Saturday, 30 January 2010

3 pts win MADISON DU BERLAIS 3/1( Generally available) Argento Chase

This gelding was very disappointing in the Betfair Chase back in November before runing a much better race when a distant runner up in the King George. At this moment, the stable has emerged flying from from the interruption and at 3/1, with limited dangers, it's worth overlooking the doubt about his effectiveness around here. Sentry Duty's victory the other week proved how easy it is to draw up links between poor runs and courses and encouragement can be gained by the fact that when he was third in the Grand Annual here in 2006, it was at the time his best performance over fences.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts win MR THRILLER 13/2(Generally available) Betfair Cleeve hdle
1.5pt win KATCHIT 8.6/1(Betfair) Betfair Cleeve Hdle

Mr Thriller appeals as the sort with further improvement left in him and though unproven over this trip, he gave the strong impression that it would be within his reach when winning over half a mile shorter at Chepstow earlier in the season. He has a great attitude to the game and at the odds available it is worth overlooking the concerns about the suitability of the track for him on the back of a defeat in a 3 runner tactical affair here.

Former champion Katchit finished runner up in that event and with his yard in good form for the first time all season, he is a live contender here.He now lacks the sharpness for champion hurdles,but should stay this sort of trip and could carve out a successful career in these sort of events and on a course that he loves should give an excellent account of himself here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 23 January 2010

3 pts win WELL CHIEF 6.2/1(Betfair) Victor Chandler Chase

Opinions have had to be revised concerning Twist Magic who looked at one stage as though he had gone at the game. However, he is far too short here. Though visually impressive in the Tingle Creek everything went his way that day and a couple of the contenders ran way below their best.He is surely worth taking on and he provides value elsewhere. Those immediately behind him in the market appeal most and the odds available about Well Chief make him preferable over the progressive Petite Robin who though having form in testing ground in France, may need better ground to produce his optimum. The Pipe horse retains plenty of his old ability as well as his enthusiasm and has fair prospects of turning the Kempton form around on this more testing surface.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win CLOUDY LANE 7/1(Betfair) Peter Marsh Chase
1pt win JASS 13/1(Betfair) Peter Marsh Chase

Cloudy Lane lines up in a similar strength renewal of this to the one he won last year and off a rating only 1lb higher,he has a major chance.He shaped well on his reappearance in December with no doubt a view to this event and with the stable having a winner yesterday he should line up in peak condition.

Keith Reverley's horses have been running well since the interruption and if Jass returns to form he should figure here. He stays forever, goes on the ground, and although a good deal higher in the ratings than his last winning mark he has shown enough off this sort of rating to indicate that when spot on, he is capable of winning.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 15 January 2010

2 pts win AACHEN 8/1(Ladbrokes) William Hill Lanzarote Hdle
1 pt win CHIEF YEOMAN (Betfair SP) William Hill Lanzarote Hdle

With Venetia Williams not having a runner on the Southwell all bumper card it's complete guesswork how forward these two are coming into this. What is not under dispute is that they are both extremely interesting contenders who will not mind the testing conditions.They way Aachen galloped on up the hill at Towecester indicated that he has good prospects of being fully effective over this trip. With the drying ground not enabling him to produce his best in his last two runs he lines up here off a rating that may underestimate his ability. Chief Yeoman just wins in turn, but on a course that he was successful on last season, over a distance that he is fully effective over, and on ground that he'll handle,he could bounce back to form and surprise.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 1 January 2010

2 pts win RAZOR ROYALE 9/1 (Betfair) Victor Chandler.Com Chase
1 pt win MAGIC SKY 17/1 (Betfair) Victor Chandler.Com Chase

There is a concern over the well being of the Twiston Davies horses at the moment and that is no doubt factored into the presents odds available over Razor Royale. Although he would probable have been beaten for second by Chapoturgeon last time if the latter had not pecked at the last, he travelled like a dream throughout that race with Brennan taking a confident look behind at one point. He is the more of the pair likely to reproduce his form and off a 3lb higher rating in a less competitive field, he holds strong claims.

Magic Sky reappears quickly under a penalty after winning at Chepstow earlier in the week. He has some useful course form to his name, is clearly in great heart at present, and is worth a point at the present odds available.

R Royale Lost, M Sky NR - 2pts

Total Outlay = 486.5 pts
Total Return = 479.74 pts

A loss of 6.76pts 1.3% on outlay

A small loss, but together with a small profit of 4pts in 2008, the results are a stark contrast to the 320 pts profit in 2007. Without trying to make excuses make my whole approach to the sport has been severely hampered by another disastrous year on the Golf which inflicted so much damage on racing funds that at times staking has been reduced so much that I have been tackling races with so little enthusiasm and half hoping for selection to fail. This will not be happening again as personal golf bets will now only be limited to finals days of tournaments with limits on staking.I could have stopped selections on the Blog a few days ago to ensure a small profit but, as with last year, that would have been hiding nothing.