Saturday, 11 December 2010

3pts win SENTRY DUTY 7/1 (Generally available) Unicon Homes Relkeel Hdle

This gelding has done some big favours over the past few years and while he may not have gone as far as envisaged on the day he slammed Celestial Halo at Doncaster, he is a high class animal but one without a suitable championship race for him at the festival. There was generally two rules in determining his chances; firstly he needed to be fresh, secondly he dosen't like Cheltenham. He went and blew the second proviso out of the water here last January and lines up here with plenty going for him. Andrew Tinkler gets on fine with him and the riding arrangements in this race should not be looked upon as a negative and it will be surprising if he fails to perform here.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win SUNNYHILLBOY 10.5/1 (Betfair) Vote AP Gold Cup

Sunnyhillboy ran a level below his best in the Paddy Power, a race he looked to have a realistic chance of winning. He was never really going from an early stage though shaped reasonably enough in the end. Given that he has an overall progressive profile and regularly gets his head infront, ran to his optimum at this venue in a large competitive field last March, is open to further improvement and is reasonably handicapped; he is unlikely to run another ordinary race here and in the hope that he wasen't as tuned up as he could have been last time, he is the one that catches the eye and looks sure to give an excellent account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 13 November 2010

3pts win SUNNYHILLBOY 13/1 (Exchanges) Paddy Power Gold Cup

From a yard who have a good record with their long term targeting of races, this race has clearly been the aim for this gelding since finishing runner up at the festival here in March. Similar comments apply to his conqueror that day, Great Endeavor, but with a small pull in the weights, and at over double the price, he is the value call here. He won a couple of valuable big field handicaps in his hurdling days and with further improvement remaining in this sphere, promises to be an even better chaser. He has a fine career strike rate and everything seems set for a massive run today.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 6 November 2010

3pts win SENATE 6/1 (Generally available) Totesport November H'cap

Senate has had a break since running disappointingly when brought out quickly at Newbury after his pleasing Doncaster success. Off a 6lb higher mark in the ratings than that win you would have to be confident that he remains on a winnable mark and he is just the type that Gosden excels with and should have his better days ahead of him provided the Dubai festival does not send him the wrong way. The yard's runners remain in reasonable form for this late stage in the season and in a race where it is hard to must much enthusiasm from the longer priced runners who are mainly going nowhere he jumps off the page at you and is fairishly priced.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 30 October 2010

3pts win KAYF ARAMIS 8/1 (Generally available) John Smith's Hdle

This likeable animal did not enjoy the same level of success last season as in 08/09, but showed himself to be as good as ever and his run in the Joseph Heeler at Haydock finished the theory that he could not be competitive in Graded races - if Big Bucks is not in opposition Kayf Arimis is up there with the best of the rest. He disappointed in the Cesarwitch after an encouraging prep but there is nothing to be too scared of against him here and he makes plenty of appeal at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win MASSINI'S MAGUIRE 13/2 (Generally available) United House Gold Cup H'cap Chase

It will be interesting to see if the move to Pond House turns the career of this former Cheltenham festival winner around. Nowadays,he Pipe team do not work the oracle with new inmates with the regularity that was once the case but this gelding looked a serious long term chasing prospect in his novice hurdle days and if the new team have managed to brush up his jumping technique, he could be in for a lucrative season in valuable handicaps. The fact that he held a Charlie Hall entry is encouraging and he is worth supporting in the hope that you might see a new animal today.

won + 19.5 pts

Saturday, 23 October 2010

3pts win TULLAMORE DEW 12/1(2 firms and exchanges) Totesport Silver Trophy Hdle

This gelding won first time out two seasons ago and went close on his first outing last year and allied with the the way the only two recent runners from the yard have performed' it's highly likely that he'll be fully tuned up for this. He's lightly raced for one of his age but is proven in the valuable handicap scenario and a reproduction of his Coral Cup run would see him go very close and the rise of 4lb in the ratings is far from harsh.The softening ground will not hinder and he is the value call here.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win MASTER OF HOUNDS 7.6/1(Betfair) Racing Post Trophy

After being beaten inches by Dunboyne Express, the defeat which followed at the hands of stable companion Roderick O'Connor put him down as one who would probably end the season in the second tier of the yards juveniles. However, Roderick O'Connor's run in the Dewhurst has changed that perspective. Master Of Hounds has since won a poor event easily but is clearly a classy individual who should continue to progress and provided he handles the easing ground, he is certain to be in the shake up and is fairly priced.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 16 October 2010

3pts win MAIN AIM 12/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Victor Chandler Challenge Stakes

There is still the inkling that this animal, however frustrating and seemingly exposed he now is,still has something untapped within him.After looking likely to develop into a genuine G1 animal he has been a let down and has not really looked to have an optimim trip - his most prominent display when runner-up in last season's July Cup, and though the ulcers can be excused for his immediate efforts after,he failed to build on that. The visor is thrown on today indicating that connections think that there is more in the tank and at the odds available he is worth supporting in the hope that the equipment is the missing link.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win BERGO 35/1 (Betfair) Tote Cesarwitch
1pt win ACT OF KALANISI 54/1(Betfair) Tote Cesarewitch

The versatile and enthusiastic Bergo is still relatively unexposed despite his age and is capable of playing a big part in this off top weight. The last time he ran in a handicap on the level was in Frankfurt 4 years ago so trying to link up the horses that he's finished near in the Listed races and their performances in handicaps is the nearest guess whether he's on a fair mark - but its at least encouraging that Drunken Sailor, who he was beaten inches by off level weights at Goodwood, had finished runner up in the Northumberland Plate off only a 2lb lower mark than Bergo races off today. More importantly, he has been in tremendous heart of late and there is every reason to believe that he will easily outrun his odds.

Act of Kalinisi has yet to prove himself competitive in company this competitive and on the face of it is well enough exposed. However, he won last time in the style of an animal who may be suddenly on the upgrade and plenty from this yard scythe up the ratings after looking to have levelled out.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 9 October 2010

3pts win IRISH HEARTBEAT 9/1 (Generally available) Coral Sprint Trophy

This gelding looked one to follow when winning at the Lincoln meeting and got his head back infront when winning a competitive little race, again at Doncaster, from an animal who has since run a blinder in a very valuable Ascot handicap. Irish Heartbeat again ran to a similar level of form when fifth at Ayr last time and though more versatile than most of these regarding distance, the soft surface on this sort of track at this trip will be a big help - he never quite got too them in this race last year on good ground on his first race for the yard. He has most likely not reached his ceiling and provided things don't pan out against him and he's not compromised by the part of the track he races on, he will be the one to beat here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 2 October 2010


It's not the most eagerly awaited of Arcs' tomorrow and the combination of what is an ordinary renewal and testing ground make it worth scanning the longer priced contenders and none appeals more than Nakayama Festa. We know that the quality of Japanese racing is such that when their horses venture out of their homeland their chances have to be taken seriously. The trainer of this colt was responsible for sending El Condor Pasa over for this and he would have been a facile winner if he haden't had the misfortune to come up against the outstanding Montjeu and we can be certain that Nakayama Festa would not have been at peak for his trial race, a race which gave hope that he will be able to produce his optimum on soft ground.

Lost - 3pts
2 pts win RANSOM NOTE 16/1 (Betfair) Totesport Camebridgeshire
1 pt win CIRCUMVENT 40/1 ( 3 firms) Totesport Camebridgeshire

Ransom Note is an extremely likeable individual and has plenty going for him here. He knows how to get his head infront and has proven himself in the big field scenario and on a straight course, and the draw has been kind to him. He is 7lb higher in the ratings than when winning at York but he is going forward and his type are more preferable than something that has slipped down to a nice mark but hasen't won for an age.He won last backend on good to soft and the good progeny of Red Random are able to perform with give in the ground. The one niggling worry is the trip as he diden't fully seem to get home when tried over ten furlongs on the July course on good ground despite the ratings telling us that the performance was as good as anything he'd achieved at the time. That was one of the hottest 3 y-r-o handicaps of the year and the winner, Circumvent, who is fully proven in easy conditions catches the eye most of the longer priced contenders here and should run a prominent race on the far side rail.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 25 September 2010

1.5pts win IMPERIAL GUEST 25/1(Generally available) Totesport Challenge Cup H'cap
1.5pts win CITRUS STAR 30/1(Betfair) Totesport Challenge Cup H'cap

These two both had their latest outing in the Doncaster handicap won by Irish Heartbeat. That race was far more competitive than the prize money indicates and that should be borne out between now and the end of the season despite the 1st, 3rd and 4th all being beat at Ayr. Imperial Guest finished runner up in that event. His yard is on fire at the moment, he's run well a couple of times here before, will not mind the big field scenario, has form with ease in the ground, and all in all has plenty going for him considering the odds available. Citrus Star started favourite for the Doncaster race and finished fifth after failing to settle. He has plenty of improvement left in him,is from a yard that excels with his type,acts on easy ground and holds a very realistic chance of winning this.

Lost - 3pts

3pts win HEARTS OF FIRE 18/1 (Betfair) Queen Elizabeth 11 Stakes

Makfi's 2,000 GNS looks a lot better now than it did on the day and with ground concerns over Rip Van Winkle, he is clearly the one to beat. However, his one poor run was when he ran here in the St James Palace, and at 18X the price, the third that day, Hearts of Fire is worth a go with.He has not quite produced that form since in two races since that never quite panned out for him but the combination of this track and the easy ground should be ideal and it is not too difficult to envisage him getting to them in the closing stages here.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 18 September 2010

1.5pts win ROYAL DESTINATION 12/1 (Betfair) Dubai Duty Free H'cap
1.5pts win BREAKHEART 12/1(Generally available) Dubai Duty Free H'cap

Royal Destination has finally started to produce the level of form this season that he promised to and a 5lb penalty may not be enough to stop him from following up his Doncaster success. He looks set for a rewarding autumn before probably ending up in Dubai for the carnival meeting.

