Saturday, 17 April 2010

2 pts win ARCALIS 10/1 (Betfair) Samsung Electronics Scottish Champion Hurdle
1 pt win GLOUCESTER 6/1 (Generally available) Samsung Electronics Scottish Champion Hurdle

It's hard to get away from the County Hurdle, and though he may not be as good as he was Arcalis retains plenty of ability, and has every chance of confirming the form with those that finished behind him.With him not having the progressive profile of some of the others here, he is a couple of points longer than he should be and there is no reason, with conditions ideal for him, why he should not run his race. Gloucester ran an eyecatching race in the County and has a pull in the weights. He has been backed this morning and rates as a danger though there is a concern that he perhaps should have won more than he has done over hurdles.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 10 April 2010

3 pts win TATANIANO 11/2 ( 3 firms and exchanges) John Smiths Maghull Novices Chase

This one would have been an interesting contender had he took up his Arkle entry and looks a very likely type here. After a flawless fist couple of races over fences, the combination of trip and ground conspired against him when he was turned over at Newbury. He now arrives here a fresh animal, and has ideal conditions. He is a more appealing proposition than Osana, who despite running a blinder in the Arkle still carries a mark on him after going the wrong way over hurdles, and French Opera, who has probably already exceeded expectations over fences but just may be found wanting here.

won + 12 pts ( deduction for Nr)

3 pts win STATE OF PLAY 17/1(Betfair) John Smiths Grand National

This gelding ran a blinder in this last year after incurring more problems in running of those that filled the frame and has strong possibilities of coming out on top this time around. As his victories in the Hennessey and Charlie Hall show, he needs to be fresh to produce his best and the fact that he has been absent from the course since November is a big plus. The stable have had a couple that have already run OK here in the last two of days and given the necessary luck in running, he will play a big part in this.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win DARE ME 12/1 (Betfair) John Smiths National Hunt Champion Flat Race

This animal made a promising start to his career when landing a Haydock bumper in November 2008. He looked a likely sort to do well in novice hurdles but following a setback, he was kept to bumpers and made his reappearance over a year later when winning a Ffos Los. Although connections nominated the Cheltenham bumper as his target, he was so weak on the exchanges in the weeks leading up to it that it came as a surprise when he lined up for the race. He ran an immensely promising race, scything through towards the outside of the field coming down the hill then keeping on at the same pace once in a challenging position. He can turn the tables on Megastar and in a race that will predictably take much less winning than the Cheltenham race, is a confident to take this on the way to making a name for himself over hurdles next season.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 9 April 2010

3 pts win TARTAK 20/1 ( William Hill and 2 other firms) John Smith's Melling Chase

Despite not wining since this meeting last year this gelding possesses all of his ability and is provided with a chance here to pick up this valuable event as he appeals as one who will produce when conditions are ideal, so much so that there will be no excuses for him not to figure prominently here and a disappointing show would make him one to have reservations about. He arrives here after travelling eyecatchingly for a long way at Cheltenham last time out on unsuitable ground and is impossible to resist at the odds available.

Wednesday, 7 April 2010

2 pts win NACARAT 9/2(Generally available) Totesport Betfair Bowl
1 pt win CARRUTHERS 14/1 (Generally available) Totesport Betfair Bowl

Despite running a blinder first time out on the new sharper chase course at Haydock, Imperial Commander is in his element around Cheltenham and his presence at such restrictive odds creates value elsewhere as there must be some doubt as to whether he can perform to the same level again within three weeks. What A Friend lines up here fresh and has clearly been targeted at this - however, he is short enough himself and his claims are no stronger than the likes of Nacarat and Carruthers. The former returned to his best last time and he has shown that this extra furlong will certainly pose no problems, even with ease in the ground, and that he can perform to his optimum when something else is more keener to take up the early running. He should have been interesting had he opted for this instead of the Melling last year and must go well here. Carruthers has won around Fakenham and the nature of this track should at least suit him better than Cheltenham. He has a sporting chance of reversing the Gold up form with the winner and is worth a point at the odds available though he wouldn't want to be clouting too many.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win AINAMA 6/1 (Ladbrokes) Silver Cross H'cap Hdle
1 pt win SIBERIAN TIGER 29/1 (Betfair) Silver Cross H'cap Hdle

Ainama travelled well for a long way at Cheltenham and while these types can be costly to follow for the over faithful, he is worth another more chance back in trip on a circuit that suits him ideally. He seems priced about right and appeals more than similarly priced Wishful Thinking, Silverhand, who is from an out of form yard, and handicap debutante Black Jack Blues.

On his first run for Michael Wigham after being in the care of Tony Martin,Siberian Tiger bears some hallmarks of a semi-plot here. A very useful performer on the flat, he has got progressively better over hurdles and strikes as the type who is still probably a good few pound better in this sphere than he is able to be rated. On drying ground he has every chance of getting this trip around here, knows how to get his head infront and without doubt possesses the natural ability to win this. However, he present weakness on the exchanges is off putting and confidence would certainly be increased twofold if he shortened up in the meantime.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 5 April 2010

2 pts win SADDLER'S STORM 7.8/1 (Betfair) Powers Whiskey Irish Grand National
1 pt win HANGOVER 18/1 (Betfair) Powers Whiskey Irish Grand National

In general,the Tony Martin horses haven't represented the best of value in recent years with many going off shorter than they should do, and enough of his plot horses get beat to often make it worthwhile looking elsewhere. However, in a race were only a few will be in their optimum in extreme conditions, Saddlers' Storm has a cracking chance and is fairishly priced at present odds.He possesses the pedigree of a horse who will get this trip,and runs as though it will be within his compass; he acts well in heavy ground, has won twice around here, is safe over his obstacles,and is the upgrade with plenty of further improvement left in him. All in all, it will be a bit of a surprise if he is not in the shake up.

Hangover is another who is in his element on this sort of ground and has a bright chance of getting this trip.His last run was too bad to be true and can be ignored. That came on the back of a terrific run in the Thyestes , showing once again that the big field scenario suits him well. He is potentially better than his current rating and should give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts