Saturday, 29 May 2010

1.5pts win FOLLY BRIDGE 13/1 (Betfair) Coral UK Sprint
1.5pts win WALK ON WATER 14/1(Betfair) Coral UK Sprint

Folly Bridge hails from a yard that has few superiors in the handling of progressive sprinters, and she looks a very likely type for this.She improved to win decisively at Nottingham last time; the form has yet to be tested but some of those behind are likely to be winning gain soon and with the yard in form, and further improvement from her likely, she has serious prospects of following up off 7lb higher rating. The Cecil yard is traditionally thin on the ground in the sprint division but they did win this event last year and with the yard absolutely flying, the chance of Walk on Water, in the ownership of those that have provided the yard with most of it's best speed horses down the years, has to be taken respected. She looked a good prospect when winning at Chester last year before running an average race in soft ground at Salisbury.She could still be anything and back on faster ground is worth a go at double figure odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 23 May 2010

1.5pts win TERMAGANT 10.5/1(Betfair) Ethad Airways Irish 1,000 Gns
1.5pts win LILLIE LANGTRY 13.5/1(Betfair) Ethad Airways Irish 1,000 Gns

There's probably no more than two lengths between at least dozen of the 3 y-r-o filly milers, and the Newmarket Gns form could be vulnerable here today.Instead of deliberating if the Bolger filly will confirm the form with Music Show, it may be best looking away from that race. The Zarooni filly won her French trial in taking style but God knows how far forward she was to the rest of the field and what effect the move from Fabre has. The third home in that race ran well enough in the French 1,000 to give the form credibility, but Anna Salai is plenty,plenty short enough. At the prices available, the preferred option is to split stakes between Termagant and Lillie Langtry. The unbeaten Termagagant won the Moyglate fair and square, beating an up to standard field, with Gile Na Greine back in fifth.Although the ground may have been unsuitable for some of her rivals, connections had evidently feared that Termagant would not act on it and would be better on a sounder surface. This has been her target since then and she will be in peak condition today. Lillie Langtry started odds on in that race and finished third. Though having plenty of racing in her juvenile season, she has always looked the type to train on well and a tad more than normal improvement will see her going very close here as on the balance of her form already, she only has a couple of lengths to find.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 22 May 2010

2 pts win HACIENDA 7/1( 3 firms) Betfred Silver Bowl
1pt win UNSHAKEABLE WILL 15.5/1(Betfair) Betfred Silver Bowl

This is traditionally one of the best 3 y-r-o handicaps before Royal Ascot and in a field that looks up to standard, Hacienda looks a very likely sort.On the back of a stylish win in no more than a fairish Beverley handicap, he was put into a G3 at the Curragh and acquitted himself well on ground that probably did not suit against a couple of animals who will probably not disgrace themselves in the Irish 2,000 Gns later on today. It's guesswork how much better he would have ran on faster ground at the Curragh, but there is a strong liklehood that he is much better than his 96 rating, and granted luck in running, he is the one to beat. Of those in double figures, Unshakable Will ran a lifetime best back on faster ground at Doncaster last weekend, is open to further improvement,and should outrun his odds.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win MUNSEF 5/1 (Generally available) Stowe Family Law Grand Cup

The Godolphin runners are underperforming again after a more promising than usual start. However, their animals tend to run well here, even when the yard is out of sorts, and they went close in this last year with a similar sort to Age of Reason in a period when the yard was in worse shape than it is now. Nevertheless, you would rather be looking elsewhere and the admirable Munsef is hard to get away from. Ian Williams has worked wonders with this animal and he enjoyed a fine season last year consistently running up to a high standard on his last four outings, the last of which was in the Melbourne Cup. He shaped well on his seasonal debut in the Ormonde, and with todays faster ground ideal for him, he is certain to give a very good account of himself and must be supported.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 15 May 2010

3pts win VERDANT 9/4 ( Generally available) Totescoop London Gold Cup

It's hardly ever the best policy to be getting stuck into horses barely over 2/1 when there are usually viable better priced alternatives. However, there is not alot in opposition here that gets the blood up. Private Story should run Ok'ish but will surely find a couple too good, Dromore and Mingun, who have half chances are very week on the exchanges, while Right Step and the Fahey pair are hard to get excited about, and Green Moon arrives first time in handicap afer winning a nothing race easily. This draws you back to the front two in the market. Though the odd one is winning, the Johnston horses have been generally underperforming lately, and it is a little worrying that the four timer seeking Monterosso has had a four week break, particularly well there has reportedly been coughing in the yard. The Stoute filly that he beat at Ripon clearly improved a ton between then and York, and there is also the unknown regarding the extra two furlongs. On the plus side, his price is holding up on the exchanges but with so many niggly doubts the preferred option is to pile into Verdant. It's too early to rate how the form of his Sandown race will work out but he himself is a promising individual who is evidently well thought of, and a very likely candidate to progress high up the ladder as many of his ilk from his yard have done over the last few decades. He is sure to take all the beating.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 13 May 2010

1.5 pts win CAPE BLANCO 4.5/1 (Betfair) Totesport Dante Stakes
1.5 pts win COORDINATED CUT 4.3/1(Betfair) Totesport Dante Stakes

The re-routing of Workforce from the Guineas to here is a negative factor and there really is no knowing what to expect. The runner up in his maiden improved a ton afterwards, and the other winners to come out of the race have only been ordinary.He could possibly drift out prior to the race making it an event to play in now if you want to take him on. Chabal made a satisfactory debut for Godolphin and if he runs his race, he'll be the one used to guage the level of the form.However, at the prices the best policy is perhaps to split stakes on Cape Blanco and Coordinated Cut. Ballydoyle never run their main Derby hope in this but that has not stopped them from having a successful record in the race. Midas Touch's fairly taking victory on Sunday showed that they are not all underperforming, and it would be dangerous to underestimate this highly promising colt on the basis that the yard has not got on it's feet this season yet. That factor is built into the price. The runner up in Coordinated Cut's Newmarket race ran too bad in Italy for it too be used to underestimate the form. They pulled well clear of the remainder of the field headed by a Ok'ish sort, and Coordinated Cut, with reputation back intact, is at this moment a genuine Derby hope who will give a very good account of himself here.

Cape Blanco won + 5pts

2 pts win RAINBOW PEAK 4/1 (Generally available) Totesport Hambleton H'cap
1 pt win COLLATERAL DAMAGE 22/1 (Betfair) Totesport Hambleton H'cap

The Cumani horses have been performing well enough on their seasonal debuts in recent weeks to indicate that Acrostic will be spot on here. He may well have come on again through the close season but a stiffer mile would be more ideal for him and even at shorter odds, Rainbow Peak is the preferred option. Admittedly, backing the ' could be better than a handicapper' types in these races blindly is lazy and generally costly, but there is enough substance to Rainbow Peak's form along with the certainty that there is better to come, allied to the fact that he is in the best hands for this sort of scenario. The drop back in trip will not be a problem and he is the one to beat. Collateral Damage improved significantly from his seasonal debut last time, and with his yard now in form, has claims here and should outrun his present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts MIDNIGHT MARTINI 4.3/1 (Betfair) European Breeders Fund Condition Stakes
1 pt win ROSE BLOSSOM 11/1(Betfair) European Breeders Fund Condition Stakes

The highly consistent Midnight Martini appeals here. The form of the valuable sales race she won here has worked out well in the meantime, and she was then beaten at Ayr by a filly who has since run well in the 1,000 Guineas. Midnight Martini has come out and run a blinder in a Ripon handicap on her seasonal debut, trying to give the winner a stone and it will be surprising if she dosen't go very close here. Rose Bloom looked an exciting sort after her debut last year but was found wanting when trid against the best of her generation.She is nevertheless good enough to figure here, though her poor run last time raises concerns as to whether she has trained on. That concern is off course factored into her odds and she is worth a point.

Rose Blossom won + 8.5 pts

Saturday, 8 May 2010

2 pts win TRAFFIC GUARD 7/1 (Betfair) John Doyle Buckhounds Stakes
1 pts win HATTON FLIGHT 26/1(Betfair) John Doyle Buckhounds Stakes

With plenty of valuable targets in the programme for mares nowadays, it is very likely that Barshiba will be using this to shape her up for the next few months and will probably be a tad short of peak here. If that means you can put a line through her, then you have the choice of piling into Duncan at prohibitive odds or chancing a couple of the longer priced contenders. Duncan does have solid credentials here but in the hope that he is not as forward as he was for his debut last season, the credentials of Traffic Guard are very appealing.Although having a moderate strike, he has been highly tried over the last couple of seasons but has in the main acquitted himself well, sometimes in the best company. It is significant that he can produce in small fields, and this sort of race presents him with the best opportunity to get his head infront.He should go very close here. Of the others, Hatton Flight has something to find on the bare form but in fields of this size, it only takes for one or two to run below form to put his type in with a chance. Furthermore, he improved around a stone during last season and despite now being a 6 y-r-o, there could be further improvement left. He was straight for his debut last season and if in the same shape again will outrun his odds.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win OVERTURN 8.4/1 (Betfair) Totesport Swinton H'cap Hdle
1 pt win DAN BREEN 29/1(Betfair) Totesport Swinton H'cap Hdle

Although he'll not have things to himself up front,that itself is no reason to to ignore the credentials of the highly progressive Overturn who has a realistic chance of continuing his wining sequence here. There is no reason why any of those that finished behind him at Ayr should turn the tables on him as Gloucester does not produce when coming off the bridle, and Arcalis is likely to find himself getting outpaced around this sharp track and leaving himself too much to do. Of those near to him in the market, Conquistidor is all visual and is pitted in at the deep end,Ciceron will find this more difficult than his recent contests,Toubab would be double the price if trained by a smaller trainer,while Hunterviews chance appeals no more than his stable companion Dan Breen. In fact the latter is one of the most interesting contenders here. He has been tried in the best novice company at the Cheltenham and Aintree festivals following a taking debut at Doncaster. He is difficult to put a guage on but is certainly open to further improvement and is just the type to surprise.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 5 May 2010

