out the sparkle in him.There are still things to learn about him but he started the year looking certain to improve from last year and he is not without a chance.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 28 July 2010

1.5pts each way STARFALA 20/1 (Generally available) Moet Hennessy Fillies Stakes

If she is able to reproduce her Park Hill form his mare would go very close here. She was beaten inches in the event and was followed home by three animals in the top of their form. She started at big odds that day after running a poor race in this event and has not won in her four outings since which means its nearly two years since she won. There of course has to be some negs hanging over her for her to be around the 20/1 mark but on the brighter side she started the season as good as ever when third in a hot little Ascot race so we know that all the ability is still there. She disappointed at York next time and the last run came an oddball event which nothing too much should be gleaned from it. Conditions are ideal for her here, the yard is in fairish form, and she appeals very much as one who will run a very big race.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 27 July 2010

1.5pts each way BADDAM 28/1 ( Generally available) Sportingbet Goodwood Stakes

This oldtimer may be worth chancing at double figure odds. He won this event two years ago off a rating 9lb higher than now. Whether he is capable of fully producing that level of form is not clear - although he ran a stinker last time at Ascot he had also run a desperate race in the same event two years ago before winning this. What does give encouragement is that though it's a while since he produced his best form on the level, he has not had enough racing in this sphere lately to make a proper judgement and he has at least been in good form over hurdles during the winter and won well on his chasing debut in May. It takes all sorts to win these sort of events and he has a realistic chance here.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win RIP VAN WINKLE 5/2 ( Generally available) Sussex Stakes

In what appears a straight match, Rip Van Winkle's performance in this last year when defeating Paco's Boy is on the book probably better than anything Canford Cliffs has yet to achieve. Of course, the Hannon horse comes into this in the form of his life and with the stable still firing he seems sure to run to his optimum. However, it will be very surprising if Rip Van Winkle does not leave the Ascot run behind and find his best form here.If he does its a coin toss which makes him a cracking bet at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 26 July 2010

1pt win MAIN AIM 8/1 (Generally available) Betfair Cup
1pt each way LOVELACE 20/1(Generally available) Betfair Cup

Coming into this 12 months ago you would not have envisaged Main Aim lining up again 12 months on and starting around the 8/1 mark. He had just run a lifetime best when finishing runner up in the July Cup and he looked likely to take all the beating in this before returning to G1's. As it is, he ran a stinker followed by a similar no performance at Haydock. Connections later treated him for a condition and overlooking his run at Royal Ascot he has run consistently well in his remaining races this season, each time showing a level of form that would see him going close here.He still looks capable of running up to the level if his July Cup form, and that would almost certainly see him winning this and he cannot be overlooked at the odds available.

Lovelace is a very interesting contender at a big price. On his two previous visits here he won a handicap off 96 3 years ago, then was unlucky in running when finishing 5th last year off 109 in the big mile handicap. The yard done wonders with another ex- Johnston horse in Regal Parade, and Lovelace retains all of his ability, arrives here on the back of a cracking run in an above G3 at Longchamp that would have passsed for a G2, and looks sure to outrun his odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 24 July 2010

1.5pts each way NOBLE CITIZEN 20/1 ( Hills, Ladbrokes, Bet 365) Victoria Racing Club International Stakes

This animal does not have the progressive profile of a couple of the others in this event but his type win these sort of races enough and rarely start shorter than they are entitled to. Noble Citizen's race at Newmarket last time went wrong from an early stage and can be safely ignored - he had previously run back to back blinders at this venue and is proven in the big field scenario.His yard is banging them in at the moment and with one of the ' could be ahead of the handicapper types', Ya Waayl, alarmingly weak in the market this morning, his prospects increase and he will be difficult to keep out of the frame.

Placed + 6pts

Saturday, 17 July 2010

1pt win ACAMBO 12/1 (Generally available) Totescoop Summer Hdle
1pt each way HERON BAY 12/1 (Generally available) Totescoop Summer Hdle

Acambo has been holding up well in the market this morning which suggest that the blinds have produced a some sparkle him at home. One thing is for sure, with him now being down to below his last winning mark of just over 12 months ago, he has been given a real chance by the handicapper and the fact that Johnson, despite reducing his string notably, has held on to him, gives encouragement that connections still believe all the ability is still there.

Although perhaps a little disappointing last time, Heron Bay is still potentially much better than his present rating over hurdles. With Bowen's yard enjoying one of it's traditional heady spells at the moment, he is a very likely sort here and will be suited by the track and looks sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win PRINCE SIEGFRIED 3/1 (Generally available) Shadwell Beech House Stud Stakes
1pt win DISTANT MEMORIES 5/1( 4 firms and exchanges) Shadwell Beech House Stud Stakes

Prince Siegfried had put up three good performances each time he has encountered an easy surface and there are no concerns about him not being able to produce his optimum on todays ground. He arrives here as good as ever after two solid performances, both at Sandown, and he will take all the beating here and is a better proposition than market rival Stimulation, who may need a sound surface to produce the level of form that he did at Royal Ascot.

Distant Memories is progressing really well at the moment and is already a genuine G3/Listed calibre animal. He knows how to win, acts with ease, and is almost certainly got further improvement left in him and is a danger to all.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 10 July 2010

1.5 pts each way ROYAL DESTINATION 14/1 (Generally available) John Smith's Cup

This gelding is only 4lb higher than when winning here last August and is a very interesting proposition here. He reappeared at this venue 4 weeks ago looking like he would be the one to beat if fully wound up. The betting suggested that he was in need of the run and he ran like a horse who needed the race to clear the cobwebs - albeit running with a high amount of promise. The main negative is that the yard originally had the currently sidelined Rebel Soldier as their number one for this race but as they are in different ownership that should not be viewed as detrimental to Royal Destination's chance. All told, he's racing off a winnable mark, will act on the ground,is suited by the track, and from a yard in good form and should be thereabouts.

Lost - 3pts