Saturday, 27 June 2009

2 pts win HIT'S ONLY VIC 12/1 (Generally available) John Smiths Northumberland Plate
1 pt win FRISTON FOREST 20/1(Betfair) John Smiths Northumberland Plate

With the ground easing, Hit's Only Vic now comes into this as a really serious contender. This gelding has been thriving of late, and when he has had the opportunity to get hos toe in his finishing positions have been 12115. On figs, he put up a lifetime best last time, and with the assistance of a decent draw, the 4lb rise may not be enough to stop him.

It takes a little faith to support any of these Godolphin horses at the moment but topweight Friston Forest ran encouragingly on his debut in this country and just beaten by subsequent Royal ascot winner Carraciola. The third and fourth, who are useful animals in their own right, were well beaten off and he is not out of it off his 108 mark. He's got plenty of soft ground form in the book from his days with Andre Fabre and is worth a point at his present odds.

Lost - 3 pts

Saturday, 20 June 2009

1pt win EMPEROR CLAUDIUS 6/1(Generally available) Chesham Stakes
1pt win SHAKESPEAREAN 8/1(Generally available) Chesham Stakes
1pt win BIKINI BABE 10/1 (Generally available)Chesham Stakes

An interesting renewal with two from Ballydoyle and three Johnston horses. One or two of these could be really useful, or could just blow out and you'd rather not risk the place part of the stakes in those circumstances so taking the ' cop out' approach and having three on board is the best option. Though it's only early, Beethoven has been weak on the exchanges and it would now appear that out of the O'Brien pair Emperor Claudius carries more hope.Shakespearean beat a weak field nicely at Haydock and could be absolutely anything, while Bikini Babe won nicely at Sandown last week. It's too early for the form to have been tested but without checking any stats, the trainer has had plenty of successes for this owner with the runners at the big southern tracks.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win DOCTOR FREEMANTLE 1.72/1(Betfair) Hardwicke Stakes

This colt has always promised to make up into a cracking four year old and after a satisfactory debut over two furlongs shorter at Chester, this is now the time were he shows just how much he has come on. Campanologist would be a live danger if back to his best, but it's hard to have any fear of the others - though Dansant is the difficult one to assess on his return to turf.

Lost - 3 pts

2pts win JJ THE JET PLANE 2.95/1(Betfair) Golden Jubilee Stakes
1 pt win KING'S APOSTLE 9/1 (Betfair)Golden Jubilee Stakes

You like to see the international campaigners confirm their ability here before getting involved and JJ The Jet Plane has gone and done that, when probably not 100% tuned up and will surely go very close here. King's Apostle runs well over this course and distance. He made a successful transition to group company here last year, arguably ran a lifetime best last time, and seems set to give a very good account of himself.

Lost - 3 pts

1pt win EVENS AND ODDS 17.5/1(Betfair) Wokingham Stakes
1pt place only KNOT IN WOOD (Betfair place only SP) Wokingham Stakes
1pt place only ADVANCED (Betfair place only SP) Wokingham Stakes

The 9lb for the victory at Newmarket two outings ago should not be enough to prevent Evens and Odds being involved here. He looked revitalised that day and after stepping up in trip last time, returns to his optimum conditions here and lines up with as strong as prospects as most in this field. Knot In Wood is a standing dish in these sort of events but is vulnerable to the better handicapped types. However, has prospects of reaching the frame again off a 4lb higher mark. Similar marks apply to former Ayr Gold Cup winner Advanced.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win HATTON FLIGHT 7/1 (Generally available) Duke of Edinburgh Stakes
3/4 pt win 19/1 (Betfair) and 3/4 pt place only (Betfair place only market)DRILL SERGEANT Duke of Edinburgh Stakes

Hatton Flight has been holding his form remarkably well and certainly knows how to get his head infront.He's now up a further 5lb to a lifetime high of 99 but he beat a similar field containing many of these last time and is far more likely to run his race again than those that chased him home.He's already won around here though all tracks and ground conditions seem to come alike to him; and he's fairly priced to go in again and is much preferred over the plot types here. Drill Sergeant dosen't get his head infront that often but is a genuine sort and handicapped to his full ability. However, his type win in turn and he's run well each time he's been to this venue, is in top form at the moment, and should give a very good account of himself.

Drill Sergeant won + 13.8pts

1.5 pts win CARACIOLLA (Betfair SP) Queen Alexandra Stakes
1.5 pts win TASHEBA 13/2 ( 2 firms and exchanges) Queen Alexandra Stakes

Amerigo is far from convincing and splitting sakes on the two Henderson runners is the preferred option. Caraciolla retains his enthusiasm remarkably well and should confirm the recent York form with the quirky Halla San. Tasheba has been in good form over hurdles and there is every reason to believe that he will return to the level an improved performer.The trip and ground should be fine for him.

Caraciolla won (7.8/1)+ 9.7 pts

Friday, 19 June 2009

3 pts win BLACK BEAR ISLAND 3.4/1 (Betfair) Kind Edward Stakes

The jury is still out on the Dante form but it cannot be denied that on the day Black Bear Island, who'd previously ran highly encouragingly on his reappearance looked the best horse in the race and the best long term prospect. That he beat the Murtagh chosen Freemantle that day is also a plus as that rival must have been working the house down beforehand and his run yesterday should not deter from his stable companions chance here - he clearly was not the same horse. Black Bear Island himself ran too bad to be true at Epsom but can bounce back here over a trip he will relish. He's fairly priced and is one to pile into.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win GHANAATI 2.7/1(Betfair) Coronation Stakes

The value of the 1,000 GNS form was understandably questioned at the time with Fantasia avoiding the race - but viewing it all with hindsight it probably made little difference that the Cumani filly was absent and though the strength of the field was debated there seemed no fluke about this filly's success and no logical reason why she should not go on from there and be a force in these races throughout the season.The one concern coming here was the form of the Hills yard but with a winner and second at the meeting so far, that factor cannot now be viewed as a negative. The French GNS form has been advertised by the good run of the runner up since and Elusive Wave is clearly a live danger but Rainbow View is just not the filly she was and is highly unlikely to bounce back here, while the Irish 1,000 GNS was a poor renewal this year and in any case the first two home would want some give underfoot. Baliyana is the hardest to assess though a G1 place is probably what connections are expecting at the most.

won + 7.6pts

1.5pts each way INDIAN DAYS 20/1( Ladbrokes,VC,and Exchanges) Wolferton Handicap

While the front two in the market ran well at York and have fair chances there are still plenty of holes in these. Dream Lodge does not want a true run ten furlongs; same probably applies to Perfect Stride who has not lived up to expectations and you feel they are trying to find a key if it exists. Salute Him has not suddenly improved and since moving to Tony Martin has been unsuccessful on his three journeys back over here, while a strongly run 9f enables Re Barolo to run to his optimum.This leaves some of those in double figs worth considering and Indian Days makes plenty of appeal. He's been tried in G3's this year and ran really well in the Huxley at chester two outings ago.He went up 7lb after winning the valuable 3 y-r-o handicap at Goodwood last last year and has gone up again for the Chester run. However he wasen't flattered, is proven in the big field handicap scenario, and lines up here with very realistic chance.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts win STATELY HOME 7.8/1(Betfair) Queens Vase
1.5pts win YANKEE DOODLE 8.6/1(Betfair) Queens Vase

You go into this looking for reasons to back the Johnston runners but Sabotage, who appears to be the most fancied one, beat nothing last time and I've had my fill of letting the imagination get carried away with visually impressive winners with no substance to the form; for this week at least.His other runner, Holberg was third in the Glasgow behind then stable companion Parthenon with Stately Home just ahead. The latter displayed the head carriage trait that he'd done when making his debut but he still ran very well, has a touch of quality about him, should get this trip and has a first rate chance. In fact, it's worth splitting stakes with the other Ballydoyle runner, Yankee Doodle he finished runner up to Stately Home before chasing home another stable companion who had previously ran well behind Fame and Glory; and then losing his maiden tag when easily beating a Weld horse with the rest well beaten off. He too should find the trip within his compass.

Lost - 3 pts

3/4pt win 22/1(Betfair) and 3/4 pt place only (Betfair place only SP) HARRISON GEORGE Buckingham Palace Handicap
3/4pt win 17.5/1(Betfair) and 3/4 pt place only (Betfair place only SP) MISTER HARDY Buckingham Palace Handicap

These valuable 7f furlong handicaps here have a uniqueness about them but there's no real angle in to compile a shortlist. There are some who seem to turn up in all such races here and often run well,such as the Goldie horse; but with that animal you are trying to find reasons for him to turn the recent form around with Swift Gift and backing each way if your main hope is a place is not straight logic.The two Fahey horses appeal as much as most. The yard is upgraded and they've had a winner already at the meeting. Harrison George is a likeable individual and for one who plys his tried in these competitive races it's amazing that he'd never yet run a poor race and continues on an upward curve. He could soon be competing in G3's and although the last time he tried 7f on this ground his level of form was a stone below what he's recently been running to, the performance at the time was as good as anything he'd achieved.Stable companion Mister Hardy is also a much improved individual who has been in cracking form this season. He's proven in the big field scenario and his chance should be taken seriously.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 18 June 2009