Breakheart is 6lb higher than when putting up that cracking effort behind Circumvent in one of the hottest 3-y-r-o handicaps of the year. He disappointed on soft ground at Haydock last time and has had a break since. He is a hell of an interesting contender and it would be no surprise to see him win this.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 11 September 2010

3pts win MIDAS TOUCH 10/1 ( 3 firms including Ladbrokes) Ladbrokes St Leger

Though running to a fair level of form, Midas Touch was visually slammed by Rewilding in the Voltigeur after going into the race looking likely to take all the beating. However, we have seen many times before how some thrive more than others when attempting the Leger trip and out of those who are stepping up in distance, Midas Touch is the most likely to find further improvement and has a sporting chance of turning the York form around and represents cracking value at his present odds.The fact that Murtagh is riding Zoffany is not necessarily a negative, with him that animal being one of their big players for their 2011 team.Of the others Dandino obviously has claims but Joshua Tree is not sure to appreciate the extra distance while Ted Spread and the Queens Vase lot seem sure to find a couple too good.

Lost - 3 pts

3pts win RAINFALL 13/2 (Generally available) Eddie Stobart Park Stakes

There are a multititude of past clashes and form lines linking half a dozen of this lot this lot up but the preferred option is this lightly raced filly who ran a blinder when mixing it in with genuine G1 horses in the Falmouth and was not disgraced behind Goldikova in Deauville last time. Her price is holding up well on the exchanges this morning which is always a fair indicator with the yard irrespective of the quality of the race, and she looks set to run a big race.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 28 August 2010

3pts win PALLANTES CROSS 9/1(Generally available) Totesport Home of Pool Betting H'cap

This colt only made his reappearance last month finishing runner up to a horse who will probably turn out to be a real quality sort.There is always the worry about whether the race will have knocked him backwards but it is very encouraging that he is holding up well on the exchanges this morning.His most eyecatching piece of form was running well against Red Badge and Azizi at Newmarket on the weekend last year, giving away weight and you would have envisaged him having a successful 2010 in valuable handicaps. However, there is still time to make up for lost ground and todays distance should be within his compass and he makes the most appeal here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 21 August 2010

3pts win LETHAL GLAZE 11/2 (Generally available) Chester Handicap

This gelding ran a cracker last time in a hot little Newbury handicap borne out by the fact that 5 of his 8 rivals had won last time out.He only a found a Gosden horse too good and though he's been raised 3lb for that effort,he is in his element with give underfoot,still has his season to come having only raced twice this term, appears to handle all sorts of tracks, and makes the most appeal here.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 20 August 2010

2pts win ZUIDER ZEE 8/1 (Ladbrokes, Hills, Chandler) Skybet Melrose Stakes
1pt win MONTPARNASSE 11/1 ( Generally available) Skybet Melrose Stakes

Most of the Johnston horses have ran poorly here so far and preference is for Zuider Zee who stepped up in trip has further improvement in him. It wasen't the greatest race he won at Newmarket but most behind him had been in form and he looks sure to go well here. The Brain Meehan yard is back in form and the horse Montparnasse beat at Nottingham has gone in since.He has any amount of improvement in him and is worth taking aboard.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts win RED JAZZ 7/1 (Generally available) Skybet City of York Stakes
1.5pts win OASIS DANCER 12/1(Generally available) Skybey City of York Stakes

Skysurfers has one of those horrible Meydan profiles ie; coming back and not reproducing the form and then given a break. He can be taken on, as can Palace Moon who has won only once since bursting on the scene at Doncaster at the beginning of last season. Rad Jazz too has been struggling to get his head infront but has been running well, is fully genuine,is a 7f specialist, and has the level of form to win this. Oasis Dancer is a likeable sort and at this moment in time still probably has a Group race career ahead of him. The step back in trip will suit and help him settle better than last time and it will not be surprising if he is up to winning this.

Lost - 3 pts

3pts win FLEETING SPIRIT 9/1 (Betfair) Coolmore Nunthorpe Stakes

The last two races haven't really panned out for this filly and if things develop in her favour here, she has a definite chance of reversing the Newmarket and Ascot form and is the value call of the race.Starspangled banner had all fall his way in those two events and visually, was not over impressive at Newmarket and the drop back in trip is more of a worry for him than some of the others. It's generally not smart trying to search for reasons to get the form of these races reversed but the difference in price between Fleeting Spirit and the front two in the market is far greater than it should be and she is worth getting stuck into.

Non -Runner

3pts win DEAUVILLE FLYER 4/1 (Hills) Stowe Family Law LLP Stakes

This gelding has further improvement left in him, is capable of plying his trade successfully in far more valuable events than this as he showed when running a blinder in the Northumberland Plate, and stepped back up to his optimum trip has strong prospects of defying top weight here. He appeals as fairish value around the 7/2 - 4/1 mark.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 18 August 2010

3 pts win RANSOM NOTE 9/1 (Generally available)Addleshaw Goddard H'cap

This very likeable colt possesses more potential than any of these and has a big opportunity of getting back on the winning track off an 8lb higher mark than his Royal Ascot victory.He followed up by running a decent race in an ultra-hot Newmarket handicao over 10 furlongs before being returned to a mile at Goodwood when he ran OK from an unfavourable draw.Still some way off reaching his ceiling, he can reverse the form with the couple that finished ahead of him and it will be surprising if he is not involved in this in a big way.

Won (8/1 incl NRs) + 24pts

3 pts win ELDALIL 9/2 (Hills) EBF Galtres Stakes

In a no better than average renewal of this event, this filly's Royal Ascot run is the best on offer here and if you can file away her poor run in the Irish Oaks, she is cracking value at over the 4/1 mark. The Oxx horse must off course be respected and ran well behind a useful yardstick last time and would have been carefully selected for this but at double the odds, Eldalil must be supported.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 17 August 2010

3 pts win FORTUNI 9.5/1 (Betfair) Totesport Ebor

With the Prescott yard not picking up the big handicaps as frequently as they once did, the runners don't go off unrealistically cramped as once was the case, and this gelding could well have been nearly half of his price five or ten years ago. In reality, the yard has already better last years total and Fortuni has a massive chance here.He absolutely dotted up at the Derby meeting from an animal that went on to win at Royal Ascot.The 11lb rise is more than fair and he could still be ahead of the assessor.We can trust that he will stay the extra two furlongs and he seem sure to run a very big race and is worth getting stuck into.

Lost - 3 pts
2pts win QUEST FOR SUCCESS 6/1 (Generally available) Symphony Handicap
1pt win SIR GERRY 17/1(Betfair) Symphony Handicap

Off the same mark as when running a blinder at Ripon on Saturday,Quest For Success is hard to get away from here. He has a decent strike rate for a five year old plying his trade in this sort of company, is fully competitive in this grade, will not be hindered by any ease in the ground, and all in all looks sure to be in the shake up. Of those in double figs, the former Gimcrack winner Sir Gerry retains most of his ability and is an interesting proposition under the care of Chris Dwyer and ran a fairish race for his new yard at Goodwood. He is worth considering here.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts win WAITERS DREAM 7.8/1(Betfair) Sportingbet Acomb Stakes
1.5pts win SILVERTREES 8.2/1(Betfair) Sportingbet Acomb Stakes

Dream Ahead is priced up on the visual impression he created on his debut. In reality he beat nothing in particular and that along with the ground contributing to exaggerated superiority makes him unappealing at his present odds. Market rival Lake Ontario won a poor race himself at Naas and his yard don't normally target this for their high ranking inmates. Satin Love is interesting but enthusiasm for him is tempered by his weakness on the exchanges at the moment.This leaves two very interesting runners at backable prices. The Meehan yard has had a poor season but is in better form now than at any stage of the year and Waiters Dream should continue to get better, is a half brother to a very useful national hunt performer who handled soft,and should run very well irrespective of how the ground turns out. Some of the comments made about Dream Ahead could apply to Silvetrees - difference is he is four times the price. Admittedly, he was nowhere near as impressive as the Simcock horse and did beat true garbage but coming from a yard that places it's animals well, and holding up well on the exchanges at this early stage,he could be very useful and is worth taking aboard.

Waiters Dream won 9/2 ( deduction for NR as well as Betfair take out) +5.25pts

3 pts win MIDAS TOUCH 2.65/1(Betfair) Sporting Bet Great Voltigeur Stakes

This colt is the best bet of the meeting and it will be surprising if he dosen't deliver here.He won the Derrinstown in the style of one who was much better than the bare form indicated and with any amount of improvement remaining lined up at Epsom with a massive chance.On a course that suits some far better than others he never had the zip for that race but has since run a cracker at the Curragh surpassing anything that he had previously achieved. He still has lots of potential,will not be hindered by the ground easing, has not reached his ceiling, and is confidently expected to turnaround the Derby form with Rewilding.

Lost - 3 pts

3pts win BYWORD 7/2(Betfair) Juddmonte International Stakes

Without ease in the ground Rip Van Winkle would have been a no brainer selection but with the liklehood of some ease, and whether he will prove fully effective on it and also taking his price into account, the value call has to be Byword.This is a highly progressive high class animal, fully effective on all ground and despite the runner up not getting the run of the race can confirm Ascot form with Twice Over who himself would ideally want no give underfoot.Of the others, will be be surprising if Dick Turpin would be capable of producing his beat over this trip and he can be passed over.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win ROMAN REPUBLIC 9/1 (William Hill) Patrington Haven Leisure Park Handicap
1pt win MARKAZZI 22/1(Betfair) Patrington Haven Leisure Park Handicap

With the yard flying, there is a fair chance that Roman Republic will be able to produce his optimum here. If so, then off only a 3lb higher mark than when winning at Goodwood last year, he would be the one to beat. At that time he looked a Group horse in the making and there is still time for him to get back on track. Markazzi was thought highly enough off to represent his yard in the Craven and though he is now at a crossroads and could soon be out of his yard, he is worth small support by reason that he is the stable candidate in an event which they have a very successful record in.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 14 August 2010

3pts win LAHEEB 9/2(Generally available) CGA Geoffrey Freer Stakes

The Michael Jarvis yard is in cracking form at the moment and this gelding has plenty going for him here.He can race handy or lead and if this turns out to be tactical he is arguably the one who will be least disadvantaged. He knows how to win and showed when he stepped up in trip last time that this extra distance will pose no problems. That win was on the back of a fin run at Goodwood were all those around him were in form and/or have advertised the quality of the race since.The softening ground will not hinder him and at double the price of his main danger, the fragile Kite Wood, he is the one to be on.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts each way ADVANCED 14/1 ( 3 firms including Ladbrokes) William Hill Great St Wilfred Handicap

This gelding races off the same rating that he raced off when 3rd in this last year. Coincidentally, he was also racing from the same berth and on that occasion the the first two home finished on the near side.With the draw likely to favour the far side today Advanced appeals as one who will run a big race and will be hard to keep out of the frame. A former winner of the Ayr Gold Cup,and of a very valuable handicap at Ascot 11 months ago, he is in his element in these sort of contests and though there is clearly not going to be any further improvement forthcoming, he wins turn and has at least one more valuable prize in him and ran an OK race in the Stewards Cup last time. The ease in the ground will not bother him and the yard is in good form at the moment.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 7 August 2010

3pts win SIRVINO 9/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Totescoop H'cap

Last years John Smith's Cup winner is now in the customary predicament of similar big handicap winners in having to prove if he is capable of winning off his revised mark.
He's only raced twice since but judging by his eyecatching run in a listed race last time, all of the ability remains. Of course, the form from those sort of races can be misleading, but taking into account the price available and the prospect of him being in peak condition today, he is preferred to the two three year olds at the head of the market who have solid enough credentials but are half the odds.Of the others,Pires has now drifted to his true odds on the exchanges while the overall form of the Tompkins yard is a concern for the chance of Brushing.


Saturday, 31 July 2010

2pts win STACELITA 7/2 (Generally available) Blue SQ Nassau Stakes
1pt win ANTARA 17.5/1(Betfair) Blue SQ Nassau Stakes

Stacelita returned to her best last time and although 5th in the Arc after being awarded the Vermaille, you get the feeling that this us her best trip. She seems an uncomplicated sort who races prominently and she will take some pegging back here when she kicks for home. Antara was mightly impressive when winning at Hoppegarten last October and was one of the most interesting Godolphin acquisitions during the close season and you get a strong feeling that with just a slight bit of ease in the ground she will be capable of surpassing her already good form in this country.

Lost - 3pts

1.5pts each way PERSAIN PYRAMID 22/1 (Generally available) Blue SQ Stewards Cup

This is a very interesting runner from the stands side box. This gelding runs well here and his run at York last time shows that he is able to be competitive in the quality handicaps. On the book, that was arguably a lifetime best from him and he is mighty interesting running off the same mark here. The yard is in healthy form at the moment, and granted that the nearside are competitive,he will not be far away and is the preferred option.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 29 July 2010

1pt win OASIS DANCER 6/1 (Generally available) Totesport Mile
1pt each way ROYAL DESTINATION 20/1 (Generally available) Totesport Mile

Oasis Dancer is an extremely likeable sort who knows how to get his head infront and he has a big opportunity to take this valuable prize under a 3lb penalty. The form of his recent win has yet to be tested but irrespective of how that pans out he is very likely to be returning to G company in the near future and could progress further enough to make his mark in G2/G3's.He is the one to beat here.

With the Noseda yard in terrific form Royal Destination is worth one more chance. His seasonal reappearance was pleasing enough as he almost certainly needed the outing but he failed to progress from that in the John Smith's Cup.He ran well at this meeting last year over two furlongs further after racing prominently and the combination of the drop back in trip in a crowded true run affair could just bring out the sparkle in him.There are still things to learn about him but he started the year looking certain to improve from last year and he is not without a chance.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 28 July 2010

1.5pts each way STARFALA 20/1 (Generally available) Moet Hennessy Fillies Stakes

If she is able to reproduce her Park Hill form his mare would go very close here. She was beaten inches in the event and was followed home by three animals in the top of their form. She started at big odds that day after running a poor race in this event and has not won in her four outings since which means its nearly two years since she won. There of course has to be some negs hanging over her for her to be around the 20/1 mark but on the brighter side she started the season as good as ever when third in a hot little Ascot race so we know that all the ability is still there. She disappointed at York next time and the last run came an oddball event which nothing too much should be gleaned from it. Conditions are ideal for her here, the yard is in fairish form, and she appeals very much as one who will run a very big race.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 27 July 2010

1.5pts each way BADDAM 28/1 ( Generally available) Sportingbet Goodwood Stakes

This oldtimer may be worth chancing at double figure odds. He won this event two years ago off a rating 9lb higher than now. Whether he is capable of fully producing that level of form is not clear - although he ran a stinker last time at Ascot he had also run a desperate race in the same event two years ago before winning this. What does give encouragement is that though it's a while since he produced his best form on the level, he has not had enough racing in this sphere lately to make a proper judgement and he has at least been in good form over hurdles during the winter and won well on his chasing debut in May. It takes all sorts to win these sort of events and he has a realistic chance here.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win RIP VAN WINKLE 5/2 ( Generally available) Sussex Stakes

In what appears a straight match, Rip Van Winkle's performance in this last year when defeating Paco's Boy is on the book probably better than anything Canford Cliffs has yet to achieve. Of course, the Hannon horse comes into this in the form of his life and with the stable still firing he seems sure to run to his optimum. However, it will be very surprising if Rip Van Winkle does not leave the Ascot run behind and find his best form here.If he does its a coin toss which makes him a cracking bet at the odds available.

Lost - 3pts

Monday, 26 July 2010

1pt win MAIN AIM 8/1 (Generally available) Betfair Cup
1pt each way LOVELACE 20/1(Generally available) Betfair Cup

Coming into this 12 months ago you would not have envisaged Main Aim lining up again 12 months on and starting around the 8/1 mark. He had just run a lifetime best when finishing runner up in the July Cup and he looked likely to take all the beating in this before returning to G1's. As it is, he ran a stinker followed by a similar no performance at Haydock. Connections later treated him for a condition and overlooking his run at Royal Ascot he has run consistently well in his remaining races this season, each time showing a level of form that would see him going close here.He still looks capable of running up to the level if his July Cup form, and that would almost certainly see him winning this and he cannot be overlooked at the odds available.

Lovelace is a very interesting contender at a big price. On his two previous visits here he won a handicap off 96 3 years ago, then was unlucky in running when finishing 5th last year off 109 in the big mile handicap. The yard done wonders with another ex- Johnston horse in Regal Parade, and Lovelace retains all of his ability, arrives here on the back of a cracking run in an above G3 at Longchamp that would have passsed for a G2, and looks sure to outrun his odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 24 July 2010

1.5pts each way NOBLE CITIZEN 20/1 ( Hills, Ladbrokes, Bet 365) Victoria Racing Club International Stakes

This animal does not have the progressive profile of a couple of the others in this event but his type win these sort of races enough and rarely start shorter than they are entitled to. Noble Citizen's race at Newmarket last time went wrong from an early stage and can be safely ignored - he had previously run back to back blinders at this venue and is proven in the big field scenario.His yard is banging them in at the moment and with one of the ' could be ahead of the handicapper types', Ya Waayl, alarmingly weak in the market this morning, his prospects increase and he will be difficult to keep out of the frame.

Placed + 6pts

Saturday, 17 July 2010

1pt win ACAMBO 12/1 (Generally available) Totescoop Summer Hdle
1pt each way HERON BAY 12/1 (Generally available) Totescoop Summer Hdle

Acambo has been holding up well in the market this morning which suggest that the blinds have produced a some sparkle him at home. One thing is for sure, with him now being down to below his last winning mark of just over 12 months ago, he has been given a real chance by the handicapper and the fact that Johnson, despite reducing his string notably, has held on to him, gives encouragement that connections still believe all the ability is still there.

Although perhaps a little disappointing last time, Heron Bay is still potentially much better than his present rating over hurdles. With Bowen's yard enjoying one of it's traditional heady spells at the moment, he is a very likely sort here and will be suited by the track and looks sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

2pts win PRINCE SIEGFRIED 3/1 (Generally available) Shadwell Beech House Stud Stakes
1pt win DISTANT MEMORIES 5/1( 4 firms and exchanges) Shadwell Beech House Stud Stakes

Prince Siegfried had put up three good performances each time he has encountered an easy surface and there are no concerns about him not being able to produce his optimum on todays ground. He arrives here as good as ever after two solid performances, both at Sandown, and he will take all the beating here and is a better proposition than market rival Stimulation, who may need a sound surface to produce the level of form that he did at Royal Ascot.

Distant Memories is progressing really well at the moment and is already a genuine G3/Listed calibre animal. He knows how to win, acts with ease, and is almost certainly got further improvement left in him and is a danger to all.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 10 July 2010

1.5 pts each way ROYAL DESTINATION 14/1 (Generally available) John Smith's Cup

This gelding is only 4lb higher than when winning here last August and is a very interesting proposition here. He reappeared at this venue 4 weeks ago looking like he would be the one to beat if fully wound up. The betting suggested that he was in need of the run and he ran like a horse who needed the race to clear the cobwebs - albeit running with a high amount of promise. The main negative is that the yard originally had the currently sidelined Rebel Soldier as their number one for this race but as they are in different ownership that should not be viewed as detrimental to Royal Destination's chance. All told, he's racing off a winnable mark, will act on the ground,is suited by the track, and from a yard in good form and should be thereabouts.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 26 June 2010

1.5pts each way SABOTAGE 50/1(Generally available) John Smith's Northumberland Plate

Godolphin went close in this last year with Friston Forest, who had a similar sort of rating to Sabotage, and who too had ran in the Emirates during the winter. Friston Forest arrived here last year on the back of a good run at York - Sabotage lines up on the back of a poor showing at Sandown but, four weeks on, the yard is in better form and he should easily outrun his odds here. He is an uncomplicated type who races prominently and though the draw is a slight worry, it is no more than that ( eg, 2006 1st 3 home, 16,19,18) and he'll be Ok provided he dosen't break sluggishly.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 19 June 2010

1.5pts Each Way BARSHIBA 25/1(Generally available - 33/1 with Bet 365 and 28/1 with Chandler) Hardwicke Stakes

This race has a lopsided look to it. Harbinger has promised to be a top notch performer but that York run last year still makes him one to have reservations about taking a short price and his presence creates value elsewhere. The one that takes the eye at long odds is the likeable Barshiba who has come to hand earlier this season than in the past. She tends to run well here and is ideally suited by todays ground, and is genuine G2/3 class. Her last run can be safely overlooked and she is cracking each way value here.

Placed + 6pts

2pts win SHOWCASING 7/1 (Generally available) Golden Jubilee Stakes
1 pt win STARSPANGLEDBANNER 8/1 (3 firms and exchanges) Golden Jubilee Stakes

Showcasing is a real contender for champion sprint honours this year and showed that he has trained on well over the winter by running a highly promising race in the Duke of York last time. He is bound to have on in the intervening five weeks and with the yard in fairish form, he'll be producing his optimum today and is the one to beat. Starspangledbanner, a top class sprinter in Australian made his Ballydoyle debut in the same York race and ran really well considering that he was probably far form being in peak condition.He undoubtedly possesses the ability to go close here and is a big danger to all.

Starsp'bnnr won + 6pts

1.5pts each way 16/1 (Generally available) JIMMY STYLES Wokingham Stakes

This gelding is 4lb higher in the ratings than when finishing in mid-div from the 'wrong' side last year. He later went on to win the Ayr Gold Cup and lines up here on the back of an encouraging Salisbury run and off a very winnable mark. He is from a shrewd set up with regard to the valuable handicaps, Dettori is back on for the first time since Ayr, he's won here in the past, ground will suit and all in all is one of the most likely that you'd trust to run his race and be in the shake up.

Lost - 3pts

Thursday, 17 June 2010

3 pts win MARGOT DID 12/1 (Hills and PPower) Albany Stakes

This filly made an impression when winning on her debut at Newbury, looking one with an interesting future. That performance was backed up by late money for her that evening and her eyecatching manner of victory marked her as one to follow. Since then the runner up and fourth in that race have gone on to win, while Margot Did herself comfortable followed up at Yarmouth from an animal who has gone in since. Despite there being many genuine contenders,there is no one particular animal to be really scared of here and she stands out at present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

3pts win LILLIE LANGTRY 5/1 (Generally available)Coronation Stakes

This filly was cruising in mid-div throughout the Irish 1,000 Gns and you get the feeling that she may have just about won if things had panned out differently. The yard really are really in ordinary form at the moment, but they went close in the Gold Cup and this filly has only ever really disappointed when she travelled to the States and you would be confident of her running race here. Although she has had plenty of racing she appeals as the type who will progress again through this season and the form of the yard apart, there are no negatives against her.

Lost + 15 pts

Wednesday, 16 June 2010

3 pts win ACQUAINTED 12/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Ribblesdale Stakes

This filly is just as interesting here as those ahead of her in the betting. After a game effort when runner up in the Cheshire Oaks, she did not have to improve to win her maiden at Haydock and did indeed win in visually dominant style. Her Chester conqueress has since run fifth in the Oaks,having a hard race in the process.Though she advertised the Chester form in the process, it's debatable how much she improved from Chester as the Oaks did look a below par renewal and the lighter raced Hills horse, with plenty more left to come, can come out on top this time and is double the odds to boot. There are of course a list of dangers but she is the overall value call here.

Lost - 3 pts

3pts win KITE WOOD 8/1 (Generally available) Ascot Gold Cup

This is a fascinating renewal. Kasbah Bliss has the opportunity to have the moment of his long and varied career, while Stoute can be relied upon to have Ask lining up in peak condition.The market leader Manifest won in great style at York and will be bang there if getting the trip. However, the same remark applies to Kite Wood and at double the price,is the call here.He is easy to place tactically in his races, arrives here on the back off a solid looking trial race, and has less to prove staminia wise than Manifest, and is very likely to get the trip.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win RANSOM NOTE 10/1 ( 4 firms) Brittania Stakes

The far side has been the place to be so far and although the bias can switch at these meetings from day to day, the percentage call is to favour that part of the field and in box 27,this colt can turnaround last time out form with Business As Usual in 9. It's of course a large portion guesswork and there are typically a sackful of live dangers.However Ransom Note has more going for him than most. He is ultra reliable, is progressing, is genuine and knows how to get his head infront and has conditions that should be ideal. His stable is also in good form form and he should not be far away.

won + 28.5 pts

1.5pts each way RAWNAQ 40/1 (Coral)King George V Stakes

This one is worth a go at eyecatching odds. After winning a poorish Hamilton maiden in visually taking style, he looked an interesting contender when put into handicap company at Haydock. He disappointed that day but the fact that he takes his chance along with some of his stable companions, in an event which the yard have an excellent record in, is interesting. It's not unusual for horses from his yard to bounce back immediately after a moderate run and he could figure here.

Lost - 3pts

Tuesday, 15 June 2010

3 pts win ANTARA 4/1 (Ladbrokes) Windsor Forest Stakes

This looks to be one of Godolphins better recent purchases. She was highly progressive in Germany last season and rounded the season off by destroying the opposition in a G3 at Hoppegarten, beating a useful sort and looking an interesting prospect for this year. She reappeared at Epsom where she beat last seasons Coronation Stakes runner up with a bit in hand and travels so well in her races that the return to a mile will not inconvenience at all. She is certain to be in the shake up here.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win RIGGINS 16/1 (Corals) Royal Hunt Cup

Dispersed with by his old connections at the Cumani yard after a disappointing run in the John Smith's Cup at York last summer, it was always going to be interesting to see how he did for his new yard as at the time of the York run, he looked a promising handicapper who would pocket a valuable prize or two. He reappeared at Newmarket gelded and gave those who backed him a highly hopeful time with the way he was travelling.In the end he wasen't beaten far and though the fact that he hung is a little worrying, his attitude can be given the benefit of the doubt at this stage and he looked one to follow in valuable handicaps and it appears that he has been targeted at this. The strongly run mile of this event will be ideal for him and he catches the eye as much as anything in this field.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 14 June 2010

3pts win RIP VAN WINKLE 7/2(Generally available) Queen Anne Stakes

Goldikova will have to be at her very best to win this and considering that she has not produced her optimum until the Autumn, and that her performance when winning at Newmarket last July was a level below what she showed later on, she is worth taking on here. Rip Van Winkle is a miler of the highest order himself and similar to when winning the Sussex and QE11, he will kick on early here and will take a hell of a lot of pegging back. He is certain to be in peak condition and there is no reason why Paco Boy should reverse the Sussex form.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win STEINBECK 7/1 (Ladbrokes and Exchanges) St James Palace Stakes

This colt has evidently always been near the top of the pecking order in his yard since early last season and though he has five lengths to make up on Canford Cliffs from the Curragh, he is likely to have progressed a good deal since then and appeals as the value in the race. His Dewhurst run came after a lay off, and he lined up at the Curragh after being unable to make Newmarket - this is actually the first time that he has lined up in a G1 with an ideal preparation and he should be in the shake up.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win ELZAAM 9/2(Generally available) Coventry Stakes

This colt looked a Royal Ascot winner when justifying the market vibes with an authoritative victory at York at Dante day. The form of that race has held up well since and he is worth support at two points longer than the Hannon horse, whose Newbury race is admittedly now looking stonewall solid. The O'Brien pair obviously command respect but despite a decent juvenile strike rate here plenty of similar types from the yard have been beaten at this meeting in the past and they don't need to be taken aboard for the sake of it.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 12 June 2010

3pts win ROYAL DESTINATION 9/1 ( Hills and Exchanges) Stakes

If this gelding turns up racefit here he stands out as the bet of the day. There are obviously more valuable events on the agenda in the near future but at the odds available now, he is worth chancing as he will shorten up if fancied. The unknown factor concerning his condition is of course built into his present odds.He is only 6lb higher than when winning here last August and being the most progressive animal in this field, will confirm the form notwithstanding the proviso.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts win MADAM MACIE 8/1 (Generally available) Reg Griffin Memorial Trophy
1.5pts win MIDNIGHT MARTINI 10/1 (Generally available) Reg Griffin Memorial trophy

Madam Macie may have been marginally flattered by the winning margin last time but the runner up has run well in a competitive race since the the 10lb rise looks justified. The drop back in trip is unlikely to hinder and she will take some catching here. Midnight Martini came up against a genuine G3 horse here last time and though more exposed then some of the others, she is only 3lb higher than her last appearance in a handicap that has turned out to be far more competitive than it may have looked going into it,is from a yard in peak form, and is sure to be in the shake up.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win THAAHIRA 4.2/1(Betfair) Daniel Prenn Royal Yorkshire Stakes
1.5 pts win EJTEYAAZ 5.2/1 (Betfair) Daniel Prenn Royal Yorkshire Stakes

The form of Thaahira's Chester maiden, which she won in eyecatching style, has not been let down and she has strong prospects of bouncing back to form after being well beat in an Oaks trial. The runner up re-opposes today after winning an ordinary Haydock maiden and should not be able to turn the form around. Ejteyaaz is already looking a decent buy at 17,000 from the Prendergast yard. He was narrowly beaten in a Newcastle handicap in which most of the runners came into it with recent winning form and should prove equally effective over two furlongs further today.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 5 June 2010

3pts win MIDAS TOUCH 7/1 (Generally available) Investec Derby

Although there was a niggly doubt over the extra furlong and a half, the decision to run Cape Blanco in France casts a subjective shadow over the Dante as no matter how much Workforce is expected to improve, the winner also looks likely to progress again and you would have expected him to confirm the form. Thus, Ballydoyle will be left with red faces if Workforce wins this, and with Bullet Train and Rewilding unlikely to be good enough to win this, you end up returning to Jan Vermeer and Midas Touch. The bare form of both of their recent preps is far from solid but both left solid impressions, and at the odds available it's worth taking a chance that Murtagh is on the wrong one.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 29 May 2010

1.5pts win FOLLY BRIDGE 13/1 (Betfair) Coral UK Sprint
1.5pts win WALK ON WATER 14/1(Betfair) Coral UK Sprint

Folly Bridge hails from a yard that has few superiors in the handling of progressive sprinters, and she looks a very likely type for this.She improved to win decisively at Nottingham last time; the form has yet to be tested but some of those behind are likely to be winning gain soon and with the yard in form, and further improvement from her likely, she has serious prospects of following up off 7lb higher rating. The Cecil yard is traditionally thin on the ground in the sprint division but they did win this event last year and with the yard absolutely flying, the chance of Walk on Water, in the ownership of those that have provided the yard with most of it's best speed horses down the years, has to be taken respected. She looked a good prospect when winning at Chester last year before running an average race in soft ground at Salisbury.She could still be anything and back on faster ground is worth a go at double figure odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 23 May 2010

1.5pts win TERMAGANT 10.5/1(Betfair) Ethad Airways Irish 1,000 Gns
1.5pts win LILLIE LANGTRY 13.5/1(Betfair) Ethad Airways Irish 1,000 Gns

There's probably no more than two lengths between at least dozen of the 3 y-r-o filly milers, and the Newmarket Gns form could be vulnerable here today.Instead of deliberating if the Bolger filly will confirm the form with Music Show, it may be best looking away from that race. The Zarooni filly won her French trial in taking style but God knows how far forward she was to the rest of the field and what effect the move from Fabre has. The third home in that race ran well enough in the French 1,000 to give the form credibility, but Anna Salai is plenty,plenty short enough. At the prices available, the preferred option is to split stakes between Termagant and Lillie Langtry. The unbeaten Termagagant won the Moyglate fair and square, beating an up to standard field, with Gile Na Greine back in fifth.Although the ground may have been unsuitable for some of her rivals, connections had evidently feared that Termagant would not act on it and would be better on a sounder surface. This has been her target since then and she will be in peak condition today. Lillie Langtry started odds on in that race and finished third. Though having plenty of racing in her juvenile season, she has always looked the type to train on well and a tad more than normal improvement will see her going very close here as on the balance of her form already, she only has a couple of lengths to find.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 22 May 2010

2 pts win HACIENDA 7/1( 3 firms) Betfred Silver Bowl
1pt win UNSHAKEABLE WILL 15.5/1(Betfair) Betfred Silver Bowl

This is traditionally one of the best 3 y-r-o handicaps before Royal Ascot and in a field that looks up to standard, Hacienda looks a very likely sort.On the back of a stylish win in no more than a fairish Beverley handicap, he was put into a G3 at the Curragh and acquitted himself well on ground that probably did not suit against a couple of animals who will probably not disgrace themselves in the Irish 2,000 Gns later on today. It's guesswork how much better he would have ran on faster ground at the Curragh, but there is a strong liklehood that he is much better than his 96 rating, and granted luck in running, he is the one to beat. Of those in double figures, Unshakable Will ran a lifetime best back on faster ground at Doncaster last weekend, is open to further improvement,and should outrun his odds.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win MUNSEF 5/1 (Generally available) Stowe Family Law Grand Cup

The Godolphin runners are underperforming again after a more promising than usual start. However, their animals tend to run well here, even when the yard is out of sorts, and they went close in this last year with a similar sort to Age of Reason in a period when the yard was in worse shape than it is now. Nevertheless, you would rather be looking elsewhere and the admirable Munsef is hard to get away from. Ian Williams has worked wonders with this animal and he enjoyed a fine season last year consistently running up to a high standard on his last four outings, the last of which was in the Melbourne Cup. He shaped well on his seasonal debut in the Ormonde, and with todays faster ground ideal for him, he is certain to give a very good account of himself and must be supported.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 15 May 2010

3pts win VERDANT 9/4 ( Generally available) Totescoop London Gold Cup

It's hardly ever the best policy to be getting stuck into horses barely over 2/1 when there are usually viable better priced alternatives. However, there is not alot in opposition here that gets the blood up. Private Story should run Ok'ish but will surely find a couple too good, Dromore and Mingun, who have half chances are very week on the exchanges, while Right Step and the Fahey pair are hard to get excited about, and Green Moon arrives first time in handicap afer winning a nothing race easily. This draws you back to the front two in the market. Though the odd one is winning, the Johnston horses have been generally underperforming lately, and it is a little worrying that the four timer seeking Monterosso has had a four week break, particularly well there has reportedly been coughing in the yard. The Stoute filly that he beat at Ripon clearly improved a ton between then and York, and there is also the unknown regarding the extra two furlongs. On the plus side, his price is holding up on the exchanges but with so many niggly doubts the preferred option is to pile into Verdant. It's too early to rate how the form of his Sandown race will work out but he himself is a promising individual who is evidently well thought of, and a very likely candidate to progress high up the ladder as many of his ilk from his yard have done over the last few decades. He is sure to take all the beating.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 13 May 2010

1.5 pts win CAPE BLANCO 4.5/1 (Betfair) Totesport Dante Stakes
1.5 pts win COORDINATED CUT 4.3/1(Betfair) Totesport Dante Stakes

The re-routing of Workforce from the Guineas to here is a negative factor and there really is no knowing what to expect. The runner up in his maiden improved a ton afterwards, and the other winners to come out of the race have only been ordinary.He could possibly drift out prior to the race making it an event to play in now if you want to take him on. Chabal made a satisfactory debut for Godolphin and if he runs his race, he'll be the one used to guage the level of the form.However, at the prices the best policy is perhaps to split stakes on Cape Blanco and Coordinated Cut. Ballydoyle never run their main Derby hope in this but that has not stopped them from having a successful record in the race. Midas Touch's fairly taking victory on Sunday showed that they are not all underperforming, and it would be dangerous to underestimate this highly promising colt on the basis that the yard has not got on it's feet this season yet. That factor is built into the price. The runner up in Coordinated Cut's Newmarket race ran too bad in Italy for it too be used to underestimate the form. They pulled well clear of the remainder of the field headed by a Ok'ish sort, and Coordinated Cut, with reputation back intact, is at this moment a genuine Derby hope who will give a very good account of himself here.

Cape Blanco won + 5pts

2 pts win RAINBOW PEAK 4/1 (Generally available) Totesport Hambleton H'cap
1 pt win COLLATERAL DAMAGE 22/1 (Betfair) Totesport Hambleton H'cap

The Cumani horses have been performing well enough on their seasonal debuts in recent weeks to indicate that Acrostic will be spot on here. He may well have come on again through the close season but a stiffer mile would be more ideal for him and even at shorter odds, Rainbow Peak is the preferred option. Admittedly, backing the ' could be better than a handicapper' types in these races blindly is lazy and generally costly, but there is enough substance to Rainbow Peak's form along with the certainty that there is better to come, allied to the fact that he is in the best hands for this sort of scenario. The drop back in trip will not be a problem and he is the one to beat. Collateral Damage improved significantly from his seasonal debut last time, and with his yard now in form, has claims here and should outrun his present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts MIDNIGHT MARTINI 4.3/1 (Betfair) European Breeders Fund Condition Stakes
1 pt win ROSE BLOSSOM 11/1(Betfair) European Breeders Fund Condition Stakes

The highly consistent Midnight Martini appeals here. The form of the valuable sales race she won here has worked out well in the meantime, and she was then beaten at Ayr by a filly who has since run well in the 1,000 Guineas. Midnight Martini has come out and run a blinder in a Ripon handicap on her seasonal debut, trying to give the winner a stone and it will be surprising if she dosen't go very close here. Rose Bloom looked an exciting sort after her debut last year but was found wanting when trid against the best of her generation.She is nevertheless good enough to figure here, though her poor run last time raises concerns as to whether she has trained on. That concern is off course factored into her odds and she is worth a point.

Rose Blossom won + 8.5 pts

Saturday, 8 May 2010

2 pts win TRAFFIC GUARD 7/1 (Betfair) John Doyle Buckhounds Stakes
1 pts win HATTON FLIGHT 26/1(Betfair) John Doyle Buckhounds Stakes

With plenty of valuable targets in the programme for mares nowadays, it is very likely that Barshiba will be using this to shape her up for the next few months and will probably be a tad short of peak here. If that means you can put a line through her, then you have the choice of piling into Duncan at prohibitive odds or chancing a couple of the longer priced contenders. Duncan does have solid credentials here but in the hope that he is not as forward as he was for his debut last season, the credentials of Traffic Guard are very appealing.Although having a moderate strike, he has been highly tried over the last couple of seasons but has in the main acquitted himself well, sometimes in the best company. It is significant that he can produce in small fields, and this sort of race presents him with the best opportunity to get his head infront.He should go very close here. Of the others, Hatton Flight has something to find on the bare form but in fields of this size, it only takes for one or two to run below form to put his type in with a chance. Furthermore, he improved around a stone during last season and despite now being a 6 y-r-o, there could be further improvement left. He was straight for his debut last season and if in the same shape again will outrun his odds.

Lost - 3pts

2 pts win OVERTURN 8.4/1 (Betfair) Totesport Swinton H'cap Hdle
1 pt win DAN BREEN 29/1(Betfair) Totesport Swinton H'cap Hdle

Although he'll not have things to himself up front,that itself is no reason to to ignore the credentials of the highly progressive Overturn who has a realistic chance of continuing his wining sequence here. There is no reason why any of those that finished behind him at Ayr should turn the tables on him as Gloucester does not produce when coming off the bridle, and Arcalis is likely to find himself getting outpaced around this sharp track and leaving himself too much to do. Of those near to him in the market, Conquistidor is all visual and is pitted in at the deep end,Ciceron will find this more difficult than his recent contests,Toubab would be double the price if trained by a smaller trainer,while Hunterviews chance appeals no more than his stable companion Dan Breen. In fact the latter is one of the most interesting contenders here. He has been tried in the best novice company at the Cheltenham and Aintree festivals following a taking debut at Doncaster. He is difficult to put a guage on but is certainly open to further improvement and is just the type to surprise.

Lost - 3pts

Wednesday, 5 May 2010

1.5pts win MYPLACELATER 3/1 (Generally available) Weatherbys Bank Cheshire Oaks
1.5pts win CHAMPAGNELIFESTYLE 5.8/1 (Betfair) Weatherbys Bank Cheshire Oaks

For something lining up in a classic trial, Myplacelater has been quite busy in the last three months but she is going in the right direction and the form of her recent Newbury victory looks pretty solid and has already started to work out well. She does not have an Oaks entry but is in the Ribblesdale and there every reason to believe that she can improve further. It is hard to guage how the market in this will go in the next few hours but she shouldn't get too bigger than the price available now. Champagnelifestyle does have an Oaks entry and beat what proved to be a fairly decent Dunlop filly on her Newmarket debut. She disappointed in the Rockfel but is worth an another chance - even though her weakness on the exchanges at the moment is slightly concerning.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win 11/1(Betfair) 1pt place only 2.1/1(Betfair) BERNIE THE BOLT Totesport Chester Cup

The likes of Mamalook, Halla San and Som Tala win so rarely that they can be passed over without too much concern,while Red Cadeaux is now plenty short enough, and the cheekpieces on Swingkeel are more of a concern than a positive. The only one in the field who has some sort of pretensions to be a little better than a handicapper if he keeps on progressing is Bernie the Bolt.He was on the upgrade fast at the end of last season, looks to have been laid out for this, and granted a little luck in running from his high draw he is sure to be in the shake up.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts each way MISTER ANGRY 12/1 (Generally available) Bentley Motors H'cap

In what is often an interesting little handicap,once raced soft ground maiden winner Maxim Gorky is difficult to assess here and his type are often underpriced when in handicap company for the first time and he is worth taking on. Alrasm is interesting but there is a slight concern whether he will get the extra two furlongs and Mister Angrey is preferred. Although he has raced more than most of these, he is still open to further improvement, stays this trip, and will not mind if the ground eases again.

Lost - 3 pts

Sunday, 2 May 2010

2 pts win POLLENATOR 7.6/1 (Betfair) Stan James 1,000 Gns
1pt win HIBAAYEB 20/1 (3 firms and exchanges) Stan James 1,000 Gns

With niggly doubts surrounding whether Special Duty will be fully effective over this trip; with the fact that Seta, however promising she is, needs to improve on her May Hill form and does not yet have the substance to match the hype, and with Music Show being weakish in the markets this morning, you are drawn towards Pollenator who has no real negatives surrounding her.The Hannon horses continue to run well and with two placed horses in the 2,000Gns, the yard clearly has a strong bunch of 3 year olds. Pollentor's pedigree strongly suggests she will not mind the ease in the ground and as she is bred to get further, todays combination of trip and ground could be ideal.The form of her May Hill victory is solid and though the third home Seta should progress, there is no reason why Pollenator should also not, and unlike the Cumani filly who has evidently taken a bit of time to come to hand, Pollenator is likely to be absolutely spot on.Out of the longer priced contenders, the May Hill runner up,Hibaayeb, now with Godolphin, could surprise. The yard's animals have begun the season better than has been the norm of late,and she has already shown form good enough to be involved here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 1 May 2010

2 pts win SHAMALI 6/1 (Generally available) Stan James Suffolk Stakes
1 pt win RIGGINS 17/1 ( Betfair)Stan James Suffolk Stakes

There have certainly been better renewals of this race in the past and the Stoute horse is certainly not a future G horse in disguise. In contrast, Shamali only has to improve another 10lb or so to be in the mix for G3's and was progressing fast when last seen in July. The Haggas horse are running Ok'ish and with his odds holding up at the moment on the exchanges it's likely he's forward enough to be competitive today.

Riggins is another who appears after a long lay off, last being seen when running disappointingly in the John Smith's Cup at York. He was later bought at the Horses in Training sale and moved to Andrew Balding, and gelded.The yard has had a couple of winners in the last few days, and Riggins, who lined up at York a lightly raced but promising handicapper is worth a point at his present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts place only 3.2/1 ( Betfair place only market), 1 pt win 16/1(Betfair) FENCING MASTER Stan James 2,000Gns

It's generally worth taking on the visually dazzling winners in softish ground when they reappear on a faster surface and superstar or not, St Nicholas Abbey can go unbacked at his present odds. This years Craven looked a well up to standard renewal this year but its hard to believe that they've left a lot to work on with Elusive Pimpernal and its a little worrying how weakish he's been in the markets the last few days. Awzaan is still difficult to weigh up in relation to this but must be respected, while though Hannon appears to retain full faith in Canford Cliffs, he does not appeal as a modern day Guineas winner. The interesting one at the price is Fencing Master who without his stable companion in the field, would probably line up favourite here. He ran a blinder in the Dewhurst here on only his second racecourse appearance, is a highly promising animal in his own right, and there is no reason why he should not give a very good account of himself here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 17 April 2010

2 pts win ARCALIS 10/1 (Betfair) Samsung Electronics Scottish Champion Hurdle
1 pt win GLOUCESTER 6/1 (Generally available) Samsung Electronics Scottish Champion Hurdle

It's hard to get away from the County Hurdle, and though he may not be as good as he was Arcalis retains plenty of ability, and has every chance of confirming the form with those that finished behind him.With him not having the progressive profile of some of the others here, he is a couple of points longer than he should be and there is no reason, with conditions ideal for him, why he should not run his race. Gloucester ran an eyecatching race in the County and has a pull in the weights. He has been backed this morning and rates as a danger though there is a concern that he perhaps should have won more than he has done over hurdles.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 10 April 2010

3 pts win TATANIANO 11/2 ( 3 firms and exchanges) John Smiths Maghull Novices Chase

This one would have been an interesting contender had he took up his Arkle entry and looks a very likely type here. After a flawless fist couple of races over fences, the combination of trip and ground conspired against him when he was turned over at Newbury. He now arrives here a fresh animal, and has ideal conditions. He is a more appealing proposition than Osana, who despite running a blinder in the Arkle still carries a mark on him after going the wrong way over hurdles, and French Opera, who has probably already exceeded expectations over fences but just may be found wanting here.

won + 12 pts ( deduction for Nr)

3 pts win STATE OF PLAY 17/1(Betfair) John Smiths Grand National

This gelding ran a blinder in this last year after incurring more problems in running of those that filled the frame and has strong possibilities of coming out on top this time around. As his victories in the Hennessey and Charlie Hall show, he needs to be fresh to produce his best and the fact that he has been absent from the course since November is a big plus. The stable have had a couple that have already run OK here in the last two of days and given the necessary luck in running, he will play a big part in this.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win DARE ME 12/1 (Betfair) John Smiths National Hunt Champion Flat Race

This animal made a promising start to his career when landing a Haydock bumper in November 2008. He looked a likely sort to do well in novice hurdles but following a setback, he was kept to bumpers and made his reappearance over a year later when winning a Ffos Los. Although connections nominated the Cheltenham bumper as his target, he was so weak on the exchanges in the weeks leading up to it that it came as a surprise when he lined up for the race. He ran an immensely promising race, scything through towards the outside of the field coming down the hill then keeping on at the same pace once in a challenging position. He can turn the tables on Megastar and in a race that will predictably take much less winning than the Cheltenham race, is a confident to take this on the way to making a name for himself over hurdles next season.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 9 April 2010

3 pts win TARTAK 20/1 ( William Hill and 2 other firms) John Smith's Melling Chase

Despite not wining since this meeting last year this gelding possesses all of his ability and is provided with a chance here to pick up this valuable event as he appeals as one who will produce when conditions are ideal, so much so that there will be no excuses for him not to figure prominently here and a disappointing show would make him one to have reservations about. He arrives here after travelling eyecatchingly for a long way at Cheltenham last time out on unsuitable ground and is impossible to resist at the odds available.