1.5pts win MYPLACELATER 3/1 (Generally available) Weatherbys Bank Cheshire Oaks
1.5pts win CHAMPAGNELIFESTYLE 5.8/1 (Betfair) Weatherbys Bank Cheshire Oaks

For something lining up in a classic trial, Myplacelater has been quite busy in the last three months but she is going in the right direction and the form of her recent Newbury victory looks pretty solid and has already started to work out well. She does not have an Oaks entry but is in the Ribblesdale and there every reason to believe that she can improve further. It is hard to guage how the market in this will go in the next few hours but she shouldn't get too bigger than the price available now. Champagnelifestyle does have an Oaks entry and beat what proved to be a fairly decent Dunlop filly on her Newmarket debut. She disappointed in the Rockfel but is worth an another chance - even though her weakness on the exchanges at the moment is slightly concerning.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win 11/1(Betfair) 1pt place only 2.1/1(Betfair) BERNIE THE BOLT Totesport Chester Cup

The likes of Mamalook, Halla San and Som Tala win so rarely that they can be passed over without too much concern,while Red Cadeaux is now plenty short enough, and the cheekpieces on Swingkeel are more of a concern than a positive. The only one in the field who has some sort of pretensions to be a little better than a handicapper if he keeps on progressing is Bernie the Bolt.He was on the upgrade fast at the end of last season, looks to have been laid out for this, and granted a little luck in running from his high draw he is sure to be in the shake up.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts each way MISTER ANGRY 12/1 (Generally available) Bentley Motors H'cap

In what is often an interesting little handicap,once raced soft ground maiden winner Maxim Gorky is difficult to assess here and his type are often underpriced when in handicap company for the first time and he is worth taking on. Alrasm is interesting but there is a slight concern whether he will get the extra two furlongs and Mister Angrey is preferred. Although he has raced more than most of these, he is still open to further improvement, stays this trip, and will not mind if the ground eases again.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 2 May 2010

2 pts win POLLENATOR 7.6/1 (Betfair) Stan James 1,000 Gns
1pt win HIBAAYEB 20/1 (3 firms and exchanges) Stan James 1,000 Gns

With niggly doubts surrounding whether Special Duty will be fully effective over this trip; with the fact that Seta, however promising she is, needs to improve on her May Hill form and does not yet have the substance to match the hype, and with Music Show being weakish in the markets this morning, you are drawn towards Pollenator who has no real negatives surrounding her.The Hannon horses continue to run well and with two placed horses in the 2,000Gns, the yard clearly has a strong bunch of 3 year olds. Pollentor's pedigree strongly suggests she will not mind the ease in the ground and as she is bred to get further, todays combination of trip and ground could be ideal.The form of her May Hill victory is solid and though the third home Seta should progress, there is no reason why Pollenator should also not, and unlike the Cumani filly who has evidently taken a bit of time to come to hand, Pollenator is likely to be absolutely spot on.Out of the longer priced contenders, the May Hill runner up,Hibaayeb, now with Godolphin, could surprise. The yard's animals have begun the season better than has been the norm of late,and she has already shown form good enough to be involved here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 1 May 2010

2 pts win SHAMALI 6/1 (Generally available) Stan James Suffolk Stakes
1 pt win RIGGINS 17/1 ( Betfair)Stan James Suffolk Stakes

There have certainly been better renewals of this race in the past and the Stoute horse is certainly not a future G horse in disguise. In contrast, Shamali only has to improve another 10lb or so to be in the mix for G3's and was progressing fast when last seen in July. The Haggas horse are running Ok'ish and with his odds holding up at the moment on the exchanges it's likely he's forward enough to be competitive today.

Riggins is another who appears after a long lay off, last being seen when running disappointingly in the John Smith's Cup at York. He was later bought at the Horses in Training sale and moved to Andrew Balding, and gelded.The yard has had a couple of winners in the last few days, and Riggins, who lined up at York a lightly raced but promising handicapper is worth a point at his present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts place only 3.2/1 ( Betfair place only market), 1 pt win 16/1(Betfair) FENCING MASTER Stan James 2,000Gns

It's generally worth taking on the visually dazzling winners in softish ground when they reappear on a faster surface and superstar or not, St Nicholas Abbey can go unbacked at his present odds. This years Craven looked a well up to standard renewal this year but its hard to believe that they've left a lot to work on with Elusive Pimpernal and its a little worrying how weakish he's been in the markets the last few days. Awzaan is still difficult to weigh up in relation to this but must be respected, while though Hannon appears to retain full faith in Canford Cliffs, he does not appeal as a modern day Guineas winner. The interesting one at the price is Fencing Master who without his stable companion in the field, would probably line up favourite here. He ran a blinder in the Dewhurst here on only his second racecourse appearance, is a highly promising animal in his own right, and there is no reason why he should not give a very good account of himself here.

Lost - 3 pts