2pts win MONSIEUR CHEVALIER 1.58/1(Betfair) Norfolk Stakes
½ pt win KINGDOM OF LIGHT 29/1(Betfair)Norfolk Stakes
½ pt win NOSEDIVE 17.5/1(Betfair) Norfolk Stakes

The success of the American runners at the meeting has made Monsieur Chevalier a backable price here. They can’t surely all go zooming in but the unknown factor deters from going max in on the Hannon horse. With no room in the odds to realistically have a cover on the other horse perhaps the best option to take (apart from keeping clear of the race ) is to have small stakes on two double figure unexposed types. Kingdom of Light is from last years winning yard and the form of his Haydock victory has worked out well, while from a visual viewpoint, Nosedive looked group class when winning at Sandown last week.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win LEOCORNO 1.8/1 (Betfair) Ribblesdale Stakes

It now appears that Leocorno beat a field of utter slowcoaches at Sandown but the manner of the victory was mighty impressive and earned her single figure quotes for the Oaks. She’s instead been put away for this and is much more likely than not to get the trip, and comes from a family that tend to improve a few leagues relatively quickly. Admittedly, she’s the type who could appeal to layers at her price with so much subjectivity involved but looking at her opponents Take the Hint is very useful but unlikely to be a star, July Jasmine is the second string and it’s likely that Moore’s on the right one, the Godolphin filly has just come from Fabre and would have been more interesting if she had stayed there, while the Cecil filly could be anything and is the hardest of the opponents to weigh up. When these types get beat you look a real sucker for hype but Leocorno could be out of the top drawer and if that is the case she will bolt up.

Lost - 3 pts

¾ pt win 49/1 (Betfair) and ¾ pt place only (Betfair place only SP) HINDU KUSH Ascot Gold Cup
¾ pt win 59/1 (Betfair) and ¾ pt place only (Betfair pace only SP) WASHINGTON IRVING Ascot Gold Cup

Yeats has bounced back from poor runs before, but most have come at the end of the season and he really did run alarmingly badly last time. It was too late to switch him to dual purpose stallion duties after that run but you do wonder if they might have retired him if they could have foresaw him running so poorly. He is vulnerable here. Geordieland is certain to be in the shake up but is short enough, there are doubts whether Patkai will stay, the three Godolphin horses come with the now customary health warning, while Centennial appears to be here merely as a runner for the owner. With so many question marks hanging over these it may be worth chancing a couple of the big priced horses each way. Hindu Kush has shown himself to be as good as ever since moving to David Nicholls and while his staminia is unproven, the trip could me the making of him and he is a genuinely interesting contender. Washington Irving is likewise worth taking seriously. He has chances of getting the trip and if he has retained all of his ability, it’ll take just a couple of the shorter priced ones to run below form (a likely scenario) to put him in with a chance.

Lost - 3 pts

¾ pt each way RIVER CAPTAIN 14/1 (Ladbrokes) Britannia Stakes
¾ pt win 21/1(Betfair) and ¾ pt place only (Betfair place only SP) MIRRORED Britannia Stakes

Impossible to resist getting involved here and taking one from each side is preferable. River Captain had seemed pretty much exposed before finding a ton of improvement from nowhere to win at Epsom last time. This is a different scenario on this straight course, and over two furlongs shorter. However, he races as though he could reproduce that sort of form back in trip and he has more going for him than most here. Of the Stoute horses, Moore is on Desert Creek who is now 10lb higher than when winning at Haydock. He may be a group horse in the future but the path upwards for these types is not always without it’s blips and the stable’s other runner, Mirrored is also very interesting and three times the price, and the type to go very well here.