Wednesday, 7 April 2010

2 pts win NACARAT 9/2(Generally available) Totesport Betfair Bowl
1 pt win CARRUTHERS 14/1 (Generally available) Totesport Betfair Bowl

Despite running a blinder first time out on the new sharper chase course at Haydock, Imperial Commander is in his element around Cheltenham and his presence at such restrictive odds creates value elsewhere as there must be some doubt as to whether he can perform to the same level again within three weeks. What A Friend lines up here fresh and has clearly been targeted at this - however, he is short enough himself and his claims are no stronger than the likes of Nacarat and Carruthers. The former returned to his best last time and he has shown that this extra furlong will certainly pose no problems, even with ease in the ground, and that he can perform to his optimum when something else is more keener to take up the early running. He should have been interesting had he opted for this instead of the Melling last year and must go well here. Carruthers has won around Fakenham and the nature of this track should at least suit him better than Cheltenham. He has a sporting chance of reversing the Gold up form with the winner and is worth a point at the odds available though he wouldn't want to be clouting too many.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win AINAMA 6/1 (Ladbrokes) Silver Cross H'cap Hdle
1 pt win SIBERIAN TIGER 29/1 (Betfair) Silver Cross H'cap Hdle

Ainama travelled well for a long way at Cheltenham and while these types can be costly to follow for the over faithful, he is worth another more chance back in trip on a circuit that suits him ideally. He seems priced about right and appeals more than similarly priced Wishful Thinking, Silverhand, who is from an out of form yard, and handicap debutante Black Jack Blues.

On his first run for Michael Wigham after being in the care of Tony Martin,Siberian Tiger bears some hallmarks of a semi-plot here. A very useful performer on the flat, he has got progressively better over hurdles and strikes as the type who is still probably a good few pound better in this sphere than he is able to be rated. On drying ground he has every chance of getting this trip around here, knows how to get his head infront and without doubt possesses the natural ability to win this. However, he present weakness on the exchanges is off putting and confidence would certainly be increased twofold if he shortened up in the meantime.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 5 April 2010

2 pts win SADDLER'S STORM 7.8/1 (Betfair) Powers Whiskey Irish Grand National
1 pt win HANGOVER 18/1 (Betfair) Powers Whiskey Irish Grand National

In general,the Tony Martin horses haven't represented the best of value in recent years with many going off shorter than they should do, and enough of his plot horses get beat to often make it worthwhile looking elsewhere. However, in a race were only a few will be in their optimum in extreme conditions, Saddlers' Storm has a cracking chance and is fairishly priced at present odds.He possesses the pedigree of a horse who will get this trip,and runs as though it will be within his compass; he acts well in heavy ground, has won twice around here, is safe over his obstacles,and is the upgrade with plenty of further improvement left in him. All in all, it will be a bit of a surprise if he is not in the shake up.

Hangover is another who is in his element on this sort of ground and has a bright chance of getting this trip.His last run was too bad to be true and can be ignored. That came on the back of a terrific run in the Thyestes , showing once again that the big field scenario suits him well. He is potentially better than his current rating and should give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 19 March 2010

3 pts win SOLDATINO 6/1 ( Hills, Bet 365 and Exchanges) JCB Triumph Hdle

There has been less anticipation in the build up to this than in normal years; no doubt due the situation whereby we haven't really had a juvenile thats really had people talking. Carlito Brigante has done everything right so far and he lines up with ground that will suit. He is far more likely to run his race than Alaivan who despite being visually impressive last time, may not be able to repeat that sort of performance on this faster surface. However, neither may not be good enough to beat Soldatino who come out similar to Carlito Brigante on a reasonably reliable form line, and comes from a set up with a second to none record in the juvenile division. He looked a quality sort at Kempton and if there is something in the field that is extra-special,then it is likely to come in the shape of him.

won + 15 pts

1.5 pts each way FIONNEGAS 14/1 (5 firms, 16/1 with 2 firms)) Albert Bartlett Novices Hdle

A fascinating contest where it is possible to make out a valid case for eight of these meaning that taking a couple against the field still leaves half a dozen dangers and the most appealing option is to side with something each way that is likely to see out the trip and produce its running. Fionnegas is the one to take aboard. Mullins has always believed that he will be suited by this sort of trip, he does not need genuinely soft ground, and the form of the Deloitte that he finished runner up in to the impressive winner has not been let down with Duinguib running well in the Supreme, Some Present acquitting himself OK behind Peddler's Cross despite perhaps being in the wrong race, and the fourth horse home since winning.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 17 March 2010

2 pts win AINAMA 8/1 (Ladbrokes) Pertemps Final
1pt win KAYF ARAMIS 30/1(Betfair) Pertemps Final

A sound surface suited Ainama best when handicapping on the flat and the drying ground will be ideal for him here.He has clearly been trained for this event,is open to improvement over this trip, and should be involved in a big way provided he is effective around here. He ran mediocirish on his only try here in the Supreme Novices and his best form has come on the level surfaces of Kempton and Aintree.However,there is too much in his favour to pass him over on that score and he must be supported. Last years winner Kayf Aramis is now 20lb higher in the ratings, but he has 'deserved ' his new mark and his sort can sometimes represent value in these sort of event which are not always won by the perceived to be well handicapped plot horses. He is worth a point.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts each way PLANET OF SOUND 14/1 ( PP and Sporting Bet) Ryanair Chase

Planet of Sound looked an improved performer when winning on his reappearance at Exeter and he appeals as a very likely type here. Admittedly, he is prone to the odd mistake but his fall last time was the first time he had been on the deck in eight outings over fences and assuming that has not knocked his confidence, he has bright prospects of reversing previous Ascot form with Albertas Run. He ran well in the Arkle here last year,is from an in form yard, is open to further improvement and looks sure to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 16 March 2010

1.5 pts each way GHIZAO 25/1 ( VC and Skybet) Neptune Investment Novices Hdle

The form of Quel Esprit and Rites of Passage has been let down in part by some of the animals finishing close to them, and in the realms of this race Finians Rainbow and Peddlers Cross have beat nothing of note. And with Reve Di Sivola probably wanting genuinely soft ground to produce his best you are left with some attractively priced animals with a realistic chance, and none appeals more than Ghizao who has clearly been laid out for this.He ran General Millar close here earlier in the season and that animal would have very likely outrun his odds if avoiding a mishap in the Supreme Novices. Unlike many of the others, there will be no fears over the ground and the jockey arrangements are not necessarily a negative - the Murphy connection to the part owner and the fact that he rode the gelding to victory last time at Taunton, means that Walsh may have had to commit to riding something else a couple of months back. All in all he make plenty of each way appeal and will outrun his odds.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win PUNCHESTOWNS 11/4 (4 firms) RSA Chase

This is an absolute cracker and Sam Waley-Cohen has far, far more pressure on him here than in an amateurs only race like the Aintree Foxhunters and partners a horse who despite his undoubted ability, would have had some doubts to overcome on the jumping front around here whoever was in the plate. OK, he's been a regular around Auteuil in the past but so had Japhet who lined up in this race a few years back with a fearsome reputation but ended up on the floor. If you take this as almost being a match then Punchestowns is the preferred option and is attractively priced at around the 11/4 mark. He has so far delivered as expected over fences and his recent scare involved a problem that we are told crops up with him now and gain; thus it would be dangerous to use Solwhits run to undermine his chance and he can be supported with a degree of confidence.

Lost - 3 pts

Monday, 15 March 2010

1.5 pts each way MENORAH 12/1 ( three firms) Spinal Research Supreme Novices Hurdle

You always try and find an angle in to oppose the Dunguibs of the world and the obvious one concerning the gelding's jumping is far from clutching at straws. That area of his performance last time was worrying enough for connections to avoid the Champion Hurdle and he will want to be a good deal more fluent here considering the pace they are likely to go in this larger field. Of those in opposition, Blackstairmountain,Oscar Whiskey and Dan Breen are all difficult to assess on the back of beating inferior opponents with ease and while though Get Me Out Of Here arrives here on the back of his more measurable Tote Gold Trophy victory; that had been his target, he sustained a cut in the race, and in the circumstances is short enough. This leaves Menorah who looked a high class individual when destroying a very useful animal at Kempton over Christmas and while he did not confirm that impression last time, he was almost certainly run in that as a stepping stone to this. The Hobbs yard has hit form at the right time and he must surely reach the frame.

won + 22.5 pts

3 pts win OGEE 11/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges) William Hill Trophy H'cap Chase

Highly tried in the valuable handicaps when with Stoute on the flat, this now progressive animal was a very useful novice hurdler last season for his new yard and has already shown himself just as good over fences with the promise of more to come. The drying ground is absolutely ideal for him and even those of us who tend to ignore stats and profiles cannot deny that he fits many of the ideals for this race, and one of no more than three or four in this field that could have something in hand over the assessor.It is a concern as to how his jumping will hold up around here in a field of this size, but his price makes up for that and if he does adapt to this scenario he will just about win this.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win PUNJABI 15/2 ( 3 firms and exchanges) Smurfit Kappa Champion Hdle
1pt win ZAYNAR 11/1 (Betfair) Smurfit Kappa Champion Hdle

Solwhit throws a spanner in the works. Prior to his setback he really was the one that you kept returning to when looking at this race but in light of the interrupted preparation is reluctantly passed over in favour of the reigning champion who is sure to put in a bold bid to retain the title. He lines up with conditions in his favour on the back of an exhibition trial and will be a different proposition than when beaten by Medermit in the soft at Haydock.There are certainly more doubts over those that followed him home in this last year. It's not a good sign that they are putting the blinds on Celestial Halo, nor was the talk early in the season of him going chasing, and is now far too short to represent any sort of value. Binocular has lost his aura and he should not be the same sort of price as Punjabi, and could easily throw in a stinker. Go Native has exceeded expectations this season but you are reluctant to back something that needs riding like he does at around the 4/1 mark, and just as interesting are two others with Seven Barrows connections, former inmate Khyber Kim who has excelled in his new yard and arrives here fresh but would have been better suited by softer ground, and current inmate Zaynar who was beaten in an unsatisfactory affair at Kelso. He certainly knows how to get his head infront and had always gave the impression in the past that the bottom of him had not been got to. He is worth a saver.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 6 March 2010

2 pts win CLOUDY LANE 12/1 ( Exchanges,Ladbrokes, Cahndler) Sportingbet Grimthorpe Chase
1 pt win KILLYGLEN 18.5/1(Betfair) Sportingbet Grimthorpe Chase

As he'll never again get in the Grand National under the circumstances of two years ago - ie in the form and off the pre -revised mark that he lined up off; it is safe to assume that this race is not being solely used as a stepping stone to a bigger target and that there is every chance of him lining up in top shape and repeating his victory in this event in 2007. He races off a 1lb lower mark which is testimony to that his career has been a bit up and down recently. However, he shaped well over hurdles at Haydock last time and it would be no surprise if he returned to his very best here.

With the Wylie's owning three of the mounts that he rides at Kelso today, Dennis O'Regans decision to ride there may not as big a negative for Killyglen here as it first appears. Admittedly, the gelding has disappointed since an encouraging seasonal reappearance and cheekpieces are tried here. If he returns to form he will of course be a major factor here and with conditions ideal, he is worth chancing at the odds available.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 27 February 2010

2 pts win NACARAT 5.4/1(Betfair) Racing Post Chase
1 pt win ATOUCHBETWEENCARA 14/1(Generally available) Racing Post Chase

Nacarat ran much than the final result indicates in the King George and showed without doubt that he is as good as ever. He lines up off an 11lb higher mark than when destroying a similar sort of field in this last year and is much the preferred option of those at the head of the market. Of the others, Fistral Beach would certainly have been over double his price if he was from less glamourous yard and Walsh wasen't attempting to do the weight,Kilcrea Castle appeals as one who will come into his own in the marathon races,while Madison Du Berlais is becoming harder to predict and would want better ground than this. Of the others, it may be worth having a point on Atouchbetweencaca, now back with Venetia Williams.He will love the ground though is not devoid of pace and if he is up to being competitive off this sort of handicap mark will not be far away.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 20 February 2010

2pts win RIVERSIDE THEATRE 10/1 ( 3 firms and exchanges)Irish Independent Arkle Challenge Trophy
1pt win TATANIANO 16/1 ( William Hill) Irish Independent Arkle Challenge Trophy

With the many of the running plans finalised,it may be worth getting involved in a couple of the Festival events now.The Arkle is generally a race that can be unravelled and with Captain Cee Bee plenty sort enough, plus the question mark hanging over Sizing Europe of whether he will find when coming off the bit, a couple of the home contenders make plenty of appeal.

Riverside Theatre was useful in bumpers and had a successful campaign in novice hurdles.If staying in that sphere he would have been a player in the conditions events and may even have developed into a half serious contender for the Champion Hurdle. He has done nothing wrong in his two starts over fences, has the important gift of being able to travel comfortably in his races and it's only the opposition that he has faced that has prevented him from receiving a higher rating in this discipline.He seems sure to start shorter than he is now and is a very likely type. Tataniano remains an exciting 2 mile chase prospect despite his defeat last time. That defeat over a trip and ground that were not ideal can be overlooked, and he will be a different prospect back on a course that he acts well on and on better ground. There is a plus from that defeat as he has now become attractively priced and is sure to start a good few points shorter on the day.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 12 February 2010

3 pts win MAMLOOK Totesport Trophy Hdle 9/1 (Generally available)

This talented dual purpose performer has been placed in a couple of Cesarewitchs's, has been narrowly beaten at Royal Ascot, and run well in competitive handicaps in this sphere. He was becoming a near miss horse but looked a new horse when winning a competitive Ascot handicap eyecatchingly 3 weeks ago. Although nowhere near as valuable as this in monetary terms, the top weight in that event Lough Derg ran off a similar rating to Blue Bajan here, and in running third advertised the quality of that event. The beaten favourite in that race lined up with a fair reputation and the gulf between that event and this is nothing like the difference in prize money suggests and there are realistic possibilities of Mamlook defying a 5lb penalty here. The drop back in trip will not be a hindrance and though his best pieces of form have been right handed ( noticeably at Ascot); that is probably just incidental as he was running a blinder at Aintree in the spring prior to not getting fully home over the 3m trip.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 6 February 2010

1.5 pts win PEPSYROCK 13.5/1 (Betfair) Blue Square H'cap Chase
1.5 pts win TAROTINO 22/1(Betfair) Blue Square Hicap Chase

Pepsyrock's form has come in much smaller fields than this but with his ability to travel well throughout his races, todays scenario should be fine for him and at double figure odds, he is more appealing than most.This race may may not take as much winning as seems likely at first glance and he is one of the more likely to reproduce his optimum form here.

Tarotino likewise catches the eye at the odds available.He appears for the first time since disappointing in the Paddy Power but his yard have recently hit form after being out of sorts all season and a much improved performance can be expected. The drop down in trip will not be a hindrance, he has won round here before, and prior to Cheltenham his career had been on an upward curve.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 30 January 2010

3 pts win MADISON DU BERLAIS 3/1( Generally available) Argento Chase

This gelding was very disappointing in the Betfair Chase back in November before runing a much better race when a distant runner up in the King George. At this moment, the stable has emerged flying from from the interruption and at 3/1, with limited dangers, it's worth overlooking the doubt about his effectiveness around here. Sentry Duty's victory the other week proved how easy it is to draw up links between poor runs and courses and encouragement can be gained by the fact that when he was third in the Grand Annual here in 2006, it was at the time his best performance over fences.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts win MR THRILLER 13/2(Generally available) Betfair Cleeve hdle
1.5pt win KATCHIT 8.6/1(Betfair) Betfair Cleeve Hdle

Mr Thriller appeals as the sort with further improvement left in him and though unproven over this trip, he gave the strong impression that it would be within his reach when winning over half a mile shorter at Chepstow earlier in the season. He has a great attitude to the game and at the odds available it is worth overlooking the concerns about the suitability of the track for him on the back of a defeat in a 3 runner tactical affair here.

Former champion Katchit finished runner up in that event and with his yard in good form for the first time all season, he is a live contender here.He now lacks the sharpness for champion hurdles,but should stay this sort of trip and could carve out a successful career in these sort of events and on a course that he loves should give an excellent account of himself here.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 23 January 2010

3 pts win WELL CHIEF 6.2/1(Betfair) Victor Chandler Chase

Opinions have had to be revised concerning Twist Magic who looked at one stage as though he had gone at the game. However, he is far too short here. Though visually impressive in the Tingle Creek everything went his way that day and a couple of the contenders ran way below their best.He is surely worth taking on and he provides value elsewhere. Those immediately behind him in the market appeal most and the odds available about Well Chief make him preferable over the progressive Petite Robin who though having form in testing ground in France, may need better ground to produce his optimum. The Pipe horse retains plenty of his old ability as well as his enthusiasm and has fair prospects of turning the Kempton form around on this more testing surface.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win CLOUDY LANE 7/1(Betfair) Peter Marsh Chase
1pt win JASS 13/1(Betfair) Peter Marsh Chase

Cloudy Lane lines up in a similar strength renewal of this to the one he won last year and off a rating only 1lb higher,he has a major chance.He shaped well on his reappearance in December with no doubt a view to this event and with the stable having a winner yesterday he should line up in peak condition.

Keith Reverley's horses have been running well since the interruption and if Jass returns to form he should figure here. He stays forever, goes on the ground, and although a good deal higher in the ratings than his last winning mark he has shown enough off this sort of rating to indicate that when spot on, he is capable of winning.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 15 January 2010

2 pts win AACHEN 8/1(Ladbrokes) William Hill Lanzarote Hdle
1 pt win CHIEF YEOMAN (Betfair SP) William Hill Lanzarote Hdle

With Venetia Williams not having a runner on the Southwell all bumper card it's complete guesswork how forward these two are coming into this. What is not under dispute is that they are both extremely interesting contenders who will not mind the testing conditions.They way Aachen galloped on up the hill at Towecester indicated that he has good prospects of being fully effective over this trip. With the drying ground not enabling him to produce his best in his last two runs he lines up here off a rating that may underestimate his ability. Chief Yeoman just wins in turn, but on a course that he was successful on last season, over a distance that he is fully effective over, and on ground that he'll handle,he could bounce back to form and surprise.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 1 January 2010

2 pts win RAZOR ROYALE 9/1 (Betfair) Victor Chandler.Com Chase
1 pt win MAGIC SKY 17/1 (Betfair) Victor Chandler.Com Chase

There is a concern over the well being of the Twiston Davies horses at the moment and that is no doubt factored into the presents odds available over Razor Royale. Although he would probable have been beaten for second by Chapoturgeon last time if the latter had not pecked at the last, he travelled like a dream throughout that race with Brennan taking a confident look behind at one point. He is the more of the pair likely to reproduce his form and off a 3lb higher rating in a less competitive field, he holds strong claims.

Magic Sky reappears quickly under a penalty after winning at Chepstow earlier in the week. He has some useful course form to his name, is clearly in great heart at present, and is worth a point at the present odds available.

R Royale Lost, M Sky NR - 2pts