Friday, 19 March 2010

3 pts win SOLDATINO 6/1 ( Hills, Bet 365 and Exchanges) JCB Triumph Hdle

There has been less anticipation in the build up to this than in normal years; no doubt due the situation whereby we haven't really had a juvenile thats really had people talking. Carlito Brigante has done everything right so far and he lines up with ground that will suit. He is far more likely to run his race than Alaivan who despite being visually impressive last time, may not be able to repeat that sort of performance on this faster surface. However, neither may not be good enough to beat Soldatino who come out similar to Carlito Brigante on a reasonably reliable form line, and comes from a set up with a second to none record in the juvenile division. He looked a quality sort at Kempton and if there is something in the field that is extra-special,then it is likely to come in the shape of him.

won + 15 pts

1.5 pts each way FIONNEGAS 14/1 (5 firms, 16/1 with 2 firms)) Albert Bartlett Novices Hdle

A fascinating contest where it is possible to make out a valid case for eight of these meaning that taking a couple against the field still leaves half a dozen dangers and the most appealing option is to side with something each way that is likely to see out the trip and produce its running. Fionnegas is the one to take aboard. Mullins has always believed that he will be suited by this sort of trip, he does not need genuinely soft ground, and the form of the Deloitte that he finished runner up in to the impressive winner has not been let down with Duinguib running well in the Supreme, Some Present acquitting himself OK behind Peddler's Cross despite perhaps being in the wrong race, and the fourth horse home since winning.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 17 March 2010

2 pts win AINAMA 8/1 (Ladbrokes) Pertemps Final
1pt win KAYF ARAMIS 30/1(Betfair) Pertemps Final

A sound surface suited Ainama best when handicapping on the flat and the drying ground will be ideal for him here.He has clearly been trained for this event,is open to improvement over this trip, and should be involved in a big way provided he is effective around here. He ran mediocirish on his only try here in the Supreme Novices and his best form has come on the level surfaces of Kempton and Aintree.However,there is too much in his favour to pass him over on that score and he must be supported. Last years winner Kayf Aramis is now 20lb higher in the ratings, but he has 'deserved ' his new mark and his sort can sometimes represent value in these sort of event which are not always won by the perceived to be well handicapped plot horses. He is worth a point.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts each way PLANET OF SOUND 14/1 ( PP and Sporting Bet) Ryanair Chase

Planet of Sound looked an improved performer when winning on his reappearance at Exeter and he appeals as a very likely type here. Admittedly, he is prone to the odd mistake but his fall last time was the first time he had been on the deck in eight outings over fences and assuming that has not knocked his confidence, he has bright prospects of reversing previous Ascot form with Albertas Run. He ran well in the Arkle here last year,is from an in form yard, is open to further improvement and looks sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 16 March 2010

1.5 pts each way GHIZAO 25/1 ( VC and Skybet) Neptune Investment Novices Hdle

The form of Quel Esprit and Rites of Passage has been let down in part by some of the animals finishing close to them, and in the realms of this race Finians Rainbow and Peddlers Cross have beat nothing of note. And with Reve Di Sivola probably wanting genuinely soft ground to produce his best you are left with some attractively priced animals with a realistic chance, and none appeals more than Ghizao who has clearly been laid out for this.He ran General Millar close here earlier in the season and that animal would have very likely outrun his odds if avoiding a mishap in the Supreme Novices. Unlike many of the others, there will be no fears over the ground and the jockey arrangements are not necessarily a negative - the Murphy connection to the part owner and the fact that he rode the gelding to victory last time at Taunton, means that Walsh may have had to commit to riding something else a couple of months back. All in all he make plenty of each way appeal and will outrun his odds.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win PUNCHESTOWNS 11/4 (4 firms) RSA Chase

This is an absolute cracker and Sam Waley-Cohen has far, far more pressure on him here than in an amateurs only race like the Aintree Foxhunters and partners a horse who despite his undoubted ability, would have had some doubts to overcome on the jumping front around here whoever was in the plate. OK, he's been a regular around Auteuil in the past but so had Japhet who lined up in this race a few years back with a fearsome reputation but ended up on the floor. If you take this as almost being a match then Punchestowns is the preferred option and is attractively priced at around the 11/4 mark. He has so far delivered as expected over fences and his recent scare involved a problem that we are told crops up with him now and gain; thus it would be dangerous to use Solwhits run to undermine his chance and he can be supported with a degree of confidence.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 15 March 2010