Mirrored placed 4.4/1 + 1 pt

¾ pt win 8.6/1 (Betfair) and ¾ pt place only ( Betfair place only SP) GLASS HARMONIUM Hampton Court Stakes
¾ pt win (Betfair win SP) and ¾ pt place only (Betfair place only SP) TOO MUCH TROUBLE Hampton Court Stakes

A fascinating race and it’s debatable whether Freemantle should be so short to confirm Dante form with Glass Harmonium and Monitor Closely. It did not look a vintage Dante with them finishing in a bunch but Black Bear Island clear ran too badly to be true at Epsom for the form to be downgraded just yet. Glass Harmonuim showed improved form from his Craven run to finish only two lengths behind Freemantle who raced from the front and there is undoubtedly more progression to come. At his odds he appeals in the hope that this stiffer track will suit him better than Ballydoyle horse who could well end up finding his niche over one mile. Too Much Trouble ran a stinker after pulling early on at Chester. He had previously been considered to be a Derby prospect by his connections and at the odds available is worth win and place support as the step down in trip should be ideal for him.

Glass Harmonium won 8.6/1W & 1.9/1 P +6.1pts

¾ pt each way 15/2 (2 firms) ZARINSKI King George Handicap
¾ pt win 14/1 (Betfair) and ¾ pt place only(Betfair place only SP) QUAI D’ ORSAY King George Handicap

It seems that Zarinski ran on the AW last time to avoid the heavy ground around at the time. Whatever, this race would have been carefully considered and as his bare form is nothing to shout off the rooftops about it means he arrives here to race off a mark of 86, has any amount of improvement in him, and should be up to giving a very good account of himself. The other one that catches the eye is Quai D’Orsay, who is a very typical likely type for Mark Johnston after winning a half decent Musselburgh race in the style of an animal on the upgrade.

Zarinski placed - 0.75 pt

Wednesday, 17 June 2009

2 pts win HEAVEN SENT 3.8/1(Betfair) Windsor Forest Stakes
1/2 pt win 49/1(Betfair) and 1/2 pt place only ( Betfair place only SP) ROSALEEN Windsor Forest Stakes

With a suspicion that the Bolger yard is perhaps not firing on all cylinders at present, Lush Lashes may be worth taking on under her G1 penalty and last years runner up Heaven Sent appeals as the likely winner. The Cheverley Park operation are the shrewdest around at mapping out the careers of their older fillies and mares and the decision to keep this twice G3 in training for another year will be justified if she can win at the next grade above. She looked as good as ever on her seasonal debut and is sure to figure. Of those at large prices Rosaleen catches the eye.There's a possibility that she may be an improved performer this year and she has a chance of making the frame at large odds.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5 pts win VISION D'ETAT 7/2(Betfair)Prince of Wales Stakes
1.5 pts win NEVER ON A SUNDAY 4.4/1(Betfair) Prince of Wales Stakes

It's nonsense to use Stoute's poor record in this event as a reason to oppose Tartan Bearer - however, in a race where the first three in the forecast all have solid claims and are hard to separate, he's perhaps shorter than he should be and the preferred option is to split stakes on both of the French challengers. Last years Prix Du Jockey Club now looks an ordinary renewal but at least the Arc, in which he finished fifth, is a true barometer of Vision D'Etat's ability. He's returned this spring looking as good as ever and in a run of the mill renewal of this race, he should go very close. Never On A Sunday's progression through the ranks saw him take his first G1 last time. In all liklehood there is further improvement remaining and he hails from the yard that is flavour of the month at the moment.

Vision D'Tat won + 3.5pts

1.5pts win CADRE 7.6/1(Betfair) Royal Hunt Cup
3/4 pts each way MIA'S BOY 14/1(Generally available) Royal Hunt Cup

Prior to his Yarmouth run Cadre had looked halfway out the door of the Gosden yard and diden't appear fancied that day but won convincingly from a good yardstick and appears to have had this as his target from that day. His last run appeared to tee him up for this and he's in the right hands for these contests and is worth backing right now as some of the market influences seem to be flagging him up and he could displace Forgotten Voice at the head of the market.Of the others, Mia's Boy who never made it here last year on account of the ground remains interesting in these events.Only road like surfaces are a deterrent to him and he'll be fine, though of course his sort are always going to be vulnerable to something favourably handicapped. It's now ten outings since he was last successful but he's as good as ever,can handle the big field scenario, and with a highly significant jockey booking will not be far away.

Mia's Boy placed 1.63/1 - 0.85 pt

3pts win DON'T TELL MARY 4.4/1(Betfair) Queen Mary Stakes

Although the Hilary Needler runner up The Hermitage was disappointing yesterday, at least the fifth horse from that race ran a cracker, something that gives some substance to the Beverley form which is all what's necessary as the winner, Don't Tell Mary looked one hell of a good filly in that race - and one that is perhaps going to last through the season and end up being a leading player in the Cheverley Park. She is difficult to overlook here and is worth getting stuck into to confirm the impression that she gave that evening.

Lost - 3 pts

Tuesday, 16 June 2009

1.5pts each way 8/1(Generally available) ALEXANDROS Queen Anne Stakes

While he's certainly improved since going to Dubai, it was only last October that Gladatorious was beaten by Scintillo at the San Siro, racing in the same style that he's been doing in Dubai and there have been many impressive performances at the Dubai festival down the years that haven't been repeated during the European turf season. Whatever, he can go unbacked. Of the other leading contenders,Paco's Boy does not have his optimum conditions while you feel that Main Aim has been supplemented as this G1 would enhance his stallion prospects more than winning the Golden Jubilee which could probably take more winning. The one that appeals at the price is Alexandros who actually has progressed under Godolphin. He ran a cracker on his reappearance, has ideal conditions,and will be racing prominently; a scenario in which Dettori is still able to excel.He'll be hard to keep out the 3.

Lost - 3 pts

3 pts win MASTERCRAFTSMAN 5/6(Hills and Ladbrokes) St James Palace Stakes

It's hard to be convinced by any other than this guy here and he is the one this week that is fairly priced around the even money mark.The Ballydoyle horses appeared to be needing their first runs and despite not everything acting in the conditions at the Curragh, he clearly showed that he's trained on really well and would have been a convincing winner on any surface.The return to faster conditions will not hinder - his best performance last year came in similar conditions - and it will be surprising if he can't hold Delegator.In a field were most can't be given more than half a chance Evasive would have appealed as an each way alternative if it wasen't for the genuine doubt over whether he really wants this trip.

won + 2.49pts

3/4pt each way MARSH WARBLER 20/1 (Ladbrokes and VC) Coventry Stakes
3/4pt win 29/1(Betfair) 3/4 pt place only (Betfair place only SP) XTENSION Coventry Stakes

Hannon has a line on most of the juvenile form in this country and Canford Cliffs lines up top of the pecking order. However, whether he should be as short as he is after possibly being a little flattered at Newbury is another thing and in a race full of unknowns it could be worth having moderate each way stakes on a couple of ' could be anythings'. Marsh Warbler could do no more than dispose of moderate opponents at Redcar and overlooking the concern that he may just be a convenient runner for his owner, there is no knowing the true level of his ability and he is worth chancing. The bare form of Xtension's Goodwood's victory was not much better but he won nicely and is a very interesting contender.

Xtension placed (Betfair place SP 5.8/1) + 2.1pts

3/4pt win 14.5/1(Betfair) 3/4pt place only (Betfair place only SP) LIBRATE Ascot Stakes
3/4pt win 18/1(Betfair) 3/4pt place only (Betfair place only SP) ERMINE SEA Ascot stakes

There is are many interesting contenders at decent prices to entertain the front two in single figs; especially as both would be happier on ground a bit easier.Librate is worse off with Missoula from this last year but his most recent hurdle run was more encouraging and it'll be a little surprising of he's not bang in there in the closing stages. Ermine Sea, a rare runner on the level for Henrietta Knight,has fair prospects of reversing recent course form with Judgethemoment. Third here in the Queens Vase when with Gosden, he appeals as the type who'll probably appreciate the extra half mile and looks set to give a really good account of himself.

Lost - 3pts

Saturday, 13 June 2009

2 pts win ACROSTIC 6/1( Ladbrokes and Exchanges) Ladbrokes.Com H'cap
1 pt win RED JADE 14/1 (Generally available) H'cap

While it's generally costly to get suckered into these eyecatching unlucky types, Acrostic genuinely is the type who'll pay to follow blindly this season and while it's pretty futile dwelling on how he would have fared if he'd have had the run of the race at Ripon,it was a highly encouraging appearance, albeit in a race not as competitive as this. With the stable in healthy form, and this lightly raced four year old being just the type that they get the most from, Acrostic stands out in a field of animals in which most are not going to progress any further. The only niggly doubt is the extra furlong.

Red Jade is another lightly raced type who catches the eye of those in double figures. He hails from a yard that has upgraded itself in the last couple of years and forgetting his recent run in the mud in Ireland, he'd run really well on his reappearance and has fairish prospects of repaying the purchase cost from the Gosden yard over the next 12 months.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts each way SWISS DIVA 12/1( Generally available) Reg Griffin Memorial Trophy

The form of Master of Disguise's recent victory is stonewall solid but the combination of the 11lb rise, extra furlong and current odds deter from getting stuck into him.

