Saturday, 29 August 2009

1.5pts win TAMAGIN 9/2(Generally available) Bet 365 Hopeful Stakes
1.5pts win SWISS DIVA 8/1 (Generally available) Bet 365 Hopeful Stakes

A fascinating event. After he'd won at Doncaster it would have have been safe to assume that by this time of the season Palace Moon would have been higher up the ladder. He'd clearly encountered some sort of setback after that run and a couple of others make more appeal here.

Tamagin ran a blinder off top weight in the Great St Wilfred and a similar run will probably be good enough to take this. Swiss Diva has been progressing nicely, can be trusted to run her race, and is irresistible at the odds presently available.

Lost - 3pts

Friday, 21 August 2009

0.75 pts EW AKMAL 14/1 ( Generally available) Skybet Melrose Stakes
0.75 pts EW TOO MUCH TROUBLE 25/1 (Generally available) Skybet Melrose Stakes

Akmal should appreciate this return to 1m6f and has a useful bit of C&D form to boast of back in July.Off a 5lb higher mark here, he catches the eye at present odds.Too Much Trouble is worth one very last chance - he kept hanging in last time when brought out to try and make headway on the leaders but given the nature of the Goodwood track, he can be given the benefit of the doubt.

Akmal won + 11.6 pts

1.5 pts EW BATTLE PAINT 16/1 (Generally available) Skybet City of York Stakes

Those at the front end of the market don't entirely convince and in a race with a funny shape about it, this lightly raced five year old is worth chancing. He undoubtedly possesses the raw ability to go close in this and has run well when fresh in the past. With him seemingly only taking a limited amount of racing it's highly unlikely that connections would waste a run short of peak.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 20 August 2009

3 pts win RODRIGO DE TORRES (Betfair SP) St Leger Yearling Stakes

This race has thrown up some high class performers down the years but this is no more than an average renewal and if the field contains something that’s really going to make a name for himself, then it’s likely to be this colt. Admittedly, it’s a case of taking style over substance as he only beat an ordinary field here last time – however, his manner of victory was highly taking and there’s a fair chance that he will be up to winning this.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win LADY OF THE DESERT 2/1 (Betfair) Jaguar Car Lowther Stakes

This filly has stonewall solid form in the context of this event and with limited dangers is fairly priced to emulate her dam here. Of the others the Jarvis horse seemingly arrived at Goodwood with a big reputation and won nicely in a race where the form looks to be working out OK, - however, even those of us who are not taken in by trends will realise that the group juvenile events for fillies over this distance tend to be won by something with more experience. The same remark applies to the Beckett horse while there appears to be a cloud hanging over Rose Blossom’s yard, and the Bolger filly, though likely to run well, will find one or two too good.

won + 5.70

2pts win ACROSTIC 5.6/1 (Betfair)Addleshaw Goddard Stakes
1pt win MIA’S BOY 19/1(Betfair) Addleshaw Goddard stakes

Acrostic just found the nine furlongs too far here earlier in the year and has since ran two cracking races returned to this trip, winning at Sandown, and finishing sixth when clearly disadvantaged by a bad draw at Goodwood in what was the second most competitive mile handicap so far this season. He runs off the same rating here and provided he is in the same sort of condition he will take all the beating.

It’s now eleven outings since Mia’s Boy was last successful. He’s still running consistently well and remains handicapped to the hilt. He runs well here though, and someday soon things will fall his way and he’ll get back on the winners circle. Certainly worth a point at the price.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 19 August 2009

2 pts win WARRINGAH 9.5/1(Exchanges)Totesport Ebor
1 pt win HITS ONLY VIC 20/1 (4 firms and Exchanges) Totesport Ebor

Apart from those on at much longer odds, Changingtheguard can be let go off as he's now too short to entertain; Red Jade has to prove himself over this trip,while of those at fancy odds there is nothing that you get too excited over.You are left zoning in on the race at Goodwood where Maneyriverstocross beat Precision Break, and the Hits Only Vic, Warringhah, Magicalmysterytour race here in July. The latter race is preferred and Warringhah, who made himself a target from a long,long way out in that race, has since confirmed how improved he now is, is fancied to come out best this time. He looks the type who'll be good enough to come back here for the Yorkshire Cup next May and in an ordinary renewal of this race can defy top weight. Hits Only Vic surprised many when wining that race as going into that he appeared to been grabbed by the handicapper

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 18 August 2009

1.5 pts win SEA LORD 21/1 (Betfair) Racing UK Acomb Stakes
1.5 pts win EMERALD COMMANDER 22/1 (Betfair) Racing UK Acomb Stakes

A fascinating renewal as always and worth taking a chance with a couple of longshots as Poets Voice price is restricted due to the visual impression he created last time along with the current stable form; Mata Keranjang has solid form but the Cole horses tend to reach their ceiling early in their career nowadays,and with Elusive Pimpernel you do not afford the Dunlop horses with the same respect as was once the case.

The form of Sea Lord's Ascot victory is starting to look OK and the yard has it's fair share of success in these sort of events to give encouragement that he's not just a runner of convenience for his owner.Emerald Commander looked very,very useful last time - there is a worry about the ground but at his odds he is worth chancing.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win HARBINGER 2/1 (Ladbrokes) Ladbrokes Great Voltigeur Stakes

Alwaary's form may be the most solid but looking at in from the angle that he was over two lengths behind Ask puts the form into perspective and at marginally shorter odds it's hard to get away from the highly exciting Harbinger who is the one horse in this field who could turn out to be up to winning properly contested G 1 middle distance events.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win WILLIAM BLAKE (Betfair SP) Patrington Haven Leisure Park Stakes
1.5 pts win MULL OF KILLOUGH (Betfair SP) Patrington Haven Leisure Park Stakes

There is no 'could be group class animal' here this year and this is the ideal opportunity for William Blake to get back in the winers enclosure. He's not the type who is going to be done any favours by the handicapper but his type do win in turn and there is not an awful lot to fear here. Mull of Killough has some form with the right sort of horses, is open to further improvement and is worth chancing stepped up in trip which on pedigree he's not certain to appreciate.

MO Killough NR, W Blake lost - 1.5pts

Saturday, 8 August 2009

1.5pts win 13.5/1(Betfair) 1.5pts place only (Betfair place only SP) SUMMER GOLD Totescoop Stakes

This is just the type of mare that Eric Alston excels with and on the back of a lifetime best at York, she has a serious chance of only a 4lb higher mark and stands out as the value call. Admittedly, the field she beat last time was just Ok'ish - however Dancourt beat a limited field last time, Sweet Lighting does just not win enough,while the form of Libel Laws's last race is typically small fields conditions race iffy. In all, an average race for the prize money on offer and it'll be disappointing if Summer Gold does not at least reach the four and as the Betfair place market will still cover the first four in the event of further non-runners, separate win and place bets are the best call.

Lost - 3 pts