1.5 pts each way MENORAH 12/1 ( three firms) Spinal Research Supreme Novices Hurdle

You always try and find an angle in to oppose the Dunguibs of the world and the obvious one concerning the gelding's jumping is far from clutching at straws. That area of his performance last time was worrying enough for connections to avoid the Champion Hurdle and he will want to be a good deal more fluent here considering the pace they are likely to go in this larger field. Of those in opposition, Blackstairmountain,Oscar Whiskey and Dan Breen are all difficult to assess on the back of beating inferior opponents with ease and while though Get Me Out Of Here arrives here on the back of his more measurable Tote Gold Trophy victory; that had been his target, he sustained a cut in the race, and in the circumstances is short enough. This leaves Menorah who looked a high class individual when destroying a very useful animal at Kempton over Christmas and while he did not confirm that impression last time, he was almost certainly run in that as a stepping stone to this. The Hobbs yard has hit form at the right time and he must surely reach the frame.

won + 22.5 pts

3 pts win OGEE 11/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges) William Hill Trophy H'cap Chase

Highly tried in the valuable handicaps when with Stoute on the flat, this now progressive animal was a very useful novice hurdler last season for his new yard and has already shown himself just as good over fences with the promise of more to come. The drying ground is absolutely ideal for him and even those of us who tend to ignore stats and profiles cannot deny that he fits many of the ideals for this race, and one of no more than three or four in this field that could have something in hand over the assessor.It is a concern as to how his jumping will hold up around here in a field of this size, but his price makes up for that and if he does adapt to this scenario he will just about win this.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win PUNJABI 15/2 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Smurfit Kappa Champion Hdle
1pt win ZAYNAR 11/1 (Betfair) Smurfit Kappa Champion Hdle

Solwhit throws a spanner in the works. Prior to his setback he really was the one that you kept returning to when looking at this race but in light of the interrupted preparation is reluctantly passed over in favour of the reigning champion who is sure to put in a bold bid to retain the title. He lines up with conditions in his favour on the back of an exhibition trial and will be a different proposition than when beaten by Medermit in the soft at Haydock.There are certainly more doubts over those that followed him home in this last year. It's not a good sign that they are putting the blinds on Celestial Halo, nor was the talk early in the season of him going chasing, and is now far too short to represent any sort of value. Binocular has lost his aura and he should not be the same sort of price as Punjabi, and could easily throw in a stinker. Go Native has exceeded expectations this season but you are reluctant to back something that needs riding like he does at around the 4/1 mark, and just as interesting are two others with Seven Barrows connections, former inmate Khyber Kim who has excelled in his new yard and arrives here fresh but would have been better suited by softer ground, and current inmate Zaynar who was beaten in an unsatisfactory affair at Kelso. He certainly knows how to get his head infront and had always gave the impression in the past that the bottom of him had not been got to. He is worth a saver.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 6 March 2010

2 pts win CLOUDY LANE 12/1 ( Exchanges,Ladbrokes, Cahndler) Sportingbet Grimthorpe Chase
1 pt win KILLYGLEN 18.5/1(Betfair) Sportingbet Grimthorpe Chase

As he'll never again get in the Grand National under the circumstances of two years ago - ie in the form and off the pre -revised mark that he lined up off; it is safe to assume that this race is not being solely used as a stepping stone to a bigger target and that there is every chance of him lining up in top shape and repeating his victory in this event in 2007. He races off a 1lb lower mark which is testimony to that his career has been a bit up and down recently. However, he shaped well over hurdles at Haydock last time and it would be no surprise if he returned to his very best here.

With the Wylie's owning three of the mounts that he rides at Kelso today, Dennis O'Regans decision to ride there may not as big a negative for Killyglen here as it first appears. Admittedly, the gelding has disappointed since an encouraging seasonal reappearance and cheekpieces are tried here. If he returns to form he will of course be a major factor here and with conditions ideal, he is worth chancing at the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts