Friday, 31 July 2009

3 pts win HEAVEN SENT 7/1(Generally available) Blue Square Nassau Stakes

Heaven Sent ran a blinder in a hotter renewal of this last year and there is not a hell of alot to really fear here. She arrives here better than ever after running a lifetime best at Newmarket. Hopefully, the ground will remain good for Midday to take her chance because she holds up the market but does not have as strong as claims as the Stoute filly. Rainbow Views is not suddenly going turn back into a dominant force again and she too can be passed over. She is now just one of many high class fillies around but no more.Ground changing rain would not only take away the filly that provides value elsewhere but would be a slight concern to Heaven Sent if it turned very soft but the best call is perhaps to get stuck in now and just take the hit if Midday is taken out.

Lost - 3 pts

3pts win MARKAB 10/1 (Generally available) Blue Square Stewards Cup

Markab ran a cracker in the Wokingham when best of the group on the near side and off the same mark here, there is no reason why he shouldn't figure again as his trainer, who nowadays has all of his notable successes with sprinters, has clearly targeted this race with him. He is versatile regarding underfoot conditions and granted the fortune that he races with the 'right'horses he'll be bang there and is worth chancing with full win stakes.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 30 July 2009

1.5pts win ACROSTIC 7/1 (Generally available) Totesport Mile
0.75pts win (Betfair SP) and 0.75pts place only LOVELACE (Betfair place only SP) Totesport Mile

On what will be his ninth racecourse appearance there is every reason to believe that Acrostic has yet to reach the ceiling of his ability and Lemaire retains the mount after he put up a career best when winning a similarly competitive Sandown handicap last time. Off a 6lb higher mark, he has good prospects of confirming the form with those that finished behind him, and with a piece of soft ground form in the book from his first handicap appearance,the ease in the ground should not deter.

Lovelace has run well enough off this sort of mark to suggest he can take one of these granted things going his way. Spencer has a successful history partnering him and he's fully proven with give underfoot. Appeals as the type to give a very good account of himself and an attractive win and place proposition.

Lost - 3 pts

Wednesday, 29 July 2009

2 pts win ROMAN REPUBLIC 6/1 (Generally available) Summer Vase H'cap
1 pt win CHANGING THE GUARD 24/1(Exchanges) Summer Vase H'cap

As in the past, that ten furlong 3 y-r-o handicap at the Newmarket July fixture looks as though it's going to work out really OK with the winner now competitively settled in Group company. Roman Republic ran a cracker to chase home the winner that day, showing improved form stepped up in trip and a 3lb rise in the ratings looks fair enough. He seems sure to give a very good account of himself. The winner's stable companion, Changing The Guard was less than three lengths behind, running on. He is 3lb better off and should not be too far behind the Johnston horse again. He had previously caused a surprise when stepped up in trip at York and now seems to be going places.

Roman Republic won + 11 pts

3 pts win SCHIAPARELLI ( Betfair SP) Coutts Goodwood Cup

This former German Derby winner has always been a very genuine and likeable animal in the past who without doubt possesses the ability to take this and with the liklehood strong that he'll get the trip,has fine prospects of winning this ordinary looking event provided that the conditions are suitable for him to be allowed to line up..He was extremely popular among the small racing community in his native country when based with Peter Schiergen and the German racing press had been looking forward to him lining up for the Deutschlandpreis at Düsseldorf 10 days ago; a race he won in 2007.Perhaps the decision not to go was down to the race coming too soon after Newmarket, but irrespective of that he is a much needed and interesting addition to this sort of race.

won 1.56/1 + 4.45 pts

Tuesday, 28 July 2009

0.75pts win (Betfair SP) 0.75pts place only (Betfair place only SP) TOO MUCH TROUBLE Racing UK Heritage H'cap
0.75pts win (Betfair SP) 0.75pts place only( Betfair place only SP) FUNDAY Racing UK Heritage H'cap

A real conundrum and at a big price Too Much Trouble is worth one more chance to produce something despite not having the ideal sort of profile for this sort of event. He seems to be in a rut at the moment but Channon has won valuable handicaps in the past with horses that seems to be going nowhere and there was support for him prior to an Oki'sh run at the Royal meeting. Any easing in the ground will not hinder him and he should outrun his odds.

The lightly raced Funday ran promisingly on her handicap debut the other week.This is more competitive but she has interesting connections, should like the step up in trip and is of course open to the improvement required to figure here.

Funday NR, TMT lost - 1.5pts

Monday, 27 July 2009

1.5 pts each way MASTEROFTHEHORSE 5/1 (Ladbrokes) Betfair Gordon Stakes

Away from the glitz of Ballydoyle Masterofthehorse is going to start a couple of points longer than he should do and new connections would have to be Muppets for him to suddenly go backwards. In a race where Harbinger lacks experience and a recent run, where Firebet steps up in trip and where Urban Poet could be absolutely anything,it will be very suprising as well as disappointing if Masterofthehorse is out of the 3.

Lost - 3 pts

1pt each way BUREAUCRAT (Official SP) Detica Summer H'cap
1pt win DRILL SERGEANT ( Betfair SP) Detica Summer H'cap

Plenty fairish chances among some of the bigger prices here and Bureaucrat is worth chancing each way. He's back down to the mark that he won an Epsom handicap off last year and ran well enough at the same venue this year to indicate that the ability is still there. He may not be the most straightforward individual but this track can sometimes suit his sort and Ahern is the sort of rider who could conjure the best out of him here.

Drill Sergeant, who is ideally suited by racing right handed and who ran a cracker at this meeting last year is very much the type to put in a big performance here. He's not the best handicapped horse in training but that comment applied when he won at the Royal meeting.Of course, there is the question of the trip here but all things considered he's worth a point at the price.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 25 July 2009

3 pts win CONDUIT 2/1 (Generally available) King George Queen Elizabeth Diamond Stakes

Nothing appeals outside the front three here.Alwaary is hard to put a gauge on but even if he'd have won last time the form was a couple of steps short of this.Frozen Fire has become thoroughly disappointing, Ask is as good as he's ever been but clearly not good enough while even in the current era of non-vintage renewals of this event you need a filly or mare to be bordering on exceptional to win this and Look Here is not that. Golden Sword is the hardest to weigh up,and despite perhaps being compromised by having a part role to assist Fame and Glory last time he had everything bar Mourayan beaten out of sight behind him.Tartan Bearer has trained on well after a setback last season and will not mind the step back up in trip but Moore is likely to have picked the right one here and Conduit is given the opportunity to show just what he can do over a trip what he needs to produce his best and is priced about right.A few of the recent Leger winners have promised to buck the trend for the race and become real forces in middle distance events but have failed and though he won't get ahead of the two big 3 y-r-o's by the end of the year Conduit is a likely winner of this today.

Won + 6pts

1.5 pts each way TAZEEZ 11/2 ( William Hill) Sky Bet York Stakes

Kirklee's has come back well from Dubai but can be taken on and creates plenty of opportunities elsewhere.With Curtain Call ideally needing it soft, Tazeez appeals strongly each way.Although a Camebridgeshire winner his prominent style of racing renders him effective in this size of field.He lines up here on the back of perhaps a lifetime best and is sure to be involved.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 11 July 2009

2 pts win SEEKING THE BUCK 12/1(Generally available) 50th John Smith's Cup
1 pt win MEDICI PEARL 33/1 (Exchanges) 50th John Smith's Cup

A wide open and highly interesting renewal if not spilling over with quality and plenty of room to take at least two on board.

Ralph Beckett has proved adept at maintaining consistency with his handicappers over the past few years and Seeking The Buck arrives here in top form and off a mark only 2lb higher than when winning at Epsom two outings ago.Ground and trip are ideal, course configurations come alike, and his relatively prominent running style will mean he will be able to capitalise on his low berth.

Medici Pearl had a half sibling by Be My Chief that won over 1m6f and has prospects of staying this trip. She was staying on in a messy albeit decent race over ten furlongs at Newcastle last time and the way she was smacked of stamina worries. However, she is as good as she's ever been right now and as there is a genuine chance of her getting home, she is worth a point at the price available.

Lost - 3 pts

Friday, 3 July 2009

3 pts win HATTON FLIGHT 9.5/1(Betfair) Bet 365 Old Newton Cup

Looking through the runners for this you cannot help feeling that it is no more than an ordinary renewal. Helvelius, like a few from his yard, arrives in a big handicap on the back of a light programme. He is interesting but enough of his ilk get beat. Red Merlin seems suited to trickiesh courses, while many Cumani horses with stronger credentials than Falcativ get beaten in these events. Yes Mr President is very interesting and should be involved while his stable companion, Drill Sergeant should also run well again though the rise for his Ascot win may just find him out. However, the one that really does stand out is Hatton Flight, who prior to his unfortunate incident in the same Ascot race had been on a real roll.He had not looked as though he had stopped improving, he's effective on ground ranging from fast to good to soft and all track layouts seem to come the same to him; and most importantly of all he knows how to close out his races. The rise for his last victory may not be enough to stop him and he is worth getting stuck into right now and carries a degree of confidence

Lost - 3 pts