One that seems sure to figure prominently and is priced in double figs is Swiss Diva. The Elsworth yard has not been in the best of form but has at least had a recent winner and this filly has been running consistently well, has proven to be competitive off this mark,has conditions that she'll handle, is open to further improvement; and to top it all has Ryan Moore in the plate.

won + 22.5 pts

1 pt win DISTANT MEMORIES(Betfair SP)Daniel Prenn Royal Yorkshire Stakes
1 pt win CALL IT ON(Betfair SP)Daniel Prenn Royal Yorkshire Stakes
1 pt win RAFAAN 19/1(Betfair)Daniel Prenn Royal Yorkshire Stakes

Marching Time does not totally convince, while the Godolphin horse does not excite despite the record of the yard here. The more you delve into this you realise how wide open this is and it may be worth dividing stakes between three at decent odds. Tom Tate went close with a front runner in this last year and though Distant Memories will probably be reined in behind other front runners here he has as good as chance as most of these and should run well. Mark Tompkins's horses are usually trying for their lives here and Call It On ran encouragingly at Pontefract last time which followed on from his seasonal debut here when he ran Ok'ish despite being free.There was clearly something amiss with Rafaan last time. His victory prior to that did not tell us alot about him and it's all guesses as to the level of his ability. However, the stable is in cracking form and has won this in recent years.

Lost - 3 pts

2 pts win CASTLES IN THE AIR 7/2(Betfair) Charles Henry Memorial Stakes
1pt win GREEN PARK (Betfair SP) Charles Henry Memorial Stakes

The figs suggest that Castles In The Air surpassed all he'd previously done when winning at Hamilton last time and he's clearly improved for the move to his new yard. On a question of value, it's a moot point of whether he's going to be too short, particularly with the whole world knowing that he's had this as his target since the last run. However, taking the view that he's a different proposition to what he was at this time last year he has very strong prospects of defying his new mark.Tylicki is obviously a big plus too, especially at this venue. These apprentices on a roll tend to defy logic with regard to the ratio of the jockey input and though it's all subjective and a bit gobbledygook they clearly do seem do seem to pass on their own aura of confidence to their mounts.Whatever, Castle's In the Air won't end up any longer than the 7/2 now available on the exchanges.

In contrast, the move from the Fahey yard hasn't done Green Park any harm judging by his fine run here yesterday. He has a realistic chance if turning out again here and is worth a point. Although he has done all of his winning over 5f, he's ran well before over C&D and the 6f should not be seen as a negative.

Lost - 3 pts

Thursday, 4 June 2009

1.5pts win 6.4/1 (Betfair) 1.5pts place only 1.3/1(Betfair place only market) DUNCAN Investec Coronation Cup

Despite his unquestionable talent,Youmzain does not get his head infront often enough and it's probably worth looking for something a bit longer in price. The usual cautions about older fillies apply here to Look Here, while Ask does ideally want some give. Frozen Fire is interesting at his price but the one that really catches the eye is the much improved Duncan. He has really looked something else with another winter on his back and moving to Gosden. Admittedly, this is a mighty step up in grade but the three that followed him home last time were not totally disgraced on their next outings and he could do no more than destroy them and gave the impression that he could now be top class. Arguably the most improved older horse in training this season,in the peak of form, and with the ground and track fine for him ,it'll be very disappointing if he dosen't figure and he is worth win and place support at his current price.

Lost - 3 pts

1.5pts win 6.4/1 (Betfair) 1.5pts place only 1.28/1 (Betfair place only market) PHILLIPINA Investec Oaks

It's worth launching into orbit stats about the last maiden to win the Oaks and Stoute's poor recent record in the race, because this filly lines up with a big chance and looks very likely to get herself involved. Firstly, it's very unlikely that all the first three in the market will see out the trip (though of course that equally applies to the opposite). Furthermore, the ground is a big worry for Sariska and Rainbow Views, while out of the longer priced horses who have been talked up, Oh Goodness Me is also far from certain to stay. The Cheshire Oaks looked a decent renewal this year. Without getting carried away with remotish form links, the fourth home Hidden Brief had been runner up to Star Ruby, who went and chased home Sariska in the Musidora - it does at at least does increase confidence in the value of the Chester form. The first two reoppose here and though many of these Balldoyle horses thrive on racing, the lighly raced runner up will surely turn the tables. With no issues about the ground and trip, and reports of her being in fine fettle at home,she's a confident win and place choice.

Lost - 3